** WTCA41 TJSJ 051828 *** TCPSP1 3BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL TAMMY ADVERTENCIA ESPECIAL NUMERO 2A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT MIERCOLES 5 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...TAMMY UN POCO MAS FUERTE MIENTRAS SE MUEVE PARALELO A LA COSTA NORESTE DE FLORIDA... A LAS 2 PM EDT...1800Z...EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AL SUR DE FLAGLER BEACH HA SIDO DESCONTINUADO. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL CONTINUA EN EFECTO DESDE FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA AL NORTE AL SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. ESTA EN EFECTO AVISO DE GALERNA AL NORTE DEL AREA DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL. FAVOR DE CONSULTAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LAS OFICINAS LOCALES DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEORLOGIA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 2 PM EDT...1800Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL TAMMY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 29.4 NOR NOROESTE...LONGITUD 80.8 OESTE O COMO A 20 MILLAS AL NORESTE DE DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA. TAMMY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. ALGUNA REDUCION EN SU VELOCIDAD ES ANTICIPADO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 12 A 24 HORAS. DEBIDO A QUE TAMMY SE MUEVE POR LO GENERAL PARALELO A LA COSTA...EL LUGAR ESPECIFICO Y LA HORA DE ENTRADA A TIERRA DEL CENTRO ES INCIERTO. EN ADICION...LA MAYOR PARTE DE LOS VIENTOS FUERTES Y LAS LLUVIAS FUERTES ESTAN LOCALIZADOS BIEN AL NORTE Y ESTE DEL CENTRO DE CIRCULACION. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ES POSIBLE ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 175 MILLAS MAYORMENTE AL NORTE Y ESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MB...29.62 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE TAMMY PRODUZCA DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA SOBRE PARTES DEL NOR NOROESTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SURESTE DE GEORGIA...EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR...Y EL SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NOR NOROESTE...CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE 8 A 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE SOBRE EL NORESTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SURESTE DEL GEORGIA...Y EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 2 PM EDT...29.4 NOR NOROESTE... 80.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 45 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 5 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KCHS 051850 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-352-354-370-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141- SCZ040-042>045-047>051-052230- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM TAMMY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 250 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM TAMMY A LITTLE STRONGER... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GEORGIA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH AND SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY. TAMMY IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH AND SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS OR BRING THEM INSIDE. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... CURRENT ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED VALUES. DEPARTURES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED INTO THURSDAY. IF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS AROUND THE TIME...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS A POSSIBILITY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAN ANY STORM SURGE WILL BE MINIMAL. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST. WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY BREAK SMALL LIMBS OR KNOCK DOWN WEAK OR DAMAGED TREES WHICH COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS SO FAR HAVE MAINLY BEEN IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE ALONG THE COAST IN GEORGIA AND ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS FURTHER INLAND. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... WITH TAMMY EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL SOUTH OF THE AREA...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AS DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... WIND AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION THROUGH THURSDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON BY 630 PM OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TAMMY CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ MTE ** WTCA41 TJSJ 051828 *** TCPSP1 3BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL TAMMY ADVERTENCIA ESPECIAL NUMERO 2A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT MIERCOLES 5 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...TAMMY UN POCO MAS FUERTE MIENTRAS SE MUEVE PARALELO A LA COSTA NORESTE DE FLORIDA... A LAS 2 PM EDT...1800Z...EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AL SUR DE FLAGLER BEACH HA SIDO DESCONTINUADO. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL CONTINUA EN EFECTO DESDE FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA AL NORTE AL SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. ESTA EN EFECTO AVISO DE GALERNA AL NORTE DEL AREA DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL. FAVOR DE CONSULTAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LAS OFICINAS LOCALES DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEORLOGIA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 2 PM EDT...1800Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL TAMMY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 29.4 NOR NOROESTE...LONGITUD 80.8 OESTE O COMO A 20 MILLAS AL NORESTE DE DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA. TAMMY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. ALGUNA REDUCION EN SU VELOCIDAD ES ANTICIPADO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 12 A 24 HORAS. DEBIDO A QUE TAMMY SE MUEVE POR LO GENERAL PARALELO A LA COSTA...EL LUGAR ESPECIFICO Y LA HORA DE ENTRADA A TIERRA DEL CENTRO ES INCIERTO. EN ADICION...LA MAYOR PARTE DE LOS VIENTOS FUERTES Y LAS LLUVIAS FUERTES ESTAN LOCALIZADOS BIEN AL NORTE Y ESTE DEL CENTRO DE CIRCULACION. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ES POSIBLE ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 175 MILLAS MAYORMENTE AL NORTE Y ESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MB...29.62 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE TAMMY PRODUZCA DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA SOBRE PARTES DEL NOR NOROESTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SURESTE DE GEORGIA...EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR...Y EL SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NOR NOROESTE...CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE 8 A 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE SOBRE EL NORESTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SURESTE DEL GEORGIA...Y EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 2 PM EDT...29.4 NOR NOROESTE... 80.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 45 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1003 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 5 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT31 KNHC 052031 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TAMMY ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2005 ...TAMMY SKIRTING THE FLORIDA COAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES CONCERNING POSSIBLE GALE WARNINGS OUTSIDE OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA. TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TAMMY SHOULD MOVE INLAND IN EXTREME NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA OR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...30.1 N... 81.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT21 KNHC 052031 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212005 2100Z WED OCT 05 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES CONCERNING POSSIBLE GALE WARNINGS OUTSIDE OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 81.2W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......225NE 185SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 0SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 81.2W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 80.9W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 31.4N 82.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 32.2N 83.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 81.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT71 KNHC 052032 *** SPFAT1 TROPICAL STORM TAMMY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 32.2N 83.8W 38 X X X 38 CEDAR KEY FL 6 X X X 6 COCOA BEACH FL 2 X X X 2 ST MARKS FL 16 X X X 16 DAYTONA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 APALACHICOLA FL 5 X X X 5 JACKSONVILLE FL 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL 6 X X X 6 SAVANNAH GA 36 X X X 36 PENSACOLA FL 3 X X X 3 CHARLESTON SC 5 X X X 5 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KJAX 052036 *** HLSJAX FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ154-166-060400- TROPICAL STORM TAMMY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 435 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 ...TAMMY CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS...AND FLAGLER COUNTIES AND CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA. TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TAMMY SHOULD MOVE INLAND IN EXTREME NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA OR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAMMY REMAINS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AND WHILE THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL MOVE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...YOU SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE CENTER POSITION AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME IN RAINBANDS. RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE THEIR PREPARATIONS FOR PERIODS OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TONIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES HAVE BEEN RUNNING AROUND TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO PERSISTENT STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS. TIDES WILL CONTINUE AT THE SAME LEVELS OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING TIDE ON THURSDAY. MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND ALSO THE TIDAL RIVERS NEAR THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WATER LEVELS ON THE INTRA-COASTAL WATERWAY ARE ALSO LIKELY TO REMAIN HIGH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND ADDITIONAL MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. INTERESTS ALONG THE CANALS SHOULD KEEP VULNERABLE PROPERTY SECURED AND MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD KEEP CLOSE WATCH ON THE SECURITY OF YOUR BOATS. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT WITH ROUGH SEAS OF UP TO 15 FEET. LOCAL INLETS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE LARGE AND DANGEROUS BREAKERS. MARINERS NAVIGATING THE INTRA-COASTAL WATERWAY AT ST ANDREWS SOUND ARE ADVISED THAT LARGE BREAKING WAVES ARE LIKELY NEAR THE CHANNEL. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF BY MIDNIGHT. WHEN COMBINED WITH RECENT RAINFALL...PONDING OF WATER AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS HAVE BEEN RUNNING BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ALONG THE COAST WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE STRONGER BANDS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES AS WELL AS OVER NASSAU SOUND...CUMBERLAND SOUND... ST ANDREWS SOUND AND SAINT SIMONS SOUND OVERNIGHT. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES AS BANDS DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH TAMMY AFFECT THE AREA...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL COUNTIES AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TAMMY FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK ** WTNT81 KNHC 052042 *** TCVAT1 TAMMY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 .TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FLC031-035-089-109-GAC029-039-051-127-179-191-SCC013-015-019-029- 035-053-AMZ330-350-352-354-374-450-452-454-470-472-474-060300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 FLAGLER-BEACH-FL 29.47N 81.12W SOUTH-SANTEE-RIVER-SC 33.12N 79.27W $$ ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX... ** WTCA41 TJSJ 052048 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL TAMMY ADVERTENCIA ESPECIAL NUMERO 3 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT MIERCOLES 5 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...TAMMY ROZANDO LA COSTA DE LA FLORIDA... CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA HACIA EL NORTE HASTA EL SUR DE SANTEE RIVER CAROLINA DEL SUR. FAVOR DE CONSULTAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LAS OFICINAS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA LOCALES REFIRIENDOSE A POSIBLES AVISOS DE GALERNAS FUERA DEL AREA DEL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL TAMMY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 30.