** WTSR20 WSSS 310600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 311200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 311200UTC 10.2N 144.6E FAIR MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 011200UTC 10.8N 141.6E 80NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTPN31 PGTW 311500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- NEAR 10.4N5 145.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 145.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 11.1N3 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 11.8N0 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 12.6N9 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 13.5N9 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.7N3 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.4N2 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.7N7 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION NEAR 10.6N7 144.7E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A 311044Z3 SSM/I MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER TO THE EAST OF THE DEVELOPING DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PHNC FOR ADDI- TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7, 010300Z4, 010900Z0 AND 011500Z7.// ** WTPQ20 RJTD 311500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 311500UTC 10.2N 144.4E FAIR MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 011500UTC 10.9N 141.3E 80NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 311547 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 6 200 AM GUAM LST WED JUN 1 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM 04W MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IF TROPICAL STORM 04W INTENSIFIES MORE RAPIDLY THAN FORECAST OR TRACKS SIGNIFICANTLY SOUTH OF ITS CURRENT FORECAST TRACK. AT 2 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 140 MILES NORTH OF FARAULEP 290 MILES EAST OF FAIS 350 MILES EAST OF ULITHI 455 MILES EAST OF YAP AND 200 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM TROPICAL STORM 04W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 04W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 AM POSITION...10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND 144.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NEEDED. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTNT80 EGRR 311715 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.05.2005 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 311715