** WTNT34 KNHC 091854 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20B NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 3 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 ...DENNIS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 3 PM EDT...1900Z...INFORMATION FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT... SATELLITE...AND COASTAL DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 295 MILES... SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN BY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT OF THE AIR FORCE RESERVE WAS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA... WHICH COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. REPEATING THE 3 PM EDT POSITION...25.5 N... 84.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 091903 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058-060>064-068>070-MSZ080>082-092130- TROPICAL STORM****HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 200 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES... ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...AND TANGIPAHOA AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HURRICANE WARNING INCLUDES THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...DEVELOPING WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...SHOULD FOLLOW ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF REQUESTED. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR GUSTY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN BY SUNDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS.... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...39 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING. ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF HURRICANE DENNIS MAY IMPACT THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. ...STORM SURGE... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...A 2 TO 4 FOOT STORM SURGE IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES FOR JACKSON COUNTY IF HURRICANE TAKES A MORE WESTWARD TRACK LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND 1 TO 2 FOOT STORM COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ON SUNDAY PRIMARILY ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL COULD OCCUR IN JACKSON COUNTY IF HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER TO THE WEST. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 430 PM CDT THIS MORNING. $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 091905 CCA *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058-060>064-068>070-MSZ080>082-092130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 200 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 CORRECTION TO MASS MEDIA HEADER SECTION WORDING. ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES... ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...AND TANGIPAHOA AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HURRICANE WARNING INCLUDES THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...DEVELOPING WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...SHOULD FOLLOW ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF REQUESTED. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR GUSTY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN BY SUNDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS.... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...39 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING. ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF HURRICANE DENNIS MAY IMPACT THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. ...STORM SURGE... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...A 2 TO 4 FOOT STORM SURGE IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES FOR JACKSON COUNTY IF HURRICANE TAKES A MORE WESTWARD TRACK LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND 1 TO 2 FOOT STORM COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ON SUNDAY PRIMARILY ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL COULD OCCUR IN JACKSON COUNTY IF HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER TO THE WEST. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 430 PM CDT THIS MORNING. $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 091907 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 20A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 3 PM EDT SABADO 9 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS TORNANDOSE MEJOR ORGANIZADO A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE AL NOROESTE HACIA EL NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LOS CAYOS MAS AL SUR DE LA FLORIDA DESDE EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HACIA EL OESTE HASTA DRY TORTUGAS. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA PORCIONES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO AL NORESTE DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AHORA ESTA EN EFECTO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE GOLDEN BEACH AL SUR...INCLUYENDO LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA DESDE EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HACIA EL ESTE. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA AL OESTE DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 3 PM EDT...1900Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 25.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 84.4 OESTE O COMO A 295 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA O COMO A 425 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO HOY CON UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 100 MPH...160 KM/HR... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO GRADUAL ES POSIBLE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y DENNIS PODRIA CONVERTIRSE NUEVAMENTE EN UN HURACAN DE CATEGORIA 3 EL DOMINGO. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 35 MILLAS...55KM...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 175 MILLAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 962 MILIBARAS...28.41 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE EL CENTRO Y EL SUR DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA... LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA...LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA...EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SURESTE DE ALABAMA...Y EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE 3 A 6 PULGADAS SON ESPERADAS SOBRE CUBA CENTRAL. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO CON PELIGRO A VIDAS. MAREJADA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 3 A 5 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 8 A 10 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO Y A LA DERECHA DE DONDE EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GLOFO EL DOMINGO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE LA PENINSULA SUR DE FLORIDA HASTA Y SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA HOY....Y A TRAVES DEL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 3 PM AST...25.5 NORTE...84.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...100 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...962 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 5 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 091907 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 20B NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 3 PM EDT SABADO 9 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS TORNANDOSE MEJOR ORGANIZADO A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE AL NOROESTE HACIA EL NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LOS CAYOS MAS AL SUR DE LA FLORIDA DESDE EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HACIA EL OESTE HASTA DRY TORTUGAS. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA PORCIONES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO AL NORESTE DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AHORA ESTA EN EFECTO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE GOLDEN BEACH AL SUR...INCLUYENDO LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA DESDE EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HACIA EL ESTE. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA AL OESTE DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 3 PM EDT...1900Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 25.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 84.4 OESTE O COMO A 295 MILLAS AL SUR SURESTE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA O COMO A 425 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO HOY CON UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 100 MPH...160 KM/HR... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO GRADUAL ES POSIBLE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y DENNIS PODRIA CONVERTIRSE NUEVAMENTE EN UN HURACAN DE CATEGORIA 3 EL DOMINGO. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 35 MILLAS...55KM...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 175 MILLAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 962 MILIBARAS...28.41 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE EL CENTRO Y EL SUR DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA... LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA...LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA...EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SURESTE DE ALABAMA...Y EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE 3 A 6 PULGADAS SON ESPERADAS SOBRE CUBA CENTRAL. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO CON PELIGRO A VIDAS. MAREJADA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 3 A 5 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 8 A 10 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO Y A LA DERECHA DE DONDE EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GLOFO EL DOMINGO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE LA PENINSULA SUR DE FLORIDA HASTA Y SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA HOY....Y A TRAVES DEL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 3 PM AST...25.5 NORTE...84.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...100 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...962 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 5 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTUS82 KTBW 091912 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870- 873-876-092130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 310 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 628 IN NOW IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE... CITRUS...DE SOTO...HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH... LEE...LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM. THIS REPLACES TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 627... ...NEW INFORMATION... A NEW TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA UNTIL 11 PM EDT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... CITRUS...CHARLOTTE...DE SOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE... LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE... HIGHLANDS...POLK...SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 628 IN NOW IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DE SOTO...HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM. THIS REPLACES TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 627. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 3 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN BY SUNDAY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE REGION WILL REMAIN IN THE PRIMARY DEVELOPMENT AREA FOR TORNADOES INTO THIS EVENING. A SEVERALS TORNADO OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY AND FURTHER TOUCHDOWNS ARE POSSIBLE. REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS... WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER WATERS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF THE TAMPA BAY AREA THIS EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS OVER THE NATURE COAST WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY...HOWEVER...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. SEVERAL STRONG RAINBANDS ARE MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE AREA WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...INCLUDING INLAND LOCATIONS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH WATER LEVELS EXPECTED TO RISE TODAY AND TONIGHT. GENERAL WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECT TO RISE TO 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THE TIMING OF THE PEAK WATER LEVELS WILL BE IN THE EVENING TO NEAR MIDNIGHT FOR FORT MYERS...NEAR MIDNIGHT FOR TAMPA BAY...AND NEAR 3 AM FOR CEDAR KEY. THE HIGHEST TIDE VALUES WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN...BECOMING MOST FREQUENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE CENTER PASSES BY. ADDITIONAL DOWNPOURS WILL OCCUR SUNDAY AS A FINAL BROAD FEEDER BAND PASSES THROUGH. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES FROM LEE COUNTY TO SARASOTA COUNTY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES ELSEWHERE. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL PERPETUATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. HEAVY RAINFALL HAS FLOODED SOME ROADWAYS IN THE AREA...REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOOD ADVISORIES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SOME RAINFALL TOTALS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 2 PM EDT... FORT MYERS PAGE FIELD...4.07 INCHES PUNTA GORDA...3.82 INCHES FORT MYERS SOUTHWEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...3.39 INCHES BUCKINGHAM...3.60 INCHES NOCATEE...3.34 NORTH PORT...3.31 FORT OGDEN...3.26 SARASOTA...2.81 ...MARINE IMPACTS... SEAS ARE 12 TO 14 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 14 TO 18 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AREA BEACHES WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. SUNDAY WILL SEE IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS...HOWEVER...RESIDUAL WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL CAUSE STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND THE BEACH PATROL. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BETWEEN 500 AND 530 PM OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK ** WTUS84 KBMX 091926 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-092200- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 226 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THROUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THOUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM CDT...DENNIS WAS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST. INFORMATION FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE...AND COASTAL DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 295 MILES... SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...OR ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.....OR ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN BY SUNDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WILL BE APPROACHING THE ALABAMA GULF COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO STORM OR WEAK CATEGORY THREE STORM. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS... OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS AND VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXIST...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATE SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. WINDS GUSTS OF 60 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. MORE DETAILED TIME...LOCATION...AND STRENGTH WILL BE PROVIDED AS THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MID DAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST MONTH HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA SUNDAY MORNING AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE RAIN BANDS ALSO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... LANE REVERSAL ON INTERSTATE 65 STARTED SATURDAY MORNING IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE REVERSE LANING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM THE MOBILE RIVER AT EXIT 31 (STOCKTON EXIT) NORTH TO NEAR MONTGOMERY AT THE INTERSECTION OF US-80 AND I-65 (EXIT 168). THIS REVERSE LANING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT 5 PM CDT TODAY. THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION (ALDOT) HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1 8 8 8 5 8 8 2 8 4 8. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY AT LEAST 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. && LINHARES $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 091931 CCA *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-092130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 330 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...TORNADO WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS EXTENDED UNTIL 11 PM... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED TORNADO IMPACTS. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 300 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST... OR ABOUT 180 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 962 MB...OR 28.41 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS ARE VERY SLOWLY BEGINNING TO DECREASE...AND THE STORM SURGE IS RECEDING. HOWEVER...EXTREME CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED TRAVERSING STREETS WHICH HAVE BEEN INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD NOT VENTURE OUT ONTO THE STREETS AT THIS TIME. DANGEROUS CONDITIONS EXIST...INCLUDING SOME FALLEN TREES...DOWNED POWER LINES...AND SOME DOWNED AND NON FUNCTIONING TRAFFIC SIGNALS. TO REPORT TREES THAT ARE DOWNED ACROSS POWER LINES OR DOWNED POWER LINES IN THE CITY OF KEY WEST...PLEASE CALL 809-1108. THE KEY WEST 911 SYSTEM IS FUNCTIONING NORMALLY AND SHOULD BE USED ONLY IF THERE IS AN EMERGENCY. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS...AS WELL AS THE LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER REMAIN CLOSED. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS ARE SLOWLY BEGINNING TO DECREASE. WINDS IN THE LOWER KEYS ARE CURRENTLY SOUTHEAST SUSTAINED 35 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH. WINDS OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS ARE AFFECTING THE STRAITS...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... AN ADDITIONAL 3 INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE KEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE TORNADO WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 1100 PM. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR...A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ DEVANAS ** WTUS84 KBMX 091933 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-092200- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 226 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THROUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THOUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM CDT...DENNIS WAS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST. INFORMATION FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE...AND COASTAL DOPPLER RADARS INDICATE THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 295 MILES... SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...OR ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.....OR ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN BY SUNDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WILL BE APPROACHING THE ALABAMA GULF COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO STORM OR WEAK CATEGORY THREE STORM. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS... OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS AND VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXIST...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATE SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. WINDS GUSTS OF 60 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. MORE DETAILED TIME...LOCATION...AND STRENGTH WILL BE PROVIDED AS THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MID DAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST MONTH HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA SUNDAY MORNING AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE RAIN BANDS ALSO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... LANE REVERSAL ON INTERSTATE 65 STARTED SATURDAY MORNING IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE REVERSE LANING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM THE MOBILE RIVER AT EXIT 31 (STOCKTON EXIT) NORTH TO NEAR MONTGOMERY AT THE INTERSECTION OF US-80 AND I-65 (EXIT 168). THIS REVERSE LANING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT 5 PM CDT TODAY. THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION (ALDOT) HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY AT LEAST 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. && LINHARES $$ ** WTNT54 KNHC 091948 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 AT 4 PM EDT...2000Z...DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM KEY WEST AND TAMPA INDICATE THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 405 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 092034 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 2100Z SAT JUL 09 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO... AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 84.6W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 30SW 55NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 75SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 84.6W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 84.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.5N 85.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 35SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.9N 87.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT...105NE 85SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.3N 88.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.2N 89.3W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 37.0N 89.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 38.0N 87.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 39.0N 82.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 84.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 092035 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 29.9N 87.2W 37 1 X X 38 PENSACOLA FL 31 4 X X 35 32.3N 88.4W 8 23 1 X 32 MOBILE AL 27 6 X X 33 34.2N 89.3W X 22 3 1 26 GULFPORT MS 22 6 X X 28 SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 BURAS LA 15 2 1 X 18 VENICE FL 2 X X X 2 NEW ORLEANS LA 9 5 1 X 15 TAMPA FL 2 X X 1 3 NEW IBERIA LA 1 1 1 2 5 CEDAR KEY FL 3 2 X 1 6 GULF 29N 85W 32 X X X 32 ST MARKS FL 8 5 1 X 14 GULF 29N 87W 45 X X X 45 APALACHICOLA FL 23 2 X X 25 GULF 28N 89W 10 1 X X 11 PANAMA CITY FL 27 2 X X 29 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 092044 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 ...DENNIS GAINING STRENGTH AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO... AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 320 MILES... 510 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 415 MILES... 670 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WERE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS WILL BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES... 65 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER RESEARCH AIRCRAFT WAS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. ISOLATED TOTALS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA...WHICH COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 12 FEET IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 84.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EDT AND 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT84 KNHC 092052 *** TCVAT4 DENNIS WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 .HURRICANE DENNIS ALC003-097-FLC005-033-037-045-065-091-113-123-129-131-MSC045-047- 059-GMZ555-575-630-650-655-670-675-750-755-770-775-100300- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W $$ LAC051-063-071-075-087-089-095-103-105-GMZ530-550-570-100300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 GRAND-ISLE-LA 29.25N 89.96W MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W $$ FLC017-029-053-057-075-101-103-GMZ830-850-853-870-873-100300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W TARPON-SPRINGS-FL 28.15N 82.79W $$ FLC015-021-027-071-081-087-115-GMZ031-032-033-656-657-676-856-876- 100300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ANCLOTE-KEY-FL 28.18N 82.80W FLAMINGO-FL 25.14N 80.93W $$ FLC086-AMZ630-651-671-100300- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 FLAMINGO-FL 25.14N 80.93W GOLDEN-BEACH-FL 25.97N 80.13W $$ GMZ054-074-075-100300- /E.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050709T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 DRY-TORTUGAS-FL 24.66N 82.86W SEVEN-MILE-BRIDGE-FL 24.70N 81.14W $$ GMZ052-053-072-073-100300- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 SEVEN-MILE-BRIDGE-FL 24.70N 81.14W OCEAN-REEF-FL 25.33N 80.26W $$ ATTN...WFO...LIX...EYW...TBW...TAE...MOB...MFL... ** WTUS84 KJAN 092055 *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074-100100- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 400 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND HURRICANE WATCH PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON TAIL DAYBREAK MONDAY... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI FOR SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST GULF AND TAKING AIM ON THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THIS INCLUDES CLARKE...FORREST...JASPER...JONES...AND LAMAR COUNTIES. THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...THIS INCLUDES ATTALA...CARROLL...CHOCTAW... CLAY...COPIAH...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES...JEFFERSON DAVIS...KEMPER...LAUDERDALE...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LINCOLN...LOWNDES... MADISON...MARION...MONTGOMERY...NESHOBA...NEWTON...NOXUBEE... OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON...SMITH...WEBSTER...WINSTON... AND YAZOO COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST ABOUT 415 MILES... 670 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT OR SUNDAY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WERE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS WILL BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... AS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY NIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE BEING OPENED IN SOME AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE OR WATCH LOCAL TV FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.BORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAIN FOR LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 70 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN DEVELOPING SUNDAY AFTER 5 PM OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A FEW GUSTS COULD APPROACH HURRICANE FORCE ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A QUITMAN TO LAUREL TO HATTIESBURG LINE SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN DEVELOPING SUNDAY EVENING OVER EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...THEN SPREADING WEST AND NORTH TO ALONG A BROOKHAVEN TO BRANDON TO STARKVILLE LINE BY MIDNIGHT. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WITH WINDS AROUND 125 MPH WHEN IT MOVES ON. ONCE ON...DENNIS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED. ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK WILL MEAN STRONGER WINDS. ...RAINFALL... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS EAST MISSISSIPPI. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE FAIRLY DRY BUT THREE INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WILL PROMOTE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 8 PM. $$ 40 ** WTUS82 KTAE 092057 *** HLSTAE ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>160-100200- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 457 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ..A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN N EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN BIG BEND UNTIL 11 PM EDT... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM FOR DIXIE...