** WTPQ81 PGUM 301203 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-301700- TROPICAL STORM NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 900 PM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM NABI CONTINUES WEST AND NEARS TYPHOON STRENGTH... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AT 8 PM...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 315 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 185 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 190 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 230 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 275 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NABI IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 2 AT 9 PM THIS EVENING. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY AUGUST 31 AS A PRECAUTIONARY MEASURE. HOWEVER...ALL OTHER GOVB GUAM AGENCIES WILL CONTINUE NORMAL OPERATIONS. ALL GOV GUAM EMPLOYEES ARE ASKED TO MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA REPORTS FOR FURTHER UPDATES.REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH THIS EVENING WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE WEST 25 TO 30 MPH ON WEDNESDAY THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TO AT 20 TO 25 MPH BY THURSDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED COR 1 FOR ROTA AT 10 PM THIS EVENING. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY ARRIVE BY DAWN ON WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND SLOWLY DECREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY THURSDAY MORNING AS NABI MOVES AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 11 TO 13 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO TWO FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED COR 1 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 10 PM THIS EVENING. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE...AND DANDAN ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. THE EVACUATION CENTER AT MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOL IS ALSO OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH TONIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY EXPECT TYPHOON FORCE WINDS. NORTHWEST WINDS 55 TO 65 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 60 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY EVENING AT 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO THREE FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...AGRIHAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED COR 1 FOR AGRIHAN AT 10 PM THIS EVENING. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY THEN SLOWLY DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM AGRIHAN. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO ONE FOOT IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM GUAM LST WEDNESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF NEEDED. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ ** WTSR20 WSSS 300600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ81 PGUM 301226 CCA *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-301700- TROPICAL STORM NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 900 PM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM NABI CONTINUES WEST AND NEARS TYPHOON STRENGTH... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AT 8 PM...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 315 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 185 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 190 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 230 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 275 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NABI IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 2 AT 9 PM THIS EVENING. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY AUGUST 31 AS A PRECAUTIONARY MEASURE. HOWEVER...ALL OTHER GOV GUAM AGENCIES WILL CONTINUE NORMAL OPERATIONS. ALL GOV GUAM EMPLOYEES ARE ASKED TO MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA REPORTS FOR FURTHER UPDATES.REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH THIS EVENING WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE WEST 25 TO 30 MPH ON WEDNESDAY THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TO AT 20 TO 25 MPH BY THURSDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. CORRECTED COR INFORMATION FOR ROTA ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TROPICAL STORM COR 3 FOR ROTA AT 9 PM THIS EVENING. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY ARRIVE BY DAWN ON WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND SLOWLY DECREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY THURSDAY MORNING AS NABI MOVES AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 11 TO 13 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO TWO FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. CORRECTED COR INFORMATION FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON COR 2 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 9 PM THIS EVENING. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE...AND DANDAN ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. THE EVACUATION CENTER AT MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOL IS ALSO OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH TONIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY EXPECT TYPHOON FORCE WINDS. NORTHWEST WINDS 55 TO 65 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 60 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY EVENING AT 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO THREE FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. CORRECTED COR INFORMATION FOR AGRIHAN ...AGRIHAN... AGRIHAN REMAINS IN COR 4 AS OF 9 PM THIS EVENING. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY THEN SLOWLY DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM AGRIHAN. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO ONE FOOT IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM GUAM LST WEDNESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF NEEDED. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ ** WTJP22 RJTD 301200 *** WARNING 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 925 HPA AT 22.0N 127.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 23.0N 124.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 23.9N 122.5E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 26.2N 119.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 28.2N 115.8E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 301200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 301200UTC 22.0N 127.3E GOOD MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 110NM 30KT 240NM FORECAST 24HF 311200UTC 23.9N 122.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 48HF 011200UTC 26.2N 119.0E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 72HF 021200UTC 28.2N 115.8E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301200 UTC 00HR 21.9N 127.2E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 23.8N 122.8E 920HPA 60M/S P+48HR 25.8N 118.8E 970HPA 35M/S P+72HR 28.0N 116.0E 990HPA 23M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 301200 UTC 00HR 15.0N 148.0E 980HPA 30M/S 30KTS 280KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 16.2N 144.0E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 17.8N 140.4E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 19.3N 137.6E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 301200 *** WARNING 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0514 NABI (0514) 975 HPA AT 14.8N 147.8E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 15.8N 144.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 17.1N 141.8E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 19.3N 138.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 301200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 301200UTC 14.8N 147.8E FAIR MOVE W 13KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 311200UTC 15.8N 144.7E 80NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 011200UTC 17.1N 141.8E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 021200UTC 19.3N 138.5E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 301327 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI ADVISORY NUMBER 5A 11 PM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...NABI NOW A TYPHOON AND MAINTAINING A WESTWARD COURSE... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN 155 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 185 MILES EAST OF ROTA...AND 225 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM 325 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...NABI WILL GRADUALLY SLOW DOWN AND TURN SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...14.6 DEGREES NORTH AND 147.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST WEDNESDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM GUAM LST WEDNESDAY MORNING. $$ MCELROY ** WTPQ51 PGUM 301327 *** TCEPQ1 TROPICAL STORM NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 1120 PM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 AT 1054 PM THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 145 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN AND 245 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ STANKO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301300 UTC 00HR 22.0N 127.0E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 301400 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 1200 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 1154 PM THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 130 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN AND 225 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ STANKO ** WTPN32 PGTW 301500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z --- NEAR 22.0N 127.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N 127.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 22.7N 124.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.5N 122.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.4N 121.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 25.6N 119.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.4N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 301500Z POSITION NEAR 22.2N 126.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 301500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z --- NEAR 14.7N 147.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 147.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 14.7N 145.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 14.9N 143.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 15.6N 141.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 16.4N 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 18.1N 137.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 20.7N 134.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 24.4N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 301500Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 147.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT32 KNHC 301435 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ...KATRINA BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS... AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTH OF CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...WILL ACCOMPANY KATRINA ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER EASTERN GEORGIA...WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTH CAROLINA...AND VIRGINIA. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...36.3 N... 87.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 4PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTPN31 PGTW 301500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z --- NEAR 14.7N 147.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 147.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 14.7N 145.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 14.9N 143.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 15.6N 141.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 16.4N 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 18.1N 137.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 20.7N 134.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 24.4N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 301500Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 147.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT22 KNHC 301436 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005 1500Z TUE AUG 30 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 87.5W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 87.5W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 88.0W FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 38.5N 85.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 42.0N 80.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 45.5N 74.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 50.0N 71.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 55.5N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 87.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTPN32 PGTW 301500 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z --- NEAR 22.0N 127.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N 127.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 22.7N 124.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 301500 RRC *** DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.4N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 301500Z POSITION NEAR 22.2N 126.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT42 KNHC 301439 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005 KATRINA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND AND IT IS NOW A 30-KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED AND THERE ONLY A FEW REMAINING CLUSTERS...RAPIDLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ABOUT 18 KNOTS AND IT SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. KATRINA IS PRIMARILY NOW A HEAVY RAIN EVENT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT OF STRONG INLAND WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER AND OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF LIFE DUE TO FALLING TREES. INLAND FLOODING AND TORNADOES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/1500Z 36.3N 87.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 31/0000Z 38.5N 85.0W 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 31/1200Z 42.0N 80.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 01/0000Z 45.5N 74.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 01/1200Z 50.0N 71.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 02/1200Z 55.5N 67.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT72 KNHC 301440 *** SPFAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 42.0N 80.5W 29 3 X X 32 PORTLAND ME X 4 6 X 10 45.5N 74.5W X 16 2 X 18 BAR HARBOR ME X 1 6 1 8 50.0N 71.0W X 1 12 1 14 EASTPORT ME X X 5 1 6 OCEAN CITY MD X 2 X X 2 ST JOHN NB X X 3 3 6 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 4 X X 4 MONCTON NB X X 2 3 5 NEW YORK CITY NY X 6 1 X 7 YARMOUTH NS X X 2 2 4 MONTAUK POINT NY X 4 2 X 6 HALIFAX NS X X 1 2 3 PROVIDENCE RI X 4 3 X 7 SYDNEY NS X X X 2 2 NANTUCKET MA X 2 2 X 4 EDDY POINT NS X X X 2 2 HYANNIS MA X 2 3 X 5 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 3 3 BOSTON MA X 4 4 X 8 BURGEO NFLD X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7AM WED TO 7PM WED C FROM 7PM WED TO 7AM THU D FROM 7AM THU TO 7AM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301400 UTC 00HR 22.1N 126.9E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPN31 PGTW 301500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z --- NEAR 14.7N 147.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 147.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 14.7N 145.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 14.9N 143.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 15.6N 141.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 16.4N 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 18.1N 137.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 20.7N 134.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 24.4N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 301500Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 147.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 301500 RRD *** 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 20.7N 134.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 24.4N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 301500Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 147.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 301500 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z --- NEAR 14.7N 147.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 147.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 14.7N 145.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 301500 RRC *** 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 16.4N 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 18.1N 137.