** WTCA45 TJSJ 181807 *** TCPSP5 BOLETIN HURACAN EMILY ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 26 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 PM AST LUNES 18 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE NOAA ENCUENTRA A EMILY MAS DEBIL...SE ESPERA RE-FORTALECIMIENTO... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN DESDE CABO ROJO MEXICO HACIA EL NORTE HASTA BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES HURACANADAS DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DESDE CABO CATOCHE HACIA EL OESTE Y SUR HASTA CAMPECHE. TODAS LAS PREPARACIONES PARA PROTEGER LA VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN SER COMPLETADAS DE INMEDIATO. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA EN SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE MANTENERSE ATENTOS A LA OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. A LA 1 PM CDT...1800Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN EMILY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 22.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 90.3 OESTE O COMO A 490 MILLAS... 785 KM... AL ESTE SURESTE DE LA PESCA MEXICO Y COMO A 150 MILLAS...820 KM...AL ESTE SURESTE DE BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH... 28 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...CON UNA DISMINUCION GRADUAL EN LA VELOCIDAD. DATOS DE UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE NOAA INDICAN QUE EMILY SE DEBILITO SIBRE YUCATAN Y QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. EMILY ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA UNO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SIN EMBARGO...SE ESPERA QUE SE FORTALEZCA NUEVAMENTE Y QUE SE TORNE EN UN HURACAN MAYOR ANTES DE QUE TOQUE TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 60 MILLAS... 95 KM...DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 150 MILLAS...240 KM. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL SE ESTIMA EN 984 MB...29.06 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES EN LA COSTA EN EL LADO DEL CARIBE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN DISMINUIRAN DURANTE EL DIA DE HOY. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE LA PENINSULA DEL YUCATAN CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE HASTA DE 5 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LA 1 PM CDT...22.08 NORTE... 90.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 75 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...984 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ ** WTPH RPLL 181200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 14 AT 1200 18 JULY TYPHOPON (HAITANG) (0505) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SAT. AND SURFACE DATA AT 24.6N 121.2E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 03MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 350KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 40MPS NEAR CENTER 33MPS WITHIN 200KMS RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 350KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITONS AT 191200 25.8N 118.9E AND AT 201200 27.4N 116.8E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 181800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY HAITANG 0505 (0505) INITIAL TIME 181800 UTC 00HR 24.7N 120.1E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTUS84 KBRO 181819 AAA *** HLSBRO TXZ251-254>257-182000- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED FOR LOCATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 115 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...HURRICANE EMILY MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO... ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE... ...INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...BROOKS AND JIM HOGG COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: ZAPATA...STARR...JIM HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO... CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 1 PM...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS HAVE MADE NO EVACUATION RECOMMENDATION FOR CAMERON...WILLACY...AND KENEDY COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...AND PORT MANSFIELD. COUNTY AND CITY OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST ABOUT 510 MILES...EAST SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. GIVEN THIS TRACK... EMILY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT APPROXIMATELY 80 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...OR ABOUT 70 MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA MEXICO. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN 1 FOOT ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK OF EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4 FEET. ...WIND IMPACTS... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY WERE NEAR 75 MPH. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED AS EMILY MOVES THROUGH THE YUCATAN THIS MORNING. EMILY IS THEN FORECASTED TO STRENGTHEN SHORTLY AFTER IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED INCREASE ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ON TUESDAY. WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL SECTIONS TUESDAY EVENING. ...OTHER IMPACTS... THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ON TUESDAY AS EMILY APPROACHES. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 14 FEET OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY WITH WAVES UP TO 18 FEET POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT. WAVES WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE EMILY. ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE DANGER POSED BY FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 400 PM CDT. $$ SPEECE ** WTUS84 KBRO 181819 AAA *** HLSBRO TXZ251-254>257-182000- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED FOR LOCATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 115 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...HURRICANE EMILY MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO... ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE... ...INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...BROOKS AND JIM HOGG COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: ZAPATA...STARR...JIM HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO... CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 1 PM...