** WTUS84 KFWD 241810 *** HLSFWD TXZ122-135-146>148-161-162-175-242100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 107 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...RITA LOCATED BETWEEN SHREVEPORT AND LUFKIN TEXAS AT 100 PM CDT...RITA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDERSON AND LEON COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANDERSON AND LEON COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ANDERSON...FREESTONE...HENDERSON...HOPKINS...LEON...LIMESTONE... NAVARRO...RAINS...ROBERTSON...AND VAN ZANDT COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 100 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...MOVING NORTH AT 12 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. RITA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS LOCATED IN AND NEAR THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE PERSONAL SAFETY PREPARATIONS IF NOT COMPLETED AT THIS TIME. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN CHAIRS SHOULD BE SECURED. POWER OUTAGES MAY BE POSSIBLE...SO HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...BATTERIES...A FULL TANK OF GAS...CASH...BOTTLED WATER AND NON-PERISHABLE FOODS ON HAND JUST IN CASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 AND 45 MPH AND ISOLATED GUSTS UPWARDS TO 55 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WARNING AREA AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO THE EVENING. THE WIND GUSTS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...ALONG WITH POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO LIGHT-WEIGHT STRUCTURES SUCH AS MOBILE HOMES...SHEDS...OPEN CAR PORTS...AND OUT-BUILDINGS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA THROUGH SUNDAY MIDDAY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO EAST TEXAS...EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF RITA TRACKS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 400 PM CDT ...OR POSSIBLY SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVISES RESIDENTS IN THE AFFECTED AREA TO CONTINUE MONITORING NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND THE MEDIA FOR UPDATES ON HURRICANE RITA. $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241800 UTC 00HR 19.1N 113.4E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 15KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241800 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241800 UTC 00HR 19.1N 113.4E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 19.4N 108.8E 980HPA 30M/S P+48HR 19.8N 105.0E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 21.2N 101.0E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY SAOLA 0517 (0517) INITIAL TIME 241800 UTC 00HR 32.2N 139.1E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NE 20KM/H P+24HR 35.5N 143.2E 965HPA 35M/S P+48HR 38.7N 150.4E 980HPA 28M/S P+72HR 41.8N 160.8E 985HPA 20M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 241800 *** WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0517 SAOLA (0517) 955 HPA AT 32.2N 139.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 34.3N 142.2E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 35.9N 145.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 39.1N 152.9E WITH 160 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 41.2N 164.3E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 241800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0517 SAOLA (0517) ANALYSIS PSTN 241800UTC 32.2N 139.2E GOOD MOVE NE 09KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 220NM SOUTHEAST 170NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 251800UTC 35.9N 145.3E 100NM 70% MOVE NE 14KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 48HF 261800UTC 39.1N 152.9E 160NM 70% MOVE ENE 16KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 72HF 271800UTC 41.2N 164.3E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTJP22 RJTD 241800 *** WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0518 DAMREY (0518) 970 HPA AT 18.9N 113.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 19.0N 110.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 19.5N 107.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 20.4N 101.9E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 241800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0518 DAMREY (0518) ANALYSIS PSTN 241800UTC 18.9N 113.4E FAIR MOVE SW 06KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 260NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 251800UTC 19.0N 110.7E 80NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 261800UTC 19.5N 107.0E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 271800UTC 20.4N 101.9E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTUS84 KFWD 241905 AAA *** HLSFWD TXZ122-135-146>148-161-162-175-242100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED TO EXPEND INLAND TROPICAL WINDS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 107 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...RITA LOCATED BETWEEN SHREVEPORT AND LUFKIN TEXAS AT 100 PM CDT...RITA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDERSON AND LEON COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS EAST OF A PARIS TO TERRELL TO CORSICANA TO PALESTINE LINE =UNTIL 900 PM TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ANDERSON...FREESTONE...HENDERSON...HOPKINS...LEON...LIMESTONE... NAVARRO...RAINS...ROBERTSON...AND VAN ZANDT COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 100 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...MOVING NORTH AT 12 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. RITA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS LOCATED IN AND NEAR THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE PERSONAL SAFETY PREPARATIONS IF NOT COMPLETED AT THIS TIME. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN CHAIRS SHOULD BE SECURED. POWER OUTAGES MAY BE POSSIBLE...SO HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...BATTERIES...A FULL TANK OF GAS...CASH...BOTTLED WATER AND NON-PERISHABLE FOODS ON HAND JUST IN CASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 AND 45 MPH AND ISOLATED GUSTS UPWARDS TO 55 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. THE WIND GUSTS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...ALONG WITH POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO LIGHT-WEIGHT STRUCTURES SUCH AS MOBILE HOMES...SHEDS...OPEN CAR PORTS...AND OUT-BUILDINGS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA THROUGH SUNDAY MIDDAY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO EAST TEXAS...EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF RITA TRACKS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 400 PM CDT ...OR POSSIBLY SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVISES RESIDENTS IN THE AFFECTED AREA TO CONTINUE MONITORING NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND THE MEDIA FOR UPDATES ON HURRICANE RITA. $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 241923 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-056-058>070-242230- TROPICAL STORM RITA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 220 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...STORM TIDE FLOODING CONTINUES TO SPREAD INLAND ON THE WEST BANK OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... ...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST WEST TO THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER...INCLUDING PARISHES AROUND LAKES PONTCHARTAIN AND MAUREPAS... ...A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH TODAY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THE FOLLOWING PARISHES ASSUMPTION...LAFOURCHE...TERREBONNE...JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...ST TAMMANY...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST CHARLES...ST BERNARD...ST JAMES...PLAQUEMINES...TANGIPAHOA...LIVINGSTON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST TO THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER INCLUDING PARISHES BORDERING LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. A WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TODAY FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...OR BETWEEN SHREVEPORT AND LUFKIN TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AT 12 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY AS RITA MOVES INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STORM SURGE FLOODING REMAINS A PRIMARY THREAT THROUGH TONIGHT. PERSONS LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR DAMAGED LEVEES...LOW LYING AREAS NEAR BAYOUS AND COASTAL AREAS PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS FURTHER INLAND NOW. MANY PARISHES IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA HAVE EVACUATIONS ORDERS FOR LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS. ALSO PERSONS LIVING IN UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES...TRAILERS...TENTS OR HOMES STRUCTURALLY WEAKENED BY RECENT HURRICANES...SHOULD MOVE TO MORE SECURE STRUCTURES DUE TO GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... EXTENSIVE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF LOW LYING COMMUNITIES HAS SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO UPPER TERREBONNE UPPER...UPPER LAFOURCHE AND UPPER JEFFERSON PARISH AND THE WEST BANK OF ST CHARLES PARISH. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS REPORT LOCAL LEVEES ARE IN DANGER OF BEING OVER TOPPED. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS LIKELY ON THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. OVER-TOPPING CONTINUES ALONG THE INDUSTRIAL CANAL LEVEE IN THE NEW ORLEANS AREA WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING IN NEARBY AREAS. TIDES ARE 4 TO 6 ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF COASTAL LOUISIANA AND LOCALLY UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN TERREBONNE PARISH. TIDE LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY AND TONIGHT AS BRISK ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. TIDES ARE RUNNING 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN DUE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH WINDS... RESULTING IN STORM SURGE FLOODING IN ST TAMMANY PARISH. TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THROUGH TONIGHT AS WINDS MAINTAIN AN ONSHORE SOUTHEAST DIRECTION. STORM TIDES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. IN ADDITION...LARGE WAVES WILL ALSO AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREA AND INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT. SINCE HURRICANE KATRINA...THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA ARE EXTREMELY VULNERABLE TO COASTAL TIDAL FLOODING. IN ADDITION MANY HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IN THE NEW ORLEANS AREA HAVE BEEN DEGRADED FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE KATRINA. FLOODING OF LOW LYING ROADWAYS AND AREAS NEAR DAMAGED LEVEES AND BAYOUS WILL LIKELY OCCUR AS THE TIDES INCREASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... RITA IS A WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. SOUTH WINDS OF 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH ARE OCCURRING ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL... OCCASIONAL SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES COULD FALL THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCAL RAINFALL UP TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY WEST OF NEW ORLEANS. DEBRIS FROM HURRICANE KATRINA DAMAGE REMAINS IN DRAINAGE CANALS AND MAY HINDER RAINFALL RUNOFF. PUMPING STATION CAPACITY STILL REMAINS DEGRADED DUE TO HURRICANE KATRINA. SOME FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIMITED PUMPING CAPACITY HAS OCCURRED IN THE METRO NEW ORLEANS AREA. ...TORNADO THREAT... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL OCCUR AT 5 PM CDT. $$ ** WTPA43 PHFO 241932 *** TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA DISCUSSION NUMBER 52 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT SEP 24 2005 THE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA IS SHOWING VERY LITTLE WEST WIND COMPONENT WITHIN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT AND IS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE LATEST INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM THE SATELLITE AGENCIES VARIED FROM T NUMBERS OF 1.0 OR LESS TO THE SYSTEM BEING TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY. BASED ON THESE DVORAK SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATES AND CLOUD MOTION VECTORS...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY HAS BEEN HELD AT 25 KT. THE MOTION OF THE DEPRESSION IS WEST...OR TOWARD 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT. THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO DICTATE THE MOTION OF JOVA. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL TRACK HAS BEEN HELD GENERALLY WEST BUT IN ACCORD WITH THE BAM SHALLOW FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA HAS WEAKENED TO 1014 MB AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE TO AN INVERTED TROUGH WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED...OR NEGATED...THE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. IT IS ALSO PROVIDING A SOURCE OF LOWER AND MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC TROPICAL MOISTURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ISLANDS. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY CAUSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST OF KAUAI MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS...OVER SOME OF THE ISLANDS. OTHER THAN THIS LOCALIZED THREAT OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND THE REDUCED TRADE WINDS...JOVA AND HER REMNANTS WILL HAVE LITTLE EFFECT ON THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. FORECASTER FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 23.2N 154.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 23.4N 155.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 25/1800Z 23.7N 157.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATED 36HR VT 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241900 UTC 00HR 19.0N 113.3E 965HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR W 15KM/H= ** WTPN32 PGTW 242100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241951ZSEP2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 18W (SAOLA) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z --- NEAR 32.2N 139.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N 139.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 34.0N 141.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 36.4N 145.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 38.7N 150.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 40.6N 157.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 242100Z POSITION NEAR 32.6N 139.9E. TYPHOON 18W (SAOLA) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF TOKYO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z, 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (DAMREY) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTSS20 VHHH 241945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 241800 UTC, TYPHOON DAMREY (0518) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 40 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271800 UTC ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (102.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 241945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 241800 UTC, TYPHOON DAMREY (0518) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 40 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271800 UTC ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (102.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTPZ24 KNHC 242007 *** TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005 2100Z SAT SEP 24 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 110.9W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 110.9W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.1N 111.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.9N 111.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.8N 112.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.6N 114.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.5N 115.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N 118.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 110.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTPZ21 KNHC 242009 *** TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005 2100Z SAT SEP 24 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 139.1W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 139.1W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 138.9W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.3N 139.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 139.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.8N 140.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.9N 141.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.4N 142.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.5N 147.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 139.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTPA23 PHFO 242030 *** TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102005 2100Z SAT SEP 24 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 154.2W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 154.2W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 153.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.4N 155.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.7N 157.5W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 154.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z FORECASTER FARRELL $$ ** WTPN31 PGTW 242100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241952ZSEP2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 17W (DAMREY) WARNING NR 018 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 17W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z --- NEAR 19.1N 113.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 113.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 18.7N 111.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 18.6N 110.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 18.7N 108.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 19.1N 106.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 19.9N 103.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 112.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 17W (DAMREY) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z, 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 18W (SAOLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPA43 PHFO 242034 *** TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA DISCUSSION NUMBER 52 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT SEP 24 2005 THE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA IS SHOWING VERY LITTLE WEST WIND COMPONENT WITHIN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT AND IS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE LATEST INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM THE SATELLITE AGENCIES VARIED FROM T NUMBERS OF 1.0 OR LESS TO THE SYSTEM BEING TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY. BASED ON THESE DVORAK SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATES AND CLOUD MOTION VECTORS...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY HAS BEEN HELD AT 25 KT. THE MOTION OF THE DEPRESSION IS WEST...OR TOWARD 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT. THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO DICTATE THE MOTION OF JOVA. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL TRACK HAS BEEN HELD GENERALLY WEST BUT IN ACCORD WITH THE BAM SHALLOW FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA HAS WEAKENED TO 1014 MB AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE TO AN INVERTED TROUGH WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED...OR NEGATED...THE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. IT IS ALSO PROVIDING A SOURCE OF LOWER AND MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC TROPICAL MOISTURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ISLANDS. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY CAUSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST OF KAUAI MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS...OVER SOME OF THE ISLANDS. OTHER THAN THIS LOCALIZED THREAT OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND THE REDUCED TRADE WINDS...JOVA AND HER REMNANTS WILL HAVE LITTLE EFFECT ON THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. FORECASTER FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 23.2N 154.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 23.4N 155.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 25/1800Z 23.7N 157.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATED 36HR VT 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTPZ41 KNHC 242034 *** TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH DISCUSSION NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 24 2005 TRMM AND AQUA MICROWAVE OVERPASSES AT 24/0922Z AND 24/1034Z... RESPECTIVELY... INDICATED 50 AND 75 PERCENT EYEWALLS IN THE MID-LEVELS. ALSO... 1730Z-1830Z GOES-10 VISIBLE IMAGES BRIEFLY CONTAINED A RAGGED EYE FEATURE. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE T3.0/45 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. HOWEVER... BASED ON THE EYE FEATURE IN MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE IMAGERY... AND A 24/1507Z NESDIS CIRA AMSU INTENSITY OF 992 MB AND 57 KT... THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 60 KT. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS ALSO IMPROVED AND BECOME MORE SYMMETRICAL DUE TO A DECREASE IN THE VERTICAL SHEAR. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 270/3. THE AFOREMENTIONED MICROWAVE PASSES ALSO REVEALED THAT THE PREVIOUSLY PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAD REDEVELOPED UNDERNEATH THE VIGOROUS MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. AS A RESULT...THE 06Z AND 12Z BEST TRACK POSITIONS WERE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY WESTWARD... AND THE 18Z POSITION WAS PLACED IN THE CENTER OF THE RAGGED EYE FEATURE NOTED IN VISIBLE IMAGERY. OTHER THAN THE SLIGHT RELOCATION OF THE CENTER POSITION... THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH DIGS SOUTHWARD TO THE NORTH OF KENNETH. THE WEAK NORTHERLY FLOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP BEHIND THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED TROUGH SHOULD ACT TO NUDGE KENNETH SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD. BY 72 HOURS ... THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PINCH OFF AND DEVELOP A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE LOW SHOULD ACT STEER KENNETH NORTHWARD AND EVENTUALLY WESTWARD. THIS SCENARIO IS CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPING SYNOPTIC-SCALE FLOW PATTERN NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY... AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS BETWEEN THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS. THE VERTICAL SHEAR HAS WEAKENED SOONER THAN THE GLOBAL MODELS WERE FORECASTING. AS SUCH... SOME MODEST INTENSIFICATION IS NOW FORECAST SINCE THE SHIPS MODEL INDICATES THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN 0-5 KT THROUGH 48 HOURS. USUALLY SUCH LOW SHEAR CONDITIONS WOULD FAVOR MORE SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION THAN INDICATED BY THE CURRENT FORECAST... BUT THE INTENSITY WAS HELD DOWN A LITTLE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF VERY DRY MID-LEVEL HMIDITIES OF 25-30 PERCENT AND SSTS OF 26.5-27C. THE INTENSITY FORECAST FOLLOWS THE TREND OF THE SHIPS MODEL... ONLY SLIGHTLY HIGHER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 16.2N 139.1W 60 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 16.3N 139.4W 65 KT 24HR VT 25/1800Z 16.0N 139.8W 70 KT 36HR VT 26/0600Z 15.8N 140.2W 70 KT 48HR VT 26/1800Z 15.9N 141.0W 65 KT 72HR VT 27/1800Z 17.4N 142.6W 60 KT 96HR VT 28/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W 55 KT 120HR VT 29/1800Z 19.5N 147.0W 45 KT $$ ** WTPA33 PHFO 242035 *** TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT SEP 24 2005 AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.2 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII AND ABOUT 270 MILES... EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU, OAHU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB...29.94 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...23.2 N...154.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER FARRELL $$ ** WTPA23 PHFO 242036 CCA *** TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52 CORRECTED NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102005 2100Z SAT SEP 24 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 154.2W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 154.2W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 153.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.4N 155.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.7N 157.5W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 154.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z FORECASTER FARRELL $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 242000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 242000 UTC 00HR 19.0N 113.2E 965HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR W 10KM/H= ** WTNT33 KNHC 242039 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...RITA EXPECTED TO BECOME A RAIN MAKER IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. THE COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. HOWEVER... TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS IN AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA COULD BE 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES... AND RESIDENTS THERE ARE EXPERIENCING COASTAL FLOODING. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RITA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST. RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS NORTHWARD INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK OF RITA... OVER LOUISIANA... MISSISSIPPI... AND ARKANSAS. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...32.1 N... 94.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 242044 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005 2100Z SAT SEP 24 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 94.0W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 140SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 175SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 94.0W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 94.