** WTPQ20 BABJ 011800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 011800 UTC 00HR 26.2N 117.0E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 350KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 29.6N 113.6E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 011800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 011800 UTC 00HR 18.8N 138.5E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 600KM 50KTS 260KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 20.9N 135.0E 920HPA 60M/S P+48HR 23.4N 132.0E 920HPA 60M/S P+72HR 26.2N 130.3E 920HPA 60M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 011800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 011800UTC 18.8N 138.5E GOOD MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 140NM 30KT 450NM SOUTHEAST 325NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 021800UTC 20.8N 134.7E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 910HPA MXWD 105KT 48HF 031800UTC 23.3N 132.3E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 08KT PRES 910HPA MXWD 105KT 72HF 041800UTC 26.5N 130.6E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 920HPA MXWD 100KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 011800 *** WARNING 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0514 NABI (0514) 930 HPA AT 18.8N 138.5E EAST OF PARECE VERA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 450 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 325 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 20.8N 134.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 910 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 23.3N 132.3E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 910 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 26.5N 130.6E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 920 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTJP22 RJTD 011800 *** WARNING 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0513 TALIM (0513) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 990 HPA AT 25.9N 116.9E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 27.5N 115.0E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 011800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0513 TALIM (0513) DOWNGRADED FROM STS ANALYSIS PSTN 011800UTC 25.9N 116.9E FAIR MOVE W 12KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 150NM EAST 70NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 021800UTC 27.5N 115.0E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 011900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 011900 UTC 00HR 26.2N 116.7E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 350KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 011945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 011800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM TALIM (0513) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (26.2 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL STORM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC TWO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (27.7 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 15 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 011945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 011800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM TALIM (0513) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (26.2 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL STORM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC TWO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (27.7 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 15 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTNT43 KNHC 012017 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT THU SEP 01 2005 THE DEPRESSION CONSISTS OF A VIGOROUS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEFINING THE CENTER. THE CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO A BAND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS MORE TYPICAL OF A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE...BUT BECAUSE THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SOME CONVECTION REDEVELOPS NEAR THE CENTER...IT IS OPTED TO KEEP THE SYSTEM AS A 30-KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT THIS TIME. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION MAY BE A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LEE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KNOTS. THE CYCLONE IS A SHALLOW SYSTEM SO IT SHOULD MOVE ON A GENERAL NORTHWARD TRACK STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTERED TO THE EAST OF THE DEPRESSION. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 32.4N 51.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 02/0600Z 32.9N 51.7W 25 KT 24HR VT 02/1800Z 34.0N 52.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 03/0600Z 35.5N 52.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 03/1800Z 37.5N 52.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 012017 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005 2100Z THU SEP 01 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 51.5W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 51.5W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 51.4W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.9N 51.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 34.0N 52.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 35.5N 52.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.5N 52.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 51.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 012018 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST THU SEP 01 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE LINGERING IN THE NORTH ATALNTIC... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.5 WEST OR ABOUT 775 MILES...1250 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 1430 MILES...2305 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH ...7 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...32.4 N... 51.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT73 KNHC 012018 *** SPFAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST THU SEP 01 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN SEP 4 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 34.0N 52.0W 50 X X X 50 37.5N 52.0W 8 8 3 X 19 35.5N 52.0W 22 2 1 X 25 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT44 KNHC 012025 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT THU SEP 01 2005 THE DEPRESSION HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHEAST OF THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW CAUSING THE SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...WHICH SHOULD PLACE THE DEPRESSION UNDER A SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LESS SHEAR. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A LARGE SPLIT IN FORECAST INTENSITIES... WITH ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS EXCEPT THE UKMET MODEL DISSIPATING THE SYSTEM IN 48-72 HOURS...WHILE THE SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE BRINGING THE SYSTEM TO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. THE FORECAST INTENSITY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...WHICH KEEPS THE SYSTEM BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH FOR 12 HOURS FOLLOWED BY SLOW STRENGTHENING. NEEDLESS TO SAY...THIS IS A VERY LOW-CONFIDENCE FORECAST. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 300/10...SLOWER AND SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS MOTION. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE HIGH BUILDS TO THE EAST AND AN UPPER LOW REMAINS NEAR 65W BETWEEN BERMUDA AND PUERTO RICO. DUE IN LARGE PART TO THE CHANGE IN THE INITIAL MOTION...THE TRACK IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY EAST OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND REMAINS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE DYNAMICAL MODEL SUITE THROUGH 48 HOURS. BEYOND THIS TIME...THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS A GENERAL MOTION TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH-NORTHWEST BETWEEN THE HIGH TO THE EAST AND THE UPPER LOW TO THE WEST. FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 19.6N 46.