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...TAYLOR AND WAKULLA COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST BEGINNING TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT HAS DECREASED TO 955 MB OR 28.20 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COAST FROM TYNDALL AIR FORCE BASE TO ST GEORGE ISLAND...AND EXTEND BY SUNRISE FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE COAST LATE SUNDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PUSH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IF THE TRACK OF DENNIS TURNS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... THE INITIAL RAINBAND THIS AFTERNOON DEPOSITED AROUND ONE-HALF INCH OF RAIN ACROSS THE BIG BEND DROPPING TO ONE-TENTH OR LESS WEST OF THE APALACHICOLA RIVER. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA MAY SEE 3 TO 5 INCHES. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY SUNDAY. IF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...STORM TIDES WILL BE EXTREME OVER THE PANHANDLE COAST. SURGES FROM SAINT GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COAST WOULD LIKELY BE IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... TODAY...HIGH 5:18 PM. SUNDAY...LOW 1:14 AM AND 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM. PORT SAINT JOE... TODAY...LOW 10:49 PM. SUNDAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM. PANAMA CITY... TODAY...LOW 10:29 PM. SUNDAY...HIGH 12:07 AM...LOW 10:31 PM. DESTIN... SUNDAY...LOW 1:00 AM...HIGH 12:37 PM. ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... RADAR INDICATED SEVERAL OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS WERE MOVING NORTHWEST AND APPROACHING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. EARLIER...IN THE VICINITY OF TAMPA...AN OUTER RAINBAND SPAWNED A FEW TORNADOS AND AS THIS BAND APPROACHES THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND AND ADJACENT WATERS EARLY THIS EVENING...SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. THE THREAT OF TORNADOS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO TOMORROW. AS DENNIS MOVES NORTHWEST... ADDITIONAL TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED. THE GREATEST THREAT IS NORMALLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE HURRICANE. REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND HEED SPECIFIC EVACUATION ORDERS. PLEASE REFER TO LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS AND ORDERS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 830 PM EDT. BLOCK $$ ** WTNT44 KNHC 092058 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 WHAT A DIFFERENCE 6 HOURS MAKES! SATELLITE...RADAR...AND NOAA AND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE DENNIS HAS POSSIBLY STARTED A RAPID DEEPENING PHASE. THE EYE HAS BECOME BECOME DEFINED IN BOTH RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND THE PRESSURE IS NOW 955 MB...DOWN ALMOST 10 MB IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BEGINNING TO CATCH UP WITH THE PRESSURE FALLS AS INDICATED BY A 700 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 101 KT...EQUAL TO ABOUT A 91 KT SURFACE WIND ...IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/12. DENNIS HAS MADE A LARGE WOBBLE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IN THE PAST 2 HOURS...BUT THIS IS PROBABLY A TEMPORARY MOTION DUE TO THE DEEP CONVECTION HAVING EXPLODED AND WRAPPED AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF THE EYE. ONCE THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN BECOMES MORE SYMMETRICAL...I EXPECT DENNIS TO RESUME A NORTHWEST MOTION OF 320 TO 325 DEGREES. THE NEW 18Z NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS MORE CONVERGENT AND IS NOW IN BETTER AGREEMENT ON A TRACK TOWARD THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO SOUTHERN ALABAMA AREA. THE NOGAPS AND GFDN MODELS HAVE SHIFTED SHARPLY TO THE RIGHT ...OR EAST OF LOUISIANA...AND THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS HAS ALSO SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT AND CLOSER TO THE PREVIOUS 3 NHC FORECAST TRACKS. AS A RESULT...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 955 MB NORMALLY WOULD SUPPORT AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 105-110 KT...BUT THE INNER CORE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STILL FLAT DUE TO LAND INTERACTION WITH CUBA LAST NIGHT. HOWEVER... THE SMALL 10-15 NMI DIAMETER EYE...RECENT SHARP PRESSURE FALLS... WARM WATER AHEAD OF THE CYCLONE...AND IMPRESSIVE OUTFLOW ALL SUGGEST THAT DENNIS SHOULD GO ON AND INTENSIFY INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...AND POSSIBLY EVEN REGAIN CATEGORY 4 STRENGTH BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL ON SUNDAY. VARIOUS WIND RADII WERE INCREASED BASED ON RECON DATA FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/2100Z 25.7N 84.6W 90 KT 12HR VT 10/0600Z 27.5N 85.8W 100 KT 24HR VT 10/1800Z 29.9N 87.2W 110 KT 36HR VT 11/0600Z 32.3N 88.4W 65 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 11/1800Z 34.2N 89.3W 30 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 72HR VT 12/1800Z 37.0N 89.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND 96HR VT 13/1800Z 38.0N 87.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND 120HR VT 14/1800Z 39.0N 82.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 092103 CCA *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-092330- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...TORNADO WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 11 PM... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...IS DISCONTINUED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 200 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND DENNIS WILL BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 955 MB...OR 28.20 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS ARE SLOWLY DECREASING...AND THE STORM SURGE IS RECEDING. HOWEVER...EXTREME CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED ON THOSE STREETS THAT WERE INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD NOT VENTURE OUT ONTO THE STREETS AT THIS TIME. DANGEROUS CONDITIONS EXIST...INCLUDING SOME FALLEN TREES...DOWNED POWER LINES...AND SOME DOWNED AND NON FUNCTIONING TRAFFIC SIGNALS. TO REPORT TREES THAT ARE DOWNED ACROSS POWER LINES OR DOWNED POWER LINES IN THE CITY OF KEY WEST...PLEASE CALL 809-1108. THE KEY WEST 911 SYSTEM IS FUNCTIONING NORMALLY AND SHOULD BE USED ONLY IF THERE IS AN EMERGENCY. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS...AS WELL AS THE LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER REMAIN CLOSED. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN THE LOWER KEYS ARE CURRENTLY SUSTAINED AT 35 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH. WINDS OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WESTERN STRAITS AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER KEYS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE KEYS THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS EFFECT UNTIL 11PM FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR...A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 730 PM EDT THIS EVENING...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN ** WTCA44 TJSJ 092103 RRA *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 21 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SABADO 9 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS FORTALECIENDOSE A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE AL NOROESTE HACIA EL NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO...PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN HURACAN MAYOR NUEVAMENTE DURANTE ESTA NOCHE... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA PORCIONES DEL NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DESDE DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA AL OESTE HASTA EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HA SIDO CONVERTIDO EN UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL HA SIDO DESCONTINUADO PARA LA COSTA SURESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE GOLDEN BEACH AL SUR...INCLUYENDO LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA DESDE EL PUENTE DE LOS SIETE MILLAS AL ESTE. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AHORA ESTA EN EFECTO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE EL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL SUR HASTA FLAMINGO...Y PARA LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA AL OESTE DEL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA AL OESTE DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL HASTA GRAND ISLE...INCLUYENDO NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITANA Y EL LAGO PONCHARTRAIN. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 25.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 84.6 OESTE O COMO A 320 MILLAS ...510 KM...AL SUR SURESTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO HOY CON UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE NOROESTE ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS REPORTADO RECIENTEMENTE POR UN AVION DE RECONOSCIMIENTO FUERON DE 105 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN FUERTE HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR SIMPSON. ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO GRADUAL ES POSIBLE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y DENNIS PODRIA CONVERTIRSE NUEVAMENTE EN UN HURACAN DE CATEGORIA 3 ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EN EL DOMINGO. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 40 MILLAS...65KM...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 175 MILLAS... 280 KM. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 955 MILIBARAS...28.20 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA...LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA... EL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SURESTE DE ALABAMA...Y EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI. ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE 3 A 6 PULGADAS SON ESPERADAS SOBRE CUBA CENTRAL. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO CON PELIGRO A VIDAS. MAREJADA CICLONICA COMENZARA A DISMINUIR GRADUALMENTE A LO LARGO DE LOS CAYOS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DEL SUR ESTA NOCHE. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO EN LA MANANA. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 10 A 12 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO Y AL ESTE DE DONDE EL CENTRO DE DENNIS CRUZE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GLOFO EL DOMINGO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE EL CENTRO Y EL SUR DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA HASTA Y SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA HOY....Y A TRAVES DEL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL DOMINGO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 PM AST...25.7 NORTE...84.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...105 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...955 MILIBARAS. ADVERTENCIAS INTERMEDIAS SERAN EMITIDOS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 Y 9 PM EDT SEGUIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 092103 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-092330- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 500 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...TORNADO WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 11 PM... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED WIND IMPACTS. UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS. UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...IS DISCONTINUED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 200 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND DENNIS WILL BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 955 MB...OR 28.20 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS ARE SLOWLY DECREASING...AND THE STORM SURGE IS RECEDING. HOWEVER...EXTREME CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED ON THOSE STREETS THAT WERE INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD NOT VENTURE OUT ONTO THE STREETS AT THIS TIME. DANGEROUS CONDITIONS EXIST...INCLUDING SOME FALLEN TREES...DOWNED POWER LINES...AND SOME DOWNED AND NON FUNCTIONING TRAFFIC SIGNALS. TO REPORT TREES THAT ARE DOWNED ACROSS POWER LINES OR DOWNED POWER LINES IN THE CITY OF KEY WEST...PLEASE CALL 809-1108. THE KEY WEST 911 SYSTEM IS FUNCTIONING NORMALLY AND SHOULD BE USED ONLY IF THERE IS AN EMERGENCY. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS...AS WELL AS THE LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER REMAIN CLOSED. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN THE LOWER KEYS ARE CURRENTLY SUSTAINED AT 35 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH. WINDS OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WESTERN STRAITS AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER KEYS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE KEYS THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS EFFECT UNTIL 11PM FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR...A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 730 PM EDT THIS EVENING...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN ** WTNT24 KNHC 092103 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 2100Z SAT JUL 09 2005 CORRECTED PRESSURE/LOWERED TO 955 MB BASED ON NEW RECON DATA A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO... AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 84.6W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 30SW 55NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 75SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 84.6W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 84.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.5N 85.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 35SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.9N 87.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT...105NE 85SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.3N 88.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.2N 89.3W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 37.0N 89.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 38.0N 87.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 39.0N 82.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 84.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTUS82 KTBW 092114 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870- 873-876-100330- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 530 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DENNIS GAINING STRENGTH AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST...COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER... ...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 628 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE... CITRUS...DE SOTO...HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH... LEE...LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN BY SUNDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CITRUS... CHARLOTTE...DE SOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...POLK... SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 628 IS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DE SOTO...HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE...CITRUS...DE SOTO... HARDEE...HERNANDO...HIGHLANDS...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE...LEVY... MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...SARASOTA AND SUMTER COUNTIES UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES WEST OF FORT MYERS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE REGION WILL REMAIN IN THE PRIMARY DEVELOPMENT AREA FOR TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS INTO THIS EVENING. SEVERAL TORNADOES OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY AND FURTHER TOUCHDOWNS ARE POSSIBLE. REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS... WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER WATERS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES OF WEST PENINSULA FLORIDA THIS EVENING. SEVERAL STRONG RAINBANDS ARE MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE AREA WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...INCLUDING INLAND LOCATIONS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ONSHORE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH WATER LEVELS EXPECTED TO RISE TODAY AND TONIGHT. GENERAL WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECT TO RISE TO 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THE TIMING OF THE PEAK WATER LEVELS WILL BE IN THE EVENING TO NEAR MIDNIGHT FOR FORT MYERS...NEAR MIDNIGHT TO 6 AM FOR TAMPA BAY...AND NEAR 3 AM TO 8 AM FOR CEDAR KEY. THE HIGHEST TIDE VALUES WILL BE ALONG SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN...BECOMING MOST FREQUENT THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE CENTER PASSES BY. ADDITIONAL DOWNPOURS WILL OCCUR SUNDAY AS A FINAL BROAD FEEDER BAND PASSES THROUGH. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 7 TO 9 INCHES FROM LEE COUNTY TO SARASOTA COUNTY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES ELSEWHERE. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL PERPETUATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. HEAVY RAINFALL HAS FLOODED SOME ROADWAYS IN THE AREA...REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOOD ADVISORIES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SOME RAINFALL TOTALS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 4 PM EDT... FORT MYERS PAGE FIELD...4.12 INCHES PUNTA GORDA...3.83 INCHES FORT MYERS SOUTHWEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...3.40 INCHES BUCKINGHAM...3.60 INCHES NOCATEE...3.43 NORTH PORT...3.33 FORT OGDEN...3.74 SARASOTA...2.82 ...MARINE IMPACTS... SEAS ARE 12 TO 15 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 15 TO 20 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AREA BEACHES WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET POSSIBLY UP TO 10 FEET PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION. MARINERS AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. SUNDAY WILL SEE IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS...HOWEVER...RESIDUAL WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL CAUSE STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION. IF VISITING THE BEACH HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND THE BEACH PATROL. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BETWEEN 1100 AND 1130 PM OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ RD ** WTUS84 KBMX 092115 *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-092114- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 414 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THROUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THOUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...DENNIS WAS INTENSIFYING AS IT WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE GULF COAST. INFORMATION FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE... AND COASTAL DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH S0UTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. DENNIS WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DENNIS...CURRENTLY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...WILL LIKELY BE A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WILL APPROACH THE ALABAMA GULF COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS... OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION... VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATE SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. WINDS GUSTS OF 60 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. MORE DETAILED TIME... LOCATION...AND STRENGTH WILL BE PROVIDED AS THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST MONTH HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA SUNDAY MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... LANE REVERSAL ON INTERSTATE 65 STARTED SATURDAY MORNING IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE REVERSE LANING WILL CONTINUE FROM THE MOBILE RIVER AT EXIT 31...THE STOCKTON EXIT...NORTH TO NEAR MONTGOMERY AT THE INTERSECTION OF US HIGHWAY 80 AND INTERSTATE 65...AT EXIT 168...UNTIL 5 PM CDT TODAY. THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. && $$ MBS/91 ** WTUS84 KJAN 092116 CCA *** HLSJAN MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-054>058-062>066-072>074-100100- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 400 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH DAYBREAK MONDAY... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI FOR SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST GULF AND TAKING AIM ON THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THIS INCLUDES CLARKE...FORREST...JASPER...JONES...AND LAMAR COUNTIES. THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI...THIS INCLUDES ATTALA...CARROLL...CHOCTAW... CLAY...COPIAH...COVINGTON...GRENADA...HINDS...HOLMES...JEFFERSON DAVIS...KEMPER...LAUDERDALE...LAWRENCE...LEAKE...LINCOLN...LOWNDES... MADISON...MARION...MONTGOMERY...NESHOBA...NEWTON...NOXUBEE... OKTIBBEHA...RANKIN...SCOTT...SIMPSON...SMITH...WEBSTER...WINSTON... AND YAZOO COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI... GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST ABOUT 415 MILES... 670 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT OR SUNDAY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WERE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS WILL BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... AS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY NIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE BEING OPENED IN SOME AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE OR WATCH LOCAL TV FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. YOU CAN ALSO REFER TO THE MISSISSIPPI EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEBSITE AT: WWW.MSEMA.BORG. RESIDENTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAIN FOR LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SECURE ANY OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BECOME AIRBORNE SINCE HIGH WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THE STORM PASSES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 70 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN DEVELOPING SUNDAY AFTER 5 PM OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A FEW GUSTS COULD APPROACH HURRICANE FORCE ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A QUITMAN TO LAUREL TO HATTIESBURG LINE SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN DEVELOPING SUNDAY EVENING OVER EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...THEN SPREADING WEST AND NORTH TO ALONG A BROOKHAVEN TO BRANDON TO STARKVILLE LINE BY MIDNIGHT. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WITH WINDS AROUND 125 MPH WHEN IT MOVES ON. ONCE ON...DENNIS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE CENTER OF DENNIS...WHERE TREES AND POWER LINES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED. ANY WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK WILL MEAN STRONGER WINDS. ...RAINFALL... WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS EAST MISSISSIPPI. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE FAIRLY DRY BUT THREE INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WILL PROMOTE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES TRYING TO CROSS WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 8 PM. $$ 40 ...CORRECTED GRAMMAR IN HEADLINES... ** WTUS84 KLIX 092122 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-058-060>064-068>070-MSZ080>082-092330- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 430 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...DENNIS GETTING STRONGER AND COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE TONIGHT... ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES... ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...AND TANGIPAHOA AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HURRICANE WARNING INCLUDES THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...DEVELOPING WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...SHOULD FOLLOW ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF REQUESTED. IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR GUSTY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON SUNDAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 415 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NIGHT AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 3 PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH...WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING IN JACKSON AND POSSIBLE HARRISON COUNTY. ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 65 MPH COULD OCCUR ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF HURRICANE DENNIS MAY IMPACT THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. ...STORM SURGE... FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...A 2 TO 4 FOOT STORM SURGE IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES FOR JACKSON COUNTY IF HURRICANE TAKES A MORE WESTWARD TRACK LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND 1 TO 2 FOOT STORM COULD OCCUR IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ON SUNDAY PRIMARILY ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL COULD OCCUR IN JACKSON COUNTY IF HURRICANE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER TO THE WEST. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 630 PM CDT $$ ** WTNT64 KNHC 092140 *** TCUAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 440 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF DENNIS HAS FALLEN RAPIDLY TO 947 MB. DENNIS HAS REGAINED DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS...CATEGORY 3 ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EVEN MORE THIS EVENING. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTUS82 KMFL 092141 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-100400- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 600 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD...COLLIER...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 5 PM...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE TORNADO WATCH FOR MIAMI-DADE... BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR MIAMI-DADE... BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COLLIER...HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM TONIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BROWARD...PALM BEACH...HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 104 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING DENNIS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DENNIS WILL BECOME A MAJOR CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE SHELTER IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAS CLOSED. ONE SHELTER IN COLLIER COUNTIES REMAINS OPEN UNTIL 7 PM TONIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. PERSONS WITH POTENTIAL FLOOD PROBLEMS SHOULD REMAIN WEATHER ALERT THROUGH SUNDAY AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION SHOULD FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS ALREADY OCCURRED ALONG THE GULF COAST OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES... INCLUDING NAPLES...MARCO ISLAND AND EVERGLADES CITY THIS EVENING. THE STORM TIDE WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT BUT ANOTHER HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR LATER TONIGHT. AT THAT POINT THE STORM SURGE WILL BE ONLY ABOUT 1 FOOT IN HEIGHT MEANING THE STORM TIDE WILL BE ABOUT 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NEAR 430 AM SUNDAY MORNING. THE STORM TIDE MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING OF COASTAL ROADS...ESPECIALLY PARTS OF STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 TO MARCO ISLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 TO CHOKOLOSKEE. NO FURTHER STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. ...WIND IMPACTS... IN COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES AREAS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE OCCURRING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS OFF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST. OVER MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES SUSTAINED WINDS ARE GENERALLY 20 TO 25 MPH WITH A GUSTS TO 35 MPH. IN GENERAL...WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT. ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTIES...WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS TONIGHT. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 64 KNOTS ARE CONTINUING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO CAPE SABLE. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT. IN THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AT ATLANTIC OCEAN AND GULF COAST BEACHES TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. PERSONS ARE URGE TO GO INTO THE WATER ONLY WHEN A LIFEGUARD IS PRESENT. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... MIAMI DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING HURRICANE DENNIS HAVE TOTALED 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MOST OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE EXCEPTIONS ARE 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER METROPOLITAN PALM BEACH COUNTY AND A FEW SPOTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE EVERGLADES OF SOUTHWEST BROWARD AND NORTHEAST COLLIER COUNTIES. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... THE TORNADO WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS THE RISK OF TORNADOES HAS MOSTLY ENDED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT. FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON. $$ LUSHINE ** WTUS82 KEYW 092142 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-092330- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 540 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...TORNADO WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 11 PM... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS UNTIL 11 PM... ...FLOOD WATCH CANCELED FOR MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED HEADLINES. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...IS DISCONTINUED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 200 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND DENNIS WILL BECOME A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 955 MB...OR 28.20 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... WINDS ARE SLOWLY DECREASING...AND THE STORM SURGE IS RECEDING. HOWEVER...EXTREME CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED ON THOSE STREETS THAT WERE INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD NOT VENTURE OUT ONTO THE STREETS AT THIS TIME. DANGEROUS CONDITIONS EXIST...INCLUDING SOME FALLEN TREES...DOWNED POWER LINES...AND SOME DOWNED AND NON FUNCTIONING TRAFFIC SIGNALS. TO REPORT TREES THAT ARE DOWNED ACROSS POWER LINES OR DOWNED POWER LINES IN THE CITY OF KEY WEST...PLEASE CALL 809-1108. THE KEY WEST 911 SYSTEM IS FUNCTIONING NORMALLY AND SHOULD BE USED ONLY IF THERE IS AN EMERGENCY. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS...AS WELL AS THE LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER REMAIN CLOSED. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS IN THE LOWER KEYS ARE CURRENTLY SUSTAINED AT 35 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH. WINDS OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WESTERN STRAITS AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS TONIGHT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER KEYS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE KEYS THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY THE LOWER KEYS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS EFFECT UNTIL 11PM FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR...A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 730 PM EDT THIS EVENING...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN ** WTNT64 KNHC 092147 *** TCUAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL...CORRECTED 540 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 ...CORRECTED FOR TIME... REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF DENNIS HAS FALLEN RAPIDLY TO 947 MB. DENNIS HAS REGAINED DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS...CATEGORY 3 ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EVEN MORE THIS EVENING. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT54 KNHC 092151 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 6 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 AT 6 PM EDT...2200Z...DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM KEY WEST AND TAMPA INDICATE THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 305 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 395 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF DENNIS HAS FALLEN RAPIDLY TO 947 MB. DENNIS HAS REGAINED DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS...CATEGORY 3 ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EVEN MORE THIS EVENING. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 092204 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-100431- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 504 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA ...AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...MONROE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CRENSHAW...COVINGTON AND WILCOX COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND GEORGE... GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE COUNTIES OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WERE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS HAS MANY MILES YET TO MOVE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AND WILL LIKELY ACHIEVE A MINIMUM OF CATEGORY 3 INTENSITY BEFORE SUNDAY'S LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. SOME TYPE OF EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES. IF YOU LIVE NEAR THE WATER AND ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE...DO SO. EVERY HURRICANE IS DIFFERENT AND JUST BECAUSE YOU HAVE MADE IT THROUGH OTHER STORMS WITH VERY LITTLE DAMAGE...DO NOT ASSUME THAT DENNIS WILL BE THE SAME. DON'T BE A STATISTIC. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM DENNIS...THE LATTER COULD RESULT IN A TOTAL STORM SURGE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET AROUND THE CENTER OF DENNIS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND CURRENTLY THAT IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE PENSACOLA AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND DESTRUCTION ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...SIMILAR TO THAT PRODUCED BY HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. RESIDENTS OF MOBILE BAY SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THIS SITUATION...BECAUSE IF DENNIS' TRACK SHIFTS ANY FARTHER TO THE WEST...MOBILE BAY SURGE VALUES COULD INCREASE TO THE 10 TO 14 FEET RANGE. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...DENNIS SHOULD BE VERY SIMILAR TO HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. AS DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO ACHIEVE CATEGORY 3 STRENGTH WITH WINDS AS HIGH AS BETWEEN 115 TO 125 MPH...MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS LIKELY WITH DENNIS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES SUNDAY EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING. ON SUNDAY...OF COURSE... HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING...SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA. DO NOT GET BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL VERY MOIST DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS DENNIS APPROACHES. TORNADO PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS ARE THE FIRST THREAT. THE SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE AT LANDFALL. STAY TUNED FOR A TORNADO WATCH AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY ON SUNDAY. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... LANE REVERSAL OF I-65 HAS BEGUN IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. THE REVERSE LANING BEGINS NEAR THE STOCKTON EXIT (EXIT 31) AND ENDS JUST SOUTH OF MONTGOMERY. MOTORISTS DESIRING TO GO SOUTH FROM MONTGOMERY WILL BE DIVERTED TO OTHER ROADWAYS. WHEN TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEGIN TO AFFECT PENSACOLA BAY...THE I-10 BRIDGE ACROSS PENSACOLA BAY WILL BE CLOSED. BANKHEAD TUNNEL IN MOBILE WILL CLOSE AT 100 PM SATURDAY...WALLACE TUNNEL ON INTERSTATE 10 WILL REMAIN OPEN. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM. $$ MEDLIN\MCKEE ** WTUS82 KMFL 092246 CCA *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-100400- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 600 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD...COLLIER...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 5 PM...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE TORNADO WATCH FOR MIAMI-DADE... BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED. THE FLOOD WATCH FOR MIAMI-DADE... BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM TONIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR COLLIER...HENDRY...GLADES AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BROWARD...PALM BEACH...HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 104 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING DENNIS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DENNIS WILL BECOME A MAJOR CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE SHELTER IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAS CLOSED. ONE SHELTER IN COLLIER COUNTIES REMAINS OPEN UNTIL 7 PM TONIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. PERSONS WITH POTENTIAL FLOOD PROBLEMS SHOULD REMAIN WEATHER ALERT THROUGH SUNDAY AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION SHOULD FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS ALREADY OCCURRED ALONG THE GULF COAST OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES... INCLUDING NAPLES...MARCO ISLAND AND EVERGLADES CITY THIS EVENING. THE STORM TIDE WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT BUT ANOTHER HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR LATER TONIGHT. AT THAT POINT THE STORM SURGE WILL BE ONLY ABOUT 1 FOOT IN HEIGHT MEANING THE STORM TIDE WILL BE ABOUT 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NEAR 430 AM SUNDAY MORNING. THE STORM TIDE MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING OF COASTAL ROADS...ESPECIALLY PARTS OF STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 TO MARCO ISLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 TO CHOKOLOSKEE. NO FURTHER STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. ...WIND IMPACTS... IN COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES AREAS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE OCCURRING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS OFF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST. OVER MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES SUSTAINED WINDS ARE GENERALLY 20 TO 25 MPH WITH A GUSTS TO 35 MPH. IN GENERAL...WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT. ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTIES...WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS TONIGHT. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 64 KNOTS ARE CONTINUING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO CAPE SABLE. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT. IN THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AND ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AT ATLANTIC OCEAN AND GULF COAST BEACHES TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. PERSONS ARE URGE TO GO INTO THE WATER ONLY WHEN A LIFEGUARD IS PRESENT. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... MIAMI DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING HURRICANE DENNIS HAVE TOTALED 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MOST OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE EXCEPTIONS ARE 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER METROPOLITAN PALM BEACH COUNTY AND A FEW SPOTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE EVERGLADES OF SOUTHWEST BROWARD AND NORTHEAST COLLIER COUNTIES. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GLADES...HENDRY...COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING. THE TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR PALM BEACH...BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES AS THE RISK OF TORNADOES HAS MOSTLY ENDED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT. FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON. $$ LUSHINE ** WTUS84 KBMX 092251 CCA *** HLSBMX ALZ011>015-017>050-092345- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED EXPIRATION TIME... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 550 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO ALL CENTRAL ALABAMA COUNTIES SERVICED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THROUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM SUNDAY AT NOON CDT THOUGH MONDAY AT NOON CDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...DENNIS WAS INTENSIFYING AS IT WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE GULF COAST. INFORMATION FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE... AND COASTAL DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH S0UTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. DENNIS WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DENNIS...CURRENTLY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...WILL LIKELY BE A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WILL APPROACH THE ALABAMA GULF COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SECURE ALL LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS... OR MOVE THEM INDOORS. FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE A PROBLEM DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...WHERE WATER CAN QUICKLY FLOOD ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION... VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED IN THE DARK. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS. IF THE POWER OUTAGES LAST FOR ANY DURATION AND A GENERATOR IS NECESSARY...PLEASE REMEMBER THAT GENERATOR USE INDOORS CAN BE DEADLY DUE TO THE CARBON MONOXIDE GAS PRODUCED. GENERATORS SHOULD NOT BE USED INDOORS...BUT IF NO ALTERNATIVE EXISTS...USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OPERATING GENERATORS INDOORS AND PROVIDE ADEQUATE VENTILATION FOR THE MACHINE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATE SUNDAY MORNING AS OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. WINDS GUSTS OF 60 TO 80 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. MORE DETAILED TIME... LOCATION...AND STRENGTH WILL BE PROVIDED AS THE FORECAST TRACK BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DENNIS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE PAST MONTH HAS LED TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOW IN MANY LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH DENNIS WILL AGGRAVATE RIVER CONDITIONS. RIVER FLOODING COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT PROBLEM BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION WHEN AND IF THE WATERS BEGIN RISING. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA SUNDAY MORNING...AND THE THREAT WILL SPREAD TO CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TORNADO THREAT WILL GENERALLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. IF THESE TORNADOES DUE DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE RAIN WRAPPED. ...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... LANE REVERSAL ON INTERSTATE 65 STARTED SATURDAY MORNING IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE REVERSE LANING WILL CONTINUE FROM THE MOBILE RIVER AT EXIT 31...THE STOCKTON EXIT...NORTH TO NEAR MONTGOMERY AT THE INTERSECTION OF US HIGHWAY 80 AND INTERSTATE 65...AT EXIT 168...UNTIL 5 PM CDT TODAY. THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION HAS SET UP A HOT LINE FOR ROAD CLOSURE INFORMATION IN SOUTH ALABAMA. THE ACCESS NUMBER IS 1-888-588-2848. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. && $$ MBS/91 ** WTNT34 KNHC 092253 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 ...DENNIS STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY TO DANGEROUS CATEGOTY 3 MAJOR HURRICANE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER AT THE LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO... AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM EDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT DENNIS HAS STRENGTHENED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 947 MB...27.96 INCHES. ANOTHER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE DENNIS. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. ISOLATED TOTALS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA...WHICH COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. A STORM SURGE OF 12 TO 14 FEET...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...AND ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. REPEATING THE 7 PM EDT POSITION...26.1 N... 84.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 947 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 092254 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 2300Z SAT JUL 09 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER AT THE LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO... AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 84.9W AT 09/2300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 30SW 55NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..165NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 84.9W AT 09/2300Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 84.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.5N 85.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 35SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.9N 87.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT...105NE 85SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.3N 88.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.2N 89.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 37.0N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 38.0N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 39.0N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 84.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 092254 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 7 PM EDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 29.9N 87.2W 38 X X X 38 PENSACOLA FL 32 3 X X 35 32.3N 88.4W 8 22 1 X 31 MOBILE AL 27 6 X X 33 34.2N 89.3W X 20 4 1 25 GULFPORT MS 22 5 X 1 28 SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 BURAS LA 13 3 1 X 17 VENICE FL 2 X X X 2 NEW ORLEANS LA 7 7 X 1 15 TAMPA FL 2 X X 1 3 NEW IBERIA LA 1 1 1 2 5 CEDAR KEY FL 3 2 X 1 6 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2 ST MARKS FL 8 6 X X 14 GULF 29N 85W 33 X X X 33 APALACHICOLA FL 24 2 X X 26 GULF 29N 87W 46 X X X 46 PANAMA CITY FL 28 2 X X 30 GULF 28N 89W 8 2 X X 10 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 092257 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-100130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 700 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...TORNADO WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 11 PM... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS UNTIL 11 PM... ...FLOOD WATCH CANCELED FOR MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED STORM SURGE IMPACTS ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...IS DISCONTINUED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 210 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF KEY