** WTPQ20 BABJ 281800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY LONGWANG 0519 (0519) INITIAL TIME 281800 UTC 00HR 22.4N 135.6E 935HPA 50M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 110KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H P+24HR 22.8N 132.8E 930HPA 55M/S P+48HR 23.8N 129.4E 930HPA 55M/S P+72HR 25.2N 126.0E 935HPA 50M/S= ** WTPQ22 RJTD 281800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0519 LONGWANG (0519) ANALYSIS PSTN 281800UTC 22.4N 135.6E GOOD MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 140NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 291800UTC 22.9N 133.7E 80NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 48HF 301800UTC 23.9N 130.0E 150NM 70% MOVE W 09KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 72HF 011800UTC 25.3N 124.6E 220NM 70% MOVE W 13KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTJP23 RJTD 281800 *** WARNING 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0519 LONGWANG (0519) 940 HPA AT 22.4N 135.6E NORTH OF PARECE VERA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 22.9N 133.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 23.9N 130.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 25.3N 124.6E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPZ25 KNHC 282017 *** TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152005 2100Z WED SEP 28 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.6W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.6W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.3W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.6N 107.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.3N 109.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.2N 110.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.1N 111.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.7N 112.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 23.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 26.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 106.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTPZ45 KNHC 282017 *** TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 28 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E REMAINS A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE IN TERMS OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD... AS NOTED IN 28/1302Z QUIKSCAT WIND DATA. EVEN THOUGH THE DEPTH AND AMOUNT OF CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SHARPLY SINCE THIS MORNING... THERE REMAINS A SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE BAND WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY OF 30 KT IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.0/30 KT FROM ALL THREE SATELLITE AGENCIES. UPPER-LEVEL REMAINS FAIR TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS... EXCEPT TO THE NORTHEAST DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 270/06. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS A LITTLE DIFFICULT TO ASCERTAIN AS A COUPLE OF SMALL VORTICES HAVE BEEN NOTED ROTATING CYCLONICALLY AROUND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN QUADRANTS THIS AFTERNOON. THE LAST FEW IMAGES... HOWEVER... SUGGEST THAT THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION CENTER HAS PULLED UNDERNEATH THE WELL-DEFINED MID-LEVEL CENTER... AND THAT WAS THE FEATURE USED TO LOCATE THE CENTER OF TD-15E FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE BROAD EAST-WEST ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED ACROSS TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN INTACT THROUGH ABOUT THE NEXT 48 HOURS... WHICH SHOULD ACT TO KEEP TD-15E MOVING IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION. AFTERWARDS... ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS AND THE GFDL MODEL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO DIG SOUTHWARD FROM THE FAR NORTH PACIFIC AND ERODE THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE RIDGE. AN ELONGATED MID-LEVEL TROUGH OR A CLOSED LOW IS FORECAST TO PERSIST OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST IN 72 TO 120 HOURS... WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TURN THE CYCLONE MORE NORTHWARD AND POSSIBLY RESULT IN LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 96-120 HOURS. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MODELS REMAINS THE TIMING AND DEGREE OF EROSION OF THE RIDGE. THE GFDL MODEL ROCKETS THE CYCLONE NORTHWARD AND HAS IT OVER SOUTHERN UTAH IN 120 HOURS. THIS IS CLEARLY THE OUTLIER MODEL AT THIS TIME SINCE THE REMAINDER OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS MUCH SLOWER AND KEEPS THE CYCLONE OVER OR SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. SINCE THE GLOBAL MODELS INITIALIZED TD-15E QUITE WELL AT 12Z... THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS... ONLY SLOWER DUE TO CONTAMINATION CAUSED BY THE MUCH FASTER GFDL MODEL. THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS GRADUALLY DECREASING AND IS NOW ABOUT 15 KT FROM THE NORTHEAST. BY 48 HOURS... THE SHEAR IS STILL FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 5 KT OR LESS WHILE THE CYCLONE IS OVER 28-29C SSTS. AS A RESULT... INTENSIFICATION TO HURRICANE STRENGTH IS FORECAST... WHICH REMAINS HIGHER THAN THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL... BUT SIMILAR TO THE GFDL MODEL. BY DAYS 4 AND 5... THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER MUCH COOLER WATER AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. HOWEVER... DUE TO THE SHARP SST-GRADIENT THAT EXISTS WITHIN 100 NMI OF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALFIFORNIA... JUST A SLIGHT DEVIATION RIGHT/LEFT OF TRACK COULD RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER/LOWER INTENSITY AT 72 HOURS THROUGH 120 HOURS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2100Z 17.1N 106.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 29/0600Z 17.6N 107.7W 35 KT 24HR VT 29/1800Z 18.3N 109.1W 40 KT 36HR VT 30/0600Z 19.2N 110.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 30/1800Z 20.1N 111.5W 55 KT 72HR VT 01/1800Z 21.7N 112.9W 65 KT 96HR VT 02/1800Z 23.5N 114.0W 55 KT 120HR VT 03/1800Z 26.0N 114.5W 45 KT $$ ** WTPN33 PGTW 282100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 19W (LONGWANG) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z --- NEAR 22.4N 135.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 135.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 22.3N 134.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 22.5N 133.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 22.9N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 23.5N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 25.0N 125.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 26.5N 122.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 28.7N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 282100Z POSITION NEAR 22.4N 135.3E. TYPHOON (TY) 19W (LONGWANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.// ** WTPA24 PHFO 282030 *** TCMCP4 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 57 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP112005 2100Z WED SEP 28 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 146.0W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 146.0W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 145.6W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.2N 147.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.0N 149.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 35NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.4N 151.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.0N 153.