** WTUS84 KHUN 110605 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-110900- TROPICAL STORM DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 106 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005 ...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ENTERS NORTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY EVENING FOR COLBERT...CULLMAN...FRANKLIN...LAUDERDALE...AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES IN ALABAMA. IT IS LIKELY THAT THIS WILL BE DOWNGRADED LATER THIS MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY EVENING FOR DEKALB...JACKSON...LIMESTONE...MADISON...MARSHALL...AND MORGAN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND FRANKLIN...LINCOLN...AND MOORE COUNTIES IN TENNESSEE. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY FOR ALL COUNTIES COVERED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 AM CDT...DENNIS REMAINED A TROPICAL STORM AND WAS LOCATED JUST SOUTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA. MOVEMENT WAS TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE AT OR JUST BELOW 50 MPH...LIKELY CONFINED VERY NEAR THE STORM CENTER. IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS HAD INCREASED TO 15 TO 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES OVER 35 MPH WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS. WINDS WERE RUNNING 15 TO 20 MPH...GUSTING AROUND 30 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ENSURE ALL LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS REMAIN SECURE...INCLUDING PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS. IN ADDITION...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES IN THE AREA. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH MORNING...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OCCURRING BETWEEN 3 AM AND 6 AM. DURING THIS PERIOD...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH BRIEF GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY TENNESSEE. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OVERSPREAD MAINLY WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THROUGH DAYBREAK. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY 6 AM WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT AS RAINFALL PERSISTS INTO MONDAY. MEANWHILE...FURTHER EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 INCLUDING THE HUNTSVILLE METRO AREA...NARROW BANDS OF INTENSE RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH A BIT MORE LOCALIZED...HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES MAY YET OCCUR. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA...CLOSEST TO THE STORM CENTER. MORE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN TOTALS ARE EXPECTED FURTHER EAST INCLUDING THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY TENNESSEE. ...TORNADO THREAT... THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADO THREAT REMAINS LIMITED THROUGH 6 AM. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR FAST DEVELOPING BRIEF TORNADOES MONDAY MORNING AS SUNSHINE DESTABILIZES THE AIRMASS AND COMBINES WITH ALREADY HIGH AMOUNTS OF WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 4 AM CDT. $$ KULA ** WTUS84 KJAN 110610 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-112230- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 109 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM DENNIS CONTINUES A NORTH NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL AFFECT EAST MISSISSIPPI OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM GRENADA TO CARTHAGE TO FOREST TO LAUREL. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF WEBSTER...CLAY...LOWNDES... CHOCTAW... OKTIBBEHA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...NESHOBA...NEWTON...JASPER. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE COUNTIES OF GRENADA...MONTGOMERY...ATTALA... LEAKE...SCOTT...SMITH...JONES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF WEBSTER...CLAY...LOWNDES...CHOCTAW... OKTIBBEHA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...NESHOBA...KEMPER...NEWTON... LAUDERDALE ...JASPER...CLARKE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 37 MILES NORTHEAST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI AND 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MILES AN HOUR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. IN ADDITION CURFEWS HAVE BEEN ISSUED IN A FEW CITIES THROUGHOUT EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS AND CURFEW TIMES. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...AFFECTING PORTIONS OF EAST AND NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THE LOW CENTER WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST NOXUBEE AND LOWNDES COUNTY BETWEEN 2 AND 3 AM. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH AND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE STORM MOVES THROUGH THESE COUNTIES. DENNIS WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INLAND ALONG A TRACK TOWARD NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE BLOWN DOWN OR SEVERELY DAMAGED. DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS OF BUILDINGS...AND OTHER STRUCTURE DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS ITS CENTER APPROACHES NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. THIS COULD RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES AS TREES AND POWERLINES ARE BLOWN DOWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 3 AM CDT. $$ BYRD ** WTIN20 DEMS 110630 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 11-07-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA AND NORTH EAST BAY OF BENGAL(.