** WTSR20 WSSS 070600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPN31 PGTW 071500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061400Z OCT 05// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z --- NEAR 16.9N 107.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N 107.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 17.1N 106.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 17.5N 105.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 071500Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 107.6E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 20W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 35 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 061400Z OCT 05 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 061351) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200ZIS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z AND 080900Z.// ** WTSS20 VHHH 071345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 071200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 071345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 071200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 071645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 071500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF VIETNAM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 071645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 071500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF VIETNAM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTNT80 EGRR 071725 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.10.2005 TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 20.0N 105.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2005 20.0N 105.8W WEAK 00UTC 08.10.2005 20.9N 106.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2005 21.8N 106.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2005 22.5N 106.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANALYSED POSITION : 34.7N 23.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2005 34.7N 23.4W WEAK 00UTC 08.10.2005 32.8N 21.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2005 32.9N 20.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2005 33.1N 19.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2005 33.7N 20.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2005 35.8N 18.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 071725