** WTSR20 WSSS 100600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTUS82 KTAE 101223 *** HLSTAE GMZ750-755-770-775-ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131- 142>148-155>161-101715- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 822 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF DOTHAN ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 931 MB...OR 27.49 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT EARLY THIS MORNING. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL EXTEND INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. IF DENNIS TURNS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST GEORGIA COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 7 AM EDT: APALACHICOLA...32 KNOTS GUSTS OF 43. PANAMA CITY...25 KNOTS GUSTS OF 35. BUOY 42309 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...47 KNOTS GUSTS OF 56. BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...41 KNOTS GUSTS OF 54. PEAK WIND GUSTS SO FAR INCLUDE: TALLAHASSEE...EAST AT 28 KTS APALACHICOLA...EAST AT 36 KTS PANAMA CITY...EAST AT 36 KTS VALDOSTA...SOUTH AT 35 KTS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVER CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER. SOILS ARE VERY WET. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN TWO HOURS. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 8 AM EDT... SEA HAG MARINA(STEINHATCHEE) 2.70 INCHES TALLAHASSEE 2.76 INCHES APALACHICOLA 2.46 INCHES PERRY 2.23 INCHES CROSS CITY 2.14 INCHES DOTHAN 1.77 INCHES PANAMA CITY 1.39 INCHES DOWLING PARK 1.30 INCHES VALDOSTA 1.15 INCHES NEWTON 1.15 INCHES GENEVA 1.02 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE STORM SURGE HAS ALREADY BEGAN ALONG THE COAST THIS MORNING. WITH THE CENTER OF DENNIS MOVING INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...STORM SURGES WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 FEET FROM PANAMA CITY BEACH WEST THROUGH DESTIN...WITH 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGES EAST OF PANAMA CITY BEACH TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND. STORM SURGES FROM SAINT GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST TO WAKULLA COUNTY WILL BE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET. STORM SURGES FROM WAKULLA COUNTY TO WESTERN TAYLOR COUNTY WILL BE FROM 5 TO 7 FEET. FROM EASTERN TAYLOR TO DIXIE COUNTY STORM SURGES WILL BE 4 TO 5 FEET. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1130 AM EDT. $$ BLOCK/HICKS $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 101258 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24B NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TOWARD NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...AT 8 AM CDT...1300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF OCHLOCKONEE RIVER IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM CDT...1300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS DENNIS HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...ALTHOUGH A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SATELLITE AND AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE EARLIER INTENSIFICATION TREND MAY BE ENDING. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE ESTIMATED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 8 AM CDT POSITION...28.7 N... 86.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 101305 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101500- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 800 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DENNIS IS NOW TRACKING IN A MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION AND WILL IMPACT NORTHWEST FLORIDA EARLIER THAN EXPECTED... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... WE WILL LEAVE ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS THEY ARE BUT WILL LIKELY HAVE TO MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS IN THE NEXT TWO HOURS AS DENNIS IS TRACKING IN A MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CLARKE...CONECUH... ESCAMBIA...MONROE...CHOCTAW...WILCOX AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND FOR WAYNE...GREENE...GEORGE...PERRY AND STONE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CRENSHAW AND COVINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 200 PM ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 745 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTH OF FORT WALTON BEACH FLORIDA. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS REMAINS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. DENNIS WAS MOVING NORTH AT 18 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. SOME TYPE OF EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES. IF YOU LIVE NEAR THE WATER AND ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE...DO SO. EVERY HURRICANE IS DIFFERENT AND JUST BECAUSE YOU HAVE MADE IT THROUGH OTHER STORMS WITH VERY LITTLE DAMAGE...DO NOT ASSUME THAT DENNIS WILL BE THE SAME. DON'T BE A STATISTIC. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. BECAUSE OF THE SMALL DIAMETER OF RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS OF DENNIS THE STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN TO BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FEET. THE LATEST TRACK PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM PENSACOLA TO DESTIN. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...THE WINDS FROM DENNIS WOULD BE MUCH HIGHER THAN HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER ARE NEARING THE COAST... WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THIS WOULD RESULT IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL VERY MOIST DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT HAS INCREASED OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND WILL SHIFT WEST INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATER TODAY. USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TODAY. ...NEW INFORMATION... DENNIS HAS TAKEN A MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION AND WILL LIKELY HAVE A GREATER IMPACT ACROSS COASTAL NORTHWEST FLORIDA THAN ON COASTAL SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. WE WILL MAKE ADJUSTMENTS TO ALL INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN THE NEXT TWO HOURS. WITH DENNIS TRACKING MORE NORTHERLY...INLAND COUNTIES ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA MAY SEE HIGHER WINDS THAN EARLIER THOUGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1000 AM OR EARLIER IF NEEDED. $$ BEELER ** WTUS84 KLIX 101315 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058>070-MSZ080>082-101600- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 830 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING TOWARD NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST WITH 145 MPH WINDS... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO RUSH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY TO COMPLETION... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD FINALIZE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...THAT WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. EVACUATION ORDERS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR MUCH OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD ADHERE TO ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...AND LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA FOR DETAILED INFORMATION. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TODAY WHICH MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 600 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 60 WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES THIS MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES...RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS OR OVER WATER CROSSINGS DUE TO THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. ...STORM SURGE... FOR COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...HURRICANE DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE. A STORM SURGE POTENTIAL OF 14 TO 19 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL IS LIKELY NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...AND PARTICULARLY HARRISON AND JACKSON COUNTIES...SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY VIGILANT FOR THIS EXTREME STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND TAKE NECESSARY ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND A 1 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. SOMEWHAT LESSER RAIN AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY THE EASTERN PORTION. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 AM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 101321 CCA *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058>070-MSZ080>082-101530- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 830 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 CORRECTION TO TIME OF HURRICANE DENNIS POSITION. ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING TOWARD NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST WITH 145 MPH WINDS... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO RUSH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY TO COMPLETION... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD FINALIZE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...THAT WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. EVACUATION ORDERS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR MUCH OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD ADHERE TO ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...AND LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA FOR DETAILED INFORMATION. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TODAY WHICH MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 60 WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES THIS MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES...RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS OR OVER WATER CROSSINGS DUE TO THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. ...STORM SURGE... FOR COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...HURRICANE DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE. A STORM SURGE POTENTIAL OF 14 TO 19 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL IS LIKELY NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...AND PARTICULARLY HARRISON AND JACKSON COUNTIES...SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY VIGILANT FOR THIS EXTREME STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND TAKE NECESSARY ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND A 1 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. SOMEWHAT LESSER RAIN AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY THE EASTERN PORTION. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 AM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KBMX 101321 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-101600- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 821 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS BEARING DOWN ON THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER AND MARENGO FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THROUGH 2 PM CDT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER AND MARENGO FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY TORNADO WATCH FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES THROUGH 2 PM CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM CDT...1300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS DENNIS HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...ALTHOUGH A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SATELLITE AND AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE EARLIER INTENSIFICATION TREND MAY BE ENDING. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE ESTIMATED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES OF SUMTER...GREENE...HALE...PERRY...AND MARENGO. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATER THIS MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR SOUTHWEST AREAS...WINDS GUSTS OF 70 TO 90 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE COUNTIES MOST AT RISK FOR THE HIGH WINDS ARE SUMTER...MARENGO...GREENE...HALE... PERRY...AND DALLAS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL START THIS EVENING AND WILL LAST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE DURATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE 8 TO 12 HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR MAY BE EXPERIENCED BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. FOR LOCATIONS IN THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. FOR LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY AREA...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA THIS MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. TORNADO WATCHES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR A LARGE PART OF THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM WILL NOT ISSUE ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS DURING THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM. THE WIND WARNINGS IN PLACE NOW WILL COVER THE THREAT OF HIGH WINDS...OR WILL BE ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. IN ORDER TO IDENTIFY PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS BANDING FEATURES...SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED. IF ROTATION IS OBSERVED...TORNADO WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING. && $$ LINHARES ** WTUS84 KJAN 101324 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074-101615- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 815 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES MARCHING TOWARD THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CLARKE...FORREST... JASPER...JONES...KEMPER...LAMAR...LAUDERDALE...NESHOBA...AND NEWTON. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF ATTALA...CARROLL... CHOCTAW...CLAY...COPIAH...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES... JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LEFLORE...LINCOLN... LOWNDES...MADISON...MARION...MONTGOMERY...NOXUBEE...OKTIBBEHA... RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON...SMITH...WEBSTER...WINSTON...YAZOO... THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI REMAINS UNDER A WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORIES FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI OR AROUND 280 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MILES AN HOUR....AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON SOMEWHERE BETWEEN PENSACOLA AND MOBILE BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 145 MILES AN HOUR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NOW 930 MILLIBARS... OR 27.46 INCHES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD FINALIZE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AS WELL AS TORRENTIAL RAIN LATE TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS HIGHER THAN HURRICANE FORCE...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP AFTER 500 PM TODAY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. GUSTS OF 70 TO 90 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A PURVIS TO BAY SPRINGS TO NEWTON TO DE KALB LINE TONIGHT. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MILES AN HOUR...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THESE WINDS SHOULD THEN SPREAD WEST AND NORTH...AFFECTING COMMUNITIES ALONG A BROOKHAVEN TO BRANDON TO STARKVILLE LINE BY MIDNIGHT. PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF DENNIS WILL SPREAD STRONGER WINDS WEST OF THIS LINE. AGAIN...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE WHEN HE MAKES LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE ONSHORE...DENNIS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE BLOWN DOWN OR SEVERELY DAMAGED. DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS OF BUILDINGS...AND OTHER STRUCTURE DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT HURRICANE STRENGTH WELL INLAND...POSSIBLY EVEN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD AND LENGTHY POWER OUTAGES AS THOUSANDS OF TREES ARE BLOWN DOWN. ...RAINFALL... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS EAST MISSISSIPPI. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE FAIRLY DRY...BUT THREE INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WILL PROMOTE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION. REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. THIS RAINFALL WILL ALSO RESULT IN RAPID RISES IN AREA RIVERS LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH SEVERAL RIVERS ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 PROBABLY GOING INTO MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING BETWEEN MONDAY AND WEDNESDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1100 AM CDT. $$ CRAVEN ** WTCA44 TJSJ 101329 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 24B NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 8 AM CDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ... EL EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN DENNIS CONTINUA HACIA LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO... ...A LAS 8 AM CDT...1300Z...EL AVISO DE HURACAN AL ESTE DEL RIO OCHLOCKONEE ES CAMBIADO A UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL. UN AVISO DE HURACAN AHORA ESTA EN EFECTO DESDE EL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO AL OESTE DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA EL ESTE DE LA CIUDAD MORGAN LOUISIANA...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE D FLORIDA DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA PLAYA BONITA. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 8 AM CDT...1300Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 28.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.4 OESTE O COMO A 125 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE PENSACOLA FLORIDA Y COMO A 175 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. POR LAS PASADAS HORAS DENNIS SE HA ESTADO MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH...AUNQUE SE ESPERA QUE VUELVA A MOVERSE HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE MAS TARDE HOY. EN ESTE MOVIMIENTO DEBERA SITUAR EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CRUZANDO LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. LAS IMAGENES DE SATELITE Y OBSERVACIONES DEL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO SUGIEREN QUE EL PATRON DE INTENSIFICACION OCURRIDO ANTERIORMENTE PUDIERA ESTAR TERMINANDO. SON PROBABLES ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN INTENSIDAD ANTES DE QUE LLEGUE A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE HURACAN ASOCIADOS CON DENNIS PUDIERAN OCURRIR TAN LEJOS COMO 150 A 175 MILLAS EN TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DEL HURACAN. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 93O MILIBARAS...27.46 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 15 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO MAS TARDE HOY. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES ES POSIBLE EN EL RESTO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA...EL SUROESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL SUR DE ALABAMA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 8 AM CDT...28.7 NORTE...86.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...930 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT54 KNHC 101351 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 9 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 9 AM CDT...1400Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 101420 *** HLSTAE GMZ750-755-770-775-ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131- 142>148-155>161-101845- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1019 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF DOTHAN ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 931 MB...OR 27.49 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT LATER THIS MORNING. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY EXTEND INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES... WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES) AND OVER WESTERN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (COFFEE AND GENEVA COUNTIES). HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WILL LIKELY EXTEND TO THE REST OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (DALE...HOUSTON AND HENRY COUNTIES) AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (JACKSON...CALHOUN AND GULF). THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 10 AM EDT: TALLAHASSEE...36 MPH GUSTS OF 45. PANAMA CITY...32 MPH GUSTS OF 49 MPH. BUOY 42309 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...54 KNOTS GUSTS OF 67. BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...41 KNOTS GUSTS OF 54. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVER CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER. SOILS ARE VERY WET. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN TWO HOURS. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 10 AM EDT... TALLAHASSEE 3.19 INCHES APALACHICOLA 3.09 INCHES BAINBRIDGE 2.70 INCHES ST MARKS 2.70 INCHES STEINHATCHEE 2.70 INCHES DOTHAN 1.91 INCHES DOWLING PARK 1.30 INCHES BRISTOL 1.30 INCHES NEWTON 1.15 INCHES TIFTON 1.05 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST... STORM SURGES WILL BE SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY COUNTY IS LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE 5 TO 8 FOOT SURGE... AND THE BARRIER ISLANDS A CAPES ALONG GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES SHOULD SEE 4 TO 6 FOOT SURGES. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES... SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 33 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY...AND 22 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 8 FEET THIS MORNING IN WAKULLA COUNTY. AN APPROACHING RAIN BAND MAY PUSH ANOTHER FOOT INTO THE APALACHEE BAY AREA FROM THE OCHLOCKNEE BAY TO THE AUCILLA RIVER. THESE AREAS OF WAKULLA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY CAN EXPECT THESE WATER LEVELS TO REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THEIR CURRENT LEVELS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH TIDE WILL HELP TO KEEP THESE LEVELS AT NEAR THE SAME LEVEL. TO THE EAST... TOTAL STORM TIDES SHOULD APPROACH 4 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER MOUTH. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 4 TO 10 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1200 PM EDT. BLOCK/GOREE $$ $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 101420 *** HLSTAE GMZ750-755-770-775-ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131- 142>148-155>161-101845- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1019 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF DOTHAN ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 931 MB...OR 27.49 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT LATER THIS MORNING. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY EXTEND INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES... WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES) AND OVER WESTERN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (COFFEE AND GENEVA COUNTIES). HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WILL LIKELY EXTEND TO THE REST OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (DALE...HOUSTON AND HENRY COUNTIES) AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (JACKSON...CALHOUN AND GULF). THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 10 AM EDT: TALLAHASSEE...36 MPH GUSTS OF 45. PANAMA CITY...32 MPH GUSTS OF 49 MPH. BUOY 42309 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...54 KNOTS GUSTS OF 67. BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...41 KNOTS GUSTS OF 54. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVER CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER. SOILS ARE VERY WET. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN TWO HOURS. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 10 AM EDT... TALLAHASSEE 3.19 INCHES APALACHICOLA 3.09 INCHES BAINBRIDGE 2.70 INCHES ST MARKS 2.70 INCHES STEINHATCHEE 2.70 INCHES DOTHAN 1.91 INCHES DOWLING PARK 1.30 INCHES BRISTOL 1.30 INCHES NEWTON 1.15 INCHES TIFTON 1.05 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST... STORM SURGES WILL BE SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY COUNTY IS LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE 5 TO 8 FOOT SURGE... AND THE BARRIER ISLANDS A CAPES ALONG GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES SHOULD SEE 4 TO 6 FOOT SURGES. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES... SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 33 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY...AND 22 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 8 FEET THIS MORNING IN WAKULLA COUNTY. AN APPROACHING RAIN BAND MAY PUSH ANOTHER FOOT INTO THE APALACHEE BAY AREA FROM THE OCHLOCKNEE BAY TO THE AUCILLA RIVER. THESE AREAS OF WAKULLA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY CAN EXPECT THESE WATER LEVELS TO REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THEIR CURRENT LEVELS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH TIDE WILL HELP TO KEEP THESE LEVELS AT NEAR THE SAME LEVEL. TO THE EAST... TOTAL STORM TIDES SHOULD APPROACH 4 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER MOUTH. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 4 TO 10 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1200 PM EDT. BLOCK/GOREE $$ $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 101430 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 1500Z SUN JUL 10 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED WEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...AND SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE......INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN...AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 86.7W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT.......120NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......150NE 200SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 200SE 80SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 86.7W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 86.3W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.5N 87.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 200SE 80SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.9N 88.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.8N 89.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.5N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 38.5N 88.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 39.0N 86.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 39.0N 86.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 86.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 101440 *** HLSTAE GMZ750-755-770-775-ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131- 142>148-155>161-101700- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1039 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF DOTHAN ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 931 MB...OR 27.49 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT LATER THIS MORNING. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY EXTEND INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES... WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES) AND OVER WESTERN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (COFFEE AND GENEVA COUNTIES). HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WILL LIKELY EXTEND TO THE REST OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (DALE...HOUSTON AND HENRY COUNTIES) AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (JACKSON...CALHOUN AND GULF). THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 10 AM EDT: TALLAHASSEE...36 MPH GUSTS OF 45. PANAMA CITY...32 MPH GUSTS OF 49 MPH. BUOY 42309 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...54 KNOTS GUSTS OF 67. BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...41 KNOTS GUSTS OF 54. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVER CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER. SOILS ARE VERY WET. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN TWO HOURS. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 10 AM EDT... TALLAHASSEE 3.19 INCHES APALACHICOLA 3.09 INCHES BAINBRIDGE 2.70 INCHES ST MARKS 2.70 INCHES STEINHATCHEE 2.70 INCHES DOTHAN 1.91 INCHES DOWLING PARK 1.30 INCHES BRISTOL 1.30 INCHES NEWTON 1.15 INCHES TIFTON 1.05 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST... STORM SURGES WILL BE SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY COUNTY IS LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE 5 TO 8 FOOT SURGE... AND THE BARRIER ISLANDS A CAPES ALONG GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES SHOULD SEE 4 TO 6 FOOT SURGES. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES... SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 33 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY...AND 22 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 8 FEET THIS MORNING IN WAKULLA COUNTY. AN APPROACHING RAIN BAND MAY PUSH ANOTHER FOOT INTO THE APALACHEE BAY AREA FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE BAY TO THE AUCILLA RIVER. THESE AREAS OF WAKULLA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY CAN EXPECT THESE WATER LEVELS TO REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THEIR CURRENT LEVELS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH TIDE WILL HELP TO KEEP THESE LEVELS AT NEAR THE SAME LEVEL. TO THE EAST... TOTAL STORM TIDES SHOULD APPROACH 4 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER MOUTH. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 4 TO 10 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1200 PM EDT. $$ BLOCK/GOREE/WOOL ** WTNT34 KNHC 101451 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DENNIS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE COASTLINE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED WEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...AND SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA...EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...29.4 N... 86.