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 31 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTPQ20 RJTD 110600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 110600UTC 22.3N 152.8E FAIR MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 1010HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 120600UTC 22.5N 148.0E 80NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 1008HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ30 RJTD 110600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 2 FOR TD LOCATED AT 22.3N 152.8E 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 110600 UTC IS FAIR. TD WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DECELERATE. TD WILL MOVE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE TO WEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TD WILL BE GRADED UP TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS. TD WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE CYCLONE WILL STAY IN HIGH SST AREA. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTUS84 KBMX 110709 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-110900- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 200 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM DENNIS MOVES NORTH ACROSS WESTERN ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY FOR ALL COUNTIES SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. THIS WILL MOST LIKELY BE REVISED AT THE NEXT UPDATE AND REPLACED BY A WIND ADVISORY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 AM CDT...0700Z...TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED WELL INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST...OR JUST EAST OF MERIDIAN. DENNIS WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT THE 5 AM ADVISORY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AT THE 10 PM ADVISORY WAS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... STAY INDOORS IN A STURDY SHELTER...AWAY FROM WINDOWS. KEEP YOUR PETS INDOORS UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE MONDAY MORNING. FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA AND IS LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT WHERE WATER MAY QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND... DON'T DROWN. POWER OUTAGES HAVE BEEN REPORTED AND CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM DENNIS. TO REPORT DOWN POWER LINES TO ALABAMA POWER PLEASE CALL 800-888-2726. IF POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY SINCE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS IS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. AS CLEAN UP EFFORTS START AFTER DAYBREAK...PLEASE BE CAREFUL AROUND ANY DOWNED POWER LINES AND USING ANY TYPE OF MACHINERY. TRADITIONALLY...MORE PEOPLE DIE DURING CLEAN UP EFFORTS THAN FROM THE ACTUAL STORM ITSELF. ...WIND IMPACTS... STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE TWENTY MILES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE EYE. THE EYE WILL TRACK ALONG A LINDEN TO FAYETTE LINE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. WINDS WILL BE 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE EYE AND ON THE HIGHER RIDGE TOPS. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED. WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALL ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS FLOODING WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. TO REPORT DOWN POWER LINES TO PLEASE CALL ALABAMA POWER AT 800-888- 2726. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL MOST LIKELY BE THE LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR TROPICAL STORM DENNIS. IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL BE DOWNGRADED TO A WIND ADVISORY AT 4 AM. && $$ ** WTUS84 KJAN 110808 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-112230- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 302 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM DENNIS CONTINUES A NORTH NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT NORTHEAST AND EAST MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM GRENADA TO CARTHAGE TO FOREST TO LAUREL. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF WEBSTER...CLAY...LOWNDES... CHOCTAW... OKTIBBEHA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...NESHOBA...NEWTON...JASPER. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE COUNTIES OF GRENADA...MONTGOMERY...ATTALA... LEAKE...SCOTT...SMITH...JONES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF WEBSTER...CLAY...LOWNDES...CHOCTAW... OKTIBBEHA...WINSTON...NOXUBEE...NESHOBA...KEMPER...NEWTON... LAUDERDALE ...JASPER...CLARKE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 3 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 46 MILES SOUTH OF COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MILES AN HOUR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. IN ADDITION CURFEWS HAVE BEEN ISSUED IN A FEW CITIES THROUGHOUT EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS AND CURFEW TIMES. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD EARLY THIS MORNING...CONTINUING TO EFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THE LOW CENTER IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOWNDES COUNTY AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH NORTHWEST AND WILL MOVE NORTH OF LOWNDES COUNTY BY 5 AM. DENNIS WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTH NORTHWEST ALONG A TRACK TOWARD NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE BLOWN DOWN OR SEVERELY DAMAGED. DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS OF BUILDINGS...AND OTHER STRUCTURE DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS ITS CENTER MOVES ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. THIS COULD RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES AS TREES AND POWERLINES ARE BLOWN DOWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM CDT. $$ BYRD ** WTNT34 KNHC 110829 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005 ...DENNIS WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...STILL A RAINFALL THREAT... AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES WEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND SOUTHERN INDIANA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER NORTHERN ALABAMA... NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY. REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...33.3 N... 88.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON DENNIS. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT34 KWNH... BEGINNING AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 110829 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 0900Z MON JUL 11 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 88.3W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 88.3W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 88.1W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 35.0N 88.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.9N 89.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 37.9N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 38.5N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 39.0N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 38.5N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 38.0N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 88.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER DENNIS. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT44 KNHC 110830 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2005 DENNIS HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN WHILE MOVING OVER LAND...AND THERE ARE NO LONGER ANY INDICATIONS OF SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEEDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE. THEREFORE THE CYCLONE IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AT THIS TIME. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THE MOTION IS ABOUT 340/12. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO SLOW DOWN AND MEANDER OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL U.S. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL...OF COURSE...EXACERBATE THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON DENNIS. FUTURE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND UNDER WMO HEADER WTBT34 KWNH. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 33.3N 88.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 11/1800Z 35.0N 88.9W 30 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 12/0600Z 36.9N 89.2W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 12/1800Z 37.9N 89.0W 20 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 13/0600Z 38.5N 88.5W 20 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 14/0600Z 39.0N 87.5W 20 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 15/0600Z 38.5N 87.0W 20 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 16/0600Z 38.0N 87.0W 20 KT...INLAND $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 110830 *** SPFAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT THU JUL 14 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 36.9N 89.2W 35 X X X 35 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 37.9N 89.0W 24 1 X 1 26 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 38.5N 88.5W 16 3 1 2 22 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1AM TUE TO 1PM TUE C FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED D FROM 1AM WED TO 1AM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT25 KNHC 110831 *** TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005 0900Z MON JUL 11 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.6W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.6W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.2W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 11.1N 45.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 11.6N 48.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.1N 50.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.6N 53.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 66.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 19.5N 71.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 43.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT45 KNHC 110831 *** TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2005 THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THERE IS NOW A RAGGED BANDING FEATURE OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION...AND DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS ARE T2.0...I.E. 30 KT. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING THROUGH AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODEST EASTERLY SHEAR...WHICH IS CAUSING THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO BE SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SYSTEM. THE SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS RATHER WEAK SHEAR OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER...BUT MY BEST ESTIMATE IS THAT THE MOTION REMAINS 270/10. SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED AS THE CYCLONE MOVES AWAY FROM THE INFLUENCE OF BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC AND BECOMES MORE EMBEDDED IN A DEEP EASTERLY STEERING CURRENT. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF AND SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST GFDL MODEL TRACK OUTPUT. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 10.8N 43.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 11/1800Z 11.1N 45.5W 35 KT 24HR VT 12/0600Z 11.6N 48.0W 40 KT 36HR VT 12/1800Z 12.1N 50.6W 45 KT 48HR VT 13/0600Z 12.6N 53.5W 50 KT 72HR VT 14/0600Z 14.5N 60.0W 60 KT 96HR VT 15/0600Z 17.0N 66.0W 70 KT 120HR VT 16/0600Z 19.5N 71.0W 70 KT...INLAND $$ ** WTNT75 KNHC 110831 *** SPFAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST MON JUL 11 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.6 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU JUL 14 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 11.6N 48.0W 46 X X X 46 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 15 15 12.1N 50.6W 11 22 X X 33 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 14 14 12.6N 53.5W X 13 12 1 26 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 12 12 SVMG 110N 640W X X X 3 3 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 11 11 TTPP 106N 614W X X X 8 8 TISX 177N 648W X X X 8 8 TTPT 112N 608W X X X 11 11 TIST 183N 650W X X X 7 7 TGPY 120N 618W X X X 10 10 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 4 4 TBPB 131N 595W X X 1 15 16 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 5 5 TVSV 131N 612W X X X 13 13 ST CROIX VI X X X 8 8 TLPL 138N 610W X X X 15 15 ST THOMAS VI X X X 7 7 TFFF 146N 610W X X X 15 15 SAN JUAN PR X X X 5 5 TDPR 153N 614W X X X 15 15 PONCE PR X X X 4 4 80400 157N 636W X X X 10 10 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT35 KNHC 110831 *** TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST MON JUL 11 2005 ...DEPRESSION GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING WHILE CONTINUING WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC... AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 43.