** WTSR20 WSSS 030600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTJP21 RJTD 031200 *** WARNING 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0504 NESAT (0504) 950 HPA AT 13.7N 132.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 16.3N 130.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 19.4N 130.9E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 22.0N 131.3E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 031200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 031200UTC 13.7N 132.6E GOOD MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 041200UTC 16.3N 130.7E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 07KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 48HF 051200UTC 19.4N 130.9E 150NM 70% MOVE N 07KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 72HF 061200UTC 22.0N 131.3E 220NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY NESAT 0504 (0504) INITIAL TIME 031200 UTC 00HR 13.7N 132.5E 945HPA 50M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 16.5N 130.6E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 19.7N 131.4E 945HPA 50M/S P+72HR 24.4N 135.0E 950HPA 45M/S= ** WTPN31 PGTW 031500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (NESAT) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 13.7N1 132.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 132.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.1N7 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.7N4 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.5N4 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.6N8 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 25.5N2 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 31.1N5 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 36.7N6 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 132.5E1. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (NESAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 37 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6, 040300Z7, 040900Z3 AND 041500Z0.// ** WTPH RPLL 031200 *** TYPHOON WARNING 04 AT 1200 03 JUNE TYPHOON (NESAT) (0504) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATE- LLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 13.7N 132.6E FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH- WEST AT 05MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 350KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 40MPS NEAR CENTER 33MPS WITHIN 75KMS RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 350KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 041200 16.3N 129.6E AT 051200 19.7N 129.8E AND AT 061200 22.7N 131.5E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 031513 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NESAT ADVISORY NUMBER 18 200 AM GUAM LST SAT JUN 4 2005 ...TYPHOON NESAT CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...TYPHOON NESAT IS GENERATING HAZARDOUS SURF OF 7 TO 9 FEET ON WEST FACING EXPOSURES OF YAP AND PALAU. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NESAT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 132.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 485 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KOROR PALAU AND 495 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP. TYPHOON NESAT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BEYOND 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TYPHOON NESAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR ITS CURRENT INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...14.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 132.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 120 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. $$ AHN ** WTJP31 RJTD 031500 *** WARNING 031500. WARNING VALID 041500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0504 NESAT (0504) 950 HPA AT 14.0N 132.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041500UTC AT 16.8N 130.5E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 031500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 031500UTC 14.0N 132.1E GOOD MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 041500UTC 16.8N 130.5E 80NM 70% MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 45HF 051200UTC 19.4N 130.9E 150NM 70% MOVE N 07KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 69HF 061200UTC 22.0N 131.3E 220NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTPH20 RPMM 031200 *** TYPHOON WARNING 04 AT 1200 03 JUNE TYPHOON (NESAT) (0504) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE THREE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT TWO POINT SIX EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SIX THREE HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR ZERO METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN SEVEN FIVE KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 041200 ONE SIX POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT SIX EAST AT 051200 ONE NINE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT EIGTH EAST AND AT 061200 TWO TWO POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT FIVE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTNT80 EGRR 031733 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.06.2005 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 031733