** WTSR20 WSSS 270600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTJP23 RJTD 271200 *** WARNING 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0519 LONGWANG (0519) 955 HPA AT 22.0N 139.2E NORTHEAST OF PARECE VERA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 22.9N 136.5E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 23.4N 134.4E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 24.0N 130.8E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ22 RJTD 271200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0519 LONGWANG (0519) ANALYSIS PSTN 271200UTC 22.0N 139.2E GOOD MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 281200UTC 22.9N 136.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 291200UTC 23.4N 134.4E 150NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 72HF 301200UTC 24.0N 130.8E 220NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 271200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 271200 UTC 00HR 19.5N 103.9E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 400KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 271200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 271200 UTC 00HR 19.5N 103.9E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 400KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 271200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY LONGWANG 0519 (0519) INITIAL TIME 271200 UTC 00HR 22.0N 139.2E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 380KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 23.2N 136.3E 945HPA 45M/S P+48HR 23.8N 133.3E 935HPA 50M/S P+72HR 24.6N 129.9E 935HPA 50M/S= ** WTJP22 RJTD 271200 *** WARNING 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0518 DAMREY (0518) 996 HPA AT 19.3N 103.8E LAOS MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 19.7N 101.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 19.8N 099.6E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 271200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0518 DAMREY (0518) ANALYSIS PSTN 271200UTC 19.3N 103.8E FAIR MOVE W 11KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 120NM EAST 60NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 281200UTC 19.8N 099.6E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 271200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 271200 UTC 00HR 19.5N 103.9E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 400KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 271200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY LONGWANG 0519 (0519) INITIAL TIME 271200 UTC 00HR 22.0N 139.2E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 380KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 23.2N 136.3E 945HPA 45M/S P+48HR 23.8N 133.3E 935HPA 50M/S P+72HR 24.6N 129.9E 935HPA 50M/S= ** WTJP22 RJTD 271200 *** WARNING 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0518 DAMREY (0518) 996 HPA AT 19.3N 103.8E LAOS MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 19.7N 101.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 19.8N 099.6E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 271200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0518 DAMREY (0518) ANALYSIS PSTN 271200UTC 19.3N 103.8E FAIR MOVE W 11KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 120NM EAST 60NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 281200UTC 19.8N 099.6E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPN33 PGTW 271500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 19W (LONGWANG) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z --- NEAR 22.0N 139.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N 139.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 22.7N 137.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 23.2N 136.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 23.7N 134.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 24.2N 132.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 25.3N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 26.3N 126.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.3N 122.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 271500Z POSITION NEAR 22.2N 138.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 19W (LONGWANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 680 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.// ** WTPA44 PHFO 271440 *** TCDCP4 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH DISCUSSION NUMBER 52 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 500 AM HST TUE SEP 27 2005 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH HAS BEGUN ITS MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST...WITH AN INITIAL MOVEMENT OF 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT THIS FORECAST CYCLE. THE 12...24 AND 36 HOUR POSITIONS WERE SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SHARP NORTHWARD TURN...BUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST TRACK LIES ALONG OR JUST LEFT OF ENSEMBLE TRACK GUIDANCE. THIS GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY PACKED...WITH UK AND BAMD REPRESENTING THE LEFT AND RIGHT OUTLIERS...RESPECTIVELY. WHILE DEEP CONVECTION RESURGED TO THE NORTH OF THE LLCC WITHIN THE PAST SIX HOURS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS DECREASED TO 50 KT TO BETTER CONFORM WITH CURRENT INTENSITY DVORAK NUMBERS OF 3.0 FROM CPHC AND GWC. AS KENNETH MOVES ALONG ITS TRACK...IT WILL MOVE OVER COOLER WATER AND ENCOUNTER INCREASING SOUTHWEST SHEAR. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE WEAKENING TREND THROUGH 120 HOURS. KENNETH WILL LIKELY PASS NORTH OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS A LOW CLOUD SWIRL DEGRADING INTO AN OPEN WAVE. IF DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN KENNETH WERE TO COLLAPSE COMPLETELY IN THE NEAR TERM...FUTURE FORECAST CYCLES COULD SWING THIS SYSTEM WESTWARD SOONER. A RAPID KENNETH COLLAPSE...SAY WITHIN 24 HOURS...COULD ACTUALLY RESULT IN A FUTURE FORECAST TRACK TO THE SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK REMAINS JUST LEFT OF ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE BEYOND 48 HOURS TO REFLECT SHALLOWING STEERING AS CONVECTION GRADUALLY COLLAPSES. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 14.9N 142.0W 50 KT 12HR VT 28/0000Z 15.9N 142.8W 45 KT 24HR VT 28/1200Z 17.2N 144.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 29/0000Z 18.4N 146.2W 35 KT 48HR VT 29/1200Z 19.4N 148.0W 30 KT 72HR VT 30/1200Z 21.1N 151.7W 25 KT 96HR VT 01/1200Z 22.4N 155.9W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 02/1200Z 23.4N 160.8W 20 KT...DISSIPATING $$ ** WTPA24 PHFO 271440 *** TCMCP4 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP112005 1500Z TUE SEP 27 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 142.0W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 142.0W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 141.7W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.9N 142.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 55NE 40SE 40SW 55NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N 144.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 55NE 40SE 40SW 55NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 146.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.4N 148.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.1N 151.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 22.4N 155.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 23.4N 160.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 142.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z FORECASTER POWELL $$ ** WTPA34 PHFO 271442 *** TCPCP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KENNETH ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 500 AM HST TUE SEP 27 2005 AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.0 WEST OR ABOUT 925 MILES...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. KENNETH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...14.9 N...142.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER POWELL $$ ** WTPN33 PGTW 271500 RRB *** 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 23.2N 136.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 23.7N 134.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN33 PGTW 271500 RRC *** 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 24.2N 132.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 25.3N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN33 PGTW 271500 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 19W (LONGWANG) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z --- NEAR 22.0N 139.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N 139.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 22.7N 137.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN33 PGTW 271500 RRD *** 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 26.3N 126.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.3N 122.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 271500Z POSITION NEAR 22.2N 138.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 19W (LONGWANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 680 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.// ** WTPN33 PGTW 271500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 19W (LONGWANG) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z --- NEAR 22.0N 139.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N 139.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 22.7N 137.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 23.2N 136.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 23.7N 134.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 24.2N 132.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 25.3N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 26.3N 126.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.3N 122.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 271500Z POSITION NEAR 22.2N 138.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 19W (LONGWANG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 680 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 271600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNING NR 052 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z --- NEAR 14.7N 141.7W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 141.7W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 15.9N 142.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 17.2N 144.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 18.4N 146.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 19.4N 148.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 21.1N 151.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 22.4N 155.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 23.4N 160.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271600Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 142.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272200Z, 280400Z, 281000Z AND 281600Z.// ** WTPN32 PHNC 271600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNING NR 052 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z --- NEAR 14.7N 141.7W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 141.7W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 15.9N 142.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 17.2N 144.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 18.4N 146.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 19.4N 148.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 21.1N 151.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 22.4N 155.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 23.4N 160.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271600Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 142.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272200Z, 280400Z, 281000Z AND 281600Z.// ** WTJP33 RJTD 271500 *** WARNING 271500. WARNING VALID 281500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0519 LONGWANG (0519) 955 HPA AT 22.2N 138.7E NORTHEAST OF PARECE VERA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 23.0N 136.1E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ22 RJTD 271500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0519 LONGWANG (0519) ANALYSIS PSTN 271500UTC 22.2N 138.7E FAIR MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 281500UTC 23.0N 136.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT 45HF 291200UTC 23.4N 134.4E 150NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 69HF 301200UTC 24.0N 130.8E 220NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 271500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 271500 UTC 00HR 19.7N 103.5E 998HPA 18M/S 30KTS 300KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 271500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0518 DAMREY (0518) ANALYSIS PSTN 271500UTC 19.2N 103.0E FAIR MOVE W 15KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 80NM EAST 60NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 281500UTC 19.8N 099.1E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTNT80 EGRR 271709 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 27.09.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.1N 116.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.09.2005 22.1N 116.6W WEAK 00UTC 28.09.2005 22.6N 118.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.09.2005 21.7N 118.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.09.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM KENNETH ANALYSED POSITION : 14.6N 141.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.09.2005 14.6N 141.6W MODERATE 00UTC 28.09.2005 15.5N 142.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2005 16.4N 144.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2005 16.5N 145.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.09.2005 16.8N 147.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 30.09.2005 17.0N 150.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.09.2005 16.2N 156.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2005 15.5N 156.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.10.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+24 : 15.9N 105.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.09.2005 15.9N 105.4W WEAK 00UTC 29.09.2005 16.2N 106.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.09.2005 16.9N 107.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.09.2005 17.9N 108.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.09.2005 19.5N 109.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 01.10.2005 20.6N 110.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.10.2005 21.4N 111.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.10.2005 22.3N 111.8W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.10.2005 22.8N 112.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.10.2005 24.0N 112.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 03.10.2005 25.5N 112.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 271709