** WTSR20 WSSS 291800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTCA42 TJSJ 300010 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL KATRINA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 28A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT LUNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...KATRINA AHORA TROMENTA TROPICAL PERO FUERTES VIENTOS Y LLUVIAS CONTINUA SIENDO UNA AMENAZA... EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PERMANECE EN EFECTO PARA LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN Y DESDE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL PEARL RIVER AL ESTE HASTA LA FRONTERA DE ALABAMA Y FLORIDA. ESTE AVISO PROBABLEMENTE SEA DESCONTINUADO MAS TARDE DURANTE EL ANOCHECER. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 7 PM CDT...0000Z...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL KATRINA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 32.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 88.9 OESTE O COMO A 30 MILLAS AL NOROESTE DE MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 21 MPH...Y SE UN AUMENTO EN SU VELOCIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. CON ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO CONTINUARA MOVIENDOSE SOBRE LA PARTE NORESTE DE MISSISSIPPI Y SOBRE LA PARTE NOROESTE DE TENNESSEE ESTA NOCHE Y LA PARTE OESTE CENTRAL DE TENNESSEE PARA TEMNPRANO EN EL MARTES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO HASTA CERCA DE 75 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. AUNQUE KATRINA YA NO ES UN HURACAN SUS VIENTOS AUN SON CAPACES DE DERRIBAR AROBLES Y CREAR CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 205 MILLAS...MAYORMENTE SL SURESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 965 MILIBARAS...28.50 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA A LO LARGO DEL NORTE Y NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DISMINUIRAN LENTAMENTE ESTA NOCHE. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS...ACOMPANARA A KATRINA DESDE EL GOLFO DE MEXICO HASTA LOS VALLES DEL TENNESSEE Y OHIO. ALGUNOS TORNADOS SON POSIBLES SOBRE PARTES DEL CENTRO...ESTE Y NORTE DE ALABAMA...Y PORCIONES DEL OESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL OESTE DE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ESTA TARDE. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 PM CDT...32.9 NORTE... 88.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE NORESTE A CERCA DE 21 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 965 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 PM CDT SEGUIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANCKLIN $$ ** WTUS84 KHUN 300011 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-300100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 710 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM KATRINA MOVING THROUGH EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TOWARD NORTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL BE EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALL COUNTIES SERVICED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE UNTIL 5 AM CDT ON TUESDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES WEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA...IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AT NEAR 18 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT AND INTO WESTERN TENNESSEE ON TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ENSURE THAT ALL FINAL PREPARATIONS ARE IN PLACE AS THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO REACH THE AREA BY MID TO LATE EVENING. ENSURE ALL LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS REMAIN SECURE... INCLUDING PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS. MAKE FINAL PLANS NOW TO MOVE OUTDOOR PETS TO A SAFE INDOOR LOCATION BY THIS EVENING... CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA AT 15 TO 30 MPH...WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH BY 9 PM ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH ALABAMA ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. SPECIFICALLY...AN AREA OF HIGH WINDS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE CENTER OF KATRINA WILL MOVE INTO CULLMAN COUNTY ALABAMA BY 730 PM...AND INTO FRANKLIN...LAWRENCE AND MORGAN COUNTIES BY 8 PM. WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THESE AREAS TO BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH...WITH SOME WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 50 MPH. THE HIGHER WINDS WILL THEN MOVE INTO LAUDERDALE...LIMESTONE AND MADISON COUNTIES BY AROUND 9 PM...AND INTO LINCOLN AND MOORE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY AROUND 10 PM. FOR AREAS MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65...THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TONIGHT SHOULD MAINLY AFFECT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... THE RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THROUGH THE EVENING WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM A QUARTER TO A HALF OF AN INCH ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THROUGH 10 PM. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH MIDNIGHT...WITH CONTINUOUS RAINFALL EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. CURRENT ESTIMATES OF RAINFALL FROM THIS STORM RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WEST OF INTERSTATE 65...TO 1 TO 3 INCHES EAST OF INTERSTATE 65...WITH THE LIGHTEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE GEORGIA BORDER. THE RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES IN RAIN BANDS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 PM CDT. $$ TROUTMAN ** WTUS84 KJAN 300018 *** HLSJAN MSZ025>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-300500- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 715 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...KATRINA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES INTO EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... ...FLOODING AND STRONG WINDS STILL PRESENT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PEOPLE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ADAMS...FRANKLIN... JEFFERSON...CLAIBORNE...WARREN...HINDS...RANKIN...SMITH...JASPER... CLARKE...SCOTT...NEWTON...LAUDERDALE...MADISON...YAZOO...LEAKE... NESHOBA...KEMPER...HOLMES...ATTALLA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...LEFLORE... CARROLL...GRENADA...MONTGOMERY...CHOCTAW...OKTIBBEHA...LOWNDES... WEBSTER...AND CLAY COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. NUMEROUS FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF MERIDIAN. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES FURTHER INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE THE STORM HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM...IT STILL PRESENTS A STRONG WIND THREAT ACROSS NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THE HIGHER WIND GUSTS...PARTICULARLY IN AREAS THAT SEE HEAVY RAIN BANDS. AREAS LIKELY TO SEE THESE HIGHER GUSTS ARE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING LOCATIONS SUCH AS MERIDIAN...STARKVILLE...AND COLUMBUS. THIS IS STILL A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION...DO NOT TAKE IT LIGHTLY! PLEASE FOLLOW THE DIRECTIONS OF STATE...COUNTY AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WITH REGARD TO EVACUATIONS AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. ...WIND IMPACTS... KATRINA HAS ALREADY DONE SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG THE HIGHWAYS 84 AND 98 CORRIDOR AND REPORTS OF TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE ARE WIDESPREAD. IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...WINDS OF 45 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MAY STILL OCCUR. WIND DAMAGE COULD BE EXTENSIVE IN THESE AREAS AS WELL...WITH WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES POSSIBLE. ...INLAND FLOODING IMPACTS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED GREATER AMOUNTS...WILL OCCUR IN THE AREA ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE URBAN FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL TO MODERATE. THE RIVER FLOODING WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED TO THE PEARL AND PASCAGOULA BASINS AT THIS TIME. AS OF 730 PM...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES HAVE BEEN COMMON EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...INLAND TORNADO IMPACTS... THE RISK OF TORNADOES HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND THE TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF THE STORM REMAINS IN THE AREA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT CDT. $$ BCC ** WTUS84 KBMX 300035 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017-022>027-030>036-039>044-049-300300- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 730 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...KATRINA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES JUST EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 FROM ONEONTA...TO ROCKFORD...TO TROY...AND WEST...TO THE MISSISSIPPI ALABAMA STATE LINE UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES EAST OF INTERSTATE 65... EAST OF ONEONTA...TO ROCKFORD...TO TROY...AND EAST...TO THE ALABAMA GEORGIA STATE LINE UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH 7 PM TUESDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 21 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE HURRICANE TRACK...AFFECTING AREAS NEAR THE ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL EXTEND AS FAR EAST AS INTERSTATE 65...FROM ONEONTA...TO ROCKFORD...TO TROY...AND WHERE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH. LOCATIONS EAST OF ONEONTA...TO ROCKFORD...TO TROY...CAN EXPECT WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS AT THESE SPEEDS...IN COMBINATION OF SATURATED SOILS...CAN TOPPLE NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... KATRINA IS MOVING FASTER NORTHWARD THAN EXPECTED...AND TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD. FOR AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 65...2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES. AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 65...1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL FROM KATRINA WILL CAUSE MAINLY MINOR RIVER FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. THIS FLOODING WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE WATER BEGINS RISING TO MAKE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIVES AND PROPERTY. EVACUATIONS FROM LOWLANDS MAY NOT BE POSSIBLE DUE TO DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES AND RAPIDLY RISING WATER. PREPARATIONS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN BE BROUGHT TO COMPLETION. ...TORNADO THREAT... AS RAIN BANDS ROTATE NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA OVERNIGHT...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED TREAT OF TORNADOES. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD AS THE CENTER OF KATRINA MOVES FARTHER NORTH. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THIS INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE DEPARTMENT'S WEB SITE...AT HTTP://WWW.DOT.STATE.AL.US/. TO REPORT DOWN POWER LINES TO PLEASE CALL ALABAMA POWER AT 800-888- 2726. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...OR DAMAGE FROM HURRICANE KATRINA...CALL OUR STORM REPORTING HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 10 PM CDT. && $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 300000 UTC 00HR 21.3N 129.8E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 23.0N 125.2E 920HPA 60M/S P+48HR 24.9N 120.7E 940HPA 50M/S P+72HR 27.0N 117.6E 980HPA 30M/S= ** WTJP22 RJTD 300000 *** WARNING 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 925 HPA AT 21.4N 129.7E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 23.0N 125.0E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 24.9N 120.7E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 26.8N 116.3E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 300000UTC 21.4N 129.7E GOOD MOVE W 10KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 110NM 30KT 260NM FORECAST 24HF 310000UTC 23.0N 125.0E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 48HF 010000UTC 24.9N 120.7E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 020000UTC 26.8N 116.3E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT = ** WTPQ31 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 9 FOR TY 0513 TALIM (0513) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS THEN ACCELERAT E. TY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 6.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 300000 UTC 00HR 15.4N 150.5E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 16.8N 146.4E 980HPA 30M/S P+48HR 18.0N 142.7E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 18.9N 139.0E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 300109 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NABI (14W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A 11 AM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM NABI CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...SAIPAN AND AGRIHAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 395 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 360 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 305 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 315 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 350 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 390 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...NABI WILL MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT SPEED WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN...POSSIBLY BECOMING A TYPHOON LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 150.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTUS84 KLIX 300114 *** HLSLIX LAZ038>040-MSZ070-071-077-080>082-300301- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 813 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...NOW TROPICAL STORM KATRINA CONTINUES TO PUSH NORTHWARD INTO EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...LEAVING WIDESPREAD DAMAGE AND FLOODING ACROSS BOTH SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI IN HER WAKE... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO COASTAL ALABAMA... ...EXTENSIVE AND LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING REMAINS IN PROGRESS AT THIS TIME...ESPECIALLY IN THE NEW ORLEANS AREA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THE FOLLOWING PARISHES ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST CHARLES...ST BERNARD...ORLEANS... JEFFERSON...PLAQUEMINES...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...LIVINGSTON. IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HANCOCK...HARRISON...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS EVENING. ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PIKE AND WALTHALL COUNTIES OF SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA AND WASHINGTON PARISHES OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND HANCOCK... HARRISON...JACKSON AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. FOR DETAILED INFORMATION ON THIS SITUATION PLEASE REFER TO THE PRODUCT NEWNPWLIX. TORNADO WATCHES FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI HAVE BEEN CANCELLED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF NOW TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 21 MPH...AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM PRODUCING SUSTAINED AND FREQUENT GUSTS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WELL AROUND THE STORMS CENTER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WIDESPREAD FLOODING HAS OCCURRED AND STORM WATER RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE TO EXACERBATE THE PROBLEM THROUGH THE EVENING. RIVER FLOODING WILL BE A PROBLEM OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEK. ...WIND IMPACTS... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM PRODUCING SUSTAINED AND FREQUENT GUSTS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WELL OUT FROM THE CENTER IS ALL DIRECTION. ...TORNADOES... THE TORNADO THREAT WILL HAS DIMINISHED AS KATRINA CONTINUES TO PUSH FURTHER TO THE NORTH. ...RAINFALL... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATES FROM 4 TO 12 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA EARLIER TODAY...BUT THE RAINFALL HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED OR ENDED FOR MOST OF THE AREA. THESE HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS... HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES...AS WELL AS OTHER POUR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS...AND THESE AREAS WILL BE SLOW TO DRAIN THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 10 PM CDT. $$ DARBE ** WTJP21 RJTD 300000 *** WARNING 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0514 NABI (0514) 985 HPA AT 15.5N 150.4E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 16.0N 145.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 17.1N 142.3E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 18.6N 139.4E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 300000UTC 15.5N 150.4E FAIR MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 310000UTC 16.0N 145.7E 80NM 70% MOVE W 11KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 48HF 010000UTC 17.1N 142.3E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 020000UTC 18.6N 139.4E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 300000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4 NAME TY 0513 TALIM ANALYSIS POSITION 300000UTC 21.4N 129.7E MOVEMENT W 10KT PRES/VMAX 925HPA 95KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 310000UTC 23.2N 125.3E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 920HPA 101KT 48HR POSITION 010000UTC 25.3N 121.4E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 940HPA 89KT 72HR POSITION 020000UTC 28.3N 118.2E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ30 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 3 FOR STS 0514 NABI (0514) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300000 UTC IS FAIR. STS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN DECELERA TE. STS WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE TO WEST-NORTHWES T. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST STS WILL BE GRADED UP TO TY WITHIN 24 HOURS. STS WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE SPIRAL CLOUD BANDS HAVE BECOME WELL ORGANI ZED AND CYCLONE WILL STAY IN HIGH SST AREA. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 4.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTNT32 KNHC 300230 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...KATRINA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST OR NEAR COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL BE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE STILL CAPABLE OF CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS BY DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS STILL OCCURRING BUT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH KATRINA ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT OVER EASTERN ALABAMA... CENTRAL AND WESTERN GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...33.5 N... 88.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT42 KNHC 300231 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2005 KATRINA HAS WEAKENED FURTHER AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS DIFFICULT TO ASSESS BASED ON THE AVAILABLE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...BUT THE SHIPS INLAND DECAY MODEL SUGGESTS THAT IT MAY BE NEAR 50 KT. DOPPLER VELOCITIES OF 90 KT AT 4000 FT FROM THE NWS/BIRMINGHAM RADAR ALSO ARE ROUGHLY CONSISTENT WITH THIS ESTIMATE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND GFS MODEL FIELDS SUGGEST THAT KATRINA SHOULD LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN ABOUT 36 HOURS...AND BECOME INDISTINCT WITHIN A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW AFTER 72 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 020/19...WHICH IS A LITTLE FASTER AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION BETWEEN MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND A MID-LATITUDE LOW NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES. MODEL GUIDANCE IS ALREADY LAGGING BEHIND ON THE FORWARD SPEED...AND SO I HAVE ADJUSTED THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TO BE A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE MODEL GUIDANCE DURING THE FIRST 36 HOURS OF THE FORECAST...BUT TRENDING TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION BY 72 HOURS. EVEN THROUGH THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING...THE THREAT OF STRONG INLAND WINDS WILL REMAIN FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF LIFE DUE TO FALLING TREES. INLAND FLOODING WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0300Z 33.5N 88.5W 50 KT 12HR VT 30/1200Z 36.3N 87.1W 35 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 31/0000Z 39.4N 84.1W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 31/1200Z 42.5N 80.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 01/0000Z 46.0N 73.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 02/0000Z 52.0N 68.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 03/0000Z...ABSORBED $$ ** WTNT22 KNHC 300231 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005 0300Z TUE AUG 30 2005 AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 88.5W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 90SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 400SE 300SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 88.5W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 88.8W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 36.3N 87.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 39.4N 84.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 42.5N 80.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 46.0N 73.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 52.0N 68.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N 88.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT72 KNHC 300232 *** SPFAT2 TROPICAL STORM KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT THU SEP 1 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 39.4N 84.1W 35 1 X X 36 PORTLAND ME X X 7 3 10 42.5N 80.0W 1 20 3 X 24 BAR HARBOR ME X X 4 5 9 46.0N 73.5W X X 12 2 14 EASTPORT ME X X 2 6 8 NORFOLK VA X 1 1 X 2 ST JOHN NB X X 1 7 8 OCEAN CITY MD X 1 2 1 4 MONCTON NB X X 1 6 7 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 2 4 X 6 YARMOUTH NS X X 1 5 6 NEW YORK CITY NY X 1 7 X 8 HALIFAX NS X X X 5 5 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 6 1 7 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2 PROVIDENCE RI X X 6 2 8 SYDNEY NS X X X 3 3 NANTUCKET MA X X 4 2 6 EDDY POINT NS X X X 4 4 HYANNIS MA X X 5 2 7 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 3 3 BOSTON MA X X 7 2 9 BURGEO NFLD X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7PM TUE TO 7AM WED C FROM 7AM WED TO 7PM WED D FROM 7PM WED TO 7PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTPN32 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 21.4N 129.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 129.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 21.8N 127.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 22.5N 125.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.4N 123.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.3N 121.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 25.9N 118.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 27.4N 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 129.0E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT82 KNHC 300241 *** TCVAT2 KATRINA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 .TROPICAL STORM KATRINA ALC003-097-MSC045-047-059-GMZ555-575-630-650-670-300900- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W AL/FL-BORDER 30.30N 87.45W $$ ATTN...WFO...LIX...MOB... ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 15.2N 150.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 150.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.6N 148.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.0N 146.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.6N 144.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.0N 142.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.4N 139.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.0N 136.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 22.8N 134.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 149.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM WEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 300300 RRB *** RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 22.5N 125.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.4N 123.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 300300 RRD *** --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 25.9N 118.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 27.4N 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 129.0E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 21.4N 129.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 129.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 21.8N 127.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 22.5N 125.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.4N 123.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.3N 121.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 25.9N 118.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 27.4N 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 129.0E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14W (NABI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 300300 RRC *** 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 24.3N 121.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS ** WTPN32 PGTW 300300 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 21.4N 129.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 129.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 21.8N 127.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 RRC *** 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.4N 139.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.0N 136.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 22.8N 134.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 149.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM WEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 RRB *** 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.6N 144.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.0N 142.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 15.2N 150.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 150.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.6N 148.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.0N 146.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 15.2N 150.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 150.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.6N 148.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.0N 146.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.6N 144.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.0N 142.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.4N 139.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.0N 136.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 22.8N 134.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 149.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM WEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 RRD *** WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTCA42 TJSJ 300247 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL KATRINA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 29 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT LUNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...KATRINA CONTINUA DEBILITANDOSE SOBRE EL NORESTE DE MISSISSIPPI... A LAS 10 PM CDT...0300Z...TODOS LOS AVISOS COSTEROS HAN SIDO DESCONTINUADOS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 10 PM CDT...0300Z...EL CENTRO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL KATRINA ESTABA ESTIMADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 33.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 88.5 OESTE O COMO A 30 MILLAS CERCA DE COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE NORESTE CERCA DE 22 MPH...Y SE UN AUMENTO EN SU VELOCIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. CON ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO ESTARA MOVIENDOSE SOBRE LA PARTE CENTRAL DE TENNESSEE Y KENTUCKY EL MARTES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 60 MPH...95 KPH CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS AUN SON CAPACES DE CREAR CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS Y DERRIBAR ARBOLES Y POSTES DEL TENDIDO ELECTRICO. SE ESPERA QUE KATRINA CONTINUARA DEBILITANDOSE Y SE CONVERTIRA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL EL MARTES. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS...MAYORMENTE SL SURESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 973 MILIBARAS...28.50 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA A LO LARGO DEL NORTE Y NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DISMINUIRAN LENTAMENTE ESTA NOCHE. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 8 PULGADAS...ACOMPANARA A KATRINA DESDE EL GOLFO DE MEXICO HASTA LOS VALLES DEL TENNESSEE Y OHIO. ALGUNOS TORNADOS SON POSIBLES SOBRE PARTES DEL CENTRO...ESTE Y NORTE DE ALABAMA...Y PORCIONES DEL OESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL OESTE DE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ESTA TARDE. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 10 PM CDT...33.5 NORTE... 88.5 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE NORESTE A CERCA DE 22 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 973 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANESA LAS 4 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS84 KBMX 300255 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017-022>027-030>036-039>044-049-300600- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 954 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM KATRINA MOVING OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES JUST EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 FROM ONEONTA...TO ROCKFORD...TO TROY...AND WEST...TO THE MISSISSIPPI ALABAMA STATE LINE UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES EAST OF INTERSTATE 65... EAST OF ONEONTA...TO ROCKFORD...TO TROY...AND EAST...TO THE ALABAMA GEORGIA STATE LINE UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH 7 PM TUESDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT....THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST OR NEAR COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL BE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...DUE TO THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY... PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND... DON'T DROWN. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE INNER FEEDER BANDS THAT ARE MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL ALABAMA. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. WINDS AT THESE SPEEDS...IN COMBINATION OF SATURATED SOILS...CAN TOPPLE NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... KATRINA IS MOVING FASTER NORTHWARD THAN EXPECTED...AND TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD. FOR AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 65...2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES. AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 65...1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL FROM KATRINA WILL CAUSE MAINLY MINOR RIVER FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. THIS FLOODING WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE WATER BEGINS RISING TO MAKE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIVES AND PROPERTY. EVACUATIONS FROM LOWLANDS MAY NOT BE POSSIBLE DUE TO DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES AND RAPIDLY RISING WATER. PREPARATIONS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN BE BROUGHT TO COMPLETION. ...TORNADO THREAT... AS RAIN BANDS ROTATE NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA OVERNIGHT... THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF TORNADOES. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THIS INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE DEPARTMENT'S WEB SITE...AT HTTP://WWW.DOT.STATE.AL.US/. TO REPORT DOWNED POWER LINES...PLEASE CALL ALABAMA POWER AT 800-888- 2726. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...OR DAMAGE FROM HURRICANE KATRINA...CALL OUR STORM REPORTING HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1 AM CDT. && $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 300258 *** HLSLIX LAZ038>040-MSZ070-071-077-080>082-300400- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 10 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ALONG THE LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTLINES HAVE BEEN CANCELLED... ...WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTAL SECTIONS AS TROPICAL STORM KATRINA PUSHES FURTHER INLAND ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THE FOLLOWING PARISHES ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...WASHINGTON. IN SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES PIKE...WALTHAM...HANCOCK...HARRISON...JACKSON AND PEARL RIVER. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST OR NEAR COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL BE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALTHOUGH THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR KATRINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...COASTAL FLOOD PROBLEMS COULD PERSIST ACROSS THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF HANCOCK...HARRISON AND JACKSON COUNTIES THROUGH THE NIGHT DUE TO CONTINUED MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OCCURRING ONCE AGAIN AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THESE COUNTIES HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH TONIGHT. ...WIND IMPACTS... AS KATRINA CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER INLAND ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...WINDS HAVE SETTLED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN MODERATELY STRONG WITH SUSTAINED 20 TO 25 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT. ...TORNADOES... THE TORNADO THREAT HAS DIMINISHED AS KATRINA CONTINUES TO PUSH FURTHER TO THE NORTH. THEREFORE...THE TORNADO WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ...RAINFALL... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATES FROM 4 TO 12 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA EARLIER TODAY...BUT THE RAINFALL HAS ENDED...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED IN REFERENCE TO TROPICAL STORM KATRINA. $$ DARBE ** WTUS84 KMOB 300259 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-300400- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1000 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DROPPED FOR COASTAL AND INLAND AREAS... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING ISSUED FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...ESCAMBIA...COVINGTON...WASHINGTON...CONECUH... MONROE...BUTLER...CLARKE...CRENSHAW...WILCOX...CHOCTAW...BALDWIN AND MOBILE COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...STONE...PERRY...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...OKALOOSA...ESCAMBIA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR COASTAL AREAS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE AT 10 PM THIS EVENING. THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT...HURRICANE KATRINA HAS MOVED WELL NORTH OF OUR REGION AND IS CENTERED NEAR COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST IS STILL OCCURRING AND A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WATER LEVELS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT. ...RIP CURRENTS... EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TUESDAY. SWIMMERS SHOULD NOT ENTER THE WATER UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS IS THE LAST TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE ON THIS EVENT. $$ CULLEN ** WTUS84 KHUN 300305 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-300600- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 1007 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM KATRINA MOVING THROUGH EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TOWARD NORTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALL COUNTIES SERVICED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE UNTIL 5 AM CDT ON TUESDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST OR NEAR COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT NEAR 22 MPH. SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL BE MOVING ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND IN KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE MOVE INDOORS AND STAY THERE AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOVE NORTH OUT OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. IF WATER BEGINS TO COVER THE ROAD OR RISES RAPIDLY AT YOUR LOCATION...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ACROSS MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. SUSTAINED EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH...WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... THE RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A QUARTER TO A HALF OF AN INCH ACROSS NORTHEAST ALABAMA TO UP TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH 1 AM. THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS... STREAMS AND RIVERS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES IN RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A POSSIBILITY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 1 AM CDT. $$ 24 ** WTUS84 KJAN 300308 *** HLSJAN MSZ025>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-300600- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 1005 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...KATRINA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PEOPLE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... ALL INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED AS SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER AREAS PREVIOUSLY WARNED. THE FLOOD WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN CANCELLED. A WIND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY WARNING AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST OR NEAR COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES FURTHER INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...DUE TO THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND... DON'T DROWN. ...WIND IMPACTS... SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AS THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE KATRINA PULL NORTHWARD INTO WEST TENNESSEE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE EXTRA CAUTION. ...INLAND FLOODING IMPACTS... THE BULK OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE KATRINA HAS COME TO AN END ACROSS THE AREA. WHILE RUNOFF PROBLEMS MAY CONTINUE FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAINFALL...AND RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED. ...INLAND TORNADO IMPACTS... THE RISK OF TORNADOES HAS ENDED ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT REGARDING THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA. $$ 10 ** WTPH20 RPMM 300000 *** T T T TYPHOON WARNING 05 AT 0000 30 AUGUST (TALIM) (0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE RADAR AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ONE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT SEVEN EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 310000 TWO TWO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT THREE EAST AND AT 010000 TWO TWO POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT SEVEN EAST AND AT 020000 TWO TWO POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 300331 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NABI (14W) ADVISORY NUMBER 4 2 PM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM NABI CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AND INTENSIFY... A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS THAT TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON- FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 330 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 270 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 280 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 320 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 360 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...NABI WILL MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT SPEED WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. NABI WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN...POSSIBLY BECOMING A TYPHOON LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...15.3 DEGREES NORTH AND 149.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 300300 UTC 00HR 21.5N 129.3E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTJP32 RJTD 300300 *** WARNING 300300. WARNING VALID 310300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 925 HPA AT 21.5N 129.0E SOUTHEAST OF MIYAKOJIMA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310300UTC AT 23.2N 124.0E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 300300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 300300UTC 21.5N 129.0E GOOD MOVE W 10KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 110NM 30KT 260NM FORECAST 24HF 310300UTC 23.2N 124.0E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 45HF 010000UTC 24.9N 120.7E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 020000UTC 26.8N 116.3E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT = ** WTPH RPLL 300000 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 05 AT 0000 30 AUGUST, TYPHOON (TALIM) (0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 21.4N 129.7E MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 04MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 450KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 48MPS NEAR CENTER 33MPS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 450KMS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 310000 22.0N 126.3E AND AT 010000 22.5N 123.7E AND AT 020000 22.9N 121.0E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTJP31 RJTD 300300 *** WARNING 300300. WARNING VALID 310300. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0514 NABI (0514) 985 HPA AT 15.5N 149.8E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310300UTC AT 16.0N 145.5E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 300300UTC 15.5N 149.8E FAIR MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 310300UTC 16.0N 145.5E 80NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 45HF 010000UTC 17.1N 142.3E 150NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 020000UTC 18.6N 139.4E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTUS84 KHUN 300541 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-300900- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 1240 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM KATRINA MOVING THROUGH NORTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM THIS MORNING FOR ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM THIS MORNING FOR ALL COUNTIES SERVICED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE UNTIL 5 AM CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR HAMILTON ALABAMA IN WINSTON COUNTY ALABAMA. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT NEAR 22 MPH. SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL BE MOVING INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY MORNING AND INTO KENTUCKY LATER TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE MOVE INDOORS AND STAY THERE AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOVE NORTH OUT OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY MORNING. IF WATER BEGINS TO COVER THE ROAD OR RISES RAPIDLY AT YOUR LOCATION...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY UNTIL MORNING. SUSTAINED EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH...WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MORNING. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... THE RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A FURTHER QUARTER TO A HALF OF AN INCH ACROSS NORTHEAST ALABAMA TO UP TO ONE INCH POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH 4 AM. THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS... STREAMS AND RIVERS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES IN RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A POSSIBILITY THROUGH MORNING. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 4 AM CDT. $$ TROUTMAN ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 COR *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 15.2N 150.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 150.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.6N 148.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.0N 146.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.6N 144.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.0N 142.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.4N 139.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.0N 136.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 22.8N 134.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 149.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED LOCATION FROM WEST OF SAIPAN TO EAST.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 15.2N 150.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 150.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.6N 148.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.0N 146.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 RRC *** 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.4N 139.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.0N 136.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 22.8N 134.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 149.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 RRD *** 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED LOCATION FROM WEST OF SAIPAN TO EAST.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 COR *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (NABI) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 15.2N 150.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 150.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.6N 148.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.0N 146.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.6N 144.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.0N 142.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.4N 139.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.0N 136.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 22.8N 134.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 149.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (NABI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED LOCATION FROM WEST OF SAIPAN TO EAST.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 RRB *** 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.6N 144.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 17.0N 142.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTUS84 KBMX 300547 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-301000- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1243 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005 ...DAMAGING WINDS STILL EXPECTED WITH TROPICAL STORM KATRINA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN ALABAMA UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT....THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST OR NEAR COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL BE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...DUE TO THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY OVERNIGHT. MANY ROADWAYS HAVE TREE DEBRIS COVERING THEM...AND THIS DEBRIS WILL BE NEARLY INVISIBLE CONSIDERING THE ASSOCIATED POWER OUTAGES. TRAVEL IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED AS FIRST RESPONDERS ARE STILL DEALING WITH BLOCKED ROADWAYS. MOST OF THE DAMAGING WINDS ARE ORIENTED FROM THE SOUTH...THEREFORE...HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING WEST OR EAST WILL BE HIGHLY AFFECTED. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIDESPREAD SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. ALTHOUGH MANY LOCATIONS EXPERIENCED WIND DAMAGE EARLIER IN THE DAY...EXTENSIVE TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE CAN STILL BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... KATRINA IS MOVING FASTER NORTHWARD THAN EXPECTED...AND TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD. THEREFORE...ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING PROBLEMS...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. ...TORNADO THREAT... AS RAIN BANDS ROTATE NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA OVERNIGHT... THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF TORNADOES. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE LIMITED TO AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINAS FEEDER BANDS. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THIS INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE DEPARTMENT'S WEB SITE...AT HTTP://WWW.DOT.STATE.AL.US/. TO REPORT DOWNED POWER LINES...PLEASE CALL ALABAMA POWER AT 800-888- 2726. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...OR DAMAGE FROM HURRICANE KATRINA...CALL OUR STORM REPORTING HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM CDT. && $$ LINHARES ** WTNT80 EGRR 300555 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.08.2005 TROPICAL STORM KATRINA ANALYSED POSITION : 32.8N 89.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2005 32.8N 89.3W INTENSE 12UTC 30.08.2005 36.2N 88.0W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 31.08.2005 EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 19.8N 51.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2005 19.8N 51.9W WEAK 12UTC 30.08.2005 22.1N 53.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2005 24.5N 53.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 10.4N 32.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2005 10.4N 32.0W WEAK 12UTC 30.08.2005 12.7N 34.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2005 15.2N 37.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 31.08.2005 17.0N 40.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2005 18.7N 43.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2005 19.5N 45.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2005 20.4N 47.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2005 21.8N 49.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2005 22.3N 50.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2005 23.2N 51.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2005 24.4N 52.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2005 24.7N 53.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2005 25.4N 54.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300555