** WTSR20 WSSS 310600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 311200 UTC 00HR 23.9N 122.9E 920HPA 60M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 210KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311200 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 311200 UTC 00HR 23.9N 122.9E 920HPA 60M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 210KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 25.7N 119.3E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 27.9N 116.6E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 30.2N 114.0E 990HPA 20M/S= ** WTJP22 RJTD 311200 *** WARNING 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 935 HPA AT 23.8N 122.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 24.8N 121.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 26.0N 118.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 28.8N 116.1E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 311200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 311200UTC 23.8N 122.8E GOOD MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 150NM 30KT 280NM FORECAST 24HF 011200UTC 26.0N 118.7E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 48HF 021200UTC 28.8N 116.1E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 311200 UTC 00HR 16.7N 143.7E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 380KM 50KTS 140KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 18.4N 139.6E 930HPA 55M/S P+48HR 20.5N 136.1E 920HPA 60M/S P+72HR 22.8N 133.2E 920HPA 60M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 311200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 311200UTC 16.6N 143.7E GOOD MOVE W 12KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 120NM 30KT 240NM FORECAST 24HF 011200UTC 18.2N 139.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 48HF 021200UTC 20.0N 136.1E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 72HF 031200UTC 22.6N 133.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 311200 *** WARNING 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0514 NABI (0514) 935 HPA AT 16.6N 143.7E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 18.2N 139.5E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 20.0N 136.1E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 22.6N 133.3E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 311317 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI (14W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A 1100 PM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 175 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN 175 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN 205 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA 235 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM 160 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN 170 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN 195 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 MPH...MAKING NABI A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON. NABI WILL INTENSIFY INTO A CATEGORY 3 TYPHOON OVERNIGHT. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...16.7 DEGREES NORTH AND 143.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST THURSDAY MORNING. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 311300 UTC 00HR 23.9N 122.7E 920HPA 60M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 210KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 VHHH 311345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 311200 UTC, TYPHOON TALIM (0513) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (23.8 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (122.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC TWO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (26.2 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (118.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021200 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (115.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 23.8N 122.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N 122.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.6N 121.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 25.2N 120.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 26.1N 118.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.0N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 24.0N 122.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 311500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/3101352ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 16.7N 143.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 143.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.4N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 18.1N 139.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.8N 137.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 19.8N 135.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 22.3N 133.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 24.4N 131.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 26.8N 129.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 143.1E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT33 KNHC 311432 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN REGENERATES BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE AZORES...NO THREAT TO LAND... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.4 WEST OR ABOUT 890 MILES...1430 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 1485 MILES...2390 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...28.8 N... 50.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 311432 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005 1500Z WED AUG 31 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 50.4W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 50.4W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 50.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 34.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 36.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 38.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 40.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 44.0N 39.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 50.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT73 KNHC 311432 *** SPFAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST WED AUG 31 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.4 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SAT SEP 3 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 32.0N 48.0W 25 1 X 1 27 36.0N 46.0W X 8 6 2 16 34.0N 47.0W 7 10 2 1 20 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 311432 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005 1500Z WED AUG 31 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 50.4W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 50.4W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 50.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 34.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 36.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 38.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 40.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 44.0N 39.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 50.