** WTSR20 WSSS 290600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTUS84 KMOB 291210 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-291430- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 705 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...KATRINA MAKING LANDFALL...STORM SURGE AND WINDS RISING RAPIDLY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...ESCAMBIA...COVINGTON...WASHINGTON...CONECUH... MONROE...BUTLER...CLARKE...CRENSHAW...WILCOX...CHOCTAW...BALDWIN AND MOBILE COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...STONE...PERRY...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...OKALOOSA...ESCAMBIA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND MOBILE...INLAND BALDWIN...WASHINGTON...CLARKE AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND STONE...GEORGE...PERRY...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND FOR ESCAMBIA...COVINGTON...CONECUH...MONROE...BUTLER...CLARKE...CRENSHAW AND WILCOX COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT FOR DETAILS RELATED TO THE INLAND AREAS. A TORNADO AND FLASH FLOOD WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 AM CDT...MOBILE ALABAMA RADAR ESTIMATED THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA TO BE ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...AND IS MOVING NORTH NEAR 16 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER SPEED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE CENTER OF KATRINA MOVES NORTHWARD THROUGH MISSISSIPPI. CONDITIONS ARE RAPIDLY DETERIORATING ALONG THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTS...WITH WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 80 AND 90 MPH OFF THE ALABAMA COAST...AND TO NEAR 70 MPH OFF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO NEAR 9 FEET ALONG THE WESTERN ALABAMA COAST...AND TO NEAR 5 FEET ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. TIDE LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE SEVERAL MORE FEET OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 918 MB...27.11 INCHES. KATRINA IS A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... KATRINA HAS BEGUN TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A SIGNIFICANT AND LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE FELT WELL EAST OF THE STORM CENTER ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTLINES. TIDE LEVELS AS HIGH AS 10 TO 15 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL MOBILE COUNTY AND THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF MOBILE BAY. TIDE LEVELS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD SEVERALLY AFFECT DOWNTOWN MOBILE WITH WATER SPILLING INTO THE DOWNTOWN AREA AND EXTENDING AS FAR WEST AS BROAD STREET. IN ADDITION...DAUPHIN ISLAND WOULD LIKELY BE INUNDATED...EXCEPT FOR HIGHER GROUND ON THE EAST END. A STORM TIDE OF 10 TO 12 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG COASTAL BALDWIN COUNTY...COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE IVAN OF LAST YEAR. TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA COAST WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 8 FEET IN THE PENSACOLA AREA TO AROUND 5 FEET IN THE DESTIN AREA. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL CONTINUE SPREADING OVER MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR 100 MPH NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE. POWER OUTAGES WILL PROBABLY BE WIDESPREAD OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY. ...RIP CURRENTS... EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE OCCURRING. SWIMMERS SHOULD NOT ENTER THE WATER UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE KATRINA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES EXPECTED... WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE FELT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...OR THOSE AREAS CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM AS IT PUSHES INLAND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THIS OFFICE AROUND 10 AM CDT. $$ MCKEE ** WTPQ20 BABJ 291200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 291200 UTC 00HR 21.0N 131.8E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS 420KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 22.5N 127.1E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 24.2N 123.0E 940HPA 50M/S P+72HR 25.8N 119.2E 965HPA 35M/S= ** WTNT32 KNHC 291254 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26B NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE KATRINA POUNDING SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM CDT...1300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE PASSING JUST TO THE EAST OF NEW ORLEANS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH THE WORST OF THE WEATHER FOR THAT CITY OCCURRING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND TODAY. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. KATRINA IS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI CIVIL DEFENSE REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 118 MPH...AND GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 94 MPH WITH A GUST TO 100 MPH. BELLE CHASSE LOUISIANA...JUST SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS...RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 76 MPH WITH A GUST TO 88 MPH. A LITTLE EARLIER...BELLE CHASE REPORTED A GUST TO 105 MPH. NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT AIRPORT RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 69 MPH WITH A GUST TO 86 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 923 MB...27.26 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET...NEAR THE TOPS OF THE LEVEES...IS POSSIBLE IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE TORNADO THREAT AHEAD OF KATRINA CONTINUES TO INCREASE AND SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. REPEATING THE 8 AM CDT POSITION...29.7 N... 89.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 923 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTJP22 RJTD 291200 *** WARNING 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 935 HPA AT 20.9N 131.8E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 22.4N 127.2E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 23.8N 122.8E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 25.5N 118.7E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 291200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 291200UTC 20.9N 131.8E GOOD MOVE W 10KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 110NM 30KT 260NM FORECAST 24HF 301200UTC 22.4N 127.2E 80NM 70% MOVE W 11KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 100KT 48HF 311200UTC 23.8N 122.8E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 72HF 011200UTC 25.5N 118.7E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTUS84 KBMX 291305 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017-022>025-030>035-039>044-291600- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 805 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA TO BRING HIGH WINDS...HEAVY RAINS... AND THREAT OF TORNADOES TO CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 65 FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM TUESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 FROM 1 PM MONDAY UNTIL 4 PM TUESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM FROM 4 PM MONDAY THROUGH 7 PM CDT TUESDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS. THIS IS ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTGOMERY...AND 310 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 923 MB...27.26 INCHES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOUR. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE OF MISSISSIPPI...JUST WEST OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED THEIR NECESSARY PREPARATION PLANS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS HAVE STARTED TO MOVE INTO SUMTER AND MARENGO COUNTIES. HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF KATRINA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF SUMTER...GREENE...HALE...MARENGO...PICKENS...TUSCALOOSA... FAYETTE...LAMAR...AND MARION. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...BEGINNING IN THE SOUTH AND SPREADING NORTHWARD. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THEIR HIGHEST STRENGTH BETWEEN 6 PM TODAY AND 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE HURRICANE TRACK...AFFECTING AREAS NEAR THE ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 TO 60 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL EXTEND AS FAR EAST AS INTERSTATE 65...WHERE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH. LOCATIONS EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 CAN EXPECT WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS AT THESE SPEEDS...IN COMBINATION OF SATURATED SOILS...CAN TOPPLE NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES...CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE KATRINA...3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF INTERSTATE 65...WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST MONTH HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM KATRINA WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY TUESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS FLOODING WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE WATER BEGINS RISING TO MAKE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIVES AND PROPERTY. EVACUATIONS FROM LOWLANDS MAY NOT BE POSSIBLE DUE TO DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES AND RAPIDLY RISING WATER. PREPARATIONS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN BE BROUGHT TO COMPLETION. ...TORNADO THREAT... AS RAIN BANDS ROTATE NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY...THEY WILL BRING THE THREAT OF TORNADOES TO THE AREA. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL BE ENHANCED THIS AFTERNOON...WHEN DAYTIME HEATING WILL PROVIDE ADDED INSTABILITY AND LIFT TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL EXTEND INTO TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THIS INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE DEPARTMENT'S WEB SITE...AT HTTP://WWW.DOT.STATE.AL.US/. TO REPORT DOWN POWER LINES TO PLEASE CALL ALABAMA POWER AT 800-888- 2726. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...OR DAMAGE FROM HURRICANE KATRINA...CALL OUR STORM REPORTING HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 AM CDT. && $$ 61 ** WTUS84 KJAN 291258 CCA *** HLSJAN MSZ025>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-291600- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED UGC CODING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 615 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA MAKING LANDFALL NEAR BURAS LOUISIANA... ...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PEOPLE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MARION...LAMAR... FORREST...LINCOLN...LAWRENCE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...COVINGTON... JONES...COPIAH...SIMPSON...SMITH...JASPER...CLARKE...RANKIN... HINDS...MADISON...SCOTT...NEWTON...LAUDERDALE...LEAKE...NESHOBA... ATTALA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...CHOCTAW...OKTIBBEHA... LOWNDES... WEBSTER...CLAY AND KEMPER COUNTIES. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ADAMS... FRANKLIN...JEFFERSON...CLAIBORNE...GRENADA...CARROLL... MONTGOMERY...HOLMES AND YAZOO AND WARREN COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON FOR JEFFERSON DAVIS... MARION...COVINGTON...FORREST...JONES...AND LAMAR COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 AM CDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES KATRINA A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE ANTICIPATED...BUT KATRINA IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JUST EAST OF GRAND ISLE WITHIN A FEW HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND TODAY...THE HURRICANE WILL LIKELY STILL BE A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE UP TO THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR. KATRINA WILL STILL BE A HURRICANE WELL INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THE SERIOUSNESS OF THIS SITUATION CANNOT BE OVEREMPHASIZED! WHILE HURRICANE KATRINA HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY...IT IS STILL A VERY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. A HURRICANE OF THIS INTENSITY HAS NOT MADE LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SINCE HURRICANE CAMILLE IN 1969. WHILE THE HURRICANE IS NO LONGER AS STRONG AS CAMILLE... MEANING THAT THE POTENTIAL DAMAGE MAY NOT BE AS EXTREME...IT MAY COVER A MORE EXTENSIVE AREA SINCE THE HURRICANE IS LARGER IN SIZE. IT IS LIKELY THAT KATRINA WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION...DO NOT TAKE IT LIGHTLY! PEOPLE RESIDING IN HOMES THAT ARE NOT WELL CONSTRUCTED SHOULD HAVE MOVED TO A SAFER ALTERNATIVE LOCATION TO RIDE THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM OUT...PARTICULARLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 WHERE THE VERY STRONGEST WINDS COULD OCCUR. PLEASE FOLLOW THE DIRECTIONS OF STATE...COUNTY AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WITH REGARD TO EVACUATIONS AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. ...WIND IMPACTS... IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20... WINDS OF 75 TO 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...APPEAR LIKELY. IN ADDITION TO DOWNING THOUSANDS OF TREES AND CAUSING EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES...THESE WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AND DESTROY LESS WELL CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES. IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WINDS OF 50 TO 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL LIKELY OCCUR...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MAY OCCUR. WIND DAMAGE COULD BE EXTENSIVE IN THESE AREAS AS WELL...WITH WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE BROOKHAVEN TO HATTIESBURG REGION DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY. WINDS HAVE BEEN STEADILY INCREASING ALONG THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH NOW OCCURRING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS...AND THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR TOWARD THE LATE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE IN THE PINE BELT REGION DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS MONDAY. A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. THE WORST CONDITIONS FOR THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO RECOGNIZE THAT SOME CHANGES COULD STILL OCCUR TO THE FORECAST TRACK. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY TRACK FOR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WOULD BE ALONG A LINE FROM PURVIS...TO RALEIGH...TO NEAR WEST POINT...BUT REMEMBER...THIS IS A LARGE HURRICANE...AND ITS EFFECTS WILL BE FELT OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING IMPACTS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED GREATER AMOUNTS...WILL OCCUR IN THE AREA ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK. THIS COULD CAUSE URBAN FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL UNLESS HEAVIER RAINFALL THAN FORECAST OCCURS. ...INLAND TORNADO IMPACTS... THE RISK OF TORNADOES WILL EXPAND TO COVER MUCH OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS KATRINA MOVES INLAND. AN ENHANCED RISK OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY EXIST ALONG AND EAST OF A MONTICELLO TO COLUMBUS LINE. ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA FOR JACKSON IS 93 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 37 PERCENT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 AM CDT. $$ GERARD ** WTUS84 KJAN 291310 CCA *** HLSJAN MSZ025>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-291600- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED UGC CODING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 615 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA MAKING LANDFALL NEAR BURAS LOUISIANA... ...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PEOPLE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MARION...LAMAR... FORREST...LINCOLN...LAWRENCE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...COVINGTON... JONES...COPIAH...SIMPSON...SMITH...JASPER...CLARKE...RANKIN... HINDS...MADISON...SCOTT...NEWTON...LAUDERDALE...LEAKE...NESHOBA... ATTALA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...CHOCTAW...OKTIBBEHA... LOWNDES... WEBSTER...CLAY AND KEMPER COUNTIES. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ADAMS... FRANKLIN...JEFFERSON...CLAIBORNE...GRENADA...CARROLL... MONTGOMERY...HOLMES AND YAZOO AND WARREN COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON FOR JEFFERSON DAVIS... MARION...COVINGTON...FORREST...JONES...AND LAMAR COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 AM CDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES KATRINA A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE ANTICIPATED...BUT KATRINA IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE JUST EAST OF GRAND ISLE WITHIN A FEW HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND TODAY...THE HURRICANE WILL LIKELY STILL BE A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE UP TO THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR. KATRINA WILL STILL BE A HURRICANE WELL INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THE SERIOUSNESS OF THIS SITUATION CANNOT BE OVEREMPHASIZED! WHILE HURRICANE KATRINA HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY...IT IS STILL A VERY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. A HURRICANE OF THIS INTENSITY HAS NOT MADE LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SINCE HURRICANE CAMILLE IN 1969. WHILE THE HURRICANE IS NO LONGER AS STRONG AS CAMILLE... MEANING THAT THE POTENTIAL DAMAGE MAY NOT BE AS EXTREME...IT MAY COVER A MORE EXTENSIVE AREA SINCE THE HURRICANE IS LARGER IN SIZE. IT IS LIKELY THAT KATRINA WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION...DO NOT TAKE IT LIGHTLY! PEOPLE RESIDING IN HOMES THAT ARE NOT WELL CONSTRUCTED SHOULD HAVE MOVED TO A SAFER ALTERNATIVE LOCATION TO RIDE THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM OUT...PARTICULARLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 WHERE THE VERY STRONGEST WINDS COULD OCCUR. PLEASE FOLLOW THE DIRECTIONS OF STATE...COUNTY AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WITH REGARD TO EVACUATIONS AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. ...WIND IMPACTS... IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20... WINDS OF 75 TO 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...APPEAR LIKELY. IN ADDITION TO DOWNING THOUSANDS OF TREES AND CAUSING EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES...THESE WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AND DESTROY LESS WELL CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES. IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WINDS OF 50 TO 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL LIKELY OCCUR...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MAY OCCUR. WIND DAMAGE COULD BE EXTENSIVE IN THESE AREAS AS WELL...WITH WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE BROOKHAVEN TO HATTIESBURG REGION DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY. WINDS HAVE BEEN STEADILY INCREASING ALONG THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH NOW OCCURRING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS...AND THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR TOWARD THE LATE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE IN THE PINE BELT REGION DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS MONDAY. A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. THE WORST CONDITIONS FOR THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO RECOGNIZE THAT SOME CHANGES COULD STILL OCCUR TO THE FORECAST TRACK. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY TRACK FOR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WOULD BE ALONG A LINE FROM PURVIS...TO RALEIGH...TO NEAR WEST POINT...BUT REMEMBER...THIS IS A LARGE HURRICANE...AND ITS EFFECTS WILL BE FELT OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING IMPACTS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED GREATER AMOUNTS...WILL OCCUR IN THE AREA ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK. THIS COULD CAUSE URBAN FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL UNLESS HEAVIER RAINFALL THAN FORECAST OCCURS. ...INLAND TORNADO IMPACTS... THE RISK OF TORNADOES WILL EXPAND TO COVER MUCH OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS KATRINA MOVES INLAND. AN ENHANCED RISK OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY EXIST ALONG AND EAST OF A MONTICELLO TO COLUMBUS LINE. ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA FOR JACKSON IS 93 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 37 PERCENT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 AM CDT. $$ GERARD ** WTJP21 RJTD 291200 *** WARNING 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0514 NABI (0514) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 994 HPA AT 15.0N 152.3E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 16.2N 149.1E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 17.6N 145.4E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 19.1N 142.2E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 291200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0514 NABI (0514) UPGRADED FROM TD ANALYSIS PSTN 291200UTC 15.0N 152.3E POOR MOVE W 09KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 80NM SOUTHWEST 40NM NORTHEAST FORECAST 24HF 301200UTC 16.2N 149.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 311200UTC 17.6N 145.4E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 011200UTC 19.1N 142.2E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT = ** WTCA42 TJSJ 291324 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN HURACAN KATRINA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 26B NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 8 AM CDT LUNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...EL AMPLIO Y EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO KATRINA AZOTANDO EL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA NORTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO DESDE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA LA FRONTERA ENTRE ALABAMA/FLORIDA...INCLUYENDO LA CIUDAD DE NEW ORLEANS Y EL LAGO PONTCHARTRAIN. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN DESDE EL ESTE DE LA FRONTERA ENTRE ALABAMA/FLORIDA HASTA DESTIN FLORIDA...Y DESDE EL OESTE DE MORGAN CITY HASTA INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. TAMBIEN ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE DESTIN FLORIDA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...Y DESDE INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA HACIA EL OESTE HASTA CAMERON LOUISIANA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 8 AM CDT...1300Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN KATRINA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 29.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 89.6 OESTE O COMO A 40 MILLAS DEL SURESTE DE NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA Y COMO A 65 MILLAS AL SUROESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE A UNA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION UN POCO MAS RAPIDA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. CON ESTA TRAYECTORIA...EL CENTRO ESTARA PASANDO JUSTO AL ESTE DE NEW ORLEANS DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS CON LO PEOR DEL MAL TIEMPO PARA ESA CIUDAD OCURRIENDO DURANTE EL PROXIMO PAR DE HORAS. SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA HACIA EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 135 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. KATRINA ES UN EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA DEBILITAMIENTO A MEDIDA QUE LA CIRCULACION INTERACTUA CON TIERRA HOY. LOS VIENTOS AFECTANDO LOS PISOS MAS ALTOS DE EDIFICIOS MULTIPISOS SERAN SIGNIFICATIVAMENTE MAS FUERTES QUE AQUELLOS CERCA DEL SUELO. KATRINA ES UN HURACAN MUY GRANDE. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 125 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. LA DEFENSA CIVIL DE PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI REPORTO UNA RAFAGA DE VIENTO DE 118 MPH...Y EL CENTRO DE OPERACIONES DE EMERGENCIA EN GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI REPORTO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 94 MPH CON UNA RAFAGA HASTA 100 MPH. BELLE CHASSE LOUISIANA...JUSTO AL SURESTE DE NEW ORLEANS...RECIENTEMENTE REPORTO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 76 MPH CON UNA RAFAGA HASTA 88 MPH. UN POCO ANTES...BELLE CHASE REPORTO UNA RAFAGA HASTA 105 MPH. EL AEROPUERTO LAKEFRONT DE NEW ORLEANS RECIENTEMENTE REPORTO VIENTOS SISTENIDOS DE 69 MPH CON UNA RAFAGA HASTA 86 MPH. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA UNIDAD DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 923 MILIBARAS...27.26 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 18 A 22 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...PUEDEN ESPERARSE CERCA Y AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 15 PIES...CERCA DE LAS PARTES SUPERIORES DE LOS DIQUES...SON POSIBLES EN EL AREA MAYOR DE NEW ORLEANS. OCURRIRAN INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA EN EL RESTO DEL AREA A LO LARGO DEL CENTRO Y NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS...SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE KATRINA A TRAVES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO Y EN EL VALLE DE TENNESSEE. TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DEL VALLE DE OHIO HACIA LA REGION DEL ESTE DE LOS GRANDES LAGOS EL MARTES Y EL MIERCOLES. LA AMENAZA DE TORNADOS DELANTE DE KATRINA CONTINUA AUMENTANDO Y TORNADOS DISPERSOS SERAN POSIBLES HOY SOBRE EL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y SOBRE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 8 AM CDT...29.7 NORTE... 89.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...135 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 923 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTKO20 RKSL 291200 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1 NAME TS 0514 NABI ANALYSIS POSITION 291200UTC 15.0N 152.2E MOVEMENT W 9KT PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 301200UTC 15.9N 149.0E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT 48HR POSITION 311200UTC 17.0N 145.5E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 64KT 72HR POSITION 011200UTC 19.7N 141.4E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTUS84 KJAN 291339 *** HLSJAN MSZ025>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-291600- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 840 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING... ...KATRINA MAY STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR AROUND MIDDAY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PEOPLE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MARION...LAMAR... FORREST...LINCOLN...LAWRENCE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...COVINGTON... JONES...COPIAH...SIMPSON...SMITH...JASPER...CLARKE...RANKIN... HINDS...MADISON...SCOTT...NEWTON...LAUDERDALE...LEAKE...NESHOBA... ATTALA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...CHOCTAW...OKTIBBEHA... LOWNDES... WEBSTER...CLAY AND KEMPER COUNTIES. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ADAMS... FRANKLIN...JEFFERSON...CLAIBORNE...GRENADA...CARROLL... MONTGOMERY...HOLMES AND YAZOO AND WARREN COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON FOR JEFFERSON DAVIS... MARION...COVINGTON...FORREST...JONES...AND LAMAR COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM CDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES KATRINA A CATEGORY FOUR STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND...BUT KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE IS IT MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND TODAY...THE HURRICANE MAY VERY WELL STILL BE A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE UP TO THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR. KATRINA WILL STILL BE A HURRICANE WELL INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THE SERIOUSNESS OF THIS SITUATION CANNOT BE OVEREMPHASIZED! WHILE HURRICANE KATRINA HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY...IT IS STILL A VERY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. A HURRICANE OF THIS INTENSITY HAS NOT MADE LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SINCE HURRICANE CAMILLE IN 1969. IT IS LIKELY THAT KATRINA WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION...DO NOT TAKE IT LIGHTLY! PEOPLE RESIDING IN HOMES THAT ARE NOT WELL CONSTRUCTED SHOULD HAVE MOVED TO A SAFER ALTERNATIVE LOCATION TO RIDE THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM OUT...PARTICULARLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 WHERE THE VERY STRONGEST WINDS COULD OCCUR. PLEASE FOLLOW THE DIRECTIONS OF STATE...COUNTY AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WITH REGARD TO EVACUATIONS AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. ...WIND IMPACTS... KATRINA MAY STILL BE A MAJOR...CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR AND THE CITIES OF HATTIESBURG... PURVIS AND COLUMBIA. THIS WOULD MEAN SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 125 MPH POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD CAUSE CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE...LEVELING TREES...POWER LINES AND POLES...AND CAUSING EXTENSIVE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. IN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20... WINDS OF 75 TO 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL OCCUR. IN ADDITION TO DOWNING THOUSANDS OF TREES AND CAUSING EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES...THESE WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AND DESTROY LESS WELL CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES. IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WINDS OF 50 TO 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL OCCUR...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MAY OCCUR. WIND DAMAGE COULD BE EXTENSIVE IN THESE AREAS AS WELL...WITH WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION UP TO HIGHWAY 84. A WIND GUST TO 50 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT PINE BELT REGIONAL AIRPORT. TREES AND POWERLINES HAVE BEEN DOWNED IN THIS AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS...AND THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR TOWARD THE LATE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE IN THE PINE BELT REGION DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS MONDAY. A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. THE WORST CONDITIONS FOR THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO RECOGNIZE THAT SOME CHANGES COULD STILL OCCUR TO THE FORECAST TRACK. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY TRACK FOR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS FROM JUST WEST OF PURVIS...TO RALEIGH...TO NEAR WEST POINT...BUT REMEMBER...THIS IS A LARGE HURRICANE...AND ITS EFFECTS WILL BE FELT OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING IMPACTS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED GREATER AMOUNTS...WILL OCCUR IN THE AREA ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE URBAN FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL TO MODERATE...UNLESS HEAVIER RAINFALL THAN FORECAST OCCURS. ...INLAND TORNADO IMPACTS... THE RISK OF TORNADOES WILL EXPAND TO COVER MUCH OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS KATRINA MOVES INLAND. AN ENHANCED RISK OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY EXIST ALONG AND EAST OF A MONTICELLO TO COLUMBUS LINE. ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA FOR JACKSON IS 93 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 37 PERCENT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 AM CDT. $$ GERARD ** WTUS84 KLCH 291345 *** HLSLCH LAZ029-033-044-045-051>055-291530- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 844 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE KATRINA POUNDING SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER... ...AREAS AFFECTED IN SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE RESIDENTS IN CAMERON...VERMILION... IBERIA...LAFAYETTE...SAINT MARTIN...SAINT MARY...AVOYELLES...AND SAINT LANDRY PARISHES... ...WATCHES/WARNING... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAINT MARY PARISH. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INSIDE THE WARNED AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY BE COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA INCLUDING VERMILION...ST MARY AND IBERIA PARISH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INSIDE THE WARNED AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE INSIDE THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA INCLUDING CAMERON PARISH. . AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY FOR AVOYELLES...SAINT LANDRY...SAINT MARTIN AND LAFAYETTE PARISHES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR IBERIA...SAINT MARY...AND SAINT MARTIN PARISHES. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH MONDAY EVENING WHICH WILL CAUSE THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING IN LOW-LYING AREAS. ...STORM INFORMATION...UPDATED AT 8 AM...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 95 MILES EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND TODAY. KATRINA REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 923 MB...27.26 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA SHOULD ALREADY BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBLE EFFECTS OF A NEARBY LANDFALLING MAJOR HURRICANE. THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR DAMAGING WINDS...HIGH STORM SURGE...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. HOWEVER AT THIS TIME...MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDERS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR ANY PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE MAIN TORNADO THREAT WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH THIS MORNING. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER. TIDAL SURGE WILL DECREASE TO 1 TO 2 FEET NEAR SABINE AND CALCASIEU PASSES. ...WIND IMPACTS... ACROSS THE LOWER ATCHAFALAYA BASIN...NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED TO 30 TO 35 MPH IN GUSTS. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING IN THE MORGAN CITY...STEPHENSVILLE AND AMELIA AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN UP TO HENDERSON AND ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AS FAR WEST AS CAMERON. BASED ON THE EXPECTED WIND SPEEDS AND THE NUMEROUS TREES ACROSS THE LOWER ATCHAFALAYA BASIN...RESIDENTS IN THESE REGIONS ARE URGED TO BE CAREFUL OF FALLING TREES. REMEMBER...MOST OF THE DEATHS CAUSED BY KATRINA AS IT CROSSED SOUTH FLORIDA WERE CAUSED BY FALLING TREES. ON THE COASTAL WATERS NEAR VERMILION AND ATCHAFALAYA BAYS... NORTHEAST WINDS WERE RUNNING 25 TO 35 KNOTS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 TO 55 KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL SPREAD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA AROUND SUNRISE THIS MORNING WITH SEAS UP TO 15 FEET. WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION WILL BE DECREASING BY THIS EVENING. ...RAINFALL... HEAVY RAINS FROM KATRINA WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL PARISHES OF SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER PORTIONS OF SAINT MARY AND SAINT MARTIN PARISHES WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING...WHILE RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AROUND THE REST OF THE VERMILION BAY REGION AND THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF THIS EVENING. LESSER RAINFALL AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE BY 10:30 AM. $$ ** WTNT52 KNHC 291349 *** TCEAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 9 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 AT 9 AM CDT...1400Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 30 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA...AND ABOUT 50 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. THE WESTERN EYEWALL OF THE HURRICANE IS OVER NEW ORLEANS...AND THE NORTHEASTERN EYEWALL IS SPREADING ONSHORE THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 291200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS NABI 0514 (0514) INITIAL TIME 291200 UTC 00HR 14.9N 152.2E 996HPA 18M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 16.4N 147.6E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 17.8N 143.6E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 19.0N 138.8E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTPN31 PGTW 291500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/291352ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 15.1N 152.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 152.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 15.4N 150.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 16.0N 148.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.7N 146.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 17.2N 144.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 18.2N 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 152.0E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 465 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARN- INGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTUS84 KLIX 291359 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-291600- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 900 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...HURRICANE KATRINA DIRECT HIT FOR NEW ORLEANS AND MISSISSIPPI COAST... ...LEVEES OVERTOPPED IN ORLEANS AND ST BERNARD PARISHES... ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MOVING ACROSS NEW ORLEANS AND MISSISSIPPI COAST... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI FROM MORGAN CITY EAST TO THE ALABAMA FLORIDA BORDER.... ...EXTENSIVE AND LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING OCCURRING ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COAST AT THIS TIME. ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THE FOLLOWING PARISHES ASSUMPTION...ST JAMES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST CHARLES... ST BERNARD...TERREBONNE...ORLEANS...JEFFERSON...PLAQUEMINE... LAFOURCHE...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...LIVINGSTON. IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HANCOCK...HARRISON...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY EAST TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER AREA. THIS INCLUDES THE METRO NEW ORLEANS AREA...AND THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 12 PM CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. THIS LOCATION WAS ABOUT EASTERN ST BERNARD AND ORLEANS PARISHES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE KATRINA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WITH THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY SQUALLS...PEOPLE SHOULD REMAIN IN LAST RESORT REFUGES IN STRONG...WELL CONSTRUCTED BUILDINGS. IF LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING DEVELOPS...MOVE TO HIGHER FLOORS OR HOUSE ATTICS. BRING TOOLS TO MAKE AN EMERGENCY EXIT SHOULD THESE HIGHER FLOORS OR ATTICS BECOME INUNDATED. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... KATRINA MAKING LANDFALL IN EASTERN NEW ORLEANS AND MISSISSIPPI COAST AREA THIS MORNING. EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING HURRICANE...SIGNIFICANT AND LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IS OCCURRING. LEVEES HAVE BEEN OVERTOPPED IN ORLEANS AND ST BERNARD PARISHES. IN ADDITION DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE OCCURRING ON TOP OF THE STORM SURGE NEAR THE COAST. SEVERE TIDAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN THESE AREAS. IN ADDITION... SEVERE STORM SURGE FLOODING IS PROBABLY OCCURRING IN SOUTHEAST ST TAMMANY PARISH AND IN HANCOCK...HARRISON AND JACKSON COUNTIES IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. IN ADDITION...A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 12 FEET WILL BE OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHWEST PART OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AFFECTING THE EAST BANKS OF JEFFERSON...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST AND LIVINGSTON PARISHES. TIDES ARE RAPIDLY INCREASING ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST. SEVERE STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED DEVELOP THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING...WITH HIGHEST VALUES ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...MISSISSIPPI COAST...AND ALONG THE SHORE LINE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. ...WIND IMPACTS... KATRINA HAS EVOLVED INTO A LARGE HURRICANE WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDING AROUND 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SPREADING INTO COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. POWER OUTAGES WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD DURING THE MORNING HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. WIND GUST OF 100 MPH WAS REPORTED BY THE GULFPORT EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER. BELLE CHASSE NAVAL AIR STATION HAD A WIND GUST OF 105 EARLIER THIS MORNING. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG CATEGORY 3 HURRICANES CAN TOTALLY DESTROY MOBILE HOMES AND POORLY CONSTRUCTED DWELLINGS...AND CAUSE MAJOR DAMAGE TO EVEN WELL CONSTRUCTED BUILDINGS. HIGHER WIND SPEEDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER ON UPPER FLOORS OF TALL BUILDINGS CAUSING DAMAGE. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI DUE TO THE THREAT OF TORNADOES. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 AM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KJAN 291403 CCA *** HLSJAN MSZ025>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-291600- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED LAST SENTENCE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 840 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING... ...KATRINA MAY STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR AROUND MIDDAY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PEOPLE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MARION...LAMAR... FORREST...LINCOLN...LAWRENCE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...COVINGTON... JONES...COPIAH...SIMPSON...SMITH...JASPER...CLARKE...RANKIN... HINDS...MADISON...SCOTT...NEWTON...LAUDERDALE...LEAKE...NESHOBA... ATTALA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...CHOCTAW...OKTIBBEHA... LOWNDES... WEBSTER...CLAY AND KEMPER COUNTIES. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ADAMS... FRANKLIN...JEFFERSON...CLAIBORNE...GRENADA...CARROLL... MONTGOMERY...HOLMES AND YAZOO AND WARREN COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON FOR JEFFERSON DAVIS... MARION...COVINGTON...FORREST...JONES...AND LAMAR COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM CDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES KATRINA A CATEGORY FOUR STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND...BUT KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE IS IT MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND TODAY...THE HURRICANE MAY VERY WELL STILL BE A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE UP TO THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR. KATRINA WILL STILL BE A HURRICANE WELL INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THE SERIOUSNESS OF THIS SITUATION CANNOT BE OVEREMPHASIZED! WHILE HURRICANE KATRINA HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY...IT IS STILL A VERY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. A HURRICANE OF THIS INTENSITY HAS NOT MADE LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SINCE HURRICANE CAMILLE IN 1969. IT IS LIKELY THAT KATRINA WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION...DO NOT TAKE IT LIGHTLY! PEOPLE RESIDING IN HOMES THAT ARE NOT WELL CONSTRUCTED SHOULD HAVE MOVED TO A SAFER ALTERNATIVE LOCATION TO RIDE THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM OUT...PARTICULARLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 WHERE THE VERY STRONGEST WINDS COULD OCCUR. PLEASE FOLLOW THE DIRECTIONS OF STATE...COUNTY AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WITH REGARD TO EVACUATIONS AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. ...WIND IMPACTS... KATRINA MAY STILL BE A MAJOR...CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR AND THE CITIES OF HATTIESBURG... PURVIS AND COLUMBIA. THIS WOULD MEAN SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 125 MPH POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD CAUSE CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE...LEVELING TREES...POWER LINES AND POLES...AND CAUSING EXTENSIVE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. IN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20... WINDS OF 75 TO 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL OCCUR. IN ADDITION TO DOWNING THOUSANDS OF TREES AND CAUSING EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES...THESE WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AND DESTROY LESS WELL CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES. IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WINDS OF 50 TO 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL OCCUR...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MAY OCCUR. WIND DAMAGE COULD BE EXTENSIVE IN THESE AREAS AS WELL...WITH WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION UP TO HIGHWAY 84. A WIND GUST TO 50 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT PINE BELT REGIONAL AIRPORT. TREES AND POWERLINES HAVE BEEN DOWNED IN THIS AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS...AND THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR TOWARD THE LATE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE IN THE PINE BELT REGION DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS MONDAY. A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. THE WORST CONDITIONS FOR THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO RECOGNIZE THAT SOME CHANGES COULD STILL OCCUR TO THE FORECAST TRACK. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY TRACK FOR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS FROM JUST WEST OF PURVIS...TO RALEIGH...TO NEAR WEST POINT...BUT REMEMBER...THIS IS A LARGE HURRICANE...AND ITS EFFECTS WILL BE FELT OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING IMPACTS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED GREATER AMOUNTS...WILL OCCUR IN THE AREA ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE URBAN FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL TO MODERATE...UNLESS HEAVIER RAINFALL THAN FORECAST OCCURS. ...INLAND TORNADO IMPACTS... THE RISK OF TORNADOES WILL EXPAND TO COVER MUCH OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS KATRINA MOVES INLAND. AN ENHANCED RISK OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY EXIST ALONG AND EAST OF A MONTICELLO TO COLUMBUS LINE. ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA FOR JACKSON IS 93 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 37 PERCENT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 AM CDT. $$ GERARD ** WTUS82 KTAE 291403 *** HLSTAE GMZ750-FLZ008-012-014-015-018-027-028-034-291630- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 957 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA POUNDING SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM DESTIN EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...COASTAL WALTON...BAY...AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS IN GULF COUNTY FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. EVEN THOUGH NOT IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING...THE FOLLOWING FLORIDA COASTAL BIG BEND COUNTIES ARE IN A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AND HIGH SURF ADVISORY... FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...TAYLOR...DIXIE ...STORM INFORMATION... ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM CDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 220 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. KATRINA WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH... AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY. HIGHEST SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. KATRINA REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. ...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD NOW BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...HAVING SECURED LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO FURNITURE...AND TAKEN APPROPRIATE STEPS TO PROTECT AGAINST COASTAL FLOODING. LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO COASTAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE THE PROTECTIVE DUNES HAVE BEEN WASHED AWAY BY PREVIOUS STORMS. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR CAPE SAN BLAS IN GULF COUNTY...AND ST GEORGE AND DOG ISLANDS...ALLIGATOR POINT...AND ALL LOW LYING AREAS SUBJECT TO COASTAL FLOODING IN FRANKLIN COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS LARGE SWELLS EMANATE FROM THE LARGE AND POWERFUL KATRINA. WITHIN THE LAST HOUR...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN WALTON COUNTY REPORTED SURGES UP TO THE EDGE OF THE ROADWAY ON HIGHWAY 98 WITH WINDS OF 33 KTS AT THE BRIDGE AT ROAD 331. THE PANAMA CITY BEACH PATROL IN BAY COUNTY REPORTED WATERS HAVE ENCROACHED INLAND UP TO 20 FEET FROM SHORE CAUSING MAJOR BEACH EROSION. IN GULF COUNTY...A SMALL ROAD..AT STUMP HOLE AS CLOSED DUE TO WATER ENCROACHING. A WAKULLA COUNTY WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED HIGH TIDE UP TO 18 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL AND SUSTAINED WINDS AT 30 MPH AT SPRING CREEK AND WATER AT THE BASE OF THE COAST GUARD STATION AT SHELL POINT. REPORTS FROM THE NORTHEAST GULF BUOYS CONTINUE TO SHOW HIGH SWELLS...WITH 25 FEET SWELLS FROM THE SOUTH BEING REPORTED AT THE BUOY 90 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY. THESE LARGE SWELLS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN HIGHER SURF ALONG THE COAST. THIS WAVE ACTION... COUPLED WITH STRONG ONSHORE FLOW MAY PRODUCE TIDES OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...ESPECIALLY AT HIGH TIDE DURING THIS MORNING. THESE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES AND HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING TODAY...ESPECIALLY AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. THE BEACHES OF WALTON COUNTY ARE CLOSED. THE FOLLOWING ARE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS... APALACHICOLA...1037 AM MONDAY MORNING SAINT ANDREWS BAY AT PANAMA CITY...618 AM CDT MONDAY. EAST PASS AT DESTIN...648 AM CDT MONDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT 8 AM CDT WINDS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST WERE GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 50 MPH WITH A STRONG WEST TO EAST GRADIENT. SOME SITES INCLUDE...DOWNTOWN MOBILE 42 KTS GUST 55 KTS...PENSACOLA NAVAL STATION 30 KTS GUSTS 51KTS...DOWNTOWN PENSACOLA 30 KTS GUSTS 51 KTS...DESTIN 28 KTS GUSTS 44 KTS...PANAMA CITY 21 KTS GUSTS 29 KTS AND APALACHICOLA 21 KTS GUST 33 KTS. WINDS OFFSHORE INCLUDE...THE PANAMA CITY BUOY 33 KTS WITH GUSTS 43 KTS. EVEN THOUGH KATRINA WAS MOVING OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AT THIS TIME... SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER TODAY...MAINLY IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS NEAR THE COAST. SUCH WINDS TYPICALLY CAUSE SEVERAL DOWNED TREE BRANCHES...A FEW DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES...TIPPED OVER GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO FURNITURE...AND A FEW UPROOTED TREES. THESE WINDS WILL PROBABLY PEAK BY LATE MORNING... THEN SUBSIDE BY LATE AFTERNOON AS KATRINA ACCELERATES INLAND AND WEAKENS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS OCCURRING FARTHER WEST. WHILE WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED...LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IF HEAVY RAIN BANDS SET UP OVER A PARTICULAR LOCATION. ...TORNADO THREAT... SO FAR NO TORNADOES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLE ALTHOUGH AT LEAST ONE TORNADO WAS REPORTED IN NEIGHBORING SANTA ROSA AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY...ESPECIALLY LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLE IF THERE ARE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND HEATING OCCURS. ...RIP CURRENTS... ALONG WITH THE HIGH SURF THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TODAY. EVERYONE...INCLUDING EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS...SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE SURF. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1230 PM EDT (1130 AM CDT). 24-BLOCK $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 291422 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005 1500Z MON AUG 29 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 50.5W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 50.5W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 50.0W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.0N 52.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 50.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT43 KNHC 291422 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2005 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AND A FEW SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS DEGENERATED INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. GLOBAL MODELS AND THE GFDL WERE CORRECT IN SUGGESTING THAT THIS CYCLONE WAS NOT GOING TO DEVELOP FURTHER. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL PRODUCING DISORGANIZED PATCHES OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS PROBABLY ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 19.0N AND 51.5W. THEREFORE...THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 18.5N 50.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 12HR VT 30/0000Z 20.0N 52.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 291423 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST MON AUG 29 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.5 WEST OR ABOUT 745 MILES...1200 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH ...26 KM/HR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...IN A FEW SQUALLS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...18.5 N... 50.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 291432 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL TRECE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 4 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 11 AM AST LUNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...SE DEGENERA LA DEPRESION TROPICAL TRECE A UNA AMPLIA AREA DE BAJA PRESION...SERA VIGILADA POR SENALES DE REGENERACION... A LAS 11 AM AST...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA AMPLIA AREA DE BAJA PRESION...LOS REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL TRECE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 50.5 OESTE O COMO A 745 MILLAS...1200 KM... AL ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES. LOS REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESION SE ESTAN MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...EN ALGUNAS TURBONADAS. ESTE SISTEMA SERA VIGILADO POR SENALES DE REGENERACION. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1008 MB...29.77 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 11 AM AST...18.5 NORTE... 50.5 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...30 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1008 MILIBARAS. ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA PUBLICA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA A MENOS QUE OCURRA REGENERACION. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ ** WTPN31 PGTW 291500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/291352ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 15.1N 152.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 152.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 15.4N 150.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 16.0N 148.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.7N 146.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 17.2N 144.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 18.2N 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 152.0E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 465 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARN- INGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 291500 RRB *** OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 17.2N 144.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 18.2N 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 291500 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/291352ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 15.1N 152.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 152.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 15.4N 150.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 16.0N 148.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.7N 146.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PGTW 291500 RRC *** 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 152.0E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 465 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARN- INGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 291500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/291351ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 21.0N 131.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N 131.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 21.5N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 22.1N 127.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 22.9N 125.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.8N 123.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 25.7N 119.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.1N 118.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 28.0N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 131.2E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT32 KNHC 291438 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...CENTER OF POWERFUL HURRICANE KATRINA AGAIN MOVING ASHORE...NEAR THE LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER...CONTINUES POUNDING SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z..ALL HURRICANE WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER...ABOUT 35 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 45 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY AND INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. HOWEVER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD AS FAR AS 150 MILES INLAND ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA. SEE INLAND HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 927 MB...27.37 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET...NEAR THE TOPS OF THE LEVEES...IS STILL POSSIBLE IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...30.2 N... 89.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 927 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT NOON CDT AND 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT22 KNHC 291438 *** TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005 1500Z MON AUG 29 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z..ALL HURRICANE WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 89.6W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 927 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT.......140NE 140SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..325NE 250SE 250SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 89.6W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 89.6W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 32.3N 89.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT...100NE 125SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 35.4N 88.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 39.0N 86.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 42.0N 82.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.5N 72.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 51.5N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 89.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT72 KNHC 291438 *** SPFAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT THU SEP 1 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 35.4N 88.3W 51 1 X X 52 PORTLAND ME X X X 6 6 39.0N 86.0W 1 24 1 X 26 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 5 5 42.0N 82.5W X 1 14 2 17 EASTPORT ME X X X 4 4 NORFOLK VA X X 1 2 3 ST JOHN NB X X X 3 3 OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 4 5 MONCTON NB X X X 2 2 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 5 6 YARMOUTH NS X X X 3 3 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 7 7 MOBILE AL 60 X X X 60 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 6 6 GULFPORT MS 99 X X X 99 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 6 6 BURAS LA 99 X X X 99 NANTUCKET MA X X X 5 5 NEW ORLEANS LA 99 X X X 99 HYANNIS MA X X X 5 5 NEW IBERIA LA 4 X X X 4 BOSTON MA X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 89W 11 X X X 11 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7AM TUE TO 7PM TUE C FROM 7PM TUE TO 7AM WED D FROM 7AM WED TO 7AM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTPN32 PGTW 291500 RRC *** 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.8N 123.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 25.7N 119.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER ** WTPN32 PGTW 291500 RRD *** 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.1N 118.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 28.0N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 131.2E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, ** WTPN32 PGTW 291500 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/291351ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 21.0N 131.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N 131.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 21.5N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 291500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/291351ZAUG2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 13W (TALIM) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 21.0N 131.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N 131.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 21.5N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 22.1N 127.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 22.9N 125.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 23.8N 123.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 25.7N 119.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 27.1N 118.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 28.0N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 131.2E. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 291500 RRE *** 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 291500 RRB *** RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 22.1N 127.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 22.9N 125.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTCA42 TJSJ 291459 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN HURACAN KATRINA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 27 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT LUNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...EL CENTRO DEL PODEROSO HURACAN KATRINA MOVIENDOSE OTRA VEZ SOBRE TIERRA...CERCA DE LA FORNTERA DE LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI...CONTINUA AZOTANDO EL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA Y EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA NORTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO DESDE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA LA FRONTERA ENTRE ALABAMA/FLORIDA...INCLUYENDO LA CIUDAD DE NEW ORLEANS Y EL LAGO PONTCHARTRAIN. A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...TODOS LAS VIGILANCIAS DE HURACAN HAN SIDO DESCONTINUADOS. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL ESTE DE LA FRONTERA ENTRE ALABAMA/FLORIDA HASTA INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...Y DESDE EL OESTE DE MORGAN CITY HASTA CAMERON LOUISIANA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN KATRINA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 30.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 89.6 OESTE. ESTA POSICION ESTA CERCA DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL...COMO A 35 MILLAS DEL ESTE-NORESTE DE NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA Y COMO A 45 MILLAS AL OESTE-SUROESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. CON ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO SE MOVERA SOBRE EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI HOY Y HACIA EL CENTRO DE MISSISSIPPI DURANTE EL ANOCHECER. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 125 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. KATRINA AHORA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA TRES EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. LOS VIENTOS AFECTANDO LOS PISOS MAS ALTOS DE EDIFICIOS MULTIPISOS SERAN SIGNIFICATIVAMENTE MAS FUERTES QUE AQUELLOS CERCA DEL SUELO. SE PRONOSTICA DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS A MEDIDA QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVE SOBRE TIERRA. SIN EMBARGO...SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDAN TAN LEJOS COMO 150 MILLAS TIERRA ADENTRO A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE KATRINA. REFIERASE A LOS AVISOS DE HURACAN Y DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE LAS OFICINAS DE PRONOSTICOS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEORLOGIA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 125 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA DESDE UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA ES DE 927 MILIBARAS...27.37 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 15 A 20 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...PUEDEN ESPERARSE CERCA Y AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 15 PIES...CERCA DE LAS PARTES SUPERIORES DE LOS DIQUES...TODAVIA SON POSIBLES EN EL AREA MAYOR DE NEW ORLEANS. ESTAN OCURRIENDO INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA EN EL RESTO DEL AREA A LO LARGO DEL CENTRO Y NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS...SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE KATRINA A TRAVES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO Y EN EL VALLE DE TENNESSEE. TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DEL VALLE DE OHIO HACIA LA REGION DEL ESTE DE LOS GRANDES LAGOS EL MARTES Y EL MIERCOLES. ALGUNOS TORNADOS SON POSIBLES SOBRE PARTES DEL SUR Y ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI...EL SUR Y CENTRO DE ALABAMA...Y EL OESTE DE FLORIDA PANHANDLE HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 10 AM CDT...30.2 NORTE... 89.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...125 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 927 MB. ADVERTENCIAS INTERMEDIAS SERAN EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES AL MEDIODIA CDT Y A LAS 2 PM CDT SEGUIDAS POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTNT42 KNHC 291500 *** TCDAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2005 THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA IS MAKING ITS SECOND NORTHERN GULF COAST LANDFALL...NEAR THE LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. WSR-88D RADAR DATA SHOW THAT THE NORTHERN EYEWALL IS VERY INTENSE AND DOPPLER VELOCITIES ARE NEAR 120 KT AT AN ALTITUDE OF ABOUT 5000 FT OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS...ALONG WITH OBSERVATIONS FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT...SUPPORTS THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 110 KT. STEADY WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. HOWEVER KATRINA HAS SUCH A LARGE AND POWERFUL CIRCULATION THAT IT WILL PROBABLY RETAIN HURRICANE INTENSITY FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS...BRINGING DAMAGING WINDS WELL INLAND. THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF LIFE DUE TO FALLING TREES IS A MAJOR CONCERN...AS IS FRESHWATER FLOODING. THE FORWARD SPEED HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY AND INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 360/14. THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED. KATRINA SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IN THE FLOW BETWEEN A CYCLONE NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES AND AN ANTICYCLONE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND ITS IDENTITY... LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MERGES WITH A MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE. SPECIAL THANKS ARE EXTENDED TO THE UNITED STATES AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER CREWS STATIONED AT KEESLER AIR FORCE BASE IN BILOXI MISSISSIPPI...WHO HAVE BEEN FLYING CONTINUOUS MISSIONS THROUGH KATRINA EVEN AS THEIR FAMILIES AND HOMES ARE BEING SERIOUSLY IMPACTED BY THIS HURRICANE. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 30.2N 89.6W 110 KT 12HR VT 30/0000Z 32.3N 89.3W 65 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 30/1200Z 35.4N 88.3W 40 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 31/0000Z 39.0N 86.0W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 31/1200Z 42.0N 82.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 01/1200Z 47.5N 72.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 02/1200Z 51.5N 67.0W 20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 03/1200Z...ABSORBED $$ ** WTUS84 KHUN 291501 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-292100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 1002 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...HURRICANE KATRINA NOW MAKING FINAL LANDFALL...WILL AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH TOMORROW... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF THE NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALL COUNTIES SERVICED BY NWS HUNTSVILLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 45 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MUSCLE SHOALS ALABAMA. KATRINA WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ENSURE ALL LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS REMAIN SECURE...INCLUDING PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS. MAKE PLANS NOW TO MOVE OUTDOOR PETS TO A SAFE INDOOR LOCATION BY THIS EVENING...CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA. AS KATRINA DRAWS CLOSER TONIGHT...THE WINDS WEST OF INTERSTATE 65 WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH...STARTING AROUND 10 PM TONIGHT. GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THERE IS A SMALL POSSIBILITY OF SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 50 MPH IN EXTREME NORTHWEST ALABAMA LATE THIS EVENING AND VERY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. EAST OF INTERSTATE 65...THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TONIGHT WILL MAINLY AFFECT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... LIGHT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY STARTED ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA THIS MORNING. TOTAL RAINFALL FROM HURRICANE KATRINA WILL OVERSPREAD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. CURRENT ESTIMATES OF RAINFALL FROM THIS STORM RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WEST OF INTERSTATE 65...TO 1 TO 3 INCHES EAST OF INTERSTATE 65...WITH THE LIGHTEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE GEORGIA BORDER. THE RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES IN RAIN BANDS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. IT IS DIFFICULT AT THIS TIME TO BE SPECIFIC ON HOW MUCH OF THE AREA WILL BE AFFECTED. IT COULD BE THE WHOLE AREA...OR MAINLY THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA CLOSEST TO THE CENTER OF KATRINA...DEPENDING ON HOW THE RAIN BANDS EVOLVE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 4 PM CDT. $$ JE ** WTUS84 KBMX 291513 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017-022>025-030>035-039>044-291730- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA TO BRING HIGH WINDS...HEAVY RAINS... AND THREAT OF TORNADOES TO CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 65 FROM 8 AM TODAY TO 4 PM TUESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 FROM 1 PM TODAY UNTIL 4 PM TUESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM FROM 4 PM TODAY THROUGH 7 PM TUESDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS. THIS IS ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTGOMERY...AND 350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 927 MB...27.37 INCHES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST OF 80 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE MOBILE AIRPORT BETWEEN 9 AM AND 10 AM CDT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED THEIR NECESSARY PREPARATION PLANS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS HAVE STARTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF KATRINA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF SUMTER...GREENE...HALE...MARENGO...PICKENS...TUSCALOOSA... FAYETTE...LAMAR...AND MARION. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...BEGINNING IN THE SOUTH AND SPREADING NORTHWARD. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THEIR HIGHEST STRENGTH BETWEEN 6 PM TODAY AND 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE HURRICANE TRACK...AFFECTING AREAS NEAR THE ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 TO 60 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL EXTEND AS FAR EAST AS INTERSTATE 65...WHERE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH. LOCATIONS EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 CAN EXPECT WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS AT THESE SPEEDS...IN COMBINATION OF SATURATED SOILS...CAN TOPPLE NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES...CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE KATRINA...3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF INTERSTATE 65...WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST MONTH HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM KATRINA WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY TUESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS FLOODING WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL THE WATER BEGINS RISING TO MAKE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIVES AND PROPERTY. EVACUATIONS FROM LOWLANDS MAY NOT BE POSSIBLE DUE TO DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES AND RAPIDLY RISING WATER. PREPARATIONS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN BE BROUGHT TO COMPLETION. ...TORNADO THREAT... AS RAIN BANDS ROTATE NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY...THEY WILL BRING THE THREAT OF TORNADOES TO THE AREA. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL BE ENHANCED THIS AFTERNOON...WHEN DAYTIME HEATING WILL PROVIDE ADDED INSTABILITY AND LIFT TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL EXTEND INTO TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THIS INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE DEPARTMENT'S WEB SITE...AT HTTP://WWW.DOT.STATE.AL.US/. TO REPORT DOWN POWER LINES TO PLEASE CALL ALABAMA POWER AT 800-888- 2726. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...OR DAMAGE FROM HURRICANE KATRINA...CALL OUR STORM REPORTING HOTLINE AT 1-800-856-0758. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON CDT. && $$ ** WTNT82 KNHC 291526 *** TCVAT2 KATRINA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 .HURRICANE KATRINA ALC003-097-LAC051-057-063-071-075-087-089-095-103-105-109-MSC045- 047-059-GMZ530-550-555-570-575-630-650-670-292100- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W AL/FL-BORDER 30.30N 87.45W $$ LAC045-101-113-GMZ455-475-292100- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 INTRACOASTAL-CITY-LA 29.62N 92.04W MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W $$ FLC033-091-113-GMZ655-675-292100- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 AL/FL-BORDER 30.30N 87.45W DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W $$ LAC023-113-GMZ455-475-292100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 CAMERON-LA 29.78N 93.30W INTRACOASTAL-CITY-LA 29.62N 92.04W $$ FLC005-045-131-GMZ750-770-292100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W $$ LAC045-101-292100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 INTRACOASTAL-CITY-LA 29.62N 92.04W MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W $$ ATTN...WFO...LCH...TAE...MOB...LIX... ** WTPQ21 RJTD 291500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0513 TALIM (0513) ANALYSIS PSTN 291500UTC 20.9N 131.2E GOOD MOVE W 10KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 110NM 30KT 260NM FORECAST 24HF 301500UTC 22.5N 126.4E 80NM 70% MOVE W 11KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 100KT 45HF 311200UTC 23.8N 122.8E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 69HF 011200UTC 25.5N 118.7E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTJP32 RJTD 291500 *** WARNING 291500. WARNING VALID 301500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0513 TALIM (0513) 935 HPA AT 20.9N 131.2E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 22.5N 126.4E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 291500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY TALIM 0513 (0513) INITIAL TIME 291500 UTC 00HR 21.2N 131.2E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTNT52 KNHC 291545 *** TCEAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 AT 11 AM CDT...1600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS INLAND...NEAR PICAYUNE MISSISSIPPI AND ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTPQ31 PGUM 291552 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI (14W) ADVISORY NUMBER 2 2 AM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI (14W) SLOWLY INTENSIFYING... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...SAIPAN AND AGRIHAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... INCLUDING TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI (14W) WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 485 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 420 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 425 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 460 MILES EAST OF ROTA...AND 500 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY...AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 152.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS/MCELROY ** WTUS82 KTAE 291554 *** HLSTAE GMZ750-FLZ008-012-014-015-018-027-028-034-291930- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1150 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...CENTER OF POWERFUL HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING ONSHORE AND CONTINUES POUNDING SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM DESTIN EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...COASTAL WALTON...BAY...AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS IN GULF COUNTY FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS OR 45 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BILOXI. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 200 MILES WEST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. KATRINA WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY. HIGHEST SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. KATRINA REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES. ...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD NOW BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...HAVING SECURED LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO FURNITURE...AND TAKEN APPROPRIATE STEPS TO PROTECT AGAINST COASTAL FLOODING. LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO COASTAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE THE PROTECTIVE DUNES HAVE BEEN WASHED AWAY BY PREVIOUS STORMS. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR CAPE SAN BLAS IN GULF COUNTY...AND DOG ISLANDS ...ALLIGATOR POINT...AND ALL LOW LYING AREAS SUBJECT TO COASTAL FLOODING IN FRANKLIN COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AS LARGE SWELLS EMANATE FROM THE LARGE AND POWERFUL KATRINA. WITHIN THE LAST HOUR...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN WALTON COUNTY REPORTED SURGES UP TO THE EDGE OF THE ROADWAY ON HIGHWAY 98 WITH WINDS OF 48 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 68 KTS WHICH CLOSED AT THE BRIDGE AT ROAD 331. THE PANAMA CITY BEACH PATROL IN BAY COUNTY REPORTED WATERS HAVE ENCROACHED INLAND UP TO 20 FEET FROM SHORE CAUSING MAJOR BEACH EROSION. IN GULF COUNTY...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT INDICATED THAT A SMALL ROAD AT STUMP HOLE WAS BREACHED BY WATER AND IS CLOSED. ST JOES PENINSULA IS RUNNING 8-10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...INDIAN PASS 4-5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND ST JOES BAY 3-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. REPORTS FROM THE NORTHEAST GULF BUOYS CONTINUE TO SHOW HIGH SWELLS...WITH 23 FEET SWELLS FROM THE SOUTH BEING REPORTED AT THE BUOY 90 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY. THESE LARGE SWELLS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN HIGHER SURF ALONG THE COAST. THIS WAVE ACTION...COUPLED WITH STRONG ONSHORE FLOW MAY PRODUCE TIDES OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...ESPECIALLY AT HIGH TIDE DURING THIS MORNING. THESE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES AND HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING TODAY...ESPECIALLY AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. THE BEACHES OF WALTON COUNTY ARE CLOSED. THE FOLLOWING ARE TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS... APALACHICOLA...HIGH 1037 AM MONDAY MORNING...LOW 831 PM MONDAY EVENING SAINT ANDREWS BAY AT PANAMA CITY...HIGH 618 AM CDT MONDAY...LOW 556 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING EAST PASS AT DESTIN...HIGH 648 AM CDT MON MORN...LOW 827 PM CDT EVE ST MARKS...HIGH 1034 AM MONDAY MORNING...LOW 646 PM MONDAY EVENING ...WIND IMPACTS... AT 10 AM CDT WINDS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST WERE GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 TO 40 KTS...WITH GUSTS OF 60 KTS WITH A STRONG WEST TO EAST GRADIENT. SOME SITES INCLUDE...PENSACOLA NAVAL STATION 43 KTS GUSTS 56KTS...DOWNTOWN PENSACOLA 35 KTS GUSTS 46 KTS...DESTIN 30 KTS GUSTS 40 KTS...PANAMA CITY 24 KTS GUSTS 36 KTS ...EGLIN AFB 30 KTS GUSTS 44 KTS...AND APALACHICOLA 25 KTS GUST 31 KTS. WINDS OFFSHORE INCLUDE...THE PANAMA CITY BUOY 33 KTS WITH GUSTS 41 KTS. EVEN THOUGH KATRINA WAS MOVING INLAND OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AT THIS TIME... SUSTAINED WINDS AT OR ABOVE 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND POSSIBLE THE WESTERN BIG BEND LATER TODAY...MAINLY IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS NEAR THE COAST. SUCH WINDS TYPICALLY CAUSE SEVERAL DOWNED TREE BRANCHES...A FEW DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES...TIPPED OVER GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO FURNITURE...AND A FEW UPROOTED TREES. THESE WINDS WILL PROBABLY PEAK BY LATE MORNING... THEN SUBSIDE BY LATE AFTERNOON AS KATRINA ACCELERATES INLAND AND WEAKENS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS OCCURRING FARTHER WEST. WHILE WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED...LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IF HEAVY RAIN BANDS SET UP OVER A PARTICULAR LOCATION. ...TORNADO THREAT... SEVERAL TORNADOS WARNINGS HAVE ALREADY BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. ADDITIONAL TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY... ESPECIALLY INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. ...RIP CURRENTS... ALONG WITH THE HIGH SURF THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TODAY. EVERYONE...INCLUDING EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS...SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE SURF. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 330 PM EDT (230 PM CDT). 24-BLOCK $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 291556 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-291600- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1052 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...KATRINA BATTERS NEW ORLEANS...SOME LEVEES TOPPED...EXTENSIVE DAMAGE IS OCCURRING... ...KATRINA MAKING SECOND LANDFALL ON MISSISSIPPI COAST....PRODUCING EXTREME DAMAGE... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI FROM MORGAN CITY EAST TO THE ALABAMA FLORIDA BORDER.... ...EXTENSIVE AND LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING OCCURRING ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS AT THIS TIME...INCLUDING THE NEW ORLEANS AREA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THE FOLLOWING PARISHES ASSUMPTION...ST JAMES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST CHARLES... ST BERNARD...TERREBONNE...ORLEANS...JEFFERSON...PLAQUEMINE... LAFOURCHE...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...LIVINGSTON. IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HANCOCK...HARRISON...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY EAST TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER AREA. THIS INCLUDES THE METRO NEW ORLEANS AREA...AND THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AN EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. TORNADO WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AROUND 1030 AM CDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS CENTERED OVER HANCOCK COUNTY MISSISSIPPI AND ST. TAMMANY PARISH LOUISIANA...AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AROUND 17 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE...AFTER STRIKING THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST NEAR GRAND ISLE AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE EARLIER THIS MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WITH THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY SQUALLS...PEOPLE SHOULD REMAIN IN LAST RESORT REFUGES IN STRONG...WELL CONSTRUCTED BUILDINGS. IF LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING DEVELOPS...MOVE TO HIGHER FLOORS OR HOUSE ATTICS. BRING TOOLS TO MAKE AN EMERGENCY EXIT SHOULD THESE HIGHER FLOORS OR ATTICS BECOME INUNDATED. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... KATRINA IS MAKING A SECOND LANDFALL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI-LOUISIANA BORDER NORTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS...GENERALLY OVER HANCOCK COUNTY MISSISSIPPI AND ST. TAMMANY PARISH LOUISIANA. A SIGNIFICANT AND LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE ESTIMATED AROUND 20 FEET HAS OCCURRED WITH KATRINA...CAUSING LEVEES TO BE OVERTOPPED IN ORLEANS AND ST BERNARD PARISHES. IN ADDITION DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE OCCURRING ON TOP OF THE STORM SURGE NEAR THE COAST. SEVERE TIDAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN THESE AREAS FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST OVER HANCOCK...HARRISON AND JACKSON COUNTIES. EXTENSIVE DAMAGE DUE TO THE WIND AND STORM SURGE IS OCCURRING ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. IN ADDITION...A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 12 FEET HAS OCCURRED IN THE SOUTHWEST PART OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AFFECTING THE EAST BANKS OF JEFFERSON...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST AND LIVINGSTON PARISHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...WITH WINDS OVER 100 MPH STILL OCCURRING NEAR THE COAST. POWER OUTAGES ARE OCCURRING...AND WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD DURING THE REST OF THE MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG CATEGORY 3 HURRICANES CAN TOTALLY DESTROY MOBILE HOMES AND POORLY CONSTRUCTED DWELLINGS...AND CAUSE MAJOR DAMAGE TO EVEN WELL CONSTRUCTED BUILDINGS. HIGHER WIND SPEEDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER ON UPPER FLOORS OF TALL BUILDINGS CAUSING DAMAGE. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI DUE TO THE THREAT OF TORNADOES. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 130 PM CDT. $$ ** WTPQ20 RJTD 291500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0514 NABI (0514) ANALYSIS PSTN 291500UTC 15.0N 151.4E POOR MOVE W 12KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 80NM SOUTHWEST 40NM NORTHEAST FORECAST 24HF 301500UTC 16.4N 148.7E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 311200UTC 17.6N 145.4E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 011200UTC 19.1N 142.2E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT = ** WTUS84 KMOB 291620 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-291830- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1120 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...KATRINA HAS MOVED INLAND NEAR THE LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI STATE LINE... ...KATRINA IS NOW A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WITH WINDS NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...ESCAMBIA...COVINGTON...WASHINGTON...CONECUH... MONROE...BUTLER...CLARKE...CRENSHAW...WILCOX...CHOCTAW...BALDWIN AND MOBILE COUNTIES. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...STONE...PERRY...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...OKALOOSA...ESCAMBIA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND MOBILE...INLAND BALDWIN...WASHINGTON...CLARKE AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND STONE...GEORGE...PERRY...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND FOR ESCAMBIA...COVINGTON...CONECUH...MONROE...BUTLER...CRENSHAW AND WILCOX COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT FOR DETAILS RELATED TO THE INLAND AREAS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE SAME AREAS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM CDT...MOBILE RADAR ESTIMATED THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA TO BE INLAND OVER PEARL RIVER COUNTY NEAR PICAYUNE...OR ABOUT 85 MILES WEST OF THE MOBILE AIRPORT IN WEST MOBILE. KATRINA IS MOVING NORTH AROUND 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE STORM TIDE WAS AROUND 11 FEET ALONG COASTLINE OF MOBILE COUNTY...7 TO 8 FEET OVER THE NORTHERN REACHES OF MOBILE BAY...AND 5 TO 6 FEET FURTHER EASTWARD TO NEAR PENSACOLA. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS NEAR 75 TO 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 50 T0 60 MPH WITH GUST TO AROUND 80 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS MOBILE COUNTY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 70 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF BALDWIN COUNTY...WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER WINDS EXPECTED FURTHER EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD FURTHER INLAND ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI DURING THE EARLY TO MID EVENING HOURS TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS. ...RIP CURRENTS... EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE OCCURRING. SWIMMERS SHOULD NOT ENTER THE WATER UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE KATRINA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES EXPECTED... WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE FELT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...OR THOSE AREAS CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM AS IT PUSHES INLAND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THIS OFFICE AROUND 130 PM CDT. $$ DARBE ** WTUS84 KLCH 291631 *** HLSLCH LAZ029-033-044-045-051>055-291830- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1130 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...HURRICANE KATRINA IS NOW MOVING ONSHORE NEAR THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI BORDER AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER... ...AREAS AFFECTED IN SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE RESIDENTS IN CAMERON...VERMILION... IBERIA...LAFAYETTE...SAINT MARTIN...SAINT MARY...AVOYELLES...AND SAINT LANDRY PARISHES... ...WATCHES/WARNING... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAINT MARY PARISH. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY BE COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA INCLUDING VERMILION...ST MARY AND IBERIA PARISH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INSIDE THE WARNED AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA INCLUDING CAMERON PARISH. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY FOR AVOYELLES...SAINT LANDRY...AND SAINT MARTIN PARISHES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT TODAY FOR IBERIA...SAINT MARY...AND SAINT MARTIN PARISHES. HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER AVOYELLES...ST.LANDRY... ST. MARTIN...AND IBERIA PARISH BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST...OR NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND TODAY. KATRINA REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 927 MB...27.37 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA SHOULD ALREADY BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBLE EFFECTS OF A NEARBY LANDFALLING MAJOR HURRICANE. THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR DAMAGING WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. HOWEVER AT THIS TIME...MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDERS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR ANY PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE MAIN TORNADO THREAT WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT ONE TO 1.5 FEET BELOW NORMAL IN ST. MARY PARISH. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA TIDES ARE RUNNING AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL. TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE INTO THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL OF THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN WEST TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. BASED ON THE EXPECTED WIND SPEEDS AND THE NUMEROUS TREES ACROSS THE LOWER ATCHAFALAYA BASIN...RESIDENTS IN THESE REGIONS ARE URGED TO BE CAREFUL OF FALLING TREES. REMEMBER...MOST OF THE DEATHS CAUSED BY KATRINA AS IT CROSSED SOUTH FLORIDA WERE CAUSED BY FALLING TREES. ON THE COASTAL WATERS NEAR VERMILION AND ATCHAFALAYA BAYS... NORTHEAST WINDS WERE RUNNING 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. THESE WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AS KATRINA MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION WILL BE DECREASING BY THIS EVENING. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH THIS AFTERNOON AS KATRINA MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE BY 2:00 PM. $$ ** WTPH RPLL 291200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 03 AT 1200 29 AUGUST, TYPHOON (TALIM) (0513) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 21.0N 131.9E MOVING WEST AT 05MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 450KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 45MPS NEAR CENTER 33MPS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 450KMS FROM CETNER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 301200 21.5N 127.6E AT 311200 22.3N 123.2E AND AT 011200 23.5N 119.0E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTUS84 KJAN 291641 *** HLSJAN MSZ025>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-292100- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 1140 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...HURRICANE KATRINA CAUSING SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... ...CONDITIONS DETEORIATING RAPIDLY ALONG THE HIGHWAY 98 AND 84 CORRIDORS... ...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEING EXPERIENCED ALONG THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PEOPLE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MARION...LAMAR... FORREST...LINCOLN...LAWRENCE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...COVINGTON... JONES...COPIAH...SIMPSON...SMITH...JASPER...CLARKE...RANKIN... HINDS...MADISON...SCOTT...NEWTON...LAUDERDALE...LEAKE...NESHOBA... ATTALA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...CHOCTAW...OKTIBBEHA... LOWNDES... WEBSTER...CLAY AND KEMPER COUNTIES. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ADAMS... FRANKLIN...JEFFERSON...CLAIBORNE...GRENADA...CARROLL... MONTGOMERY...HOLMES AND YAZOO AND WARREN COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM FOR MUCH OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. NUMEROUS FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 98. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 44 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BILOXI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES KATRINA A CATEGORY THREE STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND...BUT KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE IS IT MOVES INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND TODAY...THE HURRICANE WILL REMAIN A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AS IT MOVES INTO THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR AND WILL REMAIN A FORMIDABLE HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR. KEEP IN MIND...KATRINA WILL STILL BE A HURRICANE WELL INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THE SERIOUSNESS OF THIS SITUATION CANNOT BE OVEREMPHASIZED! WHILE HURRICANE KATRINA HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY...IT IS STILL A VERY DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. A HURRICANE OF THIS INTENSITY HAS NOT MADE LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SINCE HURRICANE CAMILLE IN 1969. IT IS LIKELY THAT KATRINA WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION...DO NOT TAKE IT LIGHTLY! PEOPLE RESIDING IN HOMES THAT ARE NOT WELL CONSTRUCTED SHOULD HAVE MOVED TO A SAFER ALTERNATIVE LOCATION TO RIDE THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM OUT...PARTICULARLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 WHERE THE VERY STRONGEST WINDS COULD OCCUR. PLEASE FOLLOW THE DIRECTIONS OF STATE...COUNTY AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WITH REGARD TO EVACUATIONS AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. ...WIND IMPACTS... KATRINA WILL STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT MOVES ACROSS THE HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR AND THE CITIES OF HATTIESBURG... PURVIS AND COLUMBIA. THIS WOULD MEAN SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 125 MPH POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD CAUSE CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE...LEVELING TREES...POWER LINES AND POLES...AND CAUSING EXTENSIVE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. WIDESPREAD DAMAGE HAS ALREADY BEEN REPORTED ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING. MUCH OF THE AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 98 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 IS WITHOUT POWER...AND THERE HAS BEEN SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO TREES AND STRUCTURES. IN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20... WINDS OF 75 TO 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL OCCUR. IN ADDITION TO DOWNING THOUSANDS OF TREES AND CAUSING EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES...THESE WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AND DESTROY LESS WELL CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES. IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WINDS OF 50 TO 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL OCCUR...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MAY OCCUR. WIND DAMAGE COULD BE EXTENSIVE IN THESE AREAS AS WELL...WITH WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES POSSIBLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE IN THE PINE BELT REGION DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS MONDAY. A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. THE WORST CONDITIONS FOR THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO RECOGNIZE THAT SOME CHANGES COULD STILL OCCUR TO THE FORECAST TRACK. AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY TRACK FOR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS FROM JUST WEST OF PURVIS...TO RALEIGH...TO NEAR WEST POINT...BUT REMEMBER...THIS IS A LARGE HURRICANE...AND ITS EFFECTS WILL BE FELT OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING IMPACTS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED GREATER AMOUNTS...WILL OCCUR IN THE AREA ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE URBAN FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL TO MODERATE...UNLESS HEAVIER RAINFALL THAN FORECAST OCCURS. NUMEROUS FLASH FLOOD WARNING ARE ALREADY IN EFFECT ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY. ...INLAND TORNADO IMPACTS... THE RISK OF TORNADOES WILL EXPAND TO COVER MUCH OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI DURING THE MIDDAY AND EVENING HOURS AS KATRINA CONTINUES TO MOVES INLAND. AN ENHANCED RISK OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY EXIST ALONG AND EAST OF A HATTIESBURG TO MERIDIEN TO COLUMBUS LINE. A TORNADO WAS REPORTED IN PEARL RIVER COUNTY EARLIER THIS MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS... THE EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA FOR JACKSON IS 93 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 37 PERCENT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 2 PM CDT. $$ CBD ** WTPQ81 PGUM 291646 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-PMZ154-292300- TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI (14W) LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 300 AM GUAM LST TUE AUG 30 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI (14W) SLOWLY STRENGTHENING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN... SAIPAN AND AGRIHAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR TONIGHT. FOR GUAM...DAMAGING WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... IF A SIGNIFICANT SOUTHWARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK OR MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION OCCURS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BECOME NECESSARY LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 485 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN 420 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN 425 MILES EAST OF TINIAN 460 MILES EAST OF ROTA...AND 500 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NABI IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ...ROTA... PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY ARRIVE TONIGHT. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH TODAY WILL SHIFT WEST AND INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY THEN SLOWLY DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES NORTHWEST OF ROTA. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS AT 6 TO 8 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO ONE FOOT IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...TINIAN AND SAIPAN... PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY ARRIVE TONIGHT. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY THEN SLOWLY DECREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES NORTHWEST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS AT 7 TO 9 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO ONE FOOT IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...AGRIHAN... PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY ARRIVE TONIGHT. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PLAN AND BE SURE YOUR DISASTER KITS ARE WELL STOCKED. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. MOVE SMALL BOATS TO SAFE HAVEN. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WILL SHIFT TO NORTH TONIGHT AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY THEN SLOWLY DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS NABI MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM AGRIHAN. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS AT 6 TO 8 FT ON ALL EXPOSURES TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION UP TO ONE FOOT IS POSSIBLE. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM GUAM LST TUESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF NEEDED. CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR RADIO COMMUNICATIONS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. $$ HENDRICKS/MCELROY ** WTNT32 KNHC 291654 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL NOON CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...KATRINA STILL POWERFUL BUT GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT NOON CDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY AND INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. HOWEVER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD AS FAR AS 150 MILES INLAND ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA. SEE INLAND HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. FAR FROM THE CENTER...DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 76 MPH WITH A GUST TO 102 MPH...MOBILE ALABAMA REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 83 MPH...AND PENSACOLA FLORIDA REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 52 MPH WITH A GUST TO 69 MPH. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY. REPEATING THE NOON CDT POSITION...30.8 N... 89.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 940 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTCA42 TJSJ 291717 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN HURACAN KATRINA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 27A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL MEDIODIA CDT LUNES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...KATRINA TODAVIA PODEROSO PERO DEBILITANDOSE GRADUALMENTE A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE MAS TIERRA ADENTRO... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA NORTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO DESDE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA LA FRONTERA ENTRE ALABAMA/FLORIDA...INCLUYENDO LA CIUDAD DE NEW ORLEANS Y EL LAGO PONTCHARTRAIN. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL ESTE DE LA FRONTERA ENTRE ALABAMA/FLORIDA HASTA INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...Y DESDE EL OESTE DE MORGAN CITY HASTA CAMERON LOUISIANA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. AL MEDIODIA CDT...1700Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN KATRINA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 30.8 NORTE...LONGITUD 89.6 OESTE O COMO A 40 MILLAS AL SUR-SUROESTE DE HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. CON ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO CONTINUARA MOVIENDOSE SOBRE EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI HOY Y HACIA EL CENTRO DE MISSISSIPPI DURANTE EL ANOCHECER Y ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO HASTA CERCA DE 105 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. KATRINA AHORA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. LOS VIENTOS AFECTANDO LOS PISOS MAS ALTOS DE EDIFICIOS MULTIPISOS SERAN SIGNIFICATIVAMENTE MAS FUERTES QUE AQUELLOS CERCA DEL SUELO. SE PRONOSTICA DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS A MEDIDA QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVE SOBRE TIERRA. SIN EMBARGO...SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDAN TAN LEJOS COMO 150 MILLAS TIERRA ADENTRO A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE KATRINA. REFIERASE A LOS AVISOS DE HURACAN Y DE TORMENTA TROPICAL TIERRA ADENTRO DESDE LAS OFICINAS DE PRONOSTICOS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 125 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. LEJOS DEL CENTRO...LA ISLA DAUPHIN ALABAMA REPORTO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 76 MPH CON UNA RAFAGA HASTA 102 MPH...MOBILE ALABAMA REPORTO UNA RAFAGA DE VIENTO HASTA 83 MPH...Y PENSACOLA FLORIDA REPORTO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 52 MPH CON UNA RAFAGA HASTA 69 MPH. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 940 MILIBARAS...27.76 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA A LO LARGO DEL NORTE Y NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO COMENZARAN A DISMINUIR LENTAMENTE MAS TARDE HOY. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS...SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE KATRINA A TRAVES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO Y EN EL VALLE DE TENNESSEE. TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DEL VALLE DE OHIO HACIA LA REGION DEL ESTE DE LOS GRANDES LAGOS EL MARTES Y EL MIERCOLES. ALGUNOS TORNADOS SON POSIBLES SOBRE PARTES DEL SUR Y ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI...EL SUR Y CENTRO DE ALABAMA...Y EL OESTE DE FLORIDA PANHANDLE HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION AL MEDIODIA CDT...30.8 NORTE... 89.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...105 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 940 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 2 PM CDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTUS84 KLCH 291736 *** HLSLCH LAZ029-033-044-045-051>055-291830- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1230 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...HURRICANE KATRINA CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FURTHER INLAND... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER... ...AREAS AFFECTED IN SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE RESIDENTS IN CAMERON...VERMILION... IBERIA...SAINT MARTIN...SAINT MARY...AVOYELLES...AND SAINT LANDRY PARISHES... ...WATCHES/WARNING... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAINT MARY PARISH. . A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA INCLUDING VERMILION...IBERIA AND CAMERON PARISH. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY FOR AVOYELLES...SAINT LANDRY...AND SAINT MARTIN PARISHES. THE FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT TODAY FOR IBERIA...SAINT MARY...AND SAINT MARTIN PARISHES. HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER AVOYELLES...ST.LANDRY...ST. MARTIN...AND IBERIA PARISH BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 12 NOON...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND TODAY. KATRINA REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. PERSONS EAST OF I- 49 SHOULD REMAIN INSIDE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL THE STRONG WINDS SUBSIDE. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE MAIN TORNADO THREAT WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT ONE TO 1.5 FEET BELOW NORMAL IN ST. MARY PARISH. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA TIDES ARE RUNNING AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL. TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE INTO THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL OF THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN WEST TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE STORM MOVES FURTHER INLAND. BASED ON THE EXPECTED WIND SPEEDS AND THE NUMEROUS TREES ACROSS THE LOWER ATCHAFALAYA BASIN...RESIDENTS IN THESE REGIONS ARE URGED TO BE CAREFUL OF FALLING TREES. REMEMBER...MOST OF THE DEATHS CAUSED BY KATRINA AS IT CROSSED SOUTH FLORIDA WERE CAUSED BY FALLING TREES. ON THE COASTAL WATERS NEAR VERMILION AND ATCHAFALAYA BAYS... NORTHEAST WINDS WERE RUNNING 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. THESE WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AS KATRINA MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH THIS AFTERNOON AS KATRINA MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE BY 2:30 PM. $$ ** WTNT80 EGRR 291739 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.08.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 50.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2005 17.3N 50.3W WEAK 00UTC 30.08.2005 18.8N 52.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.08.2005 20.5N 54.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE KATRINA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.7N 89.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2005 29.7N 89.4W INTENSE 00UTC 30.08.2005 32.5N 89.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 30.08.2005 35.7N 88.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 31.08.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 8.9N 31.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2005 8.9N 31.5W WEAK 00UTC 30.08.2005 10.6N 33.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2005 12.8N 35.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2005 14.4N 37.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2005 15.7N 40.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 01.09.2005 18.9N 42.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2005 20.2N 44.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2005 21.1N 45.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2005 22.1N 46.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2005 23.6N 46.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2005 24.5N 46.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2005 25.3N 47.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2005 25.7N 48.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 291739 ** WTUS82 KTAE 291752 *** HLSTAE GMZ750-FLZ008-012-014-015-018-027-028-034-292130- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 144 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...CENTER OF POWERFUL HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING ONSHORE AND CONTINUES POUNDING SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM DESTIN EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...COASTAL WALTON...BAY...AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS IN GULF COUNTY FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT (7 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...ALL OF THE BIG BEND EXCEPT TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES AND THE WEST HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT NOON CDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 225 MILES NORTHWEST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. KATRINA WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGHEST SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 125 MPH... ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. STILL...IT REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES. ...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EVEN THOUGH KATRINA WAS MOVING AWAY FROM FLORIDA...RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD CONTINUE VIGILANT TO TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... HAVING SECURED LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO FURNITURE...AND TAKEN APPROPRIATE STEPS TO PROTECT AGAINST COASTAL FLOODING. LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO COASTAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE THE PROTECTIVE DUNES HAVE BEEN WASHED AWAY BY PREVIOUS STORMS. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR CAPE SAN BLAS IN GULF COUNTY...AND ALLIGATOR POINT IN FRANKLIN COUNTY...AND ALL LOW LYING AREAS SUBJECT TO COASTAL FLOODING IN FRANKLIN COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AS LARGE SWELLS EMANATE FROM THE LARGE AND POWERFUL KATRINA. WITHIN THE LAST HOUR...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN WALTON COUNTY REPORTED SURGES UP TO THE EDGE OF THE ROADWAY ON HIGHWAY 98 WITH WINDS OF 36 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KTS WITHIN THE LAST 30 MINUTES... THE BRIDGE AT ROAD 331 REMAINS CLOSED. THE PANAMA CITY BEACH PATROL IN BAY COUNTY REPORTED WATERS HAVE ENCROACHED INLAND WITH 10 TO 12 FOOT SURF CAUSING MAJOR BEACH EROSION. IN GULF COUNTY... EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT INDICATED THAT A SMALL ROAD AT STUMP HOLE WAS BREACHED BY WATER AND REMAINS CLOSED. ST JOES ST PARK REMAINS CLOSED DUE TO WATER. REPORTS FROM THE NORTHEAST GULF BUOYS CONTINUE TO SHOW HIGH SWELLS...WITH 25 FEET SWELLS FROM THE SOUTH BEING REPORTED AT THE BUOY 90 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY. THESE LARGE SWELLS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN HIGHER SURF ALONG THE COAST. THIS WAVE ACTION...COUPLED WITH STRONG ONSHORE FLOW MAY PRODUCE TIDES OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...BUT SHOULD DECREASE AS WE MOVE CLOSER TO LOW TIDE THIS EVENING. THESE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES AND HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING. MOST BEACHES IN THE WARNING AREA REMAIN CLOSED. THE FOLLOWING ARE TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE TODAY FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS... APALACHICOLA...HIGH 1037 AM MONDAY MORNING...LOW 831 PM MONDAY EVENING SAINT ANDREWS BAY AT PANAMA CITY...HIGH 618 AM CDT MONDAY...LOW 556 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING EAST PASS AT DESTIN...HIGH 648 AM CDT MON MORN...LOW 827 PM CDT EVE ST MARKS...HIGH 1034 AM MONDAY MORNING...LOW 646 PM MONDAY EVENING ...WIND IMPACTS... AT NOON CDT WINDS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST WERE GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 25 TO 35 KTS...WITH GUSTS OF 55 KTS WITH A STRONG WEST TO EAST GRADIENT. SOME SITES INCLUDE...PENSACOLA NAVAL STATION 34 KTS GUSTS 50KTS...DOWNTOWN PENSACOLA 32 KTS GUSTS 52 KTS...DESTIN 28 KTS GUSTS 40 KTS...PANAMA CITY 23 KTS GUSTS 32 KTS...AND APALACHICOLA 24 KTS GUST 28 KTS. WINDS OFFSHORE INCLUDE...THE PANAMA CITY BUOY 31 KTS WITH GUSTS 39 KTS. EVEN THOUGH KATRINA WAS MOVING INLAND OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AT THIS TIME... SUSTAINED WINDS AT OR ABOVE 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND POSSIBLE THE WESTERN BIG BEND THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS NEAR THE COAST. SUCH WINDS TYPICALLY CAUSE SEVERAL DOWNED TREE BRANCHES...A FEW DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES...TIPPED OVER GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO FURNITURE...AND A FEW UPROOTED TREES. THESE WINDS WILL PROBABLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BY MID AFTERNOON AS KATRINA FURTHER ACCELERATES INLAND AND WEAKENS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS ACROSS THE TALLAHASSEE COUNTY WARNING AREA AS FEEDER BANDS SPREAD EASTWARD. HIGHER AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN LOCALIZED AREAS ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND EXTREME WESTERN GEORGIA DUE TO REPETITIVE RAINFALL FROM FEEDER BANDS MOVING IN FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. LOCALIZED RAPID FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON SMALL CREEKS...STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS IF HEAVY RAIN BANDS SET UP OVER A PARTICULAR LOCATION. INTERESTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR CONDITIONS AND PREPARE TO TAKE QUICK ACTION AS WARRANTED. IF ROADS ARE FLOODED...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... SEVERAL TORNADOS WARNINGS HAVE ALREADY BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. ADDITIONAL TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. ...RIP CURRENTS... ALONG WITH THE HIGH SURF THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TODAY. EVERYONE...INCLUDING EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS...SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE SURF. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 530 PM EDT (330 PM CDT). 24-BLOCK $$ ** WTNT52 KNHC 291755 *** TCEAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 291759 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-292115- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 100 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 ...KATRINA BATTERS NEW ORLEANS...SOME LEVEES TOPPED...EXTENSIVE DAMAGE IS OCCURRING... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI FROM MORGAN CITY EAST TO THE ALABAMA FLORIDA BORDER.... ...EXTENSIVE AND LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING OCCURRING ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS AT THIS TIME...INCLUDING THE NEW ORLEANS AREA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THE FOLLOWING PARISHES ASSUMPTION...ST JAMES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST CHARLES... ST BERNARD...TERREBONNE...ORLEANS...JEFFERSON...PLAQUEMINE... LAFOURCHE...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...LIVINGSTON. IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HANCOCK...HARRISON...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY EAST TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER AREA. THIS INCLUDES THE METRO NEW ORLEANS AREA...AND THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AN EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. TORNADO WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI. ...STORM INFORMATION... AROUND 1245 PM CDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS CENTERED OVER AND WAS MOVING OUT OF NORTHERN PEARL RIVER COUNTY AND INTO SOUTHERN LAMAR COUNTY NEAR INTERSTATE 55...AND WAS MOVING NORTH NEAR 21 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE DURING THE AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH RISE BUILDINGS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WITH THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY SQUALLS...PEOPLE SHOULD REMAIN IN LAST RESORT REFUGES IN STRONG...WELL CONSTRUCTED BUILDINGS. IF LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING DEVELOPS...MOVE TO HIGHER FLOORS OR HOUSE ATTICS. BRING TOOLS TO MAKE AN EMERGENCY EXIT SHOULD THESE HIGHER FLOORS OR ATTICS BECOME INUNDATED. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AS KATRINA DEPARTS...COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...FOR THE NEW ORLEANS AREA...WATERS WILL NOT SLOWLY SUBSIDE. WIDESPREAD FLOODING HAS OCCURRED. A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 12 FEET HAS OCCURRED IN THE SOUTHWEST PART OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AFFECTING THE EAST BANKS OF JEFFERSON...ST CHARLES ...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST AND LIVINGSTON PARISHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE KATRINA CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL PERSISTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 100 AND 125 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI DUE TO THE THREAT OF TORNADOES. TORNADOES ARE LIKELY AROUND KATRINA'S EYEWALL. ...RAINFALL... RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED OVER HARRISON COUNTY INTO STONE AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BATON ROUGE TO LUMBERTON. WIDESPREAD REPORTS OF MAJOR FLOODING HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS NEW ORLEANS. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREEE INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE AS KATRINA DEPARTS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 330 PM CDT. $$ MEDLIN/DARBE