** WTSR20 WSSS 240600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTNT83 KNHC 241210 *** TCVAT3 RITA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 400 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 .HURRICANE RITA LAC023-045-101-113-TXC245-361-GMZ450-455-470-475-241500- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 HIGH-ISLAND-TX 29.54N 94.39W MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W $$ TXC039-071-167-321-GMZ335-350-355-370-375-241500- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 SARGENT-TX 28.77N 95.60W HIGH-ISLAND-TX 29.54N 94.39W $$ LAC051-057-063-071-075-087-089-095-103-105-109-GMZ530-550-555-570- 575-241500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W $$ TXC007-057-239-391-409-GMZ235-255-275-330-241500- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 PORT-ARANSAS-TX 27.83N 97.07W SARGENT-TX 28.77N 95.60W $$ ATTN...WFO...CRP...LIX...LCH...HGX... ** WTUS84 KLCH 241214 *** HLSLCH LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-241600- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 713 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA NOW OVER JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES... ...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IMPACTING SOUTHEAST TEXAS COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON...ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER... JASPER...AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...ST LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST MARTIN...CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...ST MARY...AND LOWER ST MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. ...WATCHES/WARNING... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED BY NOW. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON...ORANGE... HARDIN...TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND FOR BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...SAINT MARY...LOWER SAINT MARTIN...JEFFERSON DAVIS AND ALLEN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VERNON... RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...LAFAYETTE...AND UPPER SAINT MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST OR MIDWAY BETWEEN JASPER AND BEAUMONT TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA REMAINS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES. A HAM RADIO OPERATOR IN JASPER RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 85 MPH. AN ELEVATED TOWER PLATFORM AT THE LAKE LIVINGSTON DAM IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 117 MPH. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MILLIBARS OR 28.05 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS SHOULD KEEP REFUGE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS IN A STRONG BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AWAY FROM WINDOWS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES AND CAMERON AND CALCASIEU PARISHES...MAXIMUM STORM SURGES OF 15 TO 20 FEET LIKELY ONGOING IN AREAS ALONG THE COAST. THIS STORM SURGE WILL ALSO LIKELY COME OVER THE TOP OF THE SEA WALL AROUND PORT ARTHUR TEXAS. LOW LYING AREAS IN BEAUMONT AND LAKE CHARLES COULD SEE UP TO 4 FEET OF STORM SURGE ESPECIALLY NEAR RIVERS AND BAYOUS AND THEIR TRIBUTARIES. VERMILION PARISH...MAXIMUM STORM SURGE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET IS LIKELY ONGOING. THIS WILL FLOOD LAND AROUND PECAN ISLAND AND INTRACOASTAL CITY...WHERE SURGE WAS BATTERING THE TOWN EARLIER FRIDAY EVENING. SECTIONS OF DELCAMBRE WILL BE UNDER WATER. IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES...MAXIMUM STORM SURGE BETWEEN 6 AND 10 FEET IS LIKELY ONGOING. THIS WILL FLOOD SECTIONS OF CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT...AND LOW-LYING AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 FROM FRANKLIN TO MORGAN CITY. NORMAL HIGH AND LOW TIDES AT: SABINE PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:30 PM/0.2 FT CALCASIEU PASS: SATURDAY LOW/2:44 PM/0.3 FT SOUTHWEST PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:35 PM/0.2 FT BASED ON THE PROJECTED STORM SURGE VALUES...CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF THE SABINE...NECHES...AND CALCASIEU RIVERS...WHERE CRESTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE CAN BE EXPECTED. MAJOR FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER...WHERE CRESTS OF 7 TO 8 FEET ARE EXPECTED. ALL OF THIS STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE EYEWALL OF HURRICANE RITA IS SPREADING SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...WITH GUSTS OVER 100 MPH...NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA. OVER HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES...DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OVER VERNON PARISH...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 60 TO 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON. OVER THESE AREAS...CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED DUE TO THE STRENGTH AND DURATION OF THE EXTREME WINDS. DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES WILL BE WIDESPREAD. POWER OUTAGES WILL ALSO BE WIDESPREAD AND LIKELY LENGTHY. SOME STRUCTURES WILL FAIL. OVER JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES...AND CALCASIEU...CAMERON...AND JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISHES...WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO THE WEST AND DECREASED BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS MORNING BEFORE SUBSIDING THIS AFTERNOON. RAPIDES...AVOYLLES...EVANGELINE...AND ST. LANDRY PARISHES...WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD LAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...AND UPPER ST. MARTIN PARISHES...WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNRISE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD LAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. IBERIA...ST. MARY...AND LOWER ST. MARTIN PARISHES...WINDS WILL BE 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH SUNRISE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD LAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... EXTREME RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY RITA. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT RAINFALL TOTALS SINCE FRIDAY AFTERNOON HAVE EXCEEDED 6 INCHES IN MANY LOCATIONS...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 6 INCHES LIKELY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 25 INCHES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST...SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA...AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...THROUGH 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF RITA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE RITA WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 AM CDT. $$ ** WTSS20 VHHH 241045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SEVERE TROPICAL STORM DAMREY (0518) HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TYPHOON WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 HECTOPASCALS. AT 240900 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 140 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 50 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 20 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (19.4 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270900 UTC ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (103.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. ** WTUS84 KLCH 241216 CCA *** HLSLCH LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-241600- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 716 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA NOW OVER JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES... ...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IMPACTING SOUTHEAST TEXAS COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON...ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER... JASPER...AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...ST LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST MARTIN...CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...ST MARY...AND LOWER ST MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED BY NOW. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON...ORANGE... HARDIN...TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND FOR BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...SAINT MARY...LOWER SAINT MARTIN...JEFFERSON DAVIS AND ALLEN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VERNON... RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...LAFAYETTE...AND UPPER SAINT MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH 5 PM TODAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST OR MIDWAY BETWEEN JASPER AND BEAUMONT TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA REMAINS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES. A HAM RADIO OPERATOR IN JASPER RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 85 MPH. AN ELEVATED TOWER PLATFORM AT THE LAKE LIVINGSTON DAM IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 117 MPH. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MILLIBARS OR 28.05 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS SHOULD KEEP REFUGE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS IN A STRONG BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AWAY FROM WINDOWS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES AND CAMERON AND CALCASIEU PARISHES...MAXIMUM STORM SURGES OF 15 TO 20 FEET LIKELY ONGOING IN AREAS ALONG THE COAST. THIS STORM SURGE WILL ALSO LIKELY COME OVER THE TOP OF THE SEA WALL AROUND PORT ARTHUR TEXAS. LOW LYING AREAS IN BEAUMONT AND LAKE CHARLES COULD SEE UP TO 4 FEET OF STORM SURGE ESPECIALLY NEAR RIVERS AND BAYOUS AND THEIR TRIBUTARIES. VERMILION PARISH...MAXIMUM STORM SURGE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET IS LIKELY ONGOING. THIS WILL FLOOD LAND AROUND PECAN ISLAND AND INTRACOASTAL CITY...WHERE SURGE WAS BATTERING THE TOWN EARLIER FRIDAY EVENING. SECTIONS OF DELCAMBRE WILL BE UNDER WATER. IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES...MAXIMUM STORM SURGE BETWEEN 6 AND 10 FEET IS LIKELY ONGOING. THIS WILL FLOOD SECTIONS OF CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT...AND LOW-LYING AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 FROM FRANKLIN TO MORGAN CITY. NORMAL HIGH AND LOW TIDES AT: SABINE PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:30 PM/0.2 FT CALCASIEU PASS: SATURDAY LOW/2:44 PM/0.3 FT SOUTHWEST PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:35 PM/0.2 FT BASED ON THE PROJECTED STORM SURGE VALUES...CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF THE SABINE...NECHES...AND CALCASIEU RIVERS...WHERE CRESTS OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE CAN BE EXPECTED. MAJOR FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER...WHERE CRESTS OF 7 TO 8 FEET ARE EXPECTED. ALL OF THIS STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE EYEWALL OF HURRICANE RITA IS SPREADING SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...WITH GUSTS OVER 100 MPH...NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA. OVER HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES...DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OVER VERNON PARISH...