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT NOON CDT AND 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 101451 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT WED JUL 13 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 33.9N 88.8W 45 1 X X 46 MOBILE AL 73 X X X 73 35.8N 89.3W 17 14 1 X 32 GULFPORT MS 11 X X 1 12 37.5N 89.0W 1 17 5 2 25 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 1 2 APALACHICOLA FL 2 X X 1 3 GULF 29N 85W 11 X X X 11 PANAMA CITY FL 28 X X X 28 GULF 29N 87W 99 X X X 99 PENSACOLA FL 94 X X X 94 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON C FROM 7PM MON TO 7AM TUE D FROM 7AM TUE TO 7AM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT84 KNHC 101456 *** TCVAT4 DENNIS WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 .HURRICANE DENNIS ALC003-097-FLC005-033-037-045-091-113-131-MSC045-047-059-GMZ555- 575-630-650-655-670-675-750-755-770-775-102100- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W $$ FLC065-123-129-102100- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050710T1500Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W $$ LAC051-063-071-075-087-089-095-103-105-GMZ530-550-570-102100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 GRAND-ISLE-LA 29.25N 89.96W MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W $$ FLC017-029-053-057-075-081-101-103-GMZ830-850-853-870-873-102100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ LAC057-109-102100- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W GRAND-ISLE-LA 29.25N 89.96W $$ FLC015-027-071-115-GMZ856-876-102100- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W BONITA-BEACH-FL 26.33N 81.85W $$ ATTN...WFO...LIX...TBW...TAE...MOB... ** WTNT44 KNHC 101502 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 RECONNAISSANCE WIND AND PRESSURE DATA...AS WELL AS SATELLITE IMAGERY...INDICATE THAT THE EARLIER INTENSIFICATION TREND HAS CEASED. MOST RECENT ESTIMATED PRESSURE WAS 930 MB...AND THE HIGHEST RECENT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS WERE 131 KT. BASED ON THESE OBSERVATIONS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED SLIGHTLY TO 120 KT. ALTHOUGH DENNIS IS NOW MOVING OVER WATERS OF SOMEWHAT LOWER HEAT CONTENT...IT IS MOVING RAPIDLY ENOUGH THAT ONLY MODEST CHANGES IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE THRESHOLD BETWEEN SAFFIR-SIMPSON CATEGORIES THREE AND FOUR. AFTER AN EARLIER NORTHWARD WOBBLE...DENNIS IS NOW BACK ON A NORTH-NORTHWEST HEADING...340 DEGREES...BUT AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED. THIS MOVES THE TIMING OF LANDFALL UP A FEW HOURS...TO MID-AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE A COUPLE HOURS IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED ABOUT 30 MILES TO THE EAST AS A RESULT OF THE EARLIER NORTHWARD JOG...AND LIES ON THE RIGHT-HAND SIDE OF A TIGHTLY CLUSTERED GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE REMNANTS OF THE HURRICANE ARE EXPECTED TO STALL IN THE VICINITY OF THE OHIO VALLEY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1500Z 29.4N 86.7W 120 KT 12HR VT 11/0000Z 31.5N 87.8W 85 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 11/1200Z 33.9N 88.8W 50 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 12/0000Z 35.8N 89.3W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 12/1200Z 37.5N 89.0W 25 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 13/1200Z 38.5N 88.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 14/1200Z 39.0N 86.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 15/1200Z 39.0N 86.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 101509 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 25 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...EL EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN DENNIS MOVIENDOSE UN POCO MAS RAPIDO HACIA LA COSTA... UN AVISO DE HURACAN PERMANECE EN EFECTO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL HA SIDO DESCONTINUADO AL OESTE DE GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...Y AL SUR DE LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA AHORA EN EFECTO DESDE EL OESTE DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN....Y DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HASTA LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 29.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.7 OESTE O COMO A 125 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE MOBILE ALABAMA Y COMO A 80 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOIVENDO HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 18 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...ES ESPERA QUE DENNIS TOQUE TIERRA ESTA TARDE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 140 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ALGUN LEVE DEBILITAMIENTO ADICIONAL ES POSIBLE ANTES DE TOCAR TIERRA...SIN EMBARGO...SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS LLEGUE A LA COSTA ENTRE LA CATEGORIA TRES/CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 930 MILIBARAS...27.46 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 15 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO MAS TARDE HOY. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES ES POSIBLE EN EL RESTO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA...EL SUROESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL SUR DE ALABAMA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 10 AM CDT...29.4 NORTE...86.7 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 18 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...140 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...930 MILIBARAS. ADVERTENCIAS INTERMEDIAS SERA EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES AL MEDIODIA CDT Y LAS 2 PM CDT SEGUIDO POR UNA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KTBW 101510 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870- 873-876-102030- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1110 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS CLOSING IN ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LONG BOAT KEY TO THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...NEW INFORMATION... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED SOUTH OF LONG BOAT KEY ALONG THE BORDER OF MANATEE AND SARASOTA COUNTIES. AT 11 AM HURRICANE DENNIS WAS 210 MILES WEST OF CEDAR KEY AND CONTINUED TO BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 140 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STORM SURGE ESTIMATES FOR LEVY COUNTY HAS INCREASED TO 5 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE...AND 4 TO 5 FEET FROM CITRUS TO PASCO COUNTY. THE WATER IN TAMPA BAY WAS NEAR ITS PEAK AROUND 3.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY FALL THIS AFTERNOON. AREAS TO THE SOUTH WILL REMAIN ABOUT 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE HOWARD FRANKLIN BRIDGE... MEDERIA BEACH AND TERRA VERDE HAVE BEEN REPORTED. LOW LAND FLOODING OF CEDAR KEY AND YANKEETOWN IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. A TORNADO WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT FOR LEVY...CITRUS... SUMTER...HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK... MANATEE...SARASOTA...HARDEE...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE AREA CONTINUES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CITRUS... CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...POLK... SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LONG BOAT KEY NORTH THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DESOTO... HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT FOR LEVY...CITRUS... SUMTER...HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK... MANATEE...SARASOTA...HARDEE...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE COUNTIES. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 10 AM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... SHORT LIVED TORNADOES AND MARINE WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE CHANCE WILL INCREASE IF THE SUN BEGINS TO SHINE AND HELPS TO BUILD THE STORMS HIGER. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES NORTH OF SAINT PETE BEACH. RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE SURGE SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY WAS FALLING WHILE THE SURGE IN THE BAY WAS STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING. STORM SURGE ESTIMATES FOR LEVY COUNTY HAS INCREASED TO 5 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE...AND 4 TO 5 FEET FROM CITRUS TO PASCO COUNTY. THE SURGE NORTH OF TAMPA WILL BEGIN TO FALL BY 2 PM. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. THE PEACE AND MYAKKA RIVERS WILL REMAIN IN MINOR FLOOD. ALL OTHER RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SEAS ARE RUNNING IN THE 10 TO 15 FOOT RANGE NEAR SHORE AND 15 TO 20 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND THE BEACH PATROL. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 530 PM. $$ NOAH ** WTNT34 KNHC 101513 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 25...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...CORRECTED TO ADD STATEMENT ABOUT INLAND PENETRATION OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN PARAGRAPH NINE... ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DENNIS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE COASTLINE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED WEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...AND SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA...EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...29.4 N... 86.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT NOON CDT AND 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 101517 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-101945- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1116 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...TAYLOR AND DIXIE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA...85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY...162 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE AND 160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FROM DOTHAN. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST AROUND 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...OR 27.46 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO AT OR NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM PENSACOLA EAST TO WAKULLA COUNTY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST AFTER MIDDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY EXTEND INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES... WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES) AND OVER WESTERN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (COFFEE AND GENEVA COUNTIES). HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WILL LIKELY EXTEND TO THE REST OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (DALE...HOUSTON AND HENRY COUNTIES) AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (JACKSON...CALHOUN AND GULF). THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 11 AM EDT: TALLAHASSEE...40 MPH GUSTS OF 53 MPH. EGLIN AFB...44 MPH GUSTS OF 53 MPH BAINBRIDGE...33 MPH GUSTS OF 44 MPH PANAMA CITY...33 MPH GUSTS OF 51 MPH. CRESTVIEW...28 MPH GUSTS OF 46 MPH PERRY...24 MPH GUSTS TO 36 MPH C TOWER///60 MPH GUSTS OF 69 MPH BUOY 42309 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...42 KNOTS GUSTS OF 60. BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...47 KNOTS GUSTS OF 64. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVERS CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER AND THE ST MARKS RIVER AT NEWPORT. SOILS ARE VERY WET. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN TWO HOURS. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 10 AM EDT... TALLAHASSEE 3.19 INCHES APALACHICOLA 3.09 INCHES BAINBRIDGE 2.70 INCHES ST MARKS 2.70 INCHES STEINHATCHEE 2.70 INCHES DOTHAN 1.91 INCHES DOWLING PARK 1.30 INCHES BRISTOL 1.30 INCHES NEWTON 1.15 INCHES TIFTON 1.05 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST... STORM SURGES WILL BE SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY COUNTY IS LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE 5 TO 8 FOOT SURGE... AND THE BARRIER ISLANDS A CAPES ALONG GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES SHOULD SEE 4 TO 6 FOOT SURGES. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES... SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 33 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY...AND 22 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 8 FEET THIS MORNING IN WAKULLA COUNTY. AN APPROACHING RAIN BAND MAY PUSH ANOTHER FOOT INTO THE APALACHEE BAY AREA FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE BAY TO THE AUCILLA RIVER. THESE AREAS OF WAKULLA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY CAN EXPECT THESE WATER LEVELS TO REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THEIR CURRENT LEVELS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH TIDE WILL HELP TO KEEP THESE LEVELS AT NEAR THE SAME LEVEL. TO THE EAST... TOTAL STORM TIDES SHOULD APPROACH 4 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER MOUTH. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 2 TO 8 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 230 PM EDT. BLOCK $$ $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 101523 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101730- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 952 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DENNIS HAS RESUMED A NORTHWEST MOTION SINCE 8 AM CDT... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... WE WILL LEAVE MOST WATCHES AND WARNINGS UNCHANGED SINCE THE LAST STATEMENT...EXCEPT GEORGE AND GREENE COUNTIES OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING. FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 200 PM. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA...OR ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SOMEWHERE BETWEEN GULF SHORES ALABAMA AND PENSACOLA FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 930 MB OR 27.46 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...ALL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. IF YOU DID NOT EVACUATE...SEEK SHELTER IN THE STURDIEST INTERIOR STRUCTURE YOU CAN FIND. SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY. BECAUSE OF THE SMALL DIAMETER OF DENNIS...STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN TO BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FEET. THE LATEST TRACK PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...THE WINDS FROM DENNIS WOULD BE MUCH HIGHER THAN HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER ARE NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY MIDDAY AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THIS WOULD RESULT IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING... REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE AS THE CENTER OF DENNIS PASSES WEST OF ANY COASTAL LOCATION. USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TODAY. ...NEW INFORMATION... WE WILL BEGIN PREPARING THESE STATEMENTS EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS AND REFLECTING SHORT-TERM FORECASTS OF THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES. DENNIS HAS RESUMED A NORTHWEST MOTION AND THE RATE OF FORWARD SPEED HAS INCREASED TO NEAR 20 MPH. USING THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS AS PERSISTENCE AND EXTRAPOLATING THOSE TRENDS...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WOULD PASS SOMEWHERE BETWEEN GULF SHORES AND PENSACOLA. ALSO...AS DENNIS'S CENTER MOVES INLAND...THIS PRODUCT WILL CONTAIN INFORMATION FOR INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND NOON...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED. $$ MEDLIN ** WTNT74 KNHC 101523 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT WED JUL 13 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 33.9N 88.8W 45 1 X X 46 MOBILE AL 73 X X X 73 35.8N 89.3W 17 14 1 X 32 GULFPORT MS 11 X X 1 12 37.5N 89.0W 1 17 5 2 25 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 1 2 APALACHICOLA FL 2 X X 1 3 GULF 29N 85W 11 X X X 11 PANAMA CITY FL 28 X X X 28 GULF 29N 87W 99 X X X 99 PENSACOLA FL 94 X X X 94 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON C FROM 7PM MON TO 7AM TUE D FROM 7AM TUE TO 7AM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 101533 CCA *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-101945- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1116 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 CORRECTED LATEST WIND OBSERVATIONS. ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...TAYLOR AND DIXIE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA...85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY...162 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE AND 160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FROM DOTHAN. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST AROUND 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...OR 27.46 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO AT OR NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM PENSACOLA EAST TO WAKULLA COUNTY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST AFTER MIDDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY EXTEND INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES... WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES) AND OVER WESTERN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (COFFEE AND GENEVA COUNTIES). HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WILL LIKELY EXTEND TO THE REST OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (DALE...HOUSTON AND HENRY COUNTIES) AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (JACKSON...CALHOUN AND GULF). THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 11 AM EDT: TALLAHASSEE...30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 46 MPH. EGLIN AFB...38 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 46 MPH. BAINBRIDGE...29 MPH GUSTS OF 38 MPH. PANAMA CITY...29 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 44 MPH. CRESTVIEW...24 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH. PERRY...21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 31 MPH. C TOWER...56 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 63 MPH. BUOY 42309 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...47 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 64 MPH. BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...43 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 64 MPH. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVERS CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER AND THE ST MARKS RIVER AT NEWPORT. SOILS ARE VERY WET. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN TWO HOURS. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 10 AM EDT... TALLAHASSEE 3.19 INCHES APALACHICOLA 3.09 INCHES BAINBRIDGE 2.70 INCHES ST MARKS 2.70 INCHES STEINHATCHEE 2.70 INCHES DOTHAN 1.91 INCHES DOWLING PARK 1.30 INCHES BRISTOL 1.30 INCHES NEWTON 1.15 INCHES TIFTON 1.05 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST... STORM SURGES WILL BE SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY COUNTY IS LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE 5 TO 8 FOOT SURGE... AND THE BARRIER ISLANDS A CAPES ALONG GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES SHOULD SEE 4 TO 6 FOOT SURGES. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES... SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 33 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY...AND 23 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 8 FEET THIS MORNING IN WAKULLA COUNTY. AN APPROACHING RAIN BAND MAY PUSH ANOTHER FOOT INTO THE APALACHEE BAY AREA FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE BAY TO THE AUCILLA RIVER. THESE AREAS OF WAKULLA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY CAN EXPECT THESE WATER LEVELS TO REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THEIR CURRENT LEVELS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NORMAL HIGH TIDE WILL HELP TO KEEP THESE LEVELS AT NEAR THE SAME LEVEL. TO THE EAST... TOTAL STORM TIDES SHOULD APPROACH 4 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER MOUTH. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 2 TO 8 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 230 PM EDT. $$ BLOCK/WOOL ** WTUS84 KLIX 101540 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058>070-MSZ080>082-101800- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1030 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST WITH 140 MPH WINDS... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO RUSH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY TO COMPLETION... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD FINALIZE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...THAT WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. EVACUATION ORDERS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR MUCH OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD ADHERE TO ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...AND LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA FOR DETAILED INFORMATION. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TODAY WHICH MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...50 TO 60 WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...74 MPH OR GREATER... ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY JACKSON COUNTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES...RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS OR OVER WATER CROSSINGS DUE TO THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. ...STORM SURGE... FOR COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...HURRICANE DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WHERE STORM SURGE VALUES OF 10 TO 15 FEET ARE POSSIBLE. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT LANDFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE ALABAMA FLORIDA BORDER AREA. THIS WILL PRODUCE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WHICH WILL PUSH WATER AWAY FROM THE COAST AND LIMIT STORM SURGE VALUES ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND A 1 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AFTER DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BECOME MORE FREQUENT AND INTENSE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. SOMEWHAT LESSER RAIN AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY THE EASTERN PORTION. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1230 PM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KBMX 101541 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-101900- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1040 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DENNIS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE COASTLINE... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THROUGH 2 PM CDT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. TORNADO WATCH FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES THROUGH 2 PM CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES OF SUMTER...GREENE...HALE...PERRY...AND MARENGO. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON. INLAND HURRICANE WARNING...FOR FAR SOUTHWEST AREAS INCLUDING SUMTER...GREENE...AND MARENGO COUNTIES...WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 100 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL START LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL LAST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE DURATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE 8 TO 10 HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR MAY BE EXPERIENCED THROUGH MID AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THESE WINDS WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES AND PRODUCE SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. INLAND HURRICANE WARNING...FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON...TO CLANTON...TO MONTGOMERY...TO TROY...WIND GUSTS TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY WITH TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING...FOR LOCATIONS NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON...TO CLANTON...TO MONTGOMERY...TO TROY...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS RAIN IS IN ADDITION TO WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA THIS MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. TORNADO WATCHES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR A LARGE PART OF THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM WILL NOT ISSUE ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS DURING THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM. THE WIND WARNINGS IN PLACE NOW WILL COVER THE THREAT OF HIGH WINDS...OR WILL BE ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. IN ORDER TO IDENTIFY PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS BANDING FEATURES...SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED. IF ROTATION IS OBSERVED...TORNADO WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED. IF FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. && $$ LINHARES ** WTNT54 KNHC 101556 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 11 AM CDT...1600Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 101654 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL NOON CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF LANDFALL... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT NOON CDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA BY MID-AFTERNOON. DENNIS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINING HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL...AND DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA...EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE NOON CDT POSITION...29.6 N... 86.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 939 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 101702 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101902- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1126 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...SINCE 8 AM CDT DENNIS MAINTAINS AN OVERALL NORTHWEST MOTION DESPITE TEMPORARY WOBBLES TO THE EAST AND WEST OF THE TRACK... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS HAVE CHANGED SINCE THE LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT. FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 200 PM. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT NOON CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON SOMEWHERE BETWEEN GULF SHORES ALABAMA AND PENSACOLA FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...ALL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. IF YOU DID NOT EVACUATE...SEEK SHELTER IN THE STURDIEST INTERIOR STRUCTURE YOU CAN FIND. SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY. BECAUSE OF THE SMALL DIAMETER OF DENNIS...STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN TO BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET. THE LATEST TRACK PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA. THUS FAR...STORM TIDES HAVE NOT EXCEEDED 4 FEET AT ANY ONE LOCATION BUT RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS ARE IN STORE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. BE PREPARED! ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER ARE NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY NOON AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THIS WOULD RESULT IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. AFTER LANDFALL...THE CENTER OF DENNIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS BALDWIN... CLARKE...CHOCTAW....ESCAMBIA AND MONROE COUNTIES OF ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COUNTIES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THE LATEST TRACK FORECAST AS UPDATES OCCUR. EXTENSIVE TO EXTREME TORNADO-LIKE WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE AROUND...AND ESPECIALLY JUST TO THE IMMEDIATE EAST OF DENNIS' EYE AS IT MOVES INLAND. THE WINDS FROM DENNIS WOULD BE MUCH HIGHER THAN HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY! RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING... REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE AS THE CENTER OF DENNIS PASSES WEST OF ANY COASTAL LOCATION. USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS LATER TODAY. ...NEW INFORMATION... MAXIMUM STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF DENNIS AT LANDFALL. THE LATEST TRACK PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA. HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 130 PM CDT...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED. $$ MEDLIN ** WTUS84 KMOB 101703 CCA *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101902- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED ISSUANCE TIME... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1202 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...SINCE 8 AM CDT DENNIS MAINTAINS AN OVERALL NORTHWEST MOTION DESPITE TEMPORARY WOBBLES TO THE EAST AND WEST OF THE TRACK... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS HAVE CHANGED SINCE THE LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT. FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 200 PM. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT NOON CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON SOMEWHERE BETWEEN GULF SHORES ALABAMA AND PENSACOLA FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...ALL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. IF YOU DID NOT EVACUATE...SEEK SHELTER IN THE STURDIEST INTERIOR STRUCTURE YOU CAN FIND. SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY. BECAUSE OF THE SMALL DIAMETER OF DENNIS...STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN TO BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET. THE LATEST TRACK PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA. THUS FAR...STORM TIDES HAVE NOT EXCEEDED 4 FEET AT ANY ONE LOCATION BUT RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS ARE IN STORE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. BE PREPARED! ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER ARE NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY NOON AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THIS WOULD RESULT IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. AFTER LANDFALL...THE CENTER OF DENNIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS BALDWIN... CLARKE...CHOCTAW....ESCAMBIA AND MONROE COUNTIES OF ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COUNTIES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THE LATEST TRACK FORECAST AS UPDATES OCCUR. EXTENSIVE TO EXTREME TORNADO-LIKE WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE AROUND...AND ESPECIALLY JUST TO THE IMMEDIATE EAST OF DENNIS' EYE AS IT MOVES INLAND. THE WINDS FROM DENNIS WOULD BE MUCH HIGHER THAN HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY! RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING... REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE AS THE CENTER OF DENNIS PASSES WEST OF ANY COASTAL LOCATION. USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS LATER TODAY. ...NEW INFORMATION... MAXIMUM STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF DENNIS AT LANDFALL. THE LATEST TRACK PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA. HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 130 PM CDT...