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.2N 157.9W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.0N 162.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 146.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z FORECASTER KODAMA/DONALDSON $$ ** WTPA34 PHFO 282030 *** TCPCP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KENNETH ADVISORY NUMBER 57 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1100 AM HST WED SEP 28 2005 AT 11 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 146.0 WEST OR ABOUT 600 MILES EAST OF HILO...HAWAII. KENNETH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...18.4 N...146.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER KODAMA/DONALDSON $$ ** WTPA44 PHFO 282031 *** TCDCP4 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH DISCUSSION NUMBER 57 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1100 AM HST WED SEP 28 2005 EARLY MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT KENNETH NOW HAS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH HIGHER CLOUDS NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND VERY LITTLE ACTIVE CONVECTION. OBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 2.0 TO 2.5. WE BEEN CONSERVATIVE AND KEPT THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 40 KT. THE MAJOR COMPUTER MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A FAIRLY STRONG 1030MB HIGH NEAR 36N 138W IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SOUTHWEST AND WEAKEN. A LOW ALOFT...NOW NEAR 24N 152W...IS FORECAST TO SHIFT WEST TO 24N 160W AT 1200 UTC ON 1 OCTOBER. THIS LOW EXTENDS DOWN TO AT LEAST 700MB. KENNETH WILL BE MOVING UNDER THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE LOW. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP VERTICAL SHEAR OVER KENNETH SO THE STORM WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING. ALTHOUGH KENNETH IS BECOMING A SHALLOW SYSTEM..THE SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT EXTENDS DOWN FAR ENOUGH TO KEEP STEERING KENNETH TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. WE HAVE ADJUSTED THE TRACK TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST ON A TRACK NORTH OF THE MAIN ISLANDS. THIS TRACK IS STILL LEFT OF ALL THE MODEL GUIDANCE EXCEPT THE UKMET AND GFS BUT WE WOULD LIKE TO SEE EVIDENCE OF A CONTINUED NORTHWEST OR WEST NORTHWEST TRACK TODAY BEFORE SHIFTING THE TRACK ANY FARTHER TO THE RIGHT. WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING NEAR KENNETH...THE SYSTEM SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS...DROPPING BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE WIND FIELD WILL BE ASYMMETRIC WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS NORTH OF CENTER. WITH THE CYCLONE TRACKING NORTH OF THE ISLANDS...THE WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. FORECASTER KODAMA/DONALDSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2100Z 18.4N 146.0W 40 KT 12HR VT 29/0600Z 19.2N 147.3W 40 KT 24HR VT 29/1800Z 20.0N 149.3W 35 KT 36HR VT 30/0600Z 20.4N 151.5W 30 KT 48HR VT 30/1800Z 21.0N 153.7W 25 KT 72HR VT 01/1800Z 22.2N 157.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 02/1800Z 24.0N 162.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTPN33 PGTW 282100 RRB *** 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 22.5N 133.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 22.9N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN33 PGTW 282100 RRD *** 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 26.5N 122.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 28.7N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 282100Z POSITION NEAR 22.4N 135.3E. TYPHOON (TY) 19W (LONGWANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.// ** WTPN33 PGTW 282100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 19W (LONGWANG) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z --- NEAR 22.4N 135.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N 135.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 22.3N 134.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 22.5N 133.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 22.9N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 23.5N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 25.0N 125.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 26.5N 122.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 28.7N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 282100Z POSITION NEAR 22.4N 135.3E. TYPHOON (TY) 19W (LONGWANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.// ** WTPN33 PGTW 282100 RRC *** 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 23.5N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 25.0N 125.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PHNC 282200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/282135ZSEP2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z --- NEAR 17.1N 106.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 106.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 17.6N 107.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 18.3N 109.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 19.2N 110.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 20.1N 111.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 21.7N 112.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 23.5N 114.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 26.0N 114.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290400Z, 291000Z, 291600Z AND 292200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPA34 PHFO 282138 CCA *** TCPCP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KENNETH ADVISORY NUMBER 57...CORRECTED NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1100 AM HST WED SEP 28 2005 CORRECTED DESCRIPTION OF MOVEMENT IN SECOND PARAGRAPH AT 11 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 146.0 WEST OR ABOUT 600 MILES EAST OF HILO...HAWAII. KENNETH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...18.4 N...146.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER KODAMA/DONALDSON $$ ** WTPN32 PHNC 282200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/282130ZSEP2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNING NR 057 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z --- NEAR 18.1N 145.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 145.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 19.2N 147.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 20.0N 149.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 20.4N 151.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 21.0N 153.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 22.2N 157.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 24.0N 162.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290400Z, 291000Z, 291600Z AND 292200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ22 RJTD 282100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0519 LONGWANG (0519) ANALYSIS PSTN 282100UTC 22.4N 135.4E GOOD MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 140NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 292100UTC 22.9N 133.4E 80NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 45HF 301800UTC 23.9N 130.0E 150NM 70% MOVE W 09KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 69HF 011800UTC 25.3N 124.6E 220NM 70% MOVE W 13KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTJP33 RJTD 282100 *** WARNING 282100. WARNING VALID 292100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0519 LONGWANG (0519) 940 HPA AT 22.4N 135.4E NORTH OF PARECE VERA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 292100UTC AT 22.9N 133.4E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=