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 60 TO 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON. OVER THESE AREAS...CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED DUE TO THE STRENGTH AND DURATION OF THE EXTREME WINDS. DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES WILL BE WIDESPREAD. POWER OUTAGES WILL ALSO BE WIDESPREAD AND LIKELY LENGTHY. SOME STRUCTURES WILL FAIL. OVER JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES...AND CALCASIEU...CAMERON...AND JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISHES...WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO THE WEST AND DECREASED BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS MORNING BEFORE SUBSIDING THIS AFTERNOON. RAPIDES...AVOYLLES...EVANGELINE...AND ST. LANDRY PARISHES...WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD LAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...AND UPPER ST. MARTIN PARISHES...WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNRISE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD LAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. IBERIA...ST. MARY...AND LOWER ST. MARTIN PARISHES...WINDS WILL BE 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH SUNRISE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD LAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... EXTREME RAINFALL WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY RITA. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT RAINFALL TOTALS SINCE FRIDAY AFTERNOON HAVE EXCEEDED 6 INCHES IN MANY LOCATIONS...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 6 INCHES LIKELY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 25 INCHES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST...SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA...AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...THROUGH 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF RITA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE RITA WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 AM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KFWD 241217 *** HLSFWD TXZ122-135-146>148-160>162-174-175-241500- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 710 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...RITA NOW INLAND OVER FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND HAS WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANDERSON AND LEON COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR ANDERSON... HOPKINS...FREESTONE...HENDERSON...LEON...LIMESTONE...NAVARRO...VAN ZANDT...RAINS...AND ROBERTSON COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4 NORTH LATITUDE AND 94.2 WEST LONGITUDE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS LOCATED IN AND NEAR THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS NOW BEFORE CONDITIONS START TO DETERIORATE. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN CHAIRS SHOULD BE SECURED. POWER OUTAGES MAY BE POSSIBLE...SO HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...BATTERIES...A FULL TANK OF GAS...CASH...BOTTLED WATER AND NON-PERISHABLE FOODS ON HAND JUST IN CASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH WITH ISOLATED GUSTS UPWARDS TO 50 MPH...BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WARNING AREA AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO THIS EVENING. THE WIND GUSTS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...ALONG WITH POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO LIGHT-WEIGHT STRUCTURES SUCH AS MOBILE HOMES...SHEDS... OPEN CAR PORTS...AND OUT-BUILDINGS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO EAST TEXAS...EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF RITA TRACKS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1000 AM CDT ...OR POSSIBLY SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVISES RESIDENTS IN THE AFFECTED AREA TO CONTINUE MONITORING NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND THE MEDIA FOR UPDATES ON HURRICANE RITA. $$ ** WTUS84 KFWD 241217 *** HLSFWD TXZ122-135-146>148-160>162-174-175-241500- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 710 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...RITA NOW INLAND OVER FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND HAS WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANDERSON AND LEON COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR ANDERSON... HOPKINS...FREESTONE...HENDERSON...LEON...LIMESTONE...NAVARRO...VAN ZANDT...RAINS...AND ROBERTSON COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4 NORTH LATITUDE AND 94.2 WEST LONGITUDE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS LOCATED IN AND NEAR THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS NOW BEFORE CONDITIONS START TO DETERIORATE. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED...LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN CHAIRS SHOULD BE SECURED. POWER OUTAGES MAY BE POSSIBLE...SO HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...BATTERIES...A FULL TANK OF GAS...CASH...BOTTLED WATER AND NON-PERISHABLE FOODS ON HAND JUST IN CASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH WITH ISOLATED GUSTS UPWARDS TO 50 MPH...BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WARNING AREA AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO THIS EVENING. THE WIND GUSTS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...ALONG WITH POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO LIGHT-WEIGHT STRUCTURES SUCH AS MOBILE HOMES...SHEDS... OPEN CAR PORTS...AND OUT-BUILDINGS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO EAST TEXAS...EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF RITA TRACKS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1000 AM CDT ...OR POSSIBLY SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVISES RESIDENTS IN THE AFFECTED AREA TO CONTINUE MONITORING NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND THE MEDIA FOR UPDATES ON HURRICANE RITA. $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241200 UTC 00HR 19.6N 114.0E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 10KM/H= ** WTCA43 TJSJ 241226 CCA *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN HURACAN RITA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 27A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 AM CDT SABADO 24 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2005 ...RITA SE ADENTRA MAS SOBRE TIERRA...SE DEBILITA HASTA HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS ... A LAS 7 AM CDT...1200Z...EL AVISO DE HURACAN Y EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AL OESTE DE HIGH ISLAND TEXAS HAN SIDO DESCONTINUADOS. UN AVISO DE HURACAN PERMANECE EN EFECTO DESDE HIGH ISLAND HASTA MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PERMANECE EN EFECTO PARA LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA DESDE EL ESTE DE MORGAN CITY HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DE PEARL RIVER INCLUYENDO EL AREA METROPOLITANA DE NEW ORLEANS Y EL LAGO PONTCHARTRAIN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...CONSULTE LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 7 AM CDT...1200Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN RITA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 30.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 94.2 OESTE...A MEDIA DISTANCIA ENTRE JASPER Y BEAUMONT TEXAS. RITA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE Y UNA DISMINUCION EN SU VELOCIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. ESTE MOVIMIENTO TRAERA EL CENTRO DE RITA TIERRA ADENTRO SOBRE EL SURESTE DE TEXAS HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO CERCA DE 100 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. RITA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO ADICIONAL DURANTE HOY A MEDIDA QUE EL CENTRO SE ADENTRE MAS SOBRE TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 85 MILLAS FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 205 MILLAS. UN RADIO AFICIONADO REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE QUE JASPER TEXAS MIDIO UNA RAFAGA DE VIENTO DE 85 MPH. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 950 MILIBARAS...27.67 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 15 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES...LOCALMENTE HASTA 20 PIES EN LAS BAHIAS Y EN LOS RIOS CERCANOS...COMO TAMBIEN GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SE PUEDEN ESPERAR AL ESTE DE DONDE EL CENTRO TOQUE TIERRA. LAS INUNDACIONES COSTERAS DEBEN COMENZAR A DISMINUIR LENTAMENTE HOY. EL OLEAJE A LO LARGO DE LAS COSTAS DEL SURESTE DE LUISIANA Y MISSISSIPPI EN LAS AREAS AFECTADAS POR KATIRNA PUEDEN SER DE 4 A 6 PIES SOBRE LO NORMAL Y ESTAR ACOMPANADAS POE OLAS GRANDES...Y LOS RESIDENTES ESTAN EXPERIMENTANDO INUNDACINES COSTERAS. MAREJADAS GRANDES GENERADAS POR RITA PODRIAN CONTINUAR AFECTANDO LA MAYOR PARTE DE LAS PORCIONES DE LA COSTA DEL. DEBIDO A QUE RITA SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE Y SE PRONOSTICA QUE VA A DISMINUIR SU MARCHA AUN MAS DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...SE ESPERAN ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS SOBRE EL ESTE DE TEXAS Y EL OESTE DE LOUISIANA. PUDIERAN OCURRIR ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA EN EXCESO DE 25 PULGADAS SOBRE AREAS LOCALIZADAS. CANTIDADES DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS CON TOTALES MAYORES DE LLUVIA SON POSIBLES SOBRE EL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA INCLUYENDO A LA ZONA METROPOLITANA DE NEW ORLEANS. TORNADOS AISLADOS SON POSIBLES HOY Y ESTA NOCHE...SOBRE EL ESTE DE TEXAS...LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE ARKANSAS Y MISSISSIPPI. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 AM CDT...30.4 NORTE...94.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO...HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...120 MILLAS POR HORA. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...950 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ TRADUCCION: ESTRADA/R.VAZQUEZ ** WTUS84 KHGX 241226 *** HLSHGX GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227- 235>238-241500- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 726 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...HURRICANE RITA MOVING INLAND IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IMPACTING THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE RESIDENTS OF... AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...BURLESON...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT BEND...GALVESTON...GRIMES...HARRIS...HOUSTON...JACKSON...LIBERTY... MADISON...MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY... WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON...AND WHARTON COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT... HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ALL THE TEXAS COASTAL COUNTIES. TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FROM PORT O'CONNOR TO SARGENT. INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FOR LIBERTY AND POLK COUNTIES UNTIL 4 PM SATURDAY. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS... HOUSTON...MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...AND WALKER COUNTIES UNTIL 4 PM SATURDAY. WIND ADVISORY FOR AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...BURLESON...COLORADO... FORT BEND...GRIMES...JACKSON...MADISON...WALLER...WASHINGTON...AND WHARTON COUNTIES UNTIL 4 PM SATURDAY. FLOOD WATCH FOR CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS...HOUSTON...LIBERTY... MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...AND WALKER COUNTIES UNTIL 4 PM SATURDAY. ...CURRENT STORM INFORMATION... .LOCATION... AT 7 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...OR MIDWAY BETWEEN JASPER AND BEAUMONT TEXAS. .MOVEMENT... RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF RITA FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS TODAY. .INTENSITY... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... .EVACUATION INFORMATION...THOSE THAT HAVE NOT EVACUATED SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE UNTIL RITA MOVES FARTHER INLAND. TRAVEL WILL BE DANGEROUS... ESPECIALLY IN CARS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WATER LEVELS WERE CURRENTLY RECEDING IN THE UPPER AND MIDDLE PORTIONS OF GALVESTON BAY AS STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE PUSHED THE WATER BACK SOUTHWARD. REACHES UP NEAR THE HOUSTON SHIP CHANNEL AND EAGLE POINT COULD FALL AS MUCH AS 4 TO 5 FEET BELOW NORMAL. THIS WILL CAUSE WATER TO PILE UP ACROSS BAYSIDE LOCATIONS OF GALVESTON ISLAND AND BOLIVAR PENINSULA. SURGE MODELS INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF A 4 TO 5 FOOT SURGE BEING TRAPPED IN THE BAY SIDE PORTION OF EASTERN GALVESTON ISLAND AND ALONG THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA. FURTHER WEST ALONG GALVESTON ISLAND...ALONG THE NORTH FACING BAY SHORES...WATERS LEVELS SHOULD BE 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. THIS FLOODING WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE BY MIDDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND REPORTS INCLUDE... CHAMBERS COUNTY WITH 100 MPH AT 4 AM... LIBERTY COUNTY WITH 80 TO 100 MPH BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM... POLK COUNTY WITH 60 TO 70 MPH COUNTY WIDE AND A WIND GUST TO 117 MPH AT THE LAKE LIVINGSTON DAM AT 545 AM... GALVESTON AND EAST HARRIS COUNTY WITH 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH BETWEEN 2 AND 7 AM. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF LIBERTY AND POLK COUNTY THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WERE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE AREA FROM GALVESTON AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES NORTHWARD TO POLK COUNTY. ALL AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 45 WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE AT LEAST GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE THIS MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER LIBERTY AND POLK COUNTIES THROUGH 9 AM WHERE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. WEST OF INTERSTATE 45 AND STATE HIGHWAY 288...MUCH LOWER WINDS ARE EXPECTED. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. ...TORNADOES... CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES OVER THIS PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST TOWARDS THE TEXAS LOUISIANA BORDER AND OVER SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. ...RAINFALL... RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS MORNING. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL IMPACT TRINITY... POLK...AND LIBERTY COUNTIES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FLOOD WATCH AREA...GENERALLY ENCOMPASSING THOSE AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 45. LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER POLK...LIBERTY...AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. FURTHER WEST...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE LESS THAN AN INCH...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED IN THESE AREAS. FOR MORE TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HGX. THE NEXT HURRICANE RITA STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1000 AM CDT. $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241200 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241200 UTC 00HR 19.6N 114.0E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 19.5N 109.6E 980HPA 30M/S P+48HR 19.8N 105.2E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 21.0N 101.5E 998HPA 18M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY SAOLA 0517 (0517) INITIAL TIME 241200 UTC 00HR 31.4N 138.4E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NE 20KM/H P+24HR 35.0N 142.2E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 37.8N 148.6E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 41.0N 159.0E 985HPA 28M/S= ** WTUS84 KLIX 241242 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-056-058>070-241600- HURRICANE RITA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 745 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...HURRICANE RITA ONSHORE OVER SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA... ...STORM SURGE FLOODING CONTINUES IN COMMUNITIES IN LOWER TERREBONNE AND LOWER JEFFERSON PARISHES... ...RAINBANDS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OVER AREA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THE FOLLOWING PARISHES ASSUMPTION...LAFOURCHE...TERREBONNE...JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...ST TAMMANY...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST CHARLES...ST BERNARD...ST JAMES...PLAQUEMINES...TANGIPAHOA...LIVINGSTON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FOR FREQUENT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH THROUGH MID MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...OR MIDWAY BETWEEN JASPER AND BEAUMONT TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE RITA HAS WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY AS RITA MOVES INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STORM SURGE FLOODING REMAINS A THREAT THROUGH TODAY. PERSONS LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR DAMAGED LEVEES...LOW LYING AREAS NEAR BAYOUS AND COASTAL AREAS PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS FURTHER INLAND NOW. MANY PARISHES IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA HAVE EVACUATIONS ORDERS FOR LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS. ALSO PERSONS LIVING IN UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES...TRAILERS...TENTS OR HOMES STRUCTURALLY WEAKENED BY RECENT HURRICANES...SHOULD ALSO MAKE PLANS TO MOVE TO MORE SECURE STRUCTURES DUE TO TROPICAL STORM WIND GUSTS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... EXTENSIVE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF LOW LYING COMMUNITIES IN LOWER TERREBONNE PARISH...AND LOWER JEFFERSON PARISH HAS ALSO BEEN REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND MEDIA...WITH SOME LOCAL LEVEES OVERTOPPED. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS LIKELY ONGOING IN MANY OTHER LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. OVER- TOPPING CONTINUES ALONG THE INDUSTRIAL CANAL LEVEE IN THE NEW ORLEANS AREA WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING IN NEARBY AREAS. TIDES ARE 4 TO 6 ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF COASTAL LOUISIANA AND LOCALLY UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN TERREBONNE PARISH. TIDE LEVELS WILL LIKELY PEAK THIS MORNING...BUT WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY AS BRISK ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. TIDES WILL ALSO LIKELY INCREASE ALONG THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN DURING THE MORNING DUE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH WINDS...RESULTING IN STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG LOW LYING AREAS. TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS WINDS MAINTAIN AN ONSHORE SOUTHEAST DIRECTION. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. IN ADDITION...LARGE WAVES WILL ALSO AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREA AND INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT. SINCE HURRICANE KATRINA...THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA ARE EXTREMELY VULNERABLE TO COASTAL TIDAL FLOODING. IN ADDITION MANY HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IN THE NEW ORLEANS AREA HAVE BEEN DEGRADED FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE KATRINA. FLOODING OF LOW LYING ROADWAYS AND AREAS NEAR DAMAGED LEVEES AND BAYOUS WILL LIKELY OCCUR AS THE TIDES INCREASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... RITA IS A LARGE HURRICANE WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...RAINFALL... OCCASIONAL SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES COULD FALL THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCAL RAINFALL UP TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY WEST OF NEW ORLEANS. DEBRIS FROM HURRICANE KATRINA DAMAGE REMAINS IN DRAINAGE CANALS AND MAY HINDER RAINFALL RUNOFF. PUMPING STATION CAPACITY STILL REMAINS DEGRADED DUE TO HURRICANE KATRINA. SOME FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIMITED PUMPING CAPACITY HAS OCCURRED IN THE METRO NEW ORLEANS AREA. ...TORNADO THREAT... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 PM. SEVERAL REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED...BUT NO CONFIRMED REPORTS OF TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THROUGHOUT THE DAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1100 AM CDT. $$ ** WTJP21 RJTD 241200 *** WARNING 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0517 SAOLA (0517) 950 HPA AT 31.5N 138.5E SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 33.3N 140.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 34.8N 143.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 37.7N 147.3E WITH 160 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 40.0N 158.3E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 241200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0517 SAOLA (0517) ANALYSIS PSTN 241200UTC 31.5N 138.5E GOOD MOVE NNE 11KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 220NM SOUTHEAST 200NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 251200UTC 34.8N 143.1E 100NM 70% MOVE NE 13KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 48HF 261200UTC 37.7N 147.3E 160NM 70% MOVE NE 11KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 72HF 271200UTC 40.0N 158.3E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTJP22 RJTD 241200 *** WARNING 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0518 DAMREY (0518) 970 HPA AT 19.3N 114.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 19.0N 111.2E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 19.4N 107.7E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 20.1N 102.1E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 241200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0518 DAMREY (0518) ANALYSIS PSTN 241200UTC 19.3N 114.0E FAIR MOVE WSW 08KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 260NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 251200UTC 19.0N 111.2E 80NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 261200UTC 19.4N 107.7E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 271200UTC 20.1N 102.1E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241300 UTC 00HR 19.6N 113.9E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 15KM/H= ** WTPZ24 KNHC 241401 *** TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142005 1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.7W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 50SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.7W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 110.6W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.9N 111.