** WTPQ20 BABJ 310000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 310000 UTC 00HR 19.7N 107.0E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR W 15KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310000 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 310000 UTC 00HR 19.7N 107.0E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR W 15KM/H P+24HR 21.0N 103.5E 994HPA 18M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 310000 *** WARNING 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0508 WASHI (0508) 985 HPA AT 19.9N 107.2E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 20.8N 103.6E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 310000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0508 WASHI (0508) ANALYSIS PSTN 310000UTC 19.9N 107.2E FAIR MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 010000UTC 20.8N 103.6E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTKO20 RKSL 310000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3 NAME TS 0508 WASHI ANALYSIS POSITION 310000UTC 19.9N 107.0E MOVEMENT WNW 6KT PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT FORECAST 12HR POSITION 311200UTC 20.5N 104.9E WITHIN 45NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 35KT 24HR POSITION 010000UTC 21.1N 102.9E WITHIN 80NM PRES 996HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ30 RJTD 310000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 4 FOR TS 0508 WASHI (0508) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 310000 UTC IS FAIR. TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DECELERATE. TS WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE TO WEST . 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TD WITHIN 24 HOURS. TS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 1.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 310000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 310000UTC 10.5N 136.0E POOR MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 010000UTC 15.0N 134.0E 80NM 70% MOVE NNW 12KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 310100 UTC 00HR 19.7N 106.9E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ31 RJTD 310000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 1 FOR TD LOCATED AT 10.5 136.0 1.GENERAL COMMENTS POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 310000 UTC IS POOR BECAUSE OF OBSCURE CLOUD PA TTERN. TD WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DECELERATE. TD WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TD WILL BE GRADED UP TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS. TD WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE NEAR CYCLONE CENTER H AS BECOME COLDER AND CYCLONE WILL STAY IN HIGH SST AREA. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 310300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (WASHI) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 19.7N 106.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 106.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 20.2N 105.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 20.6N 104.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8N 106.4E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (WASHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTSS20 VHHH 310145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 310000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (22.1 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (103.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 310145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 310000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (22.1 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (103.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 310200 UTC 00HR 19.8N 106.7E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301422ZJUL2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 10.2N 136.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N 136.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 11.1N 133.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 13.0N 132.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 026 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 084 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 15.1N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 039 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 037 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 036 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 038 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 107 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 094 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.4N 130.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 027 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 026 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 051 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 049 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 047 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 123 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 21.9N 130.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 069 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 067 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 067 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 135.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 301422ZJUL2005 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 301430). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08W (WASHI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 RRB *** 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 15.1N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 039 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 037 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 036 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 038 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 107 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 094 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.4N 130.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 027 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 026 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 051 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 049 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 047 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 123 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 21.9N 130.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 RRC *** 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 069 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 067 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 067 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 135.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 301422ZJUL2005 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 301430). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08W (WASHI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301422ZJUL2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 10.2N 136.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N 136.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 11.1N 133.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 13.0N 132.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 026 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 084 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS --- ** WTPN32 PGTW 310300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301422ZJUL2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 10.2N 136.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N 136.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 11.1N 133.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 13.0N 132.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 026 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 084 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 15.1N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 039 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 037 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 036 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 038 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 107 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 094 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 17.4N 130.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 027 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 026 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 026 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 051 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 049 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 047 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 123 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 21.9N 130.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 069 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 067 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 067 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 135.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 301422ZJUL2005 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 301430). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08W (WASHI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 310300 UTC 00HR 19.9N 106.5E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPN31 PGTW 310300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (WASHI) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 19.7N 106.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 106.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 20.2N 105.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 20.6N 104.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8N 106.4E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (WASHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ32 PGUM 310318 *** TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST SUN JUL 31 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W FORMS NORTHWEST OF YAP... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 PM GUAM LST..0300Z..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 185 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP 225 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR 280 MILES WEST OF ULITHI 660 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND 760 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W IS CURRENTLY MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 MPH...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TURNING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...10.4 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 135.5 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ MCELROY ** WTPQ20 RJTD 310300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0508 WASHI (0508) ANALYSIS PSTN 310300UTC 20.2N 106.4E FAIR MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 010300UTC 20.9N 103.2E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ21 RJTD 310300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 310300UTC 10.8N 135.5E POOR MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 010300UTC 14.0N 131.5E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 310400 UTC 00HR 20.0N 106.4E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 310445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 310300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (103.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 310445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 310300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (103.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTNT80 EGRR 310516 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.07.2005 TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 7.9N 103.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.07.2005 7.9N 103.3W WEAK 12UTC 31.07.2005 8.6N 104.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.08.2005 9.6N 106.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2005 10.4N 109.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.08.2005 11.3N 112.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.08.2005 12.0N 114.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2005 12.9N 117.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2005 13.7N 119.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.08.2005 14.5N 121.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2005 15.5N 123.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 310516 ** WTPQ20 BABJ 310500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 310500 UTC 00HR 20.1N 106.3E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 180KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H=