** WTSR20 WSSS 060600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTUS82 KCHS 061255 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-352-354-370-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141- SCZ040-042>045-047>051-061530- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM TAMMY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 855 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM TAMMY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST...NEAR ALBANY GEORGIA. TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WHILE TRACKING THROUGH SOUTHERN GEORGIA THIS MORNING...AND WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... CURRENT ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE EXPECTED VALUES AND THESE DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA DURING THE LATE MORNING HIGH TIDE. IF HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING DURING THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING COULD OCCUR BETWEEN 9 AM AND NOON. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 80 BETWEEN TYBEE ISLAND AND SAVANNAH IN CHATHAM COUNTY THIS MORNING...SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR DELAYS IF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF THE ROAD OCCURS. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE IN CHARLESTON WILL BE AT 1021 AM...IN BEAUFORT AT 1137 AM...AND IN SAVANNAH AT 1028 AM. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS EARLY THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY OCCURRED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA AND PRODUCED SOME FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO DARIEN GEORGIA. UNOFFICIAL RAINFALL REPORTS AND DOPPLER RADAR BOTH INDICATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 8 INCHES. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS...FELL OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTH CAROLINA. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. IF THE RAIN FALLS OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WOULD BE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING THIS MORNING AND REMAIN ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED TODAY AS DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... WIND AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION TODAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON BY 1130 AM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM TAMMY CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ JH ** WTPN21 PGTW 061400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 061351Z OCT 05// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.2N 110.9E TO 16.7N 107.2E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 061130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 110.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 17.1N 110.6E HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION HAS CONSOLIDATED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A STRONG ANTICYCLONE OVER THE AREA AS WELL AS A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST THAT COULD AID IN OUTFLOW. THE AREA IS UNDER LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. DUE TO A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 071351Z.// ** WTPN21 PGTW 061400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 061351Z OCT 05// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.2N 110.9E TO 16.7N 107.2E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 061130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 110.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 17.1N 110.6E HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION HAS CONSOLIDATED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A STRONG ANTICYCLONE OVER THE AREA AS WELL AS A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST THAT COULD AID IN OUTFLOW. THE AREA IS UNDER LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. DUE TO A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 071351Z.// ** WTNT41 KNHC 061426 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT THU OCT 06 2005 SUSTAINED WINDS ALONG THE COAST HAVE DECREASED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE...AND THE COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. ANY REMAINING GALE FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE HAVE LITTLE OR NO CONNECTION TO TAMMY'S CIRCULATION...AND TAMMY IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE SUGGESTING THAT THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING ELONGATED ALONG A WSW-ENE AXIS...AND DISSIPATION IS ANTICIPATED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED UNTIL THAT OCCURS. A PORTION OF THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL VORTICITY COULD TURN SOUTHWESTWARD AND ENTER THE GULF OF MEXICO...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION. FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TAMMY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION SYSTEM. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 31.7N 85.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 31.5N 87.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT21 KNHC 061426 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212005 1500Z THU OCT 06 2005 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 85.5W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..325NE 275SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 85.5W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 85.0W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 31.5N 87.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 85.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT31 KNHC 061427 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT THU OCT 06 2005 ...TAMMY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA NEAR OZARK. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH. A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY UNTIL THE DEPRESSION DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... OVER WATER MAINLY OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. TAMMY AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER EASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND NORTH CAROLINA. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.7 N... 85.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT81 KNHC 061430 *** TCVAT1 TAMMY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2005 .TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY GAC029-051-179-191-SCC013-015-019-029-035-053-AMZ330-350-352-354- 374-062100- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2005 ALTAMAHA-SOUND-GA 31.29N 81.29W SOUTH-SANTEE-RIVER-SC 33.12N 79.27W $$ ATTN...WFO...CHS... ** WTNT81 KNHC 061430 *** TCVAT1 TAMMY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2005 .TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY GAC029-051-179-191-SCC013-015-019-029-035-053-AMZ330-350-352-354- 374-062100- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2005 ALTAMAHA-SOUND-GA 31.29N 81.29W SOUTH-SANTEE-RIVER-SC 33.12N 79.27W $$ ATTN...WFO...CHS... ** WTCA41 TJSJ 061447 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL TAMMY ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 6 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT JUEVES 6 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...TAMMY SE DEBILITA A DEPRESION TROPICAL... A LAS 11 AM EDT...1500Z...TODOS LOS AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA AREAS COSTERAS FUERON DESCONTINUADOS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 11 AM EDT...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL TAMMY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 31.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.5 OESTE. ESTA POSICION ES SOBRE EL EXTREMO SURESTE DE ALABAMA CERCA DE OZARK. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE HOY CON UNA DISMINUCION EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION HASTA QUE LA DEPRESION SE DISIPE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES SOBRE EL AGUA MAYORMENTE FUERA DE LA COSTA DE CAROLINA DEL SUR. SE ESPERA QUE ESTOS VIENTOS DISMINUYAN LENTAMENTE HOY. SE ESPERA QUE TAMMY Y SUS REMANENTES PRODUZCAN CANTIDADES ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS SOBRE EL ESTE DE GEORGIA... CAROLINA DEL SUR Y CAROLINA DEL NORTE. SON POSIBLES CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 8 A 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS HOY SOBRE EL SURESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 11 AM EDT...31.7 NORTE... 85.5 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MB. ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA PUBLICA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA. INFORMACION FUTURA SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA PUEDE OBTENERSE EN LAS ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO DE PREDICCIONES HIDROMETEOROLOGICAS. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KCHS 061512 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-352-354-370-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141- SCZ040-042>045-047>051-061700- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 1112 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2005 ...TORPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELED... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELED. A FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA CONTINUES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAKE MOULTRIE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST...NEAR OZARK ALABAMA. TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH AND TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON. BEACH AND BOATING ACTIVITIES WILL REMAIN VERY HAZARDOUS. SEAS AND SURF ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... CURRENT ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE EXPECTED VALUES IN SOUTH CAROLINA AND THESE DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WINDS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE MOULTRIE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY OCCURRED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA AND PRODUCED SOME FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO DARIEN GEORGIA. UNOFFICIAL RAINFALL REPORTS AND DOPPLER RADAR BOTH INDICATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 8 INCHES. WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FALLING OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTH CAROLINA. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON. IF THE RAIN FALLS QUICKLY OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...FLOODING WOULD BE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... WIND AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MODERATE BEACH EROSION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTH CAROLINA FOR BREAKING WAVES UP TO 5 TO 6 FEET. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE ON TAMMY. AN ADDITIONAL PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT OR TWO WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY TO UPDATE RAINFALL TOTALS. A POST TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT WILL BE ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE BY 12 NOON ON TUESDAY. $$ MTE ** WTUS82 KCHS 061517 CCA *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-352-354-370-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141- SCZ040-042>045-047>051-061700- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED...CORRECTED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 1112 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2005 ...TORPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELED... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELED. A FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA CONTINUES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAKE MOULTRIE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST...NEAR OZARK ALABAMA. TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH AND TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON. BEACH AND BOATING ACTIVITIES WILL REMAIN VERY HAZARDOUS. SEAS AND SURF ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... CURRENT ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE EXPECTED VALUES IN SOUTH CAROLINA AND THESE DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WINDS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE MOULTRIE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY OCCURRED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA AND PRODUCED SOME FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO DARIEN GEORGIA. UNOFFICIAL RAINFALL REPORTS AND DOPPLER RADAR BOTH INDICATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 8 INCHES. WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FALLING OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTH CAROLINA. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON. IF THE RAIN FALLS QUICKLY OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...FLOODING WOULD BE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... WIND AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MODERATE BEACH EROSION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTH CAROLINA FOR BREAKING WAVES UP TO 5 TO 6 FEET. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE ON TAMMY. AN ADDITIONAL PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT OR TWO WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY TO UPDATE RAINFALL TOTALS. A POST TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT WILL BE ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE BY 12 NOON ON TUESDAY. $$ MTE ** WTNT80 EGRR 061711 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.10.2005 TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 17.9N 103.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2005 17.9N 103.1W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2005 20.0N 104.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2005 20.5N 105.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2005 22.5N 106.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2005 22.1N 106.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2005 22.2N 106.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 11.1N 147.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2005 11.1N 147.8W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2005 10.7N 148.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2005 10.5N 148.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2005 10.1N 149.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2005 10.2N 150.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2005 10.8N 151.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2005 12.1N 152.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2005 11.2N 153.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061711 ** WTPN21 PHNC 061730 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 061721ZOCT2005// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051721ZOCT2005// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 130 NM RADIUS OF 18.0N 104.0W WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CY CLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 061200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.0W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 99.6W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.0W, APPROX- IMATELY 65 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CONTINUED DENSE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATED BY SURFACE AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN EN- VIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH MARGINAL TO FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 071730Z. //