** WTIN20 DEMS 300640 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 30-08-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG LAT 29.0 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTPQ81 PGUM 300642 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-301100- TROPICAL STORM NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 300 PM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM NABI CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AND INTENSIFY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. FOR GUAM...DAMAGING WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... IF A SIGNIFICANT SOUTHWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK OR MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION OCCURS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 330 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 270 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 280 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 320 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 360 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH. TROPICAL STORM NABI COULD BECOME A TYPHOON LATE TONIGHT. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH TONIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST 50 TO 60 MPH WEDNESDAY MORNING SHIFTING TO THE WEST AT 65 TO 75 MPH WITH GUST TO 85 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AT 35 TO 45 MPH AS NABI MOVES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 18 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO THREE FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...ROTA... PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY ARRIVE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH TONIGHT WILL SHIFT WEST AND INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUST TO 60 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUST TO 60 MPH. WINDS SLOWLY DECREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH THURSDAY MORNING AS NABI MOVES NORTHWEST OF ROTA. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 16 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO TWO FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...AGRIHAN... PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT STAY IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WILL SHIFT TO NORTH TONIGHT AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY THEN SLOWLY DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM AGRIHAN. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO 10 TO 12 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO ONE FOOT IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...GUAM... GUAM IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...HOWEVER STRONG SOUTHWEST MONSOON WINDS FLOWING INTO NABI IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT GUAM BEGINNING EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE GUAM CIVIL DEFENSE OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH TONIGHT WILL SHIFT WEST AT 25 TO 30 MPH WEDNESDAY MORNING AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AT 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUST TO 50 MPH THEN SLOWLY DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH THURSDAY MORNING AS NABI MOVES NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT INCREASING TO NEAR 15 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO TWO FEET IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ ** WTJP22 RJTD 300600 *** WARNING 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 925 HPA AT 21.7N 128.5E SOUTHEAST OF MIYAKOJIMA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 23.2N 123.8E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 25.4N 120.1E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 28.1N 116.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 300600UTC 21.7N 128.5E GOOD MOVE W 10KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 110NM 30KT 240NM FORECAST 24HF 310600UTC 23.2N 123.8E 80NM 70% MOVE W 11KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 48HF 010600UTC 25.4N 120.1E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 72HF 020600UTC 28.1N 116.5E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 300653 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NABI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A 5 PM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM NABI CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AND INTENSIFY... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 225 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 230 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 270 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 315 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...NABI WILL MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT SPEED WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN...POSSIBLY BECOMING A TYPHOON TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 149.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO/STANKO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 300600 UTC 00HR 21.7N 128.5E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 23.5N 123.8E 920HPA 60M/S P+48HR 25.4N 119.6E 940HPA 50M/S P+72HR 27.6N 117.0E 980HPA 30M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 300600 UTC 00HR 15.1N 149.2E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 16.3N 145.0E 980HPA 30M/S P+48HR 17.7N 141.4E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 19.2N 138.3E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 300600 *** WARNING 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0514 NABI (0514) 980 HPA AT 15.1N 149.2E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 15.8N 145.6E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 16.9N 142.2E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 18.6N 138.8E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 300600UTC 15.1N 149.2E FAIR MOVE W 10KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 50KT 40NM 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 310600UTC 15.8N 145.6E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 010600UTC 16.9N 142.2E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 020600UTC 18.6N 138.8E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 300600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME STS 0514 NABI ANALYSIS POSITION 300600UTC 15.3N 149.2E MOVEMENT W 10KT PRES/VMAX 980HPA 54KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 310600UTC 16.3N 145.2E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT 48HR POSITION 010600UTC 17.7N 142.0E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT 72HR POSITION 020600UTC 19.6N 138.9E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300600 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 300600 UTC 00HR 15.1N 149.2E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 200KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 16.3N 145.0E 975HPA 33M/S P+48HR 17.7N 141.4E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 19.2N 138.3E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTPQ31 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.10 FOR TY 0513 TALIM (0513) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300600 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO NORT HWEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 6.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 4 FOR STS 0514 NABI (0514) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300600 UTC IS FAIR. STS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. STS WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE TO WEST-NORTHWES T. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST STS WILL BE GRADED UP TO TY WITHIN 24 HOURS. STS WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE SPIRAL CLOUD BANDS HAVE BECOME WELL ORGANI ZED AND CYCLONE WILL STAY IN HIGH SST AREA. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTNT42 KNHC 300830 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005 SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS THAT KATRINA HAS SHEARED APART...WITH THE MID-LEVEL CENTER OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TENNESSEE NOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SURFACE CENTER OVER NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THERE ARE NO OFFICIAL REPORTS OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WINDS. HOWEVER...THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS UNOFFICIAL REPORTS OF 50-55 KT GUSTS OVER NORTHERN ALABAMA SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. BASED ON THIS...AND THE CENTRAL PRESSURE RISING TO 981 MB...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 40 KT. THE CENTER OF KATRINA ISA A LITTLE TO THE LEFT AND SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK...WITH THE INITIAL MOTION OF 015/16. OTHER THAN THAT...THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. KATRINA WILL BE STEERED BY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN A TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND A RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES... WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE AN ACCELERATION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK DURING THE FIRST 12 HR BUT IS OTHERWISE JUST AN UPDATE. KATRINA SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HR. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER 36 HR IS A REFLECTION OF THE INCREASED FORWARD MOTION...NOT EXTRATROPICAL RE-INTENSIFICATION. EVEN THROUGH THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING...THE THREAT OF STRONG INLAND WINDS WILL REMAIN FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF LIFE DUE TO FALLING TREES. INLAND FLOODING AND TORNADOES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0900Z 34.7N 88.4W 45 KT 12HR VT 30/1800Z 37.2N 86.7W 30 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 31/0600Z 40.3N 82.8W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 31/1800Z 43.7N 77.0W 30 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 01/0600Z 47.5N 71.4W 30 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 02/0600Z 53.0N 68.5W 30 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT22 KNHC 300831 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005 0900Z TUE AUG 30 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 88.4W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 75SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 350SE 300SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 88.4W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 88.6W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 37.2N 86.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 40.3N 82.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 43.7N 77.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 47.5N 71.4W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 53.0N 68.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 88.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT72 KNHC 300832 *** SPFAT2 TROPICAL STORM KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 40.3N 82.8W 33 2 X X 35 BAR HARBOR ME X X 7 2 9 43.7N 77.0W X 17 2 X 19 EASTPORT ME X X 5 3 8 47.5N 71.4W X X 11 2 13 ST JOHN NB X X 4 4 8 OCEAN CITY MD X 3 X X 3 MONCTON NB X X 2 6 8 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 5 1 X 6 YARMOUTH NS X X 3 3 6 NEW YORK CITY NY X 6 2 1 9 HALIFAX NS X X 1 4 5 MONTAUK POINT NY X 3 4 X 7 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2 PROVIDENCE RI X 2 5 1 8 SYDNEY NS X X X 4 4 NANTUCKET MA X 1 4 1 6 EDDY POINT NS X X X 4 4 HYANNIS MA X 1 5 1 7 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 4 4 BOSTON MA X 2 6 1 9 BURGEO NFLD X X X 3 3 PORTLAND ME X 1 8 1 10 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1AM WED TO 1PM WED C FROM 1PM WED TO 1AM THU D FROM 1AM THU TO 1AM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT32 KNHC 300832 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ...KATRINA WEAKENS FURTHER OVER NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF TUPELO MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF KATRINA THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA SHOULD WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 65 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED FROM PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ALABAMA DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. TUPELO RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 980.4 MB...28.95 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...WILL ACCOMPANY KATRINA ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS...THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTH CAROLINA...AND VIRGINIA. REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...34.7 N... 88.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTPN32 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 15.1N 149.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 149.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 15.3N 146.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 15.7N 145.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.1N 143.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.6N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 18.1N 138.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.4N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 23.4N 133.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 148.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAX- IMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 21.8N 128.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 128.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 22.4N 126.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 23.3N 124.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 24.2N 121.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 24.9N 120.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 26.4N 118.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 28.0N 116.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 127.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 300900 RRD *** 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.4N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 23.4N 133.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 148.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAX- IMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 300900 RRB *** RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 15.7N 145.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.1N 143.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 300900 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 15.1N 149.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 149.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 15.3N 146.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 300900 RRC *** 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.6N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 18.1N 138.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 15.1N 149.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 149.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 15.3N 146.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 15.7N 145.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.1N 143.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.6N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 18.1N 138.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.4N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 23.4N 133.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 148.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAX- IMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTUS84 KHUN 300900 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-301500- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 400 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WEAKENS FURTHER OVER NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM THIS MORNING FOR ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS LOCATED 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF TUPELO MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT NEAR 18 MPH. SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL BE MOVING INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY MORNING AND INTO KENTUCKY LATER TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE MOVE INDOORS AND STAY THERE AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOVE NORTH OUT OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY MORNING. IF WATER BEGINS TO COVER THE ROAD OR RISES RAPIDLY AT YOUR LOCATION...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINOUS AND HILLY AREAS THROUGHOUT NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ELSEWHERE...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THIS MORNING...BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... THE BULK OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM KATRINA HAS COME TO AN END ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. SOME MINOR RUNOFF FLOODING PROBLEMS MAY CONTINUE FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE RISK OF TORNADOES HAS ENDED ACROSS ALL NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 AM CDT. $$ 10 ** WTCA42 TJSJ 300902 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL KATRINA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 30 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT MARTES 30 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...KATRINA SE DEBILITA AUN MAS SOBRE EL NORESTE DE MISSISSIPPI... A LAS 4 AM CDT...0900Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL KATRINA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 34.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 88.4 OESTE O COMO A 35 AL NORESTE DE TUPELO MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 18 MPH. SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORESTE CON UNA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION MAYOR DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. ESTA TRAYECTORIA TRAERA EL CENTRO DE KATRINA A TRAVES DEL VALLE DE TENNESSEE HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO A CERCA DE 50 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ESPERA MAS DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS Y KATRINA PODRIA DEBILITARSE A DEPRESION TROPICAL TARDE HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS...165 KM...FUERA DEL CENTRO. VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS DE 60 A 65 MPH HAN SIDO INFORMADOS SOBRE SECTORES DEL NORTE DE ALABAMA DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 981 MILIBARAS...28.97 PULGADAS. TUPELO RECIENTEMENTE INFORMO UNA PRESION DE 980.4 MILIBARAS...28.95 PULGADAS. LAS INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA A LO LARGO DEL NORTE Y NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO CONTINUARAN DISMINUYENDO HOY. CANTIDADES ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 6 PULGADAS...ACOMPANARAN A KATRINA A TRAVES DE LOS VALLES DE TENNESSEE Y OHIO. ALGUNOS TORNADOS SON POSIBLES HOY SOBRE EL OESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR...CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y VIRGINIA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 AM CDT...34.7 NORTE... 88.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 18 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 981 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN $$ ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 15.1N 149.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 149.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 15.3N 146.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 15.7N 145.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.1N 143.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.6N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 18.1N 138.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.4N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 23.4N 133.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 148.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAX- IMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 15.1N 149.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 149.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 15.3N 146.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 RRC *** 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.6N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 18.1N 138.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 RRB *** RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 15.7N 145.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.1N 143.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 RRD *** 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.4N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 23.4N 133.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 148.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAX- IMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 15.1N 149.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 149.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 15.3N 146.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 15.7N 145.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.1N 143.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.6N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 18.1N 138.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.4N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 23.4N 133.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 148.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAX- IMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 300900 UTC 00HR 21.8N 128.1E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 23.6N 123.4E 910HPA 65M/S P+48HR 25.4N 119.5E 940HPA 50M/S P+72HR 27.8N 116.7E 980HPA 30M/S= ** WTPH20 RPMM 300600 *** T T T TYPHOON WARNING 06 AT 0600 30 AUGUST, TYPHOON (TALIM) {0513} WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE,RADAR AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ONE POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT FIVE EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 310600 TWO TWO POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO EAST AT 010600 TWO FOUR POINT SIX NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA = ** WTJP32 RJTD 300900 *** WARNING 300900. WARNING VALID 310900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 925 HPA AT 21.8N 128.1E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310900UTC AT 23.5N 123.1E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 300900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 300900UTC 21.8N 128.1E GOOD MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 110NM 30KT 240NM FORECAST 24HF 310900UTC 23.5N 123.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 45HF 010600UTC 25.4N 120.1E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 69HF 020600UTC 28.1N 116.5E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPH RPLL 300600 *** TTT WARNING 06 AT 0600 30 AUGUST, TYPHOON (TALIM) (0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE , RADAR AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ONE POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT FIVE EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 310600 TWO TWO POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO EAST AT 010600 TWO FOUR POINT SIX NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUEST ED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTPQ31 PGUM 300958 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NABI ADVISORY NUMBER 5 8 PM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM NABI CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AND INTENSIFY... AT 8 PM...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 315 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 185 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 190 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 230 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 275 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...NABI WILL GRADUALLY SLOW DOWN AND TURN SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...15.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 148.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM GUAM LST WEDNESDAY MORNING. $$ MCELROY ** WTUS84 KBMX 301013 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-301500- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 510 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ...DAMAGING WINDS STILL EXPECTED WITH TROPICAL STORM KATRINA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 AM CDT....THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF TUPELO MISSISSIPPI. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.95 INCHES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA SHOULD WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA... DUE TO THE DAMAGING WINDS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AS GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TODAY...BUT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH. MOST OF THE DAMAGING WINDS ARE ORIENTED FROM THE SOUTH...THEREFORE...HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING WEST OR EAST WILL BE HIGHLY AFFECTED. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIDESPREAD SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. SOME ADDITIONAL TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE IS STILL POSSIBLE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY. ADDITIONALLY...DEBRIS FROM DAMAGE OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS MAY BE ON THE ROADS. ONCE AGAIN DRIVERS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... KATRINA IS MOVING FASTER NORTHWARD THAN EXPECTED...AND TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD. THEREFORE...NO WIDESPREAD FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A FEW RIVERS MAY RISE OUT OF THEIR BANKS...ESPECIALLY IN FAR WESTERN ALABAMA. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THIS INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE DEPARTMENT'S WEB SITE...AT HTTP://WWW.DOT.STATE.AL.US/. TO REPORT DOWNED POWER LINES...PLEASE CALL ALABAMA POWER AT 800-888- 2726. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...OR DAMAGE FROM HURRICANE KATRINA...CALL OUR STORM REPORTING HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 10 AM CDT. && $$ 12/SIRMON ** WTJP31 RJTD 300900 *** WARNING 300900. WARNING VALID 310900. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0514 NABI (0514) 980 HPA AT 14.8N 148.4E MARIANAS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310900UTC AT 15.8N 145.1E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 300900UTC 14.8N 148.4E FAIR MOVE WSW 15KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 50KT 40NM 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 310900UTC 15.8N 145.1E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 010600UTC 16.9N 142.2E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 020600UTC 18.6N 138.8E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT =