** WTSR20 WSSS 301800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 310008 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 1000 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 1000 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...60 MILES NORTHEAST OF TINIAN...120 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 175 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 310000 UTC 00HR 22.7N 125.1E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 310029 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI (14W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A 1000 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI STRENGTHENING... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 1000 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF TINIAN 120 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA 175 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 155 MILES SOUTH OF ALAMAGAN 185 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN...AND 230 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS... NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...LIKELY BECOMING A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...15.5 DEGREES NORTH AND 146.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 12 AM GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310000 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 310000 UTC 00HR 22.7N 125.1E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 24.5N 121.1E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 26.8N 117.8E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 28.8N 115.6E 990HPA 23M/S= ** WTJP22 RJTD 310000 *** WARNING 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 935 HPA AT 22.7N 125.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 23.9N 122.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 25.1N 120.9E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 27.8N 117.1E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 29.9N 115.2E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 310000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 310000UTC 22.7N 125.2E GOOD MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 130NM 30KT 280NM FORECAST 24HF 010000UTC 25.1N 120.9E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 020000UTC 27.8N 117.1E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 72HF 030000UTC 29.9N 115.2E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 310000 UTC 00HR 14.7N 146.3E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 320KM 50KTS 130KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 15.4N 142.2E 950HPA 45M/S P+48HR 17.2N 138.6E 940HPA 50M/S P+72HR 19.3N 135.7E 930HPA 55M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310000 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 310000 UTC 00HR 15.6N 146.3E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 320KM 50KTS 130KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 16.7N 142.5E 950HPA 45M/S P+48HR 18.5N 139.0E 940HPA 50M/S P+72HR 20.4N 136.0E 930HPA 55M/S= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 310106 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 1100 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 1100 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...50 MILES NORTHEAST OF TINIAN...120 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 175 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTKO20 RKSL 310000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5 NAME TY 0513 TALIM ANALYSIS POSITION 310000UTC 22.7N 125.1E MOVEMENT WNW 11KT PRES/VMAX 935HPA 89KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 010000UTC 24.9N 121.2E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT 48HR POSITION 020000UTC 27.5N 118.1E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 41KT 72HR POSITION 030000UTC 30.0N 116.2E WITHIN 215NM PRES 998HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTJP21 RJTD 310000 *** WARNING 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0514 NABI (0514) 950 HPA AT 15.6N 146.3E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 17.2N 142.8E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 18.7N 139.6E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 21.1N 136.4E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 310000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 310000UTC 15.6N 146.3E GOOD MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 220NM FORECAST 24HF 010000UTC 17.2N 142.8E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 48HF 020000UTC 18.7N 139.6E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 72HF 030000UTC 21.1N 136.4E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTPQ31 RJTD 310000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.11 FOR TY 0513 TALIM (0513) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 310000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUAL LY TO NORTHWEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ81 PGUM 310131 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-310300- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1100 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI PASSING JUST NORTH OF SAIPAN.... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM GUAM LST...0100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF TINIAN 120 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA 175 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 145 MILES SOUTH OF ALAMAGAN 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN...AND 225 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS... NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...LIKELY BECOMING A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 1 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE...DANDAN ELEMENTARY AND MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. THE SAIPAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT OBSERVATION REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 63 MPH BETWEEN 10 AM AND 11 AM. AN OBSERVATION FROM THE WEST TINIAN AIRPORT REPORTED WIND GUST TO 55 MPH AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING BEFORE THEY CLOSED. ...WIND INFORMATION... TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH WILL BE FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT SOUTHWEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 50 TO 65 MPH WITH A FURTHER DECREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 2 FOR ROTA AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STROM FORCE WINDS OF FROM THE WEST AT 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUST TO 75 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT SOUTHWEST AT 40 TO 50 MPH TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 1 AT 130 AM. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY. PRIVATE SCHOOL REPRESENTATIVES ARE URGED TO CALL THE OFFICE OF CIVIL DEFENSE ON THE STATUS OF PRIVATE SCHOOL OPERATIONS. ALL GOVERNMENT OF GUAM AGENCIES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERSONNEL ARE TO CONTACT THEIR SECTION SUPERVISORS AND REPORT TO WORK. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. A WIND GUST TO 36 MPH WAS RECORDED AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT TIYAN AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING. AN AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING PLATFORM AT APRA HARBOR REPORTED WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUST TO 46 MPH BEFORE 11AM. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. ...AGRIHAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 3 FOR AGRIHAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH FROM THE NORTHEAST LATE THIS MORNING MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH TONIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 11 AM GUAM LST. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ30 RJTD 310000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 5 FOR TY 0514 NABI (0514) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 310000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORT HWEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 310100 UTC 00HR 22.7N 124.9E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 310205 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 1200 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 1200 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 35 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...45 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN...115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 170 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ51 PGUM 310206 CCA *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 1200 PM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 1200 PM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 35 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...45 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN...115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 170 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ31 PGUM 310224 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI (14W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7B 1200 PM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI STRENGTHENING... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 1200 PM GUAM LST...0200Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 35 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN 45 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ROTA 170 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM 145 MILES SOUTH OF ALAMAGAN 170 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN...AND 220 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS... NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...LIKELY BECOMING A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 12 PM POSITION...15.6 DEGREES NORTH AND 145.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ MUSONDA/ZIOBRO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 310200 UTC 00HR 22.8N 124.7E 920HPA 60M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 230KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTNT32 KWNH 310249 *** TCPAT2 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 33 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD 10 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ...KATRINA CONTINUES PUSHING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...THREAT FOR FLOODING REMAINS... FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INDIANA...KENTUCKY...OHIO...WEST VIRGINIA...PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...VERMONT...MASSACHUSETTS...CONNECTICUT...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...CENTRAL MARYLAND...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA...UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT. AT 10 PM CDT...03Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 12 MILES WEST OF WILMINGTON OHIO AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...OR 29.35 INCHES. SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT... ...TENNESSEE... MEMPHIS NWS OFFICE 3.78 DYERSBURG 3.24 MEMPHIS 3.09 NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 2.55 ...KENTUCKY... BARREN RIVER LAKE 6.15 BOWLING GREEN 4.93 PADUCAH/BARKLEY 3.66 CINNCINNATI/COVINGTON 2.92 LOUISVILLE 2.60 ...INDIANA... EVANSVILLE 2.89 SHELBYVILLE 2.64 INDIANAPOLIS 2.06 ...OHIO... WILMINGTON 2.87 OHIO ST U/COLUMBUS 2.96 COLUMBUS 2.40 DAYTON 2.18 ...FLORIDA... HOMESTEAD 14.41 KEY WEST 9.92 CUTLER RIDGE 3 NE 9.65 MARATHON 9.16 CHEKIKA EVERGLADES 9.12 ...LOUISIANA... BAPTIST/NATALBANY RVR 10.49 BUSH/BOGUE CHITTO RVR 10.05 PEARL RIVER 9.79 KENNER 9.72 CAMP COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 9.63 DEER RANGE 9.25 VENICE/CORP OF ENGINEERS 8.77 COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 7.23 NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT 7.20 ...MISSISSIPPI... CAESAR 8.98 NOXAPATER 8.30 HATTIESBURG/BOUIE CREEK 7.33 IUKA 7.12 KOSCIUSKO 6.90 CONEHATTA 6.80 BROOKLYN/BLACK CREEK 6.78 YAZOO CITY 5 NNE 6.50 ...ALABAMA... RED BAY 12NNE 6.44 RED BAY 5.63 HAMILTON 3S 4.78 HODGES 3.87 MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT 3.74 MOULTON 3.73 SAMANTHA 4N 3.65 ...GEORGIA... JULIETTE 3.30 CAMILLA 3S 3.16 HELEN 7N 3.09 CLAYTON 10W 3.08 HIAWASSEE 3SSE 3.01 JACKSON 7E 2.95 TIGER 7WSW 2.92 ...ARKANSAS... BLYTHEVILLE 2.56 JONESBORO 1.97 WEST MEMPHIS 1.78 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...FROM THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES TO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...39.4 NORTH...84.0 WEST...MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST AT 24 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB OR 29.35 INCHES. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON KATRINA WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM EDT BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. HALBACH/MUSHER $$ ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 22.7N 125.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N 125.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.5N 123.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.1N 121.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 24.8N 120.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 25.9N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 28.0N 116.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 22.9N 124.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ51 PGUM 310302 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 100 PM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 1255 PM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH OF SAIPAN...50 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN...120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 170 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 RRC *** --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 24.8N 120.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 25.9N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 28.0N 116.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 22.9N 124.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 22.7N 125.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N 125.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.5N 123.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 RRB *** RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.1N 121.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 22.7N 125.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N 125.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.5N 123.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.1N 121.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 24.8N 120.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 25.9N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 28.0N 116.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 22.9N 124.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 310300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/310152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 15.6N 146.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 146.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.1N 144.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 16.7N 142.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 17.4N 140.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.4N 138.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.8N 135.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 23.0N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 25.5N 130.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 145.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 35 NM NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ81 PGUM 310311 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-310500- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 100 PM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI PASSING JUST NORTH OF SAIPAN.... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH OF SAIPAN 50 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ROTA 170 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM 140 MILES SOUTH OF ALAMAGAN 165 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN...AND 215 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS... NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...LIKELY BECOMING A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 1 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE...DANDAN ELEMENTARY AND MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. THE SAIPAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT OBSERVATION REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH BETWEEN 12 PM AND 1 PM. ...WIND INFORMATION... TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH WILL BE FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT SOUTHWEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 50 TO 65 MPH WITH A FURTHER DECREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 2 FOR ROTA AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. AN AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING PLATFORM ON ROTA REPORTED WINDS OF 41 MPH WITH GUST TO 62 MPH BETWEEN 12PM AND 1PM. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STROM FORCE WINDS OF FROM THE WEST AT 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUST TO 75 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT SOUTHWEST AT 40 TO 50 MPH TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 1 AT 130 AM. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY. PRIVATE SCHOOL REPRESENTATIVES ARE URGED TO CALL THE OFFICE OF CIVIL DEFENSE ON THE STATUS OF PRIVATE SCHOOL OPERATIONS. ALL GOVERNMENT OF GUAM AGENCIES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERSONNEL ARE TO CONTACT THEIR SECTION SUPERVISORS AND REPORT TO WORK. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. A WIND GUST TO 37 MPH WAS RECORDED AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT TIYAN 12 PM BETWEEN 1 PM. AN AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING PLATFORM AT APRA HARBOR REPORTED WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUST TO 45 MPH BEFORE 12PM. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. ...AGRIHAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 3 FOR AGRIHAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH FROM THE NORTHEAST LATE THIS MORNING MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH TONIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 PM GUAM LST. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 310300 UTC 00HR 22.9N 124.6E 920HPA 60M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 230KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPN31 PGTW 310300 RRB *** 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 16.7N 142.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 17.4N 140.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT ** WTPN31 PGTW 310300 RRC *** RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.4N 138.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.8N 135.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT ** WTPN31 PGTW 310300 RRD *** RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 23.0N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 25.5N 130.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 145.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 35 NM NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 310300 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/310152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 15.6N 146.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 146.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.1N 144.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 310300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/310152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 15.6N 146.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 146.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.1N 144.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 16.7N 142.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 17.4N 140.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.4N 138.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.8N 135.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 23.0N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 25.5N 130.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 145.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 35 NM NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 310000 *** T T T TYPHOON WARNING 09 AT 0000 31 AUGUST, TYPHOON (TALIM)(0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO TWO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT TWO EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 010000 TWO FOUR POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE EAST AND AT 020000 TWO SIX POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT NINE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTJP32 RJTD 310300 *** WARNING 310300. WARNING VALID 010300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 935 HPA AT 22.9N 124.7E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311500UTC AT 24.0N 122.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 25.2N 120.6E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 310300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 310300UTC 22.9N 124.7E GOOD MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 130NM 30KT 280NM FORECAST 24HF 010300UTC 25.2N 120.6E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 45HF 020000UTC 27.8N 117.1E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 69HF 030000UTC 29.9N 115.2E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 RJTD 310300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 310300UTC 15.9N 145.8E GOOD MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 220NM FORECAST 24HF 010300UTC 17.3N 142.2E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 020000UTC 18.7N 139.6E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 69HF 030000UTC 21.1N 136.4E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 310300 *** WARNING 310300. WARNING VALID 010300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0514 NABI (0514) 945 HPA AT 15.9N 145.8E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010300UTC AT 17.3N 142.2E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 310401 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 200 PM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 155 PM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 70 MILES NORTH OF SAIPAN...75 MILES NORTH OF TINIAN...140 MILES NORTH OF ROTA AND 190 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ31 PGUM 310415 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI (14W) ADVISORY NUMBER 8 200 PM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI STRENGTHENING... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 2 PM GUAM LST...0400Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 70 MILES NORTH OF SAIPAN 75 MILES NORTH OF TINIAN 140 MILES NORTH OF ROTA 190 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM 110 MILES SOUTH OF ALAMAGAN 140 MILES SOUTH OF PAGAN...AND 185 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS... NABI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST. NABI IS A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME CATEGORY 3 TYPHOON IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 2 PM POSITION...16.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 145.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 4 PM GUAM LST. $$ MUSONDA/ZIOBRO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 310400 UTC 00HR 23.0N 124.4E 920HPA 60M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 230KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 310502 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 300 PM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 255 PM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 95 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN...100 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TINIAN...160 MILES NORTH OF ROTA AND 205 MILES NORTH OF GUAM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ20 VHHH 310445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 310300 UTC, TYPHOON TALIM (0513) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (22.9 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 210 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (25.5 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (120.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (28.0 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ81 PGUM 310517 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-310700- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 300 PM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI PASSING MOVING AWAY FROM SAIPAN.... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 3 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 95 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN 100 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TINIAN 160 MILES NORTH OF ROTA 205 MILES NORTH OF GUAM 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALAMAGAN 125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PAGAN...AND 170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS...NABI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION. NABI IS A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...LIKELY BECOMING A CATEGORY 3 TYPHOON WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 1 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE...DANDAN ELEMENTARY AND MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. THE SAIPAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT OBSERVATION REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 74 MPH BETWEEN 2 PM AND 3 PM. ...WIND INFORMATION... TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 50 TO 65 MPH WITH A FURTHER DECREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 1 FOR ROTA. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STROM FORCE WINDS OF FROM THE WEST AT 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUST TO 75 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT SOUTHWEST AT 40 TO 50 MPH TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 1 AT 130 AM. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY. PRIVATE SCHOOL REPRESENTATIVES ARE URGED TO CALL THE OFFICE OF CIVIL DEFENSE ON THE STATUS OF PRIVATE SCHOOL OPERATIONS. ALL GOVERNMENT OF GUAM AGENCIES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERSONNEL ARE TO CONTACT THEIR SECTION SUPERVISORS AND REPORT TO WORK. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. AN AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING PLATFORM AT APRA HARBOR REPORTED WINDS OF 33 MPH WITH GUST TO 44 MPH BEFORE 2PM. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. ...AGRIHAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 3 FOR AGRIHAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH FROM THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 PM GUAM LST. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 310500 UTC 00HR 23.2N 124.2E 920HPA 60M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 230KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTNT80 EGRR 310530 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.08.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ANALYSED POSITION : 26.4N 52.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2005 26.4N 52.9W WEAK 12UTC 31.08.2005 29.5N 52.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2005 31.5N 53.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2005 32.2N 53.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2005 32.8N 54.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2005 33.5N 54.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2005 34.0N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 16.1N 41.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.08.2005 16.1N 41.4W WEAK 00UTC 01.09.2005 17.2N 44.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2005 18.0N 46.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2005 18.7N 48.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2005 19.5N 49.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2005 20.4N 50.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2005 21.5N 52.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2005 22.7N 54.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2005 23.2N 55.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2005 23.9N 56.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2005 24.7N 57.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2005 26.2N 58.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 8.6N 21.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.08.2005 8.6N 21.8W WEAK 00UTC 01.09.2005 8.8N 24.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2005 9.8N 27.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2005 9.4N 29.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2005 10.4N 31.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2005 12.2N 34.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2005 12.2N 36.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2005 13.2N 39.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2005 13.7N 40.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2005 14.5N 42.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2005 15.4N 44.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2005 16.2N 46.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 310530