** WTSR20 WSSS 261800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTJP21 RJTD 270000 *** WARNING 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0507 BANYAN (0507) 980 HPA AT 39.0N 144.8E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 28 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 42.5N 148.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 45.5N 151.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 48.0N 156.0E WITH 160 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 984 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0507 BANYAN (0507) ANALYSIS PSTN 270000UTC 39.0N 144.8E FAIR MOVE NE 28KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 300NM EAST 180NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 280000UTC 45.5N 151.3E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 18KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 290000UTC 48.0N 156.0E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 270000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS BANYAN 0507 (0507) INITIAL TIME 270000 UTC 00HR 39.2N 144.8E 980HPA 25M/S 30KTS 400KM P-06HR 36.9N 142.3E 980HPA 25M/S P12HR NE 40KM/H P+24HR 45.8N 150.6E 990HPA 20M/S= ** WTKO20 RKSL 270000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7 NAME STS 0507 BANYAN ANALYSIS POSITION 270000UTC 39.0N 145.0E MOVEMENT NE 28KT PRES/VMAX 980HPA 49KT FORECAST 12HR POSITION 271200UTC 42.1N 148.0E WITHIN 45NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 45KT 24HR POSITION 280000UTC 44.9N 151.7E WITHIN 80NM PRES 985HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ30 RJTD 270000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.12 FOR STS 0507 BANYAN (0507) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 270000 UTC IS FAIR. STS WILL DECELERATE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST STS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TS WITHIN 12 HOURS. STS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO STAY IN LOW SST AR EA FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.0 AFTER 24 HOURS. STS WILL BE TRANSFORMED TO EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 36 HOURS.= ** WTPN32 PGTW 270300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (BANYAN) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z --- NEAR 39.1N 144.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 30 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.1N 144.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 43.2N 150.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 47.4N 155.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270300Z POSITION NEAR 40.1N 146.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (BANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 07W HAS TRANSITIONED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// ** WTNT71 KNHC 270231 *** SPFAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST FRI JUL 29 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 34.4N 68.4W 34 1 X X 35 PORTLAND ME X X X 6 6 36.0N 67.8W 6 12 2 X 20 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 7 7 38.0N 66.5W X 3 10 3 16 EASTPORT ME X X X 7 7 BERMUDA 3 5 2 1 11 ST JOHN NB X X X 6 6 OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 1 3 MONCTON NB X X X 5 5 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 2 4 YARMOUTH NS X X X 8 8 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 2 3 5 HALIFAX NS X X X 7 7 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 3 4 7 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 5 5 PROVIDENCE RI X X 2 5 7 SYDNEY NS X X X 3 3 NANTUCKET MA X X 4 6 10 EDDY POINT NS X X X 5 5 HYANNIS MA X X 3 6 9 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 2 2 BOSTON MA X X 2 5 7 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT31 KNHC 270232 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005 ...FRANKLIN CONTINUES DRIFTING ERRATICALLY WEST OF BERMUDA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES... 355 KM...WEST OF BERMUDA. FRANKLIN HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...32.4 N... 68.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...DRIFTING NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT21 KNHC 270232 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062005 0300Z WED JUL 27 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 68.6W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 250SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 68.6W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 68.5W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 33.1N 68.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 34.4N 68.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.0N 67.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 38.0N 66.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 41.5N 61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 68.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT41 KNHC 270233 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2005 A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER WITH TOPS OF -70C TO -75C PERSISTS NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF FRANKLIN. SHEAR ANALYSES FROM CIMSS AT THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN INDICATE THAT THE VERTICAL SHEAR HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST 12 HR...AND THIS IS LIKELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE CONVECTIVE INCREASE. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND 30 KT FROM AFWA...WHILE A RECENT QUIKSCAT OVERPASS SHOWS RAIN-CONTAMINATED 40 KT VECTORS SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE VARIOUS ESTIMATES. CIRRUS OUTFLOW FROM THE CONVECTION HAS COVERED THE CENTER...SO THE INITIAL MOTION IS QUITE UNCERTAIN. THE 24 HR MOTION IS 005/4. HOWEVER...THIS PACKAGE WILL USE A 315/2 DRIFT THAT HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID/ UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE PASSING NORTH OF FRANKLIN. AS THIS FEATURE MOVES EASTWARD...PRESSURES SHOULD RISE EAST OF BERMUDA AS THEY FALL OVER THE EASTERN U. S. EAST OF THE NEXT TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES. LARGE-SCALE MODELS AGREE THAT THESE CHANGES SHOULD COME ABOUT IN 12-24 HR...AND THAT FRANKLIN SHOULD MOVE NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE. THE CYCLONE THEN SHOULD GRADUALLY TURN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 24-36 HR AND ACCELERATE INTO THE WESTERLIES THROUGH THE REST OF ITS LIFE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE NEW TRACK IS NEAR THE LEFT EDGE OF THE MAIN ENVELOPE OF GUDIANCE...AND SLOWER THAN THE GUIDANCE BASED ON THE RECENT TRACK RECORD OF THE GUIDANCE BEING TOO FAST. IT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISING TO SEE SOME WEST OF NORTH MOTION IN THE FIRST 12 HR OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE CURRENT DECREASE IN SHEAR IS OCCURRING AS AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC SHEAR AXIS FORMS NEAR FRANKLIN...A PATTERN THAT OVERALL IS NOT THAT FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING. LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THIS FEATURE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE SOUTH OF FRANKLIN IN ABOUT 12-24 HR... WHICH WOULD OPEN ABOUT A 24 HR WINDOW FOR THE STORM TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE IT MOVES NORTH OF THE GULF STREAM. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR MODEST STRENGTHENING TO 40 KT...WHICH IS ABOUT THE MOST THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE IS CURRENTLY FORECASTING. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 32.4N 68.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 27/1200Z 33.1N 68.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 28/0000Z 34.4N 68.4W 40 KT 36HR VT 28/1200Z 36.0N 67.8W 40 KT 48HR VT 29/0000Z 38.0N 66.5W 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 30/0000Z 41.5N 61.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 270240 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL FRANKLIN ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 23 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 11 PM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...FRANKLIN CONTINUA MOVIENDOSE ERRATICAMENTE AL OESTE DE BERMUDA... UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA BERMUDA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA EN SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 11 PM AST...0300Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FRANKLIN ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 32.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 68.8 OESTE O COMO A 220 MILLAS...355 KM...AL OESTE DE BERMUDA. FRANKLIN SE HA MOVIDO HACIA EL NOROESTE POR LAS PASADAS HORAS. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO ERRATICO HACIA EL NORTE COMENZANDO EL MIERCOLES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICAN ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN FUERZA DURANTE LAS ROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS...165 KM PRINCIPALMENTE DEL ESTE AL SUR DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ES DE 1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS. CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA ENTRE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES EN BERMUDA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 A 36 HORAS. SE ESPERAN ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS EN BERMUDA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 A 36 HORAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 11 PM...32.4 NORTE... 68.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO...CASI ESTACIONARIO. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1002 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 2 AM AST. PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN $$ ** WTJP31 RJTD 270300 *** WARNING 270300. WARNING VALID 280300. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0507 BANYAN (0507) 980 HPA AT 40.2N 145.7E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 28 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 43.7N 148.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 46.1N 151.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0507 BANYAN (0507) ANALYSIS PSTN 270300UTC 40.2N 145.7E FAIR MOVE NE 28KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 300NM EAST 180NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 280300UTC 46.1N 151.4E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 15KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 290000UTC 48.0N 156.0E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTNT80 EGRR 270545 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ANALYSED POSITION : 32.2N 68.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.07.2005 32.2N 68.4W WEAK 12UTC 27.07.2005 33.5N 68.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.07.2005 34.8N 68.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 9.6N 16.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.07.2005 9.6N 16.9W WEAK 00UTC 28.07.2005 9.7N 20.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.07.2005 9.6N 22.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.07.2005 9.6N 26.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.07.2005 10.4N 29.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.07.2005 12.1N 32.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.07.2005 13.1N 36.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2005 14.0N 40.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2005 15.2N 43.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2005 17.0N 45.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2005 18.5N 47.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2005 19.7N 49.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+72 : 15.9N 54.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.07.2005 15.9N 54.4W WEAK 12UTC 30.07.2005 17.4N 55.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.07.2005 18.3N 56.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2005 19.2N 57.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2005 20.1N 59.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2005 20.9N 60.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2005 22.7N 61.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 270545 ** WTNT31 KNHC 270557 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM AST WED JUL 27 2005 ...FRANKLIN MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA... PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES... 390 KM...WEST OF BERMUDA. FRANKLIN IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. A GENERAL NORTHWARD DIRECTION OF MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES... 165 KM... TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...32.8 N... 68.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER KNABB $$