** WTSR20 WSSS 060600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTJP21 RJTD 061200 *** WARNING 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0504 NESAT (0504) 945 HPA AT 21.9N 133.8E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 24.3N 134.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 26.7N 134.4E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 28.4N 135.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 061200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 061200UTC 21.9N 133.8E GOOD MOVE NNE 08KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 75NM 30KT 200NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 071200UTC 24.3N 134.0E 90NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT 48HF 081200UTC 26.7N 134.4E 150NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 091200UTC 28.4N 135.5E 250NM 70% MOVE NNE SLOWLY PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 061200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY NESAT 0504 (0504) INITIAL TIME 061200 UTC 00HR 21.9N 133.8E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR NNE 15KM/H P+24HR 24.6N 134.5E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 27.2N 135.0E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 29.8N 136.7E 960HPA 38M/S= ** WTPN31 PGTW 061500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (NESAT) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 21.9N2 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 134.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 23.2N7 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 24.6N2 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 26.2N0 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 27.9N8 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 31.3N7 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 35.1N9 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION NEAR 22.2N6 134.1E9. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (NESAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9, 070300Z0, 070900Z6 AND 071500Z3.// ** WTPH RPLL 061600 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 16 AT 1200 06 JUNE TYPHOON (NESAT) (0504) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 22.0N 133.8E FCT TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 04MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 350KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 42MPS NEAR CENTER 33MPS WITHIN 100KMS 13MPS WITHIN 350KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 071200 25.1N 135.1E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPH20 RPMM 061200 *** TYPHOON WARNING 16 AT 1200 06 JUNE TYPHOON (NESAT)(0504) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO TWO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE THREE THREE POINT EIGHT EAST MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATGED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FIVE EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR TWO METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 071200 TWO FIVE POINT ONE NORTH ONE THREE FIVE POINT ONE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTJP31 RJTD 061500 *** WARNING 061500. WARNING VALID 071500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0504 NESAT (0504) 945 HPA AT 21.9N 133.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071500UTC AT 24.5N 134.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 061500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 061500UTC 21.9N 133.9E GOOD MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 75NM 30KT 200NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 071500UTC 24.5N 134.0E 90NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 081200UTC 26.7N 134.4E 150NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 091200UTC 28.4N 135.5E 250NM 70% MOVE NNE SLOWLY PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTNT80 EGRR 061656 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.06.2005 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061656