** WTSR20 WSSS 260600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 261200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS BANYAN 0507 (0507) INITIAL TIME 261200 UTC 00HR 35.2N 140.6E 980HPA 25M/S 30KTS 400KM P12HR NE 40KM/H P+24HR 43.6N 147.9E 990HPA 20M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 261200 *** WARNING 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0507 BANYAN (0507) 980 HPA AT 35.4N 140.4E EASTERN JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 23 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 39.3N 144.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 43.1N 148.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 47.5N 152.8E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 984 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 261200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0507 BANYAN (0507) ANALYSIS PSTN 261200UTC 35.4N 140.4E FAIR MOVE NNE 23KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 350NM EAST 180NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 271200UTC 43.1N 148.2E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 23KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 281200UTC 47.5N 152.8E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPN32 PGTW 261500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (BANYAN) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z --- NEAR 35.0N 140.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.0N 140.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 38.8N 143.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 42.2N 147.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z POSITION NEAR 35.9N 141.4E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (BANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A 261136Z SSM/I IMAGE SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF COOL, DRY AIR INTRUDING FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIF- ICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.// ** WTNT41 KNHC 261433 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT TUE JUL 26 2005 THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF FRANKLIN HAS BECOME EXPOSED AGAIN TO THE NORTHWEST OF AN AREA OF RAPIDLY WEAKENING CONVECTION. THE INTENSITY IS BEING MAINTAINED AT 35 KT BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE ESTIMATE OF 35 KT FROM TAFB AND SEVERAL 30 KT UNFLAGGED WIND VECTORS IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AS NOTED IN A 1042Z QUIKSCAT OVERPASS. THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CYCLONE WAS NOT SAMPLED BY THE QUIKSCAT SATELLITE. HOWEVER...SINCE THAT TIME...CLOUD TOPS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT HAVE WARMED SIGNIFICANTLY AND THE 35-KT INTENSITY MAY BE A LITTLE GENEROUS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS RESTRICTED IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE MOTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAS BEEN 060/04...BUT THE TREND FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS SHOULD BE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... SO AN INITIAL MOTION OF 030/05 HAS BEEN ASSIGNED FOR THIS ADVISORY. FRANKLIN MAY MOVE ERRATICALLY...INCLUDING SEVERAL WOBBLES...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT THE OVERALL TREND SHOULD BE SLOWLY NORTHWARD. AFTER THAT...THE MID-LATITUDE RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ERODE IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE UPPER-MIDWESTERN U.S. BY 48 HOURS...THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO INDUCE A FASTER MOTION TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST...UNTIL FRANKLIN BECOMES ABSORBED BY THE FRONATL SYSTEM BY 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY EASTWARD OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK... MAINLY DUE TO THE MORE EASTWARD INITIAL POSITION ...AND IS A ALSO LITTLE EAST OF THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS. FRANKLIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN AN UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS...SO THERE MAY BE SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING AND FRANKLIN COULD BECOME A DEPRESSION. BY 36-48 HOURS...THOUGH...THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BRIEFLY WEAKEN...WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR SOME MODEST RE-INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR BEFORE THE SHEAR INCREASES AGAIN AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY ABSORBS THE CYCLONE. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH BOTH THE SHIPS AND GFDL INTENSITY FORECASTS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 32.0N 67.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 27/0000Z 32.8N 67.8W 35 KT 24HR VT 27/1200Z 33.8N 67.7W 35 KT 36HR VT 28/0000Z 35.2N 67.5W 40 KT 48HR VT 28/1200Z 37.1N 66.7W 40 KT 72HR VT 29/1200Z 40.0N 63.5W 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 30/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM $$ ** WTNT21 KNHC 261433 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062005 1500Z TUE JUL 26 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 67.9W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 225SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 67.9W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 68.1W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 32.8N 67.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 33.8N 67.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 35.2N 67.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 37.1N 66.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 40.0N 63.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 67.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT31 KNHC 261434 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST TUE JUL 26 2005 ...DISORGANIZED FRANKLIN MEANDERING NORTHEASTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES... 295 KM... WEST OF BERMUDA. FRANKLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR. A SLOW AND SOMETIMES ERRATIC MOTION IN A GENERAL NORTHWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...32.0 N... 67.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT71 KNHC 261435 *** SPFAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST TUE JUL 26 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST FRI JUL 29 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 33.8N 67.7W 42 X X X 42 BOSTON MA X X 1 5 6 35.2N 67.5W 17 5 1 1 24 PORTLAND ME X X X 5 5 37.1N 66.7W X 8 7 3 18 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 6 6 BERMUDA 7 3 2 2 14 EASTPORT ME X X X 6 6 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 2 2 ST JOHN NB X X X 5 5 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 2 2 MONCTON NB X X X 4 4 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 2 3 YARMOUTH NS X X X 7 7 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 2 4 6 HALIFAX NS X X X 6 6 PROVIDENCE RI X X 2 5 7 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 4 4 NANTUCKET MA X X 3 6 9 SYDNEY NS X X X 2 2 HYANNIS MA X X 2 6 8 EDDY POINT NS X X X 4 4 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED C FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU D FROM 8AM THU TO 8AM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 261514 *** TCPSP1 RESUMEN DEL ESTADO DEL TIEMPO PARA PUERTO RICO SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1100 AM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 CIELOS MAYORMENTE DESPEJADOS...Y BRUMOSOS FUERON OBSERVADOS A TRAVES DEL AREA LOCAL. LOS VIENTOS SOPLARON DEL ESTE A SURESTE DE 10 A 20 MPH. ALGUNOS AGUACEROS FUERON OBSERVADOS EN LAS AGUAS MAR AFUERA DEL CARIBE MOVIENDOSE AL OESTE...SIN EMBARGO LA MAYORIA DE ESTOS SE HA DISIPADO. LAS TEMPERATURAS ALCANZARAN LOS BAJOS 90S ESTA TARDE NUEVAMENTE EN LA MAYORIA DE LAS AREAS MENOS ELEVADOS DE PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA Y VIEQUES. EN LAS AREAS MAS ELEVADAS LAS TEMPERATURAS ESTARAN EN LOS 80S O LOS ALTOS 70S...Y YA PARA LAS 11 AM LA TEMPERATURA HABIA ALCANZADO CERCA DE 90 GRADOS EN SAN JUAN Y PONCE. AIRE SECO CON POLVO AFRICANO SUSPENDIDO CONTINUARA DOMINANDO LAS ISLAS LOCALES HOY Y ESTARA MAS SECO DE LO ESPERADO. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS SE DESARROLLARAN DURANTE LAS HORAS DE LA TARDE NUEVAMENTE...PARTICULARMENTE A TRAVES DE PARTES DEL INTERIOR Y OESTE DE PUERTO RICO...BAJO UN FLUJO DE VIENTOS DEL ESTE. LOS MARES PERMANECEN RELATIVAMENTE TRANQUILOS DE ALREDEDOR DE 3 PIES CERCA DE LA COSTA...PERO ALCANZARAN CERCA DE 3 A 4 PIES A TRAVES DE LAS AGUAS MAR AFUERA DEL ATLANTICO Y EL CARIBE. $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 261519 *** TCPSP1 PRONOSTICO MARITIMO SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1030 AM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 AGUAS DE PUERTO RICO E ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS AMZ700-262100- SYNOPSIS PARA LAS AGUAS DE PUERTO RICO E ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS 1030 AM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 .SINOPSIS...LA ALTA PRESION EN EL ATLANTICO SE EXTENDIO DESDE UNA ALTA DE 1023 MILIBARAS CENTRALIZADA CERCA DE 30 GRADOS NORTE 46 OESTE HACIA EL SUR DE LAS BAHAMAS TARDE ESTA MANANA...Y PERMANECERA EN ESTA CONFIGURACION BASICA AL MENOS HASTA EL JUEVES. UNA DEBIL VAGUADA SE MOVERA A TRAVES DE LAS AGUAS LOCALES TARDE ESTA NOCHE HASTA EL MIERCOLES TRAYENDO UN LEVE AUMENTO EN LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS A TRAVES DE LAS AGUAS LOCALES. LA PROXIMA ONDA TROPICAL SE PRONOSTICA QUE SE ACERQUE A LAS ISLAS LOCALES EL SABADO. $$ AMZ710-262100- AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO DESDE PUNTA CADENA HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO GUAJATACA DESPUES HACIA EL ESTE MAS ALLA DE 100 BRAZAS HASTA EL PASAJE DE ANEGADA HACIA EL NORTE HASTA 19.5 NORTE ENTRE 68 OESTE Y 64 OESTE- 1030 AM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 .HOY...