** WTCA41 TJSJ 132359 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN HURACAN OPHELIA ADVERTENCIA ESPECIAL NUMERO 31 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT MARTES 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2005 ...UN AVION CAZAHURANES DE NOAA ENCONTRO QUE OPHELIA ALCANZO FUERZA DE HURACAN... ...AVISOS DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA EL NORTE... A LAS 5:30 PM EDT...2130Z...EL AVISO DE HURACAN FUE EXTENDIDO HACIA EL NORTE HASTA OREGON INLET...INCLUYENDO PAMLICO SOUND. ESTA AHORA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE DESDE EL RIO SOUTH SANTEE CAROLINA DEL SUR HASTA OREGON INLET CAROLINA...INCLUYENDO PAMLICO SOUND. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. ESTAN AHORA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN Y UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL NORTE DE OREGON INLET HASTA LA FRONTERA ENTRE CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y VIRGINIA...INCLUYENDO ALBEMARLE SOUND. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL SUR DEL RIO SOUTH SANTEE HASTA EDICTO BEACH CAROLINA DEL SUR. ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL NORTE DE LA FRONTERA ENTRE CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y VIRGINIA HASTA CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUYENDO CHESAPEAKE BAY AL SUR DE NEW POINT COMFORT. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES HURACANADAS DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 5:30 PM EDT...2130Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN OPHELIA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 32.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 78.1 OESTE O COMO A 110 MILLAS AL SUR DE WILMINTONG CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y COMO A 110 MILLAS AL ESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR. OPHELIA SE ESTA MOVIENDO LENTAMENTE HACIA EL NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 4 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE PARA EL MIERCOLES. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CORRIENTES CONDUCTORAS PERMANECEN DEBILES...ASI QUE SERIA POSIBLE UN MOVIMIENTO ERRATICO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 75 MPH...120 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. OPHELIA ES AHORA UN HURACAN CATEGORIA UNO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. ALGUN LENTO FORTALECIMIENTO ES POSIBLE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 45 MILLAS FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 160 MILLAS DEL CENTRO. LOS VIENTOS MAS FUERTES DE OPHELIA ESTAN LOCALIZADOS RELATIVAMENTE LEJOS DEL CENTRO...ENTRE 50 A 60 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y ESTOS VIENTOS LLEGARAN A LA LINEA COSTERA MUCHO ANTES QUE EL CENTRO LLEGUE A LA COSTA. DURANTE LA PASADA HORA...LA BOYA DE LA NOAA 41004 LOCALIZADA AL ESTE-SURESTE DE CHARLESTON INFORMO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 50 MPH CON UNA RAFAGA DE 65 MPH...MIENTRAS QUE LA BOYA DE NOAA 41013 LOCALIZADA AL SUR-SURESTE DE CAPE FEAR REPORTO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 47 MPH CON UNA RAFAGA DE 58 MPH. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR EL AVION DE RECONOCIMENTO FUE DE 985 MB...29.09 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 5 A 7 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLES EN AREAS DONDE EL VIENTO SOPLA HACIA LA COSTA EN ASOCIACION CON OPHELIA. ES POSIBLE UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE HASTA 8 A 10 PIES EN LAS CABECERAS DE BAHIAS Y RIOS. SE ESPERA QUE OPHELIA PRODUZCA CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 6 A 10 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE LOS SECTORES ALEJADOS DEL NORESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR Y DEL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE...CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE LLUVIAS AISLADAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SOBRE LA PARTE ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS A LO LARGO DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE ESTA NOCHE O EL MIERCOLES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5:30 PM EDT...32.6 NORTE...78.1 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 4 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...75 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...985 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 8 PM EDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTSR20 WSSS 131800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTUS82 KCHS 140023 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-370-SCZ044-045-050-140400- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 823 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ..OPHELIA MOVING VERY LITTLE... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN BERKELEY...DORCHESTER AND CHARLESTON COUNTIES AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE ALONG AND NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SLOW MOVING AND ERRATIC TROPICAL STORM. PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE COASTAL COUNTIES SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 40 NM OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE IN THE RANGE OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KNOTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. WITHIN RAIN BANDS...WINDS IN BERKELEY AND CHARLESTON COUNTIES WILL BE NORTH AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. FURTHER INLAND AND OUTSIDE OF RAIN BANDS...WINDS WILL LIGHTER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NO SIGNIFICANT TIDE OR STORM SURGE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. ...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST THROUGH TONIGHT. DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT AND THEREFORE PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER. SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 20 NM WILL BE IN THE TO 7 TO 12 FOOT RANGE THROUGH TONIGHT. BEYOND 20 NM...SEAS WILL APPROACH 18 FT. AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT...ANY ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO BE MINOR. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A SMALL AREA OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED NEAR MCCLELLANVILLE IN CHARLESTON COUNTY. OTHERWISE...RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON BY MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON OPHELIA CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ ** WTUS82 KCHS 140028 CCA *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-370-SCZ044-045-050-140400- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 828 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...OPHELIA MOVING VERY LITTLE... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN BERKELEY...DORCHESTER AND CHARLESTON COUNTIES AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE ALONG AND NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SLOW MOVING AND ERRATIC TROPICAL STORM. PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE COASTAL COUNTIES SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 40 NM OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE IN THE RANGE OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KNOTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. WITHIN RAIN BANDS...WINDS IN BERKELEY AND CHARLESTON COUNTIES WILL BE NORTH AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. FURTHER INLAND AND OUTSIDE OF RAIN BANDS...WINDS WILL LIGHTER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NO SIGNIFICANT TIDE OR STORM SURGE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. ...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST THROUGH TONIGHT. DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT AND THEREFORE PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER. SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 20 NM WILL BE IN THE TO 7 TO 12 FOOT RANGE THROUGH TONIGHT. BEYOND 20 NM...SEAS WILL APPROACH 18 FT. AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT...ANY ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO BE MINOR. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A SMALL AREA OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED NEAR MCCLELLANVILLE IN CHARLESTON COUNTY. OTHERWISE...RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON BY MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON OPHELIA CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ ** WTUS81 KAKQ 140031 *** HLSAKQ ANZ632-633-656-658-NCZ015>017-030>032-102-VAZ091-094-095-097-098- 140430- HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 831 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 $$ ...HURRICANE OPHELIA MOVING CLOSER TO THE CAROLINA COASTLINE... ...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT...THE CURRITUCK SOUND AND FOR CURRITUCK COUNTY AND COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE NORTHERN ALBEMARLE SOUND... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA... VIRGINIA BORDER NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR THE RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...IN COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND CURRITUCK SOUND. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES ARE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH... BERTIE...CHOWAN...PERQUIMANS...PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...AND CURRITUCK. THE FOLLOWING VIRGINIA COUNTIES AND INDEPENDENT CITIES ARE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH... VIRGINIA BEACH...CHESAPEAKE...NORFOLK...PORTSMOUTH...HAMPTON...POQUOSON... YORK...NEWPORT NEWS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH...TROPICAL STORM WATCH...MEANS THAT THE HURRICANE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE DEFINED AS SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 39 AND 73 MPH. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE DEFINED AS SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS...WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. SOME TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...AND FORECASTED WATER LEVELS REFERENCED TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...FOR SOME LOCATIONS ARE AS FOLLOWS... SEWELLS POINT...WEDNESDAY 649 PM...5.2 FEET...THURSDAY 712 AM... 4.7 FEET...THURSDAY 5.2 FEET. VIRGINIA BEACH...WEDNESDAY 525 PM...6.2 FEET...THURSDAY 553 AM... 5.7 FEET. SOUTHERN CURRITUCK...WEDNESDAY 457 PM...6.0 FEET...THURSDAY 524 AM...5.4 FEET. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL LIKELY OVERSPREAD NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY...FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS...AND ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW HIGHER GUSTS...PERHAPS TO HURRICANE FORCE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OUTER CURRITUCK COUNTY...AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...RAINFALL... THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. COASTAL SECTIONS AND COUNTIES BORDERING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND COULD SEE WIDESPREAD 3 TO 6 INCHS OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... NEARSHORE WAVES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND NEAR 10 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THIS HIGH SURF WILL LIKELY CAUSE MINOR TO POSSIBLY MODERATE BEACH EROSION. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL FOLLOW BY MIDNIGHT. STAY TUNED TO UPDATES ON HURRICANE OPHELIA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...LOCAL MEDIA...AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT WAKEFIELD. $$ 44 ** WTUS82 KILM 140035 *** HLSILM AMZ250-252-254-256-NCZ097-099>101-SCZ032>034-039-046-140330- TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 835 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...OPHELIA INCHES TOWARD THE COASTLINE... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MYRTLE BEACH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 985 MB OR 29.09 INCHES. OPHELIA IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES. BECAUSE OF THE SLOW MOTION OF THE HURRICANE AND THE RELATIVELY LARGE EXTENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE BROAD CENTER OF OPHELIA WITHIN 20 TO 30 MILES OF THE CAPE FEAR COAST AT ITS CLOSEST APPROACH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTEND FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY IN NORTH CAROLINA...AND INCLUDE THE COUNTIES OF GEORGETOWN...HORRY...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND PENDER. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BLADEN... COLUMBUS...MARION...FLORENCE AND WILLIAMSBURG COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BLADEN...PENDER...COLUMBUS... BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND HORRY COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGETOWN...HORRY...MARION...FLORENCE AND WILLIAMSBURG. AND IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS...AND BLADEN. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OVER LONG BAY...AND WILL REACH THE IMMEDIATE COAST BEFORE MIDNIGHT...THEN SPREAD FARTHER INLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS OF LONG BAY...OR AREAS SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS OF ONSLOW BAY NORTH OF CAPE FEAR FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. ...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL COMBINE WITH LOCALLY DRIVEN WIND WAVES TO PRODUCE SEAS OF 11 TO 17 FEET ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. AT OPHELIAS CLOSEST APPROACH LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...SEAS WILL FURTHER BUILD TO 13 TO 20 FEET. MARINERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT. THE LARGE SURF COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS...WILL CREATE STRONG LONG SHORE CURRENTS AND RIP CURRENTS. AS A RESULT...PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WATER LEVELS ALONG NEW HANOVER...PENDER...HORRY AND GEORGETOWN COUNTIES WILL RUN 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED ASTRONOMICAL TIDES TONIGHT. ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF BRUNSWICK THE TIDES ARE RUNNING 2 TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE...AROUND 430 AM WEDNESDAY...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ACROSS FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE NORTH END OF CAROLINA BEACH...AND ROADWAYS BORDERING MARSHES AND SOUNDS. STORM SURGE FROM CAPE FEAR NORTHWARD...COULD RISE TO 5 TO 6 FEET WEDNESDAY DURING OPHELIAS CLOSEST APPROACH. IN BRUNSWICK ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES THE SURGE WILL BE 3 TO 4 FEET AND ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF BALD HEAD ISLAND BETWEEN 6 AND 6.5 FEET. FOR THE LATEST STORM AND FLOOD INFORMATION VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... BUILDING SURF CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY... WITH 7 TO 10 FOOT BREAKERS NORTH OF CAPE FEAR...AND 4 TO 8 FEET SOUTH OF THE CAPE. MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AREA BEACHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE EAST FACING BEACHES WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE...MAINLY ACROSS PENDER AND NEW HANOVER COUNTIES...AND BALD HEAD ISLAND. BEACHES SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR...WILL SEE A NORTHERLY PREVAILING WIND. THIS WILL AID IN KNOCKING DOWN THE SURF...ENOUGH TO KEEP EROSION IN THE SLIGHT TO MODERATE CATEGORIES. ...RAINFALL... THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA COULD SEE WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS COASTAL NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA COULD SEE 4 TO 8 INCHES. LOCATIONS FARTHER INLAND...ESPECIALLY WEST OF I-95...WILL RECEIVE CONSIDERABLY LESS RAINFALL. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AROUND 1130 PM. $$ MAC ** WTUS82 KILM 140036 CCA *** HLSILM AMZ250-252-254-256-NCZ097-099>101-SCZ032>034-039-046-140330- HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 835 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...OPHELIA INCHES TOWARD THE COASTLINE... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MYRTLE BEACH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 985 MB OR 29.09 INCHES. OPHELIA IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES. BECAUSE OF THE SLOW MOTION OF THE HURRICANE AND THE RELATIVELY LARGE EXTENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE BROAD CENTER OF OPHELIA WITHIN 20 TO 30 MILES OF THE CAPE FEAR COAST AT ITS CLOSEST APPROACH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTEND FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY IN NORTH CAROLINA...AND INCLUDE THE COUNTIES OF GEORGETOWN...HORRY...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND PENDER. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BLADEN... COLUMBUS...MARION...FLORENCE AND WILLIAMSBURG COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BLADEN...PENDER...COLUMBUS... BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND HORRY COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGETOWN...HORRY...MARION...FLORENCE AND WILLIAMSBURG. AND IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS...AND BLADEN. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OVER LONG BAY...AND WILL REACH THE IMMEDIATE COAST BEFORE MIDNIGHT...THEN SPREAD FARTHER INLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS OF LONG BAY...OR AREAS SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS OF ONSLOW BAY NORTH OF CAPE FEAR FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. ...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL COMBINE WITH LOCALLY DRIVEN WIND WAVES TO PRODUCE SEAS OF 11 TO 17 FEET ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. AT OPHELIAS CLOSEST APPROACH LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...SEAS WILL FURTHER BUILD TO 13 TO 20 FEET. MARINERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT. THE LARGE SURF COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS...WILL CREATE STRONG LONG SHORE CURRENTS AND RIP CURRENTS. AS A RESULT...PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WATER LEVELS ALONG NEW HANOVER...PENDER...HORRY AND GEORGETOWN COUNTIES WILL RUN 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED ASTRONOMICAL TIDES TONIGHT. ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF BRUNSWICK THE TIDES ARE RUNNING 2 TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE...AROUND 430 AM WEDNESDAY...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ACROSS FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE NORTH END OF CAROLINA BEACH...AND ROADWAYS BORDERING MARSHES AND SOUNDS. STORM SURGE FROM CAPE FEAR NORTHWARD...COULD RISE TO 5 TO 6 FEET WEDNESDAY DURING OPHELIAS CLOSEST APPROACH. IN BRUNSWICK ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES THE SURGE WILL BE 3 TO 4 FEET AND ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF BALD HEAD ISLAND BETWEEN 6 AND 6.5 FEET. FOR THE LATEST STORM AND FLOOD INFORMATION VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... BUILDING SURF CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY... WITH 7 TO 10 FOOT BREAKERS NORTH OF CAPE FEAR...AND 4 TO 8 FEET SOUTH OF THE CAPE. MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AREA BEACHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE EAST FACING BEACHES WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE...MAINLY ACROSS PENDER AND NEW HANOVER COUNTIES...AND BALD HEAD ISLAND. BEACHES SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR...WILL SEE A NORTHERLY PREVAILING WIND. THIS WILL AID IN KNOCKING DOWN THE SURF...ENOUGH TO KEEP EROSION IN THE SLIGHT TO MODERATE CATEGORIES. ...RAINFALL... THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA COULD SEE WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS COASTAL NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA COULD SEE 4 TO 8 INCHES. LOCATIONS FARTHER INLAND...ESPECIALLY WEST OF I-95...WILL RECEIVE CONSIDERABLY LESS RAINFALL. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AROUND 1130 PM. $$ MAC ** WTUS81 KAKQ 140057 CCA *** HLSAKQ ANZ632-633-656-658-NCZ015>017-030>032-102-VAZ091-094-095-097-098- 140430- HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 831 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...HURRICANE OPHELIA MOVING CLOSER TO THE CAROLINA COASTLINE... ...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT...THE CURRITUCK SOUND AND FOR CURRITUCK COUNTY AND COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE NORTHERN ALBEMARLE SOUND... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA... VIRGINIA BORDER NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR THE RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...IN COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND CURRITUCK SOUND. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES ARE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH... BERTIE...CHOWAN...PERQUIMANS...PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...AND CURRITUCK. THE FOLLOWING VIRGINIA COUNTIES AND INDEPENDENT CITIES ARE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH... VIRGINIA BEACH...CHESAPEAKE...NORFOLK...PORTSMOUTH...HAMPTON...POQUOSON... YORK...NEWPORT NEWS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH...TROPICAL STORM WATCH...MEANS THAT THE HURRICANE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE DEFINED AS SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 39 AND 73 MPH. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE DEFINED AS SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS...WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. SOME TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...AND FORECASTED WATER LEVELS REFERENCED TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...FOR SOME LOCATIONS ARE AS FOLLOWS... SEWELLS POINT...WEDNESDAY 649 PM...5.2 FEET...THURSDAY 712 AM... 4.7 FEET...THURSDAY 5.2 FEET. VIRGINIA BEACH...WEDNESDAY 525 PM...6.2 FEET...THURSDAY 553 AM... 5.7 FEET. SOUTHERN CURRITUCK...WEDNESDAY 457 PM...6.0 FEET...THURSDAY 524 AM...5.4 FEET. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL LIKELY OVERSPREAD NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY...FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS...AND ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW HIGHER GUSTS...PERHAPS TO HURRICANE FORCE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OUTER CURRITUCK COUNTY...AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...RAINFALL... THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. COASTAL SECTIONS AND COUNTIES BORDERING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND COULD SEE WIDESPREAD 3 TO 6 INCHS OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... NEARSHORE WAVES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND NEAR 10 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THIS HIGH SURF WILL LIKELY CAUSE MINOR TO POSSIBLY MODERATE BEACH EROSION. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL FOLLOW BY MIDNIGHT. STAY TUNED TO UPDATES ON HURRICANE OPHELIA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...LOCAL MEDIA...AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT WAKEFIELD. $$ 44 ** WTCA41 TJSJ 140132 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN HURACAN OPHELIA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 31A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT MARTES 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2005 ...OPHELIA SE DIRIGE HACIA LA LINEA COSTERA... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE EL RIO SOUTH SANTEE CAROLINA DEL SUR HASTA OREGON INLET CAROLINA DEL NORTE...INCLUYENDO PAMLICO SOUND. ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN Y UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL NORTE DE OREGON INLET HACIA EL NORTE HASTA LA FRONTERA ENTRE CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y VIRGINIA...INCLUYENDO ALBEMARLE SOUND...Y DESDE EL SUR DEL RIO SOUTH SANTEE HASTA EDISTO BEACH CAROLINA DEL SUR ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL NORTE DE LA FRONTERA ENTRE CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y VIRGINIA HASTA CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUYENDO CHESAPEAKE BAY AL SUR DE NEW POINT COMFORT. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES HURACANADAS DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 8 PM EDT...0000Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN OPHELIA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 32.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 78.2 OESTE O COMO A 110 MILLAS AL SUR DE WILMINTONG CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y COMO A 105 MILLAS AL ESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR Y COMO A 110 MILLAS AL SUR DE WILMINGTON CAROLINA DEL NORTE. OPHELIA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 3 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL NORTE PARA EL MIERCOLES. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CORRIENTES CONDUCTORAS PERMANECEN DEBILES...ASI QUE ES POSIBLE UN MOVIMIENTO ERRATICO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 75 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. OPHELIA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA UNO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE ESPERA POCO CAMBIO EN INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 50 MILLAS FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 160 MILLAS DEL CENTRO. DEBIDO AL LENTO MOVIMIENTO DEL HURACAN Y A LA EXTENSA COBERTURA DE LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS...LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN PODRIAN LLEGAR A LA COSTA MUCHO ANTES QUE EL CENTRO. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR EL AVION DE RECONOCIMENTO FUE DE 985 MB...29.09 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 5 A 7 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLES EN AREAS DONDE EL VIENTO SOPLA HACIA LA COSTA EN ASOCIACION CON OPHELIA. ES POSIBLE UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE HASTA 8 A 10 PIES EN LAS CABECERAS DE BAHIAS Y RIOS. SE ESPERA QUE OPHELIA PRODUZCA CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 6 A 10 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE LOS SECTORES DEL EXTREMO NORESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR Y SOBRE EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE...CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE LLUVIAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SOBRE LA PARTE ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS A LO LARGO DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE ESTA NOCHE O EL MIERCOLES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 8 PM EDT...32.7 NORTE...78.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 3 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...75 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...985 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTPZ45 KNHC 140228 *** TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 13 2005 A TRMM MICROWAVE PASS AT 2259Z INDICATED RAINBANDS ARE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AROUND THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION. THE APPEARANCE ON MICROWAVE MIGHT BE A BIT DECEIVING GIVEN THE MORE DISHEVELED LOOK OF THE DEPRESSION ON SATELLITE WITH FADING CONVECTION TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...DVORAK T NUMBERS ARE NOT YET AT TROPICAL-STORM STRENGTH FROM ALL AGENCIES AND WE WOULD PREFER TO WAIT UNTIL RECEIVING CONSENSUS TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY ESTIMATES BEFORE UPGRADING THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER LIGHT SHEAR AND WARM WATER IS IN THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION AND IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS A BLEND BETWEEN THE GFDL... WHICH TURNS TEN-E INTO A HURRICANE BY 48 HOURS... AND THE SHIPS MODEL WHICH NEVER GETS ABOVE 58 KT. THE INITIAL SPEED HAS PICKED UP A LITTLE...NOW ABOUT 265/12. A STRONG MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE...SITUATED TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE...CONTINUES TO FORCE A SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF WESTWARD MOVEMENT. TRACK GUIDANCE IS A BIT FASTER THAN THE EARLIER WITH THE GFS SIGNIFICANTLY FASTER AS IT MOVES THE MIDDLE-LEVEL RIDGE WESTWARD MORE IN TANDEM WITH THE CYCLONE. OTHER MODELS ARE ALSO FASTER SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS TREND...CLOSE TO THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE NOGAPS. A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE RIDGE IS POSSIBLE IN THE MEDIUM RANGE WITH A MOTION MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BEYOND 96 HOURS OR SO. THE POSSIBILITY OF A BINARY INTERACTION WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 525 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TEN-E APPEARS TO BE LESSENING TONIGHT. THIS IS BECAUSE THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WESTWARD FASTER THAN THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING...FURTHER INCREASING THE DISTANCE BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS. FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 14.2N 124.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 14/1200Z 14.1N 125.5W 35 KT 24HR VT 15/0000Z 14.0N 127.5W 45 KT 36HR VT 15/1200Z 14.0N 130.0W 50 KT 48HR VT 16/0000Z 14.0N 132.5W 55 KT 72HR VT 17/0000Z 14.0N 137.0W 60 KT 96HR VT 18/0000Z 14.0N 141.0W 60 KT 120HR VT 19/0000Z 14.5N 145.0W 60 KT $$ ** WTPZ25 KNHC 140228 *** TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102005 0300Z WED SEP 14 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 124.0W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 124.0W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 123.4W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.1N 125.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.0N 127.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 35SE 35SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.0N 132.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.0N 137.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 14.0N 141.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 14.5N 145.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 124.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT21 KNHC 140238 *** TCMAT1 HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005 0300Z WED SEP 14 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND...AND SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA... INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 78.0W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 45SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 45NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 225SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 78.0W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 78.1W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.4N 77.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.4N 76.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.1N 75.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.7N 74.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 38.0N 70.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 45NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 42.5N 61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 47.0N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 78.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT71 KNHC 140239 *** SPFAT1 HURRICANE OPHELIA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 34.4N 76.9W 31 1 X X 32 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 4 6 10 35.1N 75.8W 12 7 1 1 21 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 7 8 35.7N 74.3W 1 8 5 2 16 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 7 7 BERMUDA X X X 3 3 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 6 6 SAVANNAH GA X 1 1 1 3 NANTUCKET MA X X X 6 6 CHARLESTON SC 8 3 1 X 12 HYANNIS MA X X X 6 6 MYRTLE BEACH SC 45 X X X 45 BOSTON MA X X X 6 6 WILMINGTON NC 42 X 1 X 43 PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4 MOREHEAD CITY NC 25 1 1 X 27 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 3 3 CAPE HATTERAS NC 9 8 2 1 20 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2 NORFOLK VA 2 8 5 1 16 YARMOUTH NS X X X 2 2 OCEAN CITY MD X 1 7 4 12 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT31 KNHC 140240 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...OPHELIA NEARLY STATIONARY WITH STRONG RAINBANDS JUST OFFSHORE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND...AND SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA... INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS...HOWEVER...A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER... STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. BECAUSE OF THE SLOW MOTION OF THE HURRICANE AND THE RELATIVELY LARGE EXTENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS. OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...32.6 N... 78.0 W. MOVEMENT ...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT81 KNHC 140241 *** TCVAT1 OPHELIA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 .HURRICANE OPHELIA NCC019-031-055-095-129-133-141-SCC043-051-AMZ152-154-156-158-250- 252-254-256-140900- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 SOUTH-SANTEE-RIVER-SC 33.12N 79.27W OREGON-INLET-NC 35.76N 75.51W $$ SCC015-019-035-AMZ330-350-140900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 EDISTO-BEACH-SC 32.49N 80.32W SOUTH-SANTEE-RIVER-SC 33.12N 79.27W $$ NCC053-AMZ150-ANZ633-658-140900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 OREGON-INLET-NC 35.76N 75.51W NC/VA-BORDER 36.55N 75.87W $$ VAC810-ANZ632-656-140900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 NC/VA-BORDER 36.55N 75.87W CAPE-CHARLES-LIGHT-VA 37.12N 75.90W $$ NCC013-049-137-AMZ135-140900- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 PAMLICO-SOUND-NC 35.35N 75.85W $$ NCC029-139-177-187-AMZ130-140900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ALBEMARLE-SOUND-NC 36.05N 76.00W $$ VAC073-093-199-550-650-700-710-735-740-140900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 CHESAPEAKE-BAY-NEW-POINT-CO-VA 37.10N 76.15W $$ ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...ILM...CHS... ** WTNT41 KNHC 140250 *** TCDAT1 HURRICANE OPHELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 THERE HAS BEEN NO INCREASE IN OPHELIA'S WINDS SINCE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE PEAK 700 MB WIND OBSERVED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS WAS 76 KT. THE NOAA P3 MEASURED SURFACE WINDS OF 63 KT WITH THE SFMR AT 2243Z...AND THE NWS/WILMINGTON DOPPLER RADAR IS SHOWING 85 KT AT 7000 FT. ALL THIS SUGGESTS THAT OPHELIA IS MAINTAINING AN INTENSITY NEAR 65 KT. HOWEVER...ON THE MOST RECENT PASS THROUGH THE STORM THE MINIMUM PRESSURE HAD FALLEN TO 982 MB...AND THE EYEWALL HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED ON RADAR DURING THE PAST HOUR OR SO. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN REMAINS STRONG. IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT OPHELIA WILL STRENGTHEN A BIT PRIOR TO LANDFALL...ALTHOUGH MARGINAL SSTS SHOULD HELP TO MITIGATE AGAINST ANY RAPID CHANGES. THERE HAS BEEN VIRTUALLY NO MOTION OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. 