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 81.2 OESTE O COMO A 35 MILLAS AL ESTE-SURESTE DE JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA Y COMO A 15 MILLAS AL NOR-NORESTE DE SAN AUGUSTINE FLORIDA. TAMMY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOR-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. SE ESPERA UN GIRO AL NOROESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN SU TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE TAMMY DEBERA MOVERSE TIERRA ADENTRO EN EL EXTREMO NORESTE DE FLORIDA O EL EXTREMO SURESTE DE GEORGIA DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES...BIEN AL NORESTE DEL CENTRO. ES POSIBLE ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO LENTO DESPUES QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA TIERRA ADENTRO. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 260 MILLAS...MAYORMENTE AL NORTE Y ESTE DEL CENTRO. LA MAS RECIENTE PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE UNA UNIDAD DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 1001 MILIBARA...29.56 PULGADAS.ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MB...29.62 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE TAMMY PRODUZCA DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA SOBRE PARTES DEL SURESTE DE GEORGIA...EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR...Y EL SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE....CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE 8 A 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE SOBRE EL NORESTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SURESTE DEL GEORGIA...Y EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 PM EDT...30.1 NORTE... 81.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOR-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 50 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1001 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 8 PM EDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT41 KNHC 052048 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM TAMMY DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2005 THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING TAMMY FOUND PEAK FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 53 KT ABOUT 150 NM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THESE DATA SUPPORT A SURFACE ESTIMATE OF 45 KT. THE CREW MADE VISUAL ESTIMATES OF 50 TO 55 KT IN A FEW SPOTS SO THE ADVISORY ESTIMATE COULD BE A SHADE LOW. SINCE THE CENTER IS ONLY A FEW HOURS FROM LANDFALL...LITTLE ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY. HOWEVER...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS BEING WELL-REMOVED FROM THE CENTER...ONLY A SLOW DECREASE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. THE CENTER MAKE A JAB AT THE COASTLINE LATE THIS MORNING BUT THEN RETURNED TO ITS PREVIOUS TRACK...AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS 330/12. TAMMY REMAINS LOCATED BETWEEN A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO TURN TAMMY TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...AND THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AFTER ABOUT 24 HOURS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 30.1N 81.2W 45 KT 12HR VT 06/0600Z 31.4N 82.5W 35 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 06/1800Z 32.2N 83.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTUS82 KCHS 052154 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-352-354-370-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141- SCZ040-042>045-047>051-060130- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM TAMMY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 554 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM TAMMY SKIRTING THE FLORIDA COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GEORGIA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH. TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH THE SYSTEM LIKELY MAKING LANDFALL THIS EVENING. AFTER LANDFALL...ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS OR BRING THEM INSIDE. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... CURRENT ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING 1.5 TO 3 FEET ABOVE EXPECTED VALUES AND THESE DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. IF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS AROUND THE TIME LATE THIS EVENING OR LATE THURSDAY MORNING...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING COULD OCCUR. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAN ANY STORM SURGE WILL BE MINIMAL. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST. WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY BREAK SMALL LIMBS OR KNOCK DOWN WEAK OR DAMAGED TREES WHICH COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS SO FAR HAVE MAINLY BEEN IN THE 1 TO 4 INCH RANGE ALONG THE COAST IN GEORGIA AND ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS FURTHER INLAND. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... WITH TAMMY EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL SOUTH OF THE AREA...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AS DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... WIND AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION THROUGH THURSDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON BY 930 PM OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TAMMY CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ MTE ** WTUS82 KJAX 052158 AAA *** HLSJAX FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ153-154-165-166-060400- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 558 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 UPDATED TO REMOVE PORTIONS OF NE FL FROM FLOOD WATCH ...TAMMY CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS...AND FLAGLER COUNTIES AND CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA. TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TAMMY SHOULD MOVE INLAND IN EXTREME NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA OR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAMMY REMAINS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AND WHILE THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL MOVE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...YOU SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE CENTER POSITION AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME IN RAINBANDS. RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE THEIR PREPARATIONS FOR PERIODS OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TONIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES HAVE BEEN RUNNING AROUND TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO PERSISTENT STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS. TIDES WILL CONTINUE AT THE SAME LEVELS OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING TIDE ON THURSDAY. MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND ALSO THE TIDAL RIVERS NEAR THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WATER LEVELS ON THE INTRA-COASTAL WATERWAY ARE ALSO LIKELY TO REMAIN HIGH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND ADDITIONAL MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. INTERESTS ALONG THE CANALS SHOULD KEEP VULNERABLE PROPERTY SECURED AND MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD KEEP CLOSE WATCH ON THE SECURITY OF YOUR BOATS. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT WITH ROUGH SEAS OF UP TO 15 FEET. LOCAL INLETS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE LARGE AND DANGEROUS BREAKERS. MARINERS NAVIGATING THE INTRA-COASTAL WATERWAY AT ST ANDREWS SOUND ARE ADVISED THAT LARGE BREAKING WAVES ARE LIKELY NEAR THE CHANNEL. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF BY MIDNIGHT. WHEN COMBINED WITH RECENT RAINFALL...PONDING OF WATER AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS HAVE BEEN RUNNING BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ALONG THE COAST WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE STRONGER BANDS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES AS WELL AS OVER NASSAU SOUND...CUMBERLAND SOUND... ST ANDREWS SOUND AND SAINT SIMONS SOUND OVERNIGHT. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES AS BANDS DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH TAMMY AFFECT THE AREA...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL COUNTIES AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TAMMY FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK/HESS ** WTNT31 KNHC 052336 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TAMMY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2005 ...CENTER OF TAMMY MOVED INLAND...STRONG WINDS STILL OFFSHORE... AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FERNANDINA BEACH NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES CONCERNING POSSIBLE GALE WARNINGS OUTSIDE OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TAMMY MOVED INLAND NEAR MAYPORT FLORIDA WITHIN THE PAST HOUR. AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST...VERY NEAR JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA. TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TAMMY SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE FATHER INLAND OVER EXTREME AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO AN AREA TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND MAINLY OVER WATER. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...30.5 N... 81.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT81 KNHC 052339 *** TCVAT1 TAMMY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 .TROPICAL STORM TAMMY GAC029-039-051-127-179-191-SCC013-015-019-029-035-053-AMZ330- 350-352-354-374-450-470-060300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 FERNANDINA-BEACH-FL 30.66N 81.44W SOUTH-SANTEE-RIVER-SC 33.12N 79.27W $$ FLC031-035-089-109-AMZ452-454-472-474-060300- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 FLAGLER-BEACH-FL 29.47N 81.12W FERNANDINA-BEACH-FL 30.66N 81.44W $$ ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX... ** WTUS82 KJAX 052357 AAB *** HLSJAX FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ153-154-165-166-060400- TROPICAL STORM TAMMY LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 742 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2005 UPDATED TO REMOVE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA ...TAMMY MOVES INLAND NEAR MAYPORT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...ST JOHNS...AND FLAGLER COUNTIES AND CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NASSAU COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA. TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TAMMY SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE FATHER INLAND OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO AN AREA TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND MAINLY OVER WATER. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAMMY REMAINS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AND WHILE THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...YOU SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE CENTER POSITION AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME IN RAINBANDS. RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE THEIR PREPARATIONS FOR PERIODS OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TONIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES HAVE BEEN RUNNING AROUND TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO PERSISTENT STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS. TIDES WILL CONTINUE AT THE SAME LEVELS OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE MORNING TIDE ON THURSDAY. MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND ALSO THE TIDAL RIVERS NEAR THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WATER LEVELS ON THE INTRA-COASTAL WATERWAY ARE ALSO LIKELY TO REMAIN HIGH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND ADDITIONAL MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. INTERESTS ALONG THE CANALS SHOULD KEEP VULNERABLE PROPERTY SECURED AND MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD KEEP CLOSE WATCH ON THE SECURITY OF YOUR BOATS. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT WITH ROUGH SEAS OF UP TO 15 FEET. LOCAL INLETS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE LARGE AND DANGEROUS BREAKERS. MARINERS NAVIGATING THE INTRA-COASTAL WATERWAY AT ST ANDREWS SOUND ARE ADVISED THAT LARGE BREAKING WAVES ARE LIKELY NEAR THE CHANNEL. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER NASSAU COUNTY BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF BY MIDNIGHT. WHEN COMBINED WITH RECENT RAINFALL...PONDING OF WATER AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS HAVE BEEN RUNNING BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH ALONG THE COAST WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE STRONGER BANDS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES AS WELL AS OVER NASSAU SOUND...CUMBERLAND SOUND... ST ANDREWS SOUND AND SAINT SIMONS SOUND OVERNIGHT. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES AS BANDS DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH TAMMY AFFECT THE AREA...MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TAMMY FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK/HESS