** WTSR20 WSSS 280600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPN31 PHNC 281000 COR *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 007A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 15.8N4 101.8W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 102.3W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 16.2N9 103.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 16.6N3 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 16.8N5 107.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 17.0N8 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.0N8 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 17.0N8 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.0N8 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281600Z7, 282200Z4, 290400Z5 AND 291000Z2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED POSITION FOR 280600Z IN TEXT AND WARNING GRAPHIC.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 281000 RRB *** VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 17.0N8 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.0N8 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 17.0N8 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.0N8 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281600Z7, 282200Z4, 290400Z5 AND 291000Z2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED POSITION FOR 280600Z IN TEXT AND WARNING GRAPHIC.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 281000 COR *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 007A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 15.8N4 101.8W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 102.3W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 16.2N9 103.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 16.6N3 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 16.8N5 107.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 17.0N8 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.0N8 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 17.0N8 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.0N8 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281600Z7, 282200Z4, 290400Z5 AND 291000Z2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED POSITION FOR 280600Z IN TEXT AND WARNING GRAPHIC.// ** WTPZ23 KNHC 281433 *** TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032005 1500Z TUE JUN 28 2005 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 104.2W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 104.2W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 103.6W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.3N 105.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.6N 107.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.8N 109.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.0N 111.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.0N 115.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.0N 117.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 104.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTPZ43 KNHC 281433 *** TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE JUN 28 2005 CALVIN HAS BEEN MOVING JUST SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED...NEAR 11 KT. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL REMAIN EMBEDDED IN A DEEP EASTERLY FLOW FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS SO A CONTINUED MAINLY WESTWARD TRACK IS FORECAST. THIS IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN...BUT OTHERWISE SIMILAR TO...THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE CLOUD PATTERN REMAINS UNIMPRESSIVE AND THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 35 KT...IN LINE WITH DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES...ALTHOUGH THIS MAY BE GENEROUS. THERE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE MUCH PROSPECT FOR RESTRENGTHENING SINCE EASTERLY SHEAR WILL PERSIST OVER THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER A DAY OR SO WHEN CALVIN TRAVERSES COOLER WATERS. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MEXICO IS DISCONTINUED...AND PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON THIS SYSTEM ARE BEING TERMINATED. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/1500Z 16.1N 104.2W 35 KT 12HR VT 29/0000Z 16.3N 105.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 29/1200Z 16.6N 107.5W 35 KT 36HR VT 30/0000Z 16.8N 109.4W 30 KT 48HR VT 30/1200Z 17.0N 111.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 01/1200Z 17.0N 113.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 02/1200Z 17.0N 115.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 03/1200Z 17.0N 117.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTPZ33 KNHC 281434 *** TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CALVIN ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE JUN 28 2005 ...CALVIN HEADED FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF THE PACIFIC... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.2 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES... 325 KM... SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. CALVIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES ... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. RAINS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO ARE DIMINISHING. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...16.1 N...104.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. SINCE CALVIN IS NO LONGER A THREAT TO THE COAST...THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY. THE NEXT FORECAST/ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTPN31 PHNC 281600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 16.0N7 103.6W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 103.6W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.3N0 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 16.6N3 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 16.8N5 109.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 17.0N8 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.0N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.0N8 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.0N8 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282200Z4, 290400Z5, 291000Z2 AND 291600Z8.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 281600 RRB *** 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.0N8 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.0N8 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282200Z4, 290400Z5, 291000Z2 AND 291600Z8.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 281600 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 16.0N7 103.6W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 103.6W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.3N0 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 16.6N3 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 16.8N5 109.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 17.0N8 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.0N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- ** WTNT80 EGRR 281726 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.06.2005 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 102.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.06.2005 16.2N 102.6W MODERATE 00UTC 29.06.2005 16.5N 105.4W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 29.06.2005 16.6N 107.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 30.06.2005 12.4N 107.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.06.2005 12.7N 107.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 7.7N 90.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.06.2005 9.1N 88.6W WEAK 12UTC 29.06.2005 9.0N 90.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.06.2005 9.3N 91.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.06.2005 9.7N 91.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.07.2005 10.3N 93.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.07.2005 10.9N 94.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.07.2005 11.4N 95.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.07.2005 11.8N 95.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.07.2005 12.2N 96.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2005 12.9N 96.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.07.2005 13.0N 97.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.07.2005 13.9N 97.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 281726