** WTNT80 EGRR 110558 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 11.10.2005 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 12.9N 144.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2005 12.9N 144.8W WEAK 00UTC 12.10.2005 13.0N 146.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2005 13.2N 147.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2005 13.8N 148.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2005 12.9N 148.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2005 13.2N 150.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2005 13.7N 152.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-T ANALYSED POSITION : 33.9N 70.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL222005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2005 33.9N 70.8W WEAK 12UTC 11.10.2005 37.1N 70.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2005 37.5N 71.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2005 39.6N 72.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2005 37.9N 72.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2005 38.0N 72.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2005 EXTRA-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM VINCE ANALYSED POSITION : 34.7N 10.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL232005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2005 34.7N 10.5W WEAK 12UTC 11.10.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 19.4N 65.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2005 19.4N 65.8W WEAK 12UTC 11.10.2005 21.9N 66.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2005 23.7N 67.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2005 24.7N 68.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2005 26.4N 66.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2005 30.7N 64.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2005 38.2N 68.0W EXTRA-TROPICAL THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 110558 ** WTIN20 DEMS 110620 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 11-10-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, AND ADJOINING ANDAMAN SEA EAST ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 19.0 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) ---------- ** WTJP21 RJTD 110600 *** WARNING 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0520 KIROGI (0520) 975 HPA AT 21.0N 133.0E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 21.7N 132.0E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 23.1N 131.7E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 24.9N 131.9E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 110600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0520 KIROGI (0520) ANALYSIS PSTN 110600UTC 21.0N 133.0E GOOD MOVE S SLOWLY PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 40NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 120600UTC 21.7N 132.0E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 130600UTC 23.1N 131.7E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 140600UTC 24.9N 131.9E 220NM 70% MOVE N SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 110600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KIROGI 0520 (0520) INITIAL TIME 110600 UTC 00HR 21.0N 133.0E 980HPA 30M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR SW 5KM/H P+24HR 20.4N 132.2E 975HPA 33M/S P+48HR 20.6N 131.0E 970HPA 35M/S P+72HR 22.0N 130.6E 960HPA 40M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 110600 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS KIROGI 0520 (0520) INITIAL TIME 110600 UTC 00HR 21.0N 133.0E 980HPA 30M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR SW 5KM/H P+24HR 20.4N 132.2E 975HPA 33M/S P+48HR 20.6N 131.0E 970HPA 35M/S P+72HR 22.0N 130.6E 960HPA 40M/S= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 110600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 4 FOR STS 0520 KIROGI (0520) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 110600 UTC IS GOOD. STS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STS WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST STS WILL BE GRADED UP TO TY WITHIN 24 HOURS. STS WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE EYE HAS BECOME DISTINCT. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 4.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 110600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME STS 0520 KIROGI ANALYSIS POSITION 110600UTC 21.0N 133.0E MOVEMENT S 4KT PRES/VMAX 975HPA 60KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 120600UTC 21.3N 132.3E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT 48HR POSITION 130600UTC 22.5N 131.7E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT 72HR POSITION 140600UTC 24.4N 131.8E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 955HPA 80KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTNT43 KNHC 110829 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION VINCE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2005 VINCE'S DATA T NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB AT 06Z WERE NON-EXISTENT... WITH JUST A VERY SMALL AREA OF COLD CONVECTION REMAINING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NEITHER OF TWO SCATTEROMETER PASSES...ONE OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE AT 18Z AND ONE IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AT 00Z...SHOWED ANY WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE...AND INDEED THE SECOND PASS CALLS INTO QUESTION THE EARLIER 40 KT SHIP REPORT. A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 06Z SHOWED SOME RAIN-FLAGGED 35-40 KT VECTORS... BUT CLOUD MOTIONS AND COASTAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE QUIKSCAT VECTORS ARE CONTAMINATED. VINCE IS THEREFORE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH THIS ADVISORY. WITH NO DATA T NUMBERS...CONTINUING VINCE'S STATUS AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE ANY LONGER IS UNWARRANTED. AS THE SHORT HAPPY LIFE OF VINCE IS NOW OVER...THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. THE REMNANTS OF VINCE SHOULD CONTINUE ON A TRACK NEAR 065/20 UNTIL DISSPATION OR ABSORPTION DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THE HISTORICAL RECORD SHOWS NO TROPICAL CYCLONE EVER MAKING LANDFALL ON THE IBERIAN PENINSULA. BASED ON SURFACE REPORTS FROM FARO PORTUGAL...THE CENTER PASSED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE COAST OF PORTUGAL...BEFORE BECOMING THE FIRST TROPICAL CYCLONE TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SPAIN. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 37.2N 7.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 110830 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION VINCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232005 0900Z TUE OCT 11 2005 INTERESTS IN AND NEAR EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTUGAL SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES ON THE REMNANTS OF VINCE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 7.1W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 7.1W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 8.3W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 7.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 110831 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION VINCE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2005 ...VINCE MAKING LANDFALL IN SPAIN AS IT BEGINS TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN SPAIN SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES ON THE REMNANTS OF VINCE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION VINCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 7.1 WEST OR ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN SPAIN NEAR HUELVA. VINCE IS THE FIRST TROPICAL CYCLONE ON RECORD TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SPAIN. VINCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH ...39 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...TAKING THE CENTER OF VINCE FARTHER INLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY AS VINCE CONTINUES TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH VINCE AND ITS REMNANTS. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...37.2 N... 7.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTPN31 PGTW 110900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (KIROGI) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z --- NEAR 21.0N 133.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N 133.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 20.6N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 20.8N 132.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 21.3N 131.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 21.7N 131.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 22.2N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 22.7N 131.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 23.2N 131.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT --- REMARKS: 110900Z POSITION NEAR 20.9N 132.9E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (KIROGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS DRIFTING TO THE SOUTH- SOUTHWEST. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z, 112100Z, 120300Z AND 120900Z.// ** WTPH RPMM 110600 *** TTT STORM WARNING 06 AT 0600 11 OCTOBER, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM ( KIROGI) ( 0520) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIAMTED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ONE POINT ONE NORTH ONE THREE THREE POINT ONE EAST MOVING SOUTHWEST AT ZERO ONE METER PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE EIGHT TWO HCTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FORECAST POSITIONS AT 120600 TWO ONE POINT TWO NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT FOUR EAST AT 130600 TWO ONE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT EIGHT EAST AT 140600 TWO THREE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT THREE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE - HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTJP31 RJTD 110900 *** WARNING 110900. WARNING VALID 120900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0520 KIROGI (0520) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 965 HPA AT 20.8N 133.0E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120900UTC AT 21.5N 132.1E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 110900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0520 KIROGI (0520) UPGRADED FROM STS ANALYSIS PSTN 110900UTC 20.8N 133.0E GOOD MOVE S SLOWLY PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM FORECAST 24HF 120900UTC 21.5N 132.1E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 130600UTC 23.1N 131.7E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 140600UTC 24.9N 131.9E 220NM 70% MOVE N SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTPH20 RPMM 110600 *** T T T STORM WARNING 06 AT 0600 11 OCTOBER, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KIROGI) {0520}UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ONE POINT ONE NORTH ONE THREE THREE POINT ONE EAST MOVING SOUTHWEST AT ZERO ONE METER PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE EIGHT TWO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FORECAST POSITIONS AT 120600 TWO ONE POINT TWO NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT FOUR EAST AT 130600 TWO ONE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT EIGHT EAST AT 140600 TWO THREE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT THREE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA =