** WTSR20 WSSS 271800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPZ23 KNHC 280237 *** TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032005 0300Z TUE JUN 28 2005 AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH EAST OF ACAPULCO...AND EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 101.6W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 101.6W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 101.2W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.2N 103.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.7N 105.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.1N 107.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.5N 109.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.5N 112.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.5N 115.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 17.5N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 101.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTPZ43 KNHC 280237 *** TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUN 27 2005 THE SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENTATIONS OF CALVIN HAVE DETERIORATED DRAMATICALLY THIS EVENING. ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED AND THE BANDING SEEN EARLIER HAS ALL BUT DISAPPEARED. TWO MICROWAVE PASSES NEAR 01Z INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ABOUT 50 NMI TO THE SOUTHEAST OF WHAT ROTATION CAN BE SEEN ALOFT. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS SUGGEST THAT CALVIN IS NEAR MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 35 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. CALVIN STILL HAS 24-36 HOURS OVER WARM WATER...SO THE CONVECTION COULD WELL RETURN...BUT GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE DOES NOT SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR WILL LESSEN ANYTIME SOON...AND CALVIN IS LIKELY TO STRUGGLE IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT UNTIL ITS INEVITABLE DEMISE. BOTH THE SHIPS AND GFDL INTENSITY GUIDANCE SUGGEST LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN STRENGTH UNTIL CALVIN REACHES COOLER WATERS. CALVIN REMAINS BASICALLY ON TRACK...295/9. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO BE A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...BASED ON THE DETERIORATING STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE IN AN EASTERLY SHEARING FLOW...AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL MODEL. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN CALVIN ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THAT WILL GRADUALLY EDGE AWAY FROM THE MEXICAN COAST...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED SOON. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0300Z 15.8N 101.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 28/1200Z 16.2N 103.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 29/0000Z 16.7N 105.0W 35 KT 36HR VT 29/1200Z 17.1N 107.0W 30 KT 48HR VT 30/0000Z 17.5N 109.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 01/0000Z 17.5N 112.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 02/0000Z 17.5N 115.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 03/0000Z 17.5N 117.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ ** WTPZ33 KNHC 280238 *** TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CALVIN ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUN 27 2005 ...CALVIN WEAKENS...TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXTENDED WESTWARD... AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH EAST OF ACAPULCO...AND EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WESTWARD TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.6 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES... 210 KM...SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. CALVIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT. CALVIN HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES ... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...15.8 N...101.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTPN31 PHNC 280400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- NEAR 15.6N2 101.2W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 101.2W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.2N9 103.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.7N4 105.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1N9 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.5N3 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.5N3 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.5N3 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.5N3 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281000Z1, 281600Z7, 282200Z4 AND 290400Z5.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 280400 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- NEAR 15.6N2 101.2W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 101.2W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.2N9 103.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.7N4 105.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1N9 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.5N3 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.5N3 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- ** WTPN31 PHNC 280400 RRB *** 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.5N3 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.5N3 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281000Z1, 281600Z7, 282200Z4 AND 290400Z5.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 280400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CALVIN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- NEAR 15.6N2 101.2W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 101.2W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.2N9 103.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.7N4 105.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1N9 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.5N3 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.5N3 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.5N3 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.5N3 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281000Z1, 281600Z7, 282200Z4 AND 290400Z5.// ** WTNT80 EGRR 280515 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 28.06.2005 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 100.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.06.2005 15.6N 100.6W STRONG 12UTC 28.06.2005 16.0N 102.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.06.2005 16.2N 104.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 29.06.2005 16.8N 107.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 30.06.2005 16.9N 109.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.06.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+48 : 7.9N 92.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.06.2005 9.0N 92.3W WEAK 12UTC 30.06.2005 10.0N 91.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.07.2005 11.1N 92.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.07.2005 11.2N 93.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.07.2005 11.9N 93.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.07.2005 11.9N 94.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.07.2005 12.7N 94.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.07.2005 13.6N 95.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.07.2005 14.3N 95.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+60 : 9.8N 106.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.06.2005 9.8N 106.6W WEAK 00UTC 01.07.2005 10.6N 107.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.07.2005 11.9N 108.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.07.2005 12.8N 110.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.07.2005 13.5N 111.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.07.2005 13.4N 112.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2005 13.7N 112.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 280515 ** WTPZ33 KNHC 280551 *** TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CALVIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT MON JUN 27 2005 ...CALVIN GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO MEXICO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES... 210 KM...SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. CALVIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REAMIN NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES ... 75 KM... MAINLY IN A SMALL AREA WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...15.8 N...101.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$