** WTUS82 KTAE 051805 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>014-052130- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 205 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE NEARING THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB OR 29.53 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THESE AREAS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... THE CENTER OF CINDY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM. TOTAL RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE PASSING WEST OF THE PANHANDLE...WITH INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST OF WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES AND HEED ADVICE FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... TODAY: HIGH 2:04 PM...LOW 11:21 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 7:18 AM AND 2:54 PM...LOW 10:18AM AND 11:56 PM. PORT ST. JOE... TODAY: LOW 9:08 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:40 AM...LOW 9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY: LOW 8:48 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:07 AM...LOW 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY: LOW 11:19 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. ONLY EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS SHOULD CONSIDER ENTERING THE WATER. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AROUND 5 PM EDT. $$ JAMSKI ** WTCA43 TJSJ 051811 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 8A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT MARTES 5 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...CINDY UN POCO MAS FUERTE...LAS CONDICIONES SE DETERIORAN A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA NORTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA DESTIN FLORIDA...Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL ESTE DE DESTIN HASTA INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA SOBRE LA TORMENTA PARA SU AREA FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 1 PM CDT...1800Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 27.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 90.4 OESTE O COMO A 125 MILLAS...AL SUROESTE DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO MISSISSIPPI. CINDY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO ESTARA CERCA DE LA COSTA NORTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO ESTA NOCHE O TEMPRANO EL MIERCOLES. UN BARCO JUSTO AL NORESTE DEL CENTRO DE CINDY INFORMO VIENTOS A CERCA DE 70 MPH...PERO LOS ANALISIS DEL CONTROL DE CALIDAD INDICAN QUE ESTOS VIENTOS SON POSIBLEMENTE MUY ALTOS. SIN EMBARGO... APARENTEMENTE CINDY SE HA FORTALECIDO UN POCO MAS Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS SE ESTIMAN CERCA DE 60 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. UN AVION CAZAHURACANES DE NOAA ESTA CERCA DE CINDY Y DARA INFORMACION MAS DEFINITIVA SOBRE LA INTENSIDAD. ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL ES POSIBLE ANTES DE QUE EL SISTEMA ENTRE A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1000 MB...29.53 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADAS CICLONICA DE 3 A 5 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES CERCA Y AL ESTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO CRUCE LA COSTA. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE LA COSTA CENTRAL DEL GOLFO Y PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...CON CANTIDADES MAYORES EN AREAS AISLADAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE SECTORES DEL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI...EL SUR DE ALABAMA Y EL OESTE DE FLORIDA HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 1 PM CDT...27.6 NORTE... 90.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 60 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1000 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LA 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTUS84 KLIX 051813 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-052200- TROPICAL STORM****HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 130 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY BECOMING A LITTLE STRONGER... ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY CONTINUES MOVING NORTH TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AREA IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI.... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... ASSUMPTION...ASCENSION...TERREBONNE...LAFOURCHE...JEFFERSON... ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST JAMES...LIVINGSTON...TANGIPAHOA...ST TAMMANY AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING INCLUDES LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS AND THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... WINDS OF 39 MPH OR HIGHER AND INCREASING TIDES...ARE LIKELY WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY WAS MOVING TO THE NORTH AT 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...SHOULD TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES FOR RISING TIDES...INCREASING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES CAN BE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO ABOVE NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY REACH 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY FLOOD LOW LYING COASTAL ROADWAYS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...AND AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...WIND IMPACTS.... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM CINDY ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE COASTAL WATERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INTO COASTAL SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA PARISHES AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD FARTHER INLAND DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE COMMON THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE MAINLY TO THE EAST OF TROPICAL STORM CINDYS TRACK. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE.... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 430 PM CDT TODAY. $$ ** WTNT63 KNHC 051917 *** TCUAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 220 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005 DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS IN CINDY ARE NEAR 70 MPH. LITTLE ADDITIONAL CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS PRIOR TO LANDFALL. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 051921 AAA *** HLSTAE FLZ007>014-052130- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED STORM INFORMATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 320 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 2 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DESTIN FLORIDA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE NEARING THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE ADDITIONAL CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB OR 29.53 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THESE AREAS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... THE CENTER OF CINDY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM. TOTAL RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO THREE INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE PASSING WEST OF THE PANHANDLE...WITH INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST OF WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES AND HEED ADVICE FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... TODAY: HIGH 2:04 PM...LOW 11:21 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 7:18 AM AND 2:54 PM...LOW 10:18AM AND 11:56 PM. PORT ST. JOE... TODAY: LOW 9:08 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:40 AM...LOW 9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY: LOW 8:48 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:07 AM...LOW 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY: LOW 11:19 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. ONLY EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS SHOULD CONSIDER ENTERING THE WATER. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AROUND 5 PM EDT. $$ JAMSKI ** WTUS84 KMOB 051926 CCA *** HLSMOB ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-052300- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 230 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...BUT A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. ON CINDY'S CURRENT TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD BE NEARING THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WOULD BRING THE CENTER CLOSER TO THE MISSISSIPPI OR ALABAMA GULF COASTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY...AND ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING BY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY THOSE LIVING NEAR LOW PLACES...SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE COASTAL AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... NORMAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AM AND NOON WEDNESDAY...AND COMBINED WITH CINDY'S SURGE...COULD RESULT IN WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. THIS MAY FLOOD SOME HOMES ON THE IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE ELEVATION IS LOW...ESPECIALLY ON THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND ON SOME INLAND BAYS AND WATERWAYS. THE INCREASED TIDE LEVELS COULD RESULT IN EXTENSIVE WASH-UP AND ADDITIONAL EROSION ALONG AREA BEACHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...35 TO 40 MPH...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT...AND INCREASE DURING THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST IN THE VICINITY OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...AND DIMINISH IN STRENGTH AS YOU GO EASTWARD TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY DUE TO INCREASING SURF AND ONSHORE WINDS. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING...SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL CINDY MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS OF NEAR 10 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR NORTH AND EAST OF CINDY'S PATH. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG AREA RIVERS NEED TO MONITOR CINDY'S PATH AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND SHOULD RIVER FLOODING DEVELOP. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS CINDY APPROACHES THE MISSISSIPPI COAST AND LOW LEVEL WINDS INCREASE. THE GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADOES IS TYPICALLY EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM. $$ MCKEE/EVERSOLE ** WTNT33 KNHC 052029 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CINDY ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005 ...HEAVY RAINS AND SQUALLS SPREADING ONSHORE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST AS CINDY APPROACHES... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES... 155 KM... SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN STRENGTH ARE FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...28.2 N... 90.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT23 KNHC 052030 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005 2100Z TUE JUL 05 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 90.3W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 90.3W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 90.4W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.7N 89.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 31.5N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 33.2N 86.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 34.7N 84.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 37.0N 78.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 39.5N 71.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 39.5N 71.5W...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 90.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT43 KNHC 052030 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005 THE STEPPED-FREQUENCY RADIOMETER INSTRUMENT ON BOARD A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A FEW SPOT SURFACE WIND ESTIMATES AROUND 64 KT. HOWEVER...THE CREW OF THE AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT THESE WIND SPEEDS WERE A LITTLE TOO HIGH. THE SATELLITE AND RADAR-OBSERVED STRUCTURE...CENTRAL PRESSURE...AND FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS...ARE MOST CONSISTENT WITH A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. CURRENT INTENSITY IS SET AT 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE CENTER CROSSES INTO THE MARSHY DELTA REGION OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 010/12. DYNAMICAL TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ABOUT A SLIGHT BEND TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE DURING THE FIRST DAY OR TWO OF THE PERIOD AND IS ADJUSTED EASTWARD LATER IN THE PERIOD TO AGREE BETTER WITH THE LATEST GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE. NO CHANGES IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE REQUIRED. PREDICTED STORM SURGE VALUES ARE ADJUSTED UPWARD SLIGHTLY BASED ON A LITTLE STRONGER STORM. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 28.2N 90.3W 60 KT 12HR VT 06/0600Z 29.7N 89.8W 60 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 06/1800Z 31.5N 88.5W 40 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 07/0600Z 33.2N 86.7W 25 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 07/1800Z 34.7N 84.1W 20 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 08/1800Z 37.0N 78.5W 20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 09/1800Z 39.5N 71.5W 20 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 10/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM $$ ** WTNT73 KNHC 052031 *** SPFAT3 TROPICAL STORM CINDY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT FRI JUL 8 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 31.5N 88.5W 32 X X X 32 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2 33.2N 86.7W 8 12 1 X 21 VENICE FL X X 1 1 2 34.7N 84.1W X 3 11 3 17 TAMPA FL X X 1 2 3 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 CEDAR KEY FL X 1 2 2 5 COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 2 3 ST MARKS FL X 4 5 1 10 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 4 5 APALACHICOLA FL 1 5 3 1 10 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 4 4 8 PANAMA CITY FL 2 8 2 X 12 SAVANNAH GA X X 4 6 10 PENSACOLA FL 18 3 X X 21 CHARLESTON SC X X 2 8 10 MOBILE AL 32 X X X 32 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 9 10 GULFPORT MS 44 X X X 44 WILMINGTON NC X X X 9 9 BURAS LA 63 X X X 63 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 8 8 NEW ORLEANS LA 54 X X X 54 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 7 7 NEW IBERIA LA 7 1 X X 8 NORFOLK VA X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 85W X 4 3 X 7 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 6 6 GULF 29N 87W 10 3 X 1 14 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W 48 X X X 48 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W 99 X X X 99 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM WED TO 1AM THU C FROM 1AM THU TO 1PM THU D FROM 1PM THU TO 1PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTPZ24 KNHC 052033 *** TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005 2100Z TUE JUL 05 2005 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 104.8W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.9N 106.