** WTJP21 RJTD 081800 *** WARNING 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0504 NESAT (0504) 970 HPA AT 26.6N 136.1E EAST OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 29.7N 139.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 32.7N 142.6E WITH 160 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 39.0N 151.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 081800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 081800UTC 26.6N 136.1E FAIR MOVE NE 08KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 240NM EAST 200NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 091800UTC 29.7N 139.0E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 10KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 48HF 101800UTC 32.7N 142.6E 160NM 70% MOVE NE 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 72HF 111800UTC 39.0N 151.0E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 081800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY NESAT 0504 (0504) INITIAL TIME 081800 UTC 00HR 26.6N 136.1E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR NE 20KM/H P+24HR 30.4N 139.4E 980HPA 30M/S P+48HR 34.5N 144.3E 988HPA 25M/S P+72HR 40.0N 154.0E 992HPA 18M/S= ** WTPN31 PGTW 082100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (NESAT) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 26.9N7 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.9N7 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 28.7N7 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 31.2N6 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 34.7N4 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 27.4N3 136.3E3. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (NESAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2, 090900Z8, 091500Z5 AND 092100Z2.// ** WTNT21 KNHC 082050 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012005 2100Z WED JUN 08 2005 AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 84.0W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 84.0W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 84.0W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.1N 84.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.9N 84.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.2N 85.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.5N 86.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N 88.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 34.0N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 37.5N 86.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 84.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA $$ ** WTNT31 KNHC 082059 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED JUN 08 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES... 375 KM... SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 315 MILES... 510 KM...SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AS IT ORGANIZES...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY IN RAINBANDS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA $$ ** WTNT41 KNHC 082102 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED JUN 08 2005 AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT LOCATED A POORLY-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1004 MB. THE AIRCRAFT ALSO MEASURED FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS NEAR 25 TO 30 KT...MOSTLY CONFINED TO CONVECTIVE BANDS WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. BASED ON THIS INFORMATION...THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...AND THE AIRCRAFT IS STILL INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM. CURRENTLY... DEEP CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO NARROW BANDS TO THE NORTH AND EAST....AND THE OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED ONLY TO THE WEST...PRIMARILY DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. HOWEVER... MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS WEAKEN THIS TROUGH AND DEVELOP AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SYSTEM. THIS WILL PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS FORECAST IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH AT ABOUT 6 KT...WHILE THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK. HOWEVER...A RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A SLIGHT TURN TO THE LEFT INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE GFDL...GFS...UKMET...AND NOGAPS BRING THE SYSTEM NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST IN ABOUT THREE DAYS...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THIS GUIDANCE. FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 17.2N 84.0W 25 KT 12HR VT 09/0600Z 18.1N 84.1W 30 KT 24HR VT 09/1800Z 19.9N 84.3W 35 KT 36HR VT 10/0600Z 22.2N 85.1W 45 KT 48HR VT 10/1800Z 24.5N 86.3W 50 KT 72HR VT 11/1800Z 29.0N 88.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 12/1800Z 34.0N 88.5W 25 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 13/1800Z 37.5N 86.0W 25 KT...INLAND $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 082136 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL UNO ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 1 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM AST MIERCOLES 8 DE JUNIO DE 2005 ...SE FORMA DEPRESION TROPICAL EN EL CARIBE NORORIENTAL... A LAS 5 PM AST...2100Z...EL GOBIERNO DE CUBA HA EMITIDO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA EL OCCIDENTE DE CUBA PARA LA PROVINCIA DE PINAR DEL RIO Y LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. LOS INTERESES EN EL CARIBE NOROCCIDENTAL DEBEN SEGUIR DE CERCA EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. PARA INFORMACION DE LA FORMENTA ESPECIFICAMENTE PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA TIERRA...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOSOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 5 PM AST...2100Z...EL POBREMENTE DEFINIDO CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL UNO ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.2 NORTE...LONGITUD 84.0 OESTE O COMO A 235 MILLAS...375 KM...AL SUROESTE DE GRAND CAYMAN Y COMO A 315 MILLAS...510 KM...AL SUR DEL EXTREMO OESTE DE CUBA. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO LENTAMENTE HACIA EL NORTE A MEDIDA QUE SE ORGANIZA...PERO SE ESPERA QUE COMIENZE A MOVERSE AL NORTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH...11 KM/HR ESTA NOCHE Y EL JUEVES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 30 MPH...45 KM/HR CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES...MAYORMENTE EN BANDAS DE LLUVIA AL NORTE Y AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO...Y LA DEPRESION TIENE EL POTENCIAL PARA TORNARSE EN TORMENTA TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL MEDIDA POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO ERA DE 1004 MB...29.65 PULGADAS. LLUVIA FUERTE...ACOMPANADA POR TURBONADAS...DEBERAN A COMENZAR A EXTENDERSE A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS CAYMAN Y EL OCCIDENTE DE CUBA ESTA NOCHE Y EL JUEVES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 PM AST...17.2 N...84.0 O. SE MUEVE HACIA EL...NORTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...30 MPH. PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1004 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 8 PM AST SEGUIDA POR UNA ADVERTENCIA MAS DETALLADA A LAS 11 PM AST. PRONOSTICADORES KNABB/AVILA $$ ** WTJP31 RJTD 082100 *** WARNING 082100. WARNING VALID 092100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0504 NESAT (0504) 970 HPA AT 26.8N 136.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 29.9N 139.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 082100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 082100UTC 26.8N 136.7E FAIR MOVE ENE 09KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 240NM EAST 200NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 092100UTC 29.9N 139.2E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 45HF 101800UTC 32.7N 142.6E 160NM 70% MOVE NE 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 69HF 111800UTC 39.0N 151.0E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTNT31 KNHC 082347 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT WED JUN 08 2005 ...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES... 350 KM... SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 305 MILES... 490 KM...SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY IN RAINBANDS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...17.4 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$