** WTJP21 RJTD 111800 *** WARNING 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0520 KIROGI (0520) 940 HPA AT 20.5N 132.6E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 21.2N 132.3E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 22.4N 131.8E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 23.6N 131.3E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 111800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0520 KIROGI (0520) ANALYSIS PSTN 111800UTC 20.5N 132.6E GOOD MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 121800UTC 21.2N 132.3E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 48HF 131800UTC 22.4N 131.8E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 925HPA MXWD 090KT 72HF 141800UTC 23.6N 131.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 925HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 111800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KIROGI 0520 (0520) INITIAL TIME 111800 UTC 00HR 20.5N 132.7E 945HPA 50M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR W 5KM/H P+24HR 20.6N 131.6E 920HPA 60M/S P+48HR 21.3N 131.0E 920HPA 60M/S P+72HR 23.4N 130.8E 930HPA 55M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 111800 *** WARNING 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0520 KIROGI (0520) 940 HPA AT 20.5N 132.6E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 21.2N 132.3E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 22.4N 131.8E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 23.6N 131.3E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 111800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0520 KIROGI (0520) ANALYSIS PSTN 111800UTC 20.5N 132.6E GOOD MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 121800UTC 21.2N 132.3E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 48HF 131800UTC 22.4N 131.8E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 925HPA MXWD 090KT 72HF 141800UTC 23.6N 131.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 925HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTPN31 PGTW 112100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (KIROGI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z --- NEAR 20.5N 132.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 132.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 20.3N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 20.3N 132.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 20.6N 132.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 20.9N 131.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 21.3N 131.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 21.8N 131.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 22.5N 131.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT --- REMARKS: 112100Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 132.7E. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (KIROGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z AND 122100Z.// ** WTPQ20 RJTD 112100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0520 KIROGI (0520) ANALYSIS PSTN 112100UTC 20.4N 132.6E GOOD MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 122100UTC 21.3N 132.3E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 45HF 131800UTC 22.4N 131.8E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 925HPA MXWD 090KT 69HF 141800UTC 23.6N 131.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 925HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 112100 *** WARNING 112100. WARNING VALID 122100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0520 KIROGI (0520) 940 HPA AT 20.4N 132.6E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 122100UTC AT 21.3N 132.3E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPH20 RPMM 111800 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 08 AT 1800 11 OCTOBER, TYPHOON (KIRIGI) (0520) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ZERO POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT SIX EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO TWO METER PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SIX FOUR HECTOPASCAL MAXIMUM WINDS THREE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 121800 TWO ZERO POINT NINE NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT ZERO EAST AT 131800 TWO ONE POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT FOUR EAST AND AT 141800 TWO ONE POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT SIX EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA=