** WTPQ20 BABJ 301800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301800 UTC 00HR 22.3N 126.4E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 301806 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 400 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 354 AM THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN...155 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 205 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ MILLER ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301800 UTC 00HR 22.3N 126.4E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 301800 UTC 00HR 15.1N 147.2E 980HPA 30M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 16.0N 142.8E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 17.6N 139.2E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 19.4N 136.4E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301800 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301800 UTC 00HR 22.3N 126.4E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 24.0N 122.0E 920HPA 60M/S P+48HR 26.4N 118.4E 970HPA 35M/S P+72HR 28.6N 116.0E 990HPA 23M/S= ** WTPQ81 PGUM 301844 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-302100- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 500 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI HEADING TOWARD TINIAN AND SAIPAN... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 105 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 155 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA 205 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN...AND 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 1 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE AND DANDAN ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. THE EVACUATION CENTER AT MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOL IS ALSO OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... DAMAGING WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. NORTH WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AND INCREASING TO TYPHOON FORCE 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 2 FOR ROTA AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... DAMAGING WINDS ARE IMMINENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 9 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITIONS OF READINESS 1 AT 130 AM. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY. PRIVATE SCHOOL REPRESENTATIVES ARE URGED TO CALL THE OFFICE OF CIVIL DEFENSE ON THE STATUS OF PRIVATE SCHOOL OPERATIONS. ALL GOVERNMENT OF GUAM AGENCIES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERSONNEL ARE TO CONTACT THEIR SECTION SUPERVISORS AND REPORT TO WORK. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. ...WIND INFORMATION... ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED BY MID-MORNING. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. ...AGRIHAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 3 FOR AGRIHAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED BY MID-MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH SHIFTING SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH TONIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM GUAM LST. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTJP22 RJTD 301800 *** WARNING 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 940 HPA AT 22.2N 126.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 23.1N 124.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 23.9N 121.9E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 27.0N 118.2E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 29.3N 115.6E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 301800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 301800UTC 22.2N 126.4E GOOD MOVE W 08KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 100NM 30KT 260NM FORECAST 24HF 311800UTC 23.9N 121.9E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 011800UTC 27.0N 118.2E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 11KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 050KT 72HF 021800UTC 29.3N 115.6E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ81 PGUM 301857 CCA *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-302100- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 500 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI HEADING TOWARD TINIAN AND SAIPAN... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 105 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 155 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA 205 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN...AND 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 1 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE AND DANDAN ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. THE EVACUATION CENTER AT MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOL IS ALSO OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... DAMAGING WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. NORTH WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AND INCREASING TO TYPHOON FORCE 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 2 FOR ROTA AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... DAMAGING WINDS ARE IMMINENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 9 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 1 AT 130 AM. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY. PRIVATE SCHOOL REPRESENTATIVES ARE URGED TO CALL THE OFFICE OF CIVIL DEFENSE ON THE STATUS OF PRIVATE SCHOOL OPERATIONS. ALL GOVERNMENT OF GUAM AGENCIES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERSONNEL ARE TO CONTACT THEIR SECTION SUPERVISORS AND REPORT TO WORK. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. ...WIND INFORMATION... ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED BY MID-MORNING. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. ...AGRIHAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 3 FOR AGRIHAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED BY MID-MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH SHIFTING SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH TONIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM GUAM LST. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ51 PGUM 301901 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 500 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 454 AM THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 85 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN...145 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ MILLER ** WTJP21 RJTD 301800 *** WARNING 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0514 NABI (0514) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 15.2N 147.1E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 16.5N 143.8E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 18.5N 140.5E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 21.2N 136.8E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 301800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514) UPGRADED FROM STS ANALYSIS PSTN 301800UTC 15.2N 147.1E FAIR MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 311800UTC 16.5N 143.8E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 011800UTC 18.5N 140.5E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 021800UTC 21.2N 136.8E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301900 UTC 00HR 22.3N 126.3E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 301943 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 600 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 555 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 80 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN...140 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 190 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ31 PGUM 301957 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI (14W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6B 600 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI TO PASS NEAR SAIPAN TODAY... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 5 AM GUAM LST...1900Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 95 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN 145 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN...AND 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 5 AM POSITION...15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND 147.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ20 BABJ 302000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 302000 UTC 00HR 22.3N 126.1E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ81 PGUM 302042 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-302300- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 700 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI TO PASS NEAR SAIPAN TODAY.... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 80 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 90 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA 190 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN...AND 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 1 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE...DANDAN ELEMENTARY AND MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. THE SAIPAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT OBSERVATION REPORTED FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH BETWEEN 5 AM AND 6 AM. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTH WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BECOME NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO TYPHOON FORCE 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH THIS MORNING... THEN SHIFT SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 2 FOR ROTA AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE 45 TO 55 MPH THIS MORNING...THEN SHIFT SOUTHWEST AT 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 9 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 1 AT 130 AM. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY. PRIVATE SCHOOL REPRESENTATIVES ARE URGED TO CALL THE OFFICE OF CIVIL DEFENSE ON THE STATUS OF PRIVATE SCHOOL OPERATIONS. ALL GOVERNMENT OF GUAM AGENCIES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERSONNEL ARE TO CONTACT THEIR SECTION SUPERVISORS AND REPORT TO WORK. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. ...WIND INFORMATION... WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH BY LATE MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. ...AGRIHAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 3 FOR AGRIHAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN SHIFT SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH TONIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM GUAM LST. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ51 PGUM 302054 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 700 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 655 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 75 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...140 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 190 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPN32 PGTW 302100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/301952ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z --- NEAR 15.0N 147.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N 147.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 15.5N 145.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.1N 143.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.9N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 17.8N 139.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 20.0N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 22.5N 132.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 25.7N 130.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 302100Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 146.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z, 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 302100 RRB *** RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.1N 143.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.9N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 302100 RRC *** 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 17.8N 139.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 20.0N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 302100 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/301952ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z --- NEAR 15.0N 147.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N 147.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 15.5N 145.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 302100 RRD *** 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 22.5N 132.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 25.7N 130.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 302100Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 146.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z, 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 302100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/301952ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z --- NEAR 15.0N 147.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N 147.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 15.5N 145.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.1N 143.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.9N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 17.8N 139.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 20.0N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 22.5N 132.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 25.7N 130.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 302100Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 146.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z, 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT32 KWNH 302102 *** TCPAT2 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 32 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD 4 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ...KATRINA CONTINUES PUSHING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...THREAT FOR FLOODING REMAINS... FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...INDIANA...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...AND OHIO. FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INDIANA...KENTUCKY...OHIO...WEST VIRGINIA...PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...VERMONT...MASSACHUSETTS...CONNECTICUT...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS...KENTUCKY...AND INDIANA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF KENTUCKY...TENNESSEE...WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND GEORGIA...UNTIL 9 PM EDT. AT 4 PM CDT...21Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.0 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE...KENTUCKY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN DIRECTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS... THOUGH THE FORWARD SPEED MAY INCREASE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...OR 29.27 INCHES. SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED... ...FLORIDA... HOMESTEAD 4 NW 33.00 HOMESTEAD 14.41 KEY WEST 9.92 CUTLER RIDGE 3 NE 9.65 MARATHON 9.16 CHEKIKA EVERGLADES 9.12 ...LOUISIANA... BAPTIST/NATALBANY RVR 10.49 BUSH/BOGUE CHITTO RVR 10.05 PEARL RIVER 9.79 KENNER 9.72 CAMP COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 9.63 DEER RANGE 9.25 VENICE/CORP OF ENGINEERS 8.77 COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 7.23 NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT 7.20 ...MISSISSIPPI... CAESAR 8.98 NOXAPATER 8.30 HATTIESBURG/BOUIE CREEK 7.33 IUKA 7.12 KOSCIUSKO 6.90 CONEHATTA 6.80 BROOKLYN/BLACK CREEK 6.78 YAZOO CITY 5 NNE 6.50 ...ALABAMA...THROUGH 8AM EDT RED BAY 12NNE 6.44 RED BAY 5.63 HAMILTON 3S 4.78 HODGES 3.87 MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT 3.74 MOULTON 3.73 SAMANTHA 4N 3.65 ...GEORGIA...THROUGH 8AM EDT JULIETTE 3.30 CAMILLA 3S 3.16 HELEN 7N 3.09 CLAYTON 10W 3.08 HIAWASSEE 3SSE 3.01 JACKSON 7E 2.95 TIGER 7WSW 2.92 ...TENNESSEE...THROUGH 8AM EDT MEMPHIS NWS OFFICE 3.78 MEMPHIS 3.09 DYERSBURG 2.85 NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 2.34 ...ARKANSAS...THROUGH 7AM CDT BLYTHEVILLE 2.56 JONESBORO 1.97 WEST MEMPHIS 1.78 ...KENTUCKY...THROUGH 8AM EDT BARREN RIVER LAKE 6.15 BOWLING GREEN 3.51 HOPKINSVILLE 3.45 PADUCAH/BARKLEY 2.70 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE...ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...EASTERN GREAT LAKES...AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...38.0 NORTH...86.0 WEST...MOVEMENT TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 27 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB OR 29.27 INCHES. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON KATRINA WILL BE ISSUED AT 11 PM EDT BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. TRIMARCO/ROTH $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 302100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 302100 UTC 00HR 22.5N 125.9E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPH20 RPMM 301800 *** T T T TYPHOON WARNING 08 AT 1800 30 AUGUST, TYPHOON (TALIM)(0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE,RADAR AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO TWO POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT FIVE EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 311800 TWO THREE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT EIGHT EAST AND AT 011800 TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 302140 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI (14W) ADVISORY NUMBER 7 800 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI STRENGTHENING... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 75 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN 85 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN 140 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA 190 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN...AND 245 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS... NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...LIKELY BECOMING A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...15.4 DEGREES NORTH AND 146.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 10 AM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ21 RJTD 302100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 302100UTC 22.6N 125.7E GOOD MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 100NM 30KT 260NM FORECAST 24HF 312100UTC 24.3N 121.4E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 011800UTC 27.0N 118.2E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 11KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 050KT 69HF 021800UTC 29.3N 115.6E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP32 RJTD 302100 *** WARNING 302100. WARNING VALID 312100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 935 HPA AT 22.6N 125.7E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310900UTC AT 23.3N 123.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 312100UTC AT 24.3N 121.4E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 302100 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 302100 UTC 00HR 22.5N 125.9E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 24.3N 121.5E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 26.8N 118.0E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 28.8N 115.7E 990HPA 20M/S= ** WTNT32 KWNH 302156 *** TCPAT2 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 32 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA COR NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD 4 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ADVISORY CORRECTED TO REMOVE 33 INCH RAINFALL REPORT FOR HOMESTEAD 4NW. ...KATRINA CONTINUES PUSHING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...THREAT FOR FLOODING REMAINS... FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA...INDIANA...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...AND OHIO. FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INDIANA...KENTUCKY...OHIO...WEST VIRGINIA...PENNSYLVANIA...NEW YORK...VERMONT...MASSACHUSETTS...CONNECTICUT...