** WTCA44 TJSJ 081808 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 16A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT VIERNES 8 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS TOCANDO TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUR-CENTRAL DE CUBA COMO UN HURACAN PODEROSO DE CATEGORIA 4 ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA... MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN Y GUANTANAMO. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD Y PINAR DEL RIO. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LOS CAYOS MAS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DESDE EL PUENTE DE SIETES MILLAS HACIA EL OESTE HASTA DRY TORTUGAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA EL RESTO DE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA...AL ESTE DEL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HASTA OCEAN REEF Y FLORIDA BAY. ESTA EN EFECTO TAMBIEN UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA AL SUR DE PLAYA BONITA...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE AL SUR DE PLAYA DORADA. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TROMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA AL NORTE DE PLAYA BONITA HASTA LONGBOAT KEY. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA DE LA VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DENTRO LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. LOS INTERESES EN EL OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE...FLORIDA...Y EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DEBEN SEGUIR EL PROGRESO DE DENNIS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGICA. AUNQUE HA OCURRIDO UN POCO DE FLUCTUACION EN MOVIMIENTO...COMO ES TIPICO EN UN HURACAN TAN PODEROSO...SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS CONTINUE MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...EL CENTRO DEBERA SALIR POR LA COSTA NORTE-CENTRAL DE CUBA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE. LOS DATOS DE UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO INDICAN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO HASTA CERCA DE 145 MPH...235 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES AUN UN HURACAN PODEROSO DE CATEGORIA 4 EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO ADICIONAL A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE CUBA...PERO SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE COMO UN HURACAN PODEROSO CUANDO SALGA Y LLEGUE A LAS ESTRECHOS DE LA FLORIDA Y A LA PARTE SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 50 MILLAS...85 DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 160 MILLAS...260 KM. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA RECIENTEMENTE INFORMADA POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ERA DE 941 MILIBARAS...27.79 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE CUBA ...CON CANTIDADES LOCALES DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS MONTANAS DE SIERRA MAESTRA DEL SURESTE DE CUBA. SE ESPERA CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUR DE FLORIDA...JAMAICA Y LAS ISLAS CAYMAN. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO CON PELIGRO A VIDAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADAS CICLONICAS DE 5 A 7 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON PROBABLES EN AREAS DONDE EL VIENTO SOPLA HACIA TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SURESTE DE CUBA AL ESTE DE CABO CRUZ. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA AUN MAYOR DE CERCA DE 20 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUR DE CUBA AL OESTE DE CABO CRUZ. ES POSIBLE UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 3 A 6 PIES EN LOS CAYOS MAS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 7 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL SABADO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y LA PENINSULA SUR DE FLORIDA HASTA EL SABADO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 2 PM AST...22.1 NORTE...80.6 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...941 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACAMES A LAS 5 PM AST. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTNT64 KNHC 081910 *** TCUAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 310 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005 REPORTS FROM THE CUBAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE AND CIVIL DEFENSE THROUGH HAM RADIO OPERATORS INDICATE A WIND GUST TO 149 MPH OCCURRED AT CIENFUEGOS CUBA AROUND 130 PM EDT. MORE THAN 85 PERCENT OF THE POWERLINES WERE DOWN AND EXTENSIVE DAMAGE HAS OCCURRED TO THE COMMUNICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 082003 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-082130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 400 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...TORNADO WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 400 AM... ...ALL HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED... ...SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY AND REMAIN UNTIL STORM PASSAGE... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IN EFFECT FOR ALL MONROE COUNTY... ...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. UPDATED TORNADO IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA...BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT ENTERS THE FLORIDA STRAITS. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...AND ON THIS COURSE THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 941 MB...OR 27.79 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PROTECTIVE ACTIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. THERE IS NO LONGER SUFFICIENT TIME TO EVACUATE FROM THE LOWER KEYS. SEEK SAFE REFUGE AND SHELTER IN PLACE FOR THE DURATION OF THE HURRICANE. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. THE MONROE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER IS CURRENTLY FULLY ACTIVATED AND A LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MONROE COUNTY. LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER IS CLOSED. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS FOR FURTHER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE THROUGH THE LOWER KEYS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 FEET...WITH 2 TO 4 FEET OF SURGE EXPECTED IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. STORM TIDES WILL REACH MAXIMUM VALUES DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE GREATEST RISK FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG SOUTH AND EAST FACING PORTIONS OF EACH ISLAND. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE LOWER KEYS BY THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE NOW BEGINNING TO IMPACT THE KEYS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE KEYS LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL STORM PASSAGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW IMPACTING THE FLORIDA STRAITS. IT IS NOT SAFE TO BE AT SEA...DO NOT LEAVE PORT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... THE FLORIDA KEYS CAN EXPECT TO RECEIVE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS...EXCEPT LOCALLY UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 400 AM. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN/DEVANAS ** WTNT33 KWNH 082043 *** TCPAT3 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 21 FOR REMNANTS OF CINDY NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD 5 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005 ...REMNANTS OF CINDY PUSHING OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTLINE... FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EASTERN NEW YORK...CONNECTICUT... MASSACHUSETTS...VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM THE CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE...SOUTH TO THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA. AT 5 PM EDT...21Z...THE REMNANTS OF CINDY WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 73.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS NOW MOVING NORTHEASTWARD NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...MAINLY OFFSHORE THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSUE WAS 1009 MB...OR 29.80 INCHES. SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 2 PM EDT ...NEW YORK... OXFORD 1.99 NEW YORK CITY/CENTRAL PARK 1.15 ...NEW JERSEY... POINT PLEASANT 2.68 LAKE HOPATCONG 1.77 ATLANTIC CITY 1.47 ...PENNSYLVANIA... KEFFERS 4.81 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI COLUMBIA 4.18 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI SCHUYLKILL 3.97 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI WINFIELD TWP 3.75 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI EPHRATA 3.14 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI LANCASTER 3.13 ...MARYLAND... SALISBURY 5.59 BETWEEN 2-8 AM EDT FRI WORCESTER 5.05 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI FREDERICK 3.85 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI CENTENNIAL 3.54 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON AP 2.31 ...VIRGINIA... UPPER SHERANDO 6.13 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI CHARLOTTE 5.50 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI PAGE 5.44 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI BIG MEADOWS 5.24 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI MADISON 4.75 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI NETHERS 4.75 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI LEESBURG/LIMESTONE BRANCH 4.66 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI LOVETTSVILLE/CATOCTIN CK 4.56 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI SHENANDOAH 4.52 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI WASHINGTON/DULLES AP 3.54 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI DANVILLE 3.12 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI RICHMOND 3.08 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI ...WEST VIRGINIA... WILLIAMSON 3.75 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI KEENEY KNOW LOOKOUT 3.20 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI SUMMIT POINT 3.16 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI MEADOW BLUFF 2.76 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI BOARDHOUSE HOLLOW 2.56 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI MIKES KNOB TOWER 2.40 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI ELKINS 2.26 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI LICK KNOB 2.24 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI ...NORTH CAROLINA... HICKORY 3.96 THROUGH 8 PM EDT THUR PLEASANT GARDENS 3.20 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR ASHEVILLE 2.52 THROUGH 8 PM EDT THUR NEEDMORE 2.15 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR CANTON 1.91 THROUGH 8 PM EDT THUR ...SOUTH CAROLINA... GREENVILLE/REEDY RIVER 4.64 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG APT 4.61 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR LYMAN 3.93 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR LIBERTY 3.57 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR OCONEE COUNTY APT 3.45 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR ROBBINSVILLE 1.95 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR ...TENNESSEE... KNOXVILLE 2.55 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR NEWFOUND GAP ARK 2.35 THROUGH 8 AM EDT THUR DOUGLAS DAM 1.79 THROUGH 8 AM EDT THUR CHATTANOOGA-LOVELL FIELD 1.59 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR ...GEORGIA... LITHONIA 6.38 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR NEWNAN 5.75 THROUGH 5 AM EDT THUR JEFFERSON 5.63 THROUGH 5 AM EDT THUR ATLANTA INTL ARPT 5.24 THROUGH 5 AM EDT THUR PEACHTREE CITY 5.20 THROUGH 5 AM EDT THUR ...ALABAMA... MOBILE 6.20 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR CAMDEN 4.86 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR THEODORE 3.54 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR SHELBY 2.23 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR MONTGOMERY/CATOMA CREEK 2.20 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR ...MISSISSIPPI... PASCAGOULA-LOTT 7.12 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR PASCAGOULA 6.61 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR GULFPORT 6.46 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR BILOXI/KEESLER AFB 4.53 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR ...LOUISIANA... GALLIANO 7.56 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR GRAND ISLE 6.37 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR SLIDELL 6.29 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR NEW ORLEANS/ALGIERS 4.99 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR THE REMNANTS OF CINDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES MAINLY OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...39.7 NORTH...73.8 WEST... MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST AT 18 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB OR 29.80 INCHES. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON CINDY THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. FRIES $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 082044 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005 ...MAJOR HURRICANE DENNIS LASHING CENTRAL CUBA... ...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE UNITED STATES... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ANCLOTE KEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM ANCLOTE KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD. AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES ... 150 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS CONTINUED TO OCCUR...AS IS TYPICAL OF A MAJOR HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH DENNIS IS STILL A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON AS DENNIS MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 99 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH A GUST WIND GUST TO 149 MPH...240 KM/HR...WAS MEASURED IN CIENFUEGOS...AND EXTENSIVE DAMAGE WAS ALSO REPORTED. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 949 MB...28.02 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA. HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...22.6 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 949 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EDT AND 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 082045 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 2100Z FRI JUL 08 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ANCLOTE KEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM ANCLOTE KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD. AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 81.1W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 55NE 35SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 30SW 55NW. 34 KT.......140NE 140SE 75SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 75SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 81.1W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 80.6W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.9N 82.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 35SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 55NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 75SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.7N 84.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 35SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 55NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 75SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.8N 85.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 45SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.0N 86.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.9N 89.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 38.0N 90.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 39.5N 85.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 81.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT33 KWNH 082045 *** TCPAT3 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 21 FOR REMNANTS OF CINDY NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD 5 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005 ...REMNANTS OF CINDY PUSHING OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTLINE... FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EASTERN NEW YORK...CONNECTICUT... MASSACHUSETTS...VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM THE CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE...SOUTH TO THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA. AT 5 PM EDT...21Z...THE REMNANTS OF CINDY WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 73.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS NOW MOVING NORTHEASTWARD NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...MAINLY OFFSHORE THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSUE WAS 1009 MB...OR 29.80 INCHES. SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 2 PM EDT ...NEW YORK... OXFORD 1.99 NEW YORK CITY/CENTRAL PARK 1.15 ...NEW JERSEY... POINT PLEASANT 2.68 LAKE HOPATCONG 1.77 ATLANTIC CITY 1.47 ...PENNSYLVANIA... KEFFERS 4.81 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI COLUMBIA 4.18 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI SCHUYLKILL 3.97 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI WINFIELD TWP 3.75 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI EPHRATA 3.14 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI LANCASTER 3.13 ...MARYLAND... SALISBURY 5.59 BETWEEN 2-8 AM EDT FRI WORCESTER 5.05 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI FREDERICK 3.85 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI CENTENNIAL 3.54 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON AP 2.31 ...VIRGINIA... UPPER SHERANDO 6.13 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI CHARLOTTE 5.50 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI PAGE 5.44 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI BIG MEADOWS 5.24 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI MADISON 4.75 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI NETHERS 4.75 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI LEESBURG/LIMESTONE BRANCH 4.66 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI LOVETTSVILLE/CATOCTIN CK 4.56 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI SHENANDOAH 4.52 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI WASHINGTON/DULLES AP 3.54 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI DANVILLE 3.12 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI RICHMOND 3.08 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI ...WEST VIRGINIA... WILLIAMSON 3.75 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI KEENEY KNOW LOOKOUT 3.20 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI SUMMIT POINT 3.16 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI MEADOW BLUFF 2.76 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI BOARDHOUSE HOLLOW 2.56 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI MIKES KNOB TOWER 2.40 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI ELKINS 2.26 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI LICK KNOB 2.24 THROUGH 8 AM EDT FRI ...NORTH CAROLINA... HICKORY 3.96 THROUGH 8 PM EDT THUR PLEASANT GARDENS 3.20 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR ASHEVILLE 2.52 THROUGH 8 PM EDT THUR NEEDMORE 2.15 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR CANTON 1.91 THROUGH 8 PM EDT THUR ...SOUTH CAROLINA... GREENVILLE/REEDY RIVER 4.64 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG APT 4.61 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR LYMAN 3.93 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR LIBERTY 3.57 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR OCONEE COUNTY APT 3.45 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR ROBBINSVILLE 1.95 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR ...TENNESSEE... KNOXVILLE 2.55 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR NEWFOUND GAP ARK 2.35 THROUGH 8 AM EDT THUR DOUGLAS DAM 1.79 THROUGH 8 AM EDT THUR CHATTANOOGA-LOVELL FIELD 1.59 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR ...GEORGIA... LITHONIA 6.38 THROUGH 2 PM EDT THUR NEWNAN 5.75 THROUGH 5 AM EDT THUR JEFFERSON 5.63 THROUGH 5 AM EDT THUR ATLANTA INTL ARPT 5.24 THROUGH 5 AM EDT THUR PEACHTREE CITY 5.20 THROUGH 5 AM EDT THUR ...ALABAMA... MOBILE 6.20 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR CAMDEN 4.86 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR THEODORE 3.54 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR SHELBY 2.23 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR MONTGOMERY/CATOMA CREEK 2.20 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR ...MISSISSIPPI... PASCAGOULA-LOTT 7.12 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR PASCAGOULA 6.61 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR GULFPORT 6.46 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR BILOXI/KEESLER AFB 4.53 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR ...LOUISIANA... GALLIANO 7.56 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR GRAND ISLE 6.37 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR SLIDELL 6.29 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR NEW ORLEANS/ALGIERS 4.99 THROUGH 2 AM EDT THUR THE REMNANTS OF CINDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES MAINLY OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...39.7 NORTH...73.8 WEST... MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST AT 18 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB OR 29.80 INCHES. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON CINDY THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. FRIES $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 082046 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT MON JUL 11 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 25.7N 84.4W 49 X X X 49 VENICE FL 27 2 X X 29 27.8N 85.6W 8 24 1 X 33 TAMPA FL 11 11 X 1 23 30.0N 86.7W X 11 12 1 24 CEDAR KEY FL 2 17 2 X 21 MUCF 221N 805W 99 X X X 99 ST MARKS FL X 13 8 1 22 MUSN 216N 826W 2 X X X 2 APALACHICOLA FL X 20 5 1 26 MUHA 230N 824W 84 X X X 84 PANAMA CITY FL X 15 9 1 25 MARATHON FL 54 X X X 54 PENSACOLA FL X 5 16 1 22 MIAMI FL 4 X X X 4 MOBILE AL X 1 16 3 20 W PALM BEACH FL 1 1 X X 2 GULFPORT MS X 1 13 3 17 FT PIERCE FL 1 2 X X 3 BURAS LA X 1 11 2 14 COCOA BEACH FL 1 3 1 X 5 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 8 5 13 DAYTONA BEACH FL X 5 3 X 8 NEW IBERIA LA X X 2 6 8 JACKSONVILLE FL X 3 6 1 10 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 3 3 SAVANNAH GA X X 3 4 7 GULF 29N 85W 1 26 1 1 29 CHARLESTON SC X X 1 2 3 GULF 29N 87W X 19 5 1 25 KEY WEST FL 73 X X X 73 GULF 28N 89W X 6 6 1 13 MARCO ISLAND FL 33 1 X X 34 GULF 28N 91W X X 3 2 5 FT MYERS FL 26 1 X X 27 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT84 KNHC 082057 *** TCVAT4 DENNIS WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 .HURRICANE DENNIS ALC003-097-FLC005-033-037-045-065-091-113-123-129-131-MSC045-047- 059-GMZ555-575-630-650-655-670-675-750-755-770-775-090300- /E.NEW.KNHC.HU.A.1004.050708T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 MOUTH-PEARL-RIVER-LA 30.15N 89.60W STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W $$ FLC057-081-103-GMZ830-090300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050708T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ANCLOTE-KEY-FL 28.18N 82.80W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ FLC021-086-087-AMZ630-651-671-GMZ031-032-033-656-657-676-090300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 BONITA-BEACH-FL 26.33N 81.85W GOLDEN-BEACH-FL 25.97N 80.13W $$ FLC017-029-053-075-101-GMZ850-870-090300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.A.1004.050708T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W ANCLOTE-KEY-FL 28.18N 82.80W $$ FLC015-027-071-115-GMZ853-856-873-876-090300- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.W.1004.050708T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W BONITA-BEACH-FL 26.33N 81.85W $$ GMZ054-074-075-090300- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 DRY-TORTUGAS-FL 24.66N 82.86W SEVEN-MILE-BRIDGE-FL 24.70N 81.14W $$ GMZ052-053-072-073-090300- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 SEVEN-MILE-BRIDGE-FL 24.70N 81.14W OCEAN-REEF-FL 25.33N 80.26W $$ ATTN...WFO...LIX...EYW...TBW...TAE...MOB...MFL... ** WTNT44 KNHC 082100 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005 DENNIS IS WELL INLAND OVER CENTRAL CUBA NOW...AND THE LAST RECON REPORT RIGHT AT LANDFALL NEAR CIENFUEGOS INDICATED THE PRESSURE HAD RISEN 3 MILLIBARS TO 941 MB. HOWEVER...A WIND GUST TO 149 MPH WAS MEASURED IN CIENFUEGOS CAUSING EXTENSIVE DAMAGE THERE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/15. DENNIS HAS BEEN WOBBLING ABOUT A MEAN MOTION BETWEEN 310 AND 315 DEGREES THE PAST 12 HOURS ...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN THAT TYPE OF MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. UPPER-AIR DATA AT 12Z AND 18Z INDICATE THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA HAS CHANGED LITTLE TODAY. ALSO...UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATE A COLD POOL OF -10C HAS DEVELOPED OVER NORTHERN LOUSIANA ALONG A 500 MB TROUGH AXIS...WHICH NONE OF THE MODELS INTIALIZED VERY WELL. THE COLDER AIR ALOFT SHOULD HELP CREATE A SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW THAN THE GLOBAL...GFDL...AND NAM MODELS ARE FORECASTING TO DROP SOUTH OF LOUSIANA OVER THE NOTHWESTERN GULF. THE RESULT SHOULD BE A DEEP- LAYER SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW REMAINING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK. DENNIS WILL WEAKEN A LITTLE MORE WHILE OVER CUBA...BUT IS STILL EXPECTED TO EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER THIS EVENING AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. HOWQEVER...THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUITE FAVORABLE FOR DENNIS TO RE-STRENGTHEN... POSSIBLY TO CATEGORY 4 INTENSITY...ONCE IT REACHES THE 29C SSTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. AFTER 24 HOURS...DENNIS WILL BE MOVING OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATER...WHICH MAY BRING ABOUT SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING...BUT THE CYCLONE IS STILL EXPECTED TO MAKE U.S. LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. ALL OF THE WIND SPEED RADII...ESPECIALLY IN THE RIGHT SEMICIRCLE... WERE INCREASED BASED ON RECON DATA. SOME FACTS ABOUT DENNIS...THE EARLIEST CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE TO DEVELOP IN THE CARIBBEAN...THE STRONGEST HURRICANE SO EARLY IN THE YEAR. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 22.6N 81.1W 115 KT...INLAND OVER CUBA 12HR VT 09/0600Z 23.9N 82.7W 105 KT...OVER S.E. GULF 24HR VT 09/1800Z 25.7N 84.4W 110 KT 36HR VT 10/0600Z 27.8N 85.6W 110 KT 48HR VT 10/1800Z 30.0N 86.7W 110 KT 72HR VT 11/1800Z 34.9N 89.5W 35 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 12/1800Z 38.0N 90.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 120HR VT 13/1800Z 39.5N 85.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 082105 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-090030- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...TORNADO WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 500 AM... ...ALL HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED... ...SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY AND REMAIN UNTIL STORM PASSAGE... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IN EFFECT FOR ALL MONROE COUNTY... ...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WHILE SOME WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE OVER CUBA...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE FLORIDA STRAITS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...AND ON THIS COURSE THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 949 MB...OR 28.02 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PROTECTIVE ACTIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. THERE IS NO LONGER SUFFICIENT TIME TO EVACUATE FROM THE LOWER KEYS. SEEK SAFE REFUGE AND SHELTER IN PLACE FOR THE DURATION OF THE HURRICANE. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. THE MONROE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER IS CURRENTLY FULLY ACTIVATED AND A LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MONROE COUNTY. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS CLOSED. GREYHOUND BUSLINES ARE NO LONGER RUNNING BUSES OUT OF THE KEYS. LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER IS CLOSED. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS FOR FURTHER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE THROUGH THE LOWER KEYS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 FEET...WITH 2 TO 4 FEET OF SURGE EXPECTED IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. STORM TIDES WILL REACH MAXIMUM VALUES DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE GREATEST RISK FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG SOUTH AND EAST FACING PORTIONS OF EACH ISLAND. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE LOWER KEYS BY THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW BEGINNING TO IMPACT THE KEYS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE KEYS LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL STORM PASSAGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW IMPACTING THE FLORIDA STRAITS. IT IS NOT SAFE TO BE AT SEA...DO NOT LEAVE PORT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... THE FLORIDA KEYS CAN EXPECT TO RECEIVE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS...EXCEPT LOCALLY UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 400 AM. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 530 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN/DEVANAS ** WTUS82 KTBW 082112 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-090330- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 510 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS WESTERN CUBA... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY NORTHWARD TO ANCLOTE KEY IN PINELLAS COUNTY... ...NEW INFORMATION... POWERFUL HURRICANE DENNIS FINALLY MADE LANDFALL IN WESTERN CUBA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS HAS CAUSED THE HURRICANE TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY... HOWEVER DENNIS REMAINS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 135 MPH. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT MOVES OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO ANCLOTE KEY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM ANCLOTE KEY NORTH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... CITRUS...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...LEE... LEVY...MANATEE...PASCO...PINELLAS...SARASOTA...HARDEE... HIGHLANDS...POLK...SUMTER... ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH NORTH TO ANCLOTE KEY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM ANCLOTE KEY TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. ...STORM LOCATION... AT 5 PM EDT... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS DENNIS MOVES NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THAT PART OF THE STORM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THEREFORE INCREASING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE AREA. THERE COULD BE AN ISOLATED TORNADO LATER TODAY OR THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...BUT THE GREATER THREAT WILL BE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE CENTER OF DENNIS PASSES OUR LATITUDE...INCREASING THE THREAT FOR TORNADIC ACTIVITY. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... DENNIS WILL MOVE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER WATERS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY...SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTIES BY MID AFTERNOON SATURDAY...AND OVER PINELLAS AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES SATURDAY EVENING. STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AS DENNIS MOVES NORTHWESTWARD SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME ONSHORE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AND BEGIN TO RAISE WATER LEVELS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FROM PINELLAS COUNTY SOUTH TO LEE COUNTY...WITH THE HIGHEST WATER EXPECTED ON SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES INCLUDING CHARLOTTE HARBOR. WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COAST...MID AFTERNOON ALONG SARASOTA COUNTY...AND DURING THE EVENING HOURS ALONG THE MANATEE...HILLSBOROUGH...AND PINELLAS COUNTY COAST. WATER LEVELS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IS EXPECTED FROM PASCO COUNTY TO CITRUS COUNTY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN LEVY COUNTY. THE HIGHEST WATER EXPECTED ON SOUTH FACING EXPOSURES. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... THE CURRENT FORECAST MOVEMENT OF DENNIS WILL BRING OCCASIONAL BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN...BECOMING MOST FREQUENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE CENTER PASSES BY. ADDITIONAL DOWNPOURS WILL OCCUR SUNDAY AS A FINAL BROAD FEEDER BAND PASSES THROUGH. STORM TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...MAINLY NEAR THE COAST...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS INLAND. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR WHERE PERSISTENT BANDS DEVELOP. BUT THIS IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK DENNIS TAKES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL PERPETUATE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. HOWEVER...ONLY MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED. ...MARINE IMPACTS... AS DENNIS MOVES NORTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE GREATLY OVER THE EAST CENTRAL GULF MAKING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. MARINERS SHOULD POSTPONE TRAVEL UNTIL AFTER DENNIS MOVES INLAND AND WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BETWEEN 11 AND 1130 PM TONIGHT. $$ EO ** WTUS82 KEYW 082113 CCA *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-090030- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 500 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...TORNADO WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 500 AM... ...ALL HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED... ...SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY AND REMAIN UNTIL STORM PASSAGE... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IN EFFECT FOR ALL MONROE COUNTY... ...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WHILE SOME WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE OVER CUBA...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE FLORIDA STRAITS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...AND ON THIS COURSE THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 949 MB...OR 28.02 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PROTECTIVE ACTIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. THERE IS NO LONGER SUFFICIENT TIME TO EVACUATE FROM THE LOWER KEYS. SEEK SAFE REFUGE AND SHELTER IN PLACE FOR THE DURATION OF THE HURRICANE. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. THE MONROE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER IS CURRENTLY FULLY ACTIVATED AND A LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MONROE COUNTY. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS CLOSED. GREYHOUND BUSLINES ARE NO LONGER RUNNING BUSES OUT OF THE KEYS. LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER IS CLOSED. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS FOR FURTHER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE THROUGH THE LOWER KEYS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 FEET...WITH 2 TO 4 FEET OF SURGE EXPECTED IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. STORM TIDES WILL REACH MAXIMUM VALUES DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE GREATEST RISK FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG SOUTH AND EAST FACING PORTIONS OF EACH ISLAND. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE LOWER KEYS BY THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW BEGINNING TO IMPACT THE KEYS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE KEYS LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL STORM PASSAGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW IMPACTING THE FLORIDA STRAITS. IT IS NOT SAFE TO BE AT SEA...DO NOT LEAVE PORT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... THE FLORIDA KEYS CAN EXPECT TO RECEIVE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS...EXCEPT LOCALLY UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 500 AM. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 830 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN/DEVANAS ** WTCA44 TJSJ 082113 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 17 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT VIERNES 8 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS...HURACAN MAYOR AZOTANDO CUBA CENTRAL... ...NUEVAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EMITIDOS PARA LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA... MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA... CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN Y GUANTANAMO. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD Y PINAR DEL RIO. LAS POCIONES ORENTALES DEL AVISO DE HURACAN PROBABLEMENTE SEAN DESCONTGINUADOS MAS TARDE EN LA NOCHE. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LOS CAYOS MAS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DESDE EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HACIA EL OESTE HASTA DRY TORTUGAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA EL RESTO DE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA...AL ESTE DEL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HASTA OCEAN REEF Y FLORIDA BAY. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN HA SIDO EMITIDO PARA PORCIONES DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...LA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO DESDE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA HA SIDO EXTENDIDO AL NORTE HASTA EL CAYO ANCLOTE. UN AVISO DE TROMENTA TROPICAL ESTA AHORA EN EFCTO DESDE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE CAYO ANCLOTE AL SUR...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE GOLDEN BEACH HACIA EL SUR. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL HA SIDO EMITIDO A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA AL NORTE DESDE CAYO ANCLOTE HASTA AL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA DE LA VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DENTRO LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. LOS INTERESES EN EL OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE...FLORIDA...Y EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DEBEN SEGUIR EL PROGRESO DE DENNIS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 22.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 81.1 OESTE O COMO A 95 MILLAS...145 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE HAVANA CUBA...Y COMO A 145 MILLAS...235 KM...AL SUR-SURESTE DE KEY WEST FLORIDA. AUNQUE HA OCURRIDO UN POCO DE FLUCTUACION EN MOVIMIENTO...COMO ES TIPICO EN UN HURACAN TAN PODEROSO...SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS CONTINUE MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...EL CENTRO DEBERA SALIR POR LA COSTA NORTE-CENTRAL DE CUBA TEMPRANO ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO HASTA CERCA DE 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES AUN UN HURACAN PODEROSO DE CATEGORIA 4 EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO ADICIONAL A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE CUBA... PERO SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE COMO UN HURACAN PODEROSO CUANDO SALGA Y LLEGUE A LAS ESTRECHOS DE LA FLORIDA Y A LA PARTE SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 65 MILLAS... 100 DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 160 MILLAS...260 KM. MAS TEMPRANO DURANTE ESTA TARDE CUANDO DENNIS TOCO TIERRA EN LA COSTA SUR CENTRAL DE CUBA...SE REGISTRO UN VIENTO SOSTENIDO DE 99 MPH...160 KM/HR...CON UNA RAFAGA DE 140 MPH...240 KM/HR...EN CIENFUEGOS...Y SE HAN REPORTADO DANOS EXTENSIVOS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA RECIENTEMENTE INFORMADA POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ERA DE 941 MILIBARAS...28.02 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE CUBA ...CON CANTIDADES LOCALES DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO CON PELIGRO A VIDAS. E ESPERA CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y EL SUR DE LA FLORIDA. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADAS CICLONICAS DE 5 A 10 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON PROBABLES EN AREAS DONDE EL VIENTO SOPLA HACIA TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUR CENTRAL DE CUBA. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA AUN MAYOR ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LAS BAHIAS Y PEQUENOS PUERTOS. ES POSIBLE UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 3 A 6 PIES EN LOS CAYOS MAS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 7 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL SABADO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y LA PENINSULA SUR DE FLORIDA HASTA EL SABADO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 PM AST...22.6 NORTE...81.1 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...135 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...949 MILIBARAS. ADVERTENCIAS INTERMEDIOS SERAN EXPEDIDOS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACAMES A LAS 7 PM Y 9 PM SEGIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 PM AST. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 082137 *** HLSTAE FLZ008-012-014-015-018-027-028-034-090130- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 536 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF ALL THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE FROM DIXIE COUNTY WEST TO BEYOND DESTIN. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES... 150 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DOG ISLAND AND ST GEORGE ISLAND SOMETIME AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. THEN...DURING THE REST OF SUNDAY MORNING WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST. HURRICANE WINDS COULD REACH THE COAST BY SUNRISE SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PUSH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER SUNDAY. IF THE TRACK OF DENNIS IS SLIGHTLY EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. ALL PEOPLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA SHOULD RECOGNIZE THAT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING SUNDAY. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. EXPECT TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH A FEW HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FURTHER EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...CAN EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY SUNDAY. IF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE MOVES TOWARD AND INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...STORM TIDES WILL BE EXTREME OVER THE PANHANDLE COAST. SURGES FROM ST GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE BIG BEND WOULD LIKELY BE IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA SATURDAY LOW 12:52 AM AND 12:22 PM...HIGH 8:07 AM AND 5:18 PM SUNDAY LOW 1:14 AM AND 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM PANAMA CITY SATURDAY HIGH 11:46 AM...LOW 10:29 PM SUNDAY HIGH 12:07 AM...LOW 10:31 PM ...RIP CURRENTS... THERE WILL BE A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS BEGINNING SATURDAY ALONG AREA BEACHES. DEADLY RIP CURRENTS WILL MAKE WADING AND SWIMMING VERY DANGEROUS. ...TORNADO THREAT... TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING SATURDAY ESPECIALLY OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. AS DENNIS MOVES NORTHWEST TOWARD THE AREA... TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED. THE GREATEST THREAT IS NORMALLY TO THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE HURRICANE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NOW IS THE TIME TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS AND SECURE YOUR PROPERTY. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME SUGGESTIONS FOR PREPARING FOR THE STORM. YOUR LOCAL GROCERY STORE MAY SELL OUT OF ITEMS SOON. STOCK UP ON... BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS...CANNED OR DRIED FOOD... DRINKING WATER...FIRST AID SUPPLIES AND PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE...AND FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS. ALSO...BE SURE TO HAVE CASH ON HAND...AS CREDIT CARDS AND ATM'S MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER. AROUND THE HOUSE...STORE LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS TRASH CANS OR YARD FURNITURE. CHECK THAT YOUR BATTERY OPERATED RADIOS ARE WORKING. IF YOU OWN A BOAT...MOVE IT TO A SAFE LOCATION. TRIM ANY LARGE TREES THAT COULD FALL ON THE HOUSE. IF YOU ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE TO A PUBLIC SHELTER...REMEMBER TO BRING YOUR FIRST AID KIT AND MEDICINE...BABY FOOD AND DIAPERS... TOILETRIES...A CHANGE OF CLOTHES...A BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND EXTRA BATTERIES...A FLASHLIGHT...SLEEPING BAGS OR BLANKETS...A FORM OF IDENTIFICATION...ANY VALUABLE PAPERS...AND CASH. REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST PUBLIC SHELTERS. IF YOU ARE STAYING AT HOME...TURN REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS. UNPLUG SMALL APPLIANCES. FILL STERILIZED JUGS AND BOTTLES WITH WATER FOR DRINKING. FILL THE BATH TUB AND CONTAINERS WITH WATER FOR SANITARY PURPOSES. IF YOU PLAN ON USING A PORTABLE GENERATOR...CHECK IT NOW FOR PROPER VENTILATION. CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING DEATHS CAN OCCUR DUE TO IMPROPERLY VENTILATED PORTABLE GENERATORS! PRECAUTIONS OUTSIDE YOUR HOME SHOULD BE STARTED NOW WHILE THE WEATHER IS STILL GOOD. IT MAY BE DANGEROUS TO WORK OUTSIDE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON POSSIBLE EVACUATION ORDERS...AND FOR SPECIFIC SCHOOL AND/OR BUSINESS CLOSURE INFORMATION...STAY TUNED TO LOCAL TELEVISION AND RADIO STATIONS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 830 PM EDT. $$ BLOCK/GOREE ** WTUS82 KMFL 082147 *** HLSMFL AMZ630-651-671-FLZ069-070-073>075-GMZ656-657-676-090300- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 545 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...TORNADO WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR PERSONS IN COLLIER...MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES IN PREPARATION FOR THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE RIGHT WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA. ALL PERSONS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS. ...NEW INFORMATION... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MIAMI-DADE...COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY MORNING. THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF DENNIS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT PRODUCING A CHANCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. SQUALLY EASTS WINDS ARE BEING EXPERIENCED THROUGHOUT MUCH OF SOUTH FLORIDA. AT 545 PM A PEAK WIND GUST OF 52 MPH WAS REPORTED AT OPA LOCKA AND AT 520 PM A PEAK WIND GUST TO 50 MPH AT MIAMI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. AT 5 PM WINDS WERE GUSTING TO 35 MPH AT HOMESTEAD...32 MPH AT FORT LAUDERDALE EXECUTIVE AIRPORT... 31 MPH AT FORT LAUDERDALE AND PEMBROKE PINES...AND 29 MPH AT MIAMI BEACH. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH TO CAPE SABLE AND FROM OCEAN REEF TO GOLDEN BEACH. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE LAND AREAS OF MIAMI-DADE... COLLIER...AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF MIAMI-DADE AND NAPLES AS WELL AS MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FLORIDA BAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MIAMI-DADE...COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY MORNING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH OF MIAMI OR ABOUT 265 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 135 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING DENNIS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR INTENSITY ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE DENNIS IS OVER CUBA...BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MIAMI-DADE COUNTY HAS CALLED FOR A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR PEOPLE IN MOBILE HOMES AND THOSE PERSONS DEPENDENT ON POWER SUCH AS THOSE USING OXYGEN. ONE SHELTER HAS BEEN OPENED TO ACCOMMODATE THESE PEOPLE. COLLIER COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE ASKED FOR VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR AREAS WEST AND SOUTH OF U.S. 41 AND FOR THOSE IN MOBILE HOMES AND WITH SPECIAL NEEDS IN THE AFFECTED AREA. PALMETTO RIDGE HIGH SCHOOL HAS BEEN OPENED AS A SHELTER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS FROM 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. PERSONS IN COLLIER...MIAMI-DADE...AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY SHOULD COMPLETE ALL PRECAUTIONARY ACTIONS BEFORE SUNSET. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT PERSONS IN HIGHLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HAVE PLANS TO MOVE TO DRYER AREAS IN CASE A FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ALONG THE GULF COAST OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES...INCLUDING MARCO ISLAND...NAPLES AND EVERGLADES CITY A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. AS DENNIS APPROACHES EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ...THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS BLOWING OFFSHORE WILL ACTUALLY RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST. WHEN THE CENTER OF DENNIS MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO SOMETIME AROUND MIDDAY SATURDAY...AN ONSHORE COMPONENT OF THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO INCREASE LIKELY REACHING A MAXIMUM IN EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 3 PM AT NAPLES AND 4 PM AT CAPE SABLE. THE STORM TIDE MAY CAUSE SOME COASTAL ROADS TO BE FLOODED...ESPECIALLY PARTS OF STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 TO MARCO ISLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 TO CHOKOLOSKEE. THERE ALSO MAY BE FLOODING OF SOME COASTAL STRUCTURES AND PERSONS LIVING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SHOULD LISTEN TO INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. ON THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TIDES OF ABOUT 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. AT MIAMI HARBOR...THIS WOULD BE BETWEEN 10 AND 11 PM EDT TONIGHT AND AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY MORNING. THIS MAY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING OF BEACH-FRONT ACCESS ROADS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE...MAINLY IN THE LOWER RANGE OF 39 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY LATE THIS EVENING. AS DENNIS MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTH TO THE COLLIER COUNTY COASTAL WATERS BEFORE DAWN SATURDAY AND LAST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH. FOR THE LAND AREAS OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST BUT FREQUENT GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE EXPECTED INLAND. FOR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...MAINLY 39 TO 57 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WITH PASSING SQUALLS AND ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW DOWN SMALLER TREES AND POWER LINES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ARE REMINDED THAT ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD RESULT IN WORSE CONDITIONS ACROSS INLAND SECTIONS AND THE REST OF MIAMI DADE COUNTY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... AT MARCO ISLAND...NAPLES AND EVERGLADES CITY...THE MAXIMUM CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY OF WIND SPEEDS FROM 39 TO 57 MPH OCCURRING IS 69 PERCENT. AT THESE SAME LOCATIONS THERE IS A MAXIMUM CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY OF 20 PERCENT THAT WIND SPEEDS FROM 58 TO 73 MPH WILL OCCUR AND A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE WIND SPEEDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER WILL OCCUR. THE MOST LIKELY TIME WHEN THESE WIND SPEEDS WILL OCCUR IS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. FOR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY INCLUDING METROPOLITAN MIAMI...THE MAXIMUM CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY OF WIND SPEEDS FROM 39 TO 57 MPH OCCURRING IS 30 PERCENT. THERE IS LESS THAN A ONE PERCENT CHANCE OF WINDS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER. THE MOST LIKELY TIME WHEN THESE WINDS SPEEDS WILL OCCUR IS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... WINDS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...ESPECIALLY FROM CAPE SABLE TO BONITA BEACH WILL BE REACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...34 TO 64 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY WELL OFFSHORE...TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IN THE MIAMI DADE COUNTY COASTAL WATERS... MAINLY SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH...TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS OF 34 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. MARINERS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ARE URGED TO SECURE THEIR VESSELS ALLOWING EXTRA LINE FOR EXPECTED STORM TIDE OR MOVE THEM TO SAFER HARBOR. ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING A HIGH RISK OF DEADLY RIP CURRENTS...IS LIKELY ON BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY AND PERSONS SHOULD SHOULD STAY AWAY FROM THE SURF. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... IN THE WAKE OF A VERY WET JUNE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THE GROUND IS NEARLY SATURATED. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE EXTREME SOUTH PARTS OF MIAMI-DADE...ALL OF MAINLAND MONROE...AND WESTERN COLLIER COUNTIES ARE THE MOST FAVORED AREAS FOR RAINFALL TOTALS OVER 5 INCHES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF DENNIS THAT MOVED THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLIER TODAY SHOWED INDICATIONS OF POSSIBLE TORNADOES. THESE SAME BANDS WILL AFFECT SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND THEREFORE A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGHOUT THIS EVENING TONIGHT AND UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY MORNING. PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER AND TAKE SHELTER IF A TORNADO IS SIGHTED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE AROUND 11 PM EDT. FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON. $$ LUSHINE ** WTNT54 KNHC 082155 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 6 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005 AT 6 PM EDT...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 082217 *** HLSMOB ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-090400- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 517 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...HURRICANE DENNIS WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF THIS EVENING AND TAKE AIM ON THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST...POSSIBLY THE EXTREME NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE OR ALABAMA COASTS...ON SUNDAY AS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SHELTERS ARE BEING OPENED IN SOME AREAS TONIGHT...WITH MANDATORY EVACUATIONS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO AND TV FOR SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN YOUR AREA. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR NEAR NOON ON SUNDAY...AND COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM DENNIS...COULD RESULT IN A STORM SURGE BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET IN AND NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL. THIS WILL RESULT IN MAJOR DESTRUCTION ALONG COASTAL AREAS...SIMILAR TO WHAT HURRICANE IVAN PRODUCED LAST YEAR. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER... WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WITH WINDS AROUND 120 MPH...MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS LIKELY WITH DENNIS. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES OUT OF THE AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL AND TRACKS INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL FAIRLY MOIST DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY EARLIER IN THE WEEK...THIS WILL PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BE INCREASED AS DENNIS APPROACHES THE COAST AND MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1100 PM. EVERSOLE/MCKEE $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 082218 *** HLSLIX MSZ080>082-090330- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 515 PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...HURRICANE DENNIS LASHING CENTRAL CUBA...CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST... THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE STEINHACHEE RIVER IN FLORIDA. THE HURRICANE WATCH INCLUDES THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD BEGIN PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING TIDES...DEVELOPING WITHIN 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...SHOULD FOLLOW ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF REQUESTED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE DENNIS REMAINS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. WHILE DENNIS MAY WEAKEN SOME OVER CUBA...IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT. ...WIND IMPACTS.... AS HURRICANE DENNIS CROSSES THE GULF OF MEXICO...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...39 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL SPREAD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. ...RAINFALL... SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING...WITH OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 PM. $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 082247 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005 ...DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS WESTERN CUBA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM ANCLOTE KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM EDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES ... 105 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 130 MILES... 210 KM...SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...200 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. CIENFUEGOS CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 93 MPH. WINDS ARE INCREASING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS HOUR...WITH THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT SOMBRERO KEY RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 48 MPH WITH A GUST TO 60 MPH AT AN ELEVATION OF 160 FEET. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA. HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY. REPEATING THE 7 PM EDT POSITION...22.7 N... 81.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 082307 CCA *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-090130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 700 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...THE EVACUATION HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED BY MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS... ...SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY AND REMAIN UNTIL STORM PASSAGE... ...TORNADO WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 500 AM... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS.. ...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WHILE SOME WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE OVER CUBA...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE FLORIDA STRAITS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND ON THIS COURSE THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE OFF THE NORTH CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 952 MB...OR 28.11 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS NO LONGER SUFFICIENT TIME TO EVACUATE FROM THE LOWER KEYS. THE EVACUATION HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED BY MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS. SEEK SAFE REFUGE AND SHELTER IN PLACE FOR THE DURATION OF THE HURRICANE. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. THE MONROE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER IS CURRENTLY FULLY ACTIVATED AND A LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MONROE COUNTY. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS CLOSED. GREYHOUND BUSLINES ARE NO LONGER RUNNING BUSES OUT OF THE KEYS. LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER IS CLOSED. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS FOR FURTHER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE THROUGH THE LOWER KEYS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 65 FEET...WITH 1 TO 3 FEET OF SURGE EXPECTED IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. STORM TIDES WILL REACH MAXIMUM VALUES DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE GREATEST RISK FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG SOUTH AND EAST FACING PORTIONS OF EACH ISLAND. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE LOWER KEYS THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW IMPACTING THE KEYS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE KEYS LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL STORM PASSAGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW IMPACTING THE FLORIDA STRAITS. IT IS NOT SAFE TO BE AT SEA...DO NOT LEAVE PORT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... THE FLORIDA KEYS CAN EXPECT TO RECEIVE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS...EXCEPT LOCALLY UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 500 AM. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 930 PM EDT THIS EVENING...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN/DEVANAS ** WTUS82 KEYW 082311 CCA *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-090130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 700 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...THE EVACUATION HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED BY MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS... ...SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY AND REMAIN UNTIL STORM PASSAGE... ...TORNADO WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 500 AM... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS.. ...A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. UPDATED STORM INFORMATION. UPDATED STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WHILE SOME WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE OVER CUBA...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE FLORIDA STRAITS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND ON THIS COURSE THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE OFF THE NORTH CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 952 MB...OR 28.11 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS NO LONGER SUFFICIENT TIME TO EVACUATE FROM THE LOWER KEYS. THE EVACUATION HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED BY MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS. SEEK SAFE REFUGE AND SHELTER IN PLACE FOR THE DURATION OF THE HURRICANE. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. THE MONROE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER IS CURRENTLY FULLY ACTIVATED AND A LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MONROE COUNTY. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS CLOSED. GREYHOUND BUSLINES ARE NO LONGER RUNNING BUSES OUT OF THE KEYS. LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER IS CLOSED. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS FOR FURTHER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE THROUGH THE LOWER KEYS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 FEET...WITH 1 TO 3 FEET OF SURGE EXPECTED IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. STORM TIDES WILL REACH MAXIMUM VALUES DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE GREATEST RISK FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG SOUTH AND EAST FACING PORTIONS OF EACH ISLAND. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE LOWER KEYS THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW IMPACTING THE KEYS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE KEYS LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL STORM PASSAGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW IMPACTING THE FLORIDA STRAITS. IT IS NOT SAFE TO BE AT SEA...DO NOT LEAVE PORT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... THE FLORIDA KEYS CAN EXPECT TO RECEIVE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS...EXCEPT LOCALLY UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 500 AM. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 930 PM EDT THIS EVENING...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN/DEVANAS ** WTCA44 TJSJ 082330 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 17A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 PM EDT VIERNES 8 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...PELGROSO HURACAN DENNIS CONTINUA AL NOROESTE A TRAVES DE CUBA OCCIDENTAL... CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA... MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA... CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN Y GUANTANAMO. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD Y PINAR DEL RIO. LAS PORCIONES ORENTALES DEL AVISO DE HURACAN PROBABLEMENTE SEAN DESCONTGINUADOS MAS TARDE EN LA NOCHE. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LOS CAYOS MAS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA DESDE EL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HACIA EL OESTE HASTA DRY TORTUGAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA EL RESTO DE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA...AL ESTE DEL PUENTE DE SIETE MILLAS HASTA OCEAN REEF Y FLORIDA BAY. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA PORCIONES DE LA COSTA NORESTE DEL GOLFO DESDE EL RIO STEINHATCHEE AL OESTE HASTA LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO PEARL. UN AVISO DE TROMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFCTO DESDE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE CAYO ANCLOTE AL SUR...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE GOLDEN BEACH HACIA EL SUR. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO DESDE LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE EL CAYO ANCLOTE AL NORTE HASTA AL ESTE DEL RIO STEINHATCHEE. UN AVISO DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES HURACANADAS O DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...RESPECTIVAMENTE... SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA DE LA VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DENTRO LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. LOS INTERESES EN EL OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE...FLORIDA...Y EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO DEBEN SEGUIR EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS TIERRA ADENTRO...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGICA. A LAS 7 PM EDT...2300Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 22.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 81.4 OESTE O COMO A 65 MILLAS...105 KM AL ESTE SURESTE DE HAVANA CUBA...Y COMO A 130 MILLAS...210 KM...AL SUR DE KEY WEST FLORIDA. DENNIS SE MUEVE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...EL CENTRO DEBERA SALIR DE LA COSTA NORCENTRAL DE CUBE DURANTE LAS HORAS DEL ANOCHECER. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO HASTA CERCA DE 125 MPH...200 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA 3 EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO ADICIONAL A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA SOBRE CUBA... PERO SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE COMO UN HURACAN MAYOR CUANDO SALGA Y LLEGUE A LAS ESTRECHOS DE LA FLORIDA Y A LA PARTE SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS HURACANADOS SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 65 MILLAS... 100 DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 160 MILLAS...260 KM. CIENFUEGOS CUBA RECIEMENTE REPORTO UNA RAFAGA DE 93 MPH. LOS VIENTOS ESTAN AUMENTANDO EN LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA A ESTA HORA...CON UNA ESTACION AUTOMATICA EN EL CAYO SOBRERO REPORTANDO RECIENTEMENTE VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 48 MPH CON RAFAGAS DE 60 MPH EN UN AREA A 160 PIES DE ELEVACION. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 952 MILIBARAS...28.11 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SOBRE CUBA ...CON CANTIDADES LOCALES DE HASTA 15 PULGADAS. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO CON PELIGRO A VIDAS. SE ESPERA CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y EL SUR DE LA FLORIDA. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADAS CICLONICAS DE 5 A 10 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...SON PROBABLES EN AREAS DONDE EL VIENTO SOPLA HACIA TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUR CENTRAL DE CUBA. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA AUN MAYOR ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LAS BAHIAS Y PEQUENOS PUERTOS. ES POSIBLE UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 3 A 6 PIES EN LOS CAYOS MAS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA. UNA MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 4 A 7 PIES ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL SABADO. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y LA PENINSULA SUR DE FLORIDA HASTA EL SABADO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 PM AST...22.7 NORTE...81.4 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...125 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...952 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EXPEDIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACAMES A LAS 9 PM SEGIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 PM AST. PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 082348 *** HLSTAE FLZ008-012-014-015-018-027-028-034-090245- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 735 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF ALL THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE FROM TAYLOR COUNTY WEST TO BEYOND DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM DIXIE COUNTY SOUTH. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DOG ISLAND AND SAINT GEORGE ISLAND SOMETIME AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. THEN...DURING THE REST OF SUNDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST. HURRICANE WINDS COULD REACH THE COAST BY SUNRISE SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PUSH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER SUNDAY. IF THE TRACK OF DENNIS IS SLIGHTLY EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. ALL PEOPLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA SHOULD RECOGNIZE THAT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING SUNDAY. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. EXPECT TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FURTHER EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA CAN EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCHES. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY SUNDAY. IF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE MOVES TOWARD AND INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...STORM TIDES WILL BE EXTREME OVER THE PANHANDLE COAST. SURGES FROM ST GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE BIG BEND WOULD LIKELY BE IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... SATURDAY...LOW 12:52 AM AND 12:22 PM...HIGH 8:07 AM AND 5:18 PM SUNDAY...LOW 1:14 AM AND 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM PANAMA CITY... SATURDAY...HIGH 11:46 AM...LOW 10:29 PM SUNDAY...HIGH 12:07 AM...LOW 10:31 PM ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING SATURDAY ESPECIALLY OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. AS DENNIS MOVES NORTHWEST TOWARD THE AREA... TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED. THE GREATEST THREAT IS NORMALLY TO THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE HURRICANE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NOW IS THE TIME TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS AND SECURE YOUR PROPERTY. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME SUGGESTIONS FOR PREPARING FOR THE STORM. YOUR LOCAL GROCERY STORE MAY SELL OUT OF ITEMS SOON. STOCK UP ON... BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS...CANNED OR DRIED FOOD... DRINKING WATER...FIRST AID SUPPLIES AND PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE...AND FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS. ALSO...BE SURE TO HAVE CASH ON HAND...AS CREDIT CARDS AND ATM'S MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER. AROUND THE HOUSE...STORE LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS TRASH CANS OR YARD FURNITURE. CHECK THAT YOUR BATTERY OPERATED RADIOS ARE WORKING. IF YOU OWN A BOAT...MOVE IT TO A SAFE LOCATION. TRIM ANY LARGE TREES THAT COULD FALL ON THE HOUSE. IF YOU ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE TO A PUBLIC SHELTER...REMEMBER TO BRING YOUR FIRST AID KIT AND MEDICINE...BABY FOOD AND DIAPERS... TOILETRIES...A CHANGE OF CLOTHES...A BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND EXTRA BATTERIES...A FLASHLIGHT...SLEEPING BAGS OR BLANKETS...A FORM OF IDENTIFICATION...ANY VALUABLE PAPERS...AND CASH. REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST PUBLIC SHELTERS. IF YOU ARE STAYING AT HOME...TURN REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS. UNPLUG SMALL APPLIANCES. FILL STERILIZED JUGS AND BOTTLES WITH WATER FOR DRINKING. FILL THE BATH TUB AND CONTAINERS WITH WATER FOR SANITARY PURPOSES. IF YOU PLAN ON USING A PORTABLE GENERATOR...CHECK IT NOW FOR PROPER VENTILATION. CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING DEATHS CAN OCCUR DUE TO IMPROPERLY VENTILATED PORTABLE GENERATORS! PRECAUTIONS OUTSIDE YOUR HOME SHOULD BE STARTED NOW WHILE THE WEATHER IS STILL GOOD. IT MAY BE DANGEROUS TO WORK OUTSIDE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON POSSIBLE EVACUATION ORDERS...AND FOR SPECIFIC SCHOOL AND/OR BUSINESS CLOSURE INFORMATION...STAY TUNED TO LOCAL TELEVISION AND RADIO STATIONS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 11 PM EDT. $$ 8-JAMSKI ** WTUS82 KEYW 082351 *** HLSEYW FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-090130- HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 750 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...THE EVACUATION HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED BY MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS... ...SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY AND REMAIN UNTIL STORM PASSAGE... ...THREE REFUGES OF LAST RESORT MADE AVAILABLE... ...TORNADO WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 500 AM... ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS... ...HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY... ...A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE. UPDATED HEADLINES. UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WHILE SOME WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE OVER CUBA...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE FLORIDA STRAITS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND ON THIS COURSE THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE OFF THE NORTH CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS ESTIMATED AT 952 MB...OR 28.11 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THERE IS NO LONGER SUFFICIENT TIME TO EVACUATE FROM THE LOWER KEYS. THE EVACUATION HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED BY MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS. SEEK SAFE REFUGE AND SHELTER IN PLACE FOR THE DURATION OF THE HURRICANE. THREE REFUGES OF LAST RESORT HAVE BEEN OPENED TO HELP PREVENT UNNECESSARY DEATH OR INJURY OF THOSE EVACUEES UNABLE TO REACH THE MAINLAND. THEY ARE LOCATED AT KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL IN KEY WEST...STANLEY SWITLIK SCHOOL IN MARATHON...AND CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 90. NO SUPPLIES WILL BE AVAILABLE AT THE REFUGES. FOR EMERGENCY INFORMATION CALL THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 800-955-5504. THE MONROE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER IS CURRENTLY FULLY ACTIVATED AND A LOCAL STATE OF EMERGENCY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MONROE COUNTY. KEY WEST AIRPORT AND LOWER KEYS MEDICAL CENTER ARE CLOSED. THERE ARE NO FIRE OR RESCUE SERVICES FROM STOCK ISLAND THROUGH MARATHON. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE MEDIA REPORTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT BULLETINS FOR FURTHER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE THROUGH THE LOWER KEYS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 FEET...WITH 1 TO 3 FEET OF SURGE EXPECTED IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. STORM TIDES WILL REACH MAXIMUM VALUES DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. THE GREATEST RISK FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG SOUTH AND EAST FACING PORTIONS OF EACH ISLAND. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE LOWER KEYS THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW IMPACTING THE KEYS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE KEYS LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL STORM PASSAGE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW IMPACTING THE FLORIDA STRAITS. IT IS NOT SAFE TO BE AT SEA...DO NOT LEAVE PORT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... THE FLORIDA KEYS CAN EXPECT TO RECEIVE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE DENNIS...EXCEPT LOCALLY UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER KEYS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNTIL 500 AM. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED OR DETECTED ON RADAR A TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE ON HURRICANE DENNIS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE AROUND 930 PM EDT THIS EVENING...OR WHEN NEW INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FELTGEN/DEVANAS ** WTNT54 KNHC 082352 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE DENNIS TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005 AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 082353 CCA *** HLSTAE FLZ008-012-014-015-018-027-028-034-090245- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED...CORRECTED HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 735 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 ...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF ALL THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE FROM TAYLOR COUNTY WEST TO BEYOND DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM DIXIE COUNTY SOUTH. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES. ...WIND IMPACTS... GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DOG ISLAND AND SAINT GEORGE ISLAND SOMETIME AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. THEN...DURING THE REST OF SUNDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST. HURRICANE WINDS COULD REACH THE COAST BY SUNRISE SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PUSH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER SUNDAY. IF THE TRACK OF DENNIS IS SLIGHTLY EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COULD RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. ALL PEOPLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA SHOULD RECOGNIZE THAT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING SUNDAY. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. EXPECT TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FURTHER EAST...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA CAN EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCHES. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN ALONG THE COAST EARLY SUNDAY. IF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE MOVES TOWARD AND INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...STORM TIDES WILL BE EXTREME OVER THE PANHANDLE COAST. SURGES FROM ST GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE BIG BEND WOULD LIKELY BE IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION. NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... SATURDAY...LOW 12:52 AM AND 12:22 PM...HIGH 8:07 AM AND 5:18 PM SUNDAY...LOW 1:14 AM AND 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM PANAMA CITY... SATURDAY...HIGH 11:46 AM...LOW 10:29 PM SUNDAY...HIGH 12:07 AM...LOW 10:31 PM ...RIP CURRENTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND WINDS. ...TORNADO THREAT... TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING SATURDAY ESPECIALLY OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. AS DENNIS MOVES NORTHWEST TOWARD THE AREA... TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED. THE GREATEST THREAT IS NORMALLY TO THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE HURRICANE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... NOW IS THE TIME TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS AND SECURE YOUR PROPERTY. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME SUGGESTIONS FOR PREPARING FOR THE STORM. YOUR LOCAL GROCERY STORE MAY SELL OUT OF ITEMS SOON. STOCK UP ON... BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS...CANNED OR DRIED FOOD... DRINKING WATER...FIRST AID SUPPLIES AND PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE...AND FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS. ALSO...BE SURE TO HAVE CASH ON HAND...AS CREDIT CARDS AND ATM'S MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER. AROUND THE HOUSE...STORE LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS TRASH CANS OR YARD FURNITURE. CHECK THAT YOUR BATTERY OPERATED RADIOS ARE WORKING. IF YOU OWN A BOAT...MOVE IT TO A SAFE LOCATION. TRIM ANY LARGE TREES THAT COULD FALL ON THE HOUSE. IF YOU ARE ORDERED TO EVACUATE TO A PUBLIC SHELTER...REMEMBER TO BRING YOUR FIRST AID KIT AND MEDICINE...BABY FOOD AND DIAPERS... TOILETRIES...A CHANGE OF CLOTHES...A BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND EXTRA BATTERIES...A FLASHLIGHT...SLEEPING BAGS OR BLANKETS...A FORM OF IDENTIFICATION...ANY VALUABLE PAPERS...AND CASH. REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST PUBLIC SHELTERS. IF YOU ARE STAYING AT HOME...TURN REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS. UNPLUG SMALL APPLIANCES. FILL STERILIZED JUGS AND BOTTLES WITH WATER FOR DRINKING. FILL THE BATH TUB AND CONTAINERS WITH WATER FOR SANITARY PURPOSES. IF YOU PLAN ON USING A PORTABLE GENERATOR...CHECK IT NOW FOR PROPER VENTILATION. CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING DEATHS CAN OCCUR DUE TO IMPROPERLY VENTILATED PORTABLE GENERATORS! PRECAUTIONS OUTSIDE YOUR HOME SHOULD BE STARTED NOW WHILE THE WEATHER IS STILL GOOD. IT MAY BE DANGEROUS TO WORK OUTSIDE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON POSSIBLE EVACUATION ORDERS...AND FOR SPECIFIC SCHOOL AND/OR BUSINESS CLOSURE INFORMATION...STAY TUNED TO LOCAL TELEVISION AND RADIO STATIONS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 11 PM EDT. $$ 8-JAMSKI