** WTNT34 KNHC 061200 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 ...DENNIS CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT 255 MILES... 410 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 440 MILES... 710 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA EARLY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 65 MPH... 100 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...15.2 N... 70.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 061203 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CINDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2005 ...CINDY MOVING OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES NORTH OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF WILL BE MOVING INTO WESTERN ALABAMA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING WILL OCCUR TODAY AS CINDY MOVES OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA C-MAN STATION RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 46 MPH AND GUSTS TO 53 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH CINDY WILL BE DECREASING TODAY. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...30.9 N... 88.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 061203 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>056-059-061>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-061500- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 700 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS STONE...GEORGE...GREENE...AND PERRY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. WIND ADVISORIES FOR WINDS OF 25 MPH OR MORE REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND FOR CHOCTAW... WASHINGTON...CLARKE...MONROE...WILCOX...CONECUH AND ESCAMBIA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TODAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE UNTIL 1000 AM. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST OR NEAR VANCLEAVE. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH. CINDY WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TODAY...ESPECIALLY THOSE LIVING NEAR LOW PLACES...SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NORMAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AM AND NOON TODAY... AND COMBINED WITH CINDY'S SURGE...COULD RESULT IN WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL NEAR DAUPHIN ISLAND AND 2 TO 4 FEET FROM GULF SHORES TO DESTIN. THE INCREASED TIDE LEVELS COULD RESULT IN EXTENSIVE WASH-UP AND ADDITIONAL EROSION ALONG AREA BEACHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER OF CINDY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. WINDS GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AS THE CENTER OF CINDY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. FOR THE LATEST WIND SPEED ESTIMATES SEE THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY THROUGH TODAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL CINDY MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS GEORGE...STONE AND GREENE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...ALONG WITH MOBILE... BALDWIN AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS AROUND 10 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THESE AREAS. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE AREAS AS CINDY MOVES NORTHEAST. NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA CAN EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN THE REST OF TODAY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH TODAY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG AREA RIVERS NEED TO MONITOR CINDY'S PATH AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND SHOULD RIVER FLOODING DEVELOP. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TODAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADOES IS TYPICALLY EAST OF THE CENTER OF CINDY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1000 AM. $$ BEELER/CULLEN ** WTUS84 KMOB 061207 CCA *** HLSMOB ALZ051>056-059-061>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-061500- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT...COR WIND SPEED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 700 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS STONE...GEORGE...GREENE...AND PERRY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. WIND ADVISORIES FOR WINDS OF 25 MPH OR MORE REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND FOR CHOCTAW... WASHINGTON...CLARKE...MONROE...WILCOX...CONECUH AND ESCAMBIA IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TODAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE UNTIL 1000 AM. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST OR NEAR VANCLEAVE. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH. CINDY WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TODAY...ESPECIALLY THOSE LIVING NEAR LOW PLACES...SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NORMAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AM AND NOON TODAY... AND COMBINED WITH CINDY'S SURGE...COULD RESULT IN WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL NEAR DAUPHIN ISLAND AND 2 TO 4 FEET FROM GULF SHORES TO DESTIN. THE INCREASED TIDE LEVELS COULD RESULT IN EXTENSIVE WASH-UP AND ADDITIONAL EROSION ALONG AREA BEACHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER OF CINDY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. WINDS GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AS THE CENTER OF CINDY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. FOR THE LATEST WIND SPEED ESTIMATES SEE THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY THROUGH TODAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL CINDY MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS GEORGE...STONE AND GREENE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...ALONG WITH MOBILE... BALDWIN AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS AROUND 10 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THESE AREAS. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE AREAS AS CINDY MOVES NORTHEAST. NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA CAN EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN THE REST OF TODAY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH TODAY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG AREA RIVERS NEED TO MONITOR CINDY'S PATH AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND SHOULD RIVER FLOODING DEVELOP. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TODAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADOES IS TYPICALLY EAST OF THE CENTER OF CINDY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1000 AM. $$ BEELER/CULLEN ** WTNT34 KNHC 061213 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 ...ADDED MISSING TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... ...DENNIS CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT 255 MILES... 410 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 440 MILES... 710 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA EARLY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 65 MPH... 100 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...15.2 N... 70.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTSR20 WSSS 060600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTUS84 KLIX 061238 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-061530- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 707 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... ASSUMPTION...ASCENSION...TERREBONNE...LAFOURCHE...JEFFERSON... ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST JAMES...LIVINGSTON...TANGIPAHOA...ST TAMMANY AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING INCLUDES LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS AND THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES NORTH OF BILOXI. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES FOR THE IMPACT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW LYING COASTAL ROADWAYS AND PROPERTY IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OUTSIDE OF THE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...ALONG COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...AND AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON. ...WIND IMPACTS.... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE MAINLY CONFINED TO COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE MORNING. WINDS ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA ARE SLOWLY DIMINISHING...WITH OCCASIONAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY OVER COASTAL LOCATIONS ...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS. STRONG WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE AREA HAVE RESULTED IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND TREES...AS WELL AS DOWNED POWER LINES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL AREAS THIS MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP LATER TODAY AND THURSDAY AS THE RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS IN EXTREME SOUTH MISSISSIPPI SHOULD MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. ...TORNADOES... AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST THIS MORNING. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 AM CDT WEDNESDAY. $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 061256 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 6A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT MIERCOLES 6 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS CONTINUA HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A TRAVES DEL CARIBE CENTRAL... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA JAMAICA Y PARA EL SUROESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE HAITI DESDE LA FRONTERA CON LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PERMANECE EN EFECTO PARA LAS ISLAS CAYMAN Y PARA EL ESTE DE CUBA...PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LAS TUNAS... GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO Y HOLGUIN. LOS INTERESES EN EL CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE DEBEN MANTENERSE ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 8 AM EDT...1200Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 15.2 GRADOS NORTE...LONGITUD 70.8 GRADOS OESTE O COMO A 255 MILLAS...410 KM...AL SUR-SURESTE DE PORT AU PRINCE HAITI Y COMO A 440 MILLAS... 710 KM...AL ESTE-SURESTE DE KINGSTON JAMAICA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH... 26 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE HOY. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...DENNIS ESTARA CERCA DE JAMAICA TEMPRANO EL JUEVES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS SE ESTIMAN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. DENNIS SE PODRIA CONVERTIR EN HURACAN TARDE HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS...140 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 994 MILIBARAS...29.35 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LA MAYOR PARTE DE LA ESPANOLA CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAYORES AISLADAS DE 10 PULGADAS SOBRE TERRENO MONTANOSO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 8 AM EDT... 15.2 NORTE... 70.8 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...65 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...994 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR KNAAB $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 061303 *** HLSTAE FLZ008-012-014-061630- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 807 AM EDT WED JUL 6 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED LATER TODAY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING. THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED INTO THE AFTERNOON. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM CDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES WEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. CINDY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS SHE MOVES FARTHER INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB OR 29.29 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WITH CINDY MOVING NORTHEAST AND WEAKENING THE THREAT OF GETTING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE APPEARS LESS LIKELY. HOWEVER...THERE IS A RAIN BAND MOVING EAST INTO THE EASTERN PANHANDLE THAT MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. AT 6 AM CDT THERE WAS A WIND GUST TO 39 MPH AT THE PENSACOLA NAVAL AIR STATION AS THIS RAIN BAND WAS PASSING THROUGH. MOST OF THE PANHANDLE COAST WILL HAVE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING. OTHER THAN SOME DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND BLOWN OVER GARBAGE CANS OR PATIO FURNITURE...NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM WIND ARE EXPECTED. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... HEAVY RAIN BANDS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TODAY AND THIS EVENING...PRODUCING STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS MAY PRODUCE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... REPORTS FROM OFFICIALS IN WALTON AND BAY COUNTIES DO NOT INDICATE ANY SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING SO FAR. TIDES WILL LIKELY BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... PORT ST. JOE... TODAY...HIGH...10:40 AM...LOW...9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH... 10:07 AM...LOW... 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY... HIGH... 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES. ONSHORE WINDS AND SWELLS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TODAY. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING...AS WELL AS TORNADOES. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1130 PM CDT. $$ FOURNIER ** WTCA43 TJSJ 061306 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 AM CDT MIERCOLES 6 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...CINDY MOVIENDOSE SOBRE EL EXTREMO SUR DE MISSISSIPPI... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HASTA DESTIN FLORIDA...Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL ESTE DE DESTIN HASTA INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 7 AM CDT...1200Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 30.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 88.9 OESTE O COMO A 30 MILLAS AL NORTE DE BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. CINDY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL HOY. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO ESTARA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE DE ALABAMA MAS TARDE HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO A CERCA DE 50 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN CONTINUO DEBILITAMIENTO HOY A MEDIDA QUE CINDY SE MUEVE SOBRE TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS MAYORMENTE AL SURESTE DEL CENTRO. LA ESTACION C-MAN EN LA ISLA DAUPHIN ALABAMA RECIENTEMENTE INFORMO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 46 MPH Y RAFAGAS DE HASTA 53 MPH. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ES DE 992 MB... 29.29 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADAS CICLONICA ASOCIADAS CON CINDY ESTARAN DISMINUYENDO HOY. ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE LA COSTA CENTRAL DEL GOLFO Y PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...CON CANTIDADES MAYORES EN AREAS AISLADAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE PARTES DEL SURESTE DE MISSISSIPPI...EL SUR Y EL CENTRO DE ALABAMA Y EL OESTE DE LA FLORIDA HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 AM CDT...30.9 NORTE... 88.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 50 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 992 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 061434 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005 1500Z WED JUL 06 2005 AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED. INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 88.4W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 88.4W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 88.9W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 32.6N 87.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 34.2N 85.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 36.0N 81.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 37.8N 78.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 41.0N 73.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 88.4W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 061434 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2005 ...CINDY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED. INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT CINDY HAS WEAKENED BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MOBILE ALABAMA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...31.4 N... 88.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON CINDY. FUTURE INFORMATION ON CINDY CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT73 KNHC 061435 *** SPFAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 34.2N 85.1W 46 X X X 46 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 8 8 36.0N 81.8W 1 21 1 X 23 NANTUCKET MA X X X 7 7 37.8N 78.5W X 4 10 2 16 HYANNIS MA X X X 7 7 JACKSONVILLE FL X 2 1 1 4 BOSTON MA X X X 7 7 SAVANNAH GA X 9 2 X 11 PORTLAND ME X X X 6 6 CHARLESTON SC X 9 3 1 13 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 4 4 MYRTLE BEACH SC X 7 6 X 13 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2 WILMINGTON NC X 4 8 1 13 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 2 8 2 12 YARMOUTH NS X X X 2 2 CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 7 3 11 ST MARKS FL X 2 X X 2 NORFOLK VA X 1 9 3 13 PENSACOLA FL 23 X X X 23 OCEAN CITY MD X X 6 6 12 MOBILE AL 99 X X X 99 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 4 8 12 GULFPORT MS 99 X X X 99 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 2 8 10 BURAS LA 20 X X X 20 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 7 8 NEW ORLEANS LA 3 X X X 3 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7AM THU TO 7PM THU C FROM 7PM THU TO 7AM FRI D FROM 7AM FRI TO 7AM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT43 KNHC 061443 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NO MORE THAN 30 KT...SO THE SYSTEM IS DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION. ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED. FURTHER WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. IN 48 HOURS OR SO. CINDY CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD...045/12...AND A GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...FOLLOWING THE FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF A BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGH...IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AS CINDY HEADS IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE APPALACHIANS...THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS SYSTEM IS NOW HEAVY RAIN AND INLAND FLOODING. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON CINDY. FUTURE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...STARTING AT 2100 UTC TODAY. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 31.4N 88.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 32.6N 87.3W 25 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 07/1200Z 34.2N 85.1W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 08/0000Z 36.0N 81.8W 20 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 08/1200Z 37.8N 78.5W 20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 09/1200Z 41.0N 73.0W 20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 10/1200Z...ABSORBED $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 061448 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 1500Z WED JUL 06 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH WESTWARD TO INCLUDE THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND CAMAGUEY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 71.5W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 71.5W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 70.9W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.1N 76.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.8N 78.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.1N 80.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.5N 84.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 27.0N 85.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 30.5N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 71.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 061449 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 ...DENNIS A LITTLE STRONGER AND NEARING HURRICANE INTENSITY... ...HURRICANE WATCH EXTENDED WESTWARD TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL CUBA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH WESTWARD TO INCLUDE THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND CAMAGUEY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES... 365 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 395 MILES... 635 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA EARLY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE DENNIS THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA...EASTERN CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF JAMAICA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...15.4 N... 71.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 061450 *** SPFAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 18.1N 76.1W 47 X X 1 48 MIAMI FL X X 5 8 13 19.8N 78.7W 2 32 X X 34 W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 7 9 21.1N 80.9W X 14 12 1 27 FT PIERCE FL X X 1 6 7 MDCB 176N 714W 17 X X X 17 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 6 6 MTPP 186N 724W 14 X X X 14 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 4 4 MTCA 183N 738W 48 X X X 48 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 MKJP 179N 768W 39 2 X 1 42 KEY WEST FL X X 12 8 20 MKJS 185N 779W 21 15 X X 36 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 4 11 15 MWCG 193N 814W X 11 8 1 20 FT MYERS FL X X 2 11 13 MUGM 200N 751W 20 7 X 1 28 VENICE FL X X 1 12 13 MUCM 214N 779W X 26 2 X 28 TAMPA FL X X X 10 10 MUCF 221N 805W X 10 15 1 26 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 7 7 MUSN 216N 826W X 2 17 4 23 ST MARKS FL X X X 5 5 MUHA 230N 824W X X 18 5 23 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 6 6 MUAN 219N 850W X X 5 12 17 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 5 5 MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 8 8 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3 MYEG 235N 758W X 2 2 1 5 MOBILE AL X X X 2 2 MYAK 241N 776W X 2 7 2 11 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2 MYNN 251N 775W X X 4 2 6 BURAS LA X X X 2 2 MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 5 6 GULF 29N 85W X X X 8 8 MMMD 210N 897W X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 6 6 MARATHON FL X X 12 7 19 GULF 28N 89W X X X 4 4 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT43 KNHC 061458 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NO MORE THAN 30 KT...SO THE SYSTEM IS DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION. ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED. FURTHER WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. IN 48 HOURS OR SO. CINDY CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD...045/12...AND A GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...FOLLOWING THE FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF A BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGH...IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AS CINDY HEADS IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE APPALACHIANS...THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS SYSTEM IS NOW HEAVY RAIN AND INLAND FLOODING. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON CINDY. FUTURE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...STARTING AT 2100 UTC TODAY. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 31.4N 88.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 32.6N 87.3W 25 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 07/1200Z 34.2N 85.1W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 08/0000Z 36.0N 81.8W 20 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 08/1200Z 37.8N 78.5W 20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 09/1200Z 41.0N 73.0W 20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 10/1200Z...ABSORBED $$ ** WTNT44 KNHC 061508 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 DENNIS APPEARS TO BE VERY CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...BUT THE INNER CORE SEEMS TO STILL BE IN THE ORGANIZING STAGES. 