** WTUS82 KTBW 101800 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870- 873-876-102130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 200 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING ONSHORE IN THE NORTHERN GULF COAST NEAR PENSACOLA... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...NEW INFORMATION... THE TORNADO WATCH FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 2 PM EDT... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WAS CANCELED AT 2 PM EDT... ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN CEDAR KEY AND YANKEETOWN. HIGHWAY 24 FROM BRIDGE 3 TO BRIDGE 4 IS UNDER WATER. DOCK STREET...2ND STREET AND MAIN STREET ON CEDAR ARE CLOSED. IN YANKEETOWN...6 TO 8 INCHES OF WATER WAS FOUND DOWNTOWN. CLOSED ROADS INCLUDE MAGNOLIA... RIVERSIDE AND HICKORY AVENUE. COUNTY ROAD 40A WEST OF YANKEETOWN IS ALSO CLOSED. THE STORM SURGE FROM HERNANDO BEACH TO CEDAR KEY HAS LEVELED OFF AND WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY FALL. HOWEVER...HIGH TIDE IS APPROACHING AND WATER LEVELS MAY STILL RISE. WATER LEVELS FROM TAMPA BAY TO FORT MYERS WILL REMAIN 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CITRUS... CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...POLK... SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LONG BOAT KEY NORTH THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 2 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 233 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A BRIEF SHORT LIVED TORNADOES OR MARINE WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR AREAS OF WEST FLORIDA NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES NORTH OF CLEARWATER BEACH. RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE SURGE SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY WAS FALLING WHILE THE SURGE IN THE BAY WAS STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING. STORM SURGE ESTIMATES FOR LEVY COUNTY HAS INCREASED TO 5 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE...AND 4 TO 5 FEET FROM CITRUS TO PASCO COUNTY. THE SURGE NORTH OF TAMPA WILL BEGIN TO FALL BY 2 PM. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. THE PEACE AND MYAKKA RIVERS WILL REMAIN IN MINOR FLOOD. ALL OTHER RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SEAS ARE RUNNING IN THE 10 TO 15 FOOT RANGE NEAR SHORE AND 15 TO 20 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND THE BEACH PATROL. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 530 PM. $$ NOAH ** WTUS84 KLIX 101807 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058>070-MSZ080>082-102000- TROPICAL STORM****HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 100 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST WITH 135 MPH WINDS... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO RUSH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY TO COMPLETION... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND SEEK SHELTER AT THIS TIME. EVACUATION ORDERS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR MUCH OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD ADHERE TO ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL OFFICIALS. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT THIS TIME AND SEEK SHELTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 12 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 135 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA BY MID AFTERNOON. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT 12 PM AUTOMATED WEATHER PLATFORM AT DAUPHIN ISLAND REPORTED NORTH WINDS 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...50 TO 60 WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE ONLY A COUPLE HOURS AWAY FROM ONSET. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY JACKSON COUNTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AT 12 PM AT BURAS WINDS WERE NORTH 28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 37 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES...RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS OR OVER WATER CROSSINGS DUE TO THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. ...STORM SURGE... FOR COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...HURRICANE DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE NEAR PENSACOLA AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. THIS WILL PRODUCE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WHICH WILL PUSH WATER AWAY FROM THE COAST AND LIMIT STORM SURGE VALUES. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND A 1 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AFTER DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS COULD PUSH 1 TO 2 FEET OF STORM SURGE FROM BARATARIA BAY ONTO GRAND ISLE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL... RADAR SHOWS SQUALLS WITH HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTH ALABAMA MOVING WEST TOWARDS THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. THESE SQUALLS WILL MOVE WEST INTO THE EXTREME EASTERN PARISHES OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THESE SQUALLS BECOME MORE FREQUENT AND INTENSE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. SOMEWHAT LESSER RAIN AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 PM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 101810 CCA *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058>070-MSZ080>082-102000- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 100 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 CORRECTION FOR MASS MEDIA HEADER. ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST WITH 135 MPH WINDS... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO RUSH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY TO COMPLETION... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND SEEK SHELTER AT THIS TIME. EVACUATION ORDERS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR MUCH OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD ADHERE TO ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL OFFICIALS. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT THIS TIME AND SEEK SHELTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 12 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 135 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA BY MID AFTERNOON. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT 12 PM AUTOMATED WEATHER PLATFORM AT DAUPHIN ISLAND REPORTED NORTH WINDS 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...50 TO 60 WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE ONLY A COUPLE HOURS AWAY FROM ONSET. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY JACKSON COUNTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AT 12 PM AT BURAS WINDS WERE NORTH 28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 37 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES...RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS OR OVER WATER CROSSINGS DUE TO THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. ...STORM SURGE... FOR COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...HURRICANE DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE NEAR PENSACOLA AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. THIS WILL PRODUCE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WHICH WILL PUSH WATER AWAY FROM THE COAST AND LIMIT STORM SURGE VALUES. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND A 1 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AFTER DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS COULD PUSH 1 TO 2 FEET OF STORM SURGE FROM BARATARIA BAY ONTO GRAND ISLE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL... RADAR SHOWS SQUALLS WITH HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTH ALABAMA MOVING WEST TOWARDS THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. THESE SQUALLS WILL MOVE WEST INTO THE EXTREME EASTERN PARISHES OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THESE SQUALLS BECOME MORE FREQUENT AND INTENSE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. SOMEWHAT LESSER RAIN AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 PM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 101827 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-102012- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 127 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...CENTER OF DENNIS MAINTAINS NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION AND MOVES TOWARDS ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES OF THE EXTREME NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ..EXTREME WIND DAMAGE...FLOODING AND ISOLATED TORNADOES A CERTAINTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AROUND THE CENTER OF DENNIS DURING AND AFTER LANDFALL... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS HAVE CHANGED SINCE OUR LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT. FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 200 PM. A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED BY 2 PM CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY OF ESCAMBIA BAY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...ALL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. IF YOU DID NOT EVACUATE...SEEK SHELTER IN THE STURDIEST INTERIOR STRUCTURE YOU CAN FIND. SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL STILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE REGION THROUGH 2 PM CDT. STORM SURGE VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET ARE EXPECTED AROUND AND ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST OF DENNIS'S CENTER. THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD OVER ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA... ESPECIALLY EAST BAY. RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS ARE IN STORE THROUGH 5 PM CDT AS DENNIS APPROACHES. BE PREPARED! ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY NOON AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THIS WOULD RESULT IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE IN PROGRESS ALONG THE COAST BY 230 PM CDT. THESE WILL SPREAD INLAND BY 6 PM CDT. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR AROUND AND ESPECIALLY EAST OF DENNIS' CENTER. AFTER LANDFALL ...THE CENTER OF DENNIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS BALDWIN...CLARKE...CHOCTAW....ESCAMBIA AND MONROE COUNTIES OF ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COUNTIES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THE LATEST TRACK FORECAST AS UPDATES OCCUR. EXTENSIVE TO EXTREME TORNADO-LIKE WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE AROUND...AND ESPECIALLY JUST TO THE IMMEDIATE EAST OF DENNIS' EYE AS IT MOVES INLAND. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY! RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING... REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. LATEST RAINFALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RIVER FLOODING COULD BE WORSE THAN IVAN OF 2004...BUT NOT AS SEVERE AS HURRICANE GEORGES OF 1998. AREA RIVERS WILL GO INTO FLOOD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING MIDWEEK. THE RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK OF DENNIS. ...TORNADO THREAT...USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT OF HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS DENNIS PLOWS INLAND. TORNADO WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE IMMINENT THREAT. ...NEW INFORMATION... LATEST RAINFALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RIVER FLOODING COULD BE WORSE THAN IVAN OF 2004...BUT NOT AS SEVERE AS HURRICANE GEORGES OF 1998. NUMEROUS AREA RIVERS WILL GO INTO FLOOD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK OF DENNIS. INLAND RIVER FLOODING KILLS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 300 PM CDT...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED. $$ MEDLIN ** WTNT34 KNHC 101849 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25B NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE DENNIS WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO OF LANDFALL... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 PM CDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING JUST WEST OF DUE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...AND A GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE EYEWALL OF DENNIS IS JUST NOW REACHING THE COAST...AND THE CENTER OF DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL JUST EAST OF PENSACOLA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. DENNIS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 100 TO 150 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA...EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 2 PM CDT POSITION...30.2 N... 87.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...JUST WEST OF DUE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 943 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 101859 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 25B NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 2 PM CDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...HURACAN DENNIS CATEGORIA TRES DENTRO DE UNAS HORAS TOCA TIERRA ... UN AVISO DE HURACAN PERMANECE EN EFECTO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA AHORA EN EFECTO DESDE EL OESTE DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN....Y DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HASTA LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 2 PM CDT...1900Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 30.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 87.0 OESTE O COMO A 20 MILLAS AL ESTE SURESTE DE PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOIVENDO AL NORTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH Y UN MOVIMIENTO GENERAL AL NORTE NOROESTE SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS TOQUE TIERRA DENTRO DE UNA HORA O MENOS JUSTO AL ESTE DE PENSACOLA. DENNIS CONTINUA DEBILITANDOSE LENTAMENTE... Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 120 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES AHORA UN HURACAN CATEGORIA 3 EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. NO SE ESPERA CAMBIOS SIGNIFICATIVOS EN FORTALEZA EN LAS HORAS QUE RESTAN ANTES DE LLEGAR A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE HURACAN ASOCIADOS CON DENNIS PUDIERAN OCURRIR TAN LEJOS COMO 150 A 175 MILLAS EN TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DEL HURACAN. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 943 MILIBARAS...27.85 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 15 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO MAS TARDE HOY. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES ES POSIBLE EN EL RESTO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA...EL CENTRO OESTE DE FLORIDA...EL OESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL SUR Y CENTRO DE ALABAMA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 2 PM CDT...30.2 NORTE...87.0 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 18 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...120 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...943 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 101910 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-102200- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 310 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WEST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 PM EDT FOR MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EXTREME SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...TAYLOR AND DIXIE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED AT LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 80 MILES WEST OF PANAMA CITY AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOTHAN. DENNIS IS MOVING JUST WEST OF DUE NORTH AT NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST BETWEEN GULF BREEZE AND NAVARRE AROUND 330 PM EDT (230 PM CDT). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 943 MB...OR 27.85 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO AT OR NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN EAST TO WAKULLA COUNTY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST MAINLY FROM PANAMA CITY WESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS MAY EXTEND INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES... WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES). THE CHANCE OF INLAND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FARTHER EAST HAS DIMINISHED. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 1 PM CDT: TALLAHASSEE...30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 43 MPH. EGLIN AFB...36 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 56 MPH. BAINBRIDGE...23 MPH GUSTS OF 33 MPH. PANAMA CITY...23 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 MPH. MARIANNA...20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 33 MPH. CRESTVIEW...28 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH. DOTHAN...31 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 47 MPH. OZARK...29 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 41 MPH. PERRY...24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. CROSS CITY...17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 31 MPH. CEDAR KEY...39 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 43 MPH. C TOWER...48 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 56 MPH. BUOY 42039 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 49 MPH. BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 52 MPH. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA. THESE AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 4 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES. FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS HAS ALREADY OCCURRED AND WILL CONTINUE IN THESE AREAS...AND WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS FURTHER NORTH AND WEST. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THROUGH 2 PM CDT... TALLAHASSEE 5.29 INCHES IRON CITY 4.64 INCHES BAINBRIDGE 4.35 INCHES DESTIN 4.00 INCHES PANAMA CITY 3.32 INCHES DOTHAN 2.67 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST...STORM SURGES HAVE BEEN SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES HAVE EXPERIENCED A 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGE. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES...SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 22 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY...AND 21 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 9 FEET TODAY IN WAKULLA COUNTY AND 8 TO 10 FEET IN FRANKLIN COUNTY. LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED. WATER HAS PUSHED ACROSS ROUTE 98 NEAR APALACHICOLA AND THERE HAS BEEN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE THERE SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED IN 1985 WITH KATE AND ELENA. THE SHIELDS MARINA ON THE SAINT MARKS RIVER IS COMPLETELY FLOODED. TO THE EAST...TOTAL STORM TIDES WILL REACH 5 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES HAVE REPORTED 1 1/2 FOOT DEEP WATER OVER SEVERAL ROADS IN STEINHATCHEE AND JENA. SLIGHT RISES WILL CONTINUE THERE DUE TO ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 6 PM EDT. $$ WOOL/GOREE ** WTUS84 KBMX 101911 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-102200- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 211 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE DENNIS WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO OF LANDFALL... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES...EXCEPT FOR MARION AND WINSTON...THROUGH 11 PM CDT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES...EXCEPT FOR MARION AND WINSTON...THROUGH 11 PM CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM CDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING JUST WEST OF DUE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...AND A GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE EYEWALL OF DENNIS IS JUST NOW REACHING THE COAST...AND THE CENTER OF DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL JUST EAST OF PENSACOLA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...JUST EAST OF GULF BREEZE FLORIDA. DENNIS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES OF SUMTER...GREENE...HALE...PERRY...AND MARENGO. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. INLAND HURRICANE WARNING...FOR FAR SOUTHWEST AREAS INCLUDING SUMTER...GREENE...AND MARENGO COUNTIES...WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 100 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL START THIS EVENING AND WILL LAST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE DURATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE 8 TO 10 HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR MAY BE EXPERIENCED BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THESE WINDS WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES AND PRODUCE SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. INLAND HURRICANE WARNING...FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON...TO CLANTON...TO MONTGOMERY...TO TROY...WIND GUSTS TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND LAST THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY WITH TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING...FOR LOCATIONS NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON...TO CLANTON...TO MONTGOMERY...TO TROY...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA BEGINNING THIS EVENING AND LAST THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS RAIN IS IN ADDITION TO WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA THIS MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. TORNADO WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF THE AREA THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM WILL NOT ISSUE ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS DURING THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM. THE WIND WARNINGS IN PLACE NOW WILL COVER THE THREAT OF HIGH WINDS...OR WILL BE ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. IN ORDER TO IDENTIFY PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS BANDING FEATURES...SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED BECAUSE OF THEIR WIDESPREAD DISSEMINATION. IF ROTATION IS OBSERVED...TORNADO WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED. IF FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. && $$ LINHARES ** WTUS84 KJAN 101919 RRA *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-111615- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 215 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES MARCHING TOWARD THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CLARKE...FORREST... JASPER...JONES...KEMPER...LAMAR...LAUDERDALE...NESHOBA...AND NEWTON. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF ATTALA...CARROLL... CHOCTAW...CLAY...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES... JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LEFLORE...LOWNDES...MADISON...MARION... MONTGOMERY...NOXUBEE...OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON...SMITH ...WEBSTER...WINSTON...YAZOO... THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI REMAINS UNDER A WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORIES FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI OR AROUND 180 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MILES AN HOUR....AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THE EYEWALL OF DENNIS IS JUST NOW REACHING THE COAST...AND THE CENTER OF DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL JUST EAST OF PENSACOLA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. DENNIS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THEIR PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AS WELL AS TORRENTIAL RAIN LATE TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP AFTER 500 PM TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 70 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A LAUREL TO ROSE HILL TO DE KALB LINE TONIGHT. AS THE LOW CENTER APPROACHES PORTIONS OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR AFTER 3 AM MONDAY MORNING...NEAR THE STARKVILLE AND COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI COMMUNITIES...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH AND GUSTS TO 70 MILE AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MILES AN HOUR...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI AFTER 7 PM. THESE WINDS SHOULD THEN SPREAD WEST AND NORTH...AFFECTING COMMUNITIES IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE JACKSON METRO AREA. PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF DENNIS WILL SPREAD STRONGER WINDS WEST OF THIS LINE. DENNIS WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INLAND...AS IT MOVES ALONG A TRACK TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE BLOWN DOWN OR SEVERELY DAMAGED. DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS OF BUILDINGS...AND OTHER STRUCTURE DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT HURRICANE STRENGTH WELL INLAND... POSSIBLY EVEN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD AND LENGTHY POWER OUTAGES AS THOUSANDS OF TREES ARE BLOWN DOWN. ...NEW INFORMATION... ALTERATIONS TO THE CURRENT ADVISORIES...WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL BE MADE WITH THE 4 PM UPDATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY AFTER 4 PM CDT. $$ GAGAN ** WTUS84 KLIX 101937 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058>070-MSZ080>082-102130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 235 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS ABOUT TO MOVE ONSHORE... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO RUSH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY TO COMPLETION... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND SEEK SHELTER AT THIS TIME. EVACUATION ORDERS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR MUCH OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD ADHERE TO ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL OFFICIALS. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT THIS TIME AND SEEK SHELTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 120 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT 2 PM AUTOMATED WEATHER PLATFORM AT DAUPHIN ISLAND REPORTED NORTH WINDS 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 62 MPH. FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...50 TO 60 WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE ONLY A COUPLE COUPLE FEW HOURS AWAY FROM ONSET ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES... ESPECIALLY JACKSON COUNTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AT 2 PM AT BURAS WINDS WERE NORTH 32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 37 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. ...STORM SURGE... FOR COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE MOVING ASHORE NEAR PENSACOLA AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. THIS WILL PRODUCE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WHICH WILL PUSH WATER AWAY FROM THE COAST AND LIMIT STORM SURGE VALUES. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND A 1 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AFTER DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS COULD PUSH 1 TO 2 FEET OF STORM SURGE FROM BARATARIA BAY ONTO GRAND ISLE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL... RADAR SHOWS SQUALLS WITH HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTH ALABAMA MOVING WEST TOWARDS THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. THESE SQUALLS WILL MOVE WEST INTO THE EXTREME EASTERN PARISHES OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THESE SQUALLS BECOME MORE FREQUENT AND INTENSE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. SOMEWHAT LESSER RAIN AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 430 PM CDT. $$ ** WTNT64 KNHC 101940 *** TCUAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 335 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 RADAR OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT HURRICANE DENNIS MADE LANDFALL AT 1925Z...225 PM CDT...ON SANTA ROSA ISLAND BETWEEN NAVARRE BEACH AND PENSACOLA BEACH FLORIDA. DATA FROM THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER ON BOARD THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT...AS WELL AS FLIGHT-LEVEL OBSERVATIONS FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT...INDICATE THAT THE LANDFALL INTENSITY OF DENNIS WAS 100 TO 105 KT...115 TO 120 MPH...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 101954 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-102200- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 354 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WEST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 PM EDT FOR MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EXTREME SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...TAYLOR AND DIXIE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED AT LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 80 MILES WEST OF PANAMA CITY AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOTHAN. DENNIS IS MOVING JUST WEST OF DUE NORTH AT NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST BETWEEN GULF BREEZE AND NAVARRE AROUND 330 PM EDT (230 PM CDT). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 943 MB...OR 27.85 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO AT OR NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN EAST TO WAKULLA COUNTY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST MAINLY FROM PANAMA CITY WESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS MAY EXTEND INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES... WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES). THE CHANCE OF INLAND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FARTHER EAST HAS DIMINISHED. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 1 PM CDT: TALLAHASSEE...30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 43 MPH. EGLIN AFB...36 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 56 MPH. BAINBRIDGE...23 MPH GUSTS OF 33 MPH. PANAMA CITY...23 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 MPH. MARIANNA...20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 33 MPH. CRESTVIEW...28 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH. DOTHAN...31 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 47 MPH. OZARK...29 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 41 MPH. PERRY...24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. CROSS CITY...17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 31 MPH. CEDAR KEY...39 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 43 MPH. C TOWER...48 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 56 MPH. BUOY 42039 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 49 MPH. BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 52 MPH. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA. THESE AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 4 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES. FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS HAS ALREADY OCCURRED AND WILL CONTINUE IN THESE AREAS...AND WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS FURTHER NORTH AND WEST. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THROUGH 2 PM CDT... TALLAHASSEE 5.29 INCHES IRON CITY 4.64 INCHES BAINBRIDGE 4.35 INCHES DESTIN 4.00 INCHES PANAMA CITY 3.32 INCHES DOTHAN 2.67 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST...STORM SURGES HAVE BEEN SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES HAVE EXPERIENCED A 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGE. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES...SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 22 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY...AND 21 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 9 FEET TODAY IN WAKULLA COUNTY AND 8 TO 10 FEET IN FRANKLIN COUNTY. LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED. WATER HAS PUSHED ACROSS ROUTE 98 NEAR APALACHICOLA AND THERE HAS BEEN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE THERE SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED IN 1985 WITH KATE AND ELENA. THE SHIELDS MARINA ON THE SAINT MARKS RIVER IS COMPLETELY FLOODED. TO THE EAST...TOTAL STORM TIDES WILL REACH 5 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES HAVE REPORTED 1 1/2 FOOT DEEP WATER OVER SEVERAL ROADS IN STEINHATCHEE AND JENA. SLIGHT RISES WILL CONTINUE THERE DUE TO ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 6 PM EDT. $$ WOOL/GOREE ** WTUS84 KMOB 101955 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-102216- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 254 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...HURRICANE DENNIS MADE LANDFALL BETWEEN GULF BREEZE AND NAVARRE FLORIDA...CLOSEST TO ORIOLE BEACH FLORIDA... ..EXTREME WIND DAMAGE...FLOODING AND ISOLATED TORNADOES A CERTAINTY AFTER LANDFALL... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS HAVE CHANGED SINCE OUR LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT. FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 1100 PM THIS EVENING. BALDWIN...MOBILE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ARE NOT IN THE TORNADO WATCH. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 245 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED AT 30.4 NORTH LATITUDE...87.1 WEST LONGITUDE...OR NEAR ORIOLE BEACH FLORIDA. DENNIS WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WSR-88D RADAR OBSERVATIONS FROM BOTH EGLIN AIR FORCE BASE AND MOBILE ALABAMA SHOW 125 TO 135 MPH WINDS BETWEEN 5000 AND 7000 FEET OFF OF THE GROUND...WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF DENNIS OVER THE LANDFALL LOCATION. A PORTABLE WEATHER OBSERVATION STATION NEAR NAVARRE MEASURED A 121 MPH WIND GUST AT 211 PM CDT. EARLY INDICATIONS ARE THAT DENNIS IS LIKELY A CATEGORY THREE STORM...AND POSSIBLY A CATEGORY 4 STORM. WE WILL KNOW MORE AS MORE OBSERVATIONS BECOME AVAILABLE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...ALL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. IF YOU DID NOT EVACUATE...SEEK SHELTER IN THE STURDIEST INTERIOR STRUCTURE YOU CAN FIND. SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL STILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE REGION THROUGH 2 PM CDT. STORM SURGE VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET ARE EXPECTED AROUND AND ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST OF DENNIS'S CENTER. THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD OVER ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA... ESPECIALLY EAST BAY. RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS ARE IN STORE THROUGH 5 PM CDT OVER ESCAMBIA BAY AS DENNIS APPROACHES. BE PREPARED! TIDE LEVELS IN MOBILE BAY ARE GENERALLY LESS THAN 4 FEET DUE TO OFFSHORE WINDS AS DENNIS. SOME PILING OF WATER ON THE BAY SIDES OF BOTH THE FORT MORGAN PENINSULA AND DAUPHIN ISLAND ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE INCREASING NORTHEAST WIND FLOW. STORM TIDES OF 5 TO 7 FEET ARE POSSIBLE AT THESE LOCATIONS. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA BY NOON AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. THESE WILL SPREAD INLAND BY 6 PM CDT. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR AROUND AND ESPECIALLY EAST OF DENNIS' CENTER. AFTER LANDFALL ...THE CENTER OF DENNIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS BALDWIN...CLARKE...CHOCTAW....ESCAMBIA AND MONROE COUNTIES OF ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COUNTIES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THE LATEST TRACK FORECAST AS UPDATES OCCUR. EXTENSIVE TO EXTREME TORNADO-LIKE WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE AROUND...AND ESPECIALLY JUST TO THE IMMEDIATE EAST OF DENNIS' EYE AS IT MOVES INLAND. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY! RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING... REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. LATEST RAINFALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RIVER FLOODING COULD BE WORSE THAN IVAN OF 2004...BUT NOT AS SEVERE AS HURRICANE GEORGES OF 1998. AREA RIVERS WILL GO INTO FLOOD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING MIDWEEK. THE RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK OF DENNIS. ...TORNADO THREAT...USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT OF HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS DENNIS PLOWS INLAND. TORNADO WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE IMMINENT THREAT. ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE DENNIS MADE LANDFALL BETWEEN GULF BREEZE AND NAVARRE FLORIDA...CLOSEST TO ORIOLE BEACH FLORIDA. HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 300 PM CDT...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED. $$ MEDLIN ** WTNT54 KNHC 101956 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 3 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 3 PM CDT...2000Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 102027 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 2100Z SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND NOW EXTENDS FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED...AND NOW EXTEND FROM THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER AND FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 87.2W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 200SE 75SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 225SE 75SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 87.2W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 86.9W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.7N 88.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 35.2N 89.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 37.0N 89.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 37.8N 89.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 38.5N 88.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 38.5N 87.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 38.5N 87.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 87.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 102027 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT WED JUL 13 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 35.2N 89.2W 53 X X X 53 PENSACOLA FL 99 X X X 99 37.0N 89.5W 32 3 1 X 36 MOBILE AL 99 X X X 99 37.8N 89.2W 19 11 X 1 31 GULFPORT MS 2 X 1 1 4 PANAMA CITY FL 39 X X X 39 GULF 29N 87W 99 X X X 99 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE C FROM 1AM TUE TO 1PM TUE D FROM 1PM TUE TO 1PM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT84 KNHC 102032 *** TCVAT4 DENNIS WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 400 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 .HURRICANE DENNIS ALC003-097-FLC033-091-113-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-110300- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MS/AL-BORDER 30.38N 88.32W DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W $$ MSC045-047-059-GMZ555-575-110300- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050710T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W MS/AL-BORDER 30.38N 88.32W $$ FLC005-037-045-131-GMZ750-770-110300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050710T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W $$ FLC017-029-053-057-065-075-081-101-103-123-129-GMZ755-775-830-850- 853-870-873-110300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ LAC051-063-071-075-087-089-095-103-105-GMZ530-550-570-110300- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 GRAND-ISLE-LA 29.25N 89.96W MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W $$ FLC005-037-045-131-GMZ750-755-770-775-110300- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W $$ ATTN...WFO...LIX...TBW...TAE...MOB... ** WTNT34 KNHC 102044 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND NOW EXTENDS FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED...AND NOW EXTEND FROM THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER AND FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING JUST WEST OF DUE NORTH NEAR 21 MPH. A GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT. A FLORIDA COASTAL MONITORING PROGRAM TOWER...ON THE COAST NEAR NAVARRE BEACH FLORIDA...REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 99 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 121 MPH...NEAR THE TIME OF LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS LIKELY STILL OCCURRING NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS MADE LANDFALL. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY STILL OCCURRING ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...30.8 N... 87.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 6 PM CDT AND 8 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KTBW 102051 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870- 873-876-110300- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 450 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DENNIS MOVED ONSHORE AS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE NEAR PENSACOLA IN THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...NEW INFORMATION... ROADS REMAINED CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN CEDAR KEY AND YANKEETOWN. THE PEAK STORM TIDE AT CEDAR KEY WAS 7.1 FEET. THE STORM SURGE WILL REMAIN STEADY AT 3 FEET NEAR CEDAR KEY TO 1 TO 2 FEET SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. IN ADDITION...HIGH TIDES HAVE OCCURRED OR WILL OCCUR IN THE NEXT HOUR SO THE WATER LEVELS AT 5 PM ARE EXPECTED TO FALL 1 TO 2 FEET BY 8 PM. THE TORNADO THREAT HAS DIMINISHED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CITRUS... CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...POLK... SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LONG BOAT KEY NORTH THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THIS IS ABOUT 355 MILES NORTHWEST OF TAMPA BAY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE TORNADO THREAT HAS DIMINISHED. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES NORTH OF CLEARWATER BEACH. RAIN BANDS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4 WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AT 5 PM HIGHWAY 24 WEST OF BRIDGE 4 HAD 2 TO 3 FEET OVER WATER OVER THE ROAD. THE AIRPORT AND NUMEROUS STREETS ON CEDAR KEY WERE CLOSED. YANKEETOWN CONTINUED TO HAVE ROAD CLOSURES AND WATER ON THE ROADS IN DOWNTOWN AND COUNTY ROAD 40A WAS CLOSED WEST OF TOWN. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN THIS EVENING NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4. ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE NEAR CEDAR KEY. ELSEWHERE LOOK FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH A HALF INCH OF RAIN POSSIBLE. ...MARINE IMPACTS... WEST OF CEDAR KEY TO TAMPA BAY SEAS WERE RUNNING IN THE 10 TO 15 FOOT RANGE NEAR SHORE AND 15 TO 20 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY SEAS WERE 10 TO 15 FEET. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND THE BEACH PATROL. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 PM OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ NOAH ** WTNT44 KNHC 102059 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 DENNIS MADE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA AT 1925Z THIS AFTERNOON. THE LANDFALL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE 100 TO 105 KT...BASED ON FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 117 KT AT 1928Z...TWO STEPPED-FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER OBSERVATIONS OF 100 KT JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. DROPSONDE OBSERVATIONS AT LANDFALL ALSO SUPPORT THIS VALUE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 350/18. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ON A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH A GRADUAL RECURVATURE AND SLOWDOWN OR STALL IN THE OHIO VALLEY AFTER 48 HOURS...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THIS COULD RESULT IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE TRACK OF DENNIS...AND ITS REMNANTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD EXTEND PERHAPS 100 TO 150 MILES INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/2100Z 30.8N 87.2W 90 KT 12HR VT 11/0600Z 32.7N 88.0W 60 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 11/1800Z 35.2N 89.2W 30 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 12/0600Z 37.0N 89.5W 25 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 12/1800Z 37.8N 89.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 13/1800Z 38.5N 88.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 14/1800Z 38.5N 87.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 15/1800Z 38.5N 87.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 102110 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 26 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS ENTRA A TIERRA CERCA DE PENSACOLA COMO HURACAN CATEGORIA TRES... A LAS 4 PM CDT...2100Z...EL AVISO DE HURACAN HA SIDO REAJUSTADO Y EXTIENDE AHORA DESDE LA FRONTERA DE ALABAMA Y MISSISSIPPI HASTA DESTIN FLORIDA. EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL HA SIDO REAJUSTADO Y EXTIENDE AHORA DESDE DESDE EL RIO PEARL HASTA LA FRONTERA DE ALABAMA Y MISSISSIPPI Y DESDE DESTIN HASTA LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 4 PM CDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 30.8 NORTE...LONGITUD 87.2 OESTE O COMO A 20 MILLAS AL NORTE DE PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOIVENDO AL NORTE A CERCA DE 21 MPH Y UN MOVIMIENTO GENERAL AL NORTE NOROESTE CON UNA DISMINUCION EN SU VELOCIDAD ES ANTICIPADA POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 105 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES AHORA UN HURACAN CATEGORIA 2 EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS CONTINUE DEBILITANDOSE HASTA CONVERTIRSE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL DURANTE LA NOCHE. UNA TORRE DEL SISTEMA DE RASTREO COSTERO...SITUADA EN LA COSTA CERCA DE NAVARRE BEACH FLORIDA...REGISTRO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 99 MPH...CON RAFAGAS HASTA 121 MPH...CERCA DEL MOMENTO EN QUE EL HURACAN ENTRO A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 25 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS...MAYORMENTE AL SURESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 950 MILIBARAS...28.05 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 15 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON PROBABLES A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRO A LA COSTA. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES ES PROBABLE AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS A LO LARGO Y CERCA DE SU TRAYECTORIA A TRAVES DE LOS ESTADOS DEL SURESTE ENTRANDO AL VALLE DE OHIO POR LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 12 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES EN ASSOCIACION CON DENNIS. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE EL CENTRO Y EL SUR DE ALABAMA...CENTRO Y SUR DE GEORGIA...Y EL NORTE CENTRAL Y NORTOESTE DE FLORIDA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 PM CDT...30.8 NORTE...87.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 21 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...105 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...950 MILIBARAS. ADVERTENCIAS INTERMEDIAS SERA EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 6 PM Y 8 PM SEGUIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 102117 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-102315- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 417 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...THROUGH 6 PM CDT DENNIS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE INLAND PORTION OF THE EXTREME NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND OVER PORTIONS ON SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA... ...TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN LIKELY AROUND DENNIS' EYEWALL... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS HAVE CHANGED SINCE OUR LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT. FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 1100 PM THIS EVENING. BALDWIN...MOBILE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AS WELL AS INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ARE NOT IN THE TORNADO WATCH. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 415 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9 NORTH LATITUDE AND 87.3 WEST LONGITUDE...OR JUST SOUTHEAST OF ATMORE ALABAMA. DENNIS WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE BETWEEN 80 AND 100 MPH WITH WINDS GUSTS AS HIGH AS 120 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THE STORM HAS MADE LANDFALL. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE FLOODING IS LIKELY IN PROGRESS AT THIS TIME OVER ESCAMBIA BAY...ESPECIALLY EAST BAY WHERE WATER LEVELS COULD BE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE HAS PASSED. AS DENNIS MOVES FARTHER INLAND...WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY THROUGH 6 PM CDT WHICH WILL ALLOW THE STORM SURGE TO CONTINUE TO FALL. TIDE LEVELS IN MOBILE BAY ARE GENERALLY LESS THAN 4 FEET DUE TO OFFSHORE WINDS AS DENNIS. SOME PILING OF WATER ON THE BAY SIDES OF BOTH THE FORT MORGAN PENINSULA AND DAUPHIN ISLAND ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE INCREASING NORTHEAST WIND FLOW. STORM TIDES OF 5 TO 7 FEET ARE POSSIBLE AT THESE LOCATIONS. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND THROUGH 6 PM CDT. THIS WILL OCCUR AROUND AND ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST OF DENNIS' CENTER. THE CENTER OF DENNIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN BALDWIN... ESCAMBIA...SOUTHERN MONROE...CLARKE AND THEN CHOCTAW COUNTIES OF ALABAMA. OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 80 AND 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE QUITE COMMON NEAR THE STORM CENTER... ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE INTENSE EYEWALL CONVECTION. INLAND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE SIMILAR IN MAGNITUDE TO HURRICANE IVAN ALONG THE PATH OF DENNIS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY! RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. THROUGH 6 PM CDT...HOURLY RAINFALL RATES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 4 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION SURROUNDING DENNIS. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING... REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. LATEST RAINFALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RIVER FLOODING COULD BE WORSE THAN IVAN OF 2004...BUT NOT AS SEVERE AS HURRICANE GEORGES OF 1998. AREA RIVERS WILL GO INTO FLOOD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING MIDWEEK. THE RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK OF DENNIS. ...TORNADO THREAT...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE AS IT MOVES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. THE LATEST RADAR OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT ADDITIONAL TORNADO WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED. ...NEW INFORMATION... THROUGH 6 PM CDT...BRATT...JAY AND CENTURY FLORIDA...AS WELL AS ATMORE...BREWTON...BAY MINETTE AND PERDIDO ALABAMA WILL EXPERIENCE THE HIGHEST WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE EYE OF DENNIS. WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM CDT. $$ MEDLIN ** WTUS84 KBMX 102131 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-110100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 431 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...HURRICANE DENNIS MADE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA FLORIDA AROUND 230 PM CDT AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AND IS WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTH INTO ALABAMA... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A REFORM TO TUSCALOOSA TO CLANTON TO TROY LINE... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY NORTHEAST OF A REFORM TO TUSCALOOSA TO CLANTON TO TROY LINE... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA EXCEPT FOR MARION AND WINSTON COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A REFORM TO TUSCALOOSA TO CLANTON TO TROY LINE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY NORTHEAST OF A REFORM TO TUSCALOOSA TO CLANTON TO TROY LINE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA EXCEPT FOR MARION AND WINSTON COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH NEAR 21 MPH. A GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM AS A RESULT OF VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION... VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OF A REFORM TO TUSCALOOSA TO CLANTON TO TROY LINE. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY SINCE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS IS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TONIGHT. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A REFORM TO TUSCALOOSA TO CLANTON TO TROY LINE. WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THESE AREAS THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS...40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH...WILL OCCUR IN THESE AFFECTED AREAS THROUGH 3 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES AND SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS NORTHEAST OF A REFORM TO TUSCALOOSA TO CLANTON TO TROY LINE. WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY TONIGHT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING MAINLY BETWEEN 7 PM CDT AND 4 AM CDT. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS... 5 TO 8 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALL ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ALONG AND EAST OF THE CURRENT TRACK OF DENNIS...MAINLY AREAS EAST OF A HAMILTON TO TUSCALOOSA TO DEMOPOLIS LINE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL BETWEEN 6 PM CDT AND 2 AM CDT SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20...AND BETWEEN 8 PM CDT AND 6 AM CDT NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL FROM DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS FLOODING WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF A HAMILTON TO TUSCALOOSA TO DEMOPOLIS LINE TONIGHT. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF TORNADOES DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN-WRAPPED. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT FOR ALL BUT MARION AND WINSTON COUNTIES. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM WILL NOT ISSUE ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING DURING THIS TROPICAL EVENT. WIND WARNINGS MAY BE ADJUSTED DEPENDING ON THE LATEST TRACK OF DENNIS. IN ORDER TO IDENTIFY DANGEROUS SPIRAL BAND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES...SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED. IF ROTATION IS OBSERVED...TORNADO WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED. IF FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. && $$ MBS/91 ** WTUS84 KLIX 102140 *** HLSLIX MSZ080>082-110345- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 430 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA AS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE MISSISSIPPI BORDER... ...AREAS AFFECTED... FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS CLOSELY AND FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF PENSACOLA. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH AT 21 MPH. SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 105 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT 4 PM AUTOMATED WEATHER PLATFORM AT DAUPHIN ISLAND REPORTED NORTHWEST WINDS 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 44 MPH. GULFPORT AIRPORT WAS REPORTING NORTHWEST WINDS 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. A HAM RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED A RECENT 50 MPH WIND GUST AT THE GULFPORT AIRPORT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...35 TO 45 WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE LIKELY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. ...STORM SURGE... NO STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST DUE TO OFFSHORE NORTHWEST FLOW. SINCE THE NORTHWEST FLOW OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA IS LESS THAN 25 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE EVENING...THE THREAT OF STORM SURGE FLOODING IN ST TAMMANY PARISH AND FOR GRAND ISLE HAS DIMINISHED. ...RAINFALL... THE FAST MOVEMENT OF HURRICANE DENNIS WILL HELP LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF HEAVY RAIN THAT OCCURS ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 PM CDT. $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 102149 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-110100- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 548 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR AREAS EAST OF DESTIN... ...THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN EAST TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN EAST TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... DENNIS MADE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AT 225 PM CDT ON SANTA ROSA ISLAND BETWEEN NAVARRE BEACH AND PENSACOLA BEACH FLORIDA. AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED AT LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 110 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DOTHAN ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING JUST WEST OF DUE NORTH AT NEAR 21 MPH. A GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...OR 28.05 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND OVER COASTAL AND INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. HOWEVER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WALTON COUNTY COAST FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 4 PM CDT: EGLIN AFB...45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 62 MPH. AN EARLIER GUST REACHED 78 MPH. CRESTVIEW...31 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 51 MPH. PANAMA CITY...21 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 36 MPH. OZARK...24 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 33 MPH. DOTHAN...22 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 31 MPH. MARIANNA...18 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 31 MPH. TALLAHASSEE...23 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 37 MPH. CROSS CITY...12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH. CEDAR KEY...35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. C TOWER...41 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 46 MPH. BUOY 42039 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...33 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. THESE AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 4 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES. FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS HAS ALREADY OCCURRED AND WILL CONTINUE IN THESE AREAS...AND WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS FURTHER NORTH AND WEST. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THROUGH 4 PM CDT... TALLAHASSEE 5.97 INCHES PERRY 5.34 INCHES CROSS CITY 4.33 INCHES PANAMA CITY 3.43 INCHES DOTHAN 2.87 INCHES VALDOSTA 2.75 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST...STORM SURGES HAVE BEEN SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES HAVE EXPERIENCED A 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGE. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES...SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY WAS 16 FEET. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 9 FEET TODAY IN WAKULLA COUNTY AND 8 TO 10 FEET IN FRANKLIN COUNTY. LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED. WATER HAS PUSHED ACROSS ROUTE 98 NEAR APALACHICOLA AND THERE HAS BEEN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE THERE SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED IN 1985 WITH KATE AND ELENA. THE SHIELDS MARINA ON THE SAINT MARKS RIVER IS COMPLETELY FLOODED. TO THE EAST...TOTAL STORM TIDES WILL REACH 5 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES HAVE REPORTED 1 1/2 FOOT DEEP WATER OVER SEVERAL ROADS IN STEINHATCHEE AND JENA. NO ADDITIONAL RISES ARE ANTICIPATED. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 9 PM EDT. $$ ** WTNT54 KNHC 102152 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 5 PM CDT...2200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADARS NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST. THIS IS IN WESTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY ALABAMA ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF ATMORE. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTUS84 KJAN 102219 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-112230- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 519 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES A NORTH NORTHWEST TRACK INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO MONDAY MORNING... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM GRENADA TO CARTHAGE TO RALEIGH TO PURVIS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CLARKE...KEMPER...AND LAUDERDALE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF ATTALA...CARROLL... CHOCTAW...CLAY...COVINGTON...GRENADA...LEAKE...LOWNDES... MONTGOMERY...NOXUBEE...OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN...SCOTT...SMITH... WEBSTER...AND WINSTON. THE INLAND HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED AND REPLACED WITH AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR FORREST...JASPER...JONES... LAMAR...NESHOBA...AND NEWTON COUNTIES FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED AND REPLACED WITH A WIND ADVISORY FOR HINDS...HOLMES...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAWRENCE... LEFLORE...MADISON...MARION...RANKIN...SIMPSON AND YAZOO COUNTIES FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR LINCOLN AND COPIAH COUNTIES FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS ARE UNDER A LAKE WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM GRENADA...TO CARTHAGE...TO RALEIGH...TO PURVIS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM CDT...THE CENTER HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 105 MILES EAST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI OR AROUND 115 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MILES AN HOUR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. IN ADDITION CURFEWS HAVE BEEN ISSUED IN A FEW CITIES THROUGHOUT EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS AND CURFEW TIMES. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH...ARE ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST ROUGHLY UNTIL MIDNIGHT. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MILES AN HOUR...WILL SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD THIS EVENING...AFFECTING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. EXPECT RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WITH WIND BLOWN RAIN. IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...PARTICULARLY IN CLARKE...KEMPER AND LAUDERDALE COUNTIES...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 70 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 8 PM AND 2 AM. THE LOW CENTER WILL MOVE INTO EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR AFTER 3 AM MONDAY MORNING...NEAR THE STARKVILLE AND COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI COMMUNITIES. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH AND GUSTS TO 70 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. DENNIS WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INLAND ALONG A TRACK TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE BLOWN DOWN OR SEVERELY DAMAGED. DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS OF BUILDINGS...AND OTHER STRUCTURE DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT OR JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH AS ITS CENTER APPROACHES EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD AND LENGTHY POWER OUTAGES AS THOUSANDS OF TREES ARE BLOWN DOWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 7 PM CDT. $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 102257 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 6 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DENNIS WEAKENING OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA... ...STILL A DANGEROUS HURRICANE PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS... HEAVY RAINFALL...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES... AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...THE COASTAL HURRICANE WARNING AREA HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN. HOWEVER...INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE STILL IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FROM THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONROEVILLE ALABAMA IN EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTY ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH DENNIS HAS WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...IT IS STILL A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA COASTS. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER TONIGHT. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA. REPEATING THE 6 PM CDT POSITION...31.3 N... 87.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 961 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 102258 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-110110- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 557 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...THROUGH 730 PM CDT HURRICANE DENNIS WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST ACROSS ESCAMBIA...NORTHERN BALDWIN...SOUTHERN MONROE... CLARKE AND EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA... ...TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN LIKELY AROUND DENNIS' EYEWALL THROUGH 730 PM CDT... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS HAVE CHANGED SINCE OUR LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT. FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 1100 PM THIS EVENING. BALDWIN...MOBILE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AS WELL AS INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...ARE NOT...IN THE TORNADO WATCH. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 415 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1 NORTH LATITUDE AND 87.5 WEST LONGITUDE...OR JUST SOUTHWEST OF URIAH ALABAMA. DENNIS WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ONE MINUTE AVERAGE WIND SPEEDS ARE NOW BETWEEN 75 AND 95 MPH WITH WINDS GUSTS AS HIGH AS 105 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THE STORM HAS MADE LANDFALL. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS STILL FALLING BETWEEN MOBILE AND DESTIN. SURFACE WINDS ALONG THE COAST ARE BECOMING MORE WESTERLY SINCE 4 PM CDT. THIS WILL ALLOW A SLOW FALL OF STORM SURGE... ESPECIALLY OVER ESCAMBIA BAY...INCLUDING EAST BAY. AREA TIDE GAUGES AT 6 PM CDT SHOW 3.8 FEET AT DESTIN EAST PASS...3.5 FEET AT PERDIDO PASS...4.1 FEET AT SANTA ROSA SOUND...0.2 FEET AT MOBILE STATE DOCKS AND 1.3 FEET AT DAUPHIN ISLAND. ...WIND IMPACTS... THROUGH 730 PM CDT...HURRICANE DENNIS WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST ACROSS ESCAMBIA...NORTHERN BALDWIN...SOUTHERN MONROE... CLARKE AND EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 75 AND 95 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE QUITE COMMON NEAR THE STORM CENTER...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE INTENSE EYEWALL CONVECTION. INLAND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE SIMILAR IN MAGNITUDE TO HURRICANE IVAN ALONG THE PATH OF DENNIS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY! RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES. THROUGH 730 PM CDT...HOURLY RAINFALL RATES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 4 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION SURROUNDING DENNIS. OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS...A GENERAL 3 TO 4 INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THUS...GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. LATEST RAINFALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RIVER FLOODING COULD BE WORSE THAN IVAN OF 2004...BUT NOT AS SEVERE AS HURRICANE GEORGES OF 1998. AREA RIVERS WILL GO INTO FLOOD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING MIDWEEK. THE RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK OF DENNIS. ...TORNADO THREAT...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE AS IT MOVES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. THE LATEST RADAR OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT ADDITIONAL TORNADO WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED. ...NEWEST INFORMATION... THROUGH 730 PM CDT...CHRYSLER...CHOCTAW BLUFF...JACKSON...COFFEEVILLE AND WEST BEND WILL REMAIN IN THE PATH OF DENNIS' EYE. WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY ALONG THIS PATH. HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 730 PM CDT. $$ MEDLIN ** WTUS84 KMOB 102303 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-110110- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED POSITION TIME... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 603 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...THROUGH 730 PM CDT HURRICANE DENNIS WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST ACROSS ESCAMBIA...NORTHERN BALDWIN...SOUTHERN MONROE... CLARKE AND EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA... ...TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN LIKELY AROUND DENNIS' EYEWALL THROUGH 730 PM CDT... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS HAVE CHANGED SINCE OUR LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT. FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 1100 PM THIS EVENING. BALDWIN...MOBILE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AS WELL AS INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...ARE NOT...IN THE TORNADO WATCH. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 545 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1 NORTH LATITUDE AND 87.5 WEST LONGITUDE...OR JUST SOUTHWEST OF URIAH ALABAMA. DENNIS WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ONE MINUTE AVERAGE WIND SPEEDS ARE NOW BETWEEN 75 AND 95 MPH WITH WINDS GUSTS AS HIGH AS 105 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...THE STORM HAS MADE LANDFALL. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS STILL FALLING BETWEEN MOBILE AND DESTIN. SURFACE WINDS ALONG THE COAST ARE BECOMING MORE WESTERLY SINCE 4 PM CDT. THIS WILL ALLOW A SLOW FALL OF STORM SURGE... ESPECIALLY OVER ESCAMBIA BAY...INCLUDING EAST BAY. AREA TIDE GAUGES AT 6 PM CDT SHOW 3.8 FEET AT DESTIN EAST PASS...3.5 FEET AT PERDIDO PASS...4.1 FEET AT SANTA ROSA SOUND...0.2 FEET AT MOBILE STATE DOCKS AND 1.3 FEET AT DAUPHIN ISLAND. ...WIND IMPACTS... THROUGH 730 PM CDT...HURRICANE DENNIS WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST ACROSS ESCAMBIA...NORTHERN BALDWIN...SOUTHERN MONROE... CLARKE AND EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 75 AND 95 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE QUITE COMMON NEAR THE STORM CENTER...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE INTENSE EYEWALL CONVECTION. INLAND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE SIMILAR IN MAGNITUDE TO HURRICANE IVAN ALONG THE PATH OF DENNIS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY! RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES. THROUGH 730 PM CDT...HOURLY RAINFALL RATES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 4 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION SURROUNDING DENNIS. OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS...A GENERAL 3 TO 4 INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THUS...GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. LATEST RAINFALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RIVER FLOODING COULD BE WORSE THAN IVAN OF 2004...BUT NOT AS SEVERE AS HURRICANE GEORGES OF 1998. AREA RIVERS WILL GO INTO FLOOD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING MIDWEEK. THE RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK OF DENNIS. ...TORNADO THREAT...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE AS IT MOVES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. THE LATEST RADAR OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT ADDITIONAL TORNADO WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED. ...NEWEST INFORMATION... THROUGH 730 PM CDT...CHRYSLER...CHOCTAW BLUFF...JACKSON...COFFEEVILLE AND WEST BEND WILL REMAIN IN THE PATH OF DENNIS' EYE. WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY ALONG THIS PATH. HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 730 PM CDT. $$ MEDLIN ** WTNT84 KNHC 102307 *** TCVAT4 DENNIS WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 .HURRICANE DENNIS ALC003-097-FLC033-091-113-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-110300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050710T2300Z-000000T0000Z/ 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MS/AL-BORDER 30.38N 88.32W DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W $$ MSC045-047-059-GMZ555-575-110300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W MS/AL-BORDER 30.38N 88.32W $$ FLC005-017-029-037-045-053-057-065-075-081-101-103-123-129-131- GMZ750-755-770-775-830-850-853-870-873-110300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ ALC003-097-FLC033-091-113-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-110300- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MS/AL-BORDER 30.38N 88.32W DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W $$ ATTN...WFO...LIX...TBW...TAE...MOB... ** WTNT84 KNHC 102313 *** TCVAT4 DENNIS WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 .HURRICANE DENNIS ALC003-097-FLC033-091-113-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-110300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050710T2300Z-000000T0000Z/ 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MS/AL-BORDER 30.38N 88.32W DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W $$ MSC045-047-059-GMZ555-575-110300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W MS/AL-BORDER 30.38N 88.32W $$ FLC005-017-029-037-045-053-057-065-075-081-101-103-123-129-131- GMZ750-755-770-775-830-850-853-870-873-110300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ ALC003-097-FLC033-091-113-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-110300- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MS/AL-BORDER 30.38N 88.32W DESTIN-FL 30.39N 86.50W $$ FLC021-087-AMZ656-676 /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 600 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 $$ ATTN...WFO...LIX...TBW...TAE...MFL...MOB... ** WTCA44 TJSJ 102321 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 26A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 6 PM CDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS SE DEBILITA SOBRE EL SUROESTE DE ALABAMA... ...AUN ES UN HURACAN PELIGROSO QUE PRODUCE VIENTOS DANINOS... ...FUERTES LLUVIAS...POSIBLES TORNADOS... A LAS 6 PM CDT...2300Z...EL AVISO DE HURACAN EN LA COSTA HA SIDO REEMPLAZADO POR UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE LA FRONTERA DE ALABAMA Y MISSISSIPPI AL ESTE HASTA DESTIN FLORIDA. SIN EMBARGO...AVISOS DE HURACAN TIERRA ADENTRO AUN ESTAN EN EFECTO PARA PORCIONES DEL SUROESTE DE ALABAMA Y EL SURESTE DE LA PARTE ESTE CENTRAL DE MISSISSIPPI. EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA AHORA EN EFECTO DESDE EL RIO PEARL AL ESTE HASTA LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. PORCIONES DEL AREA BAJO AVISO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA PROBABLEMENTE SERA DESCONTINUADO MAS TARDE EN LA NOCHE. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 6 PM CDT...2300Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 31.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 87.5 OESTE O COMO A 25 MILLAS AL SUROESTE DE MONROEVILLE ALABAMA EN EL EXTREMO SUROESTE DEL CONDADO DE MONROE ALABAMA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOIVENDO AL NORTE NOROESTE HASTA 21 MPH. ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CON UNA DISMINUCION EN SU VELOCIDAD ES ANTICIPADA POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 80 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES AHORA UN HURACAN CATEGORIA 1 EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON...AUN SE CONSIDERA UN HURACAN PELIGROSO. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS CONTINUE DEBILITANDOSE HASTA CONVERTIRSE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 25 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS...MAYORMENTE AL SURESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA POR UN AVION DE NOAA ES DE 961 MILIBARAS...28.38 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 8 A 12 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON PROBABLES A LO LARGO DE LA PARTE NORTE DE FLORIDA Y LA COSTA DE ALABAMA. LA ALTURA DE MAREJADA CICLONICA HABRA DE DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE MAS TARDE EN LA NOCHE. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS A LO LARGO Y CERCA DE SU TRAYECTORIA A TRAVES DE LOS ESTADOS DEL SURESTE ENTRANDO AL VALLE DE OHIO POR LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 12 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES EN ASSOCIACION CON DENNIS. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE EL CENTRO Y EL SUR DE ALABAMA...CENTRO Y SUR DE GEORGIA...Y EL NORTE CENTRAL Y NORTOESTE DE FLORIDA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 6 PM CDT...31.3 NORTE...87.5 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 21 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...80 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...961 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 8 PM SEGUIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTUS84 KHUN 102330 *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-110300- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 630 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...HURRICANE DENNIS WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA THIS EVENING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS ALL THE TENNESSEE VALLEY COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY EVENING ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 57. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY EVENING FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF AN ELKMONT TO PRICEVILLE TO ARAB LINE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY FOR ALL OF NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONROEVILLE ALABAMA IN EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTY ALABAMA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ENSURE ALL LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS REMAIN SECURE...INCLUDING PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY OVERNIGHT AS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES INLAND. WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY 10 PM...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED SHORTLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH. ELSEWHERE...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY 10 PM...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. WINDS WILL PICK UP SLIGHTLY WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY TENNESSEE. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY MIDNIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO SATURATED GROUND ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. OVERALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA...CLOSEST TO THE STORM CENTER. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY TENNESSEE. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY EXIST INTO MONDAY AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 PM CDT. $$ PB ** WTUS84 KHUN 102334 CCA *** HLSHUN ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-110300- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 635 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...HURRICANE DENNIS WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA THIS EVENING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT COVERS ALL THE TENNESSEE VALLEY COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY EVENING ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 57. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY EVENING FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF AN ELKMONT TO PRICEVILLE TO ARAB LINE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY FOR ALL OF NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONROEVILLE ALABAMA IN EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTY ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ENSURE ALL LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS REMAIN SECURE...INCLUDING PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY OVERNIGHT AS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES INLAND. WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY 10 PM...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED SHORTLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH. ELSEWHERE...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY 10 PM...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. WINDS WILL PICK UP SLIGHTLY WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY TENNESSEE. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY MIDNIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO SATURATED GROUND ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. OVERALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA...CLOSEST TO THE STORM CENTER. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY TENNESSEE. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY EXIST INTO MONDAY AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 PM CDT. $$ PB ** WTUS82 KTAE 102338 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-110200- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 738 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN EAST TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT)... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN EAST TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT) FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 PM CDT....THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONROEVILLE ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH DENNIS HAS WEAKENED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE...IT IS STILL A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...OR 28.38 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...COASTAL AND INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME WIND REPORTS AT 7 PM (6 PM CDT): EGLIN AFB...32 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 47 MPH. CRESTVIEW...20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 31 MPH. APALACHICOLA...31 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 43 MPH. PANAMA CITY...21 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH. OZARK...21 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 32 MPH. DOTHAN...22 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH. MARIANNA...15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 26 MPH. TALLAHASSEE...28 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 37 MPH. KEATON BEACH...28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 34 MPH. CEDAR KEY...23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 28 MPH. C TOWER...32 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 36 MPH. BUOY 42039 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 31 MPH. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. THESE AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES. FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS HAS ALREADY OCCURRED AND WILL CONTINUE IN THESE AREAS...AND WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER AREAS FURTHER NORTH AND WEST. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THROUGH 7 PM EDT (6 PM CDT)... TALLAHASSEE 5.98 INCHES PERRY 5.44 INCHES CROSS CITY 4.50 INCHES PANAMA CITY 3.50 INCHES DOTHAN 3.10 INCHES VALDOSTA 3.54 INCHES ALBANY 2.31 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST...STORM SURGES HAVE BEEN SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD STILL SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES HAVE EXPERIENCED A 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGE. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION DUE TO LARGE BATTERING WAVES...SIMILAR TO HURRICANE IVAN. THE LATEST WAVE HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY WAS 16 FEET. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 9 FEET TODAY IN WAKULLA COUNTY AN