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.6N 111.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 112.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 117.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 110.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTSS20 VHHH 241345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 241200 UTC, TYPHOON DAMREY (0518) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (114.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 140 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 50 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 20 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (106.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271200 UTC ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (102.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 241345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 241200 UTC, TYPHOON DAMREY (0518) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (114.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 140 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 50 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 20 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (106.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271200 UTC ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (102.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. ** WTPZ44 KNHC 241428 *** TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 24 2005 SEVERAL MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGES DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS INDICATE NORMA HAS MOVED SLOWLY NORTHWEST AND THE CENTER IS LOCATED IN THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE DEEP CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS AND NOT IN THE CENTER NEAR THE COLDER CLOUD TOPS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 50 KT IS BASED ON A BLEND OF DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KT FROM TAFB... 45 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA... AND A 24/1029Z UW-CIMSS AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 994 MB AND 50 KT. BASED ON THE MICROWAVE POSITIONS... THE INITIAL MOTION IS 340/05. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF NORMA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK... SO THE RESULTANT WEAK STEERING FLOW MAY CAUSE SOME ERRATIC MOTION FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO. AFTERWARDS... STEERING CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ESTABLISHED AS A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH/LOW DIGS SOUTHWARD OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST... WITH ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM RIDGING EXPECTED TO BUILD HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AND MEXICO THROUGH 72 HOURS. BY DAYS 4 AND 5... THE FLOW IS ONCE AGAIN FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS THE FUTURE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OFF CALIFORNIA LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTH... WHICH ALLOWS WEAK RIDGING TO EXTEND WESTWARD TO THE NORTH OF NORMA. THE LATTER STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO TURN THE CYCLONE SLOQLY WESTWARD AND EVENTUALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. CURRENT MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT NORMA THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER... THE SHEAR IS NOT FORECAST TO INCREASE ABOVE THE CURRENT 20 KT VALUE. THEREFORE... THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN STEADY UNTIL NORMA REACHES COOLER WATER IN 48-72 HOURS... AFTER WHICH SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE GFDL MODEL... BUT HIGHER THAN THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL... ESPECIALLY AT 96 AND 120 HOURS... WHICH IS WHEN THE SHIPS MODEL FORECASTS NORMA TO DISSIPATE. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 16.4N 110.7W 50 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 16.9N 111.0W 50 KT 24HR VT 25/1200Z 17.6N 111.5W 50 KT 36HR VT 26/0000Z 18.5N 112.3W 50 KT 48HR VT 26/1200Z 19.5N 113.5W 45 KT 72HR VT 27/1200Z 20.5N 115.5W 45 KT 96HR VT 28/1200Z 21.0N 117.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 29/1200Z 20.0N 119.5W 35 KT $$ ** WTPA23 PHFO 241430 *** TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102005 1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 153.8W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 153.8W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 153.2W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.2N 155.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.4N 158.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.6N 160.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.9N 162.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 24.5N 168.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 153.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER HOUSTON $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 241436 *** TCMAT3 HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005 1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005 AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 94.3W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 175SE 175SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 94.3W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 94.2W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.5N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 34.0N 93.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 34.5N 92.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 34.5N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 94.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 241437 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...RITA LOSING PUNCH FAST...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST...NEAR JASPER TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. THE COASTAL STORM FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. HOWEVER...TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS IN AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA COULD BE 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES... AND RESIDENTS THERE ARE EXPERIENCING COASTAL FLOODING. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RITA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST. RITA'S SLOW MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER LOCALIZED AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER FAR EASTERN TEXAS...LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSISSIPPI. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...31.0 N... 94.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT43 KNHC 241437 *** TCDAT3 HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005 RITA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE THAT WINDS ARE ABOUT 80 TO 90 KNOTS AT ABOUT 5000 FEET. THIS WOULD SUPPORT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KNOTS AT THE SURFACE BUT MUCH HIGHER GUSTS. NOW THAT THE CORE OF RITA IS WELL INLAND WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE AS INDICATED BY DECAY SHIPS MODEL. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME VERY LIGHT SO ONLY A SMALL EASTWARD DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED BEYOND 24 HOURS. RITA SHOULD PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAIN AS IT DRIFTS EASTWARD. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 31.0N 94.3W 65 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 32.5N 94.5W 40 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 25/1200Z 34.0N 93.5W 30 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 26/0000Z 34.5N 92.0W 25 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 26/1200Z 34.5N 91.5W 25 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 27/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 28/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 29/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING $$ ** WTNT73 KNHC 241437 *** SPFAT3 HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 34.0N 93.5W 46 X X X 46 NEW ORLEANS LA X 1 4 4 9 34.5N 92.0W 22 3 1 1 27 NEW IBERIA LA X 3 3 4 10 34.5N 91.5W 15 7 1 1 24 PORT ARTHUR TX 99 X X X 99 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 GALVESTON TX 12 X X 1 13 SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX 1 X 1 2 4 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 1 1 2 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 85W X X X 4 4 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 4 5 PANAMA CITY FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 3 4 PENSACOLA FL X X 2 6 8 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 3 4 MOBILE AL X 1 3 5 9 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 2 3 GULFPORT MS X 1 4 4 9 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 1 2 BURAS LA X X 3 4 7 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN C FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON D FROM 7AM MON TO 7AM TUE E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM TUE X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241400 UTC 00HR 19.5N 113.8E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 15KM/H= ** WTPN33 PHNC 241600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/241530ZSEP2005// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/241535ZSEP2005// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORMA) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z --- NEAR 16.2N 110.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 110.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 16.9N 111.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 17.6N 111.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 18.5N 112.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 19.5N 113.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 20.5N 115.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 21.0N 117.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 20.0N 119.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242200Z, 250400Z, 251000Z AND 251600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JOVA) WARNING (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPA33 PHFO 241445 *** TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT SEP 24 2005 AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.8 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND ABOUT 290 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...23.1 N...153.