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 311400 UTC 00HR 23.9N 122.5E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 210KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 23.8N 122.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N 122.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.6N 121.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 25.2N 120.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 RRB *** DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 26.1N 118.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.0N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 24.0N 122.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT43 KNHC 311439 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WHICH BECAME A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE A COUPLE OF DAYS AGO HAS RE-GENERATED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THIS IS BASED ON DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS OF 2.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB AND A SSM/I MICROWAVE IMAGE AROUND 10Z WHICH SHOWS A CONVECTIVE RING ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONICALLY CURVED CONVECTIVE BAND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER BUT THE OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED. IT APPEARS THAT THE DEPRESSION IS VERY NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND IF IT NOT ONE NOW...IT COULD BE ONE LATER TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 040 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND LOW TO THE NORTHWEST. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO BE POORLY DEFINED DURING THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD TURN MORE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF THE LOW TO THE NORTHWEST AND A BUILDING HIGH TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS TRACK IS IN BETWEEN THE GFDL AND CLIMATOLOGY. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/1500Z 28.8N 50.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 01/0000Z 30.0N 49.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 01/1200Z 32.0N 48.0W 35 KT 36HR VT 02/0000Z 34.0N 47.0W 35 KT 48HR VT 02/1200Z 36.0N 46.0W 35 KT 72HR VT 03/1200Z 38.0N 45.0W 35 KT 96HR VT 04/1200Z 40.0N 44.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 05/1200Z 44.0N 39.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 23.8N 122.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N 122.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.6N 121.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 25.2N 120.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 26.1N 118.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.0N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 24.0N 122.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 311500 RRB *** RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 18.1N 139.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.8N 137.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 311500 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/3101352ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 16.7N 143.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 143.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.4N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 311500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/3101352ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 16.7N 143.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 143.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.4N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 18.1N 139.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.8N 137.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 19.8N 135.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 22.3N 133.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 24.4N 131.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 26.8N 129.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 143.1E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 311500 RRC *** 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 19.8N 135.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 22.3N 133.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 311500 RRD *** 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 24.4N 131.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 26.8N 129.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 143.1E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 23.8N 122.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N 122.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.6N 121.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 25.2N 120.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 RRB *** DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 26.1N 118.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.0N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 24.0N 122.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT32 KWNH 311507 *** TCPAT2 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 34 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD 5 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2005 ...KATRINA CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...THREAT FOR FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES ALONG ITS PATH... FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INDIANA...OHIO...PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...VERMONT...MASSACHUSETTS...CONNECTICUT...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEW YORK...CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...UNTIL 900 AM EDT. AT 5 AM EDT...09Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 16 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF AKRON OHIO AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 35 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...OR 29.41 INCHES. SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 2 AM EDT... ...NEW YORK... WELLSVILLE 3.72 DANSVILLE 2.27 BINGHAMTON 2.27 SYRACUSE 1.78 BUFFALO 1.38 ...PENNSYLVANIA... BRADFORD 2.85 MEADVILLE 1.83 PITTSBURGH 1.70 ERIE 1.50 ...OHIO... OHIO ST U/COLUMBUS 3.80 COLUMBUS 3.24 WILMINGTON 3.19 DAYTON 2.29 ...KENTUCKY... BARREN RIVER LAKE 6.15 BOWLING GREEN 5.00 PADUCAH/BARKLEY 3.66 CINNCINNATI/COVINGTON 3.02 LOUISVILLE 2.60 ...INDIANA... SHELBYVILLE 3.11 EVANSVILLE 3.03 INDIANAPOLIS 2.23 ...FLORIDA... HOMESTEAD 14.41 KEY WEST 9.92 CUTLER RIDGE 3 NE 9.65 MARATHON 9.16 CHEKIKA EVERGLADES 9.12 ...LOUISIANA... BAPTIST/NATALBANY RVR 10.49 BUSH/BOGUE CHITTO RVR 10.05 PEARL RIVER 9.79 KENNER 9.72 CAMP COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 9.63 DEER RANGE 9.25 VENICE/CORP OF ENGINEERS 8.77 COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 7.23 NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT 7.20 ...MISSISSIPPI... CAESAR 8.98 NOXAPATER 8.30 HATTIESBURG/BOUIE CREEK 7.33 IUKA 7.12 KOSCIUSKO 6.90 CONEHATTA 6.80 BROOKLYN/BLACK CREEK 6.78 YAZOO CITY 5 NNE 6.50 ...ALABAMA... RED BAY 12NNE 6.44 RED BAY 5.63 HAMILTON 3S 4.78 HODGES 3.87 MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT 3.74 MOULTON 3.73 SAMANTHA 4N 3.65 ...TENNESSEE... MEMPHIS NWS OFFICE 3.78 DYERSBURG 3.24 MEMPHIS 3.09 NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 2.55 ...GEORGIA... JULIETTE 3.30 CAMILLA 3S 3.16 HELEN 7N 3.09 CLAYTON 10W 3.08 HIAWASSEE 3SSE 3.01 JACKSON 7E 2.95 TIGER 7WSW 2.92 ...ARKANSAS... BLYTHEVILLE 2.56 JONESBORO 1.97 WEST MEMPHIS 1.78 RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A LARGE SWATH OF MODERATE RAINFALL ORIENTED FROM WEST TO EAST ALONG THE US-CANADIAN BORDER IN NEW YORK WHICH IS SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT. CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...LIGHTER PRECIPITATION CAN BE OBSERVED. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES TO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THIS SYSTEM PROPAGATES NORTHEASTWARD. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.1 NORTH...81.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 16 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF AKRON OHIO...AND WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB OR 29.41 INCHES. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON KATRINA WILL BE ISSUED AT 11 AM EDT BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. HALBACH $$ ** WTPH20 RPMM 311200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 11 AT 1200 31 AUGUST TYPHOON (TALIM) (0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO THREE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT EIGHT EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOURFIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITION AT 011200 TWO SIX POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA= ** WTNT32 KWNH 311519 *** TCPAT2 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 35 FOR THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD 11 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA DOWNGRADED TO A REMNANT LOW...THREAT FOR FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES ALONG ITS PATH... FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF OHIO...PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...VERMONT...MASSACHUSETTS...CONNECTICUT...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE. AT 11 AM EDT...15Z...THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST WELLSVILLE NEW YORK AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 35 MPH. IT IS BEING ABSORBED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE TO ITS NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...OR 29.44 INCHES. SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 8 AM EDT... ...VERMONT... BURLINGTON INTL 1.50 MORRISVILLE-STOWE AIRPORT 1.37 BARRE-MONTPELIER 1.20 ...MASSACHUSETTS... PROVINCETOWN 3.95 TAUNTON 1.36 NEW BEDFORD 1.34 ...NEW YORK... WELLSVILLE 3.72 IROQUOIS 3.30 GANG MILLS 3.22 WANAKENA 3.02 WATERTOWN 3.00 NIAGARA FALLS 2.83 DANSVILLE 2.76 BUFFALO 2.76 SYRACUSE 2.71 BINGHAMTON 2.27 ...WEST VIRGINIA... TOMLINSON RUN 2.86 ...PENNSYLVANIA... BRADFORD 2.95 MEADVILLE 2.25 ERIE 2.09 PITTSBURGH 1.70 DU BOIS 1.62 ...OHIO... LIMA 5.84 AKRON-CANTON RGNL AIRPORT 3.94 NEWARK-HEATH AIRPORT 3.81 OHIO ST U/COLUMBUS 3.80 AIRBORNE AIRPARK 3.36 CINCINNATI/LUNKIN 3.36 HARRY CLEVER FIELD 3.29 COLUMBUS 3.24 WILMINGTON 3.19 DAYTON 2.29 ...KENTUCKY... BARREN RIVER LAKE 6.15 BOWLING GREEN 5.00 PADUCAH/BARKLEY 3.66 CINNCINNATI/COVINGTON 3.24 FORT KNOX/GODMAN 2.76 LOUISVILLE 2.60 ...INDIANA... SHELBYVILLE 3.29 HARDIN RIDGE 3.08 EVANSVILLE 3.03 MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD 2.56 INDIANAPOLIS 2.23 ...FLORIDA... PERRINE 16.33 HOMESTEAD 14.41 FLORIDA CITY 12.25 HOMESTEAD GENERAL AP 11.80 CUTLER RIDGE 11.13 KEY WEST 9.92 CUTLER RIDGE 3 NE 9.65 ...LOUISIANA... BIG BRANCH 14.82 BAPTIST/NATALBANY RVR 10.49 BUSH/BOGUE CHITTO RVR 10.05 PEARL RIVER 9.79 KENNER 9.72 CAMP COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 9.63 DEER RANGE 9.25 VENICE/CORP OF ENGINEERS 8.77 COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 7.23 NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT 7.20 ...MISSISSIPPI... HANCOCK 9.84 CAESAR 8.98 NOXAPATER 8.30 BLACK CREEK 7.64 HATTIESBURG/BOUIE CREEK 7.33 IUKA 7.12 KOSCIUSKO 6.90 CONEHATTA 6.80 BROOKLYN/BLACK CREEK 6.78 YAZOO CITY 5 NNE 6.50 ...ALABAMA... RED BAY 12NNE 6.44 RED BAY 5.63 HAMILTON 3S 4.78 HODGES 3.87 MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT 3.74 MOULTON 3.73 SAMANTHA 4N 3.65 ...TENNESSEE... MEMPHIS NWS OFFICE 3.78 DYERSBURG 3.24 MEMPHIS 3.09 NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 2.55 ...GEORGIA... JULIETTE 3.30 CAMILLA 3S 3.16 HELEN 7N 3.09 CLAYTON 10W 3.08 HIAWASSEE 3SSE 3.01 JACKSON 7E 2.95 TIGER 7WSW 2.92 ...ARKANSAS... BLYTHEVILLE 2.56 JONESBORO 1.97 WEST MEMPHIS 1.78 RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A LARGE SWATH OF MODERATE RAINFALL ORIENTED FROM WEST TO EAST ALONG THE US-CANADIAN BORDER IN NEW YORK WHICH IS SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT. CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...LIGHTER PRECIPITATION CAN BE OBSERVED. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES TO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THIS SYSTEM PROPAGATES NORTHEASTWARD. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...42.0 NORTH...78.3 WEST... MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 35 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB OR 29.44 INCHES. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 PM EDT BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. TRIMARCO $$ ** WTPQ31 PGUM 311526 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI (14W) ADVISORY NUMBER 10 200 AM GUAM LST THU SEP 1 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ALL WARNINGS MAY BE CANCELLED AT 5 AM GUAM LST. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 215 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN 210 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN 240 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA 260 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM 190 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN 195 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN...AND 215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH...MAKING NABI A CATEGORY 3 TYPHOON. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...16.9 DEGREES NORTH AND 143.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 120 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTJP32 RJTD 311500 *** WARNING 311500. WARNING VALID 011500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 935 HPA AT 24.0N 122.1E EAST OF TAIWAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 25.2N 120.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 26.2N 118.1E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 311500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 311500UTC 24.0N 122.1E GOOD MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 150NM 30KT 280NM FORECAST 24HF 011500UTC 26.2N 118.