** WTSR20 WSSS 051800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTNT33 KNHC 060009 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CINDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005 CORRECTED FUTURE MOTION TO NORTHEAST ...HEAVY RAINS AND SQUALLS LASHING THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH ...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS. DURING THE PAST HOUR...AN OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 99 MPH AT A HEIGHT OF 150 FT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...28.5 N... 90.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 060014 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>053-055-056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-060230- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 715 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA... AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA... SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNINGS HAVE ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR STONE...GEORGE...GREENE...AND PERRY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. WIND ADVISORIES FOR WINDS OF 25 MPH OR MORE HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR SEVERAL INLAND MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COUNTIES... GENERALLY FROM WAYNESBORO MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD TO ANDALUSIA ALABAMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI UNTIL MIDNIGHT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH WITH AN EXPECTED LANDFALL SOMEWHERE AROUND THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. AFTER LANDFALL...CINDY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY...AND ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING BY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY THOSE LIVING NEAR LOW PLACES...SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NORMAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AM AND NOON WEDNESDAY...AND COMBINED WITH CINDY'S SURGE...COULD RESULT IN WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS MAY FLOOD SOME HOMES ON THE IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE ELEVATION IS LOW...ESPECIALLY ON THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND ON SOME INLAND BAYS AND WATERWAYS. THE INCREASED TIDE LEVELS COULD RESULT IN EXTENSIVE WASH-UP AND ADDITIONAL EROSION ALONG AREA BEACHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...35 TO 40 MPH...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT...AND INCREASE DURING THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST IN THE VICINITY OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...AND DIMINISH IN STRENGTH AS YOU GO EASTWARD TOWARDS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL CINDY MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS AROUND 10 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR NORTH AND EAST OF CINDY'S PATH. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG AREA RIVERS NEED TO MONITOR CINDY'S PATH AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND SHOULD RIVER FLOODING DEVELOP. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADOES IS TYPICALLY EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 930 PM. $$ MCKEE/EVERSOLE ** WTUS82 KTAE 060018 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>014-060330- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT (TAE) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 817 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GRANDE ISLE LOUISIANA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS. DURING THE PAST HOUR...AN OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 99 MPH AT A HEIGHT OF 150 FT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB OR 29.29 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THESE AREAS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... THE CENTER OF CINDY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM. TOTAL RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO THREE INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE PASSING WEST OF THE PANHANDLE...WITH INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST OF WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES AND HEED ADVICE FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... TODAY: LOW 11:21 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 7:18 AM AND 2:54 PM...LOW 10:18 AM AND 11:56 PM. PORT ST. JOE... TODAY: LOW 9:08 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:40 AM...LOW 9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY: LOW 8:48 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:07 AM...LOW 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY: LOW 11:19 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ONLY EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS SHOULD CONSIDER ENTERING THE WATER. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1130 PM EDT. $$ BARRY ** WTUS82 KTAE 060019 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>014-060330- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT (TAE) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 817 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GRANDE ISLE LOUISIANA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS. DURING THE PAST HOUR...AN OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 99 MPH AT A HEIGHT OF 150 FT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB OR 29.29 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THESE AREAS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... THE CENTER OF CINDY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM. TOTAL RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO THREE INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE PASSING WEST OF THE PANHANDLE...WITH INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST OF WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES AND HEED ADVICE FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... TODAY: LOW 11:21 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 7:18 AM AND 2:54 PM...LOW 10:18 AM AND 11:56 PM. PORT ST. JOE... TODAY: LOW 9:08 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:40 AM...LOW 9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY: LOW 8:48 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:07 AM...LOW 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY: LOW 11:19 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ONLY EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS SHOULD CONSIDER ENTERING THE WATER. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1130 PM EDT. $$ BARRY ** WTUS82 KTAE 060020 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>014-060330- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 817 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GRANDE ISLE LOUISIANA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS. DURING THE PAST HOUR...AN OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 99 MPH AT A HEIGHT OF 150 FT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB OR 29.29 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THESE AREAS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... THE CENTER OF CINDY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM. TOTAL RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO THREE INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE PASSING WEST OF THE PANHANDLE...WITH INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST OF WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES AND HEED ADVICE FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... TODAY: LOW 11:21 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 7:18 AM AND 2:54 PM...LOW 10:18 AM AND 11:56 PM. PORT ST. JOE... TODAY: LOW 9:08 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:40 AM...LOW 9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY: LOW 8:48 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:07 AM...LOW 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY: LOW 11:19 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ONLY EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS SHOULD CONSIDER ENTERING THE WATER. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1130 PM EDT. $$ BARRY ** WTUS84 KLIX 060046 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-060345- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 745 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY APPROACHING SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM SQUALLS IMPACTING THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... ASSUMPTION...ASCENSION...TERREBONNE...LAFOURCHE...JEFFERSON... ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST JAMES...LIVINGSTON...TANGIPAHOA...ST TAMMANY AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING INCLUDES LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS AND THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... WINDS OF 39 MPH OR HIGHER AND INCREASING TIDES...ARE LIKELY WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY WAS MOVING TO THE NORTH AT 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 6 HOURS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE UNTIL LANDFALL LATER TONIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...SHOULD TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES FOR THE IMPACT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST LOCATIONS EARLY THIS EVENING. TIDES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY LATER THIS EVENING HOURS...REACHING 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG AND EAST OF TROPICAL STORM CINDYS PATH. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY FLOOD LOW LYING COASTAL ROADWAYS AND PROPERTY IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OUTSIDE OF THE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...ALONG COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...AND AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...WIND IMPACTS.... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE COAST FROM LOWER LAFOURCHE PARISH THROUGH LOWER PLAQUEMINE PARISH. AT THE EAST END OF GRAND ISLE...THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION HAD SUSTAINED WINDS OF 43 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 52 MPH AT 700 PM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE GREATER METRO NEW ORLEANS AREA...DURING THE EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE INTO COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER RAINBANDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME TREE LIMBS TO BREAK... WHICH MAY DOWN POWER LINES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE COMMON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE MAINLY TO THE EAST OF TROPICAL STORM CINDYS TRACK....ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. A COUPLE OF TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE.... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 PM CDT. $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 060056 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 9A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT MARTES 5 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...LLUVIAS FUERTES Y TURBONADAS AZOTANDO LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA DESTIN FLORIDA...Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL ESTE DE DESTIN HASTA INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 7 PM CDT...0000Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 28.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 90.3 OESTE O COMO A 55 MILLAS AL SUR-SUROESTE DE GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA. CINDY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO ESTARA CERCA DEL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 70 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. TODAVIA ES POSIBLE UN FORTALECIMIENTO LEVE HASTA QUE ENTRE A TIERRA. DURANTE LA PASADA HORA...UNA PLATAFORMA DE PETROLEO MAR AFUERA AL NORESTE DEL CENTRO REPORTO UNA RAFAGA DE VIENTO DE HASTA 99 MPH A UNA ALTURA DE 150 PIES. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 992 MB... 29.29 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADAS CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES CERCA Y AL ESTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO CRUCE LA COSTA. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE LA COSTA CENTRAL DEL GOLFO Y PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...CON CANTIDADES MAYORES EN AREAS AISLADAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI...EL SUR DE ALABAMA Y EL OESTE DE LA FLORIDA HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 PM CDT...28.5 NORTE... 90.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 992 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 060108 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 4A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT MARTES 5 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS CONTINUA FORTALECIENDOSE SOBRE EL MAR CARIBE CENTRAL... ESTAN EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA PENINSULA DEL SUROESTE DE HAITI DESDE LA FRONTERA CON LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Y PORT-AU-PRINCE HACIA EL OESTE. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE BARAHONA HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA FRONTERA ENTRE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Y HAITI. ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA JAMAICA. ADEMAS...EL GOBIERNO DE LAS ISLAS CAYMAN POSIBLEMENTE EMITA UNA VIGILANCIA DE HIRACAN PARA TODAS LAS ISLAS CAYMAN MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE. LOS INTERESES EN EL CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 8 PM EDT...0000Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 14.3 GRADOS NORTE...LONGITUD 68.5 GRADOS OESTE O COMO A 385 MILLAS...625 KM...AL SURESTE DE PORT AU PRINCE HAITI. DENNIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH... 26 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 60 MILLAS...95 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTA POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE NOAA FUE DE 1001 MILIBARAS...29.56 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE GRAN PARTE DE LA ESPANOLA CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE 10 PULGADAS SOBRE TERRENO MONTANOSO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 8 PM...14.3 NORTE...68.5 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 45 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1001 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTPZ24 KNHC 060224 *** TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005 0300Z WED JUL 06 2005 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 106.3W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 106.3W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.8W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.8N 107.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.2N 111.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.3N 113.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.5N 121.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 106.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 060225 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005 0300Z WED JUL 06 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 90.1W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 90.1W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 90.3W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 30.4N 89.3W...NEAR MISSISSIPPI COAST MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 32.1N 87.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 33.7N 85.2W...INLAND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 35.1N 82.1W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 38.8N 75.2W...EXTRATROPICAL NEAR DELMARVA MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 41.5N 70.5W...EXTRATROPICAL OVER WATER MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 90.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT73 KNHC 060226 *** SPFAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 32.1N 87.6W 33 X X X 33 NANTUCKET MA X X X 3 3 33.7N 85.2W 5 14 2 X 21 HYANNIS MA X X X 3 3 35.1N 82.1W X 2 12 2 16 BOSTON MA X X X 3 3 FT PIERCE FL X X 1 1 2 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2 COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 2 3 TAMPA FL X X 2 1 3 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 3 2 5 CEDAR KEY FL X 2 3 1 6 JACKSONVILLE FL X 2 6 1 9 ST MARKS FL 1 8 2 1 12 SAVANNAH GA X 2 8 2 12 APALACHICOLA FL 2 8 1 X 11 CHARLESTON SC X X 8 4 12 PANAMA CITY FL 6 7 1 X 14 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 5 6 11 PENSACOLA FL 28 X X X 28 WILMINGTON NC X X 2 9 11 MOBILE AL 48 X X X 48 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 9 10 GULFPORT MS 64 X X X 64 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 9 9 BURAS LA 99 X X X 99 NORFOLK VA X X X 10 10 NEW ORLEANS LA 99 X X X 99 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 9 9 NEW IBERIA LA 7 X X X 7 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 9 9 GULF 29N 85W 1 5 2 X 8 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 7 7 GULF 29N 87W 11 2 X X 13 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W 40 X X X 40 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 91W 99 X X X 99 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7PM WED TO 7AM THU C FROM 7AM THU TO 7PM THU D FROM 7PM THU TO 7PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 060227 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 0300Z WED JUL 06 2005 AT 11 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.2W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.2W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 68.5W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.8N 71.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.4N 74.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.8N 76.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 55SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.1N 78.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 30SW 55NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.4N 82.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 85SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N 84.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 69.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 060228 *** SPFAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.2 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 17.4N 74.0W 48 X X 1 49 MYAK 241N 776W X X 7 6 13 18.8N 76.5W 3 31 X X 34 MYNN 251N 775W X X 2 7 9 20.1N 78.8W X 11 15 1 27 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 7 7 MDSD 185N 697W 2 X X X 2 MARATHON FL X X 2 14 16 MDCB 176N 714W 47 X X X 47 MIAMI FL X X 1 11 12 MTPP 186N 724W 34 X 1 X 35 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 9 9 MTCA 183N 738W 42 2 X X 44 FT PIERCE FL X X X 7 7 MKJP 179N 768W 4 25 1 X 30 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 5 5 MKJS 185N 779W X 23 3 1 27 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 MWCG 193N 814W X X 11 6 17 KEY WEST FL X X 1 16 17 MUGM 200N 751W 3 26 1 X 30 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 13 13 MUCM 214N 779W X 8 16 1 25 FT MYERS FL X X X 11 11 MUCF 221N 805W X X 15 7 22 VENICE FL X X X 10 10 MUSN 216N 826W X X 5 13 18 TAMPA FL X X X 7 7 MUHA 230N 824W X X 3 16 19 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4 MUAN 219N 850W X X X 12 12 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2 MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 5 5 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3 MDPP 198N 707W 2 X X X 2 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2 MYMM 224N 730W X 1 1 1 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 4 4 MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 2 3 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2 MYEG 235N 758W X 1 6 3 10 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 060237 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CINDY ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005 ...CINDY JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT GETS READY TO MOVE ONSHORE THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST NEAR GRAND ISLE AROUND MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AFTER LANDFALL OCCURS. REPORTS FROM OIL PLATFORMS AND COASTAL OBSERVING STATIONS AT 150 FT ABOVE THE SURFACE HAVE INDICATED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH HAVE BEEN OCCURRING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...29.0 N... 90.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT MIDNIGHT CDT AND 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 060241 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005 ...DENNIS CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... ...NEW HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED... AT 11 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.2 WEST OR ABOUT 345 MILES... 555 KM... SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 555 MILES... 895 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...14.6 N... 69.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT43 KNHC 060251 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005 A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND BRIEFLY WRAPPED UP AN EYE-LIKE FEATURE FOR ABOUT AN HOUR SO AND RECON REPORTS INDICATED THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAD DECREASED TO 992 MB. REPORTS FROM AN OFFSHORE OIL RIG INDICATED WIND GUSTS TO 99 MPH HAD OCCURRED AROUND 23Z AT 150 FT ABOVE THE SURFACE. HOWEVER... SINCE THAT TIME THE RADAR SIGNATURE HAS BECOME LESS DISTINCT AND A RECENT RECON REPORT INDICATED THE PRESSURE HAD RISEN TO 997 MB. ONE POSSIBLE EXPLANATION FOR THE WEAKENING IS COLD UPWELLING OCCURRING OVER THE SHALLOW SHELF WATERS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 020/11. CINDY BRIEFLY SLOWED DOWN AS IT NEARED THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BETWEEN 28-29N LATITUDE...BUT NOW APPEARS TO HAVE STARTED TO ACCELERATE SLIGHTLY. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ARE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AND AGREE ON A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST BY 12-18 HOURS AND GRADUAL ACCELERATION AS THE CYCLONE GETS PICKED UP BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER LAND. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS JUST A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS CLOSE TO THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS. ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST 12 HOURS...EVEN THOUGH CINDY WILL BE OVER "LAND" IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. ONCE THE CYCLONE MOVES INLAND OVER MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...MORER RAPID WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR. BY 72 HOURS...THE REMNANT CIRCULATION WILL BE NEAR THE DELMARVA PENINSULA/ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR...BUT NOT AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 29.0N 90.1W 60 KT 12HR VT 06/1200Z 30.4N 89.3W 50 KT...NEAR MISS. COAST 24HR VT 07/0000Z 32.1N 87.6W 30 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 07/1200Z 33.7N 85.2W 25 KT...INLAND BECOMING ET 48HR VT 08/0000Z 35.1N 82.1W 20 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 09/0000Z 38.8N 75.2W 25 KT...NEAR DELMARVA AND ET 96HR VT 10/0000Z 41.5N 70.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 11/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE $$ ** WTUS84 KMOB 060301 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>053-055-056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-060530- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1000 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ALSO REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR STONE...GEORGE...GREENE...AND PERRY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. WIND ADVISORIES FOR WINDS OF 25 MPH OR MORE REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND FOR CHOCTAW...WASHINGTON...CLARKE...MONROE... CONECUH...ESCAMBIA AND COVINGTON IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI UNTIL MIDNIGHT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST OR NEAR THE LOUISIANA COAST...OR 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. CINDY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI LATER TONIGHT AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY IS EXPECT TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY THOSE LIVING NEAR LOW PLACES...SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NORMAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AM AND NOON WEDNESDAY...AND COMBINED WITH CINDY'S SURGE...COULD RESULT IN WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS MAY FLOOD SOME HOMES ON THE IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE ELEVATION IS LOW...ESPECIALLY ON THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND ON SOME INLAND BAYS AND WATERWAYS. THE INCREASED TIDE LEVELS COULD RESULT IN EXTENSIVE WASH-UP AND ADDITIONAL EROSION ALONG AREA BEACHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...35 TO 40 MPH...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT...AND INCREASE DURING THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST IN THE VICINITY OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...AND DIMINISH IN STRENGTH AS YOU GO EASTWARD TOWARDS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL CINDY MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS AROUND 10 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR NORTH AND EAST OF CINDY'S PATH. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG AREA RIVERS NEED TO MONITOR CINDY'S PATH AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND SHOULD RIVER FLOODING DEVELOP. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADOES IS TYPICALLY EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEW INFORMATION... AS CINDY MOVES ASHORE AND ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THE MOBILE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUING HOURLY SHORT TERM FORECASTS (BHMNOWMOB). THIS PRODUCT WILL CONTAIN INFORMATION OF THE LOCATION OF HIGHEST WINDS...HEAVIEST RAINS AND THE CENTER OF CINDY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1230 AM. $$ BEELER ** WTNT44 KNHC 060305 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005 DENNIS HAS CONTINUED TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. A NOAA RECON REPORT AT 650 MB INDICATED FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 45 KT IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT AT 05/2114Z AND A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1001 MB. USING ABOUT 95 PERCENT OF THE FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS AND A T3.0/45 KT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB AND SAB SUPPORT INCREASING THE INITIAL INTENSITY TO 45 KT. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS IMPRESSIVE IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/15. DENNIS HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED SOMEWHAT...POSSIBLY DUE TO RE-ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE CENTER. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ABOUT THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACKS AND TAKES DENNIS BETWEEN HAITI AND JAMAICA AND THEN BETWEEN JAMAICA AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA THROUGH 72 HOURS AS THE CYCLONE MOVES AROUND THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT LIES EAST-WEST ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND FLORIDA. HOWEVER...AFTER THAT...THE FORECAST BECOMES A LITTLE MURKY. ALL OF THE MODELS WEAKEN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE RIDGE OVER FLORIDA AS A SHARP SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. DIGS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO BY DAYS 4 AND 5...BEFORE LIFTING OUT SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER THAT. SINCE DENNIS IS A LARGER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE THAT IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN DAYS 3-5...THE LARGE OUTER CIRCULATION COULD ERODE THE RIDGE EVEN MORE...RESULTING IN WEAKER STEERING CURRENTS THAN THE 5-8 KT THAT THE MODELS ARE FORECASTING. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS ALONG THE EXTREME EASTERN..OR RIGHT...SIDE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A VERY LOW SHEAR AND HIGH SST ENVIRONMENT..WHICH UNFORTUNATELY ARE PRIME CONDITIONS FOR PRODUCING INTENSE HURRICANES. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS MUCH HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECASTS...BUT IS LESS THAN THE SHIPS AND GFDL INTENSITY MODELS...WHICH BRING DENNIS TO 108 KT IN 96 HOURS AND 113 KT IN 60 HOURS...RESPECTIVELY. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 14.6N 69.2W 45 KT 12HR VT 06/1200Z 15.8N 71.3W 55 KT 24HR VT 07/0000Z 17.4N 74.0W 70 KT 36HR VT 07/1200Z 18.8N 76.5W 80 KT 48HR VT 08/0000Z 20.1N 78.8W 90 KT 72HR VT 09/0000Z 22.4N 82.4W 100 KT 96HR VT 10/0000Z 24.5N 84.5W 100 KT 120HR VT 11/0000Z 27.0N 86.5W 100 KT $$ ** WTPZ44 KNHC 060305 *** TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE JUL 05 2005 SATELLITE ANIMATION AND EARLIER MICROWAVE OVERPASSES DEPICT A LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION AND A POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER...CONFIRMED BY THE LARGE SPREAD IN THE SATELLITE POSITION ESTIMATES. SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE DROPPED TO 25 AND 30 KT. INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 30 KT. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 280/10. DORA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN THE LOW/MID STEERING FLOW OF A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST FROM NORTHERN MEXICO THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE BAM MODELS...NHC/91 STATISTICAL MODEL...AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. ALTHOUGH DIURNAL BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION MAY HELP TO MAINTAIN DEPRESSION STRENGTH FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 18.6N 106.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 06/1200Z 18.8N 107.7W 30 KT 24HR VT 07/0000Z 19.0N 109.5W 30 KT 36HR VT 07/1200Z 19.2N 111.4W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 08/0000Z 19.3N 113.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 09/0000Z 19.5N 117.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 10/0000Z 19.5N 121.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 060306 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>014-060630- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1100 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST NEAR GRAND ISLE AROUND MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AFTER LANDFALL OCCURS. REPORTS FROM OIL PLATFORMS AND COASTAL OBSERVING STATIONS AT 150 FT ABOVE THE SURFACE HAVE INDICATED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH HAVE BEEN OCCURRING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB OR 29.44 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THESE AREAS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... THE CENTER OF CINDY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM. TOTAL RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO THREE INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE PASSING WEST OF THE PANHANDLE...WITH INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST OF WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES AND HEED ADVICE FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... TODAY: LOW 11:21 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 7:18 AM AND 2:54 PM...LOW 10:18 AM AND 11:56 PM. PORT ST. JOE... WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:40 AM...LOW 9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:07 AM...LOW 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY: LOW 11:19 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ONLY EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS SHOULD CONSIDER ENTERING THE WATER. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 230 AM EDT. $$ BARRY ** WTCA43 TJSJ 060306 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 10 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT MARTES 5 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...CINDY JUSTO DEBAJO DE INTENSIDAD DE HURACAN A MEDIDA QUE SE PREPARA PARA MOVERSE SOBRE TIERRA EN LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISISNA... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA DESTIN FLORIDA...Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL ESTE DE DESTIN HASTA INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 10 PM CDT...0300Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 29.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 90.1 OESTE O COMO A 20 MILLAS AL SUR-SUROESTE DE GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA Y COMO A 70 MILLAS AL SUR DE NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. CINDY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 13 MPH...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 12 A 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...EL CENTRO SE MOVERA SOBRE TIERRA EN LA COSTA SURESTE DE LOUISIANA CERCA DE GRAND ISLE PARA ALREDEDOR DE LA MEDIANOCHE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 70 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO LENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...DESPUES QUE ENTRE A TIERRA. REPORTES DESDE UNA PLATAFORMA DE PETROLEO Y ESTACIONES DE OBSERVACIONES COSTERAS A 150 PIES SOBRE LA SUPERFICIE HAN INDICADO QUE VIENTOS EN EXCESO DE 70 MPH HAN ESTADO OCURRIENDO DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 997 MB... 29.44 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADAS CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES CERCA Y AL ESTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO CRUCE LA COSTA. ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE LA COSTA CENTRAL DEL GOLFO Y PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...CON CANTIDADES MAYORES EN AREAS AISLADAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI...EL SUR DE ALABAMA Y EL OESTE DE LA FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL MIERCOLES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 10 PM CDT...29.0 NORTE... 90.1 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 13 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 997 MILIBARAS. ADVERTENCIAS INTERMEDIAS SERAN EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LA MEDIANOCHE CDT Y A LAS 2 AM CDT SEGUIDAS POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTPN31 PHNC 060400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DORA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 18.5N4 105.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 105.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.8N7 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.0N0 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.2N2 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.3N3 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 19.5N5 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.5N5 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061000Z7, 061600Z3, 062200Z0 AND 070400Z1.// ** WTCA44 TJSJ 060318 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 5 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT MARTES 5 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS CONTINUA FORTALECIENDOSE SOBRE EL MAR CARIBE CENTRAL... ...NUEVA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN EMITIDA... A LAS 11 PM EDT...0300Z...EL GOBIERNO DE LAS ISLAS CAYMAN HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA TODAS LAS ISLAS CAYMAN. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA JAMAICA. ESTAN EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA PENINSULA DEL SUROESTE DE HAITI DESDE LA FRONTERA CON LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Y PORT-AU-PRINCE HACIA EL OESTE. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE BARAHONA HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA FRONTERA ENTRE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Y HAITI. LOS INTERESES EN EL CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE Y CUBA DEBEN ESTAR BIEN ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 11 PM EDT...0300Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 14.6 GRADOS NORTE...LONGITUD 69.2 GRADOS OESTE O COMO A 345 MILLAS... 555 KM...AL SURESTE DE PORT AU PRINCE HAITI Y COMO A 555 MILLAS... 