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS...KENTUCKY...AND INDIANA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF KENTUCKY...TENNESSEE...WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND GEORGIA...UNTIL 9 PM EDT. AT 4 PM CDT...21Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.0 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE...KENTUCKY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN DIRECTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS... THOUGH THE FORWARD SPEED MAY INCREASE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...OR 29.27 INCHES. SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED... ...FLORIDA... HOMESTEAD 14.41 KEY WEST 9.92 CUTLER RIDGE 3 NE 9.65 MARATHON 9.16 CHEKIKA EVERGLADES 9.12 ...LOUISIANA... BAPTIST/NATALBANY RVR 10.49 BUSH/BOGUE CHITTO RVR 10.05 PEARL RIVER 9.79 KENNER 9.72 CAMP COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 9.63 DEER RANGE 9.25 VENICE/CORP OF ENGINEERS 8.77 COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 7.23 NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT 7.20 ...MISSISSIPPI... CAESAR 8.98 NOXAPATER 8.30 HATTIESBURG/BOUIE CREEK 7.33 IUKA 7.12 KOSCIUSKO 6.90 CONEHATTA 6.80 BROOKLYN/BLACK CREEK 6.78 YAZOO CITY 5 NNE 6.50 ...ALABAMA...THROUGH 8AM EDT RED BAY 12NNE 6.44 RED BAY 5.63 HAMILTON 3S 4.78 HODGES 3.87 MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT 3.74 MOULTON 3.73 SAMANTHA 4N 3.65 ...GEORGIA...THROUGH 8AM EDT JULIETTE 3.30 CAMILLA 3S 3.16 HELEN 7N 3.09 CLAYTON 10W 3.08 HIAWASSEE 3SSE 3.01 JACKSON 7E 2.95 TIGER 7WSW 2.92 ...TENNESSEE...THROUGH 8AM EDT MEMPHIS NWS OFFICE 3.78 MEMPHIS 3.09 DYERSBURG 2.85 NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 2.34 ...ARKANSAS...THROUGH 7AM CDT BLYTHEVILLE 2.56 JONESBORO 1.97 WEST MEMPHIS 1.78 ...KENTUCKY...THROUGH 8AM EDT BARREN RIVER LAKE 6.15 BOWLING GREEN 3.51 HOPKINSVILLE 3.45 PADUCAH/BARKLEY 2.70 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE...ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...EASTERN GREAT LAKES...AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...38.0 NORTH...86.0 WEST...MOVEMENT TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 27 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB OR 29.27 INCHES. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON KATRINA WILL BE ISSUED AT 11 PM EDT BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. TRIMARCO/ROTH $$ ** WTPQ51 PGUM 302200 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 800 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 755 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 60 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...130 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 180 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTJP31 RJTD 302100 *** WARNING 302100. WARNING VALID 312100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0514 NABI (0514) 965 HPA AT 15.4N 146.8E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 312100UTC AT 17.0N 143.3E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 302100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 302100UTC 15.4N 146.8E GOOD MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 180NM FORECAST 24HF 312100UTC 17.0N 143.3E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 45HF 011800UTC 18.5N 140.5E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 021800UTC 21.2N 136.8E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTPH RPLL 301800 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 08 AT 1800 30 AUGUST, TYPHOON (TALIM) (0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE DATA AT 22.2N 126.5E MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 05MPS ROUGH TOP TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 450KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 48MPS NEAR ENTER 33MPS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 450KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 311800 23.5N 122.8E AND AT 011800 24.7N 119.6E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 302200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 302200 UTC 00HR 22.5N 125.6E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 302316 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 900 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 905 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 50 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...65 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN...125 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 180 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 302300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 302300 UTC 00HR 22.6N 125.3E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ81 PGUM 302328 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-310100- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 900 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI TO PASS JUST NORTH OF SAIPAN TODAY.... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 9 AM GUAM LST...2300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 50 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN 65 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF TINIAN 125 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA 180 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 195 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN...AND 235 MILES SOUTH OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS... NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...LIKELY BECOMING A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 1 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE...DANDAN ELEMENTARY AND MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. THE SAIPAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT OBSERVATION REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH BETWEEN 8 AM AND 9 AM. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTH WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BECOME NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO TYPHOON FORCE 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH THIS MORNING... THEN SHIFT SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 2 FOR ROTA AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE 45 TO 55 MPH THIS MORNING...THEN SHIFT SOUTHWEST AT 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 1 AT 130 AM. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY. PRIVATE SCHOOL REPRESENTATIVES ARE URGED TO CALL THE OFFICE OF CIVIL DEFENSE ON THE STATUS OF PRIVATE SCHOOL OPERATIONS. ALL GOVERNMENT OF GUAM AGENCIES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERSONNEL ARE TO CONTACT THEIR SECTION SUPERVISORS AND REPORT TO WORK. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. ...WIND INFORMATION... WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH BY LATE MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. ...AGRIHAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON CONDITION 3 FOR AGRIHAN AT 1 AM. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN SHIFT SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH TONIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS TYPHOON NABI PASSES. FLOODING WILL OCCUR IN LOW-LYING AREAS. FLASH FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 11 AM GUAM LST. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ HENDRICKS/ZIOBRO