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS HAVE MADE NO EVACUATION RECOMMENDATION FOR CAMERON...WILLACY...AND KENEDY COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...AND PORT MANSFIELD. COUNTY AND CITY OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST ABOUT 510 MILES...EAST SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. GIVEN THIS TRACK... EMILY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT APPROXIMATELY 80 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...OR ABOUT 70 MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA MEXICO. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN 1 FOOT ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK OF EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4 FEET. ...WIND IMPACTS... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY WERE NEAR 75 MPH. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED AS EMILY MOVES THROUGH THE YUCATAN THIS MORNING. EMILY IS THEN FORECASTED TO STRENGTHEN SHORTLY AFTER IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED INCREASE ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ON TUESDAY. WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL SECTIONS TUESDAY EVENING. ...OTHER IMPACTS... THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ON TUESDAY AS EMILY APPROACHES. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 14 FEET OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY WITH WAVES UP TO 18 FEET POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT. WAVES WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE EMILY. ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE DANGER POSED BY FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 400 PM CDT. $$ SPEECE ** WTPQ20 BABJ 181800 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY HAITANG 0505 (0505) INITIAL TIME 181800 UTC 00HR 24.7N 120.1E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 25.6N 117.4E 980HPA 30M/S P+48HR 27.2N 115.4E 995HPA 15M/S= ** WTUS84 KBRO 181831 CCA *** HLSBRO TXZ251-254>257-182100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 115 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...HURRICANE EMILY MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO... ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE... ...INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...BROOKS AND JIM HOGG COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: ZAPATA...STARR...JIM HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO... CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 1 PM...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS HAVE MADE NO EVACUATION RECOMMENDATION FOR CAMERON...WILLACY...AND KENEDY COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...AND PORT MANSFIELD. COUNTY AND CITY OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST ABOUT 510 MILES...EAST SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. GIVEN THIS TRACK... EMILY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT APPROXIMATELY 80 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...OR ABOUT 70 MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA MEXICO. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN 1 FOOT ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK OF EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4 FEET. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT 1 PM...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY ARE NEAR 75 MPH. EMILY IS FORECASTED TO STRENGTHEN SHORTLY AFTER IT MOVES FURTHER WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED INCREASE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS WITH WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE TUESDAY EVENING AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...OTHER IMPACTS... THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ON TUESDAY AS EMILY APPROACHES. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 14 FEET OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY WITH WAVES UP TO 18 FEET POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT. WAVES WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE EMILY. ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE DANGER POSED BY FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 400 PM CDT. $$ SPEECE ** WTUS84 KBRO 181845 AAA *** HLSBRO TXZ248>257-182200- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 144 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...HURRICANE EMILY MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO... ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE... ...INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...BROOKS AND JIM HOGG COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: ZAPATA...STARR...JIM HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO... CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 1 PM...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS HAVE MADE NO EVACUATION RECOMMENDATION FOR CAMERON...WILLACY...AND KENEDY COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...AND PORT MANSFIELD. COUNTY AND CITY OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST ABOUT 510 MILES...EAST SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. GIVEN THIS TRACK... EMILY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT APPROXIMATELY 80 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...OR ABOUT 70 MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA MEXICO. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN 1 FOOT ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK OF EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4 FEET. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT 1 PM...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY ARE NEAR 75 MPH. EMILY IS FORECASTED TO STRENGTHEN SHORTLY AFTER IT MOVES FURTHER WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED INCREASE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS WITH WINDS GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE TUESDAY EVENING AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...OTHER IMPACTS... THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ON TUESDAY AS EMILY APPROACHES. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 14 FEET OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY WITH WAVES UP TO 18 FEET POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT. WAVES WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE EMILY. ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE DANGER POSED BY FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 400 PM CDT. $$ SPEECE ** WTJP21 RJTD 181800 *** WARNING 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0505 HAITANG (0505) 975 HPA AT 24.8N 120.6E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 270 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 25.5N 119.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 26.3N 118.6E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 29.0N 116.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 181800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0505 HAITANG (0505) ANALYSIS PSTN 181800UTC 24.8N 120.6E GOOD MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 70NM EAST 60NM WEST 30KT 325NM NORTHEAST 270NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 191800UTC 26.3N 118.6E 80NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 201800UTC 29.0N 116.0E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 181900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY HAITANG 0505 (0505) INITIAL TIME 181900 UTC 00HR 24.7N 120.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 181945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 181800 UTC, TYPHOON HAITANG (0505) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (24.7 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 200 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191800 UTC TWO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (26.4 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (118.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201800 UTC TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (29.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (114.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 181945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 181800 UTC, TYPHOON HAITANG (0505) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (24.7 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 200 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191800 UTC TWO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (26.4 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (118.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201800 UTC TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (29.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (114.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 182000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY HAITANG 0505 (0505) INITIAL TIME 182000 UTC 00HR 24.7N 120.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTNT25 KNHC 182041 *** TCMAT5 HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005 2100Z MON JUL 18 2005 AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO...AND DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR YUCATAN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 91.0W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 91.0W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 90.4W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.0N 93.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N 95.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.5N 98.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N 100.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 91.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT35 KNHC 182041 *** TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...EMILY LOST IT PUNCH OVER YUCATAN...EXPECTED TO RE-STRENGTHEN... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO...AND DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR YUCATAN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES... 715 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 480 MILES... 770 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE NEARING THE COAST OF NORTHEAST MEXICO LATE TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EMILY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATIC STATION JUST NORTH OF EMILY RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 71 MPH...115 KM/HR. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 INCHES OR LESS ACROSS YUCATAN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...22.3 N... 91.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT45 KNHC 182042 *** TCDAT5 HURRICANE EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2005 A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FLEW INTO EMILY TODAY AND CONFIRMED THAT THE HURRICANE WEAKENED AS SUGGESTED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE MINIMUM PRESSURE ROSE TO 984 MB AND MAXIMUM WINDS MEASURED BY THE SFMR SUPPORT ONLY A 65-KT HURRICANE. THE INNER CORE OF THE HURRICANE WAS DISRUPTED OVER YUCATAN BUT SATELLITE STILL SHOWS SEVERAL CYCLONICALLY CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION WITH A FAIR OUTFLOW. THE HURRICANE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OVER THE WARMER WATERS...ABOUT 30 DEGREE CELSIUS...OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SOON AND THE SHEAR IS LOW ALONG THE TRACK. IN ADDITION...ALL GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT THE 200 MB ANTICYLONE OVER EMILY WILL BECOME BETTER DEFINED. THEREFORE... RE-STRENGTHENING IS ANTICIPATED. BECAUSE EMILY WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER YUCATAN...IT IS NOT CLEAR IF THE CYCLONE WILL REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...BUT IT IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. EMILY CONTINUES ON TRACK...ABOUT 295/14 KNOTS AROUND THE DEEP LAYER MEAN HIGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS HIGH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST AND COULD EVEN BUILD WESTWARD. THIS PATTERN WOULD KEEP EMILY ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK UNTIL LANDFALL OVER THE STATE OF TAMAULIPAS...NORTHEAST MEXICO IN ABOUT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ONLY A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK...OR A HURRICANE LARGER THAN FORECAST...COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS. THEREFORE...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 22.3N 91.0W 65 KT 12HR VT 19/0600Z 23.0N 93.0W 75 KT 24HR VT 19/1800Z 24.0N 95.5W 90 KT 36HR VT 20/0600Z 24.5N 98.0W 80 KT 48HR VT 20/1800Z 24.5N 100.