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER HOUSTON $$ ** WTPA43 PHFO 241445 *** TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA DISCUSSION NUMBER 51 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT SEP 24 2005 THE WELL DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA HAS REMAINED DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR ALMOST 24 HOURS. THE LATEST INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM THE SATELLITE AGENCIES VARIED FROM T NUMBERS OF LESS THAN 1.0 TO 1.0. BASED ON THESE DVORAK SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATES...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 25 KT. THE MOTION OF THE DEPRESSION IS WEST...OR TOWARD 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT. THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO DICTATE THE MOTION OF JOVA. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL TRACK WAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY MORE TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA...AND ITS REMNANT LOW AFTER 24 HOURS...ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG A GENERAL WESTWARD COURSE AT ABOUT 11 KT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CONTINUES TO SHOW A GRADUAL WEAKENING OF JOVA AS A RESULT OF VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM. THIS SHEARING IS BEING CAUSED BY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF AN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH LOCATED WEST OF KAUAI. JOVA IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AND BECOME A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA AFTER 24 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS REDUCED...OR NEGATED...THE TRADE WINDS ACROSS MOST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. IT IS ALSO A SOURCE OF LOWER AND MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC MOISTURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ISLANDS. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY CAUSED BY THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS...OVER SOME OF THE ISLANDS. FOR THE MOMENT...IT APPEARS THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ANY LOCALIZED FLOODING WOULD BE ACROSS THE WESTERN END OF THE ISLAND CHAIN DURING DAYTIME HEATING LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. FORECASTER HOUSTON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 23.1N 153.8W 25 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 23.2N 155.6W 25 KT 24HR VT 25/1200Z 23.4N 158.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 26/0000Z 23.6N 160.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/1200Z 23.9N 162.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 27/1200Z 24.5N 168.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTPZ21 KNHC 241446 *** TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112005 1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.3W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 85NE 70SE 70SW 85NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.3W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.1W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.1N 138.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N 139.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.7N 140.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.7N 141.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.2N 142.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.3N 143.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 18.5N 145.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 138.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT83 KNHC 241450 *** TCVAT3 RITA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 .HURRICANE RITA LAC023-045-101-113-TXC245-361-GMZ450-455-470-475-242100- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1018.050924T1500Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 HIGH-ISLAND-TX 29.54N 94.39W MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W $$ LAC051-057-063-071-075-087-089-095-103-105-109-GMZ530-550-555-570- 575-242100- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W $$ ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX... ** WTPZ41 KNHC 241500 *** TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH DISCUSSION NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 24 2005 MICROWAVE DATA INDICATE THE CENTER OF KENNETH REMAINS NEAR THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN 45 KT FROM TAFB...AND THAT IS THE INTENSITY USED FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 270/3. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS KENNETH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY 36 HOURS... A MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG SOUTHWARD TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE... WHICH WILL ACT TO NUDGE KENNETH SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. AFTERWARDS... THE STEERING FLOW IS FORECAST TO BECOME MORE EASTERLY AS A RIDGE TO NORTH OF KENNETH BUILDS IN BEHIND THE TROUGH. REGARDLESS OF THE STEERING PATTERNS... THE FLOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK... SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION... INCLUDING SMALL LOOPS... WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO 2-5 KT IN 24-48 HOURS... SO SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING WILL BE POSSIBLE SINCE KENNETH WILL STILL BE OVER 27C SSTS. THE MAIN INHIBITING FACTOR WILL BE VERY DRY MID-LEVEL AIR ENTRAINING INTO THE SYSTEM AT TIMES. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 16.0N 138.3W 45 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 16.1N 138.9W 45 KT 24HR VT 25/1200Z 16.0N 139.7W 50 KT 36HR VT 26/0000Z 15.7N 140.5W 50 KT 48HR VT 26/1200Z 15.7N 141.3W 45 KT 72HR VT 27/1200Z 16.2N 142.3W 45 KT 96HR VT 28/1200Z 17.3N 143.3W 40 KT 120HR VT 29/1200Z 18.5N 145.0W 35 KT $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 241505 CCA *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN HURACAN RITA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 28 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT SABADO 24 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2005 ...RITA PERDIENDO FUERZA RAPIDAMENTE ... SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLUVIAS TORRENCIALES EN LOS PROXIMOS DIAS... A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...EL AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE HIGH ISLAND TEXAS AHSTA MORGAN CITY LUISIANA HA SIDOS DEGRADADO A AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL. A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SURESTE DE LUISIANA AL ESTE DE MORGAN CITY HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DE PEARL RIVER...INCLUYENDO EL AREA METROPOLITANA DE NEW ORLEANS Y EL LAGO PONTCHARTRAIN HA SIDO DESCONTINUADO. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...CONSULTE LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN RITA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 31.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 94.3 OESTE...CERCA DE JASPER TEXAS. RITA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO A CERCA DE 75 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. RITA ES AHORA UN HURACAN CATEGORIA UNO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 35 MILLAS FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 140 MILLAS. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 960 MILIBARAS...28.35 PULGADAS. LAS INUNDACIONES COSTERAS DEBEN COMENZAR A BAJAR LENTAMENTE EN EL DIA DE HOY. SIN EMBARGO... EL OLEAJE A LO LARGO DE LAS COSTAS DEL SURESTE...LUISIANA Y MISSISSIPPI EN LAS AREAS AFECTADAS POR KATRINA PUEDEN SER DE 4 A 6 PIES SOBRE LO NORMAL Y PUDIERAN ESTAR ACOMPANADAS POR OLAS GRANDES...LOS RESIDENTES EN ESA AREA ESTAN EXPERIMENTANDO INUNDACIONES COSTERAS. MAREJADAS GRANDES GENERADAS POR RITA PODRIAN CONTINUAR AFECTANDO LAS PORCIONES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. SE PRONOSTICA QUE EL MOVIMIENTO LENTO DE RITA GENERE LLUVIAS MUY FUERTES EN LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...CON ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS SOBRE EL ESTE DE TEXAS... EL OESTE DE LOUISIANA...Y EL SUR DE ARKANSAS. PUDIERAN OCURRIR ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA EN EXCESO DE 25 PULGADAS SOBRE AREAS LOCALIZADAS. CANTIDADES DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS CON TOTALES MAYORES DE LLUVIA SON POSIBLES SOBRE EL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA INCLUYENDO A LA ZONA METROPOLITANA DE NEW ORLEANS. TORNADOS AISLADOS SON POSIBLES HOY Y ESTA NOCHE...SOBRE EL ESTE DE TEXAS...LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE ARKANSAS Y MISSISSIPPI. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 10 AM CDT...31.0 NORTE...94.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO...HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...75 MILLAS POR HORA. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...960 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LA 1 PM CDT SEGUIDA POR LA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ TRADUCCION: R.VAZQUEZ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241500 UTC 00HR 19.4N 113.7E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 15KM/H= ** WTPN31 PHNC 241600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/241535ZSEP2005// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/241540ZSEP2005// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JOVA) WARNING NR 051 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z --- NEAR 23.0N 153.2W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 153.2W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 23.2N 155.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 23.4N 158.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 23.6N 160.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 23.9N 162.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 24.5N 168.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242200Z, 250400Z, 251000Z AND 251600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORMA) WARNING (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTUS84 KFWD 241520 *** HLSFWD TXZ122-135-146>148-161-162-175-242100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1020 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...RITA LOCATED JUST WEST OF JASPER TEXAS AT 1000 AM CDT AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDERSON AND LEON COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANDERSON AND LEON COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ANDERSON...FREESTONE...HENDERSON...HOPKINS...LEON...LIMESTONE... NAVARRO...RAINS...ROBERTSON...AND VAN ZANDT COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST...MOVING NORTH AT 12 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. RITA HAS WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES EAST OF NACOGDOCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS LOCATED IN AND NEAR THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE PERSONAL SAFETY PREPARATIONS IF NOT COMPLETED AT THIS TIME. DUE TO THE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...LIGHT-WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN CHAIRS SHOULD BE SECURED. POWER OUTAGES MAY BE POSSIBLE...SO HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...BATTERIES...A FULL TANK OF GAS...CASH...BOTTLED WATER AND NON-PERISHABLE FOODS ON HAND JUST IN CASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS BETWEEN 30 AND 45 MPH AND ISOLATED GUSTS UPWARDS TO 55 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WARNING AREA AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO THE EVENING. THE WIND GUSTS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...ALONG WITH POSSIBLE DAMAGE TO LIGHT-WEIGHT STRUCTURES SUCH AS MOBILE HOMES...SHEDS...OPEN CAR PORTS...AND OUT-BUILDINGS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA THROUGH SUNDAY MIDDAY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO EAST TEXAS...EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF RITA TRACKS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 100 PM CDT ...OR POSSIBLY SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVISES RESIDENTS IN THE AFFECTED AREA TO CONTINUE MONITORING NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND THE MEDIA FOR UPDATES ON HURRICANE RITA. $$ ** WTUS84 KLCH 241542 CCA *** HLSLCH LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-241900- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1040 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA NEAR JASPER TEXAS... ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS IMPACTING SOUTHEAST TEXAS COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON...ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER... JASPER...AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...ST LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST MARTIN...CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...ST MARY...AND LOWER ST MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON... ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND FOR BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...VERMILION... IBERIA...SAINT MARY...LOWER SAINT MARTIN...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ALLEN...VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...LAFAYETTE...AND UPPER SAINT MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. A FEW GUSTS ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN TEXAS THROUGH LATE MORNING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST...NEAR JASPER TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN IN A STRONG BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AWAY FROM WINDOWS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES...STORM TIDES WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ALONG THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. CAMERON PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT 5 FEET OF WATER AND DEBRIS OVER HIGHWAY 27 NEAR THE GIBBSTOWN BRIDGE. STORM TIDES WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ALONG THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. CALCASIEU PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT 4 TO 6 FEET OF WATER AT THE LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. VERMILION PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER FROM DELCAMBRE TO PERRY...AS WELL AS SOUTH OF KAPLAN. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IBERIA PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER NEAR DELCAMBRE AND ALONG BAYOUS. THIS WILL SLOWLY FALL THIS AFTERNOON. ST. MARY PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER NEAR BURNS POINT AND CYPREMORT POINT ARE FLOODED AND REMAIN SO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH AND LOW TIDES AT: SABINE PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:30 PM/0.2 FT CALCASIEU PASS: SATURDAY LOW/2:44 PM/0.3 FT SOUTHWEST PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:35 PM/0.2 FT BASED ON THE PROJECTED STORM SURGE VALUES...MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF THE SABINE...NECHES...CALCASIEU AND MERMENTAU RIVERS. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE REMNANTS OF THE EYEWALL OF HURRICANE RITA ARE MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH NORTHERN NEWTON AND JASPER COUNTIES. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 TO 70 MPH THERE WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER 80 MPH FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL MAY TEMPORARILY DIMINISH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS MOVING IN FROM THE GULF LATER THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES. RITA EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY SLOW DOWN ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA GENERATING VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER LOCALIZED AREAS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THOUGH THE THREAT OF TORNADOES HAS DIMINISHED WITH RITA MOVING INLAND...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE RITA WILL BE ISSUED BY 2 PM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 241552 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-056-058>070-241700- HURRICANE RITA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 11 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...HURRICANE RITA ONSHORE OVER SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...HURRICANE RITA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST WEST TO THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER...INCLUDING PARISHES AROUND LAKES PONTCHARTAIN AND MAUREPAS... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH TODAY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THE FOLLOWING PARISHES ASSUMPTION...LAFOURCHE...TERREBONNE...JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...ST TAMMANY...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST CHARLES...ST BERNARD...ST JAMES...PLAQUEMINES...TANGIPAHOA...LIVINGSTON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. A WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TODAY FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST TO THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER INCLUDING PARISHES BORDERING LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST...NEAR JASPER TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AT 12 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE RITA HAS WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY AS RITA MOVES INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STORM SURGE FLOODING REMAINS A THREAT THROUGH TODAY. PERSONS LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR DAMAGED LEVEES...LOW LYING AREAS NEAR BAYOUS AND COASTAL AREAS PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS FURTHER INLAND NOW. MANY PARISHES IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA HAVE EVACUATIONS ORDERS FOR LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS. ALSO PERSONS LIVING IN UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES...TRAILERS...TENTS OR HOMES STRUCTURALLY WEAKENED BY RECENT HURRICANES...SHOULD MOVE TO MORE SECURE STRUCTURES DUE TO GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... EXTENSIVE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF LOW LYING COMMUNITIES IN LOWER TERREBONNE PARISH...AND LOWER JEFFERSON PARISH HAS ALSO BEEN REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND MEDIA...WITH SOME LOCAL LEVEES OVER-TOPPED. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS LIKELY ONGOING IN MANY OTHER LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. OVER- TOPPING CONTINUES ALONG THE INDUSTRIAL CANAL LEVEE IN THE NEW ORLEANS AREA WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING IN NEARBY AREAS. TIDES ARE 4 TO 6 ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF COASTAL LOUISIANA AND LOCALLY UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN TERREBONNE PARISH. TIDE LEVELS WILL LIKELY PEAK THIS MORNING...BUT WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY AS BRISK ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. TIDES WILL ALSO LIKELY INCREASE ALONG THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN DURING THE MORNING DUE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH WINDS...RESULTING IN STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG LOW LYING AREAS. TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TODAY AS WINDS MAINTAIN AN ONSHORE SOUTHEAST DIRECTION. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. IN ADDITION... LARGE WAVES WILL ALSO AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREA AND INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT. SINCE HURRICANE KATRINA...THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA ARE EXTREMELY VULNERABLE TO COASTAL TIDAL FLOODING. IN ADDITION MANY HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IN THE NEW ORLEANS AREA HAVE BEEN DEGRADED FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE KATRINA. FLOODING OF LOW LYING ROADWAYS AND AREAS NEAR DAMAGED LEVEES AND BAYOUS WILL LIKELY OCCUR AS THE TIDES INCREASE. ...WIND IMPACTS... RITA IS A WEAKENING HURRICANE WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...RAINFALL... OCCASIONAL SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES COULD FALL THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCAL RAINFALL UP TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY WEST OF NEW ORLEANS. DEBRIS FROM HURRICANE KATRINA DAMAGE REMAINS IN DRAINAGE CANALS AND MAY HINDER RAINFALL RUNOFF. PUMPING STATION CAPACITY STILL REMAINS DEGRADED DUE TO HURRICANE KATRINA. SOME FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIMITED PUMPING CAPACITY HAS OCCURRED IN THE METRO NEW ORLEANS AREA. ...TORNADO THREAT... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 PM. SEVERAL REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED...BUT NO CONFIRMED REPORTS OF TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THROUGHOUT THE DAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS IS THE LAST HURRICANE RITA LOCAL STATEMENT. $$ ** WTJP31 RJTD 241500 *** WARNING 241500. WARNING VALID 251500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0517 SAOLA (0517) 950 HPA AT 31.8N 138.8E SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250300UTC AT 33.6N 140.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251500UTC AT 34.9N 143.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 241500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0517 SAOLA (0517) ANALYSIS PSTN 241500UTC 31.8N 138.8E GOOD MOVE NNE 10KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 220NM SOUTHEAST 180NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 251500UTC 34.9N 143.2E 100NM 70% MOVE NE 11KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 45HF 261200UTC 37.7N 147.3E 160NM 70% MOVE NE 11KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 69HF 271200UTC 40.0N 158.3E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPN32 PHNC 241600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/241530ZSEP2005// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR/241540ZSEP2005// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11E (KENNETH) WARNING NR 040 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z --- NEAR 16.0N 138.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 138.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 16.1N 138.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 16.0N 139.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 15.7N 140.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 15.7N 141.