** WTNT54 KNHC 100601 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 1 AM CDT...0500Z...DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM TAMPA AND TALLAHASSEE INDICATE THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 100620 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>160-100930- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 220 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ..A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT (7 AM CDT) FOR MOST OF THE AREA... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT (7 AM CDT) FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT EXCEPT QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...TERRELL...LEE...TURNER...IRWIN AND BEN HILL. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 937 MB OR 27.67 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COAST FROM PANAMA CITY BEACH TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND...AND EXTEND BY SUNRISE FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PUSH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. IF THE TRACK OF DENNIS TURNS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH THE CENTER OF DENNIS MOVING INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...STORM SURGES WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 FEET FROM PANAMA CITY BEACH WEST THROUGH DESTIN...WITH 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGES EAST OF PANAMA CITY BEACH TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND. STORM SURGES FROM SAINT GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST WILL BE IN THE 3 TO 5 FOOT RANGE. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 5:41 AM AND 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...LOW 1:00 AM...HIGH 12:37 PM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTH GEORGIA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS AND ORDERS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 530 AM EDT. $$ JAMSKI ** WTIN20 DEMS 100618 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 10-07-2005(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 31.0 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ?????????? ** WTNT34 KNHC 100705 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23B NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS WITH 145 MPH WINDS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM CDT...0700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 934 MB...27.58 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 14 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA THIS MORNING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI NORTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. REPEATING THE 2 AM CDT POSITION...27.4 N... 85.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 934 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 100709 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 23B NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 AM EDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...HURACAAN DENNIS EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO CON VIENTOS DE 145 MPH... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA PORCIONES DEL NORTE Y NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA DESDE AL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA BONITA BEACH...Y DESDE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA AL OESTE HASTA EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO DESDE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA AL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 2 AM EDT...0600Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 27.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.9 OESTE O COMO A 195 MILLAS AL SUR DE PANAMA CITY FLORIDA Y CERCA DE 275 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE HOY. ESTE MOVIMIENTO DEBERA SITUAR EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CERCA DE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. REPORTES DE UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICA QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 145 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL ES ANTICIPADO ANTES DE TOCAR TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. VIENTOS HURACANADOS ASOCIADOS CON DENNIS PODRIAN SER DE 150 A 175 MILLAS TIERRA ADENTRO EN LA TRAYECTORIA DEL HURACAN. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 934 MILIBARAS...27.58 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 14 A 17 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO EL DOMINGO. LA MAREA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO EN LA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI AL NOROESTE HASTA LA PARTE NORTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 12 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SON ESPERADAS SOBRE EL RESTO DE LA FLORIDA PENINSULAR Y LOS CAYOS...AL IGUAL QUE SOBRE CUBA. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE Y NORTE CENTRAL DE FLORIDA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LA 1 AM EDT...27.4 NORTE...85.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...934 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA A LAS 4 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTUS84 KJAN 100712 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074-101115- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 212 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DANGEROUS DENNIS CONTINUES STRENGTHENING AS HE HEADS TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS N EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CLARKE...FORREST... JASPER...JONES...KEMPER...LAMAR...LAUDERDALE...NESHOBA...AND NEWTON. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF ATTALA...CARROLL... CHOCTAW...CLAY...COPIAH...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES... JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LEFLORE...LINCOLN...LOWNDES... MADISON...MARION...MONTGOMERY...NOXUBEE...OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN... SCOTT...SIMPSON...SMITH...WEBSTER...WINSTON...YAZOO... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MILES AN HOUR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON SOMEWHERE NEAR MOBILE BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MILES AN HOUR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NOW 934 MILLIBARS... OR 27.58 INCHES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD FINALIZE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AS WELL AS TORRENTIAL RAIN LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS HIGHER THAN HURRICANE FORCE...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP AFTER 500 PM SUNDAY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. GUSTS OF 70 TO 90 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A PURVIS TO BAY SPRINGS TO NEWTON TO DE KALB LINE SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MILES AN HOUR...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THESE WINDS SHOULD THEN SPREAD WEST AND NORTH...AFFECTING COMMUNITIES ALONG A BROOKHAVEN TO BRANDON TO STARKVILLE LINE BY MIDNIGHT. PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF DENNIS WILL SPREAD STRONGER WINDS WEST OF THIS LINE. AGAIN...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE WHEN HE MAKES LANDFALL SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ONCE ONSHORE...DENNIS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED. SOME DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS OF BUILDINGS...AND OTHER STRUCTURE DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT HURRICANE STRENGTH WELL INLAND...POSSIBLY EVEN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD AND LENGTHY POWER OUTAGES AS THOUSANDS OF TREES ARE BLOWN DOWN. ...RAINFALL... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS EAST MISSISSIPPI. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE FAIRLY DRY...BUT THREE INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WILL PROMOTE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION. REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 600 AM CDT. $$ CRAVEN ** WTUS84 KBMX 100719 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-100900- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 218 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON THOUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY AT NOON CDT THROUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY AT NOON CDT THOUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 AM CDT...0700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 934 MB...27.58 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATER THIS MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. WINDS GUSTS OF 60 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. MORE DETAILED TIME...LOCATION...AND STRENGTH WILL BE PROVIDED AS THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 12 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST MONTH HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA THIS MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 4 AM CDT THIS MORNING. && $$ JBW ** WTNT34 KNHC 100723 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23B...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...CORRECTED WIND SPEED TO 145 MPH IN REPEAT SECTION... ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS WITH 145 MPH WINDS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM CDT...0700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 934 MB...27.58 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 14 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA THIS MORNING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI NORTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. REPEATING THE 2 AM CDT POSITION...27.4 N... 85.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 934 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTUS82 KTBW 100726 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870- 873-876-100930- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 325 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DENNIS NOW A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 629 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CITRUS... HERNANDO...LEVY...PASCO AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WHICH MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST LATER TODAY. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE AREA HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CITRUS... CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...POLK... SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 629 IS IN EFFECT FOR CITRUS...HERNANDO... LEVY...PASCO AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DESOTO... HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 3 AM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES WEST OF THE MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... AREAS NORTH OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION WILL REMAIN IN THE PRIMARY DEVELOPMENT AREA FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS OVERNIGHT. SEVERAL TORNADOES OCCURRED YESTERDAY AND FURTHER TOUCHDOWNS ARE POSSIBLE. REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS... WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER WATERS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES OF THE WESTERN PENINSULA OF FLORIDA OVERNIGHT. RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...INCLUDING INLAND LOCATIONS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ONSHORE LATE TONIGHT WITH WATER LEVELS EXPECTED TO RISE. GENERAL WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THE TIMING OF THE PEAK WATER LEVELS WILL BE THROUGH 6 AM FOR FORT MYERS...FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM FOR TAMPA BAY...AND FROM 8 AM TO 2 PM FOR CEDAR KEY. THE HIGHEST TIDE VALUES WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AS THE CENTER PASSES BY. ADDITIONAL DOWNPOURS WILL OCCUR SUNDAY AS A FINAL BROAD FEEDER BAND PASSES THROUGH. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 7 TO 9 INCHES FROM LEE COUNTY TO SARASOTA COUNTY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES ELSEWHERE. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL PERPETUATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. HEAVY RAINFALL HAS FLOODED SOME ROADWAYS IN THE AREA...REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOOD ADVISORIES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SOME RAINFALL TOTALS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 10 PM EDT... FORT MYERS PAGE FIELD...4.15 INCHES PUNTA GORDA...3.88 INCHES FORT MYERS SOUTHWEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...3.40 INCHES BUCKINGHAM...3.60 INCHES NOCATEE...3.48 INCHES NORTH PORT...3.34 INCHES FORT OGDEN...3.74 INCHES SARASOTA...2.83 INCHES ST. PETERSBURG ALBERT WHITTED...1.78 INCHES TAMPA INTERNATIONAL...1.48 INCHES ...MARINE IMPACTS... SEAS ARE 12 TO 15 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 15 TO 20 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH SUNDAY WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET POSSIBLY UP TO 10 FEET PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND THE BEACH PATROL. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 530 AM OR EARLIER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ PRC ** WTUS82 KEYW 100730 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-100930- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 330 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS UNTIL 500 AM... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED WIND AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 300 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 330 MILES NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 934 MB...OR 27.58 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE HALF FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS...BUT THE THREAT OF ANY ADDITIONAL STORM SURGE HAS ENDED. EXTREME CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED ON THOSE STREETS THAT WERE INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE YESTERDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING ON LOCAL STREETS THIS MORNING. THE OVERSEAS HIGHWAY FROM FLORIDA CITY TO KEY WEST IS IN GOOD SHAPE WITHOUT DAMAGE. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT EVACUEES DELAY THEIR RETURN TO THE KEYS UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING...WHILE CREWS COMPLETE THEIR WORK ON DEBRIS REMOVAL...AND THE WEATHER CONDITIONS IMPROVE. MARATHON AIRPORT SHOULD BE OPERATIONAL TODAY...BUT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WILL NOT OPEN UNTIL MONDAY AT THE EARLIEST. ELECTRICAL SERVICE TO MOST CUSTOMERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD BE FULLY RESTORED BY TONIGHT. NO PROBLEMS ARE REPORTED WITH THE FRESHWATER AQUEDUCT. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN THE LOWER KEYS ARE DIMINISHING...AND ARE CURRENTLY AT 20 TO 30 MPH...AND ARE STILL OCCASIONALLY GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE NEAR 40 MPH. WINDS OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS ARE 15 TO 20 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE STRAITS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING SATURDAY...