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 02/0600Z 20.3N 48.0W 30 KT 24HR VT 02/1800Z 21.3N 49.7W 35 KT 36HR VT 03/0600Z 22.5N 51.4W 40 KT 48HR VT 03/1800Z 23.7N 52.9W 45 KT 72HR VT 04/1800Z 26.5N 55.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 05/1800Z 29.5N 57.0W 55 KT 120HR VT 06/1800Z 33.0N 58.0W 55 KT $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 012026 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005 2100Z THU SEP 01 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 46.6W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 46.6W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 46.2W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.3N 48.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.3N 49.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 22.5N 51.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 23.7N 52.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.5N 55.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 29.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 33.0N 58.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 46.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 012026 *** SPFAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST THU SEP 01 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.6 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN SEP 4 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 21.3N 49.7W 45 X X X 45 23.7N 52.9W 1 20 4 1 26 22.5N 51.4W 19 12 1 X 32 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 012030 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST THU SEP 01 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN REMAINS OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1085 MILES...1740 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...19.6 N... 46.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 012000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 012000 UTC 00HR 26.3N 116.5E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 300KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTCA44 TJSJ 012035 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL CATORCE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 2 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM AST JUEVES 1 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2005 ...DEPRESION TROPICAL CATORCE PERMANECE SOBRE LAS AGUAS ABIERTAS DEL ATLANTICO... A LAS 5 PM AST...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL CATORCE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 46.6 OESTE O COMO A 1115 MILLAS... 1740 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH... 19 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 35 MPH... 55 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EN INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1008 MB...29.77 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 PM AST...19.6 NORTE... 46.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...OESTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1008 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 PM AST. PRONOSTICADOR MOLLEDA/AVILA $$ ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z --- NEAR 18.8N 138.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 138.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 19.7N 136.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 20.6N 134.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 21.6N 133.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 22.8N 132.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 24.9N 130.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 26.8N 128.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 29.2N 127.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 012100Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 138.1E. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM SOUTH- EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 50 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 RRB *** 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 20.6N 134.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 21.6N 133.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 RRD *** 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 26.8N 128.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 29.2N 127.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 012100Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 138.1E. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM SOUTH- EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 50 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 RRC *** 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 22.8N 132.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 24.9N 130.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z --- NEAR 18.8N 138.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 138.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 19.7N 136.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 20.6N 134.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 21.6N 133.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 22.8N 132.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 24.9N 130.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 26.8N 128.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 29.2N 127.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 012100Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 138.1E. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM SOUTH- EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 50 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z --- NEAR 18.8N 138.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 138.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 19.7N 136.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z --- NEAR 18.8N 138.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 138.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 19.7N 136.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPQ20 BABJ 012100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 012100 UTC 00HR 26.3N 116.2E 994HPA 20M/S 30KTS 300KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 29.8N 113.6E 1002HPA 12M/S= ** WTJP31 RJTD 012100 *** WARNING 012100. WARNING VALID 022100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0514 NABI (0514) 930 HPA AT 19.0N 138.0E SOUTHEAST OF PARECE VERA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 450 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 325 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 022100UTC AT 21.1N 134.2E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 910 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 012100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 012100UTC 19.0N 138.0E GOOD MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 140NM 30KT 450NM SOUTHEAST 325NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 022100UTC 21.1N 134.2E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 910HPA MXWD 105KT 45HF 031800UTC 23.3N 132.3E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 08KT PRES 910HPA MXWD 105KT 69HF 041800UTC 26.5N 130.6E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 920HPA MXWD 100KT = ** WTPQ21 RJTD 012100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 012100UTC 26.3N 116.2E FAIR MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 140NM EAST 60NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 022100UTC 27.5N 114.0E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 012200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 012200 UTC 00HR 26.4N 116.0E 994HPA 20M/S 30KTS 300KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 012300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 012300 UTC 00HR 26.6N 115.8E 996HPA 18M/S 30KTS 300KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H=