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.5N 93.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.0N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.0N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 35.0N 90.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N 94.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT43 KNHC 242044 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005 RITA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND. INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR BUT WIND GUSTS ARE PROBABLY HIGHER. FURTHER WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND RITA IS EXPECTED TO BE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME VERY LIGHT SO ONLY A SMALL EASTWARD DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED BEYOND 24 HOURS. RITA SHOULD PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAIN ALONG ITS PATH. BECAUSE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND ABOUT 150 N MI SOUTH OF THE CENTER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 32.1N 94.0W 45 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 33.5N 93.8W 30 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 25/1800Z 35.0N 93.0W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 26/0600Z 35.0N 91.5W 25 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 26/1800Z 35.0N 90.0W 20 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 27/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 28/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 29/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING $$ ** WTNT73 KNHC 242045 *** SPFAT3 TROPICAL STORM RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 35.0N 93.0W 47 X X X 47 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 5 7 35.0N 91.5W 30 X 1 X 31 PENSACOLA FL X 1 3 5 9 35.0N 90.0W 11 5 2 2 20 MOBILE AL X 1 4 4 9 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULFPORT MS X 1 4 4 9 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 BURAS LA X X 2 4 6 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3 NEW ORLEANS LA X 1 3 3 7 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 NEW IBERIA LA X 1 2 3 6 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX 1 1 1 1 4 VENICE FL X X X 2 2 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 4 5 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 4 5 ST MARKS FL X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 2 3 APALACHICOLA FL X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON C FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON D FROM 1PM MON TO 1PM TUE E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT83 KNHC 242050 *** TCVAT3 RITA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 400 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 .TROPICAL STORM RITA LAC023-045-101-113-TXC245-361-GMZ450-455-470-475-250300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 HIGH-ISLAND-TX 29.54N 94.39W MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W $$ ATTN...WFO...LCH... ** WTPZ44 KNHC 242052 *** TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 24 2005 MICROWAVE SATELLITE DATA DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS INDICATE NORMA HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD WHILE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH IMPROVED BANDING FEATURES NOTED. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS NOW LOCATED CLOSER TO THE MIDDLE OF THE COLD CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS... AND DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE INCREASED ACCORDINGLY TO T3.5/55 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. THEREFORE... THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 55 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 335/04. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF NORMA REMAINS WEAK... AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THAT WAY FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS SHOULD KEEP NORMA MOVING IN A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION... THEN TURNING MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BY 48 HOURS. AFTERWARDS... AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH/LOW IS FORECAST TO DIG SOUTHWARD OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WITH ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM RIDGING CAUSING HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AND MEXICO. BY DAYS 4 AND 5... RIDGING TO THE NORTHWEST OF NORMA IS FORECAST TO BUILD SOUTHWESTWARD... WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TURN THE CYCLONE SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. THE CURRENT MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD... REACHING A MINIMUM OF ABOUT 8 KT BY 120 HOURS. WHILE THE INTENSITY FORECAST ONLY CALLS FOR SLIGHT STRENGTHENING... IT IS POSSIBLE THAT NORMA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS BEFORE COOLER IS REACHED. BY 72 HOURS... NORMA IS FORECAST TO BE OVER 25C SSTS AND SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN. THE SHIPS MODEL IS NO LONGER DISSIPATING NORMA AFTER 72 HOURS AS IN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 16.6N 110.9W 55 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 17.1N 111.3W 55 KT 24HR VT 25/1800Z 17.9N 111.9W 60 KT 36HR VT 26/0600Z 18.8N 112.9W 60 KT 48HR VT 26/1800Z 19.6N 114.0W 60 KT 72HR VT 27/1800Z 20.5N 115.8W 55 KT 96HR VT 28/1800Z 20.5N 118.0W 45 KT 120HR VT 29/1800Z 19.5N 120.5W 40 KT $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 242057 CCA *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL RITA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 29 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SABADO 24 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2005 ... SE ESPERA QUE RITA SE CONVIERTA EN UN PRODUCTOR DE LLUVIA EN EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE HIGH ISLAND TEXAS HASTA MORGAN CITY LUISIANA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...CONSULTE LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 4 PM CDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL RITA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 32.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 94.0 OESTE...O COMO A 25 MILLAS AL SUR SUROESTE DE SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA. RITA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. UN GIRO GRADUAL AL NORESTE Y ESTE CON UNA DISMINUCION EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACCION SE ESPERA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. RITA SE ESPERA QUE SE FORME EN DEPRESION TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 12 HORAS O MAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 160 MILLAS. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 980 MILIBARAS...28.94 PULGADAS. LAS INUNDACIONES COSTERAS DEBEN CONTINUAR BAJANDO LENTAMENTE EN EL DIA DE HOY. SIN EMBARGO... EL OLEAJE A LO LARGO DE LAS COSTAS DEL SURESTE DE LUISIANA Y MISSISSIPPI EN LAS AREAS AFECTADAS POR KATRINA PODRIAN SER DE 4 A 6 PIES SOBRE LO NORMAL Y PUDIERAN ESTAR ACOMPANADAS POR OLAS GRANDES. LOS RESIDENTES EN ESA AREA ESTAN EXPERIMENTANDO INUNDACIONES COSTERAS. MAREJADAS GRANDES GENERADAS POR RITA PODRIAN CONTINUAR AFECTANDO LAS PORCIONES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. SE ESPERA QUE RITA PRODUZCA CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA ADICIONAL ENTRE 3 A 6 PULGADAS A LO LARGO DEL PASO DE LA TORMENTA DESDE EL NORESTE DE TEXAS HACIA EL NORTE DENTRO DE PORCIONES DEL OESTE DE LOS VALLES DE MISSISSIPPI. TOTALES MAXIMOS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES. TORNADOS AISLADOS SON POSIBLES HOY Y ESTA NOCHE...SOBRE EL ESTE DE TEXAS...LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE ARKANSAS Y MISSISSIPPI. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 PM CDT...32.1 NORTE...94.0 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO...HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MILLAS POR HORA. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...980 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 PM CDT SEGUIDO POR LA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ TRADUCCION: CASTRO ** WTPN32 PHNC 242200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/242130ZSEP2005// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/242140ZSEP2005// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNING NR 041 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z --- NEAR 16.2N 138.9W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 138.9W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 16.3N 139.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 16.0N 139.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 15.8N 140.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 15.9N 141.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 17.4N 142.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 19.0N 144.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 19.5N 147.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250400Z, 251000Z, 251600Z AND 252200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JOVA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) AND TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORMA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTUS84 KLCH 242111 *** HLSLCH LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-250100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 410 PM CST SAT SEP 24 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON...ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER... JASPER...AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...ST LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST MARTIN...CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...ST MARY...AND LOWER ST MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON... ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND FOR BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...VERMILION... IBERIA...SAINT MARY...LOWER SAINT MARTIN...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ALLEN...VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...LAFAYETTE...AND UPPER SAINT MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. A FEW GUSTS ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN TEXAS THROUGH LATE MORNING. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT FOR EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN IN A STRONG BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AWAY FROM WINDOWS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES...STORM TIDES WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. CAMERON PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT 5 FEET OF WATER AND DEBRIS OVER HIGHWAY 27 NEAR THE GIBBSTOWN BRIDGE. STORM TIDES WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. CALCASIEU PARISH...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG THE LAKE CHARLES LAKEFRONT. LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT 4 TO 6 FEET OF WATER AT THE LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER. 6 FOOT STORM SURGE IS REPORTED ON CONTRABAND BAYOU WITH WATER INTO THE SECOND FLOOR OF INN ON THE BAYOU. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER TONIGHT...HOWEVER REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL. VERMILION PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER FROM DELCAMBRE TO PERRY...AS WELL AS SOUTH OF KAPLAN. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER TONIGHT. IBERIA PARISH...MEDIA REPORTS SUGGEST WATER OF AT LEAST 4 TO 5 FEET DEEP OVER THE PARISH SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90. RELIABLE MEDIA REPORTS ARE ESTIMATING A STORM SURGE OF BETTER THAN 10 FEET IN IBERIA PARISH AND ROOF TOP RESCUES ARE OCCURRING AT SOME LOCATIONS. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER TONIGHT. ST. MARY PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER NEAR BURNS POINT AND CYPREMORT POINT IS FLOODED. FLOODING IS ALSO REPORTED IN THE MORGAN CITY AREA. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER TONIGHT. NEXT HIGH TIDES AT: SABINE PASS: SUNDAY HIGH/2:05 AM CALCASIEU PASS: SUNDAY HIGH/11:45 PM SOUTHWEST PASS: SUNDAY HIGH/2:33 AM BASED ON THE PROJECTED STORM SURGE VALUES...MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF THE SABINE...NECHES...CALCASIEU AND MERMENTAU RIVERS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS CONTINUE TO GUST ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT SUSTAINED 25 TO 35 MPH WINDS TONIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR RAINBANDS THAT CONTINUE TO STREAM INLAND. EXPECT WIND SPEEDS TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... BANDS OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND FROM THE GULF THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CAMERON TO LAKE CHARLES TO FORT POLK SOUTH. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IN THE BANDS OF TRAINING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID EVENING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS STILL A THREAT OF TORNADOES ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION AS RAINBANDS MOVE INLAND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM RITA WILL BE ISSUED BY 8 PM CDT. $$ ** WTPN33 PHNC 242200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/242130ZSEP2005// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/242135ZSEP2005// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORMA) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z --- NEAR 16.4N 110.