** WTPZ23 KNHC 282028 *** TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032005 2100Z TUE JUN 28 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.1W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.1W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 104.6W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.4N 106.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.3N 108.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 15.2N 110.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 15.1N 111.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.0N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 105.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTPZ43 KNHC 282028 *** TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CALVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUN 28 2005 HIGH-RESOLUTION VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTER...IF IT STILL EXISTS...HAS BECOME POORLY DEFINED. IT APPEARS THAT CALVIN IS IN THE PROCESS OF DEGENERATING INTO AN EAST-WEST ELONGATED TROUGH. A SMALL LOW-CLOUD SWIRL HAS BEEN ROTATING AROUND THE EASTERN SIDE OF THIS TROUGH...BUT CONTINUITY FROM NIGHTTIME IR CHANNEL COMBINATION IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS WEAK SWIRL IS NOT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. CALVIN HAS WEAKENED TO AN ESTIMATED 25 KT INTENSITY...AND GIVEN THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT OF STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR...CONTINUED WEAKENING IS LIKELY. ADVISORIES MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS EVENING. THE CYCLONE HAS MOVED A LITTLE SOUTH OF WEST AND INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 260/10. CALVIN...OR ITS REMNANT...IS PREDICTED TO MOVE ON A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK...FOLLOWING THE NEAR-SURFACE EASTERLY FLOW...OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2100Z 15.5N 105.1W 25 KT 12HR VT 29/0600Z 15.4N 106.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 29/1800Z 15.3N 108.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 30/0600Z 15.2N 110.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 30/1800Z 15.1N 111.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 01/1800Z 15.0N 113.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT22 KNHC 282138 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022005 2200Z TUE JUN 28 2005 AT 5 PM CDT...2200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 95.7W AT 28/2200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 95.7W AT 28/2200Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 95.5W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.2N 96.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.7N 97.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 95.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN/PASCH $$ ** WTNT72 KNHC 282139 *** SPFAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM CDT...2200Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 20.7N 97.7W 46 X X X 46 MMTM 222N 979W 16 X X X 16 99 X X X 99 MMTX 210N 974W 47 X X X 47 99 X X X 99 MMVR 192N 961W 99 X X X 99 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM WED TO 1AM THU C FROM 1AM THU TO 1PM THU D FROM 1PM THU TO 1PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER FRANKLIN/PASCH $$ ** WTPN31 PHNC 282200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 009 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 15.6N2 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 15.4N0 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.3N9 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.2N8 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.1N7 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 15.0N6 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290400Z5, 291000Z2, 291600Z8 AND 292200Z5.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 282200 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 009 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 15.6N2 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 15.4N0 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.3N9 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.2N8 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.1N7 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 15.0N6 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER ** WTPN31 PHNC 282200 RRB *** --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290400Z5, 291000Z2, 291600Z8 AND 292200Z5.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 282200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 009 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 15.6N2 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 15.4N0 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.3N9 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.2N8 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.1N7 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 15.0N6 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290400Z5, 291000Z2, 291600Z8 AND 292200Z5.// ** WTNT42 KNHC 282158 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 6 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2005 AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO FOUND A SMALL WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION. DESPITE PROBLEMS WITH COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT...THE CREW HAS BEEN ABLE TO PHONE IN KEY OBSERVATIONS. OUR THANKS TO THE CREW FOR RESPONDING ON SUCH SHORT NOTICE AND FOR THEIR PERSISTENCE IN TRYING TO GET THE DATA OUT. SO FAR...THE AIRCRAFT HAS FOUND A FEW SMALL SPOTS WITH FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OVER 40 KT...INDICATING THAT THE WINDS ARE VERY NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THIS SYSTEM CERTAINLY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL...BUT SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS NOT LIKELY DUE TO THE LIMITED TIME THE CYCLONE WILL BE OVER WATER. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/6. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE DEPRESSION SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER NORTH TEXAS...AND REACH THE MEXICAN COASTLINE IN THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2200Z 19.9N 95.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 29/0600Z 20.2N 96.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 29/1800Z 20.7N 97.7W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT32 KNHC 282159 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE MEXICAN COAST...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED... AT 5 PM CDT...2200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM CDT...2200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES... 95 KM... NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 135 MILES... 215 KM...SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MOVING INLAND. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. REPEATING THE 5 PM CDT POSITION...19.9 N... 95.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/PASCH $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 282216 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL ARLENE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 15 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM CDT MARTES 28 DE JUNIO DE 2005 ...DEPRESION TROPICAL SE FORMA FUERA DE LA COSTA DE MEXICO...AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EMITIDO... A LAS 5 PM CDT...2200 UTC...EL GOBIERNO DE MEXICO HA EMITIDO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE VERACRUZ HASTA TAMPICO. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN LAS AREAS BAJO AVISO EN LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA EN TU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBILIDAD DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN TIERRA...FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 5 PM CDT...2200Z... EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 95.7 OESTE O CERCA DE 60 MILLAS...95 KM...AL NORESTE DE VERACRUZ MEXICO Y CERCA DE 135 MILLAS...215 KM...AL SURESTE DE TUXPAN MEXICO. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CERCA SE 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...Y ESTE MOVIMIENTO SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE DURANTE ESTA NOCHE. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA HACIA TIERRA DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN HORAS TEMPRANAS DE LA MANANA. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. LA DEPRESION PUDIERA CONVERTIRSE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL ANTES DE ENTRAR A TIERRA. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA MAEDID POR EL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO FUE DE 1004 MB...29.65 PULGADAS. LA LLUVIA TOTAL ACUMULADA DE 4 A 7 PULGADAS...CON RAFAGAS LOCALMENTE MAS ALTAS SOBRE LAS AREAS MONTANOSAS...SON POSIBLES EN ASOCIACION CON LA DEPRESION. REPITIENDO LA POSICION DE LAS 5 PM...19.9 NORTE...95.7 OESTE. EL MOVIMIENTO HACIA...OESTE-NOROESTE CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIEMTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1004 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMOITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 PM CDT SEGUIDO POR UNA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN/PASCH $$ ** WTCA42 TJSJ 282216 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL ARLENE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 15 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM CDT MARTES 28 DE JUNIO DE 2005 ...DEPRESION TROPICAL SE FORMA FUERA DE LA COSTA DE MEXICO...AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EMITIDO... A LAS 5 PM CDT...2200 UTC...EL GOBIERNO DE MEXICO HA EMITIDO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE VERACRUZ HASTA TAMPICO. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN LAS AREAS BAJO AVISO EN LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA EN TU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBILIDAD DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN TIERRA...FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 5 PM CDT...2200Z... EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL DOS ESTABA LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 95.7 OESTE O CERCA DE 60 MILLAS...95 KM...AL NORESTE DE VERACRUZ MEXICO Y CERCA DE 135 MILLAS...215 KM...AL SURESTE DE TUXPAN MEXICO. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CERCA SE 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...Y ESTE MOVIMIENTO SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE DURANTE ESTA NOCHE. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA HACIA TIERRA DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO EN HORAS TEMPRANAS DE LA MANANA. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. LA DEPRESION PUDIERA CONVERTIRSE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL ANTES DE ENTRAR A TIERRA. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA MAEDID POR EL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO FUE DE 1004 MB...29.65 PULGADAS. LA LLUVIA TOTAL ACUMULADA DE 4 A 7 PULGADAS...CON RAFAGAS LOCALMENTE MAS ALTAS SOBRE LAS AREAS MONTANOSAS...SON POSIBLES EN ASOCIACION CON LA DEPRESION. REPITIENDO LA POSICION DE LAS 5 PM...19.9 NORTE...95.7 OESTE. EL MOVIMIENTO HACIA...OESTE-NOROESTE CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIEMTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1004 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMOITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 PM CDT SEGUIDO POR UNA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN/PASCH $$ ** WTNT32 KNHC 282328 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BRET INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2005 ...SECOND TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS STRENGTHENED AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM BRET. IN ONLY TWELVE PREVIOUS YEARS SINCE 1851...MOST RECENTLY IN 1986...HAVE TWO OR MORE TROPICAL STORMS FORMED IN THE MONTH OF JUNE. AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 130 MILES... 210 KM...SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO. BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH ...8 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...19.9 N... 95.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTCA42 TJSJ 282344 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL ARLENE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 15 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT MARTES 28 DE JUNIO DE 2005 ...SEGUNDA TORMENTA TROPICAL DE LA TEMPORADA SE FORMA CERCA DE LA COSTA DE MEXICO... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE VERACRUZ HASTA TAMPICO. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN LAS AREAS BAJO AVISO EN LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA EN SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. REPORTES DE UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA UNIDAD DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICAN QUE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL EN EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO SE HA FORTALECIDO Y AHORA ES LA TORMENTA TROPICAL BRET. EN SOLAMENTE DOCE ANOS...DESDE 1851...MAS RECIENTEMENTE EN 1986...SE HAN DESARROLLADO DOS O MAS TORMENTAS TROPICALES EN EL MES DE JUNIO. A LAS 7 PM CDT...0000Z... EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL BRET ESTABA LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 95.8 OESTE O CERCA DE 55 MILLAS...90 KM...AL NOR-NORESTE DE VERACRUZ MEXICO Y CERCA DE 130 MILLAS...210 KM...AL SURESTE DE TUXPAN MEXICO. BRET SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CERCA SE 5 MPH...8 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE ESTA NOCHE. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA TIERRA ADENTRO HACIA EL AREA BAJO AVISO EN HORAS TEMPRANAS DE LA MANANA DEL MIERCOLES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. ES POSIBLE ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL ANTES DE QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA HACIA TIERRA. LA ULTIMA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA MEDIDA POR EL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO FUE DE 1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS. LAS ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 7 PULGADAS...CON RAFAGAS LOCALMENTE MAS ALTAS SOBRE TERRENOS MONTANOSOS...SON POSIBLES CON LA DEPRESION. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 PM...19.9 NORTE...95.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA OESTE-NOROESTE CERCA DE 5 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS DE 40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1002 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMOITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ ** WTCA42 TJSJ 282353 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL BRET ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 1A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT MARTES 28 DE JUNIO DE 2005 ...SEGUNDA TORMENTA TROPICAL DE LA TEMPORADA SE FORMA CERCA DE LA COSTA DE MEXICO... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE VERACRUZ HASTA TAMPICO. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN LAS AREAS BAJO AVISO EN LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA EN SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR LA OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. REPORTES DE UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA UNIDAD DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICAN QUE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL EN EL SUROESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO SE HA FORTALECIDO Y AHORA ES LA TORMENTA TROPICAL BRET. EN SOLAMENTE DOCE ANOS...DESDE 1851...MAS RECIENTEMENTE EN 1986...SE HAN DESARROLLADO DOS O MAS TORMENTAS TROPICALES EN EL MES DE JUNIO. A LAS 7 PM CDT...0000Z... EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL BRET ESTABA LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 95.8 OESTE O CERCA DE 55 MILLAS...90 KM...AL NOR-NORESTE DE VERACRUZ MEXICO Y CERCA DE 130 MILLAS...210 KM...AL SURESTE DE TUXPAN MEXICO. BRET SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CERCA SE 5 MPH...8 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE ESTA NOCHE. EN LA TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA TIERRA ADENTRO HACIA EL AREA BAJO AVISO EN HORAS TEMPRANAS DE LA MANANA DEL MIERCOLES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS ALTAS. ES POSIBLE ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL ANTES DE QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA HACIA TIERRA. LA ULTIMA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA MEDIDA POR EL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO FUE DE 1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS. LAS ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 7 PULGADAS...CON RAFAGAS LOCALMENTE MAS ALTAS SOBRE TERRENOS MONTANOSOS...SON POSIBLES CON LA DEPRESION. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 PM...19.9 NORTE...95.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA OESTE-NOROESTE CERCA DE 5 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS DE 40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1002 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMOITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$