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1185 MILES...1910 KM... EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR THE DEPRESSION TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...10.8 N... 43.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT25 KNHC 110834 *** TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005 0900Z MON JUL 11 2005 ...CORRECT PRESENT MOVEMENT FROM 280 AT 10 KT TO 270 AT 10 KT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.6W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.6W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 43.2W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 11.1N 45.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 11.6N 48.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.1N 50.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.6N 53.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 66.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 19.5N 71.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 43.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 110858 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 28 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT LUNES 11 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS SE DEBILITA A UNA DEPRESION...AUN UN RIESGO DE LLUVIAS... A LAS 4 PM CDT...0900Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO TIERRA ADENTRO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 33.3 NORTE... LONGITUD 88.3 OESTE O COMO A 40 MILLAS AL OESTE DE TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOIVENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH Y SE PRONOSTICA UNA DISMINUCION GRADUAL EN SU VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO HASTA CERCA DE 35 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ES POSIBLE QUE SE DEBILITE AUN MAS DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 993 MILIBARAS...29.32 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A 6 PULGADAS DESDE EL OETSE DE TENNESSEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA KENTUCKY...EL SUR DE ILLINOIS...Y EL SUR DE INDIANA. CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE CERCA DE 12 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES EN ASOCIACION CON DENNIS. TORNADOS AISLADOS SON POSIBLES HOY SOBRE E NORTE DE ALABAMA...EL NORTE DE MISSISSIPPI...Y EL OESTE DEL VALLE DE TENNESSEE. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 AM CDT...33.3 NORTE... 88.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 993 MILIBARAS. ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA PUBLICA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES SOBRE DENNIS. INFORMACION FUTURA SOBRE ESTE SISTEMA SE PUEDE ENCONTRAR EN LAS ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO DE PREDICCIONES HIDROMETEOROLOGICAS...BAJO EL ENCABEZAMIENTO DE AWIPS TCPAT4 Y EL ENCABEZAMIENTO DE WMO...WTNT34 KWNH...COMENZANDO A LAS 10 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTCA45 TJSJ 110907 *** TCPSP5 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL CINCO ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 2 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 AM AST LUNES 11 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...LA DEPRESION FORTALECIENDOSE GRADUALMENTE MIENTRAS CONTINUA HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE EL ATLANTICO TROPICAL... A LAS 5 AM AST...0900Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL CINCO ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 10.8 NORTE...LONGITUD 43.6 OESTE O COMO ALREDEDOR DE 1185 MILLAS...1910 KM...AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE EN ESTE MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE CON ALGUN AUMENTO EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. LAS CONDICIONES APARENTAN SER FAVORABLES PARA QUE LA DEPRESION SE FORTALEZCA EN UNA TORMENTA TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1010 MILIBARAS...29.83 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 AM AST...10.8 NORTE...43.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1010 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 AM AST. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTUS84 KJAN 110907 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-112230- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 402 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... EAST MISSISSIPPI... ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WIND ADVISORY...AND FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAVE BEEN CANCELED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 20 MILES SOUTH OF COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MILES AN HOUR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH OVER THE AREA. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS DENNIS MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI UNTIL 10 AM. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS. $$ BYRD ** WTPQ20 RJTD 110900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 110900UTC 22.6N 152.4E FAIR MOVE NW 09KT PRES 1008HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 120900UTC 22.7N 147.9E 80NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 1006HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTUS84 KHUN 111146 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-111500- TROPICAL STORM DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 645 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005 ...THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE INTO NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI OUT OF NORTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... ALL INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED AS OBSERVATIONS SHOW SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER THE AREAS PREVIOUSLY IN THE WARNING. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY WARNING AREA...BUT MAY BE DROPPED LATER TODAY AS THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS MOVES FURTHER NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE AREA. FOR THE LATEST...PLEASE SEE THE PRODUCT HUNFFAHUN. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING FOR DEKALB...JACKSON...LIMESTONE...MADISON...MARSHALL...MORGAN... CULLMAN...LAUDERDALE...LAWRENCE...COLBERT...AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN NORTH ALABAMA...AND LINCOLN...MOORE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 AM CDT...THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF TUPELO MISSISSIPPI. MOVEMENT WAS TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE AT OR JUST BELOW 30 MPH...LIKELY CONFINED VERY NEAR THE STORM CENTER. IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA... NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WERE CONTINUING AT 15 TO 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES OVER 30 MPH WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS. WINDS WERE RUNNING 15 TO 20 MPH...GUSTING AROUND 30 MPH ELSEWHERE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ENSURE ALL LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS REMAIN SECURE...INCLUDING PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS. IN ADDITION...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES... RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES IN THE AREA. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTH AND NORTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON. SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT AS RAINFALL PERSISTS. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA...CLOSEST TO THE STORM CENTER. MORE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN TOTALS ARE EXPECTED FURTHER EAST INCLUDING THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY TENNESSEE. ...TORNADO THREAT... THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADO THREAT REMAINS LIMITED THROUGH MID MORNING. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED FAST DEVELOPING BRIEF TORNADOES BY LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON AS SUNSHINE DESTABILIZES THE AIRMASS AND COMBINES WITH ALREADY HIGH AMOUNTS OF WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT REGARDING THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS. $$ TROUTMAN ** WTUS84 KHUN 111153 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-111500- TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTION TO HEADLINE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 645 AM CDT MON JUL 11 2005 ...THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE INTO NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI OUT OF NORTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS NORTH ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... ALL INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED AS OBSERVATIONS SHOW SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER THE AREAS PREVIOUSLY IN THE WARNING. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY WARNING AREA...BUT MAY BE DROPPED LATER TODAY AS THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS MOVES FURTHER NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE AREA. FOR THE LATEST...PLEASE SEE THE PRODUCT HUNFFAHUN. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING FOR DEKALB...JACKSON...LIMESTONE...MADISON...MARSHALL...MORGAN... CULLMAN...LAUDERDALE...LAWRENCE...COLBERT...AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN NORTH ALABAMA...AND LINCOLN...MOORE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 AM CDT...THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF TUPELO MISSISSIPPI. MOVEMENT WAS TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE AT OR JUST BELOW 30 MPH...LIKELY CONFINED VERY NEAR THE STORM CENTER. IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA... NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WERE CONTINUING AT 15 TO 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES OVER 30 MPH WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS. WINDS WERE RUNNING 15 TO 20 MPH...GUSTING AROUND 30 MPH ELSEWHERE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ENSURE ALL LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS REMAIN SECURE...INCLUDING PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS. IN ADDITION...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES... RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES IN THE AREA. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE...WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTH AND NORTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON. SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT AS RAINFALL PERSISTS. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA...CLOSEST TO THE STORM CENTER. MORE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN TOTALS ARE EXPECTED FURTHER EAST INCLUDING THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY TENNESSEE. ...TORNADO THREAT... THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADO THREAT REMAINS LIMITED THROUGH MID MORNING. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED FAST DEVELOPING BRIEF TORNADOES BY LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON AS SUNSHINE DESTABILIZES THE AIRMASS AND COMBINES WITH ALREADY HIGH AMOUNTS OF WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT REGARDING THE REMNANTS OF DENNIS. $$ TROUTMAN ** WTNT84 KNHC 111158 *** TCVAT4 DENNIS WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2005 ...TRANSMITTED TO RE-CANCEL WARNINGS FOR MIAMI WFO... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION DENNIS FLC021-GMZ031-656-657-676-111500- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 800 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2005 $$ ATTN...WFO...MFL...