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED. $$ MEDLIN ** WTUS84 KJAN 101705 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-111615- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1205 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES MARCHING TOWARD THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CLARKE...FORREST... JASPER...JONES...KEMPER...LAMAR...LAUDERDALE...NESHOBA...AND NEWTON. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF ATTALA...CARROLL... CHOCTAW...CLAY...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES... JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LEFLORE...LOWNDES...MADISON...MARION... MONTGOMERY...NOXUBEE...OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON... SMITH...WEBSTER...WINSTON...YAZOO... THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LINCOLN AND COPIAH COUNTIES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED AND REPLACED WITH A WIND ADVISORY. THE CURRENT FORECAST PATH OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY EASTWARD FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED IN LINCOLN AND COPIAH COUNTIES. THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI REMAINS UNDER A WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORIES FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT NOON CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI OR AROUND 220 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MILES AN HOUR....AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN GULF SHORES ALABAMA AND PENSACOLA FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MILES AN HOUR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NOW 939 MILLIBARS...OR 27.73 INCHES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THEIR PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AS WELL AS TORRENTIAL RAIN LATE TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP AFTER 500 PM TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 70 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A LAUREL TO ROSE HILL TO DE KALB LINE TONIGHT. AS THE LOW CENTER APPROACHES PORTIONS OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR AFTER 3 AM MONDAY MORNING...NEAR THE STARKVILLE AND COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI COMMUNITIES...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH AND GUSTS TO 70 MILE AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MILES AN HOUR...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI AFTER 7 PM. THESE WINDS SHOULD THEN SPREAD WEST AND NORTH...AFFECTING COMMUNITIES IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI INCLUDING THE JACKSON METRO AREA. PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF DENNIS WILL SPREAD STRONGER WINDS WEST OF THIS LINE. AGAIN...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE WHEN HE MAKES LANDFALL DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON. ONCE ONSHORE...DENNIS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS... WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE BLOWN DOWN OR SEVERELY DAMAGED. DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS OF BUILDINGS...AND OTHER STRUCTURE DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT HURRICANE STRENGTH WELL INLAND... POSSIBLY EVEN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD AND LENGTHY POWER OUTAGES AS THOUSANDS OF TREES ARE BLOWN DOWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1100 AM CDT. $$ GAGAN ** WTCA44 TJSJ 101712 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 25 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...PELIGROSO HURACAN DENNIS DENTRO DE UNAS HORAS TOCA TIERRA ... UN AVISO DE HURACAN PERMANECE EN EFECTO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA AHORA EN EFECTO DESDE EL OESTE DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN....Y DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HASTA LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 1 PM CDT...1700Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 29.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.9 OESTE O COMO A 55 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOIVENDO HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 18 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS TOQUE TIERRA ESTA TARDE CERCA PENSACOLA. DENNIS CONTINUA DEBILITANDOSE LENTAMENTE... Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 135 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. NO SE ESPERA CAMBIOS SIGNIFICATIVOS EN FORTALEZA EN LAS HORAS QUE RESTAN ANTES DE LLEGAR A TIERRA....SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS LLEGUE A LA COSTA ENTRE LA CATEGORIA TRES/CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE HURACAN ASOCIADOS CON DENNIS PUDIERAN OCURRIR TAN LEJOS COMO 150 A 175 MILLAS EN TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DEL HURACAN. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 939 MILIBARAS...27.73 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 15 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO MAS TARDE HOY. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES ES POSIBLE EN EL RESTO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA...EL SUROESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL SUR DE ALABAMA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 12 PM CDT...29.6 NORTE...86.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 18 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...135 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...939 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 2 PM CDT SEGUIDO POR UNA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 101712 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 25 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 12 PM CDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...PELIGROSO HURACAN DENNIS DENTRO DE UNAS HORAS TOCA TIERRA ... UN AVISO DE HURACAN PERMANECE EN EFECTO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA AHORA EN EFECTO DESDE EL OESTE DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN....Y DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HASTA LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 1 PM CDT...1700Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 29.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.9 OESTE O COMO A 55 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOIVENDO HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 18 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS TOQUE TIERRA ESTA TARDE CERCA PENSACOLA. DENNIS CONTINUA DEBILITANDOSE LENTAMENTE... Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 135 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. NO SE ESPERA CAMBIOS SIGNIFICATIVOS EN FORTALEZA EN LAS HORAS QUE RESTAN ANTES DE LLEGAR A TIERRA....SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS LLEGUE A LA COSTA ENTRE LA CATEGORIA TRES/CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE HURACAN ASOCIADOS CON DENNIS PUDIERAN OCURRIR TAN LEJOS COMO 150 A 175 MILLAS EN TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DEL HURACAN. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 939 MILIBARAS...27.73 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 15 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO MAS TARDE HOY. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES ES POSIBLE EN EL RESTO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA...EL SUROESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL SUR DE ALABAMA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 12 PM CDT...29.6 NORTE...86.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 18 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...135 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...939 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 2 PM CDT SEGUIDO POR UNA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS84 KJAN 101718 CCA *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-111615- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1205 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES MARCHING TOWARD THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CLARKE...FORREST... JASPER...JONES...KEMPER...LAMAR...LAUDERDALE...NESHOBA...AND NEWTON. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF ATTALA...CARROLL... CHOCTAW...CLAY...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES... JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LEFLORE...LOWNDES...MADISON...MARION... MONTGOMERY...NOXUBEE...OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON... SMITH...WEBSTER...WINSTON...YAZOO... THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LINCOLN AND COPIAH COUNTIES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED AND REPLACED WITH A WIND ADVISORY. THE CURRENT FORECAST PATH OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY EASTWARD FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED IN LINCOLN AND COPIAH COUNTIES. THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI REMAINS UNDER A WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORIES FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT NOON CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI OR AROUND 220 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MILES AN HOUR....AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN GULF SHORES ALABAMA AND PENSACOLA FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MILES AN HOUR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NOW 939 MILLIBARS...OR 27.73 INCHES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THEIR PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AS WELL AS TORRENTIAL RAIN LATE TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...INLAND WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP AFTER 500 PM TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 70 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A LAUREL TO ROSE HILL TO DE KALB LINE TONIGHT. AS THE LOW CENTER APPROACHES PORTIONS OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR AFTER 3 AM MONDAY MORNING...NEAR THE STARKVILLE AND COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI COMMUNITIES...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH AND GUSTS TO 70 MILE AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MILES AN HOUR...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI AFTER 7 PM. THESE WINDS SHOULD THEN SPREAD WEST AND NORTH...AFFECTING COMMUNITIES IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI INCLUDING THE JACKSON METRO AREA. PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF DENNIS WILL SPREAD STRONGER WINDS WEST OF THIS LINE. AGAIN...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE WHEN HE MAKES LANDFALL DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON. ONCE ONSHORE...DENNIS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS... WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE BLOWN DOWN OR SEVERELY DAMAGED. DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS OF BUILDINGS...AND OTHER STRUCTURE DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT HURRICANE STRENGTH WELL INLAND... POSSIBLY EVEN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD AND LENGTHY POWER OUTAGES AS THOUSANDS OF TREES ARE BLOWN DOWN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 2 PM CDT. $$ GAGAN ** WTUS84 KBMX 101724 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-102100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1224 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DENNIS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE COASTLINE... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THROUGH 2 PM CDT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. TORNADO WATCH FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES THROUGH 2 PM CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT NOON CDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA BY MID-AFTERNOON. DENNIS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINING HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL...AND DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES OF SUMTER...GREENE...HALE...PERRY...AND MARENGO. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INLAND HURRICANE WARNING...FOR FAR SOUTHWEST AREAS INCLUDING SUMTER...GREENE...AND MARENGO COUNTIES...WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 100 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL START LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL LAST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE DURATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE 8 TO 10 HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR MAY BE EXPERIENCED THROUGH MID AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THESE WINDS WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES AND PRODUCE SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. INLAND HURRICANE WARNING...FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON...TO CLANTON...TO MONTGOMERY...TO TROY...WIND GUSTS TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY WITH TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING...FOR LOCATIONS NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON...TO CLANTON...TO MONTGOMERY...TO TROY...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS RAIN IS IN ADDITION TO WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA THIS MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. TORNADO WATCHES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR A LARGE PART OF THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM WILL NOT ISSUE ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS DURING THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM. THE WIND WARNINGS IN PLACE NOW WILL COVER THE THREAT OF HIGH WINDS...OR WILL BE ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. IN ORDER TO IDENTIFY PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS BANDING FEATURES...SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED. IF ROTATION IS OBSERVED...TORNADO WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED. IF FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 2 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. && $$ LINHARES ** WTUS82 KTAE 101726 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-102130- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 124 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...TAYLOR AND DIXIE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT NOON CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS ESTIMATED BY DOPPLER RADAR TO BE NEAR NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 83 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY AND 145 MILES SOUTHWEST FROM DOTHAN. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST NEAR PENSACOLA AROUND 330 PM EDT (230 PM CDT). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 939 MB...OR 27.73 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO AT OR NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN EAST TO WAKULLA COUNTY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST MAINLY FROM PANAMA CITY WESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY EXTEND INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (WALTON...HOLMES... WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES) AND OVER WESTERN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (COFFEE AND GENEVA COUNTIES). THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS TO THE REST OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA (DALE...HOUSTON AND HENRY COUNTIES) AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE (JACKSON...CALHOUN AND GULF). IF DENNIS CONTINUES MOVING A BIT MORE WESTWARD... THE CHANCE OF INLAND HURRICANE WINDS TO THESE MENTIONED AREAS WILL BE LESS AND WINDS WOULD REMAIN BELOW HURRICANE FORCE. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT NOON CDT: TALLAHASSEE...28 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH. EGLIN AFB...43 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 56 MPH. BAINBRIDGE...30 MPH GUSTS OF 49 MPH. PANAMA CITY...23 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 46 MPH. MARIANNA...18 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 33 MPH. CRESTVIEW...28 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 43 MPH. DOTHAN...23 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 38 MPH. PERRY...21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 33 MPH. CROSS CITY...14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 21 MPH. C TOWER...52 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH. BUOY 42039 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...43 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 56 MPH. BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...36 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 56 MPH. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVERS CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER AND THE ST MARKS RIVER AT NEWPORT. SOILS ARE VERY WET. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN TWO HOURS. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THROUGH NOON EDT... TALLAHASSEE 4.18 INCHES THOMASVILLE 3.00 INCHES PANAMA CITY 2.90 INCHES DESTIN 2.48 INCHES DOTHAN 2.37 INCHES ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST...STORM SURGES WILL BE SIGNIFICANT. THE BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES ARE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE A 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGE. ALL OF THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS LARGE BATTERING WAVES...SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 28 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY...AND 25 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA. STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 9 FEET TODAY IN WAKULLA COUNTY AND NEARLY 6 FEET IN FRANKLIN COUNTY. THESE AREAS CAN EXPECT ADDITIONAL RISES OF UP TO 2 FEET BY THE TIME DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. WATER HAS PUSHED ACROSS ROUTE 98 NEAR APALACHICOLA. TO THE EAST...TOTAL STORM TIDES WILL REACH 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES HAVE REPORTED 1 1/2 FOOT DEEP WATER OVER SEVERAL ROADS IN STEINHATCHEE AND JENA. SLIGHT RISES WILL CONTINUE THERE DUE TO ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 2 TO 8 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 530 PM EDT. $$ WOOL/GOREE/BLOCK ** WTNT80 EGRR 101730 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.07.2005 HURRICANE DENNIS ANALYSED POSITION : 28.6N 86.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.07.2005 28.6N 86.0W INTENSE 00UTC 11.07.2005 31.3N 87.4W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.07.2005 34.2N 89.0W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.07.2005 36.5N 89.5W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 12.07.2005 37.2N 89.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.07.2005 38.1N 87.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.07.2005 38.7N 86.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2005 38.7N 87.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH INLAND NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+24 : 9.2N 24.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.07.2005 9.2N 24.5W WEAK 00UTC 12.07.2005 12.2N 24.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.07.2005 13.7N 27.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.07.2005 14.7N 31.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.07.2005 15.1N 35.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.07.2005 15.2N 39.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.07.2005 15.3N 42.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2005 15.2N 45.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101730 ** WTNT54 KNHC 101754 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$