** WTSR20 WSSS 021800 ***
NO STORM WARNING=


** WTPN21 PHNC 030300 ***
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/030251ZJUL2005//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125
NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.0N 98.1W TO 15.2N 102.1W WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUM-
BERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE
ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 022345Z INDICATES
THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 98.8W. THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.1N
98.3W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 98.8W, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SSE OF
ACAPULCO, MEXICO. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN
INCREASE IN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCU-
LATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS IN
AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING 850 MB VOR-
TICITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
040300Z.//


** WTNT80 EGRR 030508 ***

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC      

 AND ATLANTIC                                        

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.07.2005

   TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 12.7N  96.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.07.2005  12.7N  96.9W     WEAK                          
 12UTC 03.07.2005  13.7N  97.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE     
 00UTC 04.07.2005  14.4N  98.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE     
 12UTC 04.07.2005  14.0N  99.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE     
 00UTC 05.07.2005  14.5N 100.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY   
 12UTC 05.07.2005        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
  

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 030508