895 KM...AL ESTE-SURESTE DE KINGSTON JAMAICA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH... 28 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y DENNIS PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HURACAN EL MIERCOLES. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 60 MILLAS...95 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1000 MILIBARAS...29.53 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LA MAYOR PARTE DE LA ESPANOLA CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE 10 PULGADAS SOBRE TERRENO MONTANOSO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 11 PM... 14.6 NORTE... 69.2 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 17 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 50 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1000 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 2 AM EDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 5 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTPN31 PHNC 060400 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DORA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 18.5N4 105.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 105.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.8N7 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.0N0 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.2N2 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.3N3 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 19.5N5 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY ** WTPN31 PHNC 060400 RRB *** NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.5N5 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061000Z7, 061600Z3, 062200Z0 AND 070400Z1.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 060400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DORA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 18.5N4 105.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 105.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.8N7 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.0N0 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.2N2 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.3N3 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 19.5N5 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.5N5 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061000Z7, 061600Z3, 062200Z0 AND 070400Z1.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 060000 *** TTT WARNING 08(FINAL) AT 0000 06 JULY 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR NORTH ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METER PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGHS EAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION AT 070000 ONE NINE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX EAST THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING FROM WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPH RPLL 060000 *** TTT WARNING 08 (FINAL) AT 0000 06 JULY 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ONSATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 17.4 NORTH 117.0 EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT 04 MPS MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 10000 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 15 MPS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 070000 19.3 NORTH 114.6 EAST THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING FROM WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA ** WTUS84 KLIX 060341 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-060645- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1030 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY MAINTAINS STRENGTH...AND MOVING ONSHORE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM SQUALLS AFFECTING MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND HEADING TOWARD COASTAL MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... ASSUMPTION...ASCENSION...TERREBONNE...LAFOURCHE...JEFFERSON... ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST JAMES...LIVINGSTON...TANGIPAHOA...ST TAMMANY AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING INCLUDES LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS AND THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... WINDS OF 39 MPH OR HIGHER AND INCREASING TIDES...ARE LIKELY WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY WAS MOVING TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 13 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 6 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...SHOULD TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES FOR THE IMPACT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY TONIGHT ...REACHING 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG AND EAST OF TROPICAL STORM CINDYS PATH. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL ALSO LIKELY AFFECT BARATARIA BAY AND SURROUNDING DRAINAGES AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHEAST IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY FLOOD LOW LYING COASTAL ROADWAYS AND PROPERTY IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OUTSIDE OF THE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...ALONG COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...AND AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...WIND IMPACTS.... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FROM LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST TO THE COAST. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE COMMON ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS NEAR THE COAST AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO THE MISSISSIPPI COASTAL AREAS BY MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...WITH 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS LIKELY IN MOST AREAS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 65 MPH IN THE STRONGER RAINBANDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. STRONG WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE AREA WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME TREE LIMBS TO BREAK...WHICH MAY DOWN POWER LINES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE COMMON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY TO THE EAST OF TROPICAL STORM CINDYS TRACK....ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. A COUPLE OF TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. ...NEW INFORMATION... AS TROPICAL CINDY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE WILL BE ISSUING SHORT TERM FORECASTS (NEWNOWLIX). THIS PRODUCT WILL CONTAIN ADDITIONAL DETAILED INFORMATION ON THE AFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY. ...NEXT UPDATE.... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 130 AM CDT WEDNESDAY. $$ ** WTNT63 KNHC 060345 *** TCUAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1045 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005 DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM SLIDELL LOUISIANA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY CROSSED THE LOUISIANA COAST LINE AROUND 1030 PM CDT...OR 0330 UTC...ABOUT 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA. CINDY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING FARTHER INLAND AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 060443 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CINDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL MIDNIGHT CDT WED JUL 06 2005 ...CINDY MOVING INLAND OVER LOUISIANA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT MIDNIGHT CDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. CINDY HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST HOUR NEAR 13 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND OVER LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NAVAL STATION NEW ORLEANS JUST REPORTED A WIND GUST TO NEAR 59 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS LIKELY OCCURRING TO THE EAST THE CENTER. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY. REPEATING THE MIDNIGHT CDT POSITION...29.4 N... 90.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 060458 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 10A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 12 AM CDT MIERCOLES 6 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...CINDY MOVIENDOSE HACIA TIERRA SOBRE LOUISIANA... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA DESTIN FLORIDA...Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL ESTE DE DESTIN HASTA INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 12 AM CDT...0500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 29.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 90.1 OESTE O COMO A 15 MILLAS AL NOROESTE DE GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA Y COMO A 40 MILLAS AL SUR DE NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. CINDY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE DURANTE LA PASADA HORA A CERCA DE 13 MPH. SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 12 A 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...EL CENTRO CONTINUARA MOVIENDOSE HACIA TIERRA SOBRE LOUISIANA Y MISSISSIPPI. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 70 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA ESTACION NAVAL DE NEW ORLEANS REPORTO RAFA DE VIENTOS DE CERCA DE 59 MPH. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 998 MB... 29.47 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADAS CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES CERCA Y AL ESTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO CRUCE LA COSTA. ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE LA COSTA CENTRAL DEL GOLFO Y PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...CON CANTIDADES MAYORES EN AREAS AISLADAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI...EL SUR DE ALABAMA Y EL OESTE DE LA FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE Y EL MIERCOLES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 12 AM CDT...29.4 NORTE... 90.1 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 13 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 998 MILIBARAS. ADVERTENCIAS INTERMEDIAS SERAN EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 2 AM CDT SEGUIDAS POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 060508 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>014-060730- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 110 AM EDT WED JUL 6 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT MIDNIGHT CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. CINDY HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST HOUR NEAR 13 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND OVER LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NAVAL STATION NEW ORLEANS JUST REPORTED A WIND GUST TO NEAR 59 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB OR 29.47 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY... ISOLATED GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST THROUGH THIS MORNING. A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THESE AREAS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... THE CENTER OF CINDY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM. TOTAL RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO THREE INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE PASSING WEST OF THE PANHANDLE...WITH INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST OF WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. RESIDENTS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES AND HEED ADVICE FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... TODAY: HIGH 7:18 AM AND 2:54 PM...LOW 10:18 AM AND 11:56 PM. PORT ST. JOE... TODAY: HIGH 10:40 AM...LOW 9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY: HIGH 10:07 AM...LOW 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY: HIGH 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TODAY. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THIS MORNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 330 AM EDT. $$ BARRY ** WTUS84 KMOB 060527 *** HLSMOB ALZ051>056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-060830- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1225 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS STONE...GEORGE...GREENE...AND PERRY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. WIND ADVISORIES FOR WINDS OF 25 MPH OR MORE REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND FOR CHOCTAW... WASHINGTON...CLARKE...MONROE...WILCOX...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA AND COVINGTON IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI UNTIL 800 AM. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT MIDNIGHT CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST OR 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...OR 100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AROUND 13 MPH WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. CINDY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI LATER TONIGHT AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY THOSE LIVING NEAR LOW PLACES...SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NORMAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AM AND NOON WEDNESDAY...AND COMBINED WITH CINDY'S SURGE...COULD RESULT IN WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS MAY FLOOD SOME HOMES ON THE IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE ELEVATION IS LOW...ESPECIALLY ON THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND ON SOME INLAND BAYS AND WATERWAYS. THE INCREASED TIDE LEVELS COULD RESULT IN EXTENSIVE WASH-UP AND ADDITIONAL EROSION ALONG AREA BEACHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...35 TO 40 MPH...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT...AND INCREASE DURING THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST IN THE VICINITY OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...AND DIMINISH IN STRENGTH AS YOU GO EASTWARD TOWARDS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING... SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL CINDY MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS AROUND 10 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR NORTH AND EAST OF CINDY'S PATH. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG AREA RIVERS NEED TO MONITOR CINDY'S PATH AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND SHOULD RIVER FLOODING DEVELOP. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADOES IS TYPICALLY EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEW INFORMATION... AS CINDY MOVES ASHORE AND ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THE MOBILE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE HOURLY SHORT TERM FORECASTS (BHMNOWMOB). THIS PRODUCT WILL CONTAIN INFORMATION OF THE LOCATION OF HIGHEST WINDS...HEAVIEST RAINS AND THE CENTER OF CINDY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 330 AM. $$ BEELER ** WTUS84 KLIX 060532 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-060730- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1230 AM CDT WED JUL 6 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY MAINTAINS STRENGTH...AND MOVING ONSHORE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM SQUALLS...WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AFFECTING MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... ASSUMPTION...ASCENSION...TERREBONNE...LAFOURCHE...JEFFERSON... ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST JAMES...LIVINGSTON...TANGIPAHOA...ST TAMMANY AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING INCLUDES LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS AND THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT MIDNIGHT CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY HAS BEEN MOVING NORTH AROUND 13 MPH DURING THE PAST HOUR...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...SHOULD TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES FOR THE IMPACT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES ARE CURRENTLY 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY TONIGHT...REACHING 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG AND EAST OF TROPICAL STORM CINDYS PATH. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL ALSO LIKELY AFFECT BARATARIA BAY AND SURROUNDING DRAINAGES AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHEAST IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY FLOOD LOW LYING COASTAL ROADWAYS AND PROPERTY IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OUTSIDE OF THE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...ALONG COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...AND AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ...WIND IMPACTS.... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA FROM LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST TO THE COAST. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH HAVE BEEN COMMON ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING THE LATE EVENING WITH OCCASIONAL GUST TO 60 MPH. SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...LAKEFRONT AIRPORT RECORDED A WIND GUSTS TO 63 MPH. OVER COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 65 MPH IN THE STRONGER RAINBANDS...ESPECIALLY ALONG IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. STRONG WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE AREA HAS RESULTED IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND TREES...AS WELL AS DOWNED POWER LINES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE COMMON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY TO THE EAST OF TROPICAL STORM CINDYS TRACK....ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. A COUPLE OF TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE.... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM CDT WEDNESDAY. $$ ** WTNT80 EGRR 060538 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.07.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 105.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.07.2005 18.1N 105.6W WEAK 12UTC 06.07.2005 18.8N 107.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.07.2005 19.5N 108.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 07.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM CINDY ANALYSED POSITION : 28.6N 90.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.07.2005 28.6N 90.3W MODERATE 12UTC 06.07.2005 30.3N 89.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.07.2005 32.2N 87.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.07.2005 33.9N 85.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.07.2005 34.4N 84.3W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 08.07.2005 EXTRA TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 68.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.07.2005 14.7N 68.5W MODERATE 12UTC 06.07.2005 16.0N 71.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.07.2005 17.1N 73.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.07.2005 19.0N 75.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.07.2005 21.3N 79.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.07.2005 22.7N 81.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.07.2005 23.5N 83.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.07.2005 24.7N 84.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.07.2005 26.9N 84.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.07.2005 29.0N 85.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.07.2005 31.2N 85.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.07.2005 33.4N 85.9W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.07.2005 35.7N 87.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060538 ** WTNT34 KNHC 060544 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005 ...DENNIS MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA.... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES... 500 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 495 MILES... 800 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...14.8 N... 69.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 060556 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 5A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 2 AM EDT MIERCOLES 6 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO SOBRE EL MAR CARIBE CENTRAL... EL GOBIERNO DE CUBA HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA EL ESTE DE CUBA PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO Y HOLGUIN. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA JAMAICA Y TODAS LAS ISLAS CAYMAN. ESTAN EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA PENINSULA DEL SUROESTE DE HAITI DESDE LA FRONTERA CON LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Y PORT-AU-PRINCE HACIA EL OESTE. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE BARAHONA HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA FRONTERA ENTRE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Y HAITI. LOS INTERESES EN EL CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE Y CUBA DEBEN ESTAR BIEN ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 2 AM EDT...0600Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 14.8 GRADOS NORTE...LONGITUD 69.7 GRADOS OESTE O COMO A 310 MILLAS... 500 KM...AL SUR-SURESTE DE PORT AU PRINCE HAITI Y COMO A 495 MILLAS... 800 KM...AL ESTE-SURESTE DE KINGSTON JAMAICA. DENNIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH... 24 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y DENNIS PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HURACAN MAS TARDE HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 60 MILLAS...95 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1000 MILIBARAS...29.53 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE LA MAYOR PARTE DE LA ESPANOLA CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE 10 PULGADAS SOBRE TERRENO MONTANOSO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 2 AM... 14.8 NORTE... 69.7 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 15 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1000 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 5 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$