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 301500 RRB *** RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 14.9N 143.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 15.6N 141.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTCA42 TJSJ 301449 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL KATRINA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 30 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT MARTES 30 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...KATRINA SE CONVIERTE EN DEPRESION TROPICAL...PRODUCIENDO AUN LLUVIAS FUERTES... A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL KATRINA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 36.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 87.5 OESTE O COMO A 25 AL SUR DE CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 21 MPH. SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS CON UN AUMETNO GRADUAL EN EL MOVIMIENTO DE TRASLACION. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ESPERA SEA EXTRATROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 12 A 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 985 MILIBARAS...29.09 PULGADAS. CANTIDADES ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 6 PULGADAS...ACOMPANARAN A KATRINA A TRAVES DE OHIO VALLEY...THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...Y AL NORTE DE NEW ENGLAND. ALGUNOS TORNADOS SON POSIBLES HOY SOBRE EL ESTE DE GEORGIA...OESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR...CAROLINA DEL NORTE...Y VIRGINIA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 10 AM CDT...36.3 NORTE... 87.5 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 21 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 985 MB. ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA. PUDIERA ENCONTRARSE INFORMACION FUTURA SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA EN LAS ADVERTENCIAS EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO DE PREDICCION HIDROMETEOROLOGICA...BAJO EL ENCABEZAMIENTO DE AWIPS TCPAT2 BAJO EL ENCABEZAMIENTO DE WMO WTNT32 KWNH...COMENZANDO A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ ** WTPQ81 PGUM 301454 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-301700- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 100 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...NABI NOW A TYPHOON AND MAINTAINING A WESTWARD COURSE... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1200 AM GUAM LST...1400Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 221 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 131 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 140 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 180 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 225 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...NABI WILL GRADUALLY SLOW DOWN AND TURN SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON COR 2 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 9 PM THIS EVENING. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE...AND DANDAN ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. THE EVACUATION CENTER AT MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOL IS ALSO OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH WILL ARRIVE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY EXPECT TYPHOON FORCE WINDS. NORTHWEST WINDS 55 TO 65 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 60 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY EVENING AT 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON COR 3 FOR ROTA AT 9 PM THIS EVENING. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH WILL ARRIVE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO WEST AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND SLOWLY DECREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH BY THURSDAY MORNING AS NABI MOVES AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 11 TO 13 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 8 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 2 AT 9 PM THIS EVENING. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED ON WEDNESDAY AUGUST 31 AS A PRECAUTIONARY MEASURE. HOWEVER...ALL OTHER GOV GUAM AGENCIES WILL CONTINUE NORMAL OPERATIONS. ALL GOV GUAM EMPLOYEES ARE ASKED TO MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA REPORTS FOR FURTHER UPDATES. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WEDNESDAY THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 35 TO 45 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TO AT 20 TO 25 MPH BY THURSDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 8 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...AGRIHAN... AGRIHAN REMAINS IN COR 4 AS OF 9 PM THIS EVENING. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH WILL BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY THEN SLOWLY DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM AGRIHAN. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM GUAM LST WEDNESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF NEEDED. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ51 PGUM 301500 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 100 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 1254 AM THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 120 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN AND 215 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ STANKO ** WTUS84 KHUN 301507 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-301800- TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 1005 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ...KATRINA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... ...WIND IMPACTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE FELT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 4 PM CDT FOR ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTH OF CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT NEAR 21 MPH. THIS FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...TAKING IT OVER THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. ENSURE ALL LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS REMAIN SECURE...INCLUDING PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASHCANS. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH...WILL CONTINUE TO BE A POSSIBILITY INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS THE AREA. THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGHOUT NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE STANDS THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THESE HIGHER WINDS. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT REGARDING THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA. $$ BCC/HA ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301500 UTC 00HR 22.1N 126.8E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPH RPLL 301200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 07 AT 1200 30 AUGUST, TYPHOON (TALIM) (0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE DATA AT 21.9N 127.3 MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 05MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 450KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 48MPS NEAR CENTER 33MPS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 450KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 311200 23.1N 122.9E AT 011200 24.4N 119.2E AND AT 021200 26.2N 116.0E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPH20 RPMM 311200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 07 AT 1200 30 AUGUST TYPHOON (TALIM) (0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ONE POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT THREE EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 311200 TWO THREE POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT NINE EAST, AT 021200 TWO SIX POINT TWO NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 301532 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI ADVISORY NUMBER 6 2 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI (14W) HEADING TOWARD TINIAN AND SAIPAN... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 120 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN 125 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 165 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 210 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM 290 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 240 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 215 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...15.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 147.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 4 AM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ21 RJTD 301500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 301500UTC 22.1N 126.8E GOOD MOVE W 12KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 110NM 30KT 260NM FORECAST 24HF 311500UTC 24.0N 121.9E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 011200UTC 26.2N 119.0E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 69HF 021200UTC 28.2N 115.8E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP32 RJTD 301500 *** WARNING 301500. WARNING VALID 311500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 925 HPA AT 22.1N 126.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310300UTC AT 23.1N 124.2E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311500UTC AT 24.0N 121.9E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTJP31 RJTD 301500 *** WARNING 301500. WARNING VALID 311500. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0514 NABI (0514) 975 HPA AT 14.8N 147.2E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311500UTC AT 15.9N 144.0E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 301500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 301500UTC 14.8N 147.2E FAIR MOVE W 11KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 311500UTC 15.9N 144.0E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 011200UTC 17.1N 141.8E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 021200UTC 19.3N 138.5E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTPQ51 PGUM 301606 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 200 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 154 AM THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 110 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN...160 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 205 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ STANKO ** WTPQ81 PGUM 301637 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-301900- TYPHOON NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 300 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI HEADING TOWARD TINIAN AND SAIPAN... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 AM GUAM LST...1600Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 240 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 110 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 120 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 160 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 210 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. NABI IS EXPECTED TO TURN SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. NABI IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON COR 1 FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AT 1 AM THIS MORNING. CNMI EMO REPORTS EVACUATION CENTERS AT THE TANAPAG...GARAPAN...WSR...KOBLERVILLE...AND DANDAN ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS ARE OPEN. THE EVACUATION CENTER AT MARIANAS HIGH SCHOOL IS ALSO OPEN. LONG TERM SHELTEREES CAN BE HOUSED AT THE GYMNASIUM AT KAGMAN COMMUNITY CENTER. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING. NORTH WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AND INCREASING TO TYPHOON FORCE 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES AWAY WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...ROTA... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON COR 2 FOR ROTA AT 1 AM THIS MORNING. CNMI EMO ADVISES RESIDENTS LIVING NEAR THE COASTLINE AND IN POORLY DESIGNED STRUCTURES TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. MOVE TO THE EVACUATION CENTER DESIGNATED FOR YOUR VILLAGE. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED AROUND SUNRISE. NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...GUAM... THE GOVERNOR OF GUAM DECLARED CONDITION OF READINESS 1 AT 130 AM THIS MORNING. GUAM PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY. PRIVATE SCHOOL REPRESENTATIVES ARE URGED TO CALL THE OFFICE OF CIVIL DEFENSE ON THE STATUS OF PRIVATE SCHOOL OPERATIONS. ALL GOVERNMENT OF GUAM AGENCIES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY. HOWEVER...ALL EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERSONNEL ARE TO CONTACT THEIR SECTION SUPERVISORS AND REPORT TO WORK. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE. ...WIND INFORMATION... ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED BY MID-MORNING. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...AGRIHAN... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CNMI DECLARED TYPHOON COR 3 FOR AGRIHAN AT 1 AM THIS MORNING. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY BEGIN BY MID-MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH SHIFTING SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH TONIGHT AS NABI MOVES WEST OF THE MARIANAS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF ON ALL EXPOSURES INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET TODAY AND TONIGHT. COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM GUAM LST. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301600 UTC 00HR 22.1N 126.7E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTNT80 EGRR 301702 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.08.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA ANALYSED POSITION : 36.2N 88.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2005 36.2N 88.1W STRONG 00UTC 31.08.2005 39.2N 85.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 31.08.2005 EXTRA-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+24 : 8.7N 20.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.08.2005 8.7N 20.4W WEAK 00UTC 01.09.2005 11.0N 23.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2005 9.7N 26.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2005 10.2N 29.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2005 10.6N 32.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2005 11.7N 33.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2005 11.1N 35.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2005 11.5N 37.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2005 12.3N 40.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2005 12.4N 42.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2005 13.0N 44.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+36 : 18.0N 43.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.09.2005 18.0N 43.5W MODERATE 12UTC 01.09.2005 18.1N 45.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2005 19.2N 47.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2005 20.5N 48.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2005 21.3N 49.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2005 22.3N 51.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2005 23.2N 52.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2005 24.0N 53.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2005 25.2N 55.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2005 25.5N 57.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 301702 ** WTPQ51 PGUM 301712 *** TCEPQ1 TYPHOON NABI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 300 AM LST WED AUG 31 2005 AT 254 AM THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 105 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN...155 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA AND 205 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. $$ MILLER ** WTPQ31 PGUM 301727 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NABI (14W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A 400 AM GUAM LST WED AUG 31 2005 ...TYPHOON NABI HEADING TOWARD TINIAN AND SAIPAN... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 3 AM GUAM LST...1700Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NABI WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 105 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 125 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 155 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA 205 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 230 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN...AND 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN. TYPHOON NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION...15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 147.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 6 AM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 301700 UTC 00HR 22.1N 126.6E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H=