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 050KT 45HF 021200UTC 28.8N 116.1E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 311500 UTC 00HR 24.0N 122.1E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 210KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTJP31 RJTD 311500 *** WARNING 311500. WARNING VALID 011500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0514 NABI (0514) 935 HPA AT 16.7N 143.1E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011500UTC AT 18.4N 139.1E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 311500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 311500UTC 16.7N 143.1E FAIR MOVE W 12KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 120NM 30KT 240NM FORECAST 24HF 011500UTC 18.4N 139.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 45HF 021200UTC 20.0N 136.1E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 69HF 031200UTC 22.6N 133.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT = ** WTPH RPLL 311200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 11 AT 1200 31 AUGUST, TYPHOON (TALIM) (0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO THREE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT EIGHT EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITION AT 011200 TWO SIX POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTNT23 KNHC 311610 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005 1500Z WED AUG 31 2005 ...CORRECTION TO ADD 34-KT WIND RADII AT 48 HOURS TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 50.4W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 50.4W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 50.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 34.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 36.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 38.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 40.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 44.0N 39.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 50.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTPQ81 PGUM 311647 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-311900- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 300 AM GUAM LST THU SEP 1 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI MOVING STEADILY AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ALL WARNINGS MAY BE CANCELLED AT 5 AM GUAM LST. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 215 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN 210 MILES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN 240 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ROTA 260 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM 190 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN 195 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN...AND 215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH...MAKING NABI A CATEGORY 3 TYPHOON. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... TINIAN AND SAIPAN REMAIN IN TYPHOON CONDITION 1. REMAIN IN SAFE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... SOUTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WILL DECREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH TOWARD SUNRISE. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES WILL BE 13 TO 16 FEET TODAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINFALL IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED. ...ROTA... ROTA REMAINS IN TYPHOON CONDITION 1. REMAIN IN SAFE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH TOWARD SUNRISE. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES WILL BE 13 TO 15 FEET TODAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAIN IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED. ...AGRIHAN... AGRIHAN REMAINS IN TYPHOON CONDITION 3. REMAIN IN SAFE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH TOWARD SUNRISE. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES WILL BE 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINFALL IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM GUAM LST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS IMPROVE. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 311600 UTC 00HR 24.0N 121.8E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 210KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 VHHH 311645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 311500 UTC, TYPHOON TALIM (0513) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (24.0 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (122.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011500 UTC TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (26.6 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (118.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021500 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTNT80 EGRR 311716 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.08.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ANALYSED POSITION : 29.4N 51.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.08.2005 29.4N 51.5W WEAK 00UTC 01.09.2005 31.4N 51.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2005 32.1N 50.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2005 32.7N 50.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2005 32.7N 50.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2005 33.1N 52.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 9.6N 23.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.08.2005 9.6N 23.4W WEAK 00UTC 01.09.2005 9.0N 26.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2005 8.9N 29.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2005 9.6N 30.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2005 9.3N 34.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2005 9.7N 36.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2005 10.4N 39.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2005 11.2N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2005 11.5N 44.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2005 12.3N 47.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2005 13.7N 49.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2005 14.7N 51.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2005 15.6N 53.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+24 : 17.3N 45.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2005 17.3N 45.3W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2005 18.6N 46.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2005 19.7N 48.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2005 21.0N 49.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2005 22.6N 50.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2005 24.1N 50.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2005 25.7N 51.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2005 26.9N 51.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2005 28.0N 51.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2005 29.0N 51.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2005 30.9N 51.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 311716 ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 311700 UTC 00HR 24.0N 121.6E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 210KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ31 RJTD 311200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.14 FOR TY 0513 TALIM (0513) 5.REMARKS GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST BY TYPHOON MODEL ON TY 0513 TALIM (0513) AT 1 2 UTC IS VALID TILL 66 HOURS. THIS IS A SPECIAL ISSUE TO REPORT VALID PORTION OF RSMC GUIDANCE FO R FORECAST.=