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT75 KNHC 182042 *** SPFAT5 HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT THU JUL 21 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 24.0N 95.5W 44 X X X 44 PORT O CONNOR TX X 1 2 X 3 24.5N 98.0W 6 24 X X 30 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X 3 5 X 8 24.5N 100.5W X 17 6 X 23 BROWNSVILLE TX 1 21 1 X 23 MMSO 238N 982W 8 19 1 X 28 GULF 28N 95W X 1 1 X 2 MMTM 222N 979W 6 7 2 X 15 GULF 27N 96W X 8 3 X 11 MMTX 210N 974W 1 X 2 X 3 GULF 25N 96W 25 7 X X 32 MMMD 210N 897W 5 X X X 5 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED C FROM 1AM WED TO 1PM WED D FROM 1PM WED TO 1PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT25 KNHC 182041 *** TCMAT5 HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005 2100Z MON JUL 18 2005 AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO...AND DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR YUCATAN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 91.0W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 91.0W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 90.4W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.0N 93.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N 95.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.5N 98.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N 100.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 91.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT35 KNHC 182041 *** TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...EMILY LOST IT PUNCH OVER YUCATAN...EXPECTED TO RE-STRENGTHEN... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO...AND DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR YUCATAN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES... 715 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 480 MILES... 770 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE NEARING THE COAST OF NORTHEAST MEXICO LATE TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EMILY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATIC STATION JUST NORTH OF EMILY RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 71 MPH...115 KM/HR. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 INCHES OR LESS ACROSS YUCATAN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...22.3 N... 91.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT75 KNHC 182042 *** SPFAT5 HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT THU JUL 21 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 24.0N 95.5W 44 X X X 44 PORT O CONNOR TX X 1 2 X 3 24.5N 98.0W 6 24 X X 30 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X 3 5 X 8 24.5N 100.5W X 17 6 X 23 BROWNSVILLE TX 1 21 1 X 23 MMSO 238N 982W 8 19 1 X 28 GULF 28N 95W X 1 1 X 2 MMTM 222N 979W 6 7 2 X 15 GULF 27N 96W X 8 3 X 11 MMTX 210N 974W 1 X 2 X 3 GULF 25N 96W 25 7 X X 32 MMMD 210N 897W 5 X X X 5 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED C FROM 1AM WED TO 1PM WED D FROM 1PM WED TO 1PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTPN31 PGTW 182100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (HAITANG) WARNING NR 030 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z --- NEAR 24.5N 120.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N 120.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 25.3N 119.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 031 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 031 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 084 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 096 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 083 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 26.2N 118.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 27.0N 116.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z POSITION NEAR 24.7N 120.1E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (HAITANG) HAS RE-EMERGED INTO THE TAIWAN STRAIT AND IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. THE STORM HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MICROWAVE AND RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF TS 05W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.// ** WTNT85 KNHC 182048 *** TCVAT5 EMILY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 400 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 .HURRICANE EMILY TXC061-261-489-GMZ130-150-155-170-175-190300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1005.050718T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 BROWNSVILLE-TX 26.05N 97.17W BAFFIN-BAY-TX 27.29N 97.38W $$ ATTN...WFO...BRO... ** WTPZ25 KNHC 182049 *** TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052005 2100Z MON JUL 18 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.5W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.5W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.1W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.7N 106.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.7N 108.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.7N 109.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.6N 111.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 40SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 21.5N 116.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.5N 119.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 105.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTUS84 KBRO 182058 *** HLSBRO TXZ248>257-190000- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 400 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...HURRICANE EMILY IS MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA... BROOKS...JIM HOGG...HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: ZAPATA...STARR...JIM HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO... CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 4 PM CDT...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS HAVE MADE NO EVACUATION RECOMMENDATION FOR CAMERON...WILLACY...AND KENEDY COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...AND PORT MANSFIELD. COUNTY AND CITY OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES...EAST SOUTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 480 MILES...EAST SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. EMILY IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. GIVEN THIS TRACK...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT APPROXIMATELY 70 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...OR ABOUT 80 MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA MEXICO. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN 1 FOOT ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK OF EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT 4 PM CDT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY ARE NEAR 75 MPH. EMILY IS FORECASTED TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS WITH WIND GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE TUESDAY EVENING AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...OTHER IMPACTS... THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH ON TUESDAY AS EMILY APPROACHES. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 14 FEET OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY WITH WAVES UP TO 18 FEET POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT. WAVES WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE EMILY. ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE DANGER POSED BY FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. REMEMBER... TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 700 PM CDT. $$ VAN SPEYBROECK/MARTIN ** WTPZ45 KNHC 182100 *** TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM EUGENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUL 18 2005 ALTHOUGH THE OVERALL DEPTH OF CONVECTION HAS DECREASED... BANDING FEATURES HAVE BECOME BETTER DEFINED AS COMPARED TO EARLIER TODAY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE UNANIMOUSLY INCREASED TO T2.5/35 KT... WITH DATA T NUMBERS AS HIGH AS 3.0. GIVEN THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION... THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 40 KT. THE MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW FOR SOME STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS UNTIL EUGENE WEAKENS OVER COOLER WATERS AND WITHIN A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR A PEAK AT 55 KT... JUST SLIGHTLY GREATER THAN THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE CENTER OF EUGENE APPEARS TO BE CONSOLIDATING WITH THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY ELONGATED EAST TO WEST. AS A RESULT...THE STORM IS MOVING NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK... WITH INITIAL MOTION NOW ESTIMATED AT 300/10. THE MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON CONTINUING THIS GENERAL HEADING FOR ABOUT THE NEXT 48 HOURS... ALTHOUGH AT GREATLY DIFFERING SPEEDS DUE AT LEAST IN PART TO VARYING DEPICTIONS OF THE CIRCULATION STRENGTH. SINCE THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES IS FORECAST TO PERSIST IN ITS CURRENT LOCATION... THE CURRENT FORWARD SPEED ARE DIRECTION ARE USED TO CONSTRUCT THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THIS IS FASTER THAN THE GFS AND GFDL BUT SLOWER THAN THE UKMET. ON THIS TRACK... EUGENE SHOULD PARALLEL THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS BUT THEN MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST TO THE WEST. BEYOND 48 HOURS... A WEAKENING EUGENE AND ITS EVENTUAL REMNANTS SHOULD BE STEERED WESTWARD IN THE LOWER LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 16.1N 105.5W 35 KT 12HR VT 19/0600Z 16.7N 106.6W 45 KT 24HR VT 19/1800Z 17.7N 108.0W 50 KT 36HR VT 20/0600Z 18.7N 109.5W 55 KT 48HR VT 20/1800Z 19.6N 111.1W 40 KT 72HR VT 21/1800Z 21.0N 113.5W 30 KT 96HR VT 22/1800Z 21.5N 116.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 23/1800Z 21.5N 119.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 182100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY HAITANG 0505 (0505) INITIAL TIME 182100 UTC 00HR 24.7N 120.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H= ** WTPZ45 KNHC 182109 *** TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM EUGENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2... CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUL 18 2005 ...CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 40 KT IN TABLE... ALTHOUGH THE OVERALL DEPTH OF CONVECTION HAS DECREASED... BANDING FEATURES HAVE BECOME BETTER DEFINED AS COMPARED TO EARLIER TODAY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE UNANIMOUSLY INCREASED TO T2.5/35 KT... WITH DATA T NUMBERS AS HIGH AS 3.0. GIVEN THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION... THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 40 KT. THE MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW FOR SOME STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS UNTIL EUGENE WEAKENS OVER COOLER WATERS AND WITHIN A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR A PEAK AT 55 KT... JUST SLIGHTLY GREATER THAN THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE CENTER OF EUGENE APPEARS TO BE CONSOLIDATING WITH THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY ELONGATED EAST TO WEST. AS A RESULT...THE STORM IS MOVING NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK... WITH INITIAL MOTION NOW ESTIMATED AT 300/10. THE MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON CONTINUING THIS GENERAL HEADING FOR ABOUT THE NEXT 48 HOURS... ALTHOUGH AT GREATLY DIFFERING SPEEDS DUE AT LEAST IN PART TO VARYING DEPICTIONS OF THE CIRCULATION STRENGTH. SINCE THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES IS FORECAST TO PERSIST IN ITS CURRENT LOCATION... THE CURRENT FORWARD SPEED ARE DIRECTION ARE USED TO CONSTRUCT THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THIS IS FASTER THAN THE GFS AND GFDL BUT SLOWER THAN THE UKMET. ON THIS TRACK... EUGENE SHOULD PARALLEL THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS BUT THEN MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST TO THE WEST. BEYOND 48 HOURS... A WEAKENING EUGENE AND ITS EVENTUAL REMNANTS SHOULD BE STEERED WESTWARD IN THE LOWER LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 16.1N 105.5W 40 KT 12HR VT 19/0600Z 16.7N 106.6W 45 KT 24HR VT 19/1800Z 17.7N 108.0W 50 KT 36HR VT 20/0600Z 18.7N 109.5W 55 KT 48HR VT 20/1800Z 19.6N 111.1W 40 KT 72HR VT 21/1800Z 21.0N 113.5W 30 KT 96HR VT 22/1800Z 21.5N 116.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 23/1800Z 21.5N 119.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTPZ25 KNHC 182110 *** TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2... CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052005 2100Z MON JUL 18 2005 ...CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 40 KT... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.5W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.5W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.1W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.7N 106.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.7N 108.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.7N 109.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.6N 111.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 40SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 21.5N 116.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.5N 119.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 105.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTPQ20 BABJ 182100 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY HAITANG 0505 (0505) INITIAL TIME 182100 UTC 00HR 24.7N 120.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H P+24HR 25.8N 117.3E 985HPA 25M/S= ** WTPH20 RPMM 181800 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 15 AT 1800 18 JULY TYPHOON (HAITANG)(0505)WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SEVEN TWO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO ZER0 ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST NOSITIONS AT 191800 TWO SIX POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT SIX EAST AND AT 201800 TWO SEVEN POINT FIVE NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH RPLL 181800 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 15 AT 1800 18 JULY TYPHOPON (HAITANG) (0505) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 24.8N 120.7E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 03MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 350KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 35MPS NEAR CENTER 25MPS WITHIN 200KMS RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 350KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITONS AT 191800 26.3N 118.6E AND AT 201800 27.5N 116.7E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPN31 PHNC 182200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (EUGENE) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z --- NEAR 16.1N 105.5W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 105.5W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 16.7N 106.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 17.7N 108.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 18.7N 109.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 19.6N 111.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 21.0N 113.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 21.5N 116.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 21.5N 119.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190400Z, 191000Z, 191600Z AND 192200Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 182200 RRC *** VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 21.5N 119.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190400Z, 191000Z, 191600Z AND 192200Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 182200 RRB *** 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 18.7N 109.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 19.6N 111.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 21.0N 113.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 21.5N 116.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER ** WTPN31 PHNC 182200 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (EUGENE) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z --- NEAR 16.1N 105.5W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 105.5W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 16.7N 106.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 17.7N 108.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTPN31 PHNC 182200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (EUGENE) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z --- NEAR 16.1N 105.5W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 105.5W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 16.7N 106.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 17.7N 108.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 18.7N 109.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 19.6N 111.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 21.0N 113.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 21.5N 116.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 21.5N 119.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190400Z, 191000Z, 191600Z AND 192200Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTJP31 RJTD 182100 *** WARNING 182100. WARNING VALID 192100. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0505 HAITANG (0505) 975 HPA AT 24.9N 120.6E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 270 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190900UTC AT 25.6N 119.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 192100UTC AT 26.5N 118.6E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 182100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0505 HAITANG (0505) ANALYSIS PSTN 182100UTC 24.9N 120.6E GOOD MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 70NM EAST 60NM WEST 30KT 325NM NORTHEAST 270NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 192100UTC 26.5N 118.6E 80NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 201800UTC 29.0N 116.0E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 182200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY HAITANG 0505 (0505) INITIAL TIME 182200 UTC 00HR 24.8N 120.1E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 182245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 182100 UTC, TYPHOON HAITANG (0505) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (24.8 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (120.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 200 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 192100 UTC TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (26.6 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (117.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 202100 UTC TWO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (29.2 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 212100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 182245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 182100 UTC, TYPHOON HAITANG (0505) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (24.8 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (120.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 200 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 250 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 192100 UTC TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (26.6 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (117.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 202100 UTC TWO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (29.2 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 212100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 182300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY HAITANG 0505 (0505) INITIAL TIME 182300 UTC 00HR 25.0N 120.2E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H=