** WTSR20 WSSS 251800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPN21 PHNC 260200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/260151ZJUN2005// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZJUN2005// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 250200)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.5N8 97.1W7 TO 14.3N8 101.1W3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 252345Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 97.2W8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRC- ULATION CENTER HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.5N 97.3W, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ANGEL, MEXICO. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRES- SURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 270200Z1.// ** WTNT80 EGRR 260519 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 26.06.2005 TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 12.8N 98.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.06.2005 12.8N 98.1W WEAK 12UTC 26.06.2005 13.5N 98.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.06.2005 13.7N 99.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.06.2005 13.7N 100.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 28.06.2005 13.9N 101.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 28.06.2005 14.1N 101.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.06.2005 14.2N 104.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.06.2005 14.6N 104.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.06.2005 15.2N 106.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.06.2005 16.2N 108.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.07.2005 17.7N 110.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.07.2005 18.6N 113.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.07.2005 19.6N 114.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 260519 ** WTIN20 DEMS 260600 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 26-06-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER NORTH AND ADJOINING PARTS OF CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 29.5 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.)