** WTPQ20 BABJ 011800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS NESAT 0504 (0504) INITIAL TIME 011800 UTC 00HR 10.9N 139.6E 980HPA 30M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 60KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 12.5N 134.0E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 15.1N 131.0E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 18.1N 130.0E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 011800 *** WARNING 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0504 NESAT (0504) 970 HPA AT 10.7N 139.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 190 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 11.7N 134.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 13.9N 131.8E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 16.8N 130.3E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 011800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 011800UTC 10.7N 139.6E GOOD MOVE W 08KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 40NM 30KT 190NM FORECAST 24HF 021800UTC 11.7N 134.7E 80NM 70% MOVE W 12KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 031800UTC 13.9N 131.8E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 041800UTC 16.8N 130.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (NESAT) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 10.9N0 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 11.3N5 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 12.2N5 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 13.4N8 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.7N2 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.2N0 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.7N7 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.5N9 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.0N2 38.9E0. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (NESAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS A RAPID INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION, AND RADIAL OUTFLOW IS IMPROVING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PHNC FOR ADDITIO- NAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5, 020900Z1, 021500Z8 AND 022100Z5.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 COR *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/\ 1. TYPHOON 04W (NESAT) WARNING NR 011A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 10.9N0 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 11.3N5 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 12.2N5 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 13.4N8 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.7N2 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.2N0 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.7N7 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.5N9 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.0N2 138.9E1. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (NESAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS A RAPID INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION, AND RADIAL OUTFLOW IS IMPROVING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PHNC FOR ADDITIO- NAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5, 020900Z1, 021500Z8 AND 022100Z5. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED 012100Z4 POSITION IN REMARKS.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 012100 COR *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/\ 1. TYPHOON 04W (NESAT) WARNING NR 011A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 10.9N0 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 11.3N5 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 12.2N5 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 13.4N8 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.7N2 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.2N0 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.7N7 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.5N9 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.0N2 138.9E1. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (NESAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS A RAPID INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION, AND RADIAL OUTFLOW IS IMPROVING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PHNC FOR ADDITIO- NAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5, 020900Z1, 021500Z8 AND 022100Z5. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED 012100Z4 POSITION IN REMARKS.// ** WTJP31 RJTD 012100 *** WARNING 012100. WARNING VALID 022100. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0504 NESAT (0504) 970 HPA AT 10.9N 139.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 190 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 022100UTC AT 12.2N 134.3E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 012100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0504 NESAT (0504) ANALYSIS PSTN 012100UTC 10.9N 139.1E GOOD MOVE W 11KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 40NM 30KT 190NM FORECAST 24HF 022100UTC 12.2N 134.3E 80NM 70% MOVE W 12KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 45HF 031800UTC 13.9N 131.8E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 041800UTC 16.8N 130.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 012158 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NESAT ADVISORY NUMBER 11 8 AM GUAM LST THU JUN 2 2005 ...TYPHOON NESAT PASSING NORTH OF YAP... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. IT IS UNLIKELY THAT WARNINGS WILL BE NEEDED FOR YAP SINCE THE STRONGER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON NESAT WILL STAY NORTH OF THESE ISLANDS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NESAT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ULITHI 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP 140 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS AND 430 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM TYPHOON NESAT IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH. TYPHOON NESAT IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS IS A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON TROPICAL CYCLONE SCALE. TYPHOON NESAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 138.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. $$ PRIOR ** WTPQ31 PGUM 012158 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON NESAT ADVISORY NUMBER 11 8 AM GUAM LST THU JUN 2 2005 ...TYPHOON NESAT PASSING NORTH OF YAP... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. IT IS UNLIKELY THAT WARNINGS WILL BE NEEDED FOR YAP SINCE THE STRONGER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON NESAT WILL STAY NORTH OF THESE ISLANDS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NESAT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ULITHI 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP 140 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS AND 430 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM TYPHOON NESAT IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH. TYPHOON NESAT IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS IS A CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON TROPICAL CYCLONE SCALE. TYPHOON NESAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 138.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. $$ PRIOR