12Z DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS WERE T4.0/65 KT FROM TAFB AND T3.5/55 KT FROM SAB...AND THE ADVISORY INTENSITY WILL COMPROMISE AT 60 KT. THE CONVECTIVE TOPS OF THE BANDING EVIDENT AT 12Z HAVE SINCE WARMED SLIGHTLY...BUT A NEW CONVECTIVE BURST HAS RECENTLY OCCURRED NEAR THE ESTIMATED CENTER LOCATION. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE DENNIS THIS AFTERNOON TO BETTER DETERMINE THE INTENSITY. OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGHOUT THE FIVE-DAY FORECAST PERIOD... INCLUDING WARM WATERS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO...AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS INDICATED BY MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND TO THE LATEST GFDL RUN IN BRINGING DENNIS TO MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS BY 48 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/13. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CURRENTLY CENTERED NORTH OF CUBA IS THE PRIMARY MECHANISM THAT SHOULD STEER DENNIS GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR ABOUT THE NEXT THREE DAYS UNTIL IT CROSSES CUBA. THEREAFTER...A GRADUAL TURN TO THE RIGHT AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED. THE DYNAMICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT THROUGH DAY THREE...BUT WITH SOME DIVERGENCE THEREAFTER OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...WITH THE GFS ON THE LEFT AND THE GFDL...UKMET...AND NOGAPS ON THE RIGHT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS VERY CLOSE TO A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS...INCLUDING THE FASTER CONU AND THE SLOWER FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY SUPERENSEMBLE. IT IS IMPORTANT TO EMPHASIZE THAT FORECAST ERRORS AT THESE LONGER RANGES CAN BE QUITE LARGE...AND ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK FORECAST. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 15.4N 71.5W 60 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 16.5N 73.5W 65 KT 24HR VT 07/1200Z 18.1N 76.1W 75 KT 36HR VT 08/0000Z 19.8N 78.7W 90 KT 48HR VT 08/1200Z 21.1N 80.9W 100 KT 72HR VT 09/1200Z 23.5N 84.0W 100 KT 96HR VT 10/1200Z 27.0N 85.5W 100 KT 120HR VT 11/1200Z 30.5N 87.0W 100 KT...INLAND $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 061512 *** HLSTAE FLZ008-012-014-061600- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1110 AM EDT WED JUL 6 2005 ...CINDY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA HAS BEEN CANCELLED... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES WEST OF DOTHAN ALABAMA. CINDY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS SHE MOVES FARTHER INLAND. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE WINDS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST HAVE BEEN SOUTH AT 15 TO 20 MPH...WITH SOME SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS IN THE PENSACOLA AREA. THE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN PANHANDLE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... HEAVY RAIN BANDS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TODAY AND THIS EVENING...PRODUCING STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS MAY PRODUCE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... REPORTS FROM OFFICIALS IN WALTON AND BAY COUNTIES DO NOT INDICATE ANY SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING SO FAR. TIDES WILL LIKELY BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... PORT ST. JOE... TODAY...HIGH...10:40 AM...LOW...9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY...HIGH... 10:07 AM...LOW... 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY... HIGH... 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES. ONSHORE WINDS AND SWELLS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TODAY. ...TORNADO THREAT... ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE ON CINDY. $$ FOURNIER ** WTCA44 TJSJ 061517 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 7 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT MIERCOLES 6 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS UN POCO MAS FUERTE Y ACERCANDOSE A INTENSIDAD DE HURACAN... ...SE EXTIENDE LA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN HACIA EL OESTE PARA INCLUIR PORCIONES DEL CENTRO DE CUBA... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA JAMAICA Y PARA EL SUROESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE HAITI DESDE LA FRONTERA CON LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE BARAHONA HACIA EL OESTE DE LA FRONTERA DE HAITI-REPUBLICA DOMINICANA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 11 AM AST...1500Z...EL GOBIERNO DE CUBA HA EXTENDIDO LA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN HACIA EL OESTE PARA INCLUIR LAS PROVINCIAS DE SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...Y CAMAGUEY. ESTA AHORA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA EL CENTRO Y ESTE DE CUBA...PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO Y HOLGUIN. LOS INTERESES EN EL MAR CENTRAL Y OESTE DEL CARIBE DEBEN SEGUIR DE CERCA EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH... 24 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...DENNIS ESTARA CERCA DE JAMAICA TEMPRANO EL JUEVES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS SE ESTIMAN CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y DENNIS PODRIA TORNARSE EN HURACAN MAS TARDE HOY O ESTA NOCHE. UN AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA INVESTIGARA A DENNIS ESTA TARDE. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS...140 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 991 MILIBARAS...29.26 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE EL SUR DE LA ESPANOLA...JAMAICA...EL ESTE DE CUBA Y LAS ISLAS CAYMAN. POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAYORES AISLADAS DE 12 PULGADAS SOBRE TERRENO MONTANOSO DE JAMAICA. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 11 AM AST... 15.4 NORTE...71.5 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...991 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 2 PM AST SEGUIDA POR UNA ADVERTENCIA MAS DETALLADA A LAS 5 PM AST. PRONOSTICADOR KNAAB $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 061526 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 12 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT MIERCOLES 6 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...CINDY SE DEBILITA Y ES AHORA UNA DEPRESION... A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...SE HAN DESCONTINUADO TODOS LOS AVISOS Y VIGILANCIASDE TORMENTA TROPICAL. LOS INTERESES DEBEN EJERCER PRECAUCION HASTA QUE LOS VIENTOS Y MAREJADAS DISMINUYAN. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. LAS OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE CINDY SE HA DEBILITADO A MENOS DE INTENSIDAD DE TORMENTA TROPICAL. A LAS 10 AM CDT...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL CINDY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 31.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 88.4 OESTE O COMO A 50 MILLAS AL NOR-NOROESTE DE MOBILE ALABAMA. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO SE ESTARA MOVIENDO SOBRE LA PARTE SUROESTE DE ALABAMA HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO A CERCA DE 35 MPH... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ES PROBABLE QUE OCURRA MAS DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 999 MB... 29.50 PULGADAS. ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES CERCA DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE LA DEPRESION A TRAVES DEL SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE 8 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE PARTES DEL SUR DE ALABAMA Y LA PARTE NOROESTE DE FLORIDA HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 10 AM CDT...31.4 NORTE... 88.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...999 MILIBARAS. ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA PUBLICA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES SOBRE CINDY. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 061538 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-061645- TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1045 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2005 ...CINDY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... ...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI... ...FLOOD WATCH CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... ASSUMPTION...ASCENSION...TERREBONNE...LAFOURCHE...JEFFERSON... ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST JAMES...LIVINGSTON...TANGIPAHOA...ST TAMMANY AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... NONE. ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE CANCELLED. ALSO THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MOBILE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FURTHER INLAND AND WEAKEN TODAY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. THESE TIDES SHOULD RETURN TO NORMAL LEVELS LATER TODAY. TIDES HAVE RETURNED TO NEAR NORMAL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST. ...WIND IMPACTS.... WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO 15 MILES OR LESS OVER LAND AREAS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI COAST UNTIL GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS IN THE COASTAL WATERS DIMINISH LATER TODAY. ...RAINFALL... THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP LATER TODAY AND THURSDAY AS THE RESULT OF RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS IN EXTREME SOUTH MISSISSIPPI SHOULD MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED ABOUT TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY. $$ ** WTNT80 EGRR 061745 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.07.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 107.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.07.2005 18.7N 107.4W WEAK 00UTC 07.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM CINDY ANALYSED POSITION : 30.6N 88.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.07.2005 30.6N 88.9W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 07.07.2005 32.3N 86.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 07.07.2005 34.2N 85.3W BELOW TROPICAL STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 71.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.07.2005 15.2N 71.0W MODERATE 00UTC 07.07.2005 16.2N 73.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.07.2005 17.8N 75.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.07.2005 19.6N 78.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.07.2005 20.9N 80.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.07.2005 21.8N 82.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.07.2005 23.0N 84.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.07.2005 24.4N 85.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.07.2005 26.2N 86.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.07.2005 27.9N 88.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.07.2005 29.8N 89.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.07.2005 32.2N 91.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.07.2005 33.9N 92.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 9.7N 19.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.07.2005 9.7N 19.5W WEAK 12UTC 07.07.2005 10.3N 21.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.07.2005 10.8N 24.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.07.2005 11.2N 26.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061745 ** WTNT34 KNHC 061758 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 ...OUTER RAINBANDS OF DENNIS BEGINNING TO SPREAD OVER SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA... SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST OR ABOUT ABOUT 350 MILES... 565 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH ...25 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA EARLY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE DENNIS THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA...EASTERN CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF JAMAICA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...15.7 N... 72.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER KNABB/PASCH $$