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE 8 A 11 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. BRUMA. AGUACEROS AISLADOS. .ESTA NOCHE...VIENTOS DEL ESTE DE 10 A 15 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. BRUMA. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS. .MIERCOLES...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE 8 A 14 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS DURANTE EL DIA. AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS EN LA TARDE. .MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE...VIENTOS DEL ESTE 9 A 13 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. .JUEVES...VIENTO DEL ESTE NORESTE 8 A 14 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 PIES. AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. .VIERNES...VIENTO DEL ESTE NORESTE 6 A 15 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. .SABADO...VIENTO DEL SUR SURESTE DE 5 A 9 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. $$ AMZ720-262100- AGUAS CERCA DE LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO DESDE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO GUAJATACA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA CABO SAN JUAN CONTINUANDO HACIA EL ESTE-NORESTE HASTA EL PASAJE DE ANEGADA HACIA AFUERA HASTA 100 BRAZAS- 1030 AM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 .HOY...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE 8 A 11 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. BRUMA. AGUACEROS AISLADOS. .ESTA NOCHE...VIENTOS DEL ESTE 9 A 14 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. BRUMA. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS. .MIERCOLES...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE 8 A 13 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS DURANTE EL DIA. AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS EN LA TARDE. .MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE...VIENTOS DEL ESTE 8 A 11 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. .JUEVES...VIENTO DEL ESTE NORESTE 8 A 15 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. .VIERNES...VIENTOS DEL NORESTE DE 5 A 15 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS. .SABADO...VIENTOS DEL SUR DE 5 A 10 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. $$ AMZ730-262100- AGUAS DEL CARIBE DESDE PUNTA VIENTO HASTA CABO SAN JUAN HACIA EL SUR HASTA 17 NORTE Y HACIA EL ESTE HASTA 64 OESTE INCLUYENDO LAS AGUAS DEL CARIBE DE CULEBRA VIEQUES Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS- 1030 AM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 .HOY...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE 8 A 11 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. BRUMA. AGUACEROS AISLADOS. .ESTA NOCHE...VIENTOS DEL ESTE DE 10 A 15 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. BRUMA. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS. .MIERCOLES...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE 9 A 13 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS DURANTE EL DIA. AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS EN LA TARDE. .MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE...VIENTOS DEL ESTE 9 A 12 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. .JUEVES...VIENTO DEL ESTE NORESTE 9 A 16 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. .VIERNES...VIENTOS DEL NORESTE DE 5 A 14 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS. .SABADO...VIENTO DEL SUR SURESTE DE 5 A 9 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. $$ AMZ740-262100- AGUAS DEL CARIBE DESDE PUNTA VIENTO HASTA PUNTA MELONES Y LAS AGUAS AFUERA DE 12 MILLAS NAUTICAS DESDE PUNTA MELONES HASTA PUNTA CADENA HACIA EL OESTE Y HACIA EL SUR HASTA 17 NORTE- 1030 AM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 .HOY...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE 11 A 14 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. BRUMA. AGUACEROS AISLADOS. .ESTA NOCHE...VIENTOS DEL ESTE 12 A 17 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. BRUMA. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS. .MIERCOLES...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE 11 A 17 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS DURANTE EL DIA. AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS EN LA TARDE. .MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE...VIENTOS DEL ESTE 12 A 15 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. .JUEVES...VIENTO DEL ESTE NORESTE 8 A 15 NUDOS. OLEAJE 3 A 4 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. .VIERNES...VIENTO DEL ESTE NORESTE 6 A 14 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. AGUACEROS AISLADOS. .SABADO...VIENTOS DEL SURESTE DE 5 A 8 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 A 3 PIES. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. $$ AMZ750-262100- AGUAS CERCA DE LA COSTA OESTE DE PUERTO RICO DESDE PUNTA CADENA HACIA EL SUR HASTA PUNTA MELONES HACIA EL OESTE 12 MILLAS NAUTICAS- 1030 AM AST MARTES 26 DE JULIO DE 2005 .HOY...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE DE 5 A 8 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 PIES O MENOS. BRUMA. AGUACEROS AISLADOS. .ESTA NOCHE...VIENTOS VARIABLE 5 NUDOS O MENOS. OLEAJE 2 PIES O MENOS. AGUACEROS AISLADOS AL ANOCHECER. BRUMA A LA NOCHE. .MIERCOLES...VIENTO DEL ESTE SURESTE DE 5 A 8 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 PIES O MENOS. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS EN LA TARDE. .MIERCOLES EN LA NOCHE...VIENTOS VARIABLE 5 NUDOS O MENOS. OLEAJE 2 PIES O MENOS. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS AL ANOCHECER. .JUEVES...VIENTOS VARIABLE 5 NUDOS O MENOS. OLEAJE 2 PIES O MENOS. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS. .VIERNES...VIENTO DEL ESTE NORESTE DE 5 A 13 NUDOS. OLEAJE 2 PIES O MENOS. AGUACEROS AISLADOS. .SABADO...VIENTOS VARIABLE 5 NUDOS O MENOS. OLEAJE 2 PIES O MENOS. AGUACEROS DISPERSOS Y TRONADAS AISLADAS. $$ ** WTJP31 RJTD 261500 *** WARNING 261500. WARNING VALID 271500. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0507 BANYAN (0507) 980 HPA AT 36.2N 141.4E EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 24 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 40.2N 145.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 43.9N 148.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 261500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0507 BANYAN (0507) ANALYSIS PSTN 261500UTC 36.2N 141.4E FAIR MOVE NE 24KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 350NM EAST 180NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 271500UTC 43.9N 148.4E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 22KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 281200UTC 47.5N 152.8E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTNT31 KNHC 261751 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005 ...FRANKLIN MOVING ERRATICALLY TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES... 340 KM... WEST OF BERMUDA. FRANKLIN IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. SLOW AND SOMETIMES ERRATIC MOTION...INCLUDING SMALL LOOPS...BUT IN A GENERAL NORTHWARD DIRECTION...CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...32.3 N... 68.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT80 EGRR 261750 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 26.07.2005 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ANALYSED POSITION : 31.5N 68.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.07.2005 31.5N 68.0W MODERATE 00UTC 27.07.2005 32.2N 67.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.07.2005 33.6N 68.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 11.7N 73.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.07.2005 11.7N 73.5W WEAK 00UTC 27.07.2005 11.9N 75.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.07.2005 11.7N 75.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2005 12.2N 75.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.07.2005 11.8N 72.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.07.2005 10.4N 72.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.07.2005 11.7N 73.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.07.2005 11.2N 73.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.07.2005 11.7N 73.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2005 11.8N 74.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.07.2005 11.7N 73.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+24 : 9.5N 16.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.07.2005 9.5N 16.1W WEAK 00UTC 28.07.2005 9.9N 18.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.07.2005 9.5N 21.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.07.2005 9.2N 25.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 261750