** WTUS82 KTAE 100000 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>160-100330- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 800 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ..A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND UNTIL 11 PM EDT... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM FOR DIXIE...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...TAYLOR AND WAKULLA COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. DENNIS HAS STRENGTHENED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NOW NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB OR 27.96 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COAST FROM TYNDALL AIR FORCE BASE TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND...AND EXTEND BY SUNRISE FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE COAST LATE SUNDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PUSH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IF THE TRACK OF DENNIS TURNS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY SUNDAY. IF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...STORM SURGES WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 FEET FROM PANAMA CITY BEACH WEST THROUGH DESTIN...WITH 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGES EAST OF PANAMA CITY BEACH TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND. STORM SURGES FROM SAINT GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST WOULD LIKELY BE IN THE 3 TO 5 FOOT RANGE. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... SUNDAY...LOW 1:14 AM AND 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...LOW 10:49 PM. SUNDAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...LOW 10:29 PM. SUNDAY...HIGH 12:07 AM...LOW 10:31 PM. DESTIN... SUNDAY...LOW 1:00 AM...HIGH 12:37 PM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... RADAR INDICATED SEVERAL OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS WERE MOVING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL SPREAD NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...AND ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA ON SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED. THE GREATEST THREAT IS NORMALLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE HURRICANE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS AND ORDERS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 11 PM EDT. $$ JAMSKI ** WTSR20 WSSS 091800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTUS84 KMOB 100005 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100431- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 705 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DENNIS IS STRENGTHENING RAPIDLY AND COULD MAKE LANDFALL AS A DEVASTATING CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...MONROE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CRENSHAW...COVINGTON AND WILCOX COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND GEORGE... GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 645 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...OR ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE EVENING WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT. REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT DENNIS HAS STRENGTHENED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. SOME TYPE OF EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES. IF YOU LIVE NEAR THE WATER AND ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE...DO SO. EVERY HURRICANE IS DIFFERENT AND JUST BECAUSE YOU HAVE MADE IT THROUGH OTHER STORMS WITH VERY LITTLE DAMAGE...DO NOT ASSUME THAT DENNIS WILL BE THE SAME. DON'T BE A STATISTIC. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM DENNIS...THE LATTER COULD RESULT IN A TOTAL STORM SURGE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET AROUND THE CENTER OF DENNIS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND CURRENTLY THAT IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE PENSACOLA AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND DESTRUCTION ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...SIMILAR TO THAT PRODUCED BY HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. RESIDENTS OF MOBILE BAY SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THIS SITUATION...BECAUSE IF DENNIS' TRACK SHIFTS ANY FARTHER TO THE WEST...MOBILE BAY SURGE VALUES COULD INCREASE TO THE 10 TO 14 FEET RANGE. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...DENNIS SHOULD BE VERY SIMILAR TO HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST AN UPPER CATEGORY 3...AND POSSIBLY A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THUS...MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS LIKELY WITH DENNIS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES SUNDAY EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. THERE IS ONE LAST CHANCE TO SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS CAN BECOME DEADLY PROJECTILES IN SUCH HIGH WIND CONDITIONS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING. ON SUNDAY...OF COURSE... HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING...SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL VERY MOIST DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS DENNIS APPROACHES. TORNADO PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS ARE THE FIRST THREAT. CURRENTLY...THESE ARE OCCURRING OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE THREAT WILL SHIFT WESTWARD TONIGHT AS DENNIS MOVED FURTHER WESTWARD. THE SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. STAY TUNED FOR A TORNADO WATCH AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY ON SUNDAY. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... LANE REVERSAL OF I-65 HAS BEGUN IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. THE REVERSE LANING BEGINS NEAR THE STOCKTON EXIT (EXIT 31) AND ENDS JUST SOUTH OF MONTGOMERY. MOTORISTS DESIRING TO GO SOUTH FROM MONTGOMERY WILL BE DIVERTED TO OTHER ROADWAYS. WHEN TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEGIN TO AFFECT PENSACOLA BAY...THE I-10 BRIDGE ACROSS PENSACOLA BAY WILL BE CLOSED. BANKHEAD TUNNEL IN MOBILE WILL CLOSE AT 100 PM SATURDAY...WALLACE TUNNEL ON INTERSTATE 10 WILL REMAIN OPEN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM. $$ MEDLIN/MCKEE ** WTUS84 KMOB 100029 CCA *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100431- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED INLAND WARNINGS TYPES... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 728 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DENNIS IS STRENGTHENING RAPIDLY AND COULD MAKE LANDFALL AS A DEVASTATING CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR INLAND MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND INLAND ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CHOCTAW...CLARKE... CONECUH... ESCAMBIA...MONROE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CRENSHAW AND COVINGTON COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND GEORGE...PERRY AND STONE COUNTIES OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 645 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...OR ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE EVENING WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT. REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT DENNIS HAS STRENGTHENED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. SOME TYPE OF EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES. IF YOU LIVE NEAR THE WATER AND ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE...DO SO. EVERY HURRICANE IS DIFFERENT AND JUST BECAUSE YOU HAVE MADE IT THROUGH OTHER STORMS WITH VERY LITTLE DAMAGE...DO NOT ASSUME THAT DENNIS WILL BE THE SAME. DON'T BE A STATISTIC. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM DENNIS...THE LATTER COULD RESULT IN A TOTAL STORM SURGE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET AROUND THE CENTER OF DENNIS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND CURRENTLY THAT IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE PENSACOLA AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND DESTRUCTION ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...SIMILAR TO THAT PRODUCED BY HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. RESIDENTS OF MOBILE BAY SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THIS SITUATION...BECAUSE IF DENNIS' TRACK SHIFTS ANY FARTHER TO THE WEST...MOBILE BAY SURGE VALUES COULD INCREASE TO THE 10 TO 14 FEET RANGE. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...DENNIS SHOULD BE VERY SIMILAR TO HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST AN UPPER CATEGORY 3...AND POSSIBLY A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THUS...MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS LIKELY WITH DENNIS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES SUNDAY EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. THERE IS ONE LAST CHANCE TO SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS CAN BECOME DEADLY PROJECTILES IN SUCH HIGH WIND CONDITIONS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING. ON SUNDAY...OF COURSE... HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING...SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL VERY MOIST DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS DENNIS APPROACHES. TORNADO PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS ARE THE FIRST THREAT. CURRENTLY...THESE ARE OCCURRING OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE THREAT WILL SHIFT WESTWARD TONIGHT AS DENNIS MOVED FURTHER WESTWARD. THE SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. STAY TUNED FOR A TORNADO WATCH AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY ON SUNDAY. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... LANE REVERSAL OF I-65 HAS BEGUN IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. THE REVERSE LANING BEGINS NEAR THE STOCKTON EXIT (EXIT 31) AND ENDS JUST SOUTH OF MONTGOMERY. MOTORISTS DESIRING TO GO SOUTH FROM MONTGOMERY WILL BE DIVERTED TO OTHER ROADWAYS. WHEN TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEGIN TO AFFECT PENSACOLA BAY...THE I-10 BRIDGE ACROSS PENSACOLA BAY WILL BE CLOSED. BANKHEAD TUNNEL IN MOBILE WILL CLOSE AT 100 PM SATURDAY...WALLACE TUNNEL ON INTERSTATE 10 WILL REMAIN OPEN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM. $$ MEDLIN ** WTUS84 KLIX 100043 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058-060>064-068>070-MSZ080>082-100330- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 740 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DENNIS NOW A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE... ...DENNIS COULD BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES... ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...AND TANGIPAHOA AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HURRICANE WARNING INCLUDES THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST... ESPECIALLY THOSE IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...SHOULD FOLLOW ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF REQUESTED. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH. DENNIS IS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NIGHT AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...50 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH...WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING IN HANCOCK AND HARRISON COUNTIES...AND LIKELY IN JACKSON COUNTY. ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 70 MPH COULD OCCUR OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES. ...STORM SURGE... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...A 2 TO 4 FOOT STORM SURGE IS LIKELY. IF THE HURRICANE LANDFALL LOCATION SHIFTS WESTWARD THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF A MUCH GREATER STORM SURGE VALUE...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 15 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND 1 TO 2 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ON SUNDAY PRIMARILY ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL EXCEEDING 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 PM CDT $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 100050 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM CDT SAT JUL 09 2005 ...DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 DENNIS CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER AT THE LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO... AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM CDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. ISOLATED TOTALS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA...WHICH COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. A STORM SURGE OF 12 TO 14 FEET...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS EVENING...AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. REPEATING THE 8 PM CDT POSITION...26.3 N... 85.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 942 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 100102 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-100330- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 900 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...TORNADO WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 11 PM... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS UNTIL 11 PM... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY ACTIONS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 900 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST...OR ABOUT 230 MILES NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND DENNIS MAY BECOME AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 942 MB...OR 27.82 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE STORM SURGE HAS RECEDED. HOWEVER...EXTREME CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED ON THOSE STREETS THAT WERE INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD USE CAUTION IF VENTURING OUT ONTO THE STREETS TONIGHT. THE OVERSEAS HIGHWAY FROM FLORIDA CITY TO KEY WEST IS IN GOOD SHAPE WITHOUT DAMAGE. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT RESIDENT EVACUEES DELAY THEIR RETURN TO THE KEYS UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...WHILE CREWS COMPLETE THEIR WORK ON DEBRIS REMOVAL...AND THE WEATHER CONDITIONS IMPROVE. MARATHON AIRPORT SHOULD BE OPERATIONAL SUNDAY...BUT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WILL NOT OPEN UNTIL MONDAY AT THE EARLIEST. ELECTRICAL SERVICE TO MOST CUSTOMERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE FULLY RESTORED BY SUNDAY NIGHT. NO PROBLEMS ARE REPORTED WITH THE FRESHWATER PIPELINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN THE LOWER KEYS ARE CURRENTLY SUSTAINED AT 35 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH. WINDS OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE TONIGHT. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WESTERN STRAITS AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER KEYS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE KEYS THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS UNTIL 11PM. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS EFFECT UNTIL 11PM FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR...A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 1130 PM EDT THIS EVENING...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN ** WTUS84 KBMX 100103 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-100300- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 802 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THROUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THOUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM CDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 125 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS... OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING... WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT... WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATE SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. WINDS GUSTS OF 60 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. MORE DETAILED TIME...LOCATION...AND STRENGTH WILL BE PROVIDED AS THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST MONTH HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA SUNDAY MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... LANE REVERSAL ON INTERSTATE 65 STARTED SATURDAY MORNING IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE REVERSE LANING WILL CONTINUE FROM THE MOBILE RIVER AT EXIT 31...THE STOCKTON EXIT...NORTH TO NEAR MONTGOMERY AT THE INTERSECTION OF US HIGHWAY 80 AND INTERSTATE 65...AT EXIT 168...UNTIL 5 PM CDT TODAY. THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING. && $$ JBW ** WTCA44 TJSJ 100104 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 22A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 8 PM CDT SABADO 9 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS PELIGROSO HURACAN CATEGORIA 3 CONTINUA FORTALECIENDOSE RAPIDAMENTE... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA PORCIONES DEL NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DESDE DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL EN LA FRONTERA DE LOUISIANA Y MISSISSIPPI. UN AVISO DE HURACAN CONTINUA EN EFECTO PARA PORCIONES DE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE AL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA FLAMINGO...Y DESDE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA AL OESTE HASTA EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO DESDE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA AL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 8 PM CDT...0100Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 26.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.1 OESTE O COMO A 275 MILLAS AL SUR DE PANAMA CITY FLORIDA Y CERCA DE 365 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13 MPH...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO. ESTE MOVIMIENTO DEBERA SITUAR EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CERCA DE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO DURANTE EL DOMINGO. REPORTES DE AVIONES DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA Y NOAA INDICAN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 125 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA TRES EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL ES ANTICIPADO...Y DENNIS PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HURACAN DE CATEGORIA 4 ANTES DE TOCAR TEIRRA EN LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 175 MILLAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO ES DE 942 MILIBARAS...27.82 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA...LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA... EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 12 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE 3 A 6 PULGADAS SON ESPERADAS SOBRE CUBA CENTRAL...ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO CON PELIGRO A VIDAS. MAREJADA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO EN LA MANANA. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 12 A 14 PIES...ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES... ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO Y AL ESTE DE DONDE EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GOLFO EL DOMINGO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE EL CENTRO Y EL SUR DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA HASTA Y SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA HOY....Y A TRAVES DEL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 9 PM AST...26.3 NORTE...85.1 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...125 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...942 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA SERAN EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN $$ ** WTUS84 KJAN 100113 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074-100415- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 812 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DENNIS CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY AND IS NOW A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE TAKING AIM ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH DAYBREAK MONDAY... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES CLARKE...FORREST...JASPER...JONES...AND LAMAR COUNTIES. THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES ATTALA...CARROLL... CHOCTAW...CLAY...COPIAH...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES... JEFFERSON DAVIS...KEMPER...LAUDERDALE...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LINCOLN... LOWNDES...MADISON...MARION...MONTGOMERY...NESHOBA...NEWTON... NOXUBEE...OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON...SMITH...WEBSTER... WINSTON...AND YAZOO COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI...AND APPROXIMATELY 433 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HATTIESBURG. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MILES AN HOUR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SUNDAY. DATA FROM HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 125 MILES AN HOUR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NOW 942 MILLIBARS...OR 27.82 INCHES. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING TONIGHT COULD MAKE DENNIS A CATEGORY 4 STORM PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY NIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAIN LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 70 MILES AN HOUR ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP AFTER 500 PM SUNDAY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A FEW GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A QUITMAN TO LAUREL TO HATTIESBURG LINE SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MILES AN HOUR...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING OVER EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THESE WINDS SHOULD THEN SPREAD WEST AND NORTH... AFFECTING COMMUNITIES ALONG A BROOKHAVEN TO BRANDON TO STARKVILLE LINE BY MIDNIGHT. PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF DENNIS WILL SPREAD STRONGER WINDS WEST OF THIS LINE. AGAIN...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WHEN HE MAKES LANDFALL SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ONCE ONSHORE...DENNIS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED. ...RAINFALL... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS EAST MISSISSIPPI. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE FAIRLY DRY...BUT THREE INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WILL PROMOTE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION. REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1100 PM CDT. $$ BUTTS ** WTUS84 KLIX 100115 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058-060>064-068>070-MSZ080>082-100345- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 815 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DENNIS NOW A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE..CONTINUES TO STRENGHTEN... ...DENNIS COULD BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES... ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...AND TANGIPAHOA AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HURRICANE WARNING INCLUDES THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST... ESPECIALLY THOSE IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...SHOULD FOLLOW ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF REQUESTED. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST OR ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH. DENNIS IS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NIGHT AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...50 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH...WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING IN HANCOCK AND HARRISON COUNTIES...AND LIKELY IN JACKSON COUNTY. ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 70 MPH COULD OCCUR OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES. ...STORM SURGE... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...A 2 TO 4 FOOT STORM SURGE IS LIKELY. IF THE HURRICANE LANDFALL LOCATION SHIFTS WESTWARD THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF A MUCH GREATER STORM SURGE VALUE...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 15 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND 1 TO 2 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ON SUNDAY PRIMARILY ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL EXCEEDING 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 PM CDT $$ ** WTUS82 KMFL 100124 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-100500- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 924 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD...COLLIER...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM TONIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BROWARD...PALM BEACH...HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF NAPLES. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING DENNIS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A MAJOR CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AGAIN BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE SHELTERS IN MIAMI-DADE AND COLLIER COUNTIES HAVE CLOSED. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. PERSONS WITH POTENTIAL FLOOD PROBLEMS SHOULD REMAIN WEATHER ALERT THROUGH SUNDAY AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION SHOULD FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN BANDS IMPACT THE AREA WHICH IF IT WERE TO HAPPEN WOULD MOST LIKELY BE AROUND THE NAPLES AREA TONIGHT. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS ALREADY OCCURRED ALONG THE GULF COAST OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES... INCLUDING NAPLES...MARCO ISLAND AND EVERGLADES CITY EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORM TIDE WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT BUT ANOTHER HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR LATER TONIGHT. AT THAT POINT THE STORM SURGE WILL BE ONLY ABOUT 1 FOOT IN HEIGHT MEANING THE STORM TIDE WILL BE ABOUT 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NEAR 430 AM SUNDAY MORNING. THE STORM TIDE MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING OF COASTAL ROADS...ESPECIALLY PARTS OF STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 TO MARCO ISLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 TO CHOKOLOSKEE. NO FURTHER STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. ...WIND IMPACTS... IN COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES AREAS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY OCCUR WITH ANY REMAINING RAIN BANDS THAT IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE OCCURRING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS OFF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST. OVER MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES SUSTAINED WINDS ARE GENERALLY 15 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH. IN GENERAL...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT. ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTIES...WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS TONIGHT. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 50 KNOTS ARE CONTINUING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS WITH GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE FROM BONITA BEACH TO CAPE SABLE MAINLY OFFSHORE. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT. IN THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AT ATLANTIC OCEAN AND GULF COAST BEACHES TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. PERSONS ARE URGE TO GO INTO THE WATER ONLY WHEN A LIFEGUARD IS PRESENT. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... MIAMI DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING HURRICANE DENNIS HAVE TOTALED 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MOST OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE EXCEPTIONS ARE 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER METROPOLITAN PALM BEACH COUNTY AND A FEW SPOTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE EVERGLADES OF SOUTHWEST BROWARD AND NORTHEAST COLLIER COUNTIES. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES THROUGH SUNDAY PARTICULARLY IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN BANDS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GLADES...HENDRY...COLLIER...AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES TONIGHT. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GLADES...HENDRY...COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING. ANY ADDITIONAL SPIRAL BANDS ROTATING AROUND HURRICANE DENNIS AND MOVING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WILL HAVE TO POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT. FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON. $$ PS ** WTNT54 KNHC 100154 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 9 PM CDT SAT JUL 09 2005 AT 9 PM CDT...0200Z...DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM TAMPA INDICATE THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 100240 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 ...DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE GULF COAST...EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST IS CANCELLED SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...AND DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 14 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI NORTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND KEYS...AS WELL AS OVER CUBA. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER ALL OF THE STATE OF FLORIDA EXCEPT THE FLORIDA KEYS. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...26.6 N... 85.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 941 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 100240 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 0300Z SUN JUL 10 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST IS CANCELLED SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 85.3W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 30SW 55NW. 34 KT.......150NE 200SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..165NE 150SE 80SW 130NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 85.3W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 85.0W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.2N 86.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT...105NE 85SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.6N 87.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 85NE 85SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 200SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 32.9N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT... 75NE 200SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 34.8N 89.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 37.5N 89.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 38.0N 86.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 38.5N 82.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 85.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 100241 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 30.6N 87.9W 38 X X X 38 BURAS LA 23 X X 1 24 32.9N 89.0W 13 17 X 1 31 NEW ORLEANS LA 16 3 X 1 20 34.8N 89.8W 1 21 3 1 26 NEW IBERIA LA 2 3 2 1 8 ST MARKS FL 5 2 X 1 8 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 1 1 2 APALACHICOLA FL 18 1 X X 19 GULF 29N 85W 26 X X X 26 PANAMA CITY FL 25 1 X X 26 GULF 29N 87W 59 X X X 59 PENSACOLA FL 38 X X X 38 GULF 28N 89W 15 1 X X 16 MOBILE AL 37 X X X 37 GULF 28N 91W 1 X X 1 2 GULFPORT MS 32 1 X X 33 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON C FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON D FROM 8PM MON TO 8PM TUE E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT84 KNHC 100246 *** TCVAT4 DENNIS WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 .HURRICANE DENNIS ALC003-097-FLC005-033-037-045-065-091-113-123-129-131-MSC045-047- 059-GMZ555-575-630-650-655-670-675-750-755-770-775-100900- /E.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1004.050710T0300Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W $$ LAC051-063-071-075-087-089-095-103-105-GMZ530-550-570-100900- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050710T0300Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 GRAND-ISLE-LA 29.25N 89.96W MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W $$ FLC015-017-027-029-053-057-071-075-081-101-103-115-GMZ830-850-853- 856-870-873-876-100900- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050710T0300Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W BONITA-BEACH-FL 26.33N 81.85W $$ FLC087-GMZ032-033-054-074-075-100900- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050710T0300Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 DRY-TORTUGAS-FL 24.66N 82.86W SEVEN-MILE-BRIDGE-FL 24.70N 81.14W $$ ATTN...WFO...LIX...EYW...TBW...TAE...MOB... ** WTUS84 KMOB 100253 CCA *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100431- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 952 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...LATEST TRACK OF HURRICANE DENNIS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY WESTWARD... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR INLAND MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND INLAND ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CHOCTAW...CLARKE... CONECUH... ESCAMBIA...MONROE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CRENSHAW AND COVINGTON COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND GEORGE...PERRY AND STONE COUNTIES OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 930 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA...OR ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ORANGE BEACH ALABAMA. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. SOME TYPE OF EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES. IF YOU LIVE NEAR THE WATER AND ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE...DO SO. EVERY HURRICANE IS DIFFERENT AND JUST BECAUSE YOU HAVE MADE IT THROUGH OTHER STORMS WITH VERY LITTLE DAMAGE...DO NOT ASSUME THAT DENNIS WILL BE THE SAME. DON'T BE A STATISTIC. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. COMBINED WITH SURGE...THE LATTER COULD RESULT IN A TOTAL STORM SURGE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 11 AND 16 FEET. THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. THE LATEST FORECAST PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...SIMILAR TO THAT PRODUCED BY HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. RESIDENTS OF MOBILE BAY SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABREAST OF THIS SITUATION...BECAUSE IF DENNIS' TRACK SHIFTS ANY FARTHER TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT...MOBILE BAY FORECAST STORM SURGE VALUES COULD INCREASE TO THE 11 TO 16 FEET RANGE. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...DENNIS SHOULD BE VERY SIMILAR TO HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THUS...MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS LIKELY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES SUNDAY EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. THERE IS ONE LAST CHANCE TO SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS CAN BECOME DEADLY PROJECTILES IN SUCH HIGH WIND CONDITIONS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING. ON SUNDAY...OF COURSE... HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING...SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL VERY MOIST DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT HAS INCREASED EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 LATE THIS EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO AS DENNIS MOVES FURTHER WESTWARD. USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. THE THREAT WILL SHIFT WESTWARD TONIGHT AS THE CENTER OF DENNIS MOVES FURTHER WESTWARD. THE SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT. $$ MEDLIN ** WTUS84 KBMX 100256 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-100500- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 956 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THROUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THOUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...AND DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS... OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING... WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT... WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION...VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATE SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. WINDS GUSTS OF 60 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. MORE DETAILED TIME...LOCATION...AND STRENGTH WILL BE PROVIDED AS THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 12 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST MONTH HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA SUNDAY MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... LANE REVERSAL ON INTERSTATE 65 STARTED SATURDAY MORNING IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE REVERSE LANING WILL CONTINUE FROM THE MOBILE RIVER AT EXIT 31...THE STOCKTON EXIT...NORTH TO NEAR MONTGOMERY AT THE INTERSECTION OF US HIGHWAY 80 AND INTERSTATE 65...AT EXIT 168...AND ENDED AT 5 PM CDT TODAY. THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 12 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING. && $$ JBW ** WTNT44 KNHC 100303 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT SAT JUL 09 2005 AFTER DEEPENING AT A RATE THAT BORDERED ON INSANE DURING THE AFTERNOON...DENNIS HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN AT A MORE NORMAL RATE THIS EVENING. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SHOW THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 941 MB...WITH MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 122 KT IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. BASED ON THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 110 KT. IT IS EXPECTED THAT WHEN THE AIRCRAFT AGAIN SAMPLES THE NORTHEAST EYEWALL THAT IT WILL FIND STRONGER WINDS THAT WILL JUSTIFY UPGRADING DENNIS TO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT ALTHOUGH DENNIS HAS A VERY LARGE OUTER WIND FIELD... THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A VERY SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. DENNIS IN ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...AND EAST OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM ARKANSAS SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TO JUST OFF THE TEXAS COAST. THIS COMBINATION SHOULD KEEP DENNIS ON A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR AT LEAST 2 DAYS...WITH THIS MOTION BRINGING THE STORM INLAND ON SUNDAY. TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED IN CALLING FOR LANDFALL IN THE PENSACOLA FLORIDA-PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI AREA...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS BASICALLY DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE CLUSTER JUST A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. AFTER LANDFALL...DENNIS SHOULD SLOW AND GRADUALLY RECURVE INTO THE WESTERLIES OVER THE MID-MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS. THE COMBINATION OF TIGHT INNER CORE...GOOD TO EXCELLENT OUTFLOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN SEMICIRCLE...WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...AND COLD CONVECTIVE TOPS SUGGESTS THAT DENNIS HAS NOT YET FINISHED STRENGTHENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR THE SYSTEM TO REACH 120 KT IN 12 HR. AFTER THAT...CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLES ALONG WITH POSSIBLE DRY AIR INTRUSION AND POSSIBLY INCREASING SHEAR WILL LIKELY END STRENGTHENING. DENNIS WILL WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL AND EVENTUALLY BECOME A LOW PRESSURE AREA. 34 KT WINDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT HAVE BEEN REVISED OUTWARD BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AT KEY WEST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 26.6N 85.3W 110 KT 12HR VT 10/1200Z 28.2N 86.6W 120 KT 24HR VT 11/0000Z 30.6N 87.9W 120 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 11/1200Z 32.9N 89.0W 65 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 12/0000Z 34.8N 89.8W 30 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 13/0000Z 37.5N 89.0W 25 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING 96HR VT 14/0000Z 38.0N 86.5W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 15/0000Z 38.5N 82.5W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 100304 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-100530- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1100 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...TORNADO WATCH DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...FLOOD WATCH EXTENDED FOR THE LOWER KEYS TO 5 AM... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED STORM TIDE IMPACTS. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY ACTIONS. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED TORNADO IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1100 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 260 MILES NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY...AND DENNIS MAY BECOME AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SUNDAY. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 941 MB...OR 27.79 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE STORM SURGE HAS RECEDED. HOWEVER...EXTREME CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED ON THOSE STREETS THAT WERE INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE. WIND DRIVEN WAVES AND SPRAY WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTH FACE OF THE ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT ONTO THE STREETS TONIGHT. THE OVERSEAS HIGHWAY FROM FLORIDA CITY TO KEY WEST IS IN GOOD SHAPE WITHOUT DAMAGE. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT EVACUEES DELAY THEIR RETURN TO THE KEYS UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...WHILE CREWS COMPLETE THEIR WORK ON DEBRIS REMOVAL...AND THE WEATHER CONDITIONS IMPROVE. MARATHON AIRPORT SHOULD BE OPERATIONAL SUNDAY...BUT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WILL NOT OPEN UNTIL MONDAY AT THE EARLIEST. ELECTRICAL SERVICE TO MOST CUSTOMERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE FULLY RESTORED BY SUNDAY NIGHT. NO PROBLEMS ARE REPORTED WITH THE FRESHWATER PIPELINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN THE LOWER KEYS ARE CURRENTLY SUSTAINED AT 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS ARE NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WESTERN STRAITS AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER KEYS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN THE LOWER KEYS. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE LOWER KEYS HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO 5AM. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE TORNADO WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS HAS EXPIRED AND IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS OVERNIGHT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES TO DEVELOP IN SQUALLS OVER THE LOWER KEYS AND SURROUNDING WATERS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 130 AM EDT SUNDAY MORNING ...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN ** WTCA44 TJSJ 100305 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 23 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SABADO 9 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS PELIGROSO HURACAN CATEGORIA 3 CONTINUA HACIA EL NOROESTE HACIA LA COSTA DEL GOLFO...SE ESPERA QUE SE INTENSICARA... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA PORCIONES DEL NORTE Y NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DESDE DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. A LAS 10 PM CDT...0300UTC...EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA QUEDA CANCELADO AL SUR DE BONITA BEACH. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PERMANECE EN VIGOR A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DESDE AL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA BONITA BEACH...Y DESDE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA AL OESTE HASTA EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO DESDE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA AL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 11 PM EDT...0300Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 26.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.3 OESTE O COMO A 250 MILLAS AL SUR DE PANAMA CITY FLORIDA Y CERCA DE 340 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. ESTE MOVIMIENTO DEBERA SITUAR EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CERCA DE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO DURANTE EL DOMINGO. REPORTES DE UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICA QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 125 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA TRES EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL ES ANTICIPADO ANTES DE TOCAR TIERRA...Y DENNIS PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HURACAN DE CATEGORIA 4 MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE O DURANTE EL DOMINGO. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. VIENTOS HURACANADOS ASOCIADOS CON DENNIS PODRIAN DE 150 A 175 MILLAS TIERRA ADENTRO EN LA TRAYECTORIA DEL HURACAN. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO ES DE 941 MILIBARAS...27.79 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 14 A 17 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO EL DOMINGO. LA MAREA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO EN LA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI AL NOROESTE HASTA LA PARTE NORTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 12 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SON ESPERADAS SOBRE EL RESTO DE LA FLORIDA PENINSULAR Y LOS CAYOS...AL IGUAL QUE SOBRE CUBA. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE TODO EL ESTADO DE LA FLORIDA A EXCEPCION DE LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA.. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 9 PM AST...26.3 NORTE...85.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...125 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...941 MILIBARAS. ADEVERTENCIAS INTERMEDIAS SERAN EMITIDOS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1 Y 3 AM EDT SEGUIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 5 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 100312 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>160-100630- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1112 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ..A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT (7 AM CDT) FOR MOST OF THE AREA... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT (7 AM CDT) FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT EXCEPT QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...TERRELL...LEE...TURNER AND BEN HILL. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL... AND DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB OR 27.79 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COAST FROM TYNDALL AIR FORCE BASE TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND...AND EXTEND BY SUNRISE FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE COAST LATE SUNDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PUSH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IF THE TRACK OF DENNIS TURNS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY SUNDAY. IF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...STORM SURGES WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 FEET FROM PANAMA CITY BEACH WEST THROUGH DESTIN...WITH 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGES EAST OF PANAMA CITY BEACH TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND. STORM SURGES FROM SAINT GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST WILL BE IN THE 3 TO 5 FOOT RANGE. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... SUNDAY...LOW 1:14 AM AND 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...LOW 10:49 PM. SUNDAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...LOW 10:29 PM. SUNDAY...HIGH 12:07 AM...LOW 10:31 PM. DESTIN... SUNDAY...LOW 1:00 AM...HIGH 12:37 PM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL SPREAD NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTH GEORGIA OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS AND ORDERS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 230 AM EDT. $$ JAMSKI ** WTUS82 KTBW 100315 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870- 873-876-100930- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1115 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DENNIS NOW A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 629 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CITRUS... HERNANDO...LEVY...PASCO AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM SUNDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...AND DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CITRUS... CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...POLK... SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 629 IS IN EFFECT FOR CITRUS...HERNANDO... LEVY...PASCO AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM SUNDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DESOTO... HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 210 MILES WEST OF FORT MYERS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... AREAS NORTH OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION WILL REMAIN IN THE PRIMARY DEVELOPMENT AREA FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS OVERNIGHT. SEVERAL TORNADOES OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY AND FURTHER TOUCHDOWNS ARE POSSIBLE. REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS... WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER WATERS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES OF THE WESTERN PENINSULA OF FLORIDA OVERNIGHT. STRONG RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE AREA WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...INCLUDING INLAND LOCATIONS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ONSHORE LATE TONIGHT WITH WATER LEVELS EXPECTED TO RISE OVERNIGHT. GENERAL WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECT TO RISE 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THE TIMING OF THE PEAK WATER LEVELS WILL BE IN THE FROM NEAR MIDNIGHT TO 6 AM FOR FORT MYERS...NEAR 3 AM TO 9 AM FOR TAMPA BAY...AND NEAR 8 AM TO 2 PM FOR CEDAR KEY. THE HIGHEST TIDE VALUES WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AS THE CENTER PASSES BY. ADDITIONAL DOWNPOURS WILL OCCUR SUNDAY AS A FINAL BROAD FEEDER BAND PASSES THROUGH. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 7 TO 9 INCHES FROM LEE COUNTY TO SARASOTA COUNTY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES ELSEWHERE. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL PERPETUATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. HEAVY RAINFALL HAS FLOODED SOME ROADWAYS IN THE AREA...REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOOD ADVISORIES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SOME RAINFALL TOTALS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 10 PM EDT... FORT MYERS PAGE FIELD...4.15 INCHES PUNTA GORDA...3.88 INCHES FORT MYERS SOUTHWEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...3.40 INCHES BUCKINGHAM...3.60 INCHES NOCATEE...3.48 INCHES NORTH PORT...3.34 INCHES FORT OGDEN...3.74 INCHES SARASOTA...2.83 INCHES ST. PETERSBURG ALBERT WHITTED...1.78 INCHES TAMPA INTERNATIONAL...1.48 INCHES ...MARINE IMPACTS... SEAS ARE 12 TO 15 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 15 TO 20 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH SUNDAY WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET POSSIBLY UP TO 10 FEET PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND THE BEACH PATROL. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 530 AM SUNDAY OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ PRC ** WTUS84 KLIX 100341 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058-060>064-068>070-MSZ080>082-100545- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1040 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DENNIS NOW A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...DENNIS COULD BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL... ...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS URGED TO PREPARE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES... ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...AND TANGIPAHOA AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HURRICANE WARNING INCLUDES THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY. HANCOCK COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS MANDATORY EVACUATIONS FOR ALL UNINCORPORATED LOW LYING AND MOBILE HOMES AREAS. NO CURFEW IS IN EFFECT FOR HANCOCK COUNTY AT THIS TIME. HARRISON COUNTY HAS MANDATORY EVACUATIONS FOR FLOOD ZONES A AND B... AND EVACUATIONS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED IN FLOOD ZONE C. NO CURFEW IS IN EFFECT FOR HARRISON COUNTY AT THIS TIME. JACKSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ISSUED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN FLOOD ZONE A ALONG WITH MANDATORY EVACUATIONS OF LOW LYING AREAS...MOBILE HOMES...CAMPGROUNDS AND BEACH FRONTS. EVACUATIONS ARE HIGHLY RECOMMENDED FOR ALL OTHER AREAS. MISSISSIPPI COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA FOR ADDITIONAL EVACUATION INFORMATION. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON SUNDAY WHICH MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NIGHT AND DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY 4 PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...50 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH...WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES...WITH WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH POSSIBLE IN JACKSON COUNTY IF THE EYEWALL PASSES NEARBY. FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE COULD OCCUR OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY THE AREA. WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES...RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES. ...STORM SURGE... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...A 3 TO 5 FOOT STORM SURGE IS LIKELY. IF THE HURRICANE LANDFALL SHIFTS WESTWARD A MUCH GREATER STORM SURGE WILL OCCUR OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A STORM SURGE POTENTIAL OF 12 TO 17 FEET IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST WHERE HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...PARTICULARLY HARRISON AND JACKSON COUNTIES...SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY VIGILANT FOR EXTREME STORM SURGE POTENTIAL. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND 1 TO 2 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ON SUNDAY PRIMARILY ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL EXCEEDING 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1230 AM CDT $$ ** WTNT54 KNHC 100346 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM CDT SAT JUL 09 2005 AT1 PM CDT...0400Z...DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM TAMPA INDICATE THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTUS82 KMFL 100346 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-101000- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1145 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD... COLLIER...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AS OF 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF COLLIER COUNTY FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES... WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES...THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM PALM BEACH TO MIAMI DADE COUNTIES...BISCAYNE BAY...AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ALL OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ARE CANCELLED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF NAPLES. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING DENNIS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A MAJOR CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AGAIN BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALTHOUGH ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED ACROSS THE AREA... ADDITIONAL RAIN BANDS COULD STILL DEVELOP OR MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. ANY ONE OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD BRING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THEREFORE...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO BE CAUTIOUS IF ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY WERE TO DEVELOP AND/OR MOVE ACROSS YOUR AREA. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... HIGH TIDE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST ALONG MARCO ISLAND TO EVERGLADES CITY IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 3 TO 4 AM SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH A EXPECTED STORM SURGE OF AROUND 1 TO 2 FEET TO RESULT IN A STORM TIDE OF UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NEAR 430 AM SUNDAY MORNING IF THE WIND FLOW BECOMES ONSHORE BEFORE THEN. THIS STORM TIDE MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION AND/OR MINOR FLOODING OF COASTAL ROADS...ESPECIALLY IN PARTS OF STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 TO MARCO ISLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 TO CHOKOLOSKEE. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 30 MPH...ARE STILL LIKELY OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...A GRADUAL DECREASE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS WE HEAD INTO THE SUNDAY MORNING HOURS ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD STILL REMAIN BREEZY AT TIMES. ADDITIONALLY...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH ANY RAIN BAND THAT DEVELOPS OR MOVES ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 40 KNOTS ARE CONTINUING THROUGH THE OFFSHORE...20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES...WATERS OF COLLIER COUNTY WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS DENNIS CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM PALM BEACH TO MIAMI DADE COUNTIES...BISCAYNE BAY...AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE FOR WINDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT ALSO AS SEAS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH SUNDAY. ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AT ATLANTIC OCEAN AND GULF COAST BEACHES TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. PERSONS ARE URGED TO GO INTO THE WATER ONLY WHEN A LIFEGUARD IS PRESENT. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... MIAMI DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING HURRICANE DENNIS HAVE TOTALED 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MOST OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE EXCEPTIONS ARE 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER METROPOLITAN PALM BEACH COUNTY AND A FEW SPOTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE EVERGLADES OF SOUTHWEST BROWARD AND NORTHEAST COLLIER COUNTIES. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH SUNDAY PARTICULARLY IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN BANDS DEVELOP OR MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...GIVEN MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN HAS STAYED AWAY FROM FLOOD PRONE AREAS...ONLY FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED AND OR LOW LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THEREFORE...THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STILL REMAIN ALERT IN CASE ANY OF THE RAIN BANDS PROMPT URBAN FLOOD ADVISORIES FOR STREET FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED AND/OR LOW LYING AREAS. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... AS HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA THE TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO ACROSS THE AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH SPIRAL BANDS. THEREFORE...AS RAIN BANDS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR WEATHER BULLETINS IN CASE A DEVELOPING TORNADO IS DETECTED AND A WARNING IS WARRANTED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE SUNDAY MORNING. FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON. $$ PS ** WTUS84 KJAN 100413 *** HLSJAN MSZ025>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074-100715- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1113 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DANGEROUS DENNIS CONTINUES STRENGTHENING AS HE HEADS TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CLARKE...FORREST... JASPER...JONES...KEMPER...LAMAR...LAUDERDALE...NESHOBA...AND NEWTON. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF ATTALA...CARROLL... CHOCTAW...CLAY...COPIAH...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES... JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LEFLORE...LINCOLN...LOWNDES... MADISON...MARION...MONTGOMERY...NOXUBEE...OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN... SCOTT...SIMPSON...SMITH...WEBSTER...WINSTON...YAZOO... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI...AND APPROXIMATELY 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HATTIESBURG. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MILES AN HOUR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ONSHORE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 125 MILES AN HOUR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NOW 941 MILLIBARS... OR 27.79 INCHES. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WHICH WOULD MAKE MAKE DENNIS A CATEGORY 4 STORM PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY NIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN SOME AREAS. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV...OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.ORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD FINALIZE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AS WELL AS TORRENTIAL RAIN LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS HIGHER THAN HURRICANE FORCE...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP AFTER 500 PM SUNDAY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. GUSTS OF 70 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A PURVIS TO BAY SPRINGS TO NEWTON TO DE KALB LINE SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MILES AN HOUR...ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THESE WINDS SHOULD THEN SPREAD WEST AND NORTH...AFFECTING COMMUNITIES ALONG A BROOKHAVEN TO BRANDON TO STARKVILLE LINE BY MIDNIGHT. PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF DENNIS WILL SPREAD STRONGER WINDS WEST OF THIS LINE. AGAIN...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE WHEN HE MAKES LANDFALL SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ONCE ONSHORE...DENNIS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED. ...RAINFALL... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS EAST MISSISSIPPI. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE FAIRLY DRY...BUT THREE INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WILL PROMOTE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION. REMEMBER...MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 200 AM CDT. $$ BUTTS ** WTUS82 KTAE 100413 CCA *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>160-100630- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED...CORRECTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1112 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ..A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT (7 AM CDT) FOR MOST OF THE AREA... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT (7 AM CDT) FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT EXCEPT QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...TERRELL...LEE...TURNER...IRWIN AND BEN HILL. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL... AND DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 941 MB OR 27.79 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COAST FROM TYNDALL AIR FORCE BASE TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND...AND EXTEND BY SUNRISE FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE COAST LATE SUNDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PUSH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IF THE TRACK OF DENNIS TURNS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY SUNDAY. WITH THE CENTER OF DENNIS MOVING INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...STORM SURGES WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 FEET FROM PANAMA CITY BEACH WEST THROUGH DESTIN...WITH 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGES EAST OF PANAMA CITY BEACH TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND. STORM SURGES FROM SAINT GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST WILL BE IN THE 3 TO 5 FOOT RANGE. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... SUNDAY...LOW 1:14 AM AND 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...LOW 10:49 PM. SUNDAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...LOW 10:29 PM. SUNDAY...HIGH 12:07 AM...LOW 10:31 PM. DESTIN... SUNDAY...LOW 1:00 AM...HIGH 12:37 PM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL SPREAD NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTH GEORGIA OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS AND ORDERS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 230 AM EDT. $$ JAMSKI ** WTUS84 KMOB 100453 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100800- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1200 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CONECUH...BUTLER... COVINGTON...CRENSHAW AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...MONROE...CHOCTAW...WILCOX AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND FOR WAYNE AND GREENE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CRENSHAW AND COVINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND GEORGE...PERRY AND STONE COUNTIES OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1130 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GULF SHORES ALABAMA. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. SOME TYPE OF EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES. IF YOU LIVE NEAR THE WATER AND ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE...DO SO. EVERY HURRICANE IS DIFFERENT AND JUST BECAUSE YOU HAVE MADE IT THROUGH OTHER STORMS WITH VERY LITTLE DAMAGE...DO NOT ASSUME THAT DENNIS WILL BE THE SAME. DON'T BE A STATISTIC. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. COMBINED WITH SURGE...THE LATTER COULD RESULT IN A TOTAL STORM SURGE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 11 AND 16 FEET. THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. THE LATEST FORECAST PLACES THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...SIMILAR TO THAT PRODUCED BY HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. RESIDENTS OF MOBILE BAY SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABREAST OF THIS SITUATION...BECAUSE IF DENNIS' TRACK SHIFTS ANY FARTHER TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT...MOBILE BAY FORECAST STORM SURGE VALUES COULD INCREASE TO THE 11 TO 16 FEET RANGE. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...DENNIS SHOULD BE VERY SIMILAR TO HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. THUS...MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS LIKELY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES SUNDAY EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. THERE IS ONE LAST CHANCE TO SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. UNSECURED LOOSE OBJECTS CAN BECOME DEADLY PROJECTILES IN SUCH HIGH WIND CONDITIONS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL VERY MOIST DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT HAS INCREASED EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 LATE THIS EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO AS DENNIS MOVES FURTHER WESTWARD. USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. THE THREAT WILL SHIFT WESTWARD TONIGHT AS THE CENTER OF DENNIS MOVES FURTHER WESTWARD. THE SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 300 AM. $$ BEELER ** WTNT34 KNHC 100501 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...DENNIS STRENGTHENS TO 135 MPH...NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 937 MB...27.67 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 14 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI NORTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND KEYS...AS WELL AS OVER CUBA. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. REPEATING THE 1 AM EDT POSITION...27.0 N... 85.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 937 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 100513 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 23 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 AM EDT DOMINGO 10 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS SE INTENSIFICA HASTA 135 MPH...AHORA HURACAN CATEGORIA 4... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA PORCIONES DEL NORTE Y NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA DESDE AL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA BONITA BEACH...Y DESDE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA AL OESTE HASTA EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO DESDE LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA AL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LA 1 AM EDT...0500Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 27.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.6 OESTE O COMO A 235 MILLAS AL SUR DE PANAMA CITY FLORIDA Y CERCA DE 310 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE HOY. ESTE MOVIMIENTO DEBERA SITUAR EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CERCA DE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. REPORTES DE UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICA QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS AHORAS ESTAN CERCA DE 135 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL ES ANTICIPADO ANTES DE TOCAR TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. VIENTOS HURACANADOS ASOCIADOS CON DENNIS PODRIAN SER DE 150 A 175 MILLAS TIERRA ADENTRO EN LA TRAYECTORIA DEL HURACAN. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA REPORTO RECIENTEMENTE UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 937 MILIBARAS...27.67 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES ASOCIADAS CON LA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 14 A 17 PIES SOBRE LAS MAREAS NORMALES....ACOMPANADO POR GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE Y AL ESTE DE DONDE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO EL DOMINGO. LA MAREA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO EN LA MANANA. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SUR DE ALABAMA...Y EN EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI AL NOROESTE HASTA LA PARTE NORTE DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES AISLADAS DE HASTA 12 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE DONDE DENNIS ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DEL GOLFO. ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SON ESPERADAS SOBRE EL RESTO DE LA FLORIDA PENINSULAR Y LOS CAYOS...AL IGUAL QUE SOBRE CUBA. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA NOCHE SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NORTE Y NORTE CENTRAL DE FLORIDA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LA 1 AM EDT...27.0 NORTE...85.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...135 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...937 MILIBARAS. ADEVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 3 AM EDT SEGUIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 5 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 100513 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-100730- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 110 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS TO 5 AM... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED STORM TIDE IMPACTS. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY ACTIONS FOR TIME REFERENCES. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. REMOVED TORNADO IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 100 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 300 MILES NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY BEFORE THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 937 MB...OR 27.67 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE HALF FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS...BUT THE THREAT OF ANY ADDITIONAL STORM SURGE HAS ENDED. EXTREME CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED ON THOSE STREETS THAT WERE INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE YESTERDAY. WIND DRIVEN WAVES AND SPRAY WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTH FACE OF THE ISLANDS...MAINLY IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT ONTO THE STREETS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE OVERSEAS HIGHWAY FROM FLORIDA CITY TO KEY WEST IS IN GOOD SHAPE WITHOUT DAMAGE. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT EVACUEES DELAY THEIR RETURN TO THE KEYS UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING...WHILE CREWS COMPLETE THEIR WORK ON DEBRIS REMOVAL...AND THE WEATHER CONDITIONS IMPROVE. MARATHON AIRPORT SHO