** WTPQ20 BABJ 300600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300600 UTC 00HR 19.6N 109.3E 987HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300600 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300600 UTC 00HR 19.6N 109.3E 987HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 21.4N 106.2E 992HPA 18M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 300600 *** WARNING 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0508 WASHI (0508) 985 HPA AT 19.5N 109.4E HAINAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 20.9N 105.3E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 22.0N 100.8E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0508 WASHI (0508) ANALYSIS PSTN 300600UTC 19.5N 109.4E FAIR MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 310600UTC 20.9N 105.3E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 010600UTC 22.0N 100.8E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ30 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 3 FOR TS 0508 WASHI (0508) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300600 UTC IS FAIR. TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DECELERATE. TS WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTIN20 DEMS 300716 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 30-07-2005(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) YESTERDAY'S DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL CLOSE TO BALASORE (42895) REMAINED PRACTICALLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED FURTHER INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION AT 300300 UTC. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE IN A WEST NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA. CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE ALSO SEEN OVER EAST AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 31.0 DEG NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) ------ ** WTSS20 VHHH 300745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (19.5 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (103.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 300745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (19.5 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (103.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300700 UTC 00HR 19.6N 109.1E 985HPA 20M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (WASHI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 19.4N 109.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N 109.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 20.3N 107.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 21.0N 106.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 21.4N 104.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 108.7E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (WASHI), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROX- IMATELY 40 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF HAINAN, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (WASHI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 19.4N 109.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N 109.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 20.3N 107.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 21.0N 106.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 21.4N 104.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 108.7E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (WASHI), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROX- IMATELY 40 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF HAINAN, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300800 UTC 00HR 19.5N 108.8E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300900 UTC 00HR 19.5N 108.6E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300900 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300900 UTC 00HR 19.5N 108.6E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 21.7N 105.0E 992HPA 18M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0508 WASHI (0508) ANALYSIS PSTN 300900UTC 19.3N 108.9E FAIR MOVE W 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 310900UTC 20.5N 105.0E 80NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 010600UTC 22.0N 100.8E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 301000 UTC 00HR 19.5N 108.5E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 301045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (19.4 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310900 UTC TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (22.1 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (102.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 301045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (19.4 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310900 UTC TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (22.1 N) ONE ZERO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (102.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 301100 UTC 00HR 19.5N 108.4E 984HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H=