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER KEYS. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING IN THE LOWER KEYS. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE LOWER KEYS HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO 500 AM. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 AM EDT THIS MORNING ...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ RIZZO/FUTTERMAN ** WTCA44 TJSJ 100731 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 23B NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 2 AM EDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...HURACAAN DENNIS EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO CON VIENTOS DE 145 MPH... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA PORCIONES DEL NORTE Y NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA DESDE AL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA BONITA BEACH...Y DESDE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA AL OESTE HASTA EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO DESDE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA AL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 2 AM EDT...0600Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 27.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.9 OESTE O COMO A 195 MILLAS AL SUR DE PANAMA CITY FLORIDA Y CERCA DE 275 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE HOY. ESTE MOVIMIENTO DEBERA SITUAR EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CERCA DE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. REPORTES DE UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICA QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 145 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL ES ANTICIPADO ANTES DE TOCAR TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. VIENTOS HURACANADOS ASOCIADOS CON DENNIS PODRIAN SER DE 150 A 175 MILLAS TIERRA ADENTRO EN LA TRAYECTORIA DEL HURACAN. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 934 MILIBARAS...27.58 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 14 A 17 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO EL DOMINGO. LA MAREA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO EN LA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI AL NOROESTE HASTA LA PARTE NORTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 12 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SON ESPERADAS SOBRE EL RESTO DE LA FLORIDA PENINSULAR Y LOS CAYOS...AL IGUAL QUE SOBRE CUBA. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE Y NORTE CENTRAL DE FLORIDA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 2 AM EDT...27.4 NORTE...85.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...934 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA A LAS 4 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 100737 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058-060>064-068>070-MSZ080>082-100945- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 230 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS WITH 145 MPH WINDS... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS URGED TO PREPARE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS LATER TODAY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES... ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...AND TANGIPAHOA AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY. SOME TYPE OF EVACUATION ORDERS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR MUCH OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD ADHERE TO ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...AND LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA FOR DETAILED INFORMATION. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON SUNDAY WHICH MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 60 WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES THIS MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY SUNDAY EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES...WITH WIND IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH POSSIBLE IN JACKSON COUNTY IF THE HURRICANE EYE WALL PASSES NEARBY. FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH COULD OCCUR OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES...RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM SURGE... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...A 3 TO 5 FOOT STORM SURGE IS LIKELY. IF THE HURRICANE LANDFALL SHIFTS WESTWARD A MUCH GREATER STORM SURGE WILL OCCUR OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A STORM SURGE POTENTIAL OF 12 TO 17 FEET IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST WHERE HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...PARTICULARLY HARRISON AND JACKSON COUNTIES...SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY VIGILANT FOR EXTREME STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND 1 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ON SUNDAY PRIMARILY ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 100753 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101100- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 250 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 4 STORM. PEOPLE WHO WANT TO EVACUATE NEED TO DO SO IMMEDIATELY.. ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CONECUH...BUTLER... COVINGTON...CRENSHAW AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...MONROE...CHOCTAW...WILCOX AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND FOR WAYNE...GREENE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CRENSHAW AND COVINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND PERRY AND STONE COUNTIES IN INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 230 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GULF SHORES ALABAMA. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. SOME TYPE OF EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES. IF YOU LIVE NEAR THE WATER AND ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE...DO SO. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE AND PEOPLE WHO WANT TO EVACUATE NEED TO DO SO IMMEDIATELY. EVERY HURRICANE IS DIFFERENT AND JUST BECAUSE YOU HAVE MADE IT THROUGH OTHER STORMS WITH VERY LITTLE DAMAGE...DO NOT ASSUME THAT DENNIS WILL BE THE SAME. DON'T BE A STATISTIC. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. COMBINED WITH SURGE...THE LATTER COULD RESULT IN A TOTAL STORM SURGE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 11 AND 16 FEET. THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. THE LATEST FORECAST PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. THESE SURGE HEIGHTS COULD BE HIGHER THAN THOSE PRODUCED BY HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. RESIDENTS OF MOBILE BAY SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABREAST OF THIS SITUATION...BECAUSE IF DENNIS' TRACK SHIFTS ANY FARTHER TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT...MOBILE BAY FORECAST STORM SURGE VALUES COULD INCREASE TO THE 11 TO 16 FEET RANGE. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...THE WINDS FROM DENNIS WOULD BE MUCH HIGHER THAN HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER... WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THIS WOULD RESULT IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL VERY MOIST DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT HAS INCREASED EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO AS DENNIS MOVES FURTHER WESTWARD. USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. THE THREAT WILL SHIFT WESTWARD TODAY AS THE CENTER OF DENNIS MOVES NORTHWEST. THE SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 600 AM. $$ BEELER ** WTNT54 KNHC 100755 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 3 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 3 AM CDT...0800Z...DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM TAMPA AND TALLAHASSEE INDICATE THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 265 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 100837 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 0900Z SUN JUL 10 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS IS CANCELLED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.....INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 86.1W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 932 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT.......120NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 200SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 200SE 80SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 86.1W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 85.8W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.6N 87.4W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT...120NE 85SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.0N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.5N 90.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.5N 90.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 38.0N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 38.5N 86.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 38.5N 84.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 86.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 100839 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT WED JUL 13 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 32.0N 89.0W 38 X X X 38 GULFPORT MS 42 X X X 42 34.5N 90.0W 11 19 X X 30 BURAS LA 17 1 X X 18 36.5N 90.0W 1 17 4 2 24 NEW ORLEANS LA 16 1 X X 17 ST MARKS FL 2 X X 1 3 NEW IBERIA LA 2 X 1 X 3 APALACHICOLA FL 14 1 X X 15 GULF 29N 85W 27 X X 1 28 PANAMA CITY FL 27 X X X 27 GULF 29N 87W 77 X 1 X 78 PENSACOLA FL 50 X X X 50 GULF 28N 89W 2 X X X 2 MOBILE AL 50 X X X 50 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON C FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE D FROM 1AM TUE TO 1AM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 100856 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS HEADED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS IS CANCELLED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES... 65 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 932 MB...27.52 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 14 TO 19 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY ELSWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...27.8 N... 86.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 932 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 6 AM CDT AND 8 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 100912 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 24 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 AM EDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...HURACAN DENNIS EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO DIRIGIENDOSEHACIA EL NORTE DEL GOLFO DE MESICO... A LAS 4 AM CDT...ES EXTENDIDO EL AVISO DE HURACAN HACIA EL OESTE A LO LARGO AL ESTE DEMORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...Y EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LOS CAYOS MAS BAJOS DE FLORIDA HA SIDO CANCELADO. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO AL OESTE AL OESTE DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA EL ESTE DE LA CIUDAD MORGAN LOUISIANA...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE D FLORIDA DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA PLAYA BONITA. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 4 AM EDT...0900Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 27.8 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.1 OESTE O COMO A 170 MILLAS AL SUR DE PANAMA CITY FLORIDA Y CERCA DE 245 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO HOY. ESTE MOVIMIENTO DEBERA SITUAR EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CRUZANDO LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. SON PROBABLES ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN INTENSIDAD ANTES ED QUE LLEGUE A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS...65 KM...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS...370 KM. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 932 MILIBARAS...27.52 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 14 A 19 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO EL DOMINGO. LA MAREA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO EN LA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA...EL SUROESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL SUR DE ALABAMA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 AM EDT...27.8 NORTE...86.1 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...932 MILIBARAS. ADVERTENCIAS NTERMEDIAS SERAN EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 6 AM CDT Y A LAS 8 AM CDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA LAS 10 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 100913 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 24 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 AM EDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...HURACAN DENNIS EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO DIRIGIENDOSE HACIA EL NORTE DEL GOLFO DE MESICO... A LAS 4 AM CDT...SE HA EXTENDIDO EL AVISO DE HURACAN HACIA EL OESTE A LO LARGO AL ESTE DE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...Y EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LOS CAYOS MAS BAJOS DE FLORIDA HA SIDO CANCELADO. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO AL OESTE AL OESTE DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA EL ESTE DE LA CIUDAD MORGAN LOUISIANA...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE D FLORIDA DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA PLAYA BONITA. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 4 AM EDT...0900Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 27.8 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.1 OESTE O COMO A 170 MILLAS AL SUR DE PANAMA CITY FLORIDA Y CERCA DE 245 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO HOY. ESTE MOVIMIENTO DEBERA SITUAR EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CRUZANDO LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. SON PROBABLES ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN INTENSIDAD ANTES ED QUE LLEGUE A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS...65 KM...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS...370 KM. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 932 MILIBARAS...27.52 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 14 A 19 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO EL DOMINGO. LA MAREA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO EN LA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA...EL SUROESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL SUR DE ALABAMA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 AM EDT...27.8 NORTE...86.1 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...932 MILIBARAS. ADVERTENCIAS NTERMEDIAS SERAN EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 6 AM CDT Y A LAS 8 AM CDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA LAS 10 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTNT44 KNHC 100913 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS IN DENNIS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 KT. THIS IS BASED ON MAXIMUM 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 139 AND 140 KT FROM A COUPLE OF PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHEAST EYEWALL. DENNIS MAY UNDERGO AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...WHICH USUALLY RESULTS IN SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DOES NOT SUGGEST ANY ENVIRONMENTAL MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL FEATURES THAT COULD WEAKEN THE HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL... HOWEVER THE WATERS OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF COASTAL AREAS ARE OF SOMEWHAT LOWER OCEANIC HEAT CONTENT...WHICH SHOULD LIMIT SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. TRACK FORECAST REASONING IS BASICALLY THE SAME AS BEFORE. THE HURRICANE IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWETWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL HIGH TO ITS EAST AND A MID-LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST. THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS QUITE CLOSE TO THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS AND TO THE FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY SUPERENSEMBLE TRACK. PREDICTED STORM SURGE HEIGHTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD DUE TO THE INCREASED INTENSITY OF THE HURRICANE. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 27.8N 86.1W 125 KT 12HR VT 10/1800Z 29.6N 87.4W 125 KT 24HR VT 11/0600Z 32.0N 89.0W 65 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 11/1800Z 34.5N 90.0W 35 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 12/0600Z 36.5N 90.0W 30 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 13/0600Z 38.0N 88.5W 25 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 14/0600Z 38.5N 86.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 15/0600Z 38.5N 84.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 100915 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>160-101300- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 515 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 932 MB...OR 27.52 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT EARLY THIS MORNING. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL EXTEND INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. IF THE DENNIS TURNS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST GEORGIA COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH THE CENTER OF DENNIS MOVING INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...STORM SURGES WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 FEET FROM PANAMA CITY BEACH WEST THROUGH DESTIN...WITH 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGES EAST OF PANAMA CITY BEACH TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND. STORM SURGES FROM SAINT GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST WILL BE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... SHELL POINT... TODAY...HIGH 5:41 AM AND 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM. APALACHICOLA... TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM. DESTIN... TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 830 AM EDT. $$ JAMSKI ** WTUS82 KTBW 100915 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870- 873-876-101530- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 515 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DENNIS IS A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WHICH MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE ESTIMATES FOR AREAS FROM PASCO COUNTY NORTH THROUGH LEVY COUNTY HAVE NOW INCREASED. WATER LEVELS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO RISE 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THE TORNADO WATCH FOR CITRUS...HERNANDO...LEVY...PASCO AND SUMTER COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE AREA CONTINUES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CITRUS... CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...POLK... SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DESOTO... HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 5 AM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES WEST OF THE MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... AREAS WELL NORTH OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION WILL REMAIN IN THE PRIMARY DEVELOPMENT AREA FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS THIS MORNING. SEVERAL SMALL SHORT LIVED TORNADOES OCCURRED YESTERDAY AND FURTHER TOUCHDOWNS ARE POSSIBLE. REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS FROM AROUND ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES OF THE WESTERN PENINSULA OF FLORIDA THROUGH THIS MORNING. RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...INCLUDING INLAND LOCATIONS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ONSHORE THIS MORNING WITH WATER LEVELS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING FROM AROUND ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD. GENERAL WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FROM THE TAMPA BAY REGION SOUTHWARD AND 3 TO 5 FEET NORTH OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION. THE PEAK WATER LEVELS ARE OCCURRING IN THE FORT MYERS AREA. THE TIMING OF THE PEAK WATER LEVELS WILL BE THROUGH 9 AM FOR TAMPA BAY...AND FROM 8 AM TO 2 PM FOR CEDAR KEY. THE HIGHEST TIDE VALUES WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL PERPETUATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 4 AM EDT... FORT MYERS PAGE FIELD...4.46 INCHES FORT OGDEN...4.03 INCHES PUNTA GORDA...4.01 INCHES BUCKINGHAM...3.80 INCHES FORT MYERS SOUTHWEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...3.60 INCHES NORTH PORT...3.57 INCHES NOCATEE...3.48 INCHES SARASOTA...3.23 INCHES ST. PETERSBURG ALBERT WHITTED...1.98 INCHES TAMPA INTERNATIONAL...1.62 INCHES ...MARINE IMPACTS... SEAS ARE 10 TO 15 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 15 TO 20 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH TODAY WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET POSSIBLY UP TO 10 FEET PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND THE BEACH PATROL. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 1130 AM OR EARLIER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ PRC ** WTUS82 KEYW 100922 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-101200- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 530 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING CANCELED FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING THIS MORNING... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED TO REMOVE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR LOWER KEYS. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. REMOVED STORM SURGE IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL AND MARINE IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER KEYS HAS BEEN CANCELED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST...OR ABOUT 355 MILES NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 932 MB...OR 27.52 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... U.S. HIGHWAY ONE IS OPEN. MARATHON AIRPORT SHOULD BE OPERATIONAL TODAY...BUT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WILL NOT OPEN UNTIL MONDAY AT THE EARLIEST. ELECTRICAL SERVICE TO MOST CUSTOMERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD BE FULLY RESTORED BY TONIGHT. NO PROBLEMS ARE REPORTED WITH THE FRESHWATER AQUEDUCT. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH...AND ARE CURRENTLY AT 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 MPH. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. WINDS OF 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS OVER THE STRAITS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS...WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS UP TO 12 FEET THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 5 TO 7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED...AND THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN KEY WEST FLORIDA ON HURRICANE DENNIS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ RIZZO/FUTTERMAN ** WTNT84 KNHC 100922 *** TCVAT4 DENNIS WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 400 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 .HURRICANE DENNIS ALC003-097-FLC005-033-037-045-065-091-113-123-129-131-MSC045-047- 059-GMZ555-575-630-650-655-670-675-750-755-770-775-101500- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W $$ LAC057-109-101500- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050710T0900Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 MORGAN-CITY-LA 29.48N 91.29W GRAND-ISLE-LA 29.25N 89.96W $$ LAC051-063-071-075-087-089-095-103-105-GMZ530-550-570-101500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 GRAND-ISLE-LA 29.25N 89.96W MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W $$ FLC015-017-027-029-053-057-071-075-081-101-103-115-GMZ830-850-853- 856-870-873-876-101500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W BONITA-BEACH-FL 26.33N 81.85W $$ FLC087-GMZ032-033-054-074-075-101500- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 DRY-TORTUGAS-FL 24.66N 82.86W SEVEN-MILE-BRIDGE-FL 24.70N 81.14W $$ ATTN...WFO...LIX...EYW...TBW...TAE...MOB... ** WTUS84 KLIX 100934 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058>070-MSZ080>082-101145- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 430 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING TOWARD NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST WITH 145 MPH WINDS... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO RUSH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY TO COMPLETION... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY. EVACUATION ORDERS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR MUCH OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD ADHERE TO ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...AND LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA FOR DETAILED INFORMATION. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TODAY WHICH MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 400 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 60 WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES THIS MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES...RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS OR OVER WATER CROSSINGS DUE TO THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. ...STORM SURGE... FOR COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...HURRICANE DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE. A STORM SURGE POTENTIAL OF 14 TO 19 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL IS LIKELY NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...AND PARTICULARLY HARRISON AND JACKSON COUNTIES...SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY VIGILANT FOR THIS EXTREME STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND TAKE NECESSARY ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND A 1 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. LESSER RAIN AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY THE EASTERN PORTION. ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM WARNING OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA HAS BEEN EXTENDED WEST TO JUST EAST OF MORGAN CITY. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW EXTENDS FROM MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY... INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 630 AM CDT. $$ ** WTUS84 KBMX 100939 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-101300- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 439 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS A CATEGORY 4 STORM... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER AND MARENGO FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THROUGH 2 PM CDT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER AND MARENGO FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY TORNADO WATCH FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES THROUGH 2 PM CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA OR ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 932 MB...27.52 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES OF SUMTER...GREENE...HALE...PERRY...AND MARENGO. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATER THIS MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR SOUTHWEST AREAS...WINDS GUSTS OF 70 TO 90 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE COUNTIES MOST AT RISK FOR THE HIGH WINDS ARE SUMTER...MARENGO...GREENE...HALE... PERRY...AND DALLAS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL START THIS EVENING AND WILL LAST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE DURATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE 8 TO 12 HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR MAY BE EXPERIENCED BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. FOR LOCATIONS IN THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. FOR LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY AREA...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA THIS MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING. && $$ LINHARES ** WTNT54 KNHC 100953 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 5 AM CDT...1000Z...DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM TALLAHASSEE INDICATE THAT THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 101056 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 6 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS BEARING DOWN ON THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 6 AM CDT...1100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 931 MB...27.49 INCHES. BECAUSE THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED A VERY SHORT DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER...THE EXPECTED STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN REVISED. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY ELSWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 6 AM CDT POSITION...28.2 N... 86.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 931 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 101112 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101330- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 600 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH NORTHWEST... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...MONROE...CHOCTAW...WILCOX AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND FOR WAYNE... GREENE...GEORGE...PERRY AND STONE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CRENSHAW AND COVINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 200 PM ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 530 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GULF SHORES ALABAMA. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS REMAINS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. DENNIS WAS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. SOME TYPE OF EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES. IF YOU LIVE NEAR THE WATER AND ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE...DO SO. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE AND PEOPLE WHO WANT TO EVACUATE NEED TO DO SO IMMEDIATELY. EVERY HURRICANE IS DIFFERENT AND JUST BECAUSE YOU HAVE MADE IT THROUGH OTHER STORMS WITH VERY LITTLE DAMAGE...DO NOT ASSUME THAT DENNIS WILL BE THE SAME. DON'T BE A STATISTIC. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. BECAUSE OF THE SMALL DIAMETER OF RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS OF DENNIS THE STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN TO BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET. THE LATEST FORECAST STILL PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO NAVARRE BEACH. RESIDENTS OF MOBILE BAY SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABREAST OF THIS SITUATION...BECAUSE IF DENNIS' TRACK SHIFTS ANY FARTHER TO THE WEST...MOBILE BAY FORECAST STORM SURGE VALUES COULD INCREASE TO THE 8 TO 12 FEET RANGE. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...THE WINDS FROM DENNIS WOULD BE MUCH HIGHER THAN HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER ARE NEARING THE COAST... WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THIS WOULD RESULT IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL VERY MOIST DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT HAS INCREASED OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND WILL SHIFT WEST INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATER TODAY. USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TODAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 AM. $$ BEELER ** WTUS84 KBMX 101119 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-101400- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 619 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS BEARING DOWN ON THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER AND MARENGO FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THROUGH 2 PM CDT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER AND MARENGO FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY. WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN ALABAMA FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH NOON CDT MONDAY TORNADO WATCH FOR PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES THROUGH 2 PM CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 6 AM CDT...1100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 931 MB...27.49 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS...OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. BRING YOUR PETS INDOORS. FLOODING... ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES OF SUMTER...GREENE...HALE...PERRY...AND MARENGO. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATER THIS MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. FOR SOUTHWEST AREAS...WINDS GUSTS OF 70 TO 90 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE COUNTIES MOST AT RISK FOR THE HIGH WINDS ARE SUMTER...MARENGO...GREENE...HALE... PERRY...AND DALLAS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL START THIS EVENING AND WILL LAST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE DURATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE 8 TO 12 HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR MAY BE EXPERIENCED BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. FOR LOCATIONS IN THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. FOR LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY AREA...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA THIS MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. TORNADO WATCHES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR A LARGE PART OF THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING. && $$ LINHARES ** WTUS84 KJAN 101120 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074-101315- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 615 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR DENNIS CONTINUES MARCHING TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CLARKE...FORREST... JASPER...JONES...KEMPER...LAMAR...LAUDERDALE...NESHOBA...AND NEWTON. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF ATTALA...CARROLL... CHOCTAW...CLAY...COPIAH...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES... JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LEFLORE...LINCOLN...LOWNDES... MADISON...MARION...MONTGOMERY...NOXUBEE...OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN... SCOTT...SIMPSON...SMITH...WEBSTER...WINSTON...YAZOO... THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI IS NOW UNDER A WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORIES FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 600 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MILES AN HOUR....AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON SOMEWHERE NEAR MOBILE BAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 145 MILES AN HOUR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NOW 931 MILLIBARS... OR 27.49 INCHES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD FINALIZE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AS WELL AS TORRENTIAL RAIN LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS HIGHER THAN HURRICANE FORCE...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP AFTER 500 PM SUNDAY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. GUSTS OF 70 TO 90 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A PURVIS TO BAY SPRINGS TO NEWTON TO DE KALB LINE SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MILES AN HOUR...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THESE WINDS SHOULD THEN SPREAD WEST AND NORTH...AFFECTING COMMUNITIES ALONG A BROOKHAVEN TO BRANDON TO STARKVILLE LINE BY MIDNIGHT. PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF DENNIS WILL SPREAD STRONGER WINDS WEST OF THIS LINE. AGAIN...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE WHEN HE MAKES LANDFALL SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ONCE ONSHORE...DENNIS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED. SOME DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS OF BUILDINGS...AND OTHER STRUCTURE DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DENNIS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT HURRICANE STRENGTH WELL INLAND...POSSIBLY EVEN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD AND LENGTHY POWER OUTAGES AS THOUSANDS OF TREES ARE BLOWN DOWN. ...RAINFALL... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS EAST MISSISSIPPI. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE FAIRLY DRY...BUT THREE INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WILL PROMOTE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION. REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 800 AM CDT. $$ CRAVEN ** WTUS84 KLIX 101145 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058>070-MSZ080>082-101345- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 640 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING TOWARD NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST WITH 145 MPH WINDS... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO RUSH PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY TO COMPLETION... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD FINALIZE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...THAT WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. EVACUATION ORDERS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR MUCH OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD ADHERE TO ANY EVACUATION ORDERS AND RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...AND LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA FOR DETAILED INFORMATION. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TODAY WHICH MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 600 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 145 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 60 WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES THIS MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES...RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED ROADWAYS OR OVER WATER CROSSINGS DUE TO THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. ...STORM SURGE... FOR COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...HURRICANE DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITH A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE. A STORM SURGE POTENTIAL OF 14 TO 19 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL IS LIKELY NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...AND PARTICULARLY HARRISON AND JACKSON COUNTIES...SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY VIGILANT FOR THIS EXTREME STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND TAKE NECESSARY ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND A 1 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. SOMEWHAT LESSER RAIN AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY THE EASTERN PORTION. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 AM CDT. $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 101148 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 24A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 6 AM EDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...HURACAN DENNIS EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO RUMBO A LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO... PERMANECE EN EFECTO EL AVISO DE HURACAN PARA PORCIONES DE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO AL OESTE DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA EL ESTE DE LA CIUDAD MORGAN LOUISIANA...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE D FLORIDA DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA PLAYA BONITA. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 6 AM EDT...1100Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 28.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.2 OESTE O COMO A 165 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE PENSACOLA FLORIDA Y COMO A 205 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO HOY. ESTE MOVIMIENTO DEBERA SITUAR EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CRUZANDO LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. SON PROBABLES ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN INTENSIDAD ANTES DE QUE LLEGUE A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE HURACAN ASOCIADOS CON DENNIS PUDIERAN OCURRIR TAN LEJOS COMO 150 A 175 MILLAS EN TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA TRAYECTORIA DEL HURACAN. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 931 MILIBARAS...27.49 PULGADAS. DEBIDO A QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS ESTAN LOCALIZADOS MUY CERCA DEL CENTRO...LOS VALORES DE MAREJADAS CICLONICAS ESPERADAS HAN SIDO REVISADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 15 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO MAS TARDE HOY. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES ES POSIBLE EN EL RESTO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL ESTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE DE FLORIDA...EL SUROESTE DE GEORGIA Y EL SUR DE ALABAMA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 6 AM EDT...28.2 NORTE...86.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOR NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...931 MILIBARAS. ADVERTENCIA NTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 8 AM CDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERA LAS 10 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTNT54 KNHC 101156 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTUS82 KTBW 101159 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870- 873-876-101530- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 758 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS CLOSING IN ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE DENNIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WHICH MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE ESTIMATES FOR AREAS FROM PASCO COUNTY NORTH THROUGH LEVY COUNTY HAVE NOW INCREASED. WATER LEVELS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO RISE 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. A TORNADO WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT FOR LEVY...CITRUS... SUMTER...HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK... MANATEE...SARASOTA...HARDEE...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE COUNTIES. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE AREA CONTINUES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CITRUS... CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...POLK... SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DESOTO... HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT FOR LEVY...CITRUS... SUMTER...HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK... MANATEE...SARASOTA...HARDEE...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE COUNTIES. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 7 AM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... AREAS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION WILL REMAIN IN THE PRIMARY DEVELOPMENT AREA FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS THIS MORNING HOWEVER A OTHER SHORT LIVED TORNADOES OR MARINE WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THIS EVENING. SEVERAL SMALL SHORT LIVED TORNADOES OCCURRED YESTERDAY AND ADDITIONAL TOUCHDOWNS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY. REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS FROM AROUND ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES OF THE WESTERN PENINSULA OF FLORIDA THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE ONSHORE THIS MORNING WITH WATER LEVELS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING FROM AROUND ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD. GENERAL WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FROM THE TAMPA BAY REGION SOUTHWARD AND 3 TO 5 FEET NORTH OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION. THE PEAK WATER LEVELS ARE NOW OCCURRING IN THE FORT MYERS AREA. THE TIMING OF THE PEAK WATER LEVELS WILL BE THROUGH 9 AM FOR TAMPA BAY...AND FROM 8 AM TO 2 PM FOR CEDAR KEY. THE HIGHEST TIDE VALUES WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL PERPETUATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 7 AM EDT... FORT MYERS PAGE FIELD...4.46 INCHES FORT OGDEN...4.20 INCHES PUNTA GORDA...4.01 INCHES BUCKINGHAM...3.80 INCHES FORT MYERS SOUTHWEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...3.60 INCHES NORTH PORT...3.57 INCHES NOCATEE...3.89 INCHES SARASOTA...3.23 INCHES ST. PETERSBURG ALBERT WHITTED...1.98 INCHES TAMPA INTERNATIONAL...1.73 INCHES ...MARINE IMPACTS... SEAS ARE RUNNING IN THE 10 TO 15 FOOT RANGE NEAR SHORE AND 15 TO 20 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH TODAY WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET POSSIBLY UP TO 10 FEET PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND THE BEACH PATROL. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 1130 AM OR EARLIER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ JCM