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.2N 108.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.6N 110.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.9N 112.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.0N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 105.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 052042 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 9 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT MARTES 5 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...LLUVIAS FUERTES Y TURBONADAS EXTENDIENDOSE SOBRE TIERRA SOBRE LA COSTA NORTE CENTRAL DEL GOLFO A MEDIDA QUE SE ACERCA CINDY... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HACIA EL ESTE HASTA DESTIN FLORIDA...Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL ESTE DE DESTIN HASTA INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO...GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA...NCLUYENDO PISBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 4 PM CDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL CINDY ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 28.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 90.3 OESTE O COMO A 95 MILLAS... 155 KM...AL SUROESTE DE LA DESEMBOCADURA DEL RIO MISSISSIPPI. CINDY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO ESTARA CERCA DEL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 70 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. NO SE PRONOSTICAN CAMBIOS SIGNIFICATIVOS EN INTENSIDAD ANTES DE ENTRA A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1000 MB...29.53 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADAS CICLONICA DE 4 A 6 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES CERCA Y AL ESTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO CRUCE LA COSTA. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE LA COSTA CENTRAL DEL GOLFO Y PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS...CON CANTIDADES MAYORES EN AREAS AISLADAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE PARTES DEL SURESTE DE LOUISIANA...EL SUR DE MISSISSIPPI...EL SUR DE ALABAMA Y EL OESTE DE LA FLORIDA HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 PM CDT...28.2 NORTE... 90.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1000 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 PM CDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTPZ34 KNHC 052042 *** TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUL 05 2005 ...DORA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM MEXICO... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THE EFFECTS ON MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATENEJO TO MANZANILLO... BRINGING STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...18.5 N...105.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 052045 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005 ...DENNIS ORGANIZING AND MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH. ALSO AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. ALSO AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES... 525 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 405 MILES... 650 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH ...32 KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...14.2 N... 68.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 052046 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005 2100Z TUE JUL 05 2005 AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH. ALSO AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. ALSO AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 68.3W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 68.3W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 67.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.4N 70.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N 73.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.4N 75.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.9N 78.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.0N 82.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N 84.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.5N 86.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 68.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 052046 *** SPFAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 17.0N 73.4W 48 X X X 48 MYEG 235N 758W X X 8 3 11 18.4N 75.8W 3 30 X X 33 MYAK 241N 776W X X 8 6 14 19.9N 78.4W X 9 18 1 28 MYNN 251N 775W X X 3 7 10 MDSD 185N 697W 4 X X X 4 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 7 7 MDCB 176N 714W 44 X X X 44 MARATHON FL X X 2 14 16 MTPP 186N 724W 29 3 X X 32 MIAMI FL X X 1 12 13 MTCA 183N 738W 30 9 X X 39 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 9 9 MKJP 179N 768W 1 25 2 X 28 FT PIERCE FL X X X 7 7 MKJS 185N 779W X 18 8 1 27 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 5 5 MWCG 193N 814W X X 10 7 17 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 MUGM 200N 751W X 27 1 X 28 KEY WEST FL X X 1 16 17 MUCM 214N 779W X 4 21 1 26 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 13 13 MUCF 221N 805W X X 14 8 22 FT MYERS FL X X X 11 11 MUSN 216N 826W X X 4 14 18 VENICE FL X X X 9 9 MUHA 230N 824W X X 3 15 18 TAMPA FL X X X 7 7 MUAN 219N 850W X X X 11 11 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4 MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 4 4 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2 MDPP 198N 707W 2 1 X X 3 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2 MYMM 224N 730W X 2 1 1 4 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3 MYSM 241N 745W X X 2 2 4 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTPZ44 KNHC 052050 *** TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUL 05 2005 DORA HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON...AS INDICATED BY THE LARGE SCATTER IN THE SATELLITE POSITION ESTIMATES...AND THERE IS ALSO A LARGE RANGE IN THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS A BLEND OF THE VARIOUS SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATE IS 280/10. THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING ALSO REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO CONTINUE TO STEER DORA WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT...OR SOUTH...OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS A LITTLE NORTH OF THE BAM MODELS CONSENSUS...WHICH HAVE PERFORMED QUITE WELL WITH THIS SYSTEM THUS FAR. THERE MAY BE INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...ANY OF WHICH COULD BRIEFLY SPIN UP THE CIRCULATION TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. HOWEVER...THE GENERAL TREND SHOULD BE FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING TO OCCUR...ESPECIALLY AFTER 24 HOURS WHEN THE CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING OVER COLD WATER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 18.5N 105.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 06/0600Z 18.9N 106.7W 30 KT 24HR VT 06/1800Z 19.2N 108.5W 30 KT 36HR VT 07/0600Z 19.6N 110.4W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 07/1800Z 19.9N 112.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 08/1800Z 20.0N 116.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 09/1800Z 20.0N 120.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTPZ24 KNHC 052052 *** TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042005 2100Z TUE JUL 05 2005 CORRECTED LAST FORECAST LINE BY ADDING 120H DISSIPATION OF DORA AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 104.8W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.9N 106.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.2N 108.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.6N 110.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.9N 112.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.0N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 105.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT44 KNHC 052057 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005 DENNIS IS STEADILY BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS AT 18Z WERE T2.5/35 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB...AND THIS WILL BE THE ADVISORY INTENSITY. CONVECTION HAD BEEN A BIT ON THE SPOTTY SIDE EARLIER TODAY...BUT IT HAS SINCE BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED NEAR THE ESTIMATED CENTER...SO DENNIS SEEMS POISED TO INTENSIFY THIS EVENING. THE CARIBBEAN SEA AHEAD OF THE STORM IS PLENTY WARM...AND THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. SHIPS BRINGS THE SYSTEM TO 92 KT...AND GFDL FORECASTS 76 KT...IN 72 HOURS BEFORE THE SYSTEM CROSSES CUBA. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTIES WITH INTENSITY FORECASTING...INCLUDING IN THIS CASE HOW DENNIS WILL INTERACT WITH THE LARGER ISLANDS OF HISPANIOLA AND CUBA...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS LITTLE MORE CONSERVATIVE THAN SHIPS AND GFDL BUT STILL MAKES DENNIS A HURRICANE BY 36 HOURS. DENNIS IS MOVING FAIRLY RAPIDLY...WITH INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATED AT 290/17. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT ON THIS GENERAL MOTION CONTINUING FOR ABOUT THE NEXT THREE DAYS...WITH THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM BEING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. BEYOND THAT TIME...A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE IS ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP...AS A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SHARPENS OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS SHOULD INDUCE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ALONG BUT A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK. BASED ON THE FORECAST...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...HAITI...AND JAMAICA. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 14.2N 68.3W 35 KT 12HR VT 06/0600Z 15.4N 70.6W 45 KT 24HR VT 06/1800Z 17.0N 73.4W 55 KT 36HR VT 07/0600Z 18.4N 75.8W 65 KT 48HR VT 07/1800Z 19.9N 78.4W 70 KT 72HR VT 08/1800Z 22.0N 82.0W 75 KT 96HR VT 09/1800Z 24.0N 84.5W 80 KT 120HR VT 10/1800Z 26.5N 86.5W 80 KT $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 052112 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>014-060030- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 512 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INCLUDING WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN STRENGTH ARE EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB OR 29.53 INCHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THESE AREAS. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION... THE CENTER OF CINDY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM. TOTAL RAINFALL ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO THREE INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE PASSING WEST OF THE PANHANDLE...WITH INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST OF WALTON...BAY AND GULF COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES AND HEED ADVICE FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. LOCAL TIDES FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... APALACHICOLA... TODAY: LOW 11:21 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 7:18 AM AND 2:54 PM...LOW 10:18AM AND 11:56 PM. PORT ST. JOE... TODAY: LOW 9:08 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:40 AM...LOW 9:49 PM. SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY: LOW 8:48 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:07 AM...LOW 9:29 PM. EAST PASS AT DESTIN... TODAY: LOW 11:19 PM. WEDNESDAY: HIGH 10:37 AM. ...RIP CURRENTS... ONSHORE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL SUPPORT STRONGER AND MORE FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. ONLY EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS SHOULD CONSIDER ENTERING THE WATER. ...TORNADO THREAT... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE MOST VULNERABLE ARE THOSE LIVING NEAR STREAMS...CREEKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS. RESIDENTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY EXPOSED TO TIDAL FLOODING. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE TOSSED AROUND IN THE WIND. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 815 PM EDT. $$ JAMSKI ** WTCA44 TJSJ 052123 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 4 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT MARTES 5 DE JULIO DE 2005 ...DENNIS ORGANIZANDOSE Y MOVIENDOSE RAPIDAMENTE HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE... ...NUEVAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EMITIDOS... A ALS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL GOBIERNO DE HAITI HA CAMBIADO LA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA PENINSULA DEL SUROESTE DE HAITI DESDE LA FRONTERA CON LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA Y PORT-AU-PRINCE HACIA EL OESTE POR UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN. ADEMAS A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL GOBIERNO DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA CAMBIADO LA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE BARAHONA HACIA EL OESTE POR UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL. ADEMAS A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL GOBIERNO DE JAMAICA HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA JAMAICA. LOS INTERESES EN EL CENTRO Y OESTE DEL MAR ACRIBE DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 14.2 GRADOS NORTE...LONGITUD 68.3 GRADOS OESTE O COMO A 325 MILLAS...525 KM...AL SUR-SUROESTE DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO Y COMO A 404 MILLAS... 650 KM...AL SURESTE DE PORT AU PRINCE HAITI. DENNIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 20 MPH... 32 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM/HR... CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 60 MILLAS...95 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MILIBARAS...29.68 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS SOBRE GRAN PARTE DE LA ESPANOLA CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE 10 PULGADAS SOBRE TERRENO MONTANOSO. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 PM...14.2 NORTE...68.3 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 20 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 8 PM EDT SEGUIDA SE LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 PM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR KNAAB $$ ** WTPN31 PHNC 052200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DORA) WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 04E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 18.4N3 104.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 104.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.9N8 106.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.2N2 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.6N6 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.9N9 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.0N2 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.0N2 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060400Z0, 061000Z7, 061600Z3 AND 062200Z0.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 052200 RRB *** ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.0N2 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060400Z0, 061000Z7, 061600Z3 AND 062200Z0.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 052200 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DORA) WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 04E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 18.4N3 104.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 104.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.9N8 106.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.2N2 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.6N6 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.9N9 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.0N2 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ** WTPN31 PHNC 052200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DORA) WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 04E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 18.4N3 104.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 104.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.9N8 106.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.2N2 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.6N6 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.9N9 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.0N2 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.0N2 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060400Z0, 061000Z7, 061600Z3 AND 062200Z0.// ** WTPH RPLL 051800 *** TTT WARNING 07 AT 1800 05 JULY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIAMTED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 17.0N 118.5E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 07 MPS MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 15 MPS FORECAST POSITIONS AT 061800 18.2N 114.0E ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTUS84 KLIX 052148 *** HLSLIX LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-060100- TROPICAL STORM CINDY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 430 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY APPROACHING THE LOUISIANA COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM CINDY CONTINUES MOVING NORTH TOWARD THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AREA IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI.... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.... ...AREAS AFFECTED... IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE FOLLOWING PARISHES... ASSUMPTION...ASCENSION...TERREBONNE...LAFOURCHE...JEFFERSON... ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST JAMES...LIVINGSTON...TANGIPAHOA...ST TAMMANY AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI... HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING INCLUDES LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS AND THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... WINDS OF 39 MPH OR HIGHER AND INCREASING TIDES...ARE LIKELY WITHIN 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CINDY WAS MOVING TO THE NORTH AT 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 6 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 12 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...SHOULD RUSH PROTECTIVE MEASURES TO COMPLETION. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... TIDES CAN BE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO ABOVE NORMAL THIS EVENING AND POSSIBLY REACH 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG AND EAST OF TROPICAL STORM CINDYS PATH. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL LIKELY FLOOD LOW LYING COASTAL ROADWAYS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...AND AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...WIND IMPACTS.... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM CINDY ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE COASTAL WATERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INTO COASTAL SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA PARISHES AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD FARTHER INLAND DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. ...RAINFALL... RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE COMMON THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE MAINLY TO THE EAST OF TROPICAL STORM CINDYS TRACK. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. ...NEXT UPDATE.... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 730 PM CDT TODAY. $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 052350 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005 ...DENNIS CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFEFCT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. ALSO...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WILL LIKELY ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.5 WEST OR ABOUT 385 MILES... 625 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES ... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...14.3 N... 68.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 052359 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CINDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005 ...HEAVY RAINS AND SQUALLS LASHING THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT EAST OF DESTIN TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA. CINDY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH ...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS. DURING THE PAST HOUR...AN OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 99 MPH AT A HEIGHT OF 150 FT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...28.5 N... 90.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$