** WTSR20 WSSS 240600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPZ22 KNHC 241440 *** TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022005 1500Z FRI JUN 24 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 113.1W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 113.1W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 112.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.1N 113.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.2N 114.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.2N 115.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.1N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 116.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 113.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTPZ42 KNHC 241440 *** TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEATRIZ DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUN 24 2005 DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABSENT FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS DISSIPATING INTO A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 290/8...AND THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD SLOW DOWN SOME MORE AND TURN WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS LOW-LEVEL STEERING CURRENTS WEAKEN. AN EVENTUAL DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR EVEN SOUTH COULD OCCUR BEFORE THE LOW DISSIPATES IN TWO TO THREE DAYS...IF IT COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A NEW CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THAT IS FORECAST BY SOME OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS TO DEVELOP FARTHER EAST. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON BEATRIZ. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 17.9N 113.1W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 25/0000Z 18.1N 113.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 25/1200Z 18.2N 114.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 26/0000Z 18.2N 115.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/1200Z 18.1N 116.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 27/1200Z 18.0N 116.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTPN31 PHNC 241600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BEATRIZ) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 17.7N5 112.8W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 112.8W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.1N0 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.2N1 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.2N1 115.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.1N0 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.0N9 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 113.1W6. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 9 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// ** WTPN31 PHNC 241600 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BEATRIZ) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 17.7N5 112.8W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 112.8W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.1N0 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.2N1 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.2N1 115.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.1N0 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.0N9 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER ** WTPN31 PHNC 241600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BEATRIZ) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 17.7N5 112.8W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 112.8W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.1N0 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.2N1 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.2N1 115.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.1N0 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.0N9 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 113.1W6. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 9 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// ** WTNT80 EGRR 241727 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.06.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEATRIZ ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 112.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.06.2005 17.7N 112.8W WEAK 00UTC 25.06.2005 18.0N 113.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.06.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+72 : 12.9N 101.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.06.2005 12.9N 101.6W WEAK 00UTC 28.06.2005 12.7N 102.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.06.2005 12.7N 103.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.06.2005 12.8N 104.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.06.2005 12.8N 106.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.06.2005 13.2N 107.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.06.2005 14.3N 109.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 241727