** WTUS82 KEYW 261810 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-262130- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 210 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTHEAST OF THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS. UPDATED STORM SURGE IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... FLORIDA BAY...AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST UNTIL 300 PM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS CONTINUING UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 55 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST...OR ABOUT 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT JEFFERSON IN THE DRY TORTUGAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS MOVING WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 969 MB...OR 28.61 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CAUTIONED RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO REMAIN INDOORS TODAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS AND OFFICES ARE CLOSED TODAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT ISSUED ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND NO SHELTERS ARE OPEN. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA AND LISTEN FOR ANY BULLETINS FROM OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SOURCES. FLORIDA KEYS VISITORS SHOULD CHECK WITH THEIR FRONT DESK FOR ANY OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONS FROM MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AND FLORIDA KEYS MARATHON AIRPORTS REMAIN CLOSED. FLORIDA KEYS UTILITY OFFICIALS REPORTED ABOUT 9600 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER. CREWS WILL ASSESS CONDITIONS AND BEGIN TO MAKE REPAIRS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THE FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY REPORTS NO PROBLEMS WITH THE WATER SUPPLY. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...INCLUDING WINDS RANGING BETWEEN 39 MPH AND 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. THROUGH 300 PM...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH OR MORE...ON THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF KATRINA'S CORE...WILL AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT SAND KEY OFF KEY WEST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 76 MPH AT 1215 PM...AND KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 69 MPH AT 129 PM. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 66 MPH AT 1259 PM. ...MARINE IMPACTS... HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL AFFECT KEYS WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH PROBABLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES WEST OVER THE AREA. A PRIMARILY SOUTH WIND DIRECTION TODAY WILL SEE SPEEDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS OR MORE OVER MOST WATERS ADJOINING THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS OR MORE. SEAS WILL REACH 8 TO 15 FEET OR HIGHER IN OPEN WATERS...WHILE BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTREMELY ROUGH. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES MAY RUN UP TO 2 FEET HIGHER THAN NORMAL...WITH MINOR FLOODING OF DOCKS AND SOUTH-FACING COASTAL STREETS TODAY...INCLUDING SOUTH ROOSEVELT BOULEVARD IN KEY WEST. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST...UNTIL 300 PM EDT. WIDESPREAD STREET AND PARKING LOT FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN ISLAND COMMUNITIES ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES AND STORM SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ACCUMULATED SINCE 800 AM... AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY BY 300 PM IN THE WARNING AREA...AS MULTIPLE PASSING RAIN BANDS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS SWEEP OVER THE KEYS. SINCE 100 AM...7.55 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS BEEN RECORDED AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... MAKING TODAY THE THIRD WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE 1960...AND THE 10TH WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE WEATHER BUREAU RECORDS BEGAN IN KEY WEST BACK IN 1871. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE KEYS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE KATRINA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 PM EDT...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEY WEST. $$ K. KASPER ** WTCA42 TJSJ 261813 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN HURACAN KATRINA ADVERTENCIA ESPECIAL NUMERO 13 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 2000 AM EDT VIERNES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...KATRINA MOVIENDOSE AL OESTE SUROESTE LEJOS DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA Y LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA... ...CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL CONTINUAN OCURRIENDO A TRAVES DE LA MAYOR PARTE DE LOS CAYOS MEDIOS Y BAJOS DE FLORIDA... CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA TODOS LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y PARA FLORIDA BAY DESDE DRY TORTUGAS HACIA EL NORTE...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE FLORIDA DESDE EL SUR DE FLORIDA CITY HACIA EL OESTE Y NORTE HASTA LONGBOAT KEY. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA PARTES DE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE EL NORTE DE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA ANCLOTE KEY. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES EN EL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 200 PM EDT...1800Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN KATRINA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 24.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 82.6 OESTE O COMO A 60 MILLAS AL OESTE NOROESTE DE KEY WEST FLORIDA. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL OESTE TARDE ESTA NOCHE O EL SABADO. REPORTES RECIENTES DESDE UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA UNIDAD DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICAN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 100 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. KATRINA AHORA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y KATRINA PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HUCARAN CATEGORIA TRES O EN HURACAN MAYOR EL SABADO. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 25 MILLAS... FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85. DURANTE LA PASADA HORA...SE REPORTO UNA RAFAGA DE 74 MPH ENEL AEROPURTO INTERNACIONAL EN KEY WEST FLORIDA...UNA RAFAGA DE 66 MPH FUE REPORTADA EN DRY TORUGAS...Y RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS DE 40 MPH Y MAYORES AL ESTE COMO MARATHON EN LOS CAYOS MEDIOS DE LA FLORIDA. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR EL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO ES DE 969 MILIBARAS...28.61 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 3 A 5 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...PUEDEN ESPERARSE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA EN AREAS CON CORRIENTE HACIA TIERRA AL SUR DE VENICE...Y EN FLORIDA BAY. LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DEBE CONTINUAR DISMINUYENDO ESTA MANANA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE FLORIDA. SE ESPERA QUE KATRINA PRODUZCA DE 5 A 8 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA ADICIONAL SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE CUBA. SON POSIBLES ACUMULACIONES TOTALES AISLADAS DE LLUVIA DE 15 A 20 PULGADAS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS HOY SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUR DE LA FLORIDA Y EN LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 200 PM EDT...24.9 NORTE...82.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...100 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 969 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 5 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTCA42 TJSJ 261813 RRA *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN HURACAN KATRINA ADVERTENCIA ESPECIAL NUMERO 13 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT VIERNES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...KATRINA MOVIENDOSE AL OESTE SUROESTE LEJOS DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA Y LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA... ...CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL CONTINUAN OCURRIENDO A TRAVES DE LA MAYOR PARTE DE LOS CAYOS MEDIOS Y BAJOS DE FLORIDA... CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA TODOS LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y PARA FLORIDA BAY DESDE DRY TORTUGAS HACIA EL NORTE...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE FLORIDA DESDE EL SUR DE FLORIDA CITY HACIA EL OESTE Y NORTE HASTA LONGBOAT KEY. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA PARTES DE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE EL NORTE DE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA ANCLOTE KEY. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES EN EL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 200 PM EDT...1800Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN KATRINA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 24.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 82.6 OESTE O COMO A 60 MILLAS AL OESTE NOROESTE DE KEY WEST FLORIDA. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL OESTE TARDE ESTA NOCHE O EL SABADO. REPORTES RECIENTES DESDE UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA UNIDAD DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICAN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 100 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. KATRINA AHORA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y KATRINA PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HUCARAN CATEGORIA TRES O EN HURACAN MAYOR EL SABADO. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 25 MILLAS... FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85. DURANTE LA PASADA HORA...SE REPORTO UNA RAFAGA DE 74 MPH ENEL AEROPURTO INTERNACIONAL EN KEY WEST FLORIDA...UNA RAFAGA DE 66 MPH FUE REPORTADA EN DRY TORUGAS...Y RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS DE 40 MPH Y MAYORES AL ESTE COMO MARATHON EN LOS CAYOS MEDIOS DE LA FLORIDA. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR EL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO ES DE 969 MILIBARAS...28.61 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 3 A 5 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...PUEDEN ESPERARSE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA EN AREAS CON CORRIENTE HACIA TIERRA AL SUR DE VENICE...Y EN FLORIDA BAY. LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DEBE CONTINUAR DISMINUYENDO ESTA MANANA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE FLORIDA. SE ESPERA QUE KATRINA PRODUZCA DE 5 A 8 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA ADICIONAL SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE CUBA. SON POSIBLES ACUMULACIONES TOTALES AISLADAS DE LLUVIA DE 15 A 20 PULGADAS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS HOY SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUR DE LA FLORIDA Y EN LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 200 PM EDT...24.9 NORTE...82.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...100 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 969 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 5 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTUS82 KTBW 261825 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-262130- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 225 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...KATRINA NOW MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY NORTH TO LONGBOAT KEY IN MANATEE COUNTY... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LONGBOAT KEY IN MANATEE COUNTY NORTH TO ANCLOTE KEY IN PINELLAS COUNTY... ...NEW INFORMATION... LATEST FORECAST SHOWS KATRINA IS NOW MOVING ON MORE OF A WEST- SOUTHWEST TRACK. THIS TRACK WILL CONTINUE TO LESSEN THE IMPACT FOR OUR REGION. HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE STILL EXPECTED FOR PARTS OF OUR SOUTHERN GULF COASTAL WATERS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN LEE...CHARLOTTE...SARASOTA... MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...DESOTO...HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY NORTH TO LONGBOAT KEY IN MANATEE COUNTY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LONGBOAT KEY IN MANATEE COUNTY NORTH TO ANCLOTE KEY IN PINELLAS COUNTY. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST. THIS POSITION WAS ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS. KATRINA WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CORE OF THE HEAVY RAIN IS NOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE... WHILE RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE ACROSS THE STATE...THE RAINFALL TOTALS EXPECTED HAVE DECREASE. LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES CAN EXPECT TOTALS IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE. MANATEE...SARASOTA... HARDEE...DESOTO AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES CAN EXPECT UP TO 1 INCH. AREAS FROM PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH AND POLK COUNTIES NORTH WILL SEE GENERALLY LESS THAN 1 INCH OF RAIN. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL BE NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH ALONG WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN RAINBANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO EAST AND SOUTHEAST LATER TONIGHT AND THEN SOUTHERLY SATURDAY AS THE CENTER OF KATRINA MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THE GULF...AWAY FROM FLORIDA. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY WITH THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... OFFSHORE WINDS WILL HOLD OFF THE STORM SURGE UNTIL LATER SATURDAY WHEN WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND CAUSE A QUICK RISE IN TIDAL LEVELS. THE FORT MYERS AND PUNTA GORDA AREAS COULD SEE TIDES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THESE HIGHER TIDAL LEVELS WILL THEN SHIFT NORTHWARD REACHING CLEARWATER EARLY SUNDAY. TAMPA BAY WILL LIKELY SEE TIDES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL EARLY SUNDAY. TIDES FROM PORT RICHEY TO CRYSTAL RIVER WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING SUNDAY. CEDAR KEY AND THE SOUTH EXPOSURE OF LEVY COUNTY WILL SEE TIDES 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LATER SUNDAY. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL KATRINA PASSES BY THE AREA AND WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. SEAS WILL INCREASE UP TO 12 FEET OFFSHORE BY LATE EVENING...AND POSSIBLY BUILD AS HIGH AS 15 FEET OFFSHORE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BETWEEN 400 AND 430 PM. $$ RKR ** WTPQ20 BABJ 261800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MAWAR 0511 (0511) INITIAL TIME 261800 UTC 00HR 37.7N 146.6E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 300KM P12HR ENE 35KM/H P+24HR 40.8N 154.5E 998HPA 18M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 261800 *** WARNING 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0511 MAWAR (0511) 992 HPA AT 37.4N 146.2E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 39.1N 150.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 44.0N 154.0E WITH 160 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 261800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0511 MAWAR (0511) ANALYSIS PSTN 261800UTC 37.4N 146.2E FAIR MOVE E 13KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 100NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 271800UTC 39.1N 150.8E 100NM 70% MOVE NE 09KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 281800UTC 44.0N 154.0E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTUS82 KEYW 261906 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-262130- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 305 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... FLORIDA BAY...AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST UNTIL 800 PM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS CONTINUING UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 55 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST...OR ABOUT 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT JEFFERSON IN THE DRY TORTUGAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS MOVING WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 969 MB...OR 28.61 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CAUTIONED RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO REMAIN INDOORS TODAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS AND OFFICES ARE CLOSED TODAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT ISSUED ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND NO SHELTERS ARE OPEN. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA AND LISTEN FOR ANY BULLETINS FROM OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SOURCES. FLORIDA KEYS VISITORS SHOULD CHECK WITH THEIR FRONT DESK FOR ANY OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONS FROM MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AND FLORIDA KEYS MARATHON AIRPORTS REMAIN CLOSED. FLORIDA KEYS UTILITY OFFICIALS REPORTED ABOUT 9600 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER. CREWS WILL ASSESS CONDITIONS AND BEGIN TO MAKE REPAIRS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THE FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY REPORTS NO PROBLEMS WITH THE WATER SUPPLY. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...INCLUDING WINDS RANGING BETWEEN 39 MPH AND 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. THROUGH 300 PM...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH OR MORE...ON THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF KATRINA'S CORE...WILL AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT SAND KEY OFF KEY WEST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 77 MPH AT 152 PM...AND KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 69 MPH AT 228 PM. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 76 MPH AT 159 PM. ...MARINE IMPACTS... HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL AFFECT KEYS WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH PROBABLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES WEST OVER THE AREA. A PRIMARILY SOUTH WIND DIRECTION TODAY WILL SEE SPEEDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS OR MORE OVER MOST WATERS ADJOINING THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS OR MORE. SEAS WILL REACH 8 TO 15 FEET OR HIGHER IN OPEN WATERS...WHILE BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTREMELY ROUGH. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES MAY RUN UP TO 2 FEET HIGHER THAN NORMAL...WITH MINOR FLOODING OF DOCKS AND SOUTH-FACING COASTAL STREETS TODAY...INCLUDING SOUTH ROOSEVELT BOULEVARD IN KEY WEST. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST...UNTIL 300 PM EDT. WIDESPREAD STREET AND PARKING LOT FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN ISLAND COMMUNITIES ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES AND STORM SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ACCUMULATED SINCE 800 AM... AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY BY 300 PM IN THE WARNING AREA...AS MULTIPLE PASSING RAIN BANDS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS SWEEP OVER THE KEYS. SINCE 100 AM...NEARLY 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS BEEN RECORDED AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... MAKING TODAY THE THIRD WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE 1954...AND THE 8TH WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE WEATHER BUREAU RECORDS BEGAN IN KEY WEST BACK IN 1871. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE KEYS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE KATRINA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 PM EDT...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEY WEST. $$ K. KASPER ** WTUS82 KEYW 261908 CCA *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-262130- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 305 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 CORRECTION TO RAINFALL SECTION ...HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... FLORIDA BAY...AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST UNTIL 800 PM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS CONTINUING UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 55 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST...OR ABOUT 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT JEFFERSON IN THE DRY TORTUGAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS MOVING WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 969 MB...OR 28.61 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CAUTIONED RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO REMAIN INDOORS TODAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS AND OFFICES ARE CLOSED TODAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT ISSUED ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND NO SHELTERS ARE OPEN. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA AND LISTEN FOR ANY BULLETINS FROM OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SOURCES. FLORIDA KEYS VISITORS SHOULD CHECK WITH THEIR FRONT DESK FOR ANY OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONS FROM MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AND FLORIDA KEYS MARATHON AIRPORTS REMAIN CLOSED. FLORIDA KEYS UTILITY OFFICIALS REPORTED ABOUT 9600 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER. CREWS WILL ASSESS CONDITIONS AND BEGIN TO MAKE REPAIRS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THE FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY REPORTS NO PROBLEMS WITH THE WATER SUPPLY. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...INCLUDING WINDS RANGING BETWEEN 39 MPH AND 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. THROUGH 300 PM...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH OR MORE...ON THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF KATRINA'S CORE...WILL AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT SAND KEY OFF KEY WEST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 77 MPH AT 152 PM...AND KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 69 MPH AT 228 PM. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 76 MPH AT 159 PM. ...MARINE IMPACTS... HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL AFFECT KEYS WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH PROBABLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES WEST OVER THE AREA. A PRIMARILY SOUTH WIND DIRECTION TODAY WILL SEE SPEEDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS OR MORE OVER MOST WATERS ADJOINING THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS OR MORE. SEAS WILL REACH 8 TO 15 FEET OR HIGHER IN OPEN WATERS...WHILE BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTREMELY ROUGH. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES MAY RUN UP TO 2 FEET HIGHER THAN NORMAL...WITH MINOR FLOODING OF DOCKS AND SOUTH-FACING COASTAL STREETS TODAY...INCLUDING SOUTH ROOSEVELT BOULEVARD IN KEY WEST. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST...UNTIL 800 PM EDT. WIDESPREAD STREET AND PARKING LOT FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN ISLAND COMMUNITIES ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES AND STORM SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ACCUMULATED SINCE 800 AM... AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY BY 800 PM IN THE WARNING AREA...AS MULTIPLE PASSING RAIN BANDS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS SWEEP OVER THE KEYS. SINCE 100 AM...NEARLY 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS BEEN RECORDED AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... MAKING TODAY THE THIRD WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE 1954...AND THE 8TH WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE WEATHER BUREAU RECORDS BEGAN IN KEY WEST BACK IN 1871. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE KEYS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE KATRINA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 PM EDT...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEY WEST. $$ K. KASPER ** WTPQ21 RJTD 261800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 261800UTC 13.2N 142.6E POOR MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 271800UTC 16.8N 139.3E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ52 PGUM 261913 *** TCEPQ2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 500 AM LST SAT AUG 27 2005 AT 450 AM LST...THE CENTER OF POORLY DEFINED TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WAS ESTIMATED BY DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 160 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM...175 MILES WEST OF ROTA... 205 MILES WEST OF TINIAN AND 215 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN. THIS WILL BE THE LAST RADAR ESTIMATE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W...AS IT IS NOW MOVING OUT OF THE RADAR COVERAGE AREA. $$ STANKO ** WTUS82 KEYW 261906 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-262130- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 305 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... FLORIDA BAY...AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST UNTIL 800 PM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS CONTINUING UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 55 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST...OR ABOUT 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT JEFFERSON IN THE DRY TORTUGAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS MOVING WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 969 MB...OR 28.61 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CAUTIONED RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO REMAIN INDOORS TODAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS AND OFFICES ARE CLOSED TODAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT ISSUED ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND NO SHELTERS ARE OPEN. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA AND LISTEN FOR ANY BULLETINS FROM OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SOURCES. FLORIDA KEYS VISITORS SHOULD CHECK WITH THEIR FRONT DESK FOR ANY OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONS FROM MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AND FLORIDA KEYS MARATHON AIRPORTS REMAIN CLOSED. FLORIDA KEYS UTILITY OFFICIALS REPORTED ABOUT 9600 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER. CREWS WILL ASSESS CONDITIONS AND BEGIN TO MAKE REPAIRS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THE FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY REPORTS NO PROBLEMS WITH THE WATER SUPPLY. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...INCLUDING WINDS RANGING BETWEEN 39 MPH AND 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. THROUGH 300 PM...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH OR MORE...ON THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF KATRINA'S CORE...WILL AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT SAND KEY OFF KEY WEST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 77 MPH AT 152 PM...AND KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 69 MPH AT 228 PM. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 76 MPH AT 159 PM. ...MARINE IMPACTS... HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL AFFECT KEYS WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH PROBABLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES WEST OVER THE AREA. A PRIMARILY SOUTH WIND DIRECTION TODAY WILL SEE SPEEDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS OR MORE OVER MOST WATERS ADJOINING THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS OR MORE. SEAS WILL REACH 8 TO 15 FEET OR HIGHER IN OPEN WATERS...WHILE BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTREMELY ROUGH. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES MAY RUN UP TO 2 FEET HIGHER THAN NORMAL...WITH MINOR FLOODING OF DOCKS AND SOUTH-FACING COASTAL STREETS TODAY...INCLUDING SOUTH ROOSEVELT BOULEVARD IN KEY WEST. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST...UNTIL 300 PM EDT. WIDESPREAD STREET AND PARKING LOT FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN ISLAND COMMUNITIES ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES AND STORM SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ACCUMULATED SINCE 800 AM... AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY BY 300 PM IN THE WARNING AREA...AS MULTIPLE PASSING RAIN BANDS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS SWEEP OVER THE KEYS. SINCE 100 AM...NEARLY 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS BEEN RECORDED AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... MAKING TODAY THE THIRD WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE 1954...AND THE 8TH WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE WEATHER BUREAU RECORDS BEGAN IN KEY WEST BACK IN 1871. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE KEYS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE KATRINA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 PM EDT...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEY WEST. $$ K. KASPER ** WTUS82 KEYW 261908 CCA *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-262130- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 305 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 CORRECTION TO RAINFALL SECTION ...HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... FLORIDA BAY...AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST UNTIL 800 PM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS CONTINUING UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 55 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST...OR ABOUT 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT JEFFERSON IN THE DRY TORTUGAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS MOVING WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 969 MB...OR 28.61 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CAUTIONED RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO REMAIN INDOORS TODAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS AND OFFICES ARE CLOSED TODAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT ISSUED ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND NO SHELTERS ARE OPEN. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA AND LISTEN FOR ANY BULLETINS FROM OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SOURCES. FLORIDA KEYS VISITORS SHOULD CHECK WITH THEIR FRONT DESK FOR ANY OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONS FROM MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AND FLORIDA KEYS MARATHON AIRPORTS REMAIN CLOSED. FLORIDA KEYS UTILITY OFFICIALS REPORTED ABOUT 9600 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER. CREWS WILL ASSESS CONDITIONS AND BEGIN TO MAKE REPAIRS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THE FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY REPORTS NO PROBLEMS WITH THE WATER SUPPLY. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...INCLUDING WINDS RANGING BETWEEN 39 MPH AND 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. THROUGH 300 PM...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH OR MORE...ON THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF KATRINA'S CORE...WILL AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT SAND KEY OFF KEY WEST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 77 MPH AT 152 PM...AND KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 69 MPH AT 228 PM. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 76 MPH AT 159 PM. ...MARINE IMPACTS... HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL AFFECT KEYS WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH PROBABLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES WEST OVER THE AREA. A PRIMARILY SOUTH WIND DIRECTION TODAY WILL SEE SPEEDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS OR MORE OVER MOST WATERS ADJOINING THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS OR MORE. SEAS WILL REACH 8 TO 15 FEET OR HIGHER IN OPEN WATERS...WHILE BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTREMELY ROUGH. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES MAY RUN UP TO 2 FEET HIGHER THAN NORMAL...WITH MINOR FLOODING OF DOCKS AND SOUTH-FACING COASTAL STREETS TODAY...INCLUDING SOUTH ROOSEVELT BOULEVARD IN KEY WEST. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY TO KEY WEST...UNTIL 800 PM EDT. WIDESPREAD STREET AND PARKING LOT FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN ISLAND COMMUNITIES ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES AND STORM SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ACCUMULATED SINCE 800 AM... AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY BY 800 PM IN THE WARNING AREA...AS MULTIPLE PASSING RAIN BANDS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS SWEEP OVER THE KEYS. SINCE 100 AM...NEARLY 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS BEEN RECORDED AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... MAKING TODAY THE THIRD WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE 1954...AND THE 8TH WETTEST CALENDAR DAY SINCE WEATHER BUREAU RECORDS BEGAN IN KEY WEST BACK IN 1871. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE KEYS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE KATRINA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 PM EDT...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEY WEST. $$ K. KASPER ** WTPQ21 RJTD 261800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 261800UTC 13.2N 142.6E POOR MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 271800UTC 16.8N 139.3E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTUS82 KEYW 261959 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-262130- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 400 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... FLORIDA BAY...AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST UNTIL 800 PM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS CONTINUING UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 55 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST...OR ABOUT 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT JEFFERSON IN THE DRY TORTUGAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS MOVING WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 969 MB...OR 28.61 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CAUTIONED RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO REMAIN INDOORS TODAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS AND OFFICES ARE CLOSED TODAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT ISSUED ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND NO SHELTERS ARE OPEN. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA AND LISTEN FOR ANY BULLETINS FROM OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SOURCES. FLORIDA KEYS VISITORS SHOULD CHECK WITH THEIR FRONT DESK FOR ANY OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONS FROM MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AND FLORIDA KEYS MARATHON AIRPORTS REMAIN CLOSED. FLORIDA KEYS UTILITY OFFICIALS REPORTED ABOUT 9600 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER. CREWS WILL ASSESS CONDITIONS AND BEGIN TO MAKE REPAIRS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THE FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY REPORTS NO PROBLEMS WITH THE WATER SUPPLY. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...INCLUDING WINDS RANGING BETWEEN 39 MPH AND 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. THROUGH 500 PM...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH OR MORE...ON THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF KATRINA'S CORE...WILL AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT SAND KEY OFF KEY WEST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 76 MPH AT 221 PM...AND KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 69 MPH AT 228 PM. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 87 MPH AT 235 PM. ...MARINE IMPACTS... HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL AFFECT KEYS WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH PROBABLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AROUND AND NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES WEST OVER THE AREA. A PRIMARILY SOUTH WIND DIRECTION TODAY WILL SEE SPEEDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS OR MORE OVER MOST WATERS ADJOINING THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS OR MORE. SEAS WILL REACH 8 TO 15 FEET OR HIGHER IN OPEN WATERS...WHILE BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTREMELY ROUGH. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES MAY RUN UP TO 2 FEET HIGHER THAN NORMAL...WITH MINOR FLOODING OF DOCKS AND SOUTH-FACING COASTAL STREETS TODAY...INCLUDING SOUTH ROOSEVELT BOULEVARD IN KEY WEST. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST...UNTIL 800 PM EDT. WIDESPREAD FRESHWATER FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN ISLAND COMMUNITIES ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...AND ESPECIALLY FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES AND STORM SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ACCUMULATED SINCE 800 AM...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AT LEAST 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY BY 800 PM IN THE WARNING AREA...AS MULTIPLE PASSING RAIN BANDS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS SWEEP OVER THE KEYS. SINCE THIS MORNING...NEARLY 8.5 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS BEEN RECORDED AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... MAKING TODAY THE FIFTH WETTEST CALENDAR DAY IN KEY WEST SINCE RECORDS BEGAN IN 1871. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE KATRINA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 PM EDT...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEY WEST. $$ K. KASPER ** WTPZ24 KNHC 262034 *** TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092005 2100Z FRI AUG 26 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 110.1W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 110.1W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 109.6W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.8N 111.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.9N 113.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.0N 115.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 117.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 17.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 16.5N 127.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 110.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z FORECASTER SISKO/STEWART $$ ** WTPZ44 KNHC 262035 *** TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 26 2005 GOES-10 VISIBLE IMAGERY OF IRWIN SHOWS NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AS THE MAIN CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AND THE CENTER IS NOW PARTIALLY EXPOSED. DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB REMAIN AT 3.0 OR 45 KT. SIMILARILY...THE MOST RECENT UW-CIMSS AND CSU-CIRA AMSU MICROWAVE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE ALSO AROUND 45 KT. BASED ON THESE PRESENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES...THE INITIAL OFFICIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 45 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST KEEPS IRWIN AS A TROPICAL STORM FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE GFDL AND FSSE INTENSITY MODELS KEEP THE SYSTEM BELOW 50 KT AND THEN WEAKEN IT TO DEPRESSION STRENGTH BEYOND 72 HRS. THE SHIPS MODEL PREDICTS IRWIN WILL REACH 50 KT IN THE 24-48 HR FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN FOLLOWS A SIMILAR TREND AS THE GFDL AND FSSE. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE INTENSITY GUIDANCE AND IT CAPS THE INTENSITY AT 45 KT IN THE FIRST 72 HRS AND EVENTUALLY DROPS IRWIN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE LATER PERIOD. IF THE SHEAR CONTINUES TO IMPACT IRWIN OVER THE NEXT DAY...THEN FASTER WEAKENING IS LIKELY. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 280/10. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK FROM THE PREVIOUS. IRWIN WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE AND IT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS SCENARIO IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE INDIVIDUAL MODELS AND CONSENSUS MODELS. IN THE EXTENDED RANGE...THE FORECAST FOLLOWS THE NOGAPS AND GFS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACKS. FORECASTER SISKO/STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 17.7N 110.1W 45 KT 12HR VT 27/0600Z 17.8N 111.5W 45 KT 24HR VT 27/1800Z 17.9N 113.5W 45 KT 36HR VT 28/0600Z 18.0N 115.4W 45 KT 48HR VT 28/1800Z 18.0N 117.2W 45 KT 72HR VT 29/1800Z 17.5N 121.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 30/1800Z 17.0N 124.0W 35 KT 120HR VT 31/1800Z 16.5N 127.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING $$ ** WTNT32 KNHC 262038 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...KATRINA CONTINUING TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS DISCONTINUED FOR MAINLAND FLORIDA... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR PENINSULAR FLORIDA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY LARGO SOUTH AND WESTWARD TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES... WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. RECENT REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY THREE ...MAJOR... HURRICANE TODAY AND ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 81 MPH WITH A GUST TO 105 MPH WAS REPORTED AT DRY TORTUGAS C-MAN STATION LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL. SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM-FORCE ARE STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...WHILE WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM-FORCE ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE MIDDLE TO UPPER FLORIDA KEYS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW EAST OF CAPE SABLE... AND IN FLORIDA BAY. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER NORTHWESTERN CUBA...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...24.8 N... 82.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT22 KNHC 262039 *** TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005 2100Z FRI AUG 26 2005 AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR PENINSULAR FLORIDA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY LARGO SOUTH AND WESTWARD TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 82.9W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 35SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 55SW 35NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 82.9W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 82.6W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 24.9N 83.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 25.2N 85.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 25.8N 86.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.9N 87.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 65NE 65SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 30.0N 88.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 65NE 65SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 35.0N 86.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 40.5N 79.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 82.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT72 KNHC 262040 *** SPFAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT MON AUG 29 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 25.2N 85.1W 46 X X X 46 PENSACOLA FL X 1 7 9 17 25.8N 86.4W 24 4 X X 28 MOBILE AL X X 6 10 16 26.9N 87.7W 2 15 4 1 22 GULFPORT MS X X 5 11 16 MUHA 230N 824W 1 1 X X 2 BURAS LA X X 8 9 17 MUAN 219N 850W 1 1 X X 2 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 4 11 15 COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 1 2 NEW IBERIA LA X X 1 11 12 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 3 4 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 7 7 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 5 6 GALVESTON TX X X X 5 5 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 FREEPORT TX X X X 4 4 KEY WEST FL 99 X X X 99 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2 MARCO ISLAND FL 45 X X X 45 GULF 29N 85W 3 9 4 2 18 FT MYERS FL 19 1 X X 20 GULF 29N 87W X 8 8 4 20 VENICE FL 12 2 X 1 15 GULF 28N 89W X 4 11 4 19 TAMPA FL 3 4 2 2 11 GULF 28N 91W X X 6 8 14 CEDAR KEY FL 1 4 4 3 12 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 8 9 ST MARKS FL X 3 5 5 13 GULF 28N 95W X X X 4 4 APALACHICOLA FL X 6 6 5 17 GULF 27N 96W X X X 2 2 PANAMA CITY FL X 4 8 5 17 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT82 KNHC 262044 *** TCVAT2 KATRINA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 .TROPICAL STORM KATRINA FLC015-021-027-071-086-087-115-AMZ630-651-671-GMZ031-033-656-657- 676-853-856-873-876-261500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W FLORIDA-CITY-FL 25.45N 80.33W $$ FLC011-261500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 OCEAN-REEF-COASTAL-FL 25.36N 80.31W DEERFIELD-BEACH-FL 26.32N 80.07W $$ FLC057-081-103-GMZ830-261500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ANCLOTE-KEY-FL 28.18N 82.80W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ GMZ032-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-261500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 DRY-TORTUGAS-FL 24.66N 82.86W OCEAN-REEF-FL 25.33N 80.26W $$ ATTN...WFO...MFL...EYW...TBW... ** WTPN31 PGTW 262100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291351AUG2005 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 142.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 142.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 14.3N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 15.5N 140.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.6N 139.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 17.5N 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 18.2N 133.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 142.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO ACCURATELY REPRESENT THE DOMINANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DEPICTED IN RECENT SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z. REFER TO TY- PHOON 11W (MAWAR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 262100 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291351AUG2005 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 142.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 142.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 14.3N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 15.5N 140.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.6N 139.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 17.5N 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT ** WTPN31 PGTW 262100 RRB *** RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 18.2N 133.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 142.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO ACCURATELY REPRESENT THE DOMINANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DEPICTED IN RECENT SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z. REFER TO TY- PHOON 11W (MAWAR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 262100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291351AUG2005 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 142.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 142.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 14.3N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 15.5N 140.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.6N 139.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 17.5N 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 18.2N 133.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 142.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO ACCURATELY REPRESENT THE DOMINANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DEPICTED IN RECENT SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z. REFER TO TY- PHOON 11W (MAWAR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 262100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291351AUG2005 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 142.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 142.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 14.3N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 15.5N 140.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.6N 139.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 17.5N 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 18.2N 133.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 142.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO ACCURATELY REPRESENT THE DOMINANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DEPICTED IN RECENT SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z. REFER TO TY- PHOON 11W (MAWAR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 262100 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291351AUG2005 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 142.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 142.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 14.3N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 15.5N 140.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.6N 139.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 17.5N 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT ** WTPN32 PGTW 262100 RRB *** RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 18.2N 133.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 142.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO ACCURATELY REPRESENT THE DOMINANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DEPICTED IN RECENT SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z. REFER TO TY- PHOON 11W (MAWAR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 262100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291351AUG2005 AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 13.5N 142.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 142.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 14.3N 141.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 15.5N 140.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.6N 139.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 17.5N 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 18.2N 133.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 142.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO ACCURATELY REPRESENT THE DOMINANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DEPICTED IN RECENT SATELLITE, RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z. REFER TO TY- PHOON 11W (MAWAR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTNT82 KNHC 262052 *** TCVAT2 KATRINA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 .HURRICANE KATRINA GMZ031-270300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 FLORIDA-BAY-FL 24.95N 80.90W $$ FLC087-GMZ032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-270300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 DRY-TORTUGAS-FL 24.66N 82.86W OCEAN-REEF-FL 25.33N 80.26W $$ ATTN...WFO...EYW... ** WTNT42 KNHC 262059 *** TCDAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 MOST RECENT REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DROPPED TO 965 MB...BUT THE FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS HAVE ONLY INCREASED TO 94 KT AT 700 MB...WHICH IS ABOUT AN 85-KT SURFACE WIND. A 1701Z DROPSONDE IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT REPORTED 85 KT SURFACE WINDS. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 85 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY...EVEN THOUGH THE CENTRAL PRESSURE SUPPORTS ABOUT 95-KT SURFACE WINDS. THE EYEWALL IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT HAS REMAINED OPEN...PROBABLY DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT...AND THIS MAY PARTLY EXPLAIN THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE OBSERVED WINDS AND WHAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE TYPICALLY SUPPORTS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...OR 255 DEGRESS...AT 07 KT. KATRINA REMAINS CAUGHT BETWEEN THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ON THE WEST SIDE OF AN INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF KATRINA. BOTH THE RIDGE AND TROUGH ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS ...WHICH ALLOW THE HURRICANE TO TURN MORE WESTWARD...AND MOST OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE AGREES ON THAT SCENARIO. AFTER 24 HOURS... THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS STATES TO GRADUALLY DIG SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ERODE THE RIDGE...WHICH ALLOWS KATRINA TO MOVE NORTHWARD BY 72 HOURS. AS A RESULT...THE MODELS HAVE SHIFTED SIGNIFICANTLY WESTWARD AND ARE NOW IN BETTER AGREEMENT. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK BEING SHIFTED ABOUT 150 NMI WEST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. HOWEVER... PROJECTED LANDFALL IS STILL ABOUT 72 HOURS AWAY...SO FURTHER MODIFICATIONS IN THE FORECAST TRACK ARE POSSIBLE. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING OVER THE GULF LOOP CURRENT AFTER 36 HOURS...WHICH WHEN COMBINED WITH DECREASING VERTICAL SHEAR...SHOULD ALLOW THE HURRICANE TO REACH CATEGORY FOUR STATUS BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS...WHICH BRING KATRINA UP TO 118 KT. THE FSU SUPERENSEMBLE MODEL IS MORE ROBUST AND BRINGS KATRINA UP TO 129 KT JUST BEFORE LANDFALL. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 24.8N 82.9W 85 KT 12HR VT 27/0600Z 24.9N 83.9W 90 KT 24HR VT 27/1800Z 25.2N 85.1W 95 KT 36HR VT 28/0600Z 25.8N 86.4W 100 KT 48HR VT 28/1800Z 26.9N 87.7W 105 KT 72HR VT 29/1800Z 30.0N 88.5W 115 KT 96HR VT 30/1800Z 35.0N 86.5W 35 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 31/1800Z 40.5N 79.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND $$ ** WTUS82 KMFL 262104 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-262200- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 505 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...ALL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE... BROWARD...PALM BEACH...COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARINE AREA OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MIAMI-DADE...COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING KATRINA A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ON THE AVERAGE MORE PEOPLE ARE INJURED OR KILLED IN THE AFTERMATH OF A HURRICANE...MOSTLY FROM CLEANING UP DEBRIS AND FROM AUTOMOBILE ACCIDENTS RELATED TO POWER OUTAGES THAN ARE INJURED OR KILLED DURING THE HURRICANE ITSELF. PEOPLE INSPECTING DAMAGE SHOULD BE CAREFUL ABOUT DOWNED POWER LINES CAN KILL. WEAR STOUT SHOES WHEN WALKING AMID DEBRIS...NEVER GO BAREFOOT...AND STAY FAR AWAY FROM ANY DOWNED POWER LINES. USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING POWER TOOLS TO CUT UP DOWNED TREES. MAKE SURE TO ALLOW PLENTY OF VENTILATION FOR GENERATORS AS CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING IS A SILENT KILLER IN POORLY VENTED ROOMS WITH GENERATORS OPERATING. DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY ANYWHERE NEAR STANDING WATER BECAUSE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF DOWNED POWER LINES THAT CANNOT BE SEEN. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... SOUTHWEST COAST... WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BECOME ONSHORE THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF MARCO ISLAND. THIS MAY CAUSE A STORM TIDE NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT 8 PM THIS EVENING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ANOTHER HIGH TIDE AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY WILL LIKELY PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 3 FEET. LAKE OKEECHOBEE... SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE EARLY TONIGHT THEN DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT. WATERS LEVELS ONE TO TO FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF THE LAKE WITH A COMMENSURATE DECREASE OF ONE TO TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE. WATER LEVELS WILL LIKELY FLUCTUATE SOMEWHAT ALONG THE ENTIRE SHORELINE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AND BECOME NEAR NORMAL ON SATURDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH. WINDS WILL DECREASE ON SATURDAY. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... DURING KATRINA OVER 12.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AT HOMESTEAD AIR FORCE BASE AND NEARLY 10 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN NEAR CUTLER RIDGE AND NEARLY 8 INCHES HAVE BEEN MEASURED AT TAMIAMI AIRPORT IN WEST KENDALL. FLOOD WATERS IN PORTIONS OF SOUTH MIAMI-DADE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT FOR MIAMI-DADE...COASTAL COLLIER AND COASTAL MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS IS THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ON KATRINA BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE. FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS LOCAL STATEMENT...PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON. $$ LUSHINE ** WTUS82 KEYW 262106 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-270030- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 505 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... FLORIDA BAY...AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST UNTIL 800 PM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS CONTINUING UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 70 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY. KATRINA IS MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST ON SATURDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 965 MB...OR 28.50 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CAUTIONED RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO REMAIN INDOORS TONIGHT. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT ISSUED ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND NO SHELTERS ARE OPEN. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA AND LISTEN FOR ANY BULLETINS FROM OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SOURCES. FLORIDA KEYS VISITORS SHOULD CHECK WITH THEIR FRONT DESK FOR ANY OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONS FROM MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AND FLORIDA KEYS MARATHON AIRPORTS REMAIN CLOSED. ALL BUS SERVICE OUT OF THE KEYS IS CANCELLED FOR TONIGHT...AND WILL RESUME TOMORROW MORNING. KEYS ELECTRIC COMPANY REPORTS TEN THOUSAND CUSTOMERS ARE WITHOUT POWER BETWEEN BIG PINE KEY AND KEY WEST. A SAILBOAT IS TIED UP IN THE TRANSMISSION LINES AT PINE CHANNEL. KEYS ELECTRIC STATES IT WILL BE NECESSARY TO TURN OFF ALL POWER TO THE LOWER KEYS FOR A HALF HOUR IN ORDER TO REMOVE THE CRAFT. FLORIDA KEYS ELECTRIC CO OP REPORTS UP TO FIFTEEN HUNDRED CUSTOMERS ARE WITHOUT POWER IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. CREWS WILL ASSESS CONDITIONS AND MAKE REPAIRS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THE FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY REPORTS NO PROBLEMS WITH THE WATER SUPPLY. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...INCLUDING WINDS RANGING BETWEEN 39 MPH AND 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR THIS EVENING...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. THROUGH 800 PM...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH OR MORE...ON THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF KATRINA'S CORE...WILL AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT SAND KEY OFF KEY WEST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 70 MPH AT 301 PM...AND KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 67 MPH AT 353 PM. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 104 MPH AT 340 PM. ...MARINE IMPACTS... HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL AFFECT KEYS WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH PROBABLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AROUND AND NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES WEST OVER THE AREA. A PRIMARILY SOUTH WIND DIRECTION TONIGHT WILL SEE SPEEDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS OR MORE OVER MOST WATERS ADJOINING THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS OR MORE. SEAS WILL REACH 8 TO 15 FEET OR HIGHER IN OPEN WATERS...WHILE BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTREMELY ROUGH. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES MAY RUN UP TO 2 FEET HIGHER THAN NORMAL...WITH MINOR FLOODING OF DOCKS AND SOUTH-FACING COASTAL STREETS TODAY...INCLUDING SOUTH ROOSEVELT BOULEVARD IN KEY WEST. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST...UNTIL 800 PM EDT. WIDESPREAD FRESHWATER FLOODING CONTINUES IN ISLAND COMMUNITIES ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...ESPECIALLY FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES AND STORM SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ACCUMULATED SINCE 800 AM...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AT LEAST 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY BY 800 PM IN THE WARNING AREA...AS MULTIPLE PASSING RAIN BANDS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS SWEEP OVER THE KEYS. SINCE THIS MORNING...OVER 8.6 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS BEEN RECORDED AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... MAKING TODAY THE FIFTH WETTEST CALENDAR DAY IN KEY WEST SINCE RECORDS BEGAN IN 1871. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE KATRINA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 830 PM EDT...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEY WEST. $$ FELTGEN ** WTPN32 PHNC 262200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IRWIN) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 17.6N 109.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 109.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 17.8N 111.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 17.9N 113.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 18.0N 115.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 18.0N 117.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 17.5N 121.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 17.0N 124.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.5N 127.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270400Z, 271000Z, 271600Z AND 272200Z. // ** WTPQ32 PGUM 262126 *** TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SAT AUG 27 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM MARIANAS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 152 MILES WEST OF GUAM 180 MILES WEST OF ROTA 220 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN 237 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN...AND 410 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS ARE ADVISED TO FOLLOW THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W UNTIL IT MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS A LARGE SYSTEM AND WILL REMAIN CLOSE ENOUGH TO BRING RAINFALL AND BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNDAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...13.7 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 142.5 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 1 PM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTUS82 KTBW 262130 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-262330- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 530 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...KATRINA CONTINUES MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF... ...NEW INFORMATION... FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SINCE KATRINA CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST...THE EXPECTED EFFECTS OF KATRINA WILL BE LIMITED. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST. THIS POSITION WAS ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS. KATRINA WAS MOVING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... THE CORE OF THE HEAVY RAIN IS NOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE. WHILE RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE ACROSS THE STATE...THE RAINFALL TOTALS EXPECTED HAVE DECREASED AND WILL RANGE FROM UP TO 1 AND 1/2 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTH TO UP TO 3/4 INCHES OVER THE NORTH. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE AS KATRINA MOVES AWAY. BUT RAPIDLY MOVING RAINBANDS THIS EVENING WILL PRODUCE HIGHER GUSTS AT TIMES. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AS KATRINA MOVES OVER THE GULF THROUGH THE WEEKEND WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND CAUSE A RISE IN TIDAL LEVELS. THE FORT MYERS AND PUNTA GORDA AREAS COULD SEE TIDES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL SATURDAY EVENING. THESE HIGHER TIDAL LEVELS WILL THEN SHIFT NORTHWARD REACHING THE TAMPA BAY AREA EARLY SUNDAY WITH TIDES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL EARLY SUNDAY. TIDES FROM PORT RICHEY TO CRYSTAL RIVER WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL DURING SUNDAY. CEDAR KEY AND THE SOUTH EXPOSURE OF LEVY COUNTY WILL SEE TIDES 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY EVENING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. THEREFORE...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND WARNING HAS BEEN DROPPED FROM THE MARINE FORECAST. HOWEVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE WAVES. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT THIS WEEKEND UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER UNTIL MONDAY. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THIS WILL BE THE LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED ON KATRINA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN FLORIDA AT THIS TIME. $$ RKR ** WTUS82 KMFL 262132 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-262200- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 505 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...ALL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE... BROWARD...PALM BEACH...COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARINE AREA OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MIAMI-DADE...COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING KATRINA A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ON THE AVERAGE MORE PEOPLE ARE INJURED OR KILLED IN THE AFTERMATH OF A HURRICANE...MOSTLY FROM CLEANING UP DEBRIS AND FROM AUTOMOBILE ACCIDENTS RELATED TO POWER OUTAGES THAN ARE INJURED OR KILLED DURING THE HURRICANE ITSELF. PEOPLE INSPECTING DAMAGE SHOULD BE CAREFUL ABOUT DOWNED POWER LINES CAN KILL. WEAR STOUT SHOES WHEN WALKING AMID DEBRIS...NEVER GO BAREFOOT...AND STAY FAR AWAY FROM ANY DOWNED POWER LINES. USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING POWER TOOLS TO CUT UP DOWNED TREES. MAKE SURE TO ALLOW PLENTY OF VENTILATION FOR GENERATORS AS CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING IS A SILENT KILLER IN POORLY VENTED ROOMS WITH GENERATORS OPERATING. DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY ANYWHERE NEAR STANDING WATER BECAUSE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF DOWNED POWER LINES THAT CANNOT BE SEEN. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... SOUTHWEST COAST... WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BECOME ONSHORE THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF MARCO ISLAND. THIS MAY CAUSE A STORM TIDE NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT 8 PM THIS EVENING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ANOTHER HIGH TIDE AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY WILL LIKELY PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 3 FEET. LAKE OKEECHOBEE... SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE EARLY TONIGHT THEN DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT. WATERS LEVELS ONE TO TO FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF THE LAKE WITH A COMMENSURATE DECREASE OF ONE TO TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE. WATER LEVELS WILL LIKELY FLUCTUATE SOMEWHAT ALONG THE ENTIRE SHORELINE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AND BECOME NEAR NORMAL ON SATURDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH. WINDS WILL DECREASE ON SATURDAY. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... DURING KATRINA OVER 12.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AT HOMESTEAD AIR FORCE BASE AND NEARLY 10 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN NEAR CUTLER RIDGE AND NEARLY 8 INCHES HAVE BEEN MEASURED AT TAMIAMI AIRPORT IN WEST KENDALL. FLOOD WATERS IN PORTIONS OF SOUTH MIAMI-DADE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT FOR MIAMI-DADE...COASTAL COLLIER AND COASTAL MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS IS THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ON KATRINA BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE. FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS LOCAL STATEMENT...PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON. $$ LUSHINE ** WTUS82 KMFL 262137 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-262230- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...correction in watch/warning section NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 535 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...ALL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE... BROWARD...PALM BEACH...COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE coastal sections of the SOUTHWEST FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A tropical storm WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARINE AREA OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MIAMI-DADE...COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING KATRINA A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ON THE AVERAGE MORE PEOPLE ARE INJURED OR KILLED IN THE AFTERMATH OF A HURRICANE...MOSTLY FROM CLEANING UP DEBRIS AND FROM AUTOMOBILE ACCIDENTS RELATED TO POWER OUTAGES THAN ARE INJURED OR KILLED DURING THE HURRICANE ITSELF. PEOPLE INSPECTING DAMAGE SHOULD BE CAREFUL ABOUT DOWNED POWER LINES CAN KILL. WEAR STOUT SHOES WHEN WALKING AMID DEBRIS...NEVER GO BAREFOOT...AND STAY FAR AWAY FROM ANY DOWNED POWER LINES. USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING POWER TOOLS TO CUT UP DOWNED TREES. MAKE SURE TO ALLOW PLENTY OF VENTILATION FOR GENERATORS AS CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING IS A SILENT KILLER IN POORLY VENTED ROOMS WITH GENERATORS OPERATING. DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY ANYWHERE NEAR STANDING WATER BECAUSE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF DOWNED POWER LINES THAT CANNOT BE SEEN. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... SOUTHWEST COAST... WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BECOME ONSHORE THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF MARCO ISLAND. THIS MAY CAUSE A STORM TIDE NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT 8 PM THIS EVENING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ANOTHER HIGH TIDE AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY WILL LIKELY PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 3 FEET. LAKE OKEECHOBEE... SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE EARLY TONIGHT THEN DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT. WATERS LEVELS ONE TO TO FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF THE LAKE WITH A COMMENSURATE DECREASE OF ONE TO TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE. WATER LEVELS WILL LIKELY FLUCTUATE SOMEWHAT ALONG THE ENTIRE SHORELINE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AND BECOME NEAR NORMAL ON SATURDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH. WINDS WILL DECREASE ON SATURDAY. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... DURING KATRINA OVER 12.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AT HOMESTEAD AIR FORCE BASE AND NEARLY 10 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN NEAR CUTLER RIDGE AND NEARLY 8 INCHES HAVE BEEN MEASURED AT TAMIAMI AIRPORT IN WEST KENDALL. FLOOD WATERS IN PORTIONS OF SOUTH MIAMI-DADE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT FOR MIAMI-DADE...COASTAL COLLIER AND COASTAL MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS IS THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ON KATRINA BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE. FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS LOCAL STATEMENT...PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON. $$ LUSHINE ** WTUS82 KMFL 262144 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-262230- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTION TO FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 545 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...ALL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE... BROWARD...PALM BEACH...COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA PENINSULA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARINE AREA OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH. THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR MIAMI-DADE...COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING KATRINA A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ON THE AVERAGE MORE PEOPLE ARE INJURED OR KILLED IN THE AFTERMATH OF A HURRICANE...MOSTLY FROM CLEANING UP DEBRIS AND FROM AUTOMOBILE ACCIDENTS RELATED TO POWER OUTAGES THAN ARE INJURED OR KILLED DURING THE HURRICANE ITSELF. PEOPLE INSPECTING DAMAGE SHOULD BE CAREFUL ABOUT DOWNED POWER LINES CAN KILL. WEAR STOUT SHOES WHEN WALKING AMID DEBRIS...NEVER GO BAREFOOT...AND STAY FAR AWAY FROM ANY DOWNED POWER LINES. USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING POWER TOOLS TO CUT UP DOWNED TREES. MAKE SURE TO ALLOW PLENTY OF VENTILATION FOR GENERATORS AS CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING IS A SILENT KILLER IN POORLY VENTED ROOMS WITH GENERATORS OPERATING. DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY ANYWHERE NEAR STANDING WATER BECAUSE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF DOWNED POWER LINES THAT CANNOT BE SEEN. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... SOUTHWEST COAST... WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL BECOME ONSHORE THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF MARCO ISLAND. THIS MAY CAUSE A STORM TIDE NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT 8 PM THIS EVENING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ANOTHER HIGH TIDE AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY WILL LIKELY PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 3 FEET. LAKE OKEECHOBEE... SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE EARLY TONIGHT THEN DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT. WATERS LEVELS ONE TO TO FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF THE LAKE WITH A COMMENSURATE DECREASE OF ONE TO TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE. WATER LEVELS WILL LIKELY FLUCTUATE SOMEWHAT ALONG THE ENTIRE SHORELINE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AND BECOME NEAR NORMAL ON SATURDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH. WINDS WILL DECREASE ON SATURDAY. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... DURING KATRINA OVER 12.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AT HOMESTEAD AIR FORCE BASE AND NEARLY 10 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN NEAR CUTLER RIDGE AND NEARLY 8 INCHES HAVE BEEN MEASURED AT TAMIAMI AIRPORT IN WEST KENDALL. FLOOD WATERS IN PORTIONS OF SOUTH MIAMI-DADE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT FOR MIAMI-DADE...COASTAL COLLIER AND COASTAL MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS IS THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ON KATRINA BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE. FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS LOCAL STATEMENT...PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON. $$ LUSHINE ** WTPQ20 RJTD 262100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0511 MAWAR (0511) ANALYSIS PSTN 262100UTC 37.4N 147.1E FAIR MOVE E 14KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 170NM SOUTHEAST 80NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 272100UTC 39.0N 150.8E 100NM 70% MOVE NE 08KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 281800UTC 44.0N 154.0E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ21 RJTD 262100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 262100UTC 13.3N 142.0E POOR MOVE W 11KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 272100UTC 17.5N 139.6E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 11KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTUS82 KEYW 262252 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-270030- HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 650 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTHWEST OF THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS... ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... FLORIDA BAY...AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST UNTIL 800 PM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS CONTINUING UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 70 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON SATURDAY. KATRINA IS MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST ON SATURDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 965 MB...OR 28.50 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE CAUTIONED RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO REMAIN INDOORS TONIGHT. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT ISSUED ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND NO SHELTERS ARE OPEN. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA AND LISTEN FOR ANY BULLETINS FROM OFFICIAL MONROE COUNTY SOURCES. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AND FLORIDA KEYS MARATHON AIRPORTS REMAIN CLOSED. ALL BUS SERVICE OUT OF THE KEYS IS CANCELLED FOR TONIGHT...AND WILL RESUME TOMORROW MORNING. KEYS ELECTRIC COMPANY REPORTS TEN THOUSAND CUSTOMERS ARE WITHOUT POWER BETWEEN BIG PINE KEY AND KEY WEST. FLORIDA KEYS ELECTRIC CO OP REPORTS UP TO FIFTEEN HUNDRED CUSTOMERS ARE WITHOUT POWER IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. CREWS ARE ASSESSING CONDITIONS AND WILL MAKE REPAIRS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THE FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY REPORTS NO PROBLEMS WITH THE WATER SUPPLY. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...INCLUDING WINDS RANGING BETWEEN 39 MPH AND 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR THIS EVENING...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT SAND KEY OFF KEY WEST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 65 MPH AT 505 PM...AND KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 61 MPH AT 517 PM. AN AUTOMATED PLATFORM AT DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 70 MPH AT 505 PM. ...MARINE IMPACTS... HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL AFFECT KEYS WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH PROBABLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS AROUND AND NORTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS AS HURRICANE KATRINA MOVES WEST OVER THE AREA. A PRIMARILY SOUTH WIND DIRECTION TONIGHT WILL SEE SPEEDS OF 40 TO 60 KNOTS OR MORE OVER MOST WATERS ADJOINING THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS OR MORE. SEAS WILL REACH 8 TO 15 FEET OR HIGHER IN OPEN WATERS...WHILE BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTREMELY ROUGH. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES MAY RUN UP TO 2 FEET HIGHER THAN NORMAL...WITH MINOR FLOODING OF DOCKS AND SOUTH-FACING COASTAL STREETS TODAY...INCLUDING SOUTH ROOSEVELT BOULEVARD IN KEY WEST. A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A TWO AND HALF FOOT SURGE AT THE SOUTHERNMOST POINT IN KEY WEST AT 510 PM. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST...UNTIL 800 PM EDT. WIDESPREAD FRESHWATER FLOODING CONTINUES IN THE ISLAND COMMUNITIES ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...ESPECIALLY FROM UPPER SUGARLOAF KEY TO KEY WEST. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES AND STORM SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ACCUMULATED SINCE 800 AM...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING IN THE WARNING AREA...AS MULTIPLE PASSING RAIN BANDS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS SWEEP OVER THE KEYS. SINCE THIS MORNING...OVER 9 INCHES OF RAIN HAS BEEN RECORDED AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...MAKING TODAY THE FOURTH WETTEST CALENDAR DAY IN KEY WEST SINCE RECORDS BEGAN IN 1871. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE KATRINA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 830 PM EDT...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEY WEST. $$ FELTGEN ** WTNT32 KNHC 262342 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...KATRINA GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM SOUTH FLORIDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY LARGO SOUTH AND WESTWARD TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. KATRINA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR... HURRICANE TODAY AND ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM-FORCE ARE STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW EAST OF CAPE SABLE... AND IN FLORIDA BAY. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER NORTHWESTERN CUBA...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...24.7 N... 83.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT32 KNHC 262354 CCA *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...CORRECTED TO REMOVE REFERENCE TO HURRICANE STATUS IN LOCATION... ...KATRINA GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM SOUTH FLORIDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY LARGO SOUTH AND WESTWARD TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. KATRINA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR... HURRICANE TODAY AND ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM-FORCE ARE STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW EAST OF CAPE SABLE... AND IN FLORIDA BAY. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER NORTHWESTERN CUBA...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...24.7 N... 83.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT32 KNHC 262354 CCA *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005 ...CORRECTED TO REMOVE REFERENCE TO HURRICANE STATUS IN LOCATION... ...KATRINA GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM SOUTH FLORIDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY LARGO SOUTH AND WESTWARD TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. KATRINA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATRINA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR... HURRICANE TODAY AND ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM-FORCE ARE STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW EAST OF CAPE SABLE... AND IN FLORIDA BAY. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER NORTHWESTERN CUBA...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...24.7 N... 83.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTCA42 TJSJ 262359 RRA *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN HURACAN KATRINA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 14A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT VIERNES 26 DE AGOSTO DE 2005 ...KATRINA ALEJANDOSE GRADUALMENTE DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA... CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA TODOS LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y LA BAHIA DE FLORIDA DESDE KEY LARGO AL SUR Y OESTE HASTA KEY WEST Y DRY TORTUGAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 800 PM EDT...0000Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN KATRINA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 24.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 83.3 OESTE O COMO A 100 MILLAS AL OESTE DE KEY WEST FLORIDA. KATRINA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL OESTE TARDE ESTA NOCHE O EL SABADO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 100 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. KATRINA AHORA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y KATRINA PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HUCARAN CATEGORIA TRES O EN HURACAN MAYOR EL SABADO. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 25 MILLAS... FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS. VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTAN OCURRIENDO A TRAVES DE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA MAS AL SUR. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ES DE 965 MILIBARAS...28.50 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...PUEDEN ESPERARSE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA EN AREAS CON CORRIENTE HACIA TIERRA AL SUR DE VENICE...Y EN FLORIDA BAY. LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DEBE CONTINUAR DISMINUYENDO ESTA NOCHE. SE ESPERA QUE KATRINA PRODUZCA DE 5 A 8 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA ADICIONAL SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE CUBA. SON POSIBLES ACUMULACIONES TOTALES AISLADAS DE LLUVIA DE 15 A 20 PULGADAS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA. SE ESPERAN CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NOROESTE DE CUBA...Y DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA SE PUEDEN ESPERAR SOBRE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN EN MEXICO. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS HOY SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUR DE LA FLORIDA Y EN LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 8 PM EDT...24.7 NORTE...83.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...OESTE SUROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...100 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 965 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$