** WTJP21 RJTD 131800 ***
WARNING 131800.

WARNING VALID 141800.

WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.

TYPHOON WARNING.

TYPHOON 0520 KIROGI (0520) 940 HPA

AT 22.2N 131.9E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST

SLOWLY.

POSITION GOOD.

MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.

RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 23.6N 132.5E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 25.2N 133.8E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 27.1N 136.1E WITH 270 MILE RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.


JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=




** WTPQ20 RJTD 131800 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME  TY 0520 KIROGI (0520)

ANALYSIS

PSTN  131800UTC 22.2N 131.9E GOOD

MOVE  NNE SLOWLY

PRES  940HPA

MXWD  085KT

50KT  60NM

30KT  200NM

FORECAST

24HF  141800UTC 23.6N 132.5E 80NM 70%

MOVE  NNE SLOWLY

PRES  940HPA

MXWD  085KT

48HF  151800UTC 25.2N 133.8E 150NM 70%

MOVE  NNE SLOWLY

PRES  940HPA

MXWD  085KT

72HF  161800UTC 27.1N 136.1E 270NM 70%

MOVE  NE 08KT

PRES  950HPA

MXWD  080KT =




** WTPQ20 BABJ 131800 ***
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST

TY KIROGI 0520 (0520) INITIAL TIME 131800 UTC

00HR 22.2N 131.7E 940HPA 50M/S

30KTS 360KM

50KTS 110KM

P12HR N 5KM/H

P+24HR 23.7N 132.2E 940HPA 50M/S

P+48HR 25.6N 133.4E 950HPA 45M/S

P+72HR 27.7N 135.3E 960HPA 40M/S=






** WTPQ20 BABJ 132100 ***
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST

TY KIROGI 0520 (0520) INITIAL TIME 132100 UTC

00HR 22.4N 131.8E 940HPA 50M/S

30KTS 360KM

50KTS 110KM

P12HR NNE 5KM/H

P+24HR 23.9N 132.5E 940HPA 50M/S

P+48HR 25.8N 133.8E 950HPA 45M/S

P+72HR 27.9N 135.7E 960HPA 40M/S=




** WTJP31 RJTD 132100 ***
WARNING 132100.

WARNING VALID 142100.

TYPHOON WARNING.

TYPHOON 0520 KIROGI (0520) 940 HPA

AT 22.5N 131.9E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.

POSITION GOOD.

MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.

RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 142100UTC AT 23.9N 132.5E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.


JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=




** WTPQ20 RJTD 132100 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME  TY 0520 KIROGI (0520)

ANALYSIS

PSTN  132100UTC 22.5N 131.9E GOOD

MOVE  N SLOWLY

PRES  940HPA

MXWD  085KT

50KT  60NM

30KT  200NM

FORECAST

24HF  142100UTC 23.9N 132.5E 80NM 70%

MOVE  NNE SLOWLY

PRES  940HPA

MXWD  085KT

45HF  151800UTC 25.2N 133.8E 150NM 70%

MOVE  NNE SLOWLY

PRES  940HPA

MXWD  085KT

69HF  161800UTC 27.1N 136.1E 270NM 70%

MOVE  NE 08KT

PRES  950HPA

MXWD  080KT =




** WTPH RPLL 131800 ***
TTT TYPHOON WARNING 16


AT 1800 13 OCTOBER, TYPHOON (KIROGI) (0520) WAS LOCATED BASED ON

SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO TWO POINT TWO NORTH ONE THREE

ONE POINT NINE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH AT NORTHEAST ZERO TWO

METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO

KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR

FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR

THE CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO

KILOMETERS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO

KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 141800 TWO

FOUR POINT ZERO NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT FIVE EAST AT 151800

TWO FIVE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE THREE POINT THREE EAST AND AT

161800 TWO SIX POINT NINE NORTH ONE THREE FOUR POINT FOUR EAST

ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY

WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD=