** WTSR20 WSSS 291800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300000 UTC 00HR 19.4N 109.9E 987HPA 20M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300000 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300000 UTC 00HR 19.4N 109.9E 987HPA 20M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 21.2N 106.8E 992HPA 18M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 300000 *** WARNING 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0508 WASHI (0508) 985 HPA AT 19.5N 110.5E HAINAN MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 21.1N 107.2E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 22.3N 102.5E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0508 WASHI (0508) ANALYSIS PSTN 300000UTC 19.5N 110.5E FAIR MOVE NW 08KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 310000UTC 21.1N 107.2E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 010000UTC 22.3N 102.5E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ30 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 2 FOR TS 0508 WASHI (0508) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300000 UTC IS FAIR. TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DECELERATE. TS WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 300000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 2 FOR TS 0508 WASHI (0508) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300000 UTC IS FAIR. TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DECELERATE. TS WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 292245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (111.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 80 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 312100 UTC TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (104.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 292245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 292100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (111.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 80 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 312100 UTC TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N) ONE ZERO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (104.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTKO20 RKSL 300000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME TS 0508 WASHI ANALYSIS POSITION 300000UTC 19.4N 110.4E MOVEMENT NW 8KT PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 310000UTC 20.8N 108.8E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT 48HR POSITION 010000UTC 21.7N 106.7E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300100 UTC 00HR 19.4N 109.8E 987HPA 20M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 292300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 292300 UTC 00HR 19.4N 110.1E 985HPA 23M/S 30KTS 220KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 300145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 100 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (103.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 300145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 100 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (103.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (WASHI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 18.9N 110.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 110.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 19.6N 108.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 20.5N 107.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 21.1N 105.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 21.6N 103.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 19.1N 109.9E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (WASHI) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF HAINAN ISLAND IN THE VICINITY OF XINGLONG, CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z.// ** WTPN21 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 300251Z JUL 05// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290251ZJUL2005// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 205 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4.4N 142.2E TO 8.5N 135.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 292330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 4.9N 136.3E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.5N 141.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.9N 136.3E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH- EAST OF PALAU. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS SURFACE INFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND CYCLING CONVECTION. A 292105Z QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS INCREASED GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS EQUATORWARD OF THE LLCC, HOWEVER, THE WIND FIELD NEAR THE LLCC REMAINS ELONGATED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 310300Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300200 UTC 00HR 19.3N 109.7E 988HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPN21 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 300251Z JUL 05// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290251ZJUL2005// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 205 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4.4N 142.2E TO 8.5N 135.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 292330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 4.9N 136.3E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.5N 141.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.9N 136.3E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH- EAST OF PALAU. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS SURFACE INFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND CYCLING CONVECTION. A 292105Z QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS INCREASED GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS EQUATORWARD OF THE LLCC, HOWEVER, THE WIND FIELD NEAR THE LLCC REMAINS ELONGATED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 310300Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (WASHI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 18.9N 110.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 110.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 19.6N 108.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 20.5N 107.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 21.1N 105.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 21.6N 103.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 19.1N 109.9E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (WASHI) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF HAINAN ISLAND IN THE VICINITY OF XINGLONG, CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z.// ** WTSR20 WSSS 291800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300300 UTC 00HR 19.3N 109.6E 988HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0508 WASHI (0508) ANALYSIS PSTN 300300UTC 19.8N 109.9E FAIR MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 310300UTC 21.2N 105.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 010000UTC 22.3N 102.5E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300400 UTC 00HR 19.5N 109.5E 986HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 300445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310300 UTC TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (106.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (103.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 300445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WASHI (0508) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310300 UTC TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (106.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N) ONE ZERO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (103.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WASHI 0508 (0508) INITIAL TIME 300500 UTC 00HR 19.6N 109.4E 987HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTNT80 EGRR 300533 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.07.2005 TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 8.1N 114.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.07.2005 8.1N 114.3W WEAK 12UTC 30.07.2005 10.3N 115.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2005 11.5N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2005 12.7N 122.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2005 13.1N 126.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2005 13.2N 130.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.08.2005 13.1N 132.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2005 13.5N 135.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2005 13.8N 137.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2005 14.6N 139.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.08.2005 15.1N 141.9W BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+24 : 8.5N 99.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.07.2005 8.5N 99.5W WEAK 12UTC 31.07.2005 8.7N 102.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 01.08.2005 9.7N 105.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2005 10.5N 108.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2005 11.9N 110.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.08.2005 12.7N 113.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.08.2005 13.7N 116.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2005 14.7N 118.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.08.2005 15.6N 119.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2005 17.0N 121.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2005 18.4N 123.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ANALYSED POSITION : 43.1N 58.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.07.2005 43.1N 58.0W MODERATE 12UTC 30.07.2005 45.3N 52.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2005 EXTRA TROPICAL THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300533