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 16.2N 142.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 17.3N 143.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 18.5N 145.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242200Z, 250400Z, 251000Z AND 251600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JOVA) WARNING (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORMA) WARNING (WTPN33 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTJP32 RJTD 241500 *** WARNING 241500. WARNING VALID 251500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0518 DAMREY (0518) 970 HPA AT 19.2N 113.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251500UTC AT 19.0N 110.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 241500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0518 DAMREY (0518) ANALYSIS PSTN 241500UTC 19.2N 113.7E FAIR MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 260NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 251500UTC 19.0N 110.7E 80NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 45HF 261200UTC 19.4N 107.7E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 271200UTC 20.1N 102.1E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241600 UTC 00HR 19.4N 113.6E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 15KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 241645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 241500 UTC, TYPHOON DAMREY (0518) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (113.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 40 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (105.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271500 UTC ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (102.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 241645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 241500 UTC, TYPHOON DAMREY (0518) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (113.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 40 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (105.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271500 UTC ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (102.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. ** WTNT80 EGRR 241724 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.09.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA ANALYSED POSITION : 23.7N 153.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2005 23.7N 153.0W WEAK 00UTC 25.09.2005 24.5N 155.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.09.2005 25.3N 157.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.09.2005 26.5N 159.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM KENNETH ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 138.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2005 15.6N 138.3W MODERATE 00UTC 25.09.2005 16.0N 138.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.09.2005 16.2N 139.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.09.2005 16.2N 140.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2005 15.5N 141.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2005 15.3N 142.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.09.2005 16.0N 144.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2005 17.2N 145.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2005 19.0N 147.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2005 20.2N 148.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.09.2005 20.3N 151.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 30.09.2005 21.2N 154.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2005 21.9N 156.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 110.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2005 16.1N 110.4W MODERATE 00UTC 25.09.2005 17.0N 110.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2005 17.7N 111.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2005 18.7N 112.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2005 19.6N 113.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.09.2005 20.5N 114.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.09.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE RITA ANALYSED POSITION : 30.5N 94.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2005 30.0N 94.0W INTENSE 00UTC 25.09.2005 32.7N 94.4W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 25.09.2005 33.7N 92.9W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 26.09.2005 35.4N 91.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 26.09.2005 35.5N 89.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 27.09.2005 34.4N 88.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 27.09.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 28.7N 63.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2005 28.7N 63.0W WEAK 00UTC 25.09.2005 30.2N 59.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.09.2005 36.7N 48.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 26.09.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 12.8N 31.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2005 12.8N 31.9W WEAK 00UTC 25.09.2005 13.7N 34.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2005 15.2N 35.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2005 17.0N 38.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2005 17.9N 39.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2005 19.4N 41.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2005 20.2N 44.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2005 21.3N 47.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2005 22.7N 49.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.09.2005 23.2N 51.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2005 25.0N 52.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2005 25.0N 54.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2005 27.0N 55.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 241724 ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY DAMREY 0518 (0518) INITIAL TIME 241700 UTC 00HR 19.2N 113.5E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 15KM/H= ** WTNT33 KNHC 241745 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...RITA MOVING NORTHWARD... EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...BETWEEN SHREVEPORT AND LUFKIN TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. BEAUMONT TEXAS REPORTED GUSTS TO 55 MPH DURING THE PAST HOUR AND FORT POLK LOUISIANA REPORTED A GUST OF 58 MPH. NEW ORLEANS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT RECENTLY REPORTED A PEAK WIND OF 46 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.71 INCHES. THE COASTAL STORM FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. HOWEVER...TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS IN AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA COULD BE 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES... AND RESIDENTS THERE ARE EXPERIENCING COASTAL FLOODING. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RITA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST. RITA'S SLOW MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER LOCALIZED AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER FAR EASTERN TEXAS...LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSISSIPPI. REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...31.6 N... 94.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 241753 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A...CORRECTION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005 ...CORRECTION FOR WINDS IN THE REPEAT SECTION... ...RITA MOVING NORTHWARD... EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...BETWEEN SHREVEPORT AND LUFKIN TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. BEAUMONT TEXAS REPORTED GUSTS TO 55 MPH DURING THE PAST HOUR AND FORT POLK LOUISIANA REPORTED A GUST OF 58 MPH. NEW ORLEANS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT RECENTLY REPORTED A PEAK WIND OF 46 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.71 INCHES. THE COASTAL STORM FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. HOWEVER...TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS IN AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA COULD BE 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES... AND RESIDENTS THERE ARE EXPERIENCING COASTAL FLOODING. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RITA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST. RITA'S SLOW MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER LOCALIZED AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER FAR EASTERN TEXAS...LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSISSIPPI. REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...31.6 N... 94.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 241755 CCA *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL RITA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 28A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT SABADO 24 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2005 ...RITA MOVIENDOSE AL NORTE...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLUVIAS TORRENCIALES EN LOS PROXIMOS DIAS... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE HIGH ISLAND TEXAS HASTA MORGAN CITY LUISIANA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...CONSULTE LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LA 1 PM CDT...1800Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL RITA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 31.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 94.2 OESTE...ENTRE SHREVEPORT Y LUFKIN TEXAS. RITA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO A CERCA DE 65 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO EN LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 140 MILLAS. BEAUMONT TEXAS REPORTO RAFAGAS DE 55 MPH DURANTE LA HORA PASADA Y FORT POLK LUISIANA REPORTO UNA RAFAGA DE 58 MPH. EL AEROPUERTO INTERNACIONAL DE NEW ORLEANS REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE VIENTO MAXIMO DE 46 MPH. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 975 MILIBARAS...28.71 PULGADAS. LAS INUNDACIONES COSTERAS DEBEN CONTINUAR BAJANDO LENTAMENTE EN EL DIA DE HOY. SIN EMBARGO... EL OLEAJE A LO LARGO DE LAS COSTAS DEL SURESTE DE LUISIANA Y MISSISSIPPI EN LAS AREAS AFECTADAS POR KATRINA PODRIAN SER DE 4 A 6 PIES SOBRE LO NORMAL Y PUDIERAN ESTAR ACOMPANADAS POR OLAS GRANDES. LOS RESIDENTES EN ESA AREA ESTAN EXPERIMENTANDO INUNDACIONES COSTERAS. MAREJADAS GRANDES GENERADAS POR RITA PODRIAN CONTINUAR AFECTANDO LAS PORCIONES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. SE PRONOSTICA QUE EL MOVIMIENTO LENTO DE RITA GENERE LLUVIAS MUY FUERTES EN LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...CON ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS SOBRE EL ESTE DE TEXAS... EL OESTE DE LOUISIANA...Y EL SUR DE ARKANSAS. PUDIERAN OCURRIR ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA EN EXCESO DE 25 PULGADAS SOBRE AREAS LOCALIZADAS. CANTIDADES DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS CON TOTALES MAYORES DE LLUVIA SON POSIBLES SOBRE EL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA INCLUYENDO A LA ZONA METROPOLITANA DE NEW ORLEANS. TORNADOS AISLADOS SON POSIBLES HOY Y ESTA NOCHE...SOBRE EL ESTE DE TEXAS...LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE ARKANSAS Y MISSISSIPPI. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LA 1 PM CDT...31.6 NORTE...94.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO...HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MILLAS POR HORA. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...975 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ TRADUCCION: R.VAZQUEZ ** WTUS84 KLCH 241758 *** HLSLCH LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-242300- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1149 AM CST SAT SEP 24 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON...ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER... JASPER...AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...ST LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST MARTIN...CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...ST MARY...AND LOWER ST MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON... ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND FOR BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...VERMILION... IBERIA...SAINT MARY...LOWER SAINT MARTIN...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ALLEN...VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...LAFAYETTE...AND UPPER SAINT MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. A FEW GUSTS ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN TEXAS THROUGH LATE MORNING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT FOR EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...BETWEEN SHREVEPORT AND LUFKIN TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. BEAUMONT TEXAS REPORTED GUSTS TO 55 MPH DURING THE PAST HOUR AND FORT POLK LOUISIANA REPORTED A GUST OF 58 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.71 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN IN A STRONG BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AWAY FROM WINDOWS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES...STORM TIDES WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ALONG THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. CAMERON PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT 5 FEET OF WATER AND DEBRIS OVER HIGHWAY 27 NEAR THE GIBBSTOWN BRIDGE. STORM TIDES WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ALONG THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. CALCASIEU PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT 4 TO 6 FEET OF WATER AT THE LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. VERMILION PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER FROM DELCAMBRE TO PERRY...AS WELL AS SOUTH OF KAPLAN. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IBERIA PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER NEAR DELCAMBRE AND ALONG BAYOUS. THIS WILL SLOWLY FALL THIS AFTERNOON. ST. MARY PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER NEAR BURNS POINT AND CYPREMORT POINT ARE FLOODED AND REMAIN SO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH AND LOW TIDES AT: SABINE PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:30 PM/0.2 FT CALCASIEU PASS: SATURDAY LOW/2:44 PM/0.3 FT SOUTHWEST PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:35 PM/0.2 FT BASED ON THE PROJECTED STORM SURGE VALUES...MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF THE SABINE...NECHES...CALCASIEU AND MERMENTAU RIVERS. ...WIND IMPACTS... EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 60 MPH FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINBANDS MOVING IN FROM THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL. WITH SOME AREA GROUNDS ALREADY SATURATED...FLOODING REMAINS A RISK. IN ADDITION...RITA EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY SLOW DOWN ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA GENERATING VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER LOCALIZED AREAS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS STILL A THREAT OF TORNADOES ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION AS RAINBANDS MOVE INLAND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM RITA WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 PM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KLCH 241758 CCA *** HLSLCH LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-242300- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT...COR TIME NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1258 PM CST SAT SEP 24 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON...ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER... JASPER...AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...ST LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...UPPER ST MARTIN...CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...ST MARY...AND LOWER ST MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON... ORANGE...HARDIN...TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND FOR BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...VERMILION... IBERIA...SAINT MARY...LOWER SAINT MARTIN...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ALLEN...VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...LAFAYETTE...AND UPPER SAINT MARTIN PARISHES IN LOUISIANA. A FEW GUSTS ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN TEXAS THROUGH LATE MORNING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT FOR EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...BETWEEN SHREVEPORT AND LUFKIN TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. BEAUMONT TEXAS REPORTED GUSTS TO 55 MPH DURING THE PAST HOUR AND FORT POLK LOUISIANA REPORTED A GUST OF 58 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.71 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN IN A STRONG BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AWAY FROM WINDOWS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES...STORM TIDES WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ALONG THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. CAMERON PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT 5 FEET OF WATER AND DEBRIS OVER HIGHWAY 27 NEAR THE GIBBSTOWN BRIDGE. STORM TIDES WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ALONG THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON...BUT REMAIN 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. CALCASIEU PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT 4 TO 6 FEET OF WATER AT THE LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. VERMILION PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER FROM DELCAMBRE TO PERRY...AS WELL AS SOUTH OF KAPLAN. STORM SURGE WILL SLOWLY DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IBERIA PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER NEAR DELCAMBRE AND ALONG BAYOUS. THIS WILL SLOWLY FALL THIS AFTERNOON. ST. MARY PARISH...LOCAL OFFICIALS REPORT DEEP WATER NEAR BURNS POINT AND CYPREMORT POINT ARE FLOODED AND REMAIN SO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH AND LOW TIDES AT: SABINE PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:30 PM/0.2 FT CALCASIEU PASS: SATURDAY LOW/2:44 PM/0.3 FT SOUTHWEST PASS: SATURDAY LOW/3:35 PM/0.2 FT BASED ON THE PROJECTED STORM SURGE VALUES...MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF THE SABINE...NECHES...CALCASIEU AND MERMENTAU RIVERS. ...WIND IMPACTS... EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 60 MPH FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINBANDS MOVING IN FROM THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL. WITH SOME AREA GROUNDS ALREADY SATURATED...FLOODING REMAINS A RISK. IN ADDITION...RITA EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY SLOW DOWN ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA GENERATING VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER LOCALIZED AREAS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE CATASTROPHIC RIVER FLOODING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS STILL A THREAT OF TORNADOES ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION AS RAINBANDS MOVE INLAND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM RITA WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 PM CDT. $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 241759 CCA *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL RITA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 28A...CORRECCION NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT SABADO 24 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2005 ...CORRECCION POR LOS VIENTOS EN LA SECCION DE REPETICION... ...RITA MOVIENDOSE AL NORTE...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLUVIAS TORRENCIALES EN LOS PROXIMOS DIAS... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE HIGH ISLAND TEXAS HASTA MORGAN CITY LUISIANA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...CONSULTE LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LA 1 PM CDT...1800Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL RITA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 31.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 94.2 OESTE...ENTRE SHREVEPORT Y LUFKIN TEXAS. RITA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO A CERCA DE 65 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO EN LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 140 MILLAS. BEAUMONT TEXAS REPORTO RAFAGAS DE 55 MPH DURANTE LA HORA PASADA Y FORT POLK LUISIANA REPORTO UNA RAFAGA DE 58 MPH. EL AEROPUERTO INTERNACIONAL DE NEW ORLEANS REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE VIENTO MAXIMO DE 46 MPH. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 975 MILIBARAS...28.71 PULGADAS. LAS INUNDACIONES COSTERAS DEBEN CONTINUAR BAJANDO LENTAMENTE EN EL DIA DE HOY. SIN EMBARGO... EL OLEAJE A LO LARGO DE LAS COSTAS DEL SURESTE DE LUISIANA Y MISSISSIPPI EN LAS AREAS AFECTADAS POR KATRINA PODRIAN SER DE 4 A 6 PIES SOBRE LO NORMAL Y PUDIERAN ESTAR ACOMPANADAS POR OLAS GRANDES. LOS RESIDENTES EN ESA AREA ESTAN EXPERIMENTANDO INUNDACIONES COSTERAS. MAREJADAS GRANDES GENERADAS POR RITA PODRIAN CONTINUAR AFECTANDO LAS PORCIONES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. SE PRONOSTICA QUE EL MOVIMIENTO LENTO DE RITA GENERE LLUVIAS MUY FUERTES EN LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...CON ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS SOBRE EL ESTE DE TEXAS... EL OESTE DE LOUISIANA...Y EL SUR DE ARKANSAS. PUDIERAN OCURRIR ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA EN EXCESO DE 25 PULGADAS SOBRE AREAS LOCALIZADAS. CANTIDADES DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS CON TOTALES MAYORES DE LLUVIA SON POSIBLES SOBRE EL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA INCLUYENDO A LA ZONA METROPOLITANA DE NEW ORLEANS. TORNADOS AISLADOS SON POSIBLES HOY Y ESTA NOCHE...SOBRE EL ESTE DE TEXAS...LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE ARKANSAS Y MISSISSIPPI. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LA 1 PM CDT...31.6 NORTE...94.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO...HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MILLAS POR HORA. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...975 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ TRADUCCION: R.VAZQUEZ