** WTSR20 WSSS 031800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTJP21 RJTD 040000 *** WARNING 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0504 NESAT (0504) 930 HPA AT 14.6N 131.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 17.2N 130.2E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 920 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 20.5N 132.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 920 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 22.6N 132.9E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 040000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 040000UTC 14.6N 131.4E GOOD MOVE NW 06KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 180NM FORECAST 24HF 050000UTC 17.2N 130.2E 80NM 70% MOVE N 08KT PRES 920HPA MXWD 100KT 48HF 060000UTC 20.5N 132.0E 150NM 70% MOVE NNE 08KT PRES 920HPA MXWD 100KT 72HF 070000UTC 22.6N 132.9E 220NM 70% MOVE NNE SLOWLY PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 040000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY NESAT 0504 (0504) INITIAL TIME 040000 UTC 00HR 14.3N 131.4E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 360KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR NW 15KM/H P+24HR 17.3N 130.6E 930HPA 55M/S P+48HR 20.8N 131.4E 940HPA 50M/S P+72HR 24.0N 133.5E 950HPA 45M/S= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 040000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 9 FOR TY 0504 NESAT (0504) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 040000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TY WILL RECURVE WITHIN 24 HOURS FROM 040000 UTC. TY WILL MOVE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORTH-NOR THEAST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 6.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 040000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4 NAME TY 0504 NESAT ANALYSIS POSITION 040000UTC 14.6N 131.3E MOVEMENT NW 7KT PRES/VMAX 940HPA 84KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 050000UTC 17.1N 130.0E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 930HPA 95KT 48HR POSITION 060000UTC 20.1N 130.7E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 930HPA 95KT 72HR POSITION 070000UTC 22.8N 132.4E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 940HPA 84KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 040300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (NESAT) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 14.5N0 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.6N2 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.1N9 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.4N6 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.7N2 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 29.8N9 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 37.2N2 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 45.0N9 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.8N3 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (NESAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TY 04W HAS RECENTLY INTENSIFIED DUE TO LINKAGE WITH A TUTT LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 41 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3, 041500Z0, 042100Z7 AND 050300Z8.// ** WTPH RPLL 040000 *** TYPHOON WARNING 06 AT 0000 04 JUNE TYPHOON (NESAT) (0504) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATE- LLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 14.6N 131.3E MOVING NORTHWEST AT 03 MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 350 KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 42 MPS NEAR CENTER 33MPS WITHIN 100KMS 13 MPS WITHIN 350 KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 050000Z 16.6N 129.9E AT 060000Z 19.1N 130.1E AND AT 070000Z 21.4N 131.0E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TOWEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= END OF FORECAST ** WTPQ31 PGUM 040330 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NESAT ADVISORY NUMBER 20 200 PM GUAM LST SAT JUN 4 2005 ...NESAT A CATEGORY 4 TYPHOON ONCE AGAIN... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NESAT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 131.2 DEGREES EAST. TYPHOON NESAT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 145 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS IS A CATEGORY 4...VERY STRONG...TYPHOON ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON TROPICAL CYCLONE SCALE. NESAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A CATEGORY 4 TYPHOON OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...14.8 DEGREES NORTH AND 131.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 145 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPH20 RPMM 040000 *** TYPHOON WARNING 06 AT 0000 04 JUNE TYPHOON (NESAT)(0504) WAS LOCATED BASE ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE FOUR POINT SIX NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT THREE EAST MOVING NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FOUR EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR TWO METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS 050000 ONE SIX POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT NINE EAST AT 060000 ONE NINE POINT ONE NORTH ONE THREE ZERO POINT ONE EAST AND AT 070000 TWO ONE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTJP31 RJTD 040300 *** WARNING 040300. WARNING VALID 050300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0504 NESAT (0504) 930 HPA AT 14.8N 131.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050300UTC AT 17.5N 130.4E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 920 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 040300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 040300UTC 14.8N 131.1E GOOD MOVE NW 06KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 180NM FORECAST 24HF 050300UTC 17.5N 130.4E 80NM 70% MOVE N 08KT PRES 920HPA MXWD 100KT 45HF 060000UTC 20.5N 132.0E 150NM 70% MOVE NNE 08KT PRES 920HPA MXWD 100KT 69HF 070000UTC 22.6N 132.9E 220NM 70% MOVE NNE SLOWLY PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT = ** WTNT80 EGRR 040506 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.06.2005 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 040506