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 110.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 17.1N 111.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 17.9N 111.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 18.8N 112.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 19.6N 114.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 20.5N 115.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 20.5N 118.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 19.5N 120.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250400Z, 251000Z, 251600Z AND 252200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JOVA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) AND TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN33 PHNC 242200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/242130ZSEP2005// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/242135ZSEP2005// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORMA) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z --- NEAR 16.4N 110.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 110.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 17.1N 111.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 17.9N 111.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 18.8N 112.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 19.6N 114.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 20.5N 115.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 20.5N 118.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 19.5N 120.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250400Z, 251000Z, 251600Z AND 252200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JOVA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) AND TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 242100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 242100 UTC 00HR 18.9N 113.2E 965HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR W 10KM/H P+24HR 18.9N 113.2E 980HPA 30M/S= ** WTPN31 PHNC 250400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/242135ZSEP2005// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/242140ZSEP2005// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JOVA) WARNING NR 052 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z --- NEAR 23.1N 153.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N 153.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 23.4N 155.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 23.7N 157.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z, 251600Z AND 252200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) AND TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORMA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTUS84 KLIX 242145 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-056-058>070-250000- TROPICAL STORM RITA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 445 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...STORM TIDE FLOODING CONTINUES TO SPREAD INLAND ON THE WEST BANK OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... ...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COASTAL...INCLUDING PARISHES AROUND LAKES PONTCHARTAIN AND MAUREPAS AND FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST... ...A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THE FOLLOWING PARISHES ASSUMPTION...LAFOURCHE...TERREBONNE...JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...ST TAMMANY...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST CHARLES...ST BERNARD...ST JAMES...PLAQUEMINES...TANGIPAHOA...LIVINGSTON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST INCLUDING PARISHES BORDERING LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS AND FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TODAY FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST...OR 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SHREVEPORT. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AT 12 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IN INTENSITY AND RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STORM SURGE FLOODING REMAINS A PRIMARY THREAT THROUGH TONIGHT. PEOPLE LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR DAMAGED LEVEES...LOW LYING AREAS NEAR BAYOUS AND COASTAL AREAS PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS FURTHER INLAND NOW. MANY PARISHES IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA HAVE EVACUATION ORDERS OR ARE CONDUCTING SEARCH AND RESCUE OPERATIONS FOR PEOPLE IN LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... EXTENSIVE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF LOW LYING COMMUNITIES HAS SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO UPPER TERREBONNE UPPER...UPPER LAFOURCHE AND UPPER JEFFERSON PARISH AND THE WEST BANK OF ST CHARLES PARISH NEAR BAYOU GAUCHE. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS REPORT LOCAL LEVEES ARE IN DANGER OF BEING OVER TOPPED. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS IN PROGRESS ON THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN FROM SLIDELL TO MANDEVILLE. TIDES ARE 4 TO 6 ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF COASTAL LOUISIANA AND LOCALLY UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN TERREBONNE PARISH. TIDE LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH TONIGHT AS BRISK ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. TIDES ARE RUNNING 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN DUE TO STRONG SOUTH WINDS...RESULTING IN STORM SURGE FLOODING IN ST TAMMANY PARISH. TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THROUGH TONIGHT AS WINDS MAINTAIN AN ONSHORE SOUTH DIRECTION. STORM TIDES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. IN ADDITION...LARGE WAVES WILL ALSO AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREA AND INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT. SINCE HURRICANE KATRINA...THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA ARE EXTREMELY VULNERABLE TO COASTAL TIDAL FLOODING. IN ADDITION MANY HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IN THE NEW ORLEANS AREA HAVE BEEN DEGRADED FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE KATRINA. FLOODING OF LOW LYING ROADWAYS AND AREAS NEAR DAMAGED LEVEES AND BAYOUS WILL LIKELY OCCUR AS THE TIDES INCREASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... RITA IS A LARGE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE CENTER. SOUTH WINDS OF 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH ARE OCCURRING ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL... OCCASIONAL SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES COULD FALL THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCAL RAINFALL UP TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY WEST OF NEW ORLEANS. DEBRIS FROM HURRICANE KATRINA DAMAGE REMAINS IN DRAINAGE CANALS AND MAY HINDER RAINFALL RUNOFF. PUMPING STATION CAPACITY STILL REMAINS DEGRADED DUE TO HURRICANE KATRINA. SOME FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIMITED PUMPING CAPACITY HAS OCCURRED IN THE METRO NEW ORLEANS AREA. ...TORNADO THREAT... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED ABOUT TROPICAL STORM RITA. $$ ** WTJP31 RJTD 242100 *** WARNING 242100. WARNING VALID 252100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0517 SAOLA (0517) 955 HPA AT 32.7N 139.8E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250900UTC AT 34.5N 142.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 252100UTC AT 36.1N 145.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 242100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0517 SAOLA (0517) ANALYSIS PSTN 242100UTC 32.7N 139.8E GOOD MOVE NE 12KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 220NM SOUTHEAST 160NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 252100UTC 36.1N 145.6E 100NM 70% MOVE NE 14KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 45HF 261800UTC 39.1N 152.9E 160NM 70% MOVE ENE 16KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 69HF 271800UTC 41.2N 164.3E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTJP32 RJTD 242100 *** WARNING 242100. WARNING VALID 252100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0518 DAMREY (0518) 965 HPA AT 18.8N 113.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 252100UTC AT 18.8N 110.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 242100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0518 DAMREY (0518) ANALYSIS PSTN 242100UTC 18.8N 113.3E FAIR MOVE SW SLOWLY PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 260NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 252100UTC 18.8N 110.7E 80NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 45HF 261800UTC 19.5N 107.0E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 271800UTC 20.4N 101.9E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 242100 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 242100 UTC 00HR 18.9N 113.2E 965HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR W 10KM/H P+24HR 19.6N 108.7E 980HPA 30M/S= ** WTPN31 PHNC 242200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/241535ZSEP2005// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/241540ZSEP2005// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JOVA) WARNING NR 052 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z --- NEAR 23.1N 153.8W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N 153.8W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 23.4N 155.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 23.7N 157.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250400Z, 251000Z AND 251600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) AND TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORMA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 242200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 242200 UTC 00HR 18.9N 113.2E 965HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR W 10KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 242245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 242100 UTC, TYPHOON DAMREY (0518) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (19.0 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 40 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (19.7 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 272100 UTC TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (104.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 242245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 242100 UTC, TYPHOON DAMREY (0518) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (19.0 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 40 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (19.7 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 272100 UTC TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (104.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTUS84 KFWD 242342 *** HLSFWD TXZ122-135-146>148-161-162-175-250100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 630 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM RITA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...LOCATED NEAR SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA AT 600 PM CDT... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH 900 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 900 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM PARIS...TO CORSICANA AND CENTERVILLE. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 900 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM GAINESVILLE...TO HILLSBORO AND KILLEEN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST...MOVING NORTH AT 12 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS LOCATED IN AND NEAR THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE PERSONAL SAFETY PREPARATIONS IF NOT COMPLETED AT THIS TIME. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH DUSK... LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN CHAIRS SHOULD BE SECURED. POWER OUTAGES MAY BE POSSIBLE...SO HAVE FLASHLIGHTS... BATTERIES...A FULL TANK OF GAS...CASH...BOTTLED WATER AND NON-PERISHABLE FOODS ON HAND JUST IN CASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER...WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING... PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF NORTH TEXAS. THE WIND GUSTS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...ALONG WITH POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO LIGHT-WEIGHT STRUCTURES SUCH AS MOBILE HOMES...SHEDS...OPEN CAR PORTS...AND OUT-BUILDINGS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF WATER PONDING CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... NONE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 800 PM CDT ...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVISES RESIDENTS IN THE AFFECTED AREA TO CONTINUE MONITORING NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND THE MEDIA FOR UPDATES ON TROPICAL STORM RITA. $$ 65/DD ** WTPQ20 BABJ 242300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 242300 UTC 00HR 18.9N 113.0E 965HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR W 10KM/H=