00Z RAOBS AND OFFSHORE DATA FROM THE GULFSTREAM-IV JET SHOW THAT THE 500 MB HIGH THAT HAD BEEN NORTH OF THE CYCLONE HAS MOVED EASTWARD AND IS NOW LOCATED SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. THIS...COUPLED WITH THE APPROACH OF A MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES... SHOULD ALLOW A NORTHERLY MOTION TO RESUME SOON. THIS TROUGH WILL NOT BE DEEP ENOUGH TO SIGNIFICANTLY ACCELERATE THE CYCLONE... HOWEVER...AND THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN AN EXCRUCIATINGLY LONG PASSAGE OF THE HURRICANE ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE SLOW MOTION...COUPLED WITH THE RATHER LARGE RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WIND...IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN EXTENDED PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH WINDS AT OR NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...OVER MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO...BUT SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND LIES ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE MAJOR MODEL GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 32.6N 78.0W 65 KT 12HR VT 14/1200Z 33.4N 77.8W 70 KT 24HR VT 15/0000Z 34.4N 76.9W 70 KT 36HR VT 15/1200Z 35.1N 75.8W 65 KT 48HR VT 16/0000Z 35.7N 74.3W 65 KT 72HR VT 17/0000Z 38.0N 70.0W 60 KT 96HR VT 18/0000Z 42.5N 61.5W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 19/0000Z 47.0N 51.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 140252 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN HURACAN OPHELIA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 32 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1100 PM EDT MARTES 13 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2005 ...OPHELIA CASI ESTACIONARIA CON FUERTES BANDAS DE LLUVIAS JUSTO FUERA DE LA COSTA... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE EL RIO SOUTH SANTEE CAROLINA DEL SUR HASTA OREGON INLET CAROLINA DEL NORTE...INCLUYENDO PAMLICO SOUND. ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN Y UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL NORTE DE OREGON INLET HACIA EL NORTE HASTA LA FRONTERA ENTRE CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y VIRGINIA...INCLUYENDO ALBEMARLE SOUND...Y DESDE EL SUR DEL RIO SOUTH SANTEE HASTA EDISTO BEACH CAROLINA DEL SUR ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL NORTE DE LA FRONTERA ENTRE CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y VIRGINIA HASTA CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUYENDO CHESAPEAKE BAY AL SUR DE NEW POINT COMFORT. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES HURACANADAS DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 11 PM EDT...0300Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN OPHELIA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 32.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 78.8 OESTE O COMO A 115 MILLAS AL ESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR Y COMO A 110 MILLAS AL SUR DE WILMINGTON CAROLINA DEL NORTE. OPHELIA HA ESTADO ESTACIONARIA DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS. SIN EMBARGO...SE ESPERA UN LENTO MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL NORTE ESTA NOCHE. SIN EMBARGO...LAS CORRIENTES CONDUCTORAS PERMANECEN DEBILES...ASI QUE ES POSIBLE UN MOVIMIENTO ERRATICO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 75 MPH...120 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. OPHELIA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA UNO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. ALGUN AUMENTO EN INTENSIDAD ES POSIBLE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 50 MILLAS FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 160 MILLAS DEL CENTRO. DEBIDO AL LENTO MOVIMIENTO DEL HURACAN Y A LA EXTENSA COBERTURA DE LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS...LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN PODRIAN LLEGAR A LA COSTA MUCHO ANTES QUE EL CENTRO. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 982 MB...29.00 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 5 A 7 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLES EN AREAS DONDE EL VIENTO SOPLA HACIA LA COSTA EN ASOCIACION CON OPHELIA. ES POSIBLE UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE HASTA 8 A 10 PIES EN LAS CABECERAS DE BAHIAS Y RIOS. SE ESPERA QUE OPHELIA PRODUZCA CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL EXTREMO NORESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR Y SOBRE EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE...CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE LLUVIAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SOBRE SECTORES COSTEROS DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS A LO LARGO DE LAS AREAS COSTERAS DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE EL MIERCOLES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 11 PM EDT...32.6 NORTE...78.0 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO...ESTACIONARIA. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...75 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...982 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 2 AM EDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 5 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KILM 140300 CCA *** HLSILM AMZ250-252-254-256-NCZ097-099>101-SCZ032>034-039-046-140730- HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1105 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...OPHELIA NEARLY STATIONARY WITH STRONG RAINBANDS JUST OFFSHORE... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MYRTLE BEACH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 982 MB OR 29.00 INCHES. OPHELIA HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS...HOWEVER...A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. BECAUSE OF THE SLOW MOTION OF THE HURRICANE AND THE RELATIVELY LARGE EXTENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE BROAD CENTER OF OPHELIA WITHIN 25 TO 30 MILES OF THE CAPE FEAR COAST AT ITS CLOSEST APPROACH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTEND FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY IN NORTH CAROLINA...AND INCLUDE THE COUNTIES OF GEORGETOWN...HORRY...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND PENDER. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BLADEN... COLUMBUS...MARION...FLORENCE AND WILLIAMSBURG COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BLADEN...PENDER...COLUMBUS... BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND HORRY COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGETOWN...HORRY...MARION...FLORENCE AND WILLIAMSBURG. AND IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS...AND BLADEN. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OVER LONG BAY...AND WILL REACH THE IMMEDIATE COAST AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN SPREAD FARTHER INLAND WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS OF LONG BAY...OR AREAS SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS OF ONSLOW BAY NORTH OF CAPE FEAR FROM MID WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. ...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL COMBINE WITH LOCALLY DRIVEN WIND WAVES TO PRODUCE SEAS OF 11 TO 17 FEET ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. AT OPHELIAS CLOSEST APPROACH LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...SEAS WILL FURTHER BUILD TO 13 TO 20 FEET. MARINERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT. THE LARGE SURF COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS...WILL CREATE STRONG LONG SHORE CURRENTS AND RIP CURRENTS. AS A RESULT...PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WATER LEVELS ALONG NEW HANOVER...PENDER...HORRY AND GEORGETOWN COUNTIES WILL RUN 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED ASTRONOMICAL TIDES TONIGHT. ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF BRUNSWICK THE TIDES ARE RUNNING 2 TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE...AROUND 430 AM WEDNESDAY...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ACROSS FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE NORTH END OF CAROLINA BEACH...AND ROADWAYS BORDERING MARSHES AND SOUNDS. STORM SURGE FROM CAPE FEAR NORTHWARD...COULD RISE TO 5 TO 6 FEET WEDNESDAY DURING OPHELIAS CLOSEST APPROACH. IN BRUNSWICK ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES THE SURGE WILL BE 3 TO 4 FEET AND ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF BALD HEAD ISLAND BETWEEN 6 AND 6.5 FEET. FOR THE LATEST STORM AND FLOOD INFORMATION VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... BUILDING SURF CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY... WITH 7 TO 10 FOOT BREAKERS NORTH OF CAPE FEAR...AND 4 TO 8 FEET SOUTH OF THE CAPE. MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AREA BEACHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE EAST FACING BEACHES WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE...MAINLY ACROSS PENDER AND NEW HANOVER COUNTIES...AND BALD HEAD ISLAND. BEACHES SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR...WILL SEE A NORTHERLY PREVAILING WIND. THIS WILL AID IN KNOCKING DOWN THE SURF...ENOUGH TO KEEP EROSION IN THE SLIGHT TO MODERATE CATEGORIES. ...RAINFALL... THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA COULD SEE WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS COASTAL NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA COULD SEE 4 TO 8 INCHES. LOCATIONS FARTHER INLAND...ESPECIALLY WEST OF I-95...WILL RECEIVE CONSIDERABLY LESS RAINFALL. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AROUND 330 AM. $$ MAC ** WTUS82 KCHS 140302 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-370-SCZ044-045-050-140730- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 1102 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ..OPHELIA CONTINUES TO MEANDER OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF BERKELEY...DORCHESTER AND CHARLESTON COUNTIES AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OPHELIA HAS MOVED VERY LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER... THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO START DRIFTING TO THE NORTH DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SINCE THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE STILL WEAK...SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS STILL POSSIBLE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE ALONG AND NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SLOW MOVING AND ERRATIC HURRICANE. PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE COASTAL COUNTIES SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 40 NM OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE IN THE RANGE OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KNOTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. WITHIN RAIN BANDS...WINDS IN BERKELEY AND CHARLESTON COUNTIES WILL BE NORTH AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. FURTHER INLAND AND OUTSIDE OF RAIN BANDS...WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NO SIGNIFICANT TIDE OR STORM SURGE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. ...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST THROUGH TONIGHT. DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT AND THEREFORE PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER. SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 20 NM WILL BE IN THE TO 7 TO 12 FOOT RANGE THROUGH TONIGHT. BEYOND 20 NM...SEAS WILL APPROACH 18 FT. AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT...ANY ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO BE MINOR. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A SMALL AREA OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED NEAR MCCLELLANVILLE IN CHARLESTON COUNTY. OTHERWISE...RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON BY 3 AM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON OPHELIA CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ JH ** WTUS82 KCHS 140309 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-370-SCZ044-045-050-140730- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 1102 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...OPHELIA CONTINUES TO MEANDER OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF BERKELEY...DORCHESTER AND CHARLESTON COUNTIES AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OPHELIA HAS MOVED VERY LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER... THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO START DRIFTING TO THE NORTH DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SINCE THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE STILL WEAK...SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS STILL POSSIBLE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE ALONG AND NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SLOW MOVING AND ERRATIC HURRICANE. PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE COASTAL COUNTIES SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 40 NM OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE IN THE RANGE OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KNOTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. WITHIN RAIN BANDS...WINDS IN BERKELEY AND CHARLESTON COUNTIES WILL BE NORTH AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. FURTHER INLAND AND OUTSIDE OF RAIN BANDS...WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NO SIGNIFICANT TIDE OR STORM SURGE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. ...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST THROUGH TONIGHT. DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT AND THEREFORE PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER. SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 20 NM WILL BE IN THE TO 7 TO 12 FOOT RANGE THROUGH TONIGHT. BEYOND 20 NM...SEAS WILL APPROACH 18 FT. AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT...ANY ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO BE MINOR. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A SMALL AREA OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED NEAR MCCLELLANVILLE IN CHARLESTON COUNTY. OTHERWISE...RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON BY 3 AM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON OPHELIA CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ JH ** WTPN31 PGTW 140400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z --- NEAR 14.2N 123.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 123.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 14.1N 125.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 14.0N 127.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 14.0N 130.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 14.0N 132.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 14.0N 137.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 14.0N 141.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 14.5N 145.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 140400Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 124.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141000Z, 141600Z, 142200Z AND 150400Z.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 140400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z --- NEAR 14.2N 123.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 123.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 14.1N 125.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 14.0N 127.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 14.0N 130.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 14.0N 132.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 14.0N 137.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 14.0N 141.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 14.5N 145.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 140400Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 124.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141000Z, 141600Z, 142200Z AND 150400Z.// ** WTUS81 KAKQ 140322 *** HLSAKQ ANZ632-633-656-658-NCZ015>017-030>032-102-VAZ091-094-095-097-098- 150330- HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1122 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 $$ ...HURRICANE OPHELIA MOVING CLOSER TO THE CAROLINA COASTLINE... ...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT...THE CURRITUCK SOUND AND FOR CURRITUCK COUNTY AND COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE NORTHERN ALBEMARLE SOUND... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA BORDER NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR THE RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...IN COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND CURRITUCK SOUND. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES ARE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH... BERTIE...CHOWAN...PERQUIMANS...PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...AND CURRITUCK. THE FOLLOWING VIRGINIA COUNTIES AND INDEPENDENT CITIES ARE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH... VIRGINIA BEACH...CHESAPEAKE...NORFOLK...PORTSMOUTH...HAMPTON...POQUOSON... YORK...NEWPORT NEWS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE CONDITIONS...SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 39 AND 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS...HOWEVER...A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER... STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS...WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. SOME TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...AND FORECASTED WATER LEVELS REFERENCED TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...FOR SOME LOCATIONS ARE AS FOLLOWS... SEWELLS POINT...WEDNESDAY 649 PM...5.2 FEET...THURSDAY 712 AM... 4.7 FEET...THURSDAY 5.2 FEET. VIRGINIA BEACH...WEDNESDAY 525 PM...6.2 FEET...THURSDAY 553 AM... 5.7 FEET. SOUTHERN CURRITUCK...WEDNESDAY 457 PM...6.0 FEET...THURSDAY 524 AM...5.4 FEET. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL LIKELY OVERSPREAD NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY...FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS...AND ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW HIGHER GUSTS...PERHAPS TO HURRICANE FORCE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OUTER CURRITUCK COUNTY...AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...RAINFALL... THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. COASTAL SECTIONS AND COUNTIES BORDERING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND COULD SEE WIDESPREAD 3 TO 6 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... NEARSHORE WAVES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND NEAR 10 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THIS HIGH SURF WILL LIKELY CAUSE MINOR TO POSSIBLY MODERATE BEACH EROSION. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL FOLLOW BY 3 AM. STAY TUNED TO UPDATES ON HURRICANE OPHELIA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...LOCAL MEDIA...AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT WAKEFIELD. $$ NS ** WTUS81 KAKQ 140323 CCA *** HLSAKQ ANZ632-633-656-658-NCZ015>017-030>032-102-VAZ091-094-095-097-098- 150330- HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED FOR FORMAT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1122 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...HURRICANE OPHELIA MOVING CLOSER TO THE CAROLINA COASTLINE... ...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT...THE CURRITUCK SOUND AND FOR CURRITUCK COUNTY AND COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE NORTHERN ALBEMARLE SOUND... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA BORDER NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR THE RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...IN COUNTIES ADJACENT TO THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND CURRITUCK SOUND. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES ARE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH... BERTIE...CHOWAN...PERQUIMANS...PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...AND CURRITUCK. THE FOLLOWING VIRGINIA COUNTIES AND INDEPENDENT CITIES ARE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH... VIRGINIA BEACH...CHESAPEAKE...NORFOLK...PORTSMOUTH...HAMPTON...POQUOSON... YORK...NEWPORT NEWS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE CONDITIONS...SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 39 AND 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS...HOWEVER...A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER... STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS...WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. SOME TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...AND FORECASTED WATER LEVELS REFERENCED TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...FOR SOME LOCATIONS ARE AS FOLLOWS... SEWELLS POINT...WEDNESDAY 649 PM...5.2 FEET...THURSDAY 712 AM... 4.7 FEET...THURSDAY 5.2 FEET. VIRGINIA BEACH...WEDNESDAY 525 PM...6.2 FEET...THURSDAY 553 AM... 5.7 FEET. SOUTHERN CURRITUCK...WEDNESDAY 457 PM...6.0 FEET...THURSDAY 524 AM...5.4 FEET. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL LIKELY OVERSPREAD NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY...FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS...AND ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW HIGHER GUSTS...PERHAPS TO HURRICANE FORCE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OUTER CURRITUCK COUNTY...AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...RAINFALL... THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. COASTAL SECTIONS AND COUNTIES BORDERING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND COULD SEE WIDESPREAD 3 TO 6 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... NEARSHORE WAVES WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND NEAR 10 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THIS HIGH SURF WILL LIKELY CAUSE MINOR TO POSSIBLY MODERATE BEACH EROSION. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL FOLLOW BY 3 AM. STAY TUNED TO UPDATES ON HURRICANE OPHELIA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...LOCAL MEDIA...AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT WAKEFIELD. $$ NS ** WTUS82 KILM 140353 AAA *** HLSILM AMZ250-252-254-256-NCZ097-099>101-SCZ032>034-039-046-140730- HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1153 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...INLAND WARNINGS CANCELLED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... ...OPHELIA NEARLY STATIONARY WITH STRONG RAINBANDS JUST OFFSHORE... ...NEW INFORMATION... INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THREE COUNTIES IN NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA: FLORENCE...MARION...AND WILLIAMSBURG. THE NEWEST PROJECTIONS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER DO NOT BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS INTO THESE COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MYRTLE BEACH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 982 MB OR 29.00 INCHES. OPHELIA HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS...HOWEVER...A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. BECAUSE OF THE SLOW MOTION OF THE HURRICANE AND THE RELATIVELY LARGE EXTENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE BROAD CENTER OF OPHELIA WITHIN 25 TO 30 MILES OF THE CAPE FEAR COAST AT ITS CLOSEST APPROACH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTEND FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY IN NORTH CAROLINA...AND INCLUDE THE COUNTIES OF GEORGETOWN...HORRY...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND PENDER. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BLADEN...PENDER...COLUMBUS... BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND HORRY COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGETOWN AND HORRY. AND IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS...AND BLADEN. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OVER LONG BAY...AND WILL REACH THE IMMEDIATE COAST AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN SPREAD FARTHER INLAND WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS OF LONG BAY...OR AREAS SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS OF ONSLOW BAY NORTH OF CAPE FEAR FROM MID WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. ...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL COMBINE WITH LOCALLY DRIVEN WIND WAVES TO PRODUCE SEAS OF 11 TO 17 FEET ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. AT OPHELIAS CLOSEST APPROACH LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...SEAS WILL FURTHER BUILD TO 13 TO 20 FEET. MARINERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT. THE LARGE SURF COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS...WILL CREATE STRONG LONG SHORE CURRENTS AND RIP CURRENTS. AS A RESULT...PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WATER LEVELS ALONG NEW HANOVER...PENDER...HORRY AND GEORGETOWN COUNTIES WILL RUN 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED ASTRONOMICAL TIDES TONIGHT. ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF BRUNSWICK THE TIDES ARE RUNNING 2 TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE...AROUND 430 AM WEDNESDAY...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ACROSS FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE NORTH END OF CAROLINA BEACH...AND ROADWAYS BORDERING MARSHES AND SOUNDS. STORM SURGE FROM CAPE FEAR NORTHWARD...COULD RISE TO 5 TO 6 FEET WEDNESDAY DURING OPHELIAS CLOSEST APPROACH. IN BRUNSWICK ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES THE SURGE WILL BE 3 TO 4 FEET AND ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF BALD HEAD ISLAND BETWEEN 6 AND 6.5 FEET. FOR THE LATEST STORM AND FLOOD INFORMATION VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... BUILDING SURF CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY... WITH 7 TO 10 FOOT BREAKERS NORTH OF CAPE FEAR...AND 4 TO 8 FEET SOUTH OF THE CAPE. MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AREA BEACHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE EAST FACING BEACHES WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE...MAINLY ACROSS PENDER AND NEW HANOVER COUNTIES...AND BALD HEAD ISLAND. BEACHES SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR...WILL SEE A NORTHERLY PREVAILING WIND. THIS WILL AID IN KNOCKING DOWN THE SURF...ENOUGH TO KEEP EROSION IN THE SLIGHT TO MODERATE CATEGORIES. ...RAINFALL... THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA COULD SEE WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS COASTAL NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA COULD SEE 4 TO 8 INCHES. LOCATIONS FARTHER INLAND...ESPECIALLY WEST OF I-95...WILL RECEIVE CONSIDERABLY LESS RAINFALL. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AROUND 330 AM. $$ TRA ** WTUS82 KMHX 140357 *** HLSMHX AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-NCZ045>047-080-081-093>095-098-103-104 -141000- HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1156 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005 ...HURRICANE WARNING FROM OREGON INLET SOUTH... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FROM OREGON INLET NORTH... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING AREAS: CARTERET...WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...CRAVEN...BEAUFORT...DARE...HYDE... PAMLICO...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE...AND OUTER BANKS HYDE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM OREGON INLET SOUTH...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR OREGON INLET NORTH...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER AND DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA...AND 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...SO AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL NON-RESIDENTS ON OCRACOKE ISLAND. A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL VISITORS AND RESIDENTS OF THE HATTERAS ISLAND AREA OF DARE COUNTY. THIS EVACUATION DOES NOT APPLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF OREGON INLET. A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR PEOPLE LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS AND MOBILE HOMES IN ONSLOW COUNTY. IN BEAUFORT COUNTY...A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR LOW LYING COMMUNITIES ALONG WHICHARDS BEACH ROAD. A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR LOW LYING AREAS IN THE BELHAVEN...AURORA...WASHINGTON...WASHINGTON PARK...AND PAMLICO BEACH COMMUNITIES. PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE THEIR PREPARATIONS COMPLETED TO MINIMIZE PROPERTY LOSSES AND PERSONAL RISK. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE FROM OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 5 FEET ALONG ONSLOW COUNTY BEACHES...BOGUE BANKS...AND FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO CAPE HATTERAS. IN ONSLOW AND CARTERET COUNTIES...THE HIGHEST SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR WEDNESDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE OF 5 PM. THE HIGHEST SURGE ON THE OUTER BANKS WILL LIKELY BE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE NEAR 5 AM. STORM SURGE IN THE LOWER PAMLICO SOUND AND THE NEUSE RIVER WILL BE AROUND 6 TO 8 FEET. THE HIGHEST SURGES WILL BE IN EASTERN CRAVEN COUNTY AROUND CLUB FOOT CREEK AND ADAMS CREEK. STORM SURGE IN THE PAMLICO RIVER COULD REACH 7 TO 9 FEET. STORM SURGE IN THE PUNGO RIVER AND IN HYDE COUNTY WILL BE AROUND 5 FEET. STORM SURGE IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE ALBEMARLE SOUND WILL BE AROUND 3 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS NORTH OF OREGON INLET WILL GET STORM SURGES UP TO 4 FEET THURSDAY MORNING. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS OFFSHORE WERE 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS WERE 8 TO 12 FEET. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BUILD TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... HEAVY RAINS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...AND SPREAD NORTH DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADOES...MAINLY IN THE RAINBANDS OF OPHELIA. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... THERE IS A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES DUE TO A LONG PERIOD SWELL FROM OPHELIA. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... SURF WILL BUILD WEDNESDAY AS OPHELIA APPROACHES. BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE PRODUCING MODERATE BEACH EROSION. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 6AM. $$ CGG ** WTPN31 PHNC 140400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z --- NEAR 14.2N 123.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 123.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 14.1N 125.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 14.0N 127.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 14.0N 130.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 14.0N 132.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 14.0N 137.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 14.0N 141.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 14.5N 145.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 140400Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 124.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141000Z, 141600Z, 142200Z AND 150400Z.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 140400 RRB *** 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 14.0N 132.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 14.0N 137.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 14.0N 141.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT ** WTPN31 PHNC 140400 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z --- NEAR 14.2N 123.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 123.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 14.1N 125.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 14.0N 127.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 14.0N 130.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PHNC 140400 RRC *** VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 14.5N 145.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 140400Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 124.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141000Z, 141600Z, 142200Z AND 150400Z.// ** WTNT80 EGRR 140549 *** MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 140549 NORTH-EAST PACIFIC BASIN (EAST OF DATELINE) =============================================================================== GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.09.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 123.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2005 14.2N 123.0W MODERATE 12UTC 14.09.2005 14.1N 125.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2005 13.7N 128.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2005 13.6N 130.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2005 13.1N 132.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2005 13.1N 134.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2005 13.1N 137.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2005 13.6N 138.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2005 14.7N 140.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2005 15.9N 142.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2005 16.9N 143.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2005 18.1N 144.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2005 18.7N 145.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY =============================================================================== GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.09.2005 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.1N 102.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2005 12.1N 102.7W WEAK 00UTC 15.09.2005 12.4N 103.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2005 10.9N 110.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2005 10.1N 112.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2005 9.7N 114.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2005 9.7N 116.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2005 13.9N 118.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2005 13.8N 120.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2005 13.6N 123.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2005 13.7N 123.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2005 14.8N 126.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2005 14.7N 128.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY =============================================================================== GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.09.2005 HURRICANE OPHELIA ANALYSED POSITION : 32.6N 77.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2005 32.6N 77.8W INTENSE 12UTC 14.09.2005 33.8N 77.8W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.09.2005 35.2N 77.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2005 35.4N 76.2W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 16.09.2005 35.7N 75.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2005 37.5N 73.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2005 43.7N 77.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 17.09.2005 EXTRA-TROPICAL =============================================================================== GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.09.2005 TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 11.4N 73.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.09.2005 11.4N 73.4W WEAK 12UTC 14.09.2005 11.4N 73.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2005 10.3N 70.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2005 11.4N 73.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.09.2005 10.3N 69.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2005 11.4N 73.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ** WTNT31 KNHC 140556 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2005 ...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ABOUT 30 MILES OFFSHORE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND...AND SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA... INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD...HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. BECAUSE OF THE SLOW MOTION OF THE HURRICANE AND THE RELATIVELY LARGE EXTENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS. OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...32.8 N... 79.0 W. MOVEMENT ...DRIFTING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$