** WTPQ32 PGUM 311236 *** TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 09W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST SUN JUL 31 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM 09W MOVING AWAY FROM YAP AND KOROR... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST..0900Z..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 09W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 280 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND 275 MILES NORTH OF KOROR. TROPICAL STORM 09W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL STORM 09W IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS MOTION WILL TAKE IT STEADILY AWAY FROM YAP...PALAU...AND THE MARIANA ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 09W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...11.3 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 134.4 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON TROPICAL STORM 09W. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 311200 UTC 00HR 20.4N 104.3E 985HPA 23M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTJP21 RJTD 311200 *** WARNING 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0508 WASHI (0508) 990 HPA AT 20.4N 104.3E VIETNAM MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 21.1N 100.8E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 311200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0508 WASHI (0508) ANALYSIS PSTN 311200UTC 20.4N 104.3E FAIR MOVE W 14KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 011200UTC 21.1N 100.8E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP22 RJTD 311200 *** WARNING 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0509 MATSA (0509) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 11.7N 133.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 14.9N 130.1E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 18.5N 127.5E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 22.4N 126.8E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 311200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0509 MATSA (0509) UPGRADED FROM TD ANALYSIS PSTN 311200UTC 11.7N 133.8E FAIR MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 220NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 011200UTC 14.9N 130.1E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 021200UTC 18.5N 127.5E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 72HF 031200UTC 22.4N 126.8E 220NM 70% MOVE N 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 311200 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1 NAME TS 0509 MATSA ANALYSIS POSITION 311200UTC 11.7N 133.8E MOVEMENT WNW 12KT PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 011200UTC 14.9N 130.1E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 995HPA 37KT 48HR POSITION 021200UTC 18.5N 127.5E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT 72HR POSITION 031200UTC 22.4N 126.8E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 58KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 311200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MATSA 0509 (0509) INITIAL TIME 311200 UTC 00HR 11.7N 134.0E 998HPA 18M/S 30KTS 400KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 16.0N 130.6E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 19.0N 128.0E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 22.3N 127.2E 975HPA 33M/S= ** WTPH RPLL 310600 *** TTT WARNING 01 AT 0600 31 JULY, TROPIDAL DEPRTESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE ONE POINT ZERO NORTH ONE THREE FIVE POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METER PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PPER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO IILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 010600 ONE THREE POINT THREE NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT SIX EAST AT 020600 ONE SIX POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT SIX EAST AT 020600 ONE SIX POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT SEVEN EAST AND AT 030600 TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA AREA REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTSS20 VHHH 311345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS. AT 311200 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (104.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER AND MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS IT RE-ENTERS THE HONG KONG AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 311345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS. AT 311200 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (104.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER AND MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS IT RE-ENTERS THE HONG KONG AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301422ZJUL2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MATSA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 11.7N 133.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N 133.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 14.1N 132.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 16.2N 131.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 026 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.6N 129.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 18.8N 128.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 21.4N 127.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 23.8N 127.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 25.4N 126.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 12.3N 133.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (MATSA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301422ZJUL2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MATSA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 11.7N 133.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N 133.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 14.1N 132.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 16.2N 131.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 026 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301422ZJUL2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MATSA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 11.7N 133.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N 133.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 14.1N 132.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 16.2N 131.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 026 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.6N 129.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 18.8N 128.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 21.4N 127.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 23.8N 127.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 25.4N 126.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 12.3N 133.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (MATSA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 RRB *** --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.6N 129.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 18.8N 128.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 21.4N 127.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 311500 RRC *** 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 23.8N 127.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 25.4N 126.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 12.3N 133.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (MATSA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 311200 *** GALE WARNING 02 AT 1200 31 JULY TROPICAL STORM (MATSA)(0509)UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE ONE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE THREE POINT SIX EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METER PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 011200 ONE SIX POINT ZERO NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT SEVEN EAST AT 021200 TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE ZERO POINT THREE EAST AND AT 031200 TWO FIVE POINT SIX NORTH ONE THREE ZERO POINT THREE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH RPLL 311800 *** TTT WARNING 02 AT 1200 31 JULY, TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 11.5N 133.6E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 06MPS ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 18MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS 15 011200Z 16.0N 131.7E AT 021200Z 20.7N 130.3E AND AT 031200Z 25.6N 130.3E ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPH RPLL 311200 CCA *** TTT WARNING 02 AT 1200 31 JULY, TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 11.5N 133.6E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 06MPS ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 18MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS 15 011200Z 16.0N 131.7E AT 021200Z 20.7N 130.3E AND AT 031200Z 25.6N 130.3E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 311500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0509 MATSA (0509) ANALYSIS PSTN 311500UTC 12.9N 133.2E FAIR MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 220NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 011500UTC 16.1N 129.7E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 11KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 021200UTC 18.5N 127.5E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 69HF 031200UTC 22.4N 126.8E 220NM 70% MOVE N 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTPQ20 RJTD 311500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0508 WASHI (0508) ANALYSIS PSTN 311500UTC 20.2N 103.7E FAIR MOVE W 16KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM SOUTHEAST 80NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 011500UTC 21.2N 099.9E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTNT80 EGRR 311743 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.07.2005 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+48 : 10.2N 25.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.08.2005 10.2N 25.8W WEAK 00UTC 03.08.2005 11.3N 25.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.08.2005 12.8N 26.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.08.2005 13.8N 28.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2005 14.6N 30.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.08.2005 15.6N 32.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2005 16.9N 34.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2005 18.1N 35.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2005 19.6N 36.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 311743