** WTNT31 KNHC 261751 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005 ...FRANKLIN MOVING ERRATICALLY TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES... 340 KM... WEST OF BERMUDA. FRANKLIN IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. SLOW AND SOMETIMES ERRATIC MOTION...INCLUDING SMALL LOOPS...BUT IN A GENERAL NORTHWARD DIRECTION...CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...32.3 N... 68.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT80 EGRR 261750 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 26.07.2005 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ANALYSED POSITION : 31.5N 68.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.07.2005 31.5N 68.0W MODERATE 00UTC 27.07.2005 32.2N 67.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.07.2005 33.6N 68.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 11.7N 73.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.07.2005 11.7N 73.5W WEAK 00UTC 27.07.2005 11.9N 75.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.07.2005 11.7N 75.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2005 12.2N 75.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.07.2005 11.8N 72.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.07.2005 10.4N 72.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.07.2005 11.7N 73.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.07.2005 11.2N 73.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.07.2005 11.7N 73.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2005 11.8N 74.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.07.2005 11.7N 73.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+24 : 9.5N 16.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.07.2005 9.5N 16.1W WEAK 00UTC 28.07.2005 9.9N 18.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.07.2005 9.5N 21.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.07.2005 9.2N 25.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 261750 ** WTPQ20 BABJ 261800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BANYAN 0507 (0507) INITIAL TIME 261800 UTC 00HR 36.9N 142.3E 990HPA 20M/S 30KTS 400KM P12HR NE 40KM/H P+24HR 44.0N 149.0E 998HPA 18M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 261800 *** WARNING 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0507 BANYAN (0507) 980 HPA AT 37.0N 142.2E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 21 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 40.6N 146.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 43.8N 149.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 46.7N 152.6E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 982 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 261800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0507 BANYAN (0507) ANALYSIS PSTN 261800UTC 37.0N 142.2E FAIR MOVE NE 21KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 350NM EAST 180NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 271800UTC 43.8N 149.1E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 18KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 281800UTC 46.7N 152.6E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPN32 PGTW 262100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (BANYAN) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 36.8N 142.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 36.8N 142.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 40.5N 146.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 44.5N 150.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 37.7N 143.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (BANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF TOKYO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 07W HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY BUT CONTINUED TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z AND 271500Z.// ** WTNT31 KNHC 262031 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005 ...FRANKLIN WOBBLING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES... 320 KM... WEST OF BERMUDA. FRANKLIN IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. SLOW AND SOMETIMES ERRATIC MOTION...INCLUDING SMALL LOOPS...BUT IN A NORTH TO NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION...CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WITHIN THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...A SHIP LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 36 MPH ...WHILE A GUST TO 37 MPH WAS REPORTED ON BERMUDA IN A RAIN SQUALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...32.3 N... 68.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT71 KNHC 262031 *** SPFAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST FRI JUL 29 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 34.6N 67.5W 33 1 X X 34 BAR HARBOR ME X X 1 5 6 36.2N 67.1W 9 10 2 1 22 EASTPORT ME X X X 6 6 37.9N 66.2W X 7 7 3 17 ST JOHN NB X X X 6 6 BERMUDA 6 3 2 2 13 MONCTON NB X X X 5 5 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 1 2 YARMOUTH NS X X 1 7 8 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 1 2 HALIFAX NS X X X 7 7 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 3 3 6 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 6 6 PROVIDENCE RI X X 3 3 6 SYDNEY NS X X X 4 4 NANTUCKET MA X X 5 4 9 EDDY POINT NS X X X 5 5 HYANNIS MA X X 4 4 8 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 2 2 BOSTON MA X X 2 4 6 BURGEO NFLD X X X 2 2 PORTLAND ME X X 1 4 5 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT21 KNHC 262032 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062005 2100Z TUE JUL 26 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 68.2W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 250SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 68.2W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 68.3W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 33.4N 67.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 34.6N 67.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 36.2N 67.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.9N 66.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 40.5N 62.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 68.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT41 KNHC 262032 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2005 A BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION...WITH CLOUD TOPS OF -70C TO -80-C...HAS REDEVELOPED EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE STILL EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER. GIVEN THAT THIS CYCLONE HAS HAD A RECON HISTORY OF STRONGER THAN AVERAGE WINDS AT HIGHER LEVELS...I HAVE OPTED TO KEEP FRANKLIN AS A 35-KT TROPICAL STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY AN 18Z REPORT OF 31 KT FROM SHIP PIBO LOCATED ABOUT 220 NMI SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...OR ABOUT 70 NMI SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...AND BY A TAFB DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KT. OUTFLOW REMAINS RESTRICTED NORTHWEST-NORTHEAST. THE MOTION OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS HAS BEEN A RATHER WOBBLY 020/04. FRANKLIN IS CURRENTLY COMPLETING A 30 NMI WIDE COUNTER-CLOCKWISE LOOP...BUT THE NET OVERALL MOTION HAS BEEN NORTHEASTWARD. FRANKLIN MAY WOBBLE LIKE A CHILD'S TOP TO THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO BEFORE STEERING CURRENTS BECOME BETTER DEFINED. A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ERODE THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH...WHICH HAS BEEN IMPEDING ANY SIGNIFICANT POLEWARD MOTION...AND GRADUALLY LIFT OUT THE CYCLONE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS A LITTLE EAST OF THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS. UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 18-24 HOURS...SO SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME. BY 30-48 HOURS...THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO LESS THAN 10 KT AND BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY...WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR SOME MODEST INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR BEFORE THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. BY 60 HOURS...FRANKLIN WILL ALSO BE MOVING OVER SUB-24C SSTS...WHICH SHOULD BRING ABOUT RAPID WEAKENING UNLESS THE CYCLONE GETS ABSORBED BY THE FRONTAL SYSTEM FIRST. THIS FORECAST SCENARIO IS CONSISTENT WITH THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL. THE 12 FT SEA HEIGHT RADIUS WAS INCREASED IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT BASED ON THE 19-FT SEA HEIGHT REPORT FROM SHIP PIBO. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 32.3N 68.2W 35 KT 12HR VT 27/0600Z 33.4N 67.8W 35 KT 24HR VT 27/1800Z 34.6N 67.5W 35 KT 36HR VT 28/0600Z 36.2N 67.1W 40 KT 48HR VT 28/1800Z 37.9N 66.2W 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 29/1800Z 40.5N 62.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 30/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 262042 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL FRANKLIN ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 22 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...FRANKLIN INESTABLE EN DIRECCION AL NOR NORESTE HACIA EL OESTE DE BERMUDA... UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA BERMUDA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA EN SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 5 PM AST...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FRANKLIN ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 32.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 68.2 OESTE O COMO A 200 MILLAS...320 KM...AL OESTE DE BERMUDA. FRANKLIN SE HA ESTADO MOVIENDO ERRATICAMENTE HACIA EL NOR NORESTE CERCA DE 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO LENTO Y A VECES ERRATICO EN UN MOVIMIENTO GENERAL HACIA EL NORTE NORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICAN ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN FUERZA DURANTE LAS ROXIMAS 24 HORAS. HACE VARIAS HORAS ATRAS...UN BARCO LOCALIZADO COMO A 80 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE BERMUDA REPORTO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 36 MPH...MIENTRAS QUE SE REPORTO TAMBIEN UNA RAFAGA DE 37 MPH SOBRE BERMUDA EN UNA TURBONADA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS...165 KM PRINCIPALMENTE DEL ESTE AL SUR DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ES DE 1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS. CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA ENTRE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES EN BERMUDA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 A 36 HORAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 PM...32.3 NORTE... 68.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO...AL NORTE NORESTE CERCA DE 6 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1002 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 8 PM AST SEGUIDA POR LA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 PM AST. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 261200 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS BANYAN 0507 (0507) INITIAL TIME 261200 UTC 00HR 35.2N 140.6E 980HPA 25M/S 30KTS 400KM P12HR NE 40KM/H P+24HR 43.6N 147.9E 990HPA 20M/S= ** WTJP31 RJTD 262100 *** WARNING 262100. WARNING VALID 272100. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0507 BANYAN (0507) 980 HPA AT 38.1N 143.2E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 23 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 41.7N 146.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 44.9N 148.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 262100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0507 BANYAN (0507) ANALYSIS PSTN 262100UTC 38.1N 143.2E FAIR MOVE NE 23KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 350NM EAST 180NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 272100UTC 44.9N 148.9E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 18KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 281800UTC 46.7N 152.6E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTNT31 KNHC 262343 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005 ...FRANKLIN NEARLY STATIONARY AGAIN WEST OF BERMUDA...EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES... 345 KM... WEST OF BERMUDA. FRANKLIN HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW AND ERRATIC DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...32.3 N... 68.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 262349 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL FRANKLIN ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 22A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 8 PM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...FRANKLIN CASI ESTACIONARIA NUEVAMENTE AL OESTE DE BERMUDA...SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL NORTE O NOR NORESTE... UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA BERMUDA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA EN SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 8 PM AST...0000Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FRANKLIN ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 32.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 68.4 OESTE O COMO A 215 MILLAS...345 KM...AL OESTE DE BERMUDA. FRANKLIN SE HA MANTENIDO CASI ESTACIONARIA POR LAS PASADAS HORAS. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO ERRATICO HACIA EL NORTE O NOR NORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICAN ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN FUERZA DURANTE LAS ROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS...165 KM PRINCIPALMENTE DEL ESTE AL SUR DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ES DE 1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS. CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA ENTRE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES EN BERMUDA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 A 36 HORAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 8 PM...32.3 NORTE... 68.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO...CASI